Unit 4: Statistical Estimation and Small Sampling Theories

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STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 1

UNIT 4

STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING


THEORIES

OBJECTIVES

GENERAL OBJECTIVE

 Use Statistics to make estimates of parameters

SPECIFIC OBJECTIVE

After completing this unit, you should be able to

 Find the confidence interval for the mean when  is known.


 Determine the minimum sample size for finding a confidence interval for
the mean.
 Find the confidence interval for the mean when  is unknown and n  30 .
 Estimate the population parameters based on a large sample size using
point and interval estimates and able to explain the concept of confidence
interval
 Estimate the mean of the population when the standard deviation of the
population is known
 Estimate the mean and standard deviation of a population from sample
data
 Estimate the mean of a population based on a small sample size
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 2

INPUT
INPUT

4.0 CONFIDENCE INTERVAL AND SAMPLE SIZE

One aspect of inferential statistics is estimation, which is the process of


estimating the value of a parameter from information obtained from a sample.
Look at the following statements:
 “One out of four Polytechnic students is currently dieting”
 “72% of Malaysians cannot afford to buy a brand new Mercedes Benz”
 “The average kindergarten students has seen more than 5000 hours
of television”
 The average amount of pocket money for a Poly student is RM500 per
semester”

Since the populations from which these values were obtained are large, these
values are only estimates of the true parameters and are derived from data
collected from samples.

The statistical procedure for estimating the populations mean, variance and
standard deviation will be explained in this module.

An important question in estimation is that of sample size. How large should the
sample be in order to make an accurate estimate?
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 3

4.1 CONFIDENCE INTERVALS FOR THE MEAN (  Known or n  30)


Suppose a Poly director wishes to estimate the average age of the students
attending classes this semester. The director could select a random sample of
100 students and find the average age of these students, say 22.3 years. From
the sample mean, the director could infer that the average age of all the students
is 22.3 years. This type of estimate is called a point estimate.

AApoint
pointestimate
estimateisisaaspecific
specificnumerical
numericalvalue
valueestimate
estimateofof
parameter.
parameter.The
Thebest
bestpoint
pointestimate
estimateofofthe
thepopulation
populationmean
mean isisthe
the
sample mean.
sample mean.

Sample measures (i.e., statistics) are used to estimate population measures (i.e.,
parameters). The sample mean is the best estimate of the population mean
because the means of samples vary less than other statistics such as medians
and modes when many samples are selected from the same population.

A good estimator should satisfy the three properties described next.

Three properties of good estimator

The estimator should be unbiased estimator. That is, the expected value or
the mean of the estimates obtained from samples of a given size is equal to
the parameter being estimated.
The estimator should be consistent. For a consistent estimator, as sample
size increases, the value of the estimator approaches the value of the
parameter estimated.
The estimator should be a relatively efficient estimator. That is, of all the
statistics that can be used to estimate a parameter, the relatively efficient
parameter has the smallest variance.
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 4

4.1.1 CONFIDENCE INTERVALS

As stated in the previous module, the sample mean will be, for the most part,
somewhat different from the population mean due to sampling error. Then, how
good is point estimate? As the accuracy of a point estimate is questionable,
statisticians use another type of estimate called an interval estimate.

An
Aninterval
intervalestimate
estimateofofaaparameter
parameterisisan
aninterval
intervalororaarange
rangeofofvalues
values
used
usedtotoestimate
estimatethe
theparameter.
parameter.This
Thisestimate
estimatemaymayorormaymaynot
notcontain
containthe
the
value of the parameter being estimated.
value of the parameter being estimated.

For example, an interval estimate for the average age of all the students might be
26.9<  <27.7, or 27.3  0.4 years.

Either the interval contains the parameter or it does not. A degree of confidence
(usually %) can be assigned before an interval estimate is made. For instance,
one may wish to be 95% confident that the interval contains the true population
mean. Another question then arises. Why 95%? Why not 99% or 99.5%?

If one desires to be more confident (99% or 99.5%), then the interval must be
larger. For example, a 99% confidence interval for the mean age of the Poly
students might be 26.7<  <27.9, or 27.3  0.6. Hence, a trade-off occurs. To
be more confident that the interval contains the true population mean, one must
make the interval wider.

The confidence level of an interval estimate of a parameter is the probability


that the interval estimate will contain the parameter.

A confidence interval is a specific interval estimate of a parameter


determined by using data obtained from a sample and by using the specific
confidence level of the estimate.
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 5

Intervals constructed in this way are called confidence intervals. Three


common confidence intervals are used: The 90%, the 95%, and the 99%
confidence interval.

The central limit theorem states that when the sample size is large,
approximately 95% of the sample means will fall within  1.96 standard errors of
the population mean. That is
  
  1.96 
 n
Now, if a specific mean is selected, say X , there is a 95% probability that
  
it falls within the range of   1.96  . Likewise there is a 95% probability that
 n
  
the interval specified by X  1.96  will contain  . Stated another way,
 n

    
X  1.96  <  < X  1.96 
 n n

Hence, on can be 95% confident that the population mean is contained within
that interval when the values of the variable are normally distributed in the
population.

Since other confidence intervals are used in statistics, the symbol Z 2 is used in
the general formula for confidence intervals. The Greek letter  (alpha)
represents the total area in both of the tails of the standard normal distribution
curve. 
2 represents the area in each one of the tails.

The relationship between  and the confidence level is that the stated
confidence level is the percentage equivalent to the decimal value of 1 -  , and
vice versa. When the 95% confidence interval is to be found,  = 0.05, since 1 –
0.05 = 0.95. When  = 0.01, the 1 -  = 1 – 0.01 = 0.99, and the 99%
confidence interval is being calculated.
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 6

Formula
Formulafor
forthe
theConfidence
ConfidenceInterval
Intervalofofthe
theMean
Meanfor
foraaSpecific
Specific
<<<<
For
For a 95% confidence interval, = 1.96;and
a 95% confidence interval, = 1.96; andfor
fora a99%
99%confidence
confidenceinterval,
interval,
==2.58
2.58

  
The term z 2   is called the maximum error of estimate. For a specific value,
 n
say  = 0.05, 95% of the sample means will fall within this error value on either
side of the population mean.

The
Themaximum
maximumerror
errorofofestimate
estimateisisthe
themaximum
maximumlikely
likelydifference
differencebetween
between
the
thepoint
pointestimate
estimateofofa aparameter
parameterand andthe
theactual
actualvalue
valueofofthe
theparameter.
parameter.

Example 4.1

1. One of the Polytechnic directors wishes to estimate the average age of the
students currently enrolled. Per last year record, it is known that the standard
deviation is 2 years. A sample of 50 students is selected of which the mean
age is 23.2 years. Find the 95% confidence interval of the population mean.

2. A well known tonic drink is known to increase the pulse rate of its users. The
standard deviation of the pulse rate is known to be 5 beats per minute. A
sample of 30 users had an average pulse rate of 104 beats per minute. Find
the 99% confidence interval of the true mean.

3. A sample of 30 ‘koperasi’ has the mean ( X ) = 11.091 (assets in millions


of RM) and the standard deviation s = 14.405. Find the 90% confidence
interval of the mean.

4. It is required to determine the mean diameter of a long length of wire. The


STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 7

diameter of the wire is measured in 16 places selected at random throughout


its length and the mean of these values is 0.314 mm. If the standard
deviation of the diameter of the wire is given by the manufacturers as 0.025
mm, determine (a) the 80% confidence interval of the estimated mean
diameter of the wire, and (b) with what degree of confidence it can be said
that ‘the mean diameter is 0.314  0.01 mm’.

Solution to Example 4.1

Z   1.96
1. Since the 95% confidence interval is desired, . Hence,
2

     
substituting in the formula X  1.96     X  1.96 
 n  n

 2   2 
23.2 – 1.96      23.2  1.96 
 50   50 

23.2 – 0.6<  < 23.2 + 0.6

22.6 <  < 23.8 or 23.2  0.6 years.

The director can say, with95% confidence, the average age of the
students is between 22.6 and 23.8 years, based on 50 students.

Z   2.58
2. Since the 99% confidence interval is desired,
2

     
X  1.96     X  1.96 
 n  n

 5   5 
104  2.58     104  2.58 
 30   30 
104  2.4    104  2.4
101.6    106.4
 102    106 or 104.2  2

One can be 99% confident that the mean pulse rate of all users is
between 102 and 106 beats per minute, based on a sample of 30 users.
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 8

3.
STEP 1 It is known that the mean ( X ) is 11.091 and the standard
deviation
(s) = 14.405
STEP 2 Find 
2 . Since the 90% confidence interval is to be used,
 = 1 – 0.90 = 0.10, and  2  0.10  0.05
2
STEP 3 Find z 2 . Subtract 0.05 from 0.5000 to get 0.4500. The
corresponding z from the table is 1.65.
STEP 4 Substitute in the formula
 s   s 
X  z       X  z   
2
 n 2
 n
(s is used in place of  when  is unknown, since n  30 )

 14.405   14.405 
11 .091  1.65     11 .091   
 30   30 

6.752 L    15.430
Hence, one can be 90% confident that the population mean of the assets
is between RM6.752 million and 15.430 million, based on a sample of 30
koperasi.

4. (a) For the population:  = 0.025 mm, for the sample: N = 16, x = 0.314,
because an infinite number of measurements can be obtained for the
diameter of the wire, the population is infinite and the estimated value
of the confidence interval of the population mean is given by
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 9

  
X  z      X  z    = 0.314  1.28(0.025)  0.314  0.008

2
 n 2
 n 16
mm.

That is, the 80% confidence interval is from 0.306 mm to 0.322mm.


This indicates that the estimated mean diameter of the wire is between
0.306 and 0.322 and that this prediction is likely to be correct 80 times
out of 100.

b) To determine the confidence level, the given data is equated to


expression

  
0.314  0.01 mm = X  z    , i.e z  =  1.6
2
 n 2
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 10

ACTIVITY 4A

TEST YOUR UNDERSTANDING BEFORE PROCEEDING TO THE NEXT


INPUT…!

1. What is the difference between a point estimate and an interval estimate


of a parameter? Which is better? Why?

2. What is the maximum error of estimate?

3. What are the three properties of a good estimator?

4. What is necessary to determine a sample size?

5. Find each:
a) z  for the 99% confidence interval
2

b) z  for the 98% confidence interval


2

c) z  for the 95% confidence interval


2

d) z  for the 90% confidence interval


2

e) z  for the 94% confidence interval


2

6. A sample of the mathematics test scores for 35 first semester students


has a mean of 82. The standard deviation of the sample is 15.
a) Find the 95% confidence interval of the mean test scores of the
entire first semester students.

b) Find the 99% confidence interval of the mean test scores of the
entire first semester students.

c) Which interval is larger? Explain why.


STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 11

SOLUTION TO ACTIVITY 4A

1. A point estimate of a parameter specifies a specific value, such as  =


87; an interval estimate specifies a range of values for the parameter,
such as 84<  <90. The advantage of an interval estimate is that a specific
confidence level (say 95%) can be selected, and one can be 95%
confident that the interval contains the parameter that is being estimated.

2. The maximum error of estimate is the likely range of values to the right or
left of the statistic which may contain the parameter.

3. A good estimator should be unbiased, consistent, and relatively efficient.

4. For one to be able to determine sample size, the maximum error of


estimate and degree of confidence must be specified and the population
standard deviation must be known.

5. a) 2.58
b) 2.33
c) 1.96
d) 1.65
e) 1.88

6. a) 77<  <87
b) 75<<89
c) The 99% confidence interval is larger because the confidence level is
larger.

INPUT
INPUT
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 12

4.2 SAMPLE SIZE

Sample size determination is closely related to statistical estimation. How large a


sample necessary to make an accurate estimate? The answer depends on three
things: the maximum error of estimate, the population standard deviation, and the
degree of confidence. For the purpose of this unit, it is assumed that the
population standard deviation of the variable is known or has been estimated
from the previous study.

The formula for sample size is derived from the maximum error of estimate
formula,

  
E  z    and this formula is solved for n as follows:
2
 n
2
 z  . 
n  2 
 E 
 

Example 4.2

You are asked to estimate the average age of the students in this Poly.
How large a sample is necessary? You want to be confident that the estimate
should be accurate within one year. From the previous study, the standard
deviation of the ages is known to be 3 years.

Solution to Example 4.2

Since   0.01 or 1 – 0.99, z 2  2.58, and E = 1, substituting in the


formula, you get
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 13

2
 z  .  2

n 2  = 

( 2.58)(3) 
 = 59.9 which is rounded up to 60. Well, you
 E   1 
 
need a sample size of at least 60 students in order to be 99% confident that the
estimate is within 1 year of the true mean age.

ACTIVITY 4B
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 14

TEST YOUR UNDERSTANDING BEFORE PROCEEDING TO THE NEXT


INPUT…!

1. A study of 40 poly lecturers showed that they spent, on average, 12.6


minutes correcting a student’s weekly quiz.
a) Find the 90% confidence interval of the mean time for all quizzes
when  = 2.5 minutes.
b) If a lecturer stated that he spent, on average, 30 minutes correcting
a quiz, what would be your reaction?

2. A study found that Poly students spend an average of RM185.00 per


month for the cellular phone bills. If a sample of 49 students was used, find
the 90% confidence interval of the mean. Assume the standard deviation of
the sample is RM1.56.

3. The mean weight of 84 soil samples is 61.2 grams and the standard
deviation is 7.9 grams. Find the 95% confidence interval for the true mean.

4. A poly director wishes to estimate the average number of hours his part-time
lecturers teach per week. The standard deviation from the previous study is
2.6 hours. How large a sample must be selected if he wants to be 99%
confident of finding whether the true mean differs from the sample mean by
1 hour?

5. You are required to estimate the fresh weights of concrete cubes. How large
a sample must be selected if you are required to be 90% confident that the
true mean is within 600 grams of the sample mean? The standard deviation
of the fresh weights is known to be 800 grams.

6. A class lecturer would like to estimate the average number of sick days that
students use per year. It is assumed that the standard deviation is 2.5 days.
How large a sample must be selected if the lecturer wants to be 95%
confident of getting an interval that contains the true mean with a maximum
error of 1 day?

SOLUTION TO ACTIVITY 4B
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 15

1. (a) 11.9 <  < 13.3 (b) It would be highly unlikely, since this is far larger
than 13.3

2. RM18.13 <  < RM18.87

3. 59.5 <  < 62.9

4. 45

5. 5

6. 25

INPUT
INPUT
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 16

4.3 CONFIDENCE INTERVALS FOR THE MEAN (  unknown and n<30)


When  is known and the variable is normally distributed or when  is
unknown and n  30, the standard normal distribution is used to find confidence
intervals for the mean. However, in many situations, the population standard
deviation is not known and the sample size is less than 30. In such situations, the
standard deviation from the sample can be used in place of the population
standard deviation for confidence intervals. But somewhat different distribution,
called the t distribution, must be used when the sample size is less than 30 and
the variable is normally or approximately distributed.

Characteristics of the t Distribution

The t distribution shares some characteristics of the normal distribution


and differs fro it in others. The t distribution is similar to the standard
normal distribution in the following ways.

1. It is bell-shaped.
2. It is symmetrical about the mean.
3. The mean, median, and mode are equal to 0 and are located at the
center of the distribution.
4. The curve never touches the x-axis.

The t distribution differs from the standard normal distribution in the


following ways.

1. The variance is greater than 1.


2. The t distribution is actually a family of curves based on the concept
of degrees of freedom, which is related to the sample size.

3. As the sample size increases, the t distribution approaches the


Standard normal distribution
See the figure below.

Many statistical distributions use the concept of degrees of freedom, and the
formulas for finding the degrees of freedom vary for different statistical tests. The
degrees of freedom are the number of values that are free to vary after a sample
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 17

statistic has been computed, and they tell researcher which specific curve to use
when a distribution consists of a family of curves.

For example, if the mean of 5 values is 10, then 4 of the 5 values are free to vary.
But once 4 values are selected, the 5th value must be a specific number to get a
sum of 50. Since 50/5 = 10. Hence, the d.f. are 5 – 1 = 4, and this value tells the
researcher which t curve to use.

The symbol d.f. will be used for degrees of freedom. The d.f. for a confidence
interval for the means are found by subtracting 1 from the sample size, i.e d.f. = n
– 1.

Formula for a Specific Confidence Interval for the Mean When Is Unknown and
n<30

 s   s 
X  t       X  t   
2
 n 2
 n
The degrees of freedom are n - 1

Notes: When to use the z or t distribution

Yes
Use values no matter what the
Is known sample size is

No

Yes
Use values and s in place of
Is n In the formula

No

Use values and s in


the formula
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 18

Example 4.3

1. Find the t 2 value for a 95% confidence interval when the sample size is
22.

2. Ten randomly selected automobiles were stopped, and the tread depth of
the right front tire was measured. The mean was 0.32 mm, and the
standard deviation was 0.08 mm. Find the 95% confidence interval of the
mean depth. Assume that the variable is approximately normally
distributed.

3. The data represent a sample of the number of home fires started by


candles for the past several years. Find the 99% confidence interval for
the mean number of home fires started by candles each year.

5460 5900 6090 6310 7160 8440


9930

Solution to Example 4.3

1. d.f. = 22 -1, or 21. Find 21 in the left column and 95% in the row labeled
“confidence intervals.” The intersection where the two meet give the value
for t 2 , which is 2.080. See the figure below. Note: At the bottom of the
table where d.f. =  , the z 2 can be found for specific confidence
intervals. The reason is that as the degrees of freedom increase, the t
distribution approaches the standard normal distribution.

2. Since  is unknown and s must replace it, the t distribution (see table
‘F’) must be used for 95%. Hence with 9 degrees of freedom, t 2 = 2.262.
The 95% confidence interval of the population mean is found by
substituting in the formula
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 19

 s   s   0.08 
X  t       X  t    =   0.32  (2.62)  , 0.26    0.38
2
 n 2
 n  10 

Therefore, one can be 95% confident that the population mean


tread depth of all right front tires is between 0.26 and 0.38 mm based on a
sample of 10 tires.

3.

STEP 1 Find the mean and standard deviation for the data
Use the formulas or your calculator
The mean X = 7041.4
The standard deviation s = 1610.3

STEP 2 Find t 2 from table ‘F’. Use the 99% confidence interval with
d.f. = 6. It is 3.707.

STEP 3 Substitute in the formula and solve

 s   s 
X  t       X  t   
2
 n 2
 n
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 20

 1610.3   1610.3 
7041.4  3.707     7041.4  3.707 
 7   7 

4785.2<  <9297.6

One can be 99% confident that the population mean of home fires started by
candles each year is between 4785.2 and 9297.6, based on a sample of home
fires occurring over a period of 7 years.

ACTIVITY 4C

TEST YOUR UNDERSTANDING BEFORE PROCEEDING TO THE NEXT


INPUT…!

For the following activities, assume that all variables are approximately
distributed.
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 21

1. A sample of 8 measurements of the diameter of a bar are made and the


mean of the sample is 2.470 cm. The standard deviation of the samples is
0.21 mm. Determine (a) the 95% confidence interval and (b) the 80%
confidence interval for an estimate of the actual diameter of the bar.

2. A sample of 15 electric lamps are selected randomly from a large batch


and are tested until they fail. The mean and standard deviation of the time
to failure are 1177 hours and 25 hours respectively. Determine the
confidence level based on estimated failure time of 1177  5.8 hours.

3. The value of the ultimate tensile strength of a material is determined by


measurements on 10 samples of materials. The mean and standard
deviation of the results are found to be 4.38 Mpa and 0.06 Mpa
respectively. Determine the 95% confidence interval for the mean of the
ultimate tensile strength of the material.

4. Use data in problem #3 above to determine the 99% confidence interval


for the mean of the ultimate tensile strength of the material.

5. The time taken for a chemical reaction to take place is measured 5 times
and is found to be: 0.28 hours, 0.30 hours, 0.27 hours, 0.33 hours and
0.31 hours. Determine the 95% and 99% confidence intervals for the
estimated true reaction time.

SOLUTION TO ACTIVITY 4C

1. (a) The 95% confidence interval are 2.455 cm and 2.485 cm.
(b) The 80% confidence interval are 2.463 cm and 2.477 cm.

2. It is likely that 80% of all the lamps will fail between 1171.2 and
1182.8 hours. ( t 2 =  0.868).

3. 4.417<  <4.343

4. 4.324<  <4.436

5. 0.275<  <0.321; 0.258<  <0.338


STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 22

SELF ASSESSMENT 4

You are approaching success. Try all the questions in this self-
assessment section and check your answers on the next page. If you encounter
any problems, consult your instructor. Good luck.

1. When should the t distribution be used to find a confidence interval for the
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 23

mean?

2. Determine whether the statement is true or false. If the statement is false,


explain why.
a) Interval estimate are preferred over point estimates since a confidence
level can be specified.
b) An estimator is consistent if, as the sample size decreases, the value
of the estimator approaches the value of parameter estimated.

Select the best answer.

3. When a 99% confidence interval is calculated instead of 95% confidence


interval with n being the same, the maximum error of estimate will be
a. Smaller
b. Larger
c. The same
d. It cannot be determined

4. When the population standard deviation is unknown and sample size is


less than 30, what table value should be used in computing a confidence
interval for a mean.
a. z
b. t
c. None of the above

Complete the following statement with the best answer.

5. The maximum difference between the point estimate of a parameter and


the actual value of the parameter is
called__________________________________.

6. The three confidence intervals used most often are the ____%, ______%,
and ___%.
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 24

7. The specific resistance of a reel German silver wire of nominal diameter


0.5 mm is estimated by determining the resistance of 7 samples of the
wire. These were found to have resistance values (in ohms per meter) of
1.12, 1.15, 1.10, 1.14, 1.15, 1.10 and 1.11. Determine the 95% confidence
interval for the true specific resistance of the reel of wire.

8. In determining the melting point of a metal, 5 determinations of the melting


point are made. The mean and standard deviation of the five results are
232.27oC and 0.742oC. Calculate the confidence with which the prediction
‘the melting point of the metal is between 232.48 oC and 233.06oC’ can be
made.
9. The standard deviation of the masses of 500 blocks is 150 kg. A random
sample of 40 blocks have a mean mass of 2.40 Mg.
a) Determine the 95% and 99% confidence intervals for estimating the
mean mass of the remaining 469 blocks, and
b) With what degree of confidence can it be said that the mean mass of
the remaining 460 blocks is 2.40  0.035Mg?

In the following exercises, assume that all variables are approximately


normally distributed.

10. The average hemoglobin for a sample of 20 lecturers was 16 grams per
100 milliliters, with a sample standard deviation of 2 grams. Find the 99%
confidence interval of the true mean.

11. A sample of 6 adult elephants had an average weight of 12200 pounds,


with a sample standard deviation of 200 pounds. Find the 95% confidence
interval of the true mean.

12. A recent study of 28 city residents showed that the mean of the time they
had lived at their present address was 9.3 years. The standard deviation
of the sample was 2 years. Find the 90% confidence interval of the true
mean.
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND SMALL SAMPLING THEORIES C5606/4/ 25

13. A recent study of 25 students showed that they spent an average


RM18.53 for petrol per week, the standard deviation of the sample was
RM3.00. Find the 95% confidence interval of the true mean.

14. The average yearly income for 28 married couple in Politeknik is


RM58219.00. The standard deviation of the sample is RM56.00. Find the
95% confidence interval of the true mean.

1. The t distribution should be used when  is unknown and n<30.


2. (a) True (b) False

3. b

4. b

5. Maximum error of estimate

6. 90; 95; 99

7. 1.11 m 1 <  < 1.14 m 1

8. 95%
FEEDBACK TO SELF ASSESSMENT 4
9. (a) 2.355 <  < 2.445; 2.341 <  < 2.459 (b) 86%

10. 15<  <17


Have you tried the questions??? If “YES”, check your answers now.
11. 11990<  <12410

12. 8.7<  <9.9

13. RM 17.29<  <RM 19.77

14. RM 58197.00<  <RM 58241.00

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