Project Report
Project Report
On
“Forecasting and Valuation of Persistent Systems Ltd”
NIIT TECHNOLOGIES
Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Two Year Full Time
Post Graduate Diploma in Management
Session: 2017-19
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Annexure-B
CERTIFICATE OF ORIGINALITY
I hereby declare that this Summer Internship Project is my own work and that to the best of my
knowledge and belief, it reproduces no material previously published or written that has been
accepted for the award of any other degree of diploma, except where due acknowledgement has
been made in the next.
(SHRIMOYEE GHOSH)
Enrollment No. : 2017138
Date :
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Annexure- C
Date: ………….
Signature
Name
Designation
Organization seal
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Annexure- D
CERTIFICATE
This is to certify that Ms. SHRIMOYEE GHOSH PGDM (2017-19 Batch) a student of Institute
of Technology and Science has undertaken the project on “Project Title”. The project has been
carried out by the student in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the award of PGDM,
under my guidance and supervision.
Date:
(Signature)
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Acknowledgement
This project on Forecasting and Valuation of Persistent Systems Ltd could not see the light
if I had not received immense help from many persons associated directly or indirectly.
Words are inadequate to express the extent of gratitude towards my faculty mentor Dr.
ALOK BHARDWAJ whose valuable suggestions, unconditional help, support and constant
encouragement enabled me to complete this project.
SHRIMOYEE GHOSH
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1. Executive Summary
This project report is based on forecasting and valuation of one of the close competitors of
NIIT Technologies, Persistent Systems Ltd. This report provides the concept of forecasting
and valuation of companies and the logic behind each assumptions of every heads.
Detailed information of NIIT Technologies has been given in the introduction part of the
project report. The company’s vision is Be the First Choice. Mission of the company is
very unique “Enable Enterprise Manage Information Better”. As we know that IT industry
is growing rapidly, so NIIT Technologies also diversifying their business with the objective
of “Deliver exceptional value and industry leading growth”. The company believes its
value the We, NIIT, believe that our growth is the derivative of the growth of each one of
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us. It is the duty of each one of us to espouse and give active effect to the values, motives
and beliefs we state here.
This report contains the detail performance analysis of one of the competitors of NIIT
Technologies which is Persistent Systems Ltd. Forecasting and valuation of Persistent
Systems Ltd. is done along with ratio analysis.
This study is based on descriptive research, as it involves gathering data that describe
events and then organizes, tabulates, depicts an describe the data. Visual aids charts and
graphs has been used to help the reader in understanding the data distribution.
This study also involved ratio analysis of various ratios like profitability ratios, turnover
ratio, growth rate etc. to calculate the financial condition of the company itself and to
compare its performance among its peer groups.
To forecast the next three financial years of the company which FY 2019, FY 2020 and FY
2021, data of last five financial years have been observed. Statement of Profit and Loss,
Balance Sheet, Cash Flow Statement of the company has been taken from the annual report
for the purpose of forecasting and valuation.
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2. List of contents
INTRODUCTION OF FORECASTING AND VALUATION
9-13
INTRODUCTION OF IT INDUSTRY
INTRODUCTION OF NIIT TECHNOLOGIES 14-16
INTRODUCTION OF PERSISTENT SYSTEMS LTD. 17-30
31-35
ANALYSIS OF 3Cs 36
OBJECTIVE 37
38
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
DATA ANALYSIS, OBSERVATIONS AND PRESENTATION 39-63
OF THE ISSUES CONCERNING THE PROJECT WORK
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1. Introduction
Forecasting
Forecasting is a decision making tool which is used by many financial analyst to help in
budgeting, planning and estimating future growth. It is the attempt to predict future outcomes
based on past events and management insight. It is an estimation or projection of likely future
income or revenue and expenses. Based on this forecasting , financial plan of the company can
be constructed that includes saving, investing or planning for obtaining additional income to
supplement his personal finances. Effective forecasting that allows management to make sound
decisions. Financial forecasting can be done to determine sales and derive costs of customer
acquisition. Having accurate and effective forecasting of business finances including current
revenue, revenue potential, and expenses helps to ensure the organization runs smoothly.
Financial forecasting is a critical part of business planning. Even though many such events are
unpredictable, it is very possible to put plans in place that will prevent such events, or, at the
very least, ensure that outcomes from such events are kept to a minimum.
Forecasting is of utmost importance in setting up a new business. It is not an easy task to start a new
business as it is full of uncertainties and risks. With the help of forecasting the promoter can find out
whether he can succeed in the new business; whether he can face the existing competition; what is the
possibility of creating demand for the proposed product etc. Proper forecasting will help to minimise the
role of luck or chance in determining business success or failure. A successful promoter is also the
prophet of economic conditions.
The importance of forecasting can’t be ignored in estimating the financial requirements of a concern.
Efficient utilisation of capital is a delicate issue before the management. No business can survive without
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adequate capital. But adequacy of either fixed or working capital depends entirely on sound financial
forecasting.
Financial estimates can be calculated in the light of probable sales and cost thereof.
The correctness of management decisions to a great extent depends upon accurate forecasting.
Success in business:
The accurate forecasting of sales helps to procure necessary raw materials on the basis of which many
business activities are undertaken. The accurate sales forecasting becomes the basis for several other
budgets. In the absence of accurate sales forecasting, it is difficult to decide as to how much production
should be done.
Thus, to a great extent, the budgets of other departments depend upon the compilations based on the
sales forecasts and the accuracy of these budgets also depends upon correctness of sales forecasting.
Thus, the success of a business unit depends on the accurate forecasting by the various departments.
Complete Control:
Forecasting provides the information which helps in the achievement of effective control. The managers
become aware of their weaknesses during forecasting and through implementing better effective
control they can overcome these weaknesses.
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Co-Operation and co-ordination:
Forecasting is not one man’s job. It needs proper co-ordination of all departmental heads in a company.
Thus, by bringing participation of all concerned in the process of forecasting, team spirit and co-
ordination is automatically encouraged.
Judgement forecasting (gut feeling) : Judgement forecasting uses only intuition and
experience. Judgement forecasting is best use where there is little or no historical
data such as new product launches, competitor actions or new growth plans.
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Valuation
Valuation is the process of determining the current worth of an asset or a company. An analyst
placing a value on a company looks at the company's management, the composition of its capital
structure, the prospect of future earnings, and the market value of assets. There are many
techniques used for doing a valuation which are:
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): The DCF analysis is the most thorough way to value a
company. It estimates the attractiveness of an investment opportunity. DCF analyses use
future free cash flow projections and discounts them, using a required annual rate, to
arrive at present value estimates. A present value estimate is then used to evaluate the
potential for investment. If the value arrived at through DCF analysis is higher than the
current cost of the investment, the opportunity may be a good one.
Dividend Discount Model (DDM) : It is used to calculate true value of firm based on the
dividend paid to the shareholder. It is a procedure for valuing a stock's price
by discounting predicted dividends to the present value. If the value obtained from the
DDM is higher than the current trading price of shares, then the stock is undervalued.
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approach, with similar logic and advantages.
Residual income = Net Income − Equity Charge ; Equity Charge = Equity Capital x Cost
of Equity
V0 = BV0 +∑𝑚−1
𝑡=1 [RIt/(1+r)t + Tm/(1+r)m-1] ; Tm= RIm/ (r-g)
Asset Based Model : An asset-based approach is a type of business valuation that focuses
on a company's net asset value (NAV), or the fair-market value (FMV), of its total assets
minus its total liabilities to determine what it would cost to recreate the business.
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2. Industry profile with data and source :
Introduction
The global sourcing market in India continues to grow at a higher pace compared to the IT-BPM
industry. India is theleading sourcing destination across the world, accounting for approximately
55 per cent market share of the US$ 185-190 billion global services sourcing business in 2017-
18. Indian IT & ITeS companies have set up over 1,000 global delivery centres in about 80
countries across the world.
More importantly, the industry has led the economic transformation of the country and altered
the perception of India in the global economy. India's cost competitiveness in providing IT
services, cost savings of 60–70 per cent over source countries, continues to be the mainstay of its
Unique Selling Proposition (USP) in the global sourcing market. However, India is also gaining
prominence in terms of intellectual capital with several global IT firms setting up their
innovation centres in India.
India has become the digital capabilities hub of the world with around 75 per cent of global
digital talent present in the country.
Market Size
The internet industry in India is likely to double to reach US$ 250 billion by 2020, growing to
7.5 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP). The number of internet users in India is expected
to reach 730 million by 2020, supported by fast adoption of digital technology, according to a
report by National Association of Software and Services Companies (NASSCOM).
Indian IT exports increased to US$ 126 billion in FY18 while domestic revenues (including
hardware) advanced to US$ 41 billion.
Indian IT and BPM industry is expected to grow to US$ 350 billion by 2025 and BPM is
expected to account for US$ 50-55 billion out of the total revenue.
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Total spending on IT by banking and security firms in India is expected to grow 8.6 per cent
year-on-year to US$ 7.8 billion by 2017.
India’s Personal Computer (PC) shipment advanced 11.4 per cent year-on-year to 9.56 million
units in 2017 on the back of rise in the quantum of large projects.
Revenue from digital segment is expected to comprise 38 per cent of the forecasted US$ 350
billion industry revenue by 2025.
Investments/ Developments
Indian IT's core competencies and strengths have attracted significant investments from major
countries. The computer software and hardware sector in India attracted cumulative Foreign
Direct Investment (FDI) inflows US$ 29.825 billion from April 2000 to December 2017,
according to data released by the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP).
Leading Indian IT firms like Infosys, Wipro, TCS and Tech Mahindra, are diversifying their
offerings and showcasing leading ideas in blockchain, artificial intelligence to clients using
innovation hubs, research and development centres, in order to create differentiated offerings.
Some of the major developments in the Indian IT and ITeS sector are as follows:
Nasscom has launched an online platform which is aimed at up-skilling over 2 million
technology professionals and skilling another 2 million potential employees and students.
Revenue growth in the BFSI vertical reached nearly 9 per cent y-o-y in the fourth quarter
of 2017-18.
As of March 2018, there were over 1,140 GICs operating out of India.
Private Equity (PE)/Venture Capital (VC) investments in India's IT & ITeS sector
reached US$ 7.6 billion during April-December 2017.
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Government Initiatives
Some of the major initiatives taken by the government to promote IT and ITeS sector in India are
as follows:
As a part of Union Budget 2018-19, NITI Aayog is going to set up a national level
programme that will enable efforts in AI* and will help in leveraging AI* technology for
development works in the country.
The Government of India is going to explore new opportunities in various sectors such as
providing BPO service from home, digital healthcare and agriculture to achieve the target
of making India a US$ 1 trillion digital economy.
Road Ahead
India is the topmost offshoring destination for IT companies across the world. Having proven its
capabilities in delivering both on-shore and off-shore services to global clients, emerging
technologies now offer an entire new gamut of opportunities for top IT firms in India. Export
revenue of the industry is expected to grow 7-9 per cent year-on-year to US$ 135-137 billion in
FY19.
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NIIT TECHNOLOGIES
INTRODUCTION
NIIT Technologies adheres to major global benchmarks and standards, having secured the ISO
9001:2000 certifications and the ISO:27001 Information Security Management accreditation and
follows global standards of development. It has been assessed at Level 5 of SEI CMMi version
1.2. The business process outsourcing (BPO) arm conforms to the highest quality standards such
as COPC and Six Sigma. Its data center operations are assessed at the international ISO 20000 IT
management standards.
Focused on Digital Services, the Company is helping businesses design agile, scalable and
digital operating models.
FOUNDED 2004
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REVENUE INR 2,991.4 Crores (FY18)
WEBSITE www.niit-tech.com
We, NIIT, believe that our growth is the derivative of the growth of each one of us. It is the duty
of each one of us to espouse and give active effect to the values, motives and beliefs we state
here
NIIT IS PEOPLE
We have positive regard for each one of us. We will foster career-building by creating
opportunities that demand learning, thinking and innovation from each one of us. We expect
each of us to contribute to the process of organisation building and thus derive pride, loyalty and
emotional ownership.
We recognise the necessity of making mistakes and risk-taking when it contributes to the
learning, innovation and growth of each one of us.
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NIIT IS QUALITY AND VALUE
Each of us will ensure that in any association with society, society benefits substantially more
than:
NIIT IS A MISSION
We will grow in the recognition and respect we command, through pioneering and leading in the
effective deployment of technology and know-how. We will seek to play a key-role in the
directions and deployment of technology and know-how for the benefit of mankind.
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SERVICES PROVIDED BY NIIT TECHNOLOGIES
DIGITAL SERVICES
Digital technology solutions are transforming the world as customer expectations grow and
budgets tighten. Enterprises are adopting ‘Big Data’-driven decision models, customers are
receiving personalized product and service recommendations, and time-to-market continues to
shrink. Evolving technologies like augmented reality, virtual reality, artificial intelligence,
robotics, and data analytics are offering new revenue streams and distinct opportunities for richer
insights. NIIT Technologies partners with you in this transition to the digital world.
Digital services stack enables businesses to strategize, build, and leverage evolving technologies
and create market-ready solutions with radical benefits. Our vertical focus on Travel and
Transportation, Insurance, and Wealth Management, allows us to leverage our industry and
digital expertise to deliver effective and emotionally empathetic experiences to our clients.
Through our Digital E3 approach, we prioritize end user experience and build next-gen digital
solutions focused on select verticals to generate maximum value.
NIIT Technologies’ RPA delivery framework enables organizations to create a fast, accurate,
cost-effective, and round-the-clock virtual workforce for various operations— leading to
operational excellence. We have proven experience in helping organizations successfully
implement and create an effective strategy for RPA deployment.
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INFRASTRUCTURE AND MANAGEMENT SERVICES
NIIT Technologies brings in-depth experience in developing and managing enterprise systems of
various Fortune 1000 companies and offers scalable, end-to-end custom solutions. We have deep
expertise in:
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Utilizing Global, Agile, Continuous Delivery and Lean Principles to Deliver Solutions Quickly
and with Least Wastage
The combination of methodologies, processes, culture, domain understanding, and solutions
together provide desired business outcomes with high operational efficiency and faster time-to-
market.
Application Development Services to define, design, and build solutions that meet your business needs.
This includes Global Agile Services and Continuous Delivery Services.
Application Management Services to deliver support services, resulting in higher service levels and
optimization using Lean principles. This includes Application Modernization Services.
Value-added Independent Testing Solutions
TESTING SERVICES
NIIT Technologies understands the significance of reliability, high resilience, and predictability
of applications and products for enterprises, and their need for a business assurance partner.
NIIT Technologies Testing Services deliver high quality and efficient testing through proven
strategies of business process-centric testing streams, a common testing phase across applications
services tracks, continuous integration and validation of production ready scrum outputs across
DevOps and agile programs, and business outcome analytics.
They continuously improve testing efficiency and effectiveness by leveraging their domain,
frameworks, tools, and methodologies, thereby reducing time and effort spent on testing and
achieving the desired business outcomes.
NIIT Technologies recognizes the power of geospatial technology and strongly believes that
Geographic Information System (GIS) benefits must permeate all industries and organizations,
enabling businesses across verticals to make informed, location-specific decisions. In an effort to
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turn this vision into reality, we have continually serviced the needs of global GIS markets
through our focused, innovative, and efficient services in all areas of spatial technology and
applications.
They globally serve the following industries with our quality products and committed services:
Utilities
Land Records
Transportation
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OPERATIONS OF NIIT TECHNOLOGIES
NIIT Technologies, have built their reputation for delivering excellence to some of the world’s
leading airlines, airports, travel distribution, and surface transportation companies with strategic
IT initiatives, which impact both their top and bottom line.
They have focused offerings such as application development and maintenance, application
managed services, digital services, infrastructure management services, business process
services, and testing services.
Their domain depth is augmented by innovative products and frameworks (for Revenue
Accounting, In-flight Catering, Cargo Ground Handling), which enable them to address industry-
specific pain points for clients.
They offer solutions and services to meet the needs of following industry segments:
Airlines
Airports
Travel Distribution
Surface transport
NIIT Technologies, with deep and enduring relationships with global insurance players across
geographies and over two decades of experience in providing a range of technology services,
offers an entire suite of IT, BPM, and digital services that caters to the evolving needs of the
insurance industry.
They help insurers modernize legacy systems, leverage digital legacy integration services,
reengineer business processes to enhance business agility, improve operational efficiency, reduce
costs, and improve margins, thus injecting new efficiencies into their systems, helping them
monetize new channels, and preparing them for changing business imperatives.
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MANUFACTURING AND DISTRIBUTION
Manufacturing companies are evaluated based on their resilience in the industry. This means
greater emphasis on business efficiencies, but given the labor-intensive nature of the industry,
efficiencies based on technology alone are insufficient. A strategy that balances global
technology with local innovation is crucial for growth. Nobody understands this better than NIIT
Technologies. With their experience in understanding both technological and cultural nuances,
theye have helped their global clientele make sound decisions about the deployment of
automated, transparent, and integrated information management systems across their value chain.
At NIIT Technologies, they provide focused offerings, such as application development and
maintenance, application managed services, digital services, infrastructure management services,
mobility, and testing services.
NIIT Technologies can help banks and financial service firms adopt this new digital operating
model, along with its services, solutions, and alliances. With the right blend of industry and
technology expertise, they help your business transform faster while remaining profitable.
MEDIA
NIIT Technologies provides media companies with comprehensive, media-specific business and
IT solutions consulting.
NIIT Technologies has broad experience with both publishing (newspapers, magazines, and
digital services) and broadcasting. They deliver front- and back-office solutions, enhancing
competitiveness across the value chain of their operations. NIIT Technologies will help us
increase operational efficiency, stabilize costs, and increase profits.
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CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY
CSR engagement of NIIT Tech for employees is focused on four areas: education, employability,
infrastructure enhancement, and local initiatives. The company supports NIIT University, a non-
profit institution, with a view to providing quality education for meritorious students. The
primary objective of the University is to promote learning and knowledge, and to improve the
quality of higher education around research, technology, and sustainability. NIIT Technologies
also works closely with institutions like NIIT Foundation, Noida Deaf Society, and other
partners to scale CSR initiatives.
NIITians are encouraged to volunteer with various NGOs affiliated to the NIIT Foundation to
work with underprivileged sections of society.
CSR Leave
NIIT Technologies supports and encourages NIITians who participate and contribute to social
causes by providing them four days of paid CSR leave so they can freely devote their time and
effort to supporting NGOs of their choice.
I-give Scheme
This platform allows NIITians to volunteer and financially support various initiatives for
marginalized and underprivileged sections of the society. For example, NIITians have been
actively involved in supporting the rehabilitation of people affected by natural disasters like the
Chennai and Jammu and Kashmir floods. NIITians have also generously volunteered to teach
students in the government schools and work with youth at various slum clusters to make them
employment-ready.
Shiksha
In collaboration with NIIT Foundation, NIIT Technologies has recently launched a CSR
initiative called “Shiksha,” a Career Development Centre at Dankaur village in Greater Noida.
Shiksha intends to impart education, employability training, and digital literacy to the youth of
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Dankaur and nearby villages. It offers industry-specific courses including Showroom Retail,
Food & Beverages, Data Entry, and BPO. Soon it will introduce courses like Basics of IT,
Advanced IT, Social Networking and English Foundation.
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AWARDS AND RECOGNITIONS
Awards and accolades have been an important part of the NIIT Technologies success story. The
company has been recognized in several important ways at the national and global levels, related
to the company's industry performance, its leadership in the area of outsourcing, its headway in
specific industry verticals, and its robust HR practices.
Key Milestones
FY'18
Conferred with Aegis Graham Bell Award for “Innovation in Cloud” category
Esri India won Aegis Graham Bell Award for “Innovative Enterprise Solutions” category
Esri India recognized as ‘Best Smart Cities Solution Provider in GIS’ at the ET Now CSR Global
Leadership Awards
Won EE Employee Engagement award in UK
Conferred with Partner of the Year for Quality by Aflac ,Leader in voluntary insurance sales at the
worksite in US and leading provider of medical and cancer insurance and insures 1 in 4 households in
Japan.
Felicitated with International Airport Review Award in Terminal Operations
Won HRO Today award for Excellence in Rewards & Benefits
Conferred with Asia Pacific HRM Congress awards for "Organization with innovative HR practices"
Gold winner of the 2017 ITSMA Marketing Excellence Awards
Received 'Automation Project of the Year' award from Global Sourcing Association - EU and India
Felicitated with BW HR Excellence awards 2017 for Change Management
NIIT Technologies Helps Companies to Enhance Ancillary Revenue and Customer Experience:ISG
Briefing Notes
FY'17
Included in Vendor Landscape: Continuous Testing Services For Agile And DevOps
Environments, published report by Forrester Research
Positioned as a ‘High Achiever’ within the NelsonHall Next Generation Application Outsourcing
NEAT Matrix
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NIIT Technologies business outcome-based engagement with one of its clients was featured as a
case study in a recent Gartner report “Adopt Agile Microsourcing for Innovation Projects to
Drive Digital Success”, 22 March 2017, DD Mishra
Awarded ‘Dream Companies to work for’ for Talent Management by Times Ascent in
association with World HRD Congress
Won Jury’s Choice Award for ‘Compensation Benefits Leadership’ under BennyAwards2017 by
World HRD Congress
Conferred with ‘Best Employer Brand 2017’ for Best HR Strategy in line with Business, by the
Employer Branding Institute in association with World HRD Congress
Conferred with the industry’s most prestigious League Awards- Total Rewards by People
matters for “Best Contribution in Holistic Recognition”
Won HR Innovation Awards for ' Best contribution to Organization Culture ' and 'Best
Rewards & Recognition program' by HT Mint Connect and The Guild in association with
CNBC TV18
ESRI India wins the Prestigious Indian Express IT Award for IT Innovation in Enterprise
Won Aecus Innovation award for delivering ‘Uninterrupted Business and IT operations at
Multiple Airports during Unprecedented Crisis’ for Airports Authority of India (AAI)
NIIT Technologies is Ahead of the Automation and Analytics Curve : ISG Briefing
Notes
Ranked #5 in customer satisfaction amongst top 27 outsourcing service providers in the
UK by Whitelane and PA consulting Group
Esri India conferred with Technoviti Award for Enterprise GIS platform for BFSI
Identified as "Leader" in NelsonHall's NEAT vendor evaluation for Digital
Transformation Services
Received Asia Outsourcing Excellence Awards for Operational Excellence & Quality and
BPO Innovation of the Year
Recognized as top performing IT stock on Bloomberg Intelligence’s Global IT Services
Commercial Competitive Peers index
Secured ‘Best Service Provider Award’ from DB Systel, subsidiary of German Railways
HRO Today Services and Technology Awards for Excellence in Business Partnership in
US
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‘RB Investor Communication’ award in the ‘Technology – Emerging Corporates’
category.
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Persistent Systems Ltd
Persistent Systems Ltd.was incorporated on 16 May 1990 as Persistent Systems Private Limited.
It was subsequently converted into a public Limited company on 17 September 2010 with the
name Persistent Systems Limited and a new certificate of incorporation was issued on 28
September 2007 from the RoC.
Shares in the company were listed on the National Stock Exchange of India in March 2010. The
operations of Nagpur-based Infospectrum India Private, an outsourced private development of
US company Infospectrum, were taken over by Persistent in February 2011.
Persistent Systems Ltd. build software that drives the business of our customers; enterprises
and software product companies with software at the core of their digital transformation
Purpose of Persistent Systems Ltd. focused on delivering the best in class innovative solutions to
its customers and partners.
INDUSTRY IT SERVICES
FOUNDED 1960
Dr. Anand Deshpande (Founder, Chairman
FOUNDER
and Managing Director)
HEADQUARTER PUNE, INDIA
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WEBSITE www.persistent.com
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SERVICES PROVIDED BY PERSISTENT SYSTEMS Ltd.
Whether Persistent is partnering with a health and life tech innovator or a care
delivery system, they stay sharply focused on the software driven transformations in
Healthcare and Life Sciences.
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Partner of Persistent Systems Ltd
Persistent Systems Ltd and IBM team up with Mount Sinai for Health Hackathon. Other
partners of Persistent are :
Oracle, USAA, IBM, Amazon Web Service, Dell Boomi, FIDO Alliance, Data Stax, Google
Cloud Platform, Microsft, Outsystems etc.
2017: Persistent Systems Acquires PARX – Platinum Salesforce Consulting Partner in DACH
Market
2016: Persistent Systems Launches Specialized Engineering Services for IBM Watson
IoT Platform
2016: Persistent Systems and REACHNet to Demonstrate Innovative Research Specific
Informatics Infrastructure at HIMSS 2016 Conference
2016: Persistent acquires PRM Cloud Solutions – a salesforce consulting partner, engaged in
building digital experiences on Salesforce1 cloud platform.
2016: Persistent product arm Accelerite purchases Citrix' Products CloudPlatform (Based on
Apache Cloud Stack) and CloudPortal Business manager
2015: Persistent Systems completed the acquisition of the digital content management solutions
business of US-based Akumina.
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AWARDS AND RECOGNITIONS
Persistent Systems amongst the leading players in ‘Zinnov Zones 2017 – Digital
Services’ Report
Persistent Systems cited as a Leader among BPM Service Providers By The Forrester
Wave™: BPM Service Providers, Q4 2016 Report
Persistent Systems amongst the leading players for Enterprise and Consumer Software in
‘Zinnov Zones 2017 – Product Engineering Services’ Report
Persistent Systems recognized for IoT Technology competency in ‘Zinnov Zones 2017 –
IoT Technology Services’ Report
Featured in Forbes India Magazine – With an eye on the cloud, Persistent Systems
continue to innovate
Business Today Names Persistent Systems’ Dr. Anand Deshpande to India’s “Best CEOs
List”
Beacon Award finalist recognition at the 2017 IBM Partnership Leadership Conference
in Las Vegas
Winner for the Golden Peacock National Training Award for the year 2018
Ranked amongst the 2018 training top 125 organizations
Recognized fifth time in a row as the Best Corporate University at the 2017 TISS
LeapVault Awards
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3. Analysis of 3Cs –
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4. Objectives of the project
I. To forecast next 3 years of Persistent Systems Ltd.
II. To make valuation of Persistent Systems Ltd.
III. To analyse the performance of Persistent Systems Ltd.
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5. Methodology of the project:
→ This project is based on the secondary data collected from the Annual Report,
Transcripts of Persistent Systems Ltd available in the internet.
→ For forecasting different methods like CAGR, Trend Analysis, Average trend of
past three years, etc.
→ Assumptions has been taken based on the information , decisions , facts disclosed
in the Transcript of last 4 quarters and trend of historical data.
→ Valuation the company has been done by using Discounted Cash Flow model and
Net Asset Value.
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6. Data Analysis, Observations and presentation of the issues
concerning the project work:
HISTORICAL: The main source of revenue of Persistent Systems Ltd is from Software
services. Though revenue from operation is growing constantly but the percentage of the
growth is fluctuating in nature. The growth rates of 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018 are
28.9%, 13.3%, 22.3%, 24.5% and 5.4% respectively. The growth rate from 2017 to 2018
has decreased because in financial year 2017-18
Quarter-1 : Due to rupee appreciation, the revenue was INR 7,280 million with a growth
of 0.1% QOQ and 3.7% YOY.
Quarter -2: the revenue was Rs.7613 million with a growth of 4.6% QoQ due to the
acquisition of PARX . PARX is a European acquisition from a few quarters ago which
showed good growth in this quarter and has also shown a very healthy pipeline build out
for business in ensuing quarters
Quarter-3 : The revenue in rupee terms was Rs. 7,919 million with a growth of 4% QOQ
due growth in service revenue by (2.7%) and billing rate
Quarter-4: There is a negative growth in Q4, which is -5%.The overall performance for
this quarter was impacted by the de-growth in the IP led revenue
They expected more growth in digital business but it resulted in 30% growth
Some contracts also ended during the FY18, which impacted the growth of revenue as
well.
FORECASTED: From the transcript of quarter 4 , it is found that an audience asked a
question that whether they can expect a double digit growth or not?
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Dr. Anand Deshpande, Chairman & Managing Director, Persistent Systems replied that
they do have a few new IPs that they have brought into the system. If they are able to do
extra growth on that, they are expecting on that. That should generate higher IP revenue.
He also added that they could have executed a lot better on many of the digital projects
that they started out, but they could have been doing much more on that .
Since, he did not say clearly that a double digit growth is expected in the next year but he
also stated that there will be growth in the revenue as they are going to execute some
projects which will generate revenue, so it is forecasted that the revenue from operation
will grow by 6.2% in 2019, 6.3% in 2020 and 6.4% in 2021.
28.9%
24.5%
22.3%
13.3%
40
Other Income:
The main component of other income is foreign exchange gain which is difficult to
calculate, so figure of last year is considered for the next three financial years .
Compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) is used for forecasting the interest income
financial assets carried at amortized cost under the head of other income to calculate the
annual growth rate of the interest income, as interest income depends upon market
volatility.
Other heads of other income are:
Dividend income from investments: It is difficult to predict the dividend income from
investment as nothing is mentioned where the investment is made.
Profit on sale of fixed assets (net) : It is difficult to predict the sales price of the asset,so
profit on sale of fixed asset is also difficult to predict.
Other expenses:
This head includes-
Travelling and conveyance , Electricity expenses, Internet link expenses ,
Communication expenses , Recruitment expenses , Training and seminars , Royalty
expenses , Purchase of software licenses and support expenses , rent etc which are all
driven by the growth of revenue. So they are forecasted as percentage of revenue.
Provision for doubtful receivables is forecasted based on Trade receivables.
Repairs and maintenance is forecasted based on the percentage of net block of assets.
Provision for diminution in value of non-current investments is forecasted as a percentage
of non-current investment
41
Cost of Professional: as nothing is disclosed in the financial report of the company
relating the cost of professional and the historical data are fluctuating in nature, so it is
forecasted as the average of last three years.
Finance cost: As finance cost is the constituent of interest expenses and Loan schedule
is not provided in the Annual Report of the company, so the value of last year is
considered for future.
Depreciation:
Tangible Assets-
Ammortization:
Intangible assets:
Addition is based on revenue
Amortization is calculated on straight line method
42
Tax expenses
Any company will try to reduce its tax expenses in order to earn more profit, so it is
assumed that the tax expenses of Persistent Systems will also go down by 1% in every
year.
The operating profit margin of the company is ₹2629 million in 2013, ₹3422.86 million in 2014,
₹3899.72 million in 2015, ₹3726.46 million in 2016, ₹4129.23 million in 2017, ₹4292.61 million
in 2018 , ₹4,235.06 million in 2019, ₹3,064.42 million in 2020 and ₹1,012.83 million in 2021.
Though there is a growth in operating profit margin from 2013 to 2018 but the rate of growth is
declining. From 2019 the operating profit margin started decreases due to expiry of some
contracts and increase in expenses.
Net profit of the company is ₹ 1,876.18 million in 2013, ₹ 2,500.04 million in 2014, ₹ 2,906.31
million in 2015 ₹2802 million in 2016 ₹ 3,251.26 million in 2017 ₹3230.88 million in 2018,
₹3187.56 million in 2019 ₹ 2,337.11 million in 2020 and ₹782.57 million in 2021.
B. Balance Sheet
ASSETS
Non-Current Assets
Persistent Systems Ltd has land freehold, leasehold land, vehicle, building,
computers, office equipments, Plant and equipment, furniturefixtures, vehicles
and leasehold improvement as intangible fixed assets.
43
Depreciation schedule is prepared for calculating depreciation of those items.
Depreciation is charged on straight line method as mentioned in the financial
reports of the company for future prediction.
Then net block is calculated for this head which is the difference of gross block
and accumulated depreciation.
Gross block is the summation of opening balance of the asset , addition of assets,
assets taken over on acquisition of entities, addition through business combination
and effect of foreign transaction, then disposal of assets is subtracted to ascertain
the gross block.
Persistent Systems Ltd. has software, acquired contract right as other intangible
asset
. Ammortization schedule has been prepared for calculating the amortization
charged against the intangible assets and the net block of the intangible assets.
44
Non-Current Financial Assets
→ Loans : Since there is no loan schedule available in the annual report to project
for the future , so amount of last year is taken for projecting the value of next
three years.
→ Deferred tax assets: Deferred tax assets is the difference of calculation of tax
payable according to the accounting principles and the tax payable according to
the Income Tax Act. This difference is difficult to predict , so value of last year is
taken for projecting the value of next three years.
→ Other non-current assets : The main constituent of the other non-current assets
is capital advancement, which is difficult to predict. So value of last year is taken
for projecting the value of next three years.
45
Current Asset
→ Trade receivables :
For calculating the future trade receivables, trade receivable period has been
calculated, which is calculated as
It is assumed that with increase in revenue , business will expand, so the number
of days of trade receivable may get over by 2 days every year. The trade
receivables period is assumed as 59.76 days in 2019, 61.76 days in 2020 and
63.76 days in 2021.
→ Investment
Since nothing is mentioned about the future investment, then we can predict the
future investment based on revenue, or can be kept as constant. Here, investment
is forecasted as the percentage of revenue.
46
→ Loan
Last year’s value has been taken for the projection of next three years, due
unavailability of information.
Cash and cash equivalent has been forecasted based on the calculation made in
the cash flow statement to derive the closing cash balance.
The equity share capital of Persistent Systems Ltd. is ₹400 millions in 2013 and 2014,
₹800 million in 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018. So it is assumed that ₹800 million will be the
equity share capital in the next three years i.e 2019 , 2020 and 2021 as there is no
information relating to the issue of bonus share in future.
Other equity
Other equity of the company is ₹9783 million in 2013, ₹11823 million in 2014, ₹13255
million in 2015, ₹15778 million in 2016, ₹18193 million in 2017 and ₹20472 million in
2018. All other components of other equity remains the same, only profit of respected
forecasted years are added to find the value of other equity in the projected years 2019,
2020, 2021.
47
Non-current liabilities
→ Borrowings
Borrowings of the company during the last 5 financial years 2013, 2014, 2015,
2016, 2017 and 2018 is very negligible and it is very difficult to predict the
company’s future borrowings as no such plans or information of future
borrowings is mentioned in any financial reports. So the value of last financial
year i.e 2018 is taken for projecting the future years.
→ Provisions
Current liabilities
→ Trade payables
For calculating the future trade payables, trade payable period has been
calculated, which is calculated as
48
It is assumed that with increase in revenue , business will expand, so the number
of days of trade payable may get over by 2 days every year. So it is forecasted that
the trade payables period will be 21.3 days in 2019, 23.3 in 2020 and 25.3 days in
2021.
The future trade payables is calculated as
So the trade payables is ₹1741 million in 2019, ₹2411 million in 2020 and ₹2685
million in 2021
→ Provision
49
C. Cash Flow Statement
Cash Flow Statement of Persistent Systems Ltd. has been prepared by linking all the
items of the three heads which are operating activities, investing activities and financing
activities from the Statement of Profit and Loss and Balance Sheet.
Operating activities
In operating activities all non-cash expenses like depreciation and amortization expenses,
provision for doubtful debts, bad debts, advances written off, Provision for doubtful
deposits and advances, Provision for diminution in value of non-current investments,
Excess provision in respect of earlier years written back, Provision for doubtful deposits
written back expenses related to financing activities like finance cost, and expenses and
loss related to investing activities like loss on sale of fixed assets are added to profit
before tax and incomes and gain related to investing activities like gain on fair valuation
of mutual funds, profit on sale of investments, profit on sale of fixed assets and income
related to financing activities like dividend income are subtracted from profit before tax.
Net change in working capital is obtained by adjusting the changes in current assets and
current liabilities, i.e. increase in current liabilities is added and decrease in current
liabilities is subtracted, whereas increase in current assets is subtracted and decrease in
current assets is added.
Cash flow from operations is obtained by deducting the tax expenses from net change in
working capital, which is ₹3297.24 in 2013, ₹1291.77 in 2014, ₹1119.10 in 2015,
₹1594.62 in 2016, ₹2317.36 in 2017, ₹640.03 in 2018, ₹8075.66 in 2019, ₹3332.55 in
2020 and ₹2423.79 in 2021.
50
Investment activities
In investment activities all the disposal of assets and profit on disposal of assets are added and
all the capital expenditures, impairment of goodwill and loss on sale of assets are deducted to
calculate the cash flow / (used in) from investment activities, which is ₹(801.61) million in 2013,
₹(927.52) million in 2014, ₹(1075) million in 2015, ₹(1582.53) million in 2016, ₹(2263.21)
million in 2017, ₹ 255.86 million in 2018, ₹(1037.82) million in 2019, ₹(1100.31) million in
2020 and ₹(1162.66) million in 2021.
Financing activities
In the financing activities new equity raised is added and increase and decrease in
borrowings and provisions are adjusted to calculate the cash flow / (used in) from
financing activities, which is ₹31 million in 2014, ₹415.6 million in 2015, ₹10.6 million
in 2016, ₹16.5 million in 2017, ₹8.5 million in 2018, ₹3.7 million in 2019, ₹7.4 million in
2020 and ₹7.8 million in 2021.
51
D. Ratio Analysis
EBITDA Margin
EBITDA Margin
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
EBITDA Margin
52
EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin is the ratio of Earnings before Interest and Taxes to net revenue - earned. It
is a measure of a company's profitability on sales over a specific time period. This
indicator gives information on a company's earnings ability.
EBIT Margin
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
EBIT Margin
53
PBT Margin
The profit before tax margin is the ratio of a company's pre-tax earnings to its total sales.
The higher the pretax profit margin, the more profitable the company. The trend of the
pretax profit margin is as significant as the figure itself. It indicates the direction of the
company's profitability.
PBT Margin
25%
20%
15%
5%
0%
54
PAT Margin
Profit after-tax margin is a financial performance ratio calculated by dividing net income
by net sales. A company's after-tax profit margin is significant because it shows how well
a company controls its costs. A high after-tax profit margin generally indicates that a
company runs efficiently, providing more value, in the form of profits, to shareholders.
PAT Margin
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
PAT Margin
4%
2%
0%
55
Revenue growth rate
It is the percentage increase or decrease of current revenue over its previous year.
Revenue growth rate = ((revenue of current year - revenue of previous year)/ revenue of
previous year) * 100
Revenue
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1 Revenue
0.05
0
Return on equity
The return on equity ratio or ROE is a profitability ratio that measures the ability of a
firm to generate profits from its shareholders investments in the company. In other words,
the return on equity ratio shows how much profit each rupee of common stockholders’
equity generates.
Return on equity = Net Income/ Shareholder’s equity
Return on Equity
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05 Return on Equity
0
56
Fixed asset turnover ratio
The fixed asset turnover ratio is an efficiency ratio that measures a company’s return on their
investment in property, plant, and equipment by comparing net sales with fixed assets. In other
words, it calculates how efficiently a company is a producing sales with its machines and
equipment. Investors and creditors use this formula to understand how well the company is
utilizing their equipment to generate sales.
Fixed asset turnover ratio = Net Saales/ Average of total fixed assets
57
Debt to equity ratio
Debt/ Equity
0.003
0.003
0.002
0.002
0.001
0.000
58
Debt to EBITDA ratio
Debt/EBITDA is a measure of a company's ability to pay off its incurred debt. The ratio
gives the investor the approximate amount of time that would be needed to pay off all
debt, ignoring the factors of interest, taxes , depreciation and amortization.
Debt/ EBITDA
0.008
0.007
0.006
0.005
0.004
0.003
0.002 Debt/ EBITDA
0.001
0.000
59
Ratio analysis among the competitors of Persistent Systems Ltd.
The price-earnings ratio (P/E ratio) is the ratio for valuing a company that measures its current
share price relative to its per-share earnings. The price-earnings ratio is also sometimes known as
the price multiple or the earnings multiple. The price-earnings ratio indicates the amount an
investor can expect to invest in a company in order to receive one rupee of that company’s
earnings.
80.00
60.00
40.00
20.00
0.00
Persistent NIIT Hexaware Mindtree
System Technologies
60
Price to sales ratio
Price to sales ratio (PSR ratio) indicates how much investor paid for a share compared to
the sales a company generated per share. It measures the value placed on sales by
the market. A higher ratio means that the market is willing to pay for each rupee of
annual sales. In general, the lower the P/S, the better the value is. However, the value of
the ratio varies across industries.
Price/Sales
0.0800
0.0700
0.0600
0.0500
0.0400
0.0300
0.0200
0.0100
0.0000
Persistent System NIIT Technologies Hexaware Mindtree
Price/Sales
61
Enterprise value to EBIT ratio
EV / EBIT, is a measure of the cost of a stock which is more frequently valid for
comparisons across companies than the price to earnings ratio. Like the P/E ratio, the EV
/ EBITDA ratio is a measure of how expensive a stock is. It measures the price (in the
form of enterprise value) an investor pays for the benefit of the company's cash flow (in
the form of EBITDA).
Enterprise value to EBIT ratio = enterprise value/ EBIT
Enterprise value/EBIT
16.00
14.00
12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
-
Persistent NIIT Hexaware Mindtree
System Technologies
Enterprise value/EBIT
62
E. Valuation
→ For making the valuation of Persistent Systems Ltd. discounted cash flow model
is prepared where depreciation and amortization expenses are added to net
operating profit after tax and changes in working capital and capital expenditure is
deducted from operating profit after tax to calculate the free flow of cash for the
next three years i.e. 2019, 2020 and 2021.
→ Then total present value of those three years have been calculated for which
weighted average cost of capital is calculated which acts as discounting rate.
→ Weighted Average cost is calculated as ((total equity* cost of equity)/ (total
equity+ total debt))+((total debt*cost of debt)/ (total equity+ total debt))
→ Cost equity is calculated as Risk free rate + Beta(Market return-Risk free rate)
→ Beta is calculated as (covariance of market index and daily price of company)/(
variance of market index)
→ Market return is taken as 7% as calculated by Prof. Aswath Damodaran
→ Risk free rate is taken as 7.9% which is the rate of 10-years old bond.
→ Terminal value is calculated as ((present value of last year*(1+long-term growth
rate))/(weighted average cost of capital- long-term growth rate))
→ Enterprise value is obtained (present value + cash – debt – minority interest)
→ Estimated Value per Share is calculated as (enterprise value/ number of shares)
Valuation of Persistent Systems Ltd. can be done according to NAV method, which is
calculated as [(Total Assets – ( Total Liabilities- Total equities)) / Number of shares].
63
7. Findings and Recommendations for Company adoption and
implementation
After analyzing three statements i.e. Profit and Loss Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash
Flow Statement , Ratio analysis and using two different models of valuations it is found
that
→ Net profit of the company will decrease in future
→ Total non-current assets will increase with the increase in sales
→ Total current assets will also increase in the next 3 years
→ As there will be no issuance of bonus capital , so the equity share capital will
remains constant in the next three years
→ Overall there will be an increase in non-current liabilities and current liabilities
→ There will be an initial increase of Cash flow from operating activities which will
eventually decrease
→ Cash will be used in investment activities in the next 3 years
→ There will be generation of cash from financing activities in the next 3 years
→ It is found that the EBITDA margin ratio, EBIT margin ratio, PBT margin ratio,
PAT margin ratio will decrease in future
→ Growth rate of revenue will remain constant in the next 3 years
→ The ability of a firm to generate profits from its shareholders investments in the
Persistent Systems Ltd will decrease in the next 3 years
→ The efficiency of Persistent Systems Ltd to generate sales by using its fixed assets
will remain same initially but then it will fluctuate
→ Persistent Systems will use constant percentage of debt i.e. 1% of debt will be used
to finance the company in the next 3 years
→ The ability of Persistent Systems Ltd to pay off its incurred debt will increase in the
next three years
64
→ The amount an investor can expect to invest in a company in order to receive one
rupee of that company’s earnings is higher in Mindtree Ltd., then in Hexware and
then in NIIT . Investors of Persistent Systems Ltd will have the lowest expectation
from their company.
→ The value placed on sales by the market is better Hexaware then in NIIT
Technologies, then in Mindtree and then in Persistent Systems Ltd.
→ Persistent Systems Ltd has the most expensive stock price in compare to NIIT
Technologies, Mindtree and Hexaware.
→ According to the Net Asset Value approach the share price is Rs. 398.82
→ According to the DCF model, the share price is Rs. 752.1
8. Conclusion
Performance of Persistent Systems Ltd. is declining as there is decline in the growth rate of
revenue. Though the share price of Persistent Systems Ltd. is much higher but it will fall
eventually if the performance of Persistent remains same. So it is suggested not to invest in
the shares of Persistent Systems Ltd. as the current share price of Persistent Systems Ltd. is
around ₹800 but according to DCF Model of valuation the share price of Persistent should
be ₹ 752.21 and ₹ 398.82 according NAV Approach.
65
9. References
https://www.persistent.com
https://www.niit-tech.com/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IT_service_management
https://www.investopedia.com
https://www.nseindia.com/products/content/equities/equities/equities.htm
https://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/computers-
software/persistentsystems/PS15
https://www.ndtv.com/business/stock/niit-technologies-ltd_niittech
http://www.business-standard.com
66
10. Annexure
EXPENSES
67
PROFIT AND LOSS STATEMENT (FORECASTED) in INR Million.
EXPENSES
68
BALANCE SHEET (HISTORICAL) in INR Million.
ASSETS
Non-current assets
Property, Plant and Equipment 2,800 2,785 3,057 2,968 2,768 2,581
Goodwill - 23 24 78 76 77
Financial assets -
Deferred tax assets (net) 190 261 315 129 306 642
Current assets
Financial assets
Cash and cash equivalents 561 957 1,416 1,400 1,461 1,344
69
Other current assets 434 902 1,035 803 855 1,563
LIABILITIES -
Financial liabilities -
Borrowings 14 32 25 27 22 17
Current liabilities -
Financial liabilities -
Trade payables(dues of micro and
small enterprises 319 434 529 1,599 1,209 1,673
70
BALANCE SHEET (FORECASTED) in INR Million.
ASSETS
Non-current assets
Property, Plant and
Equipment 1,917 1,229 516
Capital work-in-progress 8 8 8
Goodwill 77 77 77
Current assets
Financial assets
71
Other current financial assets 1,010 1,074 1,142
EQUITY AND
LIABILITIES
EQUITY
Equity share capital 800 800 800
72
5,183 6,475 6,179
TOTAL 29,143 31,829 31,373
73
Add: Increase/(decrease) Other financial
liabilities 0.0 0.0 534.6 -81.9 -56.4
Add: Increase/(decrease)Other current
liabilities 671.9 124.6 -157.2 11.2 82.3
Add: Increase/(decrease)Provisions 162.84 544.36 -531.6 167.44 208.42
(Increase)/Decrease Investments -955.2 -548.4 -294.6 414.7 -1416.7
(Increase)/Decrease Trade receivables -651.79 -601.09 -698.64 -618.54 -395.42
(Increase)/Decrease Loans -64.45 -6.72 407.67 -4.88 7.37
(Increase)/Decrease Other current financial
assets 0.0 0.0 -1764.0 -552.1 -442.2
(Increase)/Decrease Current tax assets
(net) 0 0 0 0 0 0
(Increase)/Decrease Other current assets -467.96 -133.15 232.08 -52.07 -708.02
Net Change in Working Capital 0.0 -2018.3 -2331.5 -1461.6 -2390.4 -3902.9
Tax Expenses -933.82 -993.41 -1,077.04 -933.38 -1,081.30
Cash Flow from Operations 3,297.24 1,291.77 1,119.10 1,594.62 2,317.36 640.03
Cash Flow from Investment Activities (801.61) (927.52) (1,075.00) (1,582.53) (2,263.21) 255.86
74
Cash Flow from Financing Activities
add: New equity raised 0 400 0 0 0
Borrowings 17.67 -7.15 2.19 -5.2 -5.16
Cash Flow from Financing Activities 0.0 31.0 415.6 10.6 16.5 8.5
Cash Balance
Opening balance 561.26 956.54 1416.24 1438.95 1509.63
75
Provision for doubtful deposits written back
(net) -23.76 -23.76 0.00
Interest Income -188.69 -222.30 415.86
loss on sale of fixed assets 0.00 0.00 105.57
76
( Increase)/ decrease in loans 0 0 0
(increase)/ decrease in other non-current
financial assets 0.0 0.0 0.0
Interest Income 188.69 222.30 263.89
(increase)/ decrease in Other non-current
assets 0 0 0
Cash Flow from Investment Activities (1,037.82) (1,100.31) (1,162.66)
Cash Balance
Opening balance 2413.97 9,455.50 11,695.11
Net cash Flow 7,041.53 2,239.61 1,268.94
Closing Balance 9,455.50 11,695.11 12,964.05
77
VALUATION in INR Million.
DCF Model
FY19 FY20 FY21
EBIT 4,235.06 3,064.42 1,012.83
Tax rate 0.24 0.23 0.22
Net Operating Profit After Tax 3,229.92 2,367.76 792.70
Depreciation&Ammortization 1,274.69 1,374.08 1,479.73
Changes in working capital 3,890.43 -69.64 -1,196.20
Capital Expenditure 1,570.91 1,669.87 1,776.74
FCF -956.73 2,141.60 1,691.88
PV of
Terminal Growth
Cal. Year year Discount FCF PV of Cash Flows terminal
value Rate
value
FY19 1 0.93 -956.73 -889.37
FY20 2 0.86 2,141.60 1850.66
FY21 3 0.80 1,691.88 1359.10 69022.6 55446.27 5% Long-term
78
Cost of Equity :
(India 10 year
Risk Free Rate (Rf) 7.90% bond rate)
Beta 0.511836656
(Aswath
Market return (Rm) 7% Damodaran)
EXPECTED RETURN
(Ke) 7.578%
Risk free rate +
Beta(Market return-
Risk free rate)
Rf+B(Rm-Rf)
NAV APPROACH
Total Assets 26,588.62
79
RATIO ANALYSIS
Particulars 31-Mar-13 31-Mar-14 31-Mar-15 31-Mar-16 31-Mar-17 31-Mar-18 31-Mar-19 31-Mar-20 31-Mar-21
Profitability
Ratios
EBITDA Margin 26% 26% 24% 20% 19% 19% 16% 12% 7%
EBIT Margin 20% 20% 20% 16% 14% 14% 13% 9% 3%
PBT Margin 20% 20% 20% 16% 14% 14% 13% 9% 3%
PAT Margin 14% 15% 15% 12% 11% 10% 10% 7% 2%
Revenue 28% 17% 20% 24% 6% 6% 6% 6%
Return on Equity 0.18 0.20 0.21 0.17 0.17 0.15 0.14 0.09 0.03
Fixed Asset Turnover Ratio 3.684 4.449 5.284 5.597 5.606 5.605 5.293 5.385
Debt/ Equity 0.001 0.003 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
Debt/ EBITDA 0.004 0.007 0.005 0.006 0.004 0.003 0.003 0.004 0.007
Persistent
System NIIT Technologies Hexaware Mindtree
EPS 40.39 45.6 16.79 11.12
Book value of share (as
on 2nd July, 11:15a.m) 255.52 216.3 49.47 171.93
80