Condition Analysis of Steam Turbine DEH Control System Based On Data Fusion
Condition Analysis of Steam Turbine DEH Control System Based On Data Fusion
INTRODUCTION
With the rapid developing of electric power industry in our country, the maintenance mode
is changing from planned maintenance to condition-based maintenance. The pivotal task of
condition-based maintenance is to evaluate the equipment condition synthetically and arrange
maintenance times and items reasonably. DEH regulation system is complex and includes many
components. Meanwhile, the relations between subsystems have strong relationships. In
condition analysis, reasonable condition characteristic extraction method and accurate condition
evaluation model are two pivotal aspects. But, in most methods[1], condition characteristics are
extracted just using qualitative analyzing and expert opinion, and the condition evaluation model
is just linear integration. The accuracy of condition evaluation results is weaken greatly. So based
on RCM analysis, fuzzy theory and evidence theory, a method of condition analysis is put
forward for DEH system.
In the paper, take DEH regulating system as an example, all subsystems are analyzed in
RCM method based on system division and the fault modes and their risk evaluation indexes are
determined. Then based on fuzzy theory, the risk levels of all fault modes are evaluated
quantificationally using fuzzy inference method and the characteristics are extracted by
analyzing the fault modes with higher risk levels. Finally, the system condition is analyzed by
information fusion arithmetic based on D-S theory.
Severity Rating
Very low 1
Low 2
3
Moderate 4
5
6
High 7
8
Very high 9
10
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1 .0
0 .8
function
0 .6
0 .4
0 .2
0 .0
0 2 4 6 8 1 0
1 .0
function
0 .8
0 .6
0 .4
0 .2
0 .0
0 2 4 6 8 1 0
0 .6
0 .4
0 .2
0 .0
0 2 4 6 8 1 0
None Elow Vlow Rlow Low Mod High Rhigh Vhigh Ehigh
Fuzzy membership
1 .0
0 .8
function
0 .6
0 .4
0 .2
0 .0
0 2 4 6 8 1 0
Suppose a certain fact x1 , y1 , from m rules, a same inference result Ci' (i = 1,2,L, m) is
obtained. The m rules correspond to m fuzzy membership µ Ci'1 , µ Ci' 2 , L , µ Cim' . The fuzzy
membership grade of result Ci' can be calculated using formula (2)
µ C ' ( zi ) = µ C' ( zi ) ∨ µ C' ( zi ) ∨ L ∨ µ C ' ( zi ) (2)
i i1 i2 im
According to the fact x 0 , y 0 , the fuzzy membership grade of C1',C 2' is µ C1' ( z1 ), µ C2' ( z 2 ) .Then,
a method of weighted averaging can be used to get the numeral value of the fuzzy result
C ' (C1' , C 2' ) , and the representative value z 0 is obtained.
2 2
z0 = ∑ zi µ C' (zi ) / ∑ µ C' (zi ) zi ∈ Z (3)
i i
i =1 i =1
Thus, using formula (1)~(3), the fuzzy inference from fact “x0 and y0” to the result
representative point z0 can be realized.
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H1 …
Hn …HN —Evaluation level
e1k (α ) … j
e (α )
k … ekLk (α ) —Basic factor level
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If there is only one factor eki in E k , m( H n eki (α )) should be equal to β (e ki (α )) ; if there are
multiple factors in E k , then:
M ( H n eki (α )) = λik β (eki (α )) (9)
in which , λ are the weights of all factors e in E k .
i
k
i
k
After gained the basic probability assignments, the overall probability assignment can be
calculated by using the following evidence reasoning arithmetic.
Define a factor subset e Lk (i ) (α ) and a combined probability assignment MM riC (α ) as
follow:
{
e Lk (i ) (α ) = e1k (α ),L, eki (α ) }, 1 ≤ i ≤ L k (10)
C
MM r,Ci (α ) = M ( ) = M riC (α ) (11)
e Lk (i ) (α )
Then, initial condition:
MM rn,1 = M rn,1 ; MM rH,1 = M rH,1 (12)
iterative formula:
MM rn,i +1 = K r ,i +1 ( MM rn,i M rn,i +1 + MM rn,i M rH,i +1 + MM rH,i M rn,i +1 )
n = 1,L , N
MM H
r ,i +1 = K r ,i +1 MM M
H
r ,i
H
r ,i +1 (13)
−1
N N
in which, K r ,i +1 = 1 − ∑ ∑ MM rt ,i M rs,i +1 ,
t =1 s =1, s ≠ t
i = 1,L , Lk − 1 , r = 1, L , R
Then the overall preference degree can be calculated as follow:
N
p rk = p ( y k (α r )) = ∑ MM rn, Lk p ( H n ) + MM rH, Lk p ( H ) (14)
n =1
N p(H n )
where, p( H ) = ∑ .
n =1 N
After making unitary treatment and fuzzy transform, the results are listed in tab.10, which
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Put above dada into the iterative formula, the condition analysis results of subsystems and
system can be gained as follow:
Tab.8 Condition analysis results
Preference
System Weight H1 H2 H3 H4 H5
degree
Actuators 0.46 (0,0,0,0.29,0.57) 0.686
EH oil system 0.28 (0,0,0.33,0.19,0) 0.076
Protection system 0.26 (0,0,0.032,0.41,0) 0.164
DEH system - (0,0,0.06,0.23,0.22) 0.312
The above data indicate that the three subsystems are in “best”, “general” and “good”
condition respectively, and the whole DEH system is in “good” condition. Analyzing the
preference degrees of the three subsystem, the EH oil system is in relatively poor condition.
Based on this condition analysis, caution should be exercised and measure be taken in
appropriate opportunity.
the condition analysis results can denote the system condition more accurately, and provide
an effective support for next maintenance decision
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The project is supported by Hebei science and technology department (15273727), and the
Foundation of Hebei University of Science and Technology (XI201504)
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