GMG PUE Ice Making Financial Model FINAL
GMG PUE Ice Making Financial Model FINAL
GMG PUE Ice Making Financial Model FINAL
General Guidance
The workbook aims to assist developers of Solar PV based mini-grids (the "Mini Grid Deve
1 as aquaculture companies, CBOs, entrepreneurs or mini-grid developers (the "Ice Making
ice-making for fish preservation as a productive use activity
2 The Workbook is split into two 'views'/tabs
The 'Mini Grid Developer view' allows for the calculations associated with upgrading a
2a computes key financial metrics that can assist the Developer in assessing the impact of in
for a specific site. The worksheet has two default scenarios. 'Base Case' is the base case
'Upgrade Case Scenario' is the upgrade case that includes the ice-making plant
The 'Ice Making Facility owner view' allows for the calculations associated with installi
making plant to be compatible with a mini-grid. It allows the Ice Making Facility owner to p
2b enterprise through cash flow modeling and computation of key financial metrics. The work
Scenario' refers to the case where the Enterprise Owner owns/operates an ice-making pl
to electric or transport it to the mini-grid site from another location. The 'New Enterprise
owner intends to build and operate a new ice-making plant at the mini-grid site
4 Assumptions, Calculations and Outputs are presented on the same tabs
5 Please read the 'Instructions and Legend' tab before completing the workbook
workbook
Instructions
1 Please refer to the legend below for information on which cells to fill out in the model
2 Units of measurement are set to default in the analysis. The formulas are coded based o
3 Input values in all grey highlighted cells. All other calculations and output values in the w
Legend
Black Text This is an output cell. Cell includes formula and should not be ed
Blue Highlighted Text This is an input cell. Cell is hard coded and can be edited
Base Case Scenario Mini-Grid system without ice making plant
Upgrade Case Scenario Mini-Grid system with ice making plant
Instructions
1 Please refer to the legend below for information on which cells to fill out in the model.
2 Units of measurement are set to default in the analysis. The formulas are coded based o
3 Input values in all grey highlighted cells. All other calculations and output values in the w
4 Please note that both revenues and expenses should be positive (expenses will be dedu
Legend
Black Text This is an output cell. Cell includes formula and should not be ed
Blue Highlighted Text This is an input cell. Cell is hard coded and can be edited
Conversion Scenario Existing ice-making plant to be re-located and / or converted to b
New Enterprise Scenario New ice-making plant to be installed and integrated to Mini-Grid
o fill out in the model
mulas are coded based on the assumption that all values are entered in the default units
nd output values in the worksheet will populate automatically. If certain categories do not apply, leave
ault units
ories do not apply, leave the cell blank
Mini Grid Developer View
1. LCOE Analysis
Units Base Case Upgrade Case
CAPEX $ 0 0
Present Value of Operating Expense $ 0 0
Total Energy Production kWhs - -
Profit Margin %
Tariff $/kWh #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Discount Rate %
5.1 CAPEX
Units Base Case Upgrade Case
Solar PV Material $/Wdc
Solar PV Labor $/Wdc
Energy Storage Material $/Wdc
Energy Storage Labor $/Wdc
Generator Material $/Wdc
Generator Labor $/Wdc
Distribution Material and Labor $/Wdc
Design & Engineering $/Wdc
Surveys and Studies $/Wdc
Direct Job Costs $/Wdc
Contingency $/Wdc
Installer Margin $/Wdc
Total Construction Cost $/Wdc 0.00 0.00
LCOE" is the levelized cost of energy and is a proxy measure that captures the overall economic impact of the ice-making
plant on the mini-grid system. If the LCOE decreases from the Base Case to Upgrade Case Scenario, then the developer
should proceed with connecting the ice-making plant to the mini-grid system. A decreasing LCOE is an indication of the
positive marginal benefit of adding an ice-making plant to the economics of the mini-grid system
Profit margin should be selected based on the following considerations (i) approval of resulting tariff by ERC (ii) desired
Equity IRR. Changing this input has direct impact on the equity IRR as the Tariff is used to calculated cash flows available to
equity investors.
For calculating the present value of operating expense in the LCOE calculation. Discount Rate can be based on the
developer's cost of equity financing
Portion of capital structure that is financed by grants or similar incentives intended to subsidize the CAPEX of the mini-grid s
Cash flow projection is developed for the purpose of calculating IRR. Cash flows are calculated as follows: (Tariff x Energy
Production) - (Operating Expense) - (CAPEX)
The default template includes the most commonly used categorizations. The user can add or consolidate categories based on
The default template includes the most commonly used categorizations. User can add or consolidate categories based on the
Input should be based on result of developer's internal production modeling. The developer should ensure that the sizing of
Input should be based on result of developer's internal production modeling. The developer should ensure that the sizing of
Annual degradation in the production capacity of the solar PV panels
Ice Making Facility Owner view
1. Key Investment Metrics
Units Conversion New Enterprise
Total Investment $ 0 0
IRR % N/A #DIV/0!
10 year NPV $ #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Payback period Years <0 -
Assumptions `
Discount rate %
Tax rate %
Ice Price (
#DIV/0! 0.08 0.10
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
Tarif ($/kWh)
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
Tarif ($/kWh)
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
OPEX
Energy consumption - - -
Operations and maintainance - - -
Total OPEX - - -
Depreciation - - -
Interest repayments - - -
OPEX
Energy consumption - - -
Operations and maintainnance - - -
Total OPEX - - -
Depreciation - - -
Interest repayments - - -
EBIT #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
EBIT %
Tariff $ kWh
Unit kg hrs
Year 1 $ - 0
Year 2 $ - 0
Year 3 $ - 0
Year 4 $ - 0
Year 5 $ - 0
Year 6 $ - 0
Year 7 $ - -
Year 8 $ - -
Year 9 $ - -
Year 10 $ - -
Total - -
Units kg hrs
Year 1 $ - 0
Year 2 $ - 0
Year 3 $ - 0
Year 4 $ - 0
Year 5 $ - 0
Year 6 $ - 0
Year 7 $ - 0
Year 8 $ - 0
Year 9 $ - 0
Year 10 $ - 0
Total - -
4.4 Depreciation
Assumptions Units Conversion New Enterprise
Ice Making Plant purchase $
Ice making plant conversion $
Ice Making Plant Installation $
Total Investment $ - -
Remaining useful life years - -
4 5 6 7 8
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
4 5 6 7 8
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
- - - - -
- - - - -
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
nterprise
9 10 Total
- - 0
- - 0
- - 0
- - 0
- - 0
0
- - 0
- - 0
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
9 10 Total
- - 0
- - 0
- - 0
- - 0
- - 0
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
0
- - 0
- - 0
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
hrs kWh $
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
hrs kWh $
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
New Enterprise
Total repayments Principal Interest Add any new debt taken on over the
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
Reference
ate is an input for the NPV calculation. It should be based on the cost of capital for the Enterprise Owner.
st rate on debt financing can be used as a proxy for cost of capital. In which case, the discount rate can
hould be consistent with local regulations
remaining years of operation for the Ice Making Plant as at the time of calculation. Note than any
g Useful Life of less than 10 years will result in the cessation of all cash flows (apart from those related to
t is assumed that the Machine is no longer productive (and is not replaced)
analysis is designed to show the impact of Net Present Value (NPV) based on changes to the assumed
key variables. In this case the key variables are set to be 'Ice Price' and the 'Energy Tariff'. Enterprise
hould use this analysis to assess the level of risk in case of fluctuations in key variables
projection is developed for the purpose of calculating key investment metrics (IRR, NPV and Payback Perio
s of assumptions and calculations are presented in the same order as the Cash Flow Analysis
are the primary source of revenue. 4.1 allows the Enterprise Owner to set the desired price point for the pr
d based on the total CAPEX for the ice making plant divided by the total amount of ice produced over its li
d based on the total OPEX for the ice making plant divided by the total amount of ice produced over its lif
riable and fixed product cost
k-up to be set by Enterprise Owner. In assessing the appropriate mark-up the Enterprise Owner should take
desired retail price for the product. The selected retail price should result in a positive NPV. If this is not
ed on technical specifications of the potential/existing ice making plant
ons from Row 164 to 169 are intended to utilisation of the Ice Making plant based on fish supply seasonality.
of Rows 165, 167 and 169 should equal 12 (months of the year of operation) or less (if the Ice Making Plant
imate of the cost of power. Ideally informed by earlier discussion/calculations with the Developer
s 4.2.1 are found in Column I (Total Annual Production of Ice) and Column L (Total Financial Value of Ene
lt template includes the most commonly used categorizations. User can add or consolidate categories bas
er of full time staff estimated to be required to operate the ice making plant at the assumed utilisaion
financial salary of each full time staffer
cost of the annual servicing of the ice making plant. Note that many new machines do come with time-
t warranties
cost of the major services of the ice making plant every 2 years. May not apply to some machines,
those with warranties of 2 years or longer
ues will change according to the Developer Scenario and link directly to CAPEX in the Cash Flow Summary
it required by the lender to secure the loan. Usually quoted as a percentage of the total asset value.
of the loan before the incurring of any interest charges
on (in years) in which the loan principal and interest is required to be fully repaid
rincipal loan repyaments. Projections assume interest is charged annually on the remaining value of the loan principal.
ew debt taken on over the projected 10 years into corresponding cells in this table