Encore International: Tomas Claudio Colleges
Encore International: Tomas Claudio Colleges
Encore International: Tomas Claudio Colleges
Encore International
Encore had made it. The company’s historical growth was so spectacular that no
one could have predicted it. However, securities analysts speculated that Encore could
not keep up the pace. They warned that competition is fierce in the fashion industry and
that the firm might encounter little or no growth in the future. They estimated that
stockholders also should expect no growth in future dividends.
Contrary to the conservative securities analysts, Jordan Ellis believed that the
company could maintain a constant annual growth rate in dividends per share of 6% in
the future, or possibly 8% for the next 2 years and 6% thereafter. Ellis based his
estimates on an established long-term expansion plan into European and Latin
American markets. Venturing into these markets was expected to cause the risk of the
firm, as measured by the risk premium on its stock, to increase immediately from 8.8%
to 10%. Currently, the risk-free rate is 6%.
In preparing the long-term financial plan, Encore’s chief financial officer has
assigned a junior financial analyst, Marc Scott, to evaluate the firm’s current stock price.
He has asked Marc to consider the conservative predictions of the securities analysts
and the aggressive predictions of the company founder, Jordan Ellis.
TOMAS CLAUDIO COLLEGES
College of Business and Accountancy
Taghangin, Morong, Rizal
Marc has compiled the following 2015 financial data to aid his analysis.
Summary
Encore International, a casual-wear company, has spectacular growth after 10
year of business and plan to have long-term expansion into European and Latin
American markets while maintaining its growth in future dividends.
i. Objective
II. Analysis
TO DO
Risk premium
d. What will be the value per share of Encore stock assuming there is no growth in
future dividends?
= $ 4
16%
= $ 25
e. What will be the value per share of Encore stock if Jordan Ellis’s predictions are
correct?
P𝑜 = D = $ 4 x 1.06
K-g 16% - 6%
= $ 4.24
10%
= $ 42.4
= $ 7.19 + $ 49.5
(1.16)𝑥 2
= $ 7.19 + $ 36.79
= $ 43.98
f. Which valuation method do you believe most clearly represents the true value of
the Encore stock?
Book value per share: it cannot be used as stock valuation since it has no
relevance to the true value of the firm.
Zero growth: it is the most conservative method but it lacks reality sense then it
is not a good method. (Analysts may advise paying no more than $25 per share)
Constant and Variable growth: both methods have similar stock price target,
but variable growth is more realistic since it measures shift up or down due to the
changing expectations. It is the most optimum ($43.98) not far from market value
III. Conclusion
Based on the calculations, the firm’s current stock is still undervalued compare to
the value of stock with constant or variable growth. Zero growth calculation is
considered as not a good method because it will have changes in the future whether it
is increasing or declining/decreasing.
IV. Recommendation
In order to have growth in future dividend, Encore has to consider its financial plan
and the accompanying risk thoroughly.