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Practice Sheet

1. Use simulation to solve 8 probability and statistics problems related to coin flipping, drawing cards from a deck, bus arrival times, gambler's ruin, picking pizza toppings, insurance payouts, uniformly distributed random variables, and number of accidents per day. 2. Solve 4 additional problems theoretically regarding the total amount spent at a restaurant each day, conditional expectation of a Poisson random variable, conditional probabilities, expectations of sums of independent random variables, and moments of a Poisson distribution. 3. The document provides 14 questions to practice applied stochastic processes through both simulation and theoretical analysis of probabilities, expectations, distributions, and other concepts.

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Jineet Desai
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115 views2 pages

Practice Sheet

1. Use simulation to solve 8 probability and statistics problems related to coin flipping, drawing cards from a deck, bus arrival times, gambler's ruin, picking pizza toppings, insurance payouts, uniformly distributed random variables, and number of accidents per day. 2. Solve 4 additional problems theoretically regarding the total amount spent at a restaurant each day, conditional expectation of a Poisson random variable, conditional probabilities, expectations of sums of independent random variables, and moments of a Poisson distribution. 3. The document provides 14 questions to practice applied stochastic processes through both simulation and theoretical analysis of probabilities, expectations, distributions, and other concepts.

Uploaded by

Jineet Desai
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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BIRLA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY AND SCIENCE, PILANI

K. K. BIRLA GOA CAMPUS


First Semester 2019-2020
Lab/Practice Sheet-1

Course No. MATH F424 Course title: Applied Stochastic Process

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Use simulation to find the answer of following question. Also, compare the simulation result
with theoretical(true) answer.

1. Simulate flipping three fair coins and counting the number of heads X. (a) Use sim-
ulation to estimate P (X = 1) and E(X). (b) Modify the experiment to allow for a
biased coin where P (Heads) = 3/4.

2. Cards are drawn from a standard deck, with replacement, until an ace appears. Find
the mean and variance of number of cards required.

3. The time until a bus arrives has an exponential distribution with mean 30 minutes.
(a) Use command rexp() to simulate probability that the bus arrives in the first 20
minutes. (b) Use the command pexp() to compare the exact probability.

4. Gambler’s ruin: On each day a fair coin is tossed and the gambler wins $1 if head
occurs, or loose $1 if tails occurs. The gambler stops when he reaches $n(n > k)
or losses all his money. Use Monte carlo simulation to find the probability that the
gambler will eventually loose.

5. Every day Bob goes to the pizza shop and picks a topping- pepper, pepperoni, pineap-
ple, or chicken- uniformly at random. On the day that Bob first pics pineapple, using
simulation find the expected number of prior days in which he picked pepperoni.

6. Ellen’s insurance will pay for a medical expense subject to a $100 deductible. As-
sume that the amount of expense is exponentially distributed with mean $500. Use
simulation to find the expectation and standard deviation of the payout.

7. A number X is uniformly distributed on (0, 1). If X = x, then Y is picked uniformly


on (0, x). Find the variance of Y .

8. On any day, the number of accidents on the highway has the Poisson distribution with
parameter Λ. The parameter Λ varies from day to day and is itself a random variable.
Find mean and variance of the number of accidents per day when Λ is uniformly
distributed on (0, 3).
Solve the following theoretically:

9. A restaurant receives N customers per day, where N is a random variable with mean
200 and standard deviation 40. The amount spent by each customer is normally dis-
tributed with mean $15 and standard deviation $3. The amounts that customers spend
are independent of each other and independent of N . Find the mean and standard
deviation of the total amount spent at the restaurant per day.

10. Let X be a Poisson random variable with λ = 3. Find E(X/X > 2).

11. From the definition of conditional expectation given an event, show that E(IB /A) =
P (B/A).

12. Let X1 , X2 , · · · be an i.i.d. sequence of random variables with common mean µ. Let
Sn = X1 + · · · + Xn , for n ≥ 1. (a) Find E(Sm /Sn ) for m ≤ n. (b) Find E(Sm /Sn ) for
m > n.

13. Find the PGF of Poisson random variable with parameter λ. Also use the same to find
mean and variance for the distribution.

14. If a random variable X has Poisson distribution with parameter λ, show that

E(X(X − 1)(X − 2) · · · (X − k)) = λk+1 .

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