Ship Stability
Ship Stability
Ship Stability
Ch. 13 Probabilistic Damage Stability
Spring 2016
Myung-Il Roh
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Contents
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cL
cL
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A R
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A6 O O
Oil Tankers
B7 O
Chemical Tankers A O O
Gas Carriers B O
B O
B-100 O
Container Carriers
Ro-Ro Ships B O
Passenger Ships
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Maximum
damage
height
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Maximum
damage
height
Maximum
damage
height
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The regulation for subdivision & damage stability are intended to provide
ships with a minimum standard of subdivision.
The degree of subdivision to be provided is to be determined by the
required subdivision index R.
The index, a function of the subdivision length (Ls), is defined as follows.
for cargo ships over 100m in LS: 128
R 1
Ls 152
for cargo ships of 80m in LS and upwards, but not exceeding 100m in length LS:
1
R 1
LS R
1 0
100 1 R0
where R0 is the value R as calculated in accordance with the formula relevant to ships over
100 m in LS.
for passenger ships
5000
R 1
1 LS 2.5 N 15225
where, N=N1+2N2, N1: number of persons for whom lifeboats are provided, N2: number of
persons (including officers and crew) the ship is permitted to carry in excess of N1
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As , Ap , Al pi si
i
Where,
i: Represents each compartment or group of compartments under consideration.
pi: Accounts for the probability that only the compartment or group of compartments under consideration
may be flooded, disregarding any horizontal subdivision, pi is independent of the draft but includes the
factor r.
si: Accounts for the probability of survival after flooding the compartment or group of compartments under
consideration, including the effects of any horizontal subdivision, si is dependent on the draft and includes
the factor v.
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d p d l 0.6(d s dl )
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Calculation of the
Extent of flooding
probability of survival (si)
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x1 x2
Zone 1 Zone 2 Zone 3 Zone 4 Zone 5 Zone 6
Only one zone is damaged, this case is called “one zone damage case”.
Two adjacent zones are damaged, this case is called “two zone damage case”.
And, the length of damage in this case can be expressed by x1 and x2.
x1 = the distance from the aft terminal to the aft end of the zone in question.
x2 = the distance from the aft terminal to the forward end of the zone in question.
x1 and x2 represent the terminals of the compartment or group of compartments.
* Compartment: Onboard space within watertight boundaries.
* Zone: Longitudinal interval of 2016,
the ship within 16
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A pi si
cL
cL
A: Subdivision index
What is the factor “pi”? pi: Probability of damage
si: Probability of survival
pi p r
p : The probability of damage in the longitudinal subdivision
r : The probability of damage in the transverse subdivision
Not dependent on the draft. Thus, we use the deepest subdivision draft “ds”.
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p p( x1, x 2, Ls )
Subdivision Length ( Ls )
Damage
cL
Length of Damage x1 x2 x3 x4
: The factor “p” is dependent on the length of damage (x2 – x1) and
the subdivision length ”Ls” of a ship.
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Define that the each end point of the “damage generator“ is “a” and
“b”.
a b
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a1 b1
x1 x2 x3 x4
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How can we obtain the value of “p” when one zone is damaged?
Zone 1 Zone 2 Zone 3
a b
Probability that “a” is located in zone 1 Probability that “b” is located in zone 1
1 1 1
3 3 9
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How can we obtain the value of “p” when two adjacent zones are damaged?
Zone 1 Zone 2 Zone 3
a b
b a
Example) What is the probability that zone 1 and zone 2 are damaged
simultaneously?
1 1 1 1 2
3 3 3 3 9
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How can we obtain the value of “p” that two adjacent zones are damaged by
different representation method?
Zone 1 Zone 2 Zone 3
a b 1
a 3
b
1
a b a b
3
x1 x2 x3 x4 : terminal of
the zones
1
Example) What is the probability that zone 1 and 3
zone 2 are damaged simultaneously? 1 1 1
3 3 3
In the figure, the red area means the probability
that zone 1 and zone 2 are damaged simultaneously.
Probability Probability
Probability Probability Probability Probability
that “a” is
located in that “b” is
located in that “a” is that “b” is that “a” is that “b” is
zone 1 or zone 1 or located in located in located in located in
zone 2 zone 2 zone 1 zone 1 zone 2 zone 2
2 2 1 1 1 1 2
3 3 3 3 3 3 9
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How can we obtain the value of “p” when three zones are damaged?
Zone 1 Zone 2 Zone 3
a b
b a
Example) What is the probability that zone 1, zone 2, and zone 3 are damaged
simultaneously?
Probability that “a” is Probability that “b” is Probability that “b” is Probability that “a” is
located in zone 1 located in zone 3 located in zone 1 located in zone 3
1 1 1 1 2
3 3 3 3 9
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a b 1
b a 3
a b a b
b a b a 1
a b a b a b 3
x1 x2 x3 x4 : terminal of
the zones 1
3
Example) What is the probability that zone 1, zone 2,
and zone 3 are damaged simultaneously? 1 1 1
3 3 3
Representation in terms of “p”
Probability that “a” is located in
zone 1 or zone 2 or zone 3 Probability that “b” is located in
zone 1 or zone 2 or zone 3
3
3
3
3
p ( x1 , x4 )
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a b 1
b a 3
1
3
x1 x2 x3 x4 : terminal of
the zones 1
3
1 1 1
3 3 3
Representation in terms of “p”
3 3
p ( x1 , x4 )
3 3
2 2
p ( x1 , x3 )
3 3
2 2 p( x2 , x4 )
In the figure, the red area means the probability that 3 3
zone 1, zone 2, and zone 3 are damaged simultaneously. 1 1 p ( x2 , x3 )
3 3
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A pi si
p ( xi , x j ) : This function gives the probability of all cases when the compartments between ith subdivision
line and jth subdivision line can be damaged.
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cL
No!
• We have to consider the probability related to the transverse
subdivision and penetration.
• The probability of damage in transverse subdivision and penetration is
represented by the factor “r”.
• The factor “r “ is determined after deciding the longitudinal damage
case.
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c
pi p r r r ( x1, x 2, b, k , Ls ) L
b: penetration depth
What is the factor “r”? k: the number of a particular longitudinal bulkhead
r r ( x1, x 2, b, k , Ls )
Damaged compartments
Flooded compartments
b ds
Damage
k2 k 1 k 0
cL
: The factor “r” is dependent on the penetration depth “b” and the
number of a particular longitudinal bulkhead “k”.
Where, “k” is counted from shell towards the centerline. And
”b” is measured at deepest subdivision draught “ds”.
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c
pi p r r r ( x1, x 2, b, k , Ls ) L
b: penetration depth
k: the number of a particular longitudinal bulkhead
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c
pi p r r r ( x1, x 2, b, k , Ls ) L
b: penetration depth
k: the number of a particular longitudinal bulkhead
b ds
Damage
k 2 k 1 k 0
cL cL
Damaged compartments
Flooded compartments
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c
pi p r r r ( x1, x 2, b, k , Ls ) L
b: penetration depth
k: the number of a particular longitudinal bulkhead
b ds
Damage
k 2 k 1 k 0
cL cL
Damaged compartments
Flooded compartments
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c
pi p r r r ( x1, x 2, b, k , Ls ) L
b: penetration depth
k: the number of a particular longitudinal bulkhead
cL
cL
Because the result calculated for one side of the ship causes more severe result
than for both side of the ship, the factor “b” is only considered to extend to B/2.
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Vertical Extent
- “Higher Extent” Compartment 1 Compartment 2 Compartment 3
cL
Example) k=1
Higher than
the water line
d d
s s
Damage Damage
cL cL
k 3 k2 k 1 k 0
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Vertical Extent
- “Lesser Extent” Compartment 1 Compartment 2 Compartment 3
cL
d
s
Damage
Damage
cL cL
k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0 k 3 k2 k 1 k 0
c
Assume that we calculate the value of r in the port side. r r ( x1, x 2, b, k , Ls ) L
* b is measured at deepest subdivision draft (ds). b: penetration depth
k: the number of a particular longitudinal bulkhead
b1 b2
ds ds
Damage Damage
k2 k 1 k 0 k 2 k 1 k 0
Starboard cL Port cL
k=2: b=b2=B/2
k=1: b=b1
(wing tank(P)+cargo
(wing tank(P))
hold(P))
Damaged compartments
Flooded compartments
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b1 b2
ds ds
Damage Damage
k2 k 1 k 0 k 2 k 1 k 0
Starboard cL Port cL
k=1: b=b1 k=2: b=b2=B/2
(wing tank(P)) (wing tank(P)+cargo hold)
Damaged compartments
Flooded compartments
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b1 b2
ds ds
Damage Damage
k2 k 1 k 0 k 2 k 1 k 0
Double
bottom tank cL cL
k=1: b=b1 k=2: b=b2=B/2
(wing tank(P)+double bottom (wing tank(P)+double bottom
tank(P)) tank(P)+cargo hold)
Damaged compartments
Flooded compartments
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b1 b2
ds ds
Damage Damage
k2 k 1 k 0 k 2 k 1 k 0
Double
bottom tank cL cL
k=1: b=b1 k=2: b=b2=B/2
(wing tank(P)) (wing tank(P)+cargo hold)
Damaged compartments
Flooded compartments
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b1 b2
ds ds
Pipe duct
Damage Damage
Double k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0 k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0
bottom tank cL cL
k=1: b=b1 k=2: b=b2
(wing tank(P)+double bottom tank(P)) (wing tank(P)+double bottom tank(P)+cargo hold)
Damage
k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0 k=3: b=b3=B/2
cL
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(wing tank(P)+double bottom tank(P)+cargo hold+pipe duct) 46
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b1 b2
ds ds
Pipe duct
Damage Damage
Double
bottom tank ckL 3 k 2 k 1 k 0 k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0
cL
k=1: b=b1 k=2: b=b2
(wing tank(P)) (wing tank(P)+cargo hold)
In the flooding calculations carried out according to
the regulations, only one breach of the hull and only
b3 one free surface need to be assumed. The assumed
ds vertical extent of damage is to extend from the
baseline upwards to any watertight horizontal
Damage subdivision above the waterline or higher. However, if
a lesser extent of damage will give a more severe
k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0 k=3: b=b3=B/2 result, such extent is to be assumed.
cL
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(wing tank(P)+cargo hold) 47
Wing tank
b1 b2
ds ds
Pipe duct
Damage Damage
Double k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0 k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0
bottom tank cL cL
k=1: b=b1 k=2: b=b2
(wing tank(P)+double bottom tank(P)) (wing tank(P)+double bottom tank(P)+cargo hold)
b3
ds
Damage
k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0 k=3: b=b3=B/2
cL
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(wing tank(P)+double bottom tank(P)+cargo hold+pipe duct) 48
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Wing tank
b1 b2
ds ds
Pipe duct
Damage Damage
Double k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0 k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0
bottom tank cL cL
k=1: b=b1 k=2: b=b2
(wing tank(P)) (wing tank(P)+cargo hold)
b3
ds
Damage
k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0
k=3: b=b3=B/2
(wing tank(P)+cargo hold)
cL
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Wing tank
b1 b2
ds ds
Pipe duct
Damage Damage
Double k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0 k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0
bottom tank cL cL
k=1: b=b1 k=2: b=b2
(wing tank(P)+double bottom tank(P) (wing tank(P)+double bottom tank(P)+cargo hold
+passageway(P)) +passageway(P))
In the flooding calculations carried out according to the
b3 regulations, only one breach of the hull and only one free
ds surface need to be assumed. The assumed vertical extent of
damage is to extend from the baseline upwards to any
watertight horizontal subdivision above the waterline or
Damage higher. However, if a lesser extent of damage will give a more
severe result, such extent is to be assumed.
k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0
k=3: b=b3=B/2
cL
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(wing tank(P)+double bottom tank(P)+cargo hold+pipe duct+passageway(P)) 50
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Wing tank
b1 b2
ds ds
Pipe duct
Damage Damage
Double k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0 k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0
bottom tank cL cL
k=1: b=b1 k=2: b=b2
(wing tank(P)+passageway(P)) (wing tank(P)+cargo hold+passageway(P))
b3
ds
Damage
k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0
k=3: b=b3=B/2
(wing tank(P)+cargo hold+passageway(P))
cL
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P ds P ds P ds
③ ② ① ③ ② ① ③ ② ①
k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0 k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0 k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0
cL b1
cL b2
cL b3
* Actual ratio can be different in the figures.
Definition of r(bk) in SOLAS
r (bk ) : Probability that “P” is located between the bulkheads of 0 and k
: Probability that “P” is located in the position ⓘ = Area of ⓘ / total area
r (b0 ) : Probability that “P” is located between the bulkheads of 0 and 0 0
r (b1 ) : Probability that “P” is located between the bulkheads of 0 and 1 3/20
r (b2 ) : Probability that “P” is located between the bulkheads of 0 and 2 17/20
r (b3 ) : Probability that “P” is located between the bulkheads of 0 and 3 20/20
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Upper Deck
NO1 PASSAGEWAY(P)
NO.3 HOLD
NO3 WWBT(P) Extend the concept learned from
the examples of a box-shaped ship.
B.L.
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A pi si
cL
cL
A: Subdivision index
What is the factor “si”? pi: Probability of damage
si: Probability of survival
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cL
A pi si cL
θv: minimum( f , o )
e f (in this case, θv equals to θo)
0
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k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0 k 3 k2 k 1 k 0
cL cL
Damaged compartments
Flooded compartments 57
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m 1 12.5m
(Maximum damage height)
Damage
Damaged compartments
k 3 k 2 k 1 k 0
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m 1 12.5m
7.8m (Maximum damage height)
Damage
d
Damaged compartments
cL
dA p r [v1 smin,1 v1,2 smin,2 v2,3 smin,3 ]
where, v i 1
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Damage
12.5m
H d
v2,3 4.7m 7.8m
v1 v1,2 v2,3 1
0 1 vm ( H m , d )
H3 v1,2
4.7m
H2 Rotate!
d
12.5m v1
H2
H1
7.8m H3
H1
Damage H d 0
d (Hm d )
if 0 ( H d ) 7.8 then vm ( H m , d ) 0.8
7.8
( H d ) 7.8
if 7.8 ( H d ) then vm ( H m , d ) 0.8 0.2 m
4.7
Therefore
v1 v1 ( H1 , d ), v1,2 v2 ( H 2 , d ) v1 ( H1 , d )
v2,3 v3 ( H 3 , d ) v2 ( H 2 , d )
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vm v( H m , d ) v( H m 1 , d )
Probability of damage of all compartments below m-1
m2 si v1 smin1
m 1
dl Damage
H1
cL
Damaged compartments where,
Flooded compartments 62
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m2 si v1 smin1
m 1
(v2 v1 ) smin 2
dl Damage
H1 H 2
cL
Damaged compartments
Flooded compartments 63
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m2 si v1 smin1
m 1
(v2 v1 ) smin 2
dl Damage
H1 H 2 H 3
( 1 v2 ) smin 3
cL
Damaged compartments
Flooded compartments 64
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Where, the indices “s”, “p”, and “l” represent three loading conditions and
the factor to be multiplied to the index indicates how the index “A“ from
each loading condition is weighted.
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Where the indices “s”, “p”, and “l” represent the three loading conditions and the
factor to be multiplied to the index indicates how the index A from each loading
condition is weighted.
We can assume that the meaning of the weight factors 0.4, 0.4, and 0.2. In the ship’s
lifecycle, the lightship condition is rarely exist.
Normally, the loading condition is performed between the scantling draft and design
draft. Thus, the weight factor considers this cruising condition.
Definitions of three draft
Light service draft(dl): the service draft corresponding to the lightest anticipated loading and associated tankage, including, however, such ballast as may
be necessary for stability and/or immersion. Passenger ships should include the full complement of passengers and crew on board.
Partial subdivision draft(dp): the light service draft plus 60% of the difference between the light service draft and the deepest subdivision draft.
Deepest subdivision draft(ds): the waterline which corresponds to the summer load line draft of the ship
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L
C
<Plan View>
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[Case 1] Calculation of
Probability of Damage (pi)
pi p( x1, x 2, Ls ) r ( x1, x 2, b, k , Ls )
Calculation Condition
: Scantling Draft (18.0m), b=4.0
Damage
DAMAGES x1 x2 J p r pi
Length
<1 zone damage> Cause Effect Effect
1.1.1 0 40 40 0.4 0.40421 0.42119 0.17025
2.1.1 40 60 20 0.2 0.15273 0.36117 0.05516
3.1.1 60 80 20 0.2 0.15273 0.36117 0.05516
4.1.1 80 100 20 0.2 0.17637 0.58293 0.10281
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[Case 1] Calculation of
Probability of Survival (si)
si si ( e , v , GZ max , Range)
e GZ max
0
GZ Range
0 10 20 30 40 50
Heeling Angle
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[Case 1] Calculation of
Probability of Survival (si)
si si ( e , v , GZ max , Range)
Calculation Condition
: Scantling Draft (18.0m), b=4.0
※ θe, GZ, GZ range were obtained using computational
ship calculation software, “EzCOMPART”.
DAMAGES x1 x2 J θe GZmax GZ Range si pi A
<1 zone damage> Cause Effect Effect Effect Effect
1.1.1 0 40 0.4 13.00 0.40 35.62 1.00 0.17025 0.02666
2.1.1 40 60 0.2 7.17 0.72 50.31 1.00 0.05516 0.00864
3.1.1 60 80 0.2 7.18 0.72 50.20 1.00 0.05516 0.00864
4.1.1 80 100 0.2 7.32 0.71 49.92 1.00 0.10281 0.01610
<2 zone damage> Bigger Bigger Smaller Smaller Smaller
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[Case 2] Calculation of
Probability of Damage (pi)
pi p( x1, x 2, Ls ) r ( x1, x 2, b, k , Ls )
Calculation Condition
: Scantling Draft (18.0m), b=20.0 Cause
Bigger
Damage
DAMAGES x1 x2 J p r pi
Length
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[Case 2] Calculation of
Probability of Survival (si)
si si ( e , v , GZ max , Range)
Calculation Condition
: Scantling Draft (18.0m), b=20.0 Cause
Bigger ※ θe, GZ, and GZ range were obtained using
computational ship calculation software, “EzCOMPART”.
DAMAGES x1 x2 J θe Max_GZ Range si pi A
< 1 zone damage > Effect Effect Effect Effect
1.2.1 0 40 0.4000 0.00 0.00 35.62 0.00 0.40421 0.00000
2.2.1 40 60 0.2000 14.00 0.25 50.31 1.00 0.15273 0.02392
3.2.1 60 80 0.2000 15.00 0.18 50.20 1.00 0.15273 0.02392
4.2.1 80 100 0.2000 20.00 0.04 49.92 0.76 0.17637 0.02099
< 2 zone damage > Smaller Smaller Smaller Smaller
1-2.2.1 0 60 0.6000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60421 0.00000
2-3.2.1 40 80 0.4000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.40842 0.00000
3-4.2.1 60 100 0.4000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.40421 0.00000
< 3 zone damage >
1-3.2.1 0 80 0.8000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.80421 0.00000
2-4.2.1 40 100 0.6000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60842 0.00000
Attained index (A) is zero in most case, because too large areas are damaged.
We can expect that calculating ‘4 zone damage’ cases are meaningless.
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6. Summary
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Calculation of the
Extent of flooding
probability of survival (si)
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Assumption of extent Assume the extent of damage with actual Assume the extent of damage with the virt
of damage compartments as a basis ual damage compartments as a basis
Evaluation of damage All damage cases should satisfy each criterion for the The attained subdivision index should satis
stability regulation of damage stability. fy the regulation of damage stability (AR).
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