Happy Forgings
Happy Forgings
Happy Forgings
Rating action
ICRA has revised the ratings for the Rs. 270.0-crore1 fund-based limits, non-fund based limits, term loans
and unallocated limits of Happy Forgings Limited (HFL) from [ICRA]BBB+ (pronounced ICRA triple B
plus) and [ICRA]A2 (pronounced ICRA A two) to [ICRA]A- (pronounced ICRA A minus) and
[ICRA]A2+ (pronounced ICRA A two plus). The outlook on the long-term rating has been revised from
‘Positive’ to ‘Stable’.
Rationale
The revision in the ratings take into account consistent improvement in HFL’s operating and financial
performance, as reflected by improvement in its operating income (from Rs. 376 crore in FY2016 to Rs.
433 crore in FY2017 and further to Rs. 252 crore in H1 FY2018) and profitability (from 20.2% in
FY2016 to 20.8% in FY2017 and further to 22.6% in H1 FY2018). These follow the increase in
manufacturing capacities, improved utilization and increasing contribution to revenues from the relatively
more profitable machining division in. The company has continued to grow business from its existing
reputed client base such as Ashok Leyland Limited, VE Commercial Vehicles Limited, Mahindra &
Mahindra Limited, etc as well as add new clients. The rating action also factors in the reduction in
working capital intensity of operations primarily on the back of reduction in inventory levels. This,
coupled with the improvement in profitability resulted in a strong cash flow position, which enabled
lower dependence on working capital debt and continued prepayment of debt obligations during FY2017
and H1 FY2018, despite the capex. The debt coverage indicators also improved as reflected by interest
coverage of 6.9 times, debt/OPBDITA of 1.65 times and NCA/Debt of 43% as on September 30, 2017
(provisional). The ratings continue to factor in HFL’s experienced promoters, its established position in
the forged and machined components industry and its long standing relations with the reputed original
equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the automobile industry.
1
100 lakh = 1 crore = 10 million
The ratings, however, continued to be constrained by the susceptibility of HFL’s revenue generation to
the cyclicality in the commercial vehicles (CV) and tractor segments, as these segments contribute around
70% of the total sales of the company. Although the company has consistently made efforts to diversify
its revenue streams by adding new customers, the customer concentration risks remain high as the top ten
customers contribute more than 75% of its total revenues. The ratings also take into account the
fragmented nature of the domestic forging industry, which adds to the competitive pressure, however,
increasing proportion of machined components in HFL’s operating income mitigates the risk to an extent.
The company is undertaking a relatively large, debt-funded capex towards additional forging capacity,
which is expected to result in an increase in debt levels. However, ICRA expects that HFL’s cash flow
position and capital structure would remain comfortable over the medium term, despite the proposed
capex.
The company’s ability to successfully commence the proposed capex in a timely manner and generate
anticipated revenue growth while maintaining the profitability levels along with working capital intensity
would be the key rating sensitivities.
Credit strengths
Experienced promoters with established track record of operations in the forging industry -
HFL is a Ludhiana-based manufacturer of forged and machined components which are largely
supplied to commercial vehicles and tractors segment of the automotive industry. The promoters have
more than 35 years of experience in the forging industry
Relations with Tier I component manufacturers and OEMs – Over the years the company has
established relationships with reputed tier 1 automotive ancillaries and original equipment
manufacturers which have given repeat business to the company
Healthy market positioning on the back of consistent growth in manufacturing capacities – HFL
has increased its manufacturing capacities steadily which now stand at 46,000 TPA in the forged
division, while in the machining division it is 20,500 TPA. Further the company is undertaking capex
to increase its forging capacity further to 60,000 TPA
Consistent improvement in operating income and profitability - With increase in sales volumes
and increase in proportion of sales from the high value added machining segment, the operating
income and profitability have witnessed consistent improvement. The operating income increased
from Rs. 375.6 crore in FY2016 to Rs. 432.6 crore in FY2017 and to Rs. 252.1 crore in H1 FY2018,
while the profitability improved from 20.2% to 20.8% and further to 22.6% over the same period
Improvement in capital structure and debt coverage indicators – Improvement in profitability
and working capital intensity of operations has lowered the reliance on external debt, which coupled
with prepayment of long-term debt has resulted in improvement in capital structure as reflected by
gearing of 1.24 times as on September 30, 2017 from 1.33 times as on March 31, 2017 and 2.12 times
as on March 31, 2016. The coverage indicators have been consistently improving as reflected by
interest coverage of 6.90 times, debt/OPBDITA of 1.65 times and NCA/Debt of 43% as on
September 30, 2017
Decline in working capital intensity of operations – There has been consistently improvement in
working capital intensity of operations as reflected by NWC/OI of 22% as on September 30, 2017
vis-à-vis 26% as on March 31, 2017
Credit weaknesses
Exposed to the cyclicality in the commercial vehicles and tractors segment of the automotive
industry – More than 70% of the total sales of the company is derived from CV and tractors industry
which are inherently cyclical
Client concentration risk - The top 10 customers of the company contribute more than 75% of the
total sales, although client profile remains reputed
Fragmented nature of the domestic forging industry leading to intense competition; however,
increasing proportion of machined products mitigate the risk to a large extent
Ongoing debt-funded capex is expected to result in higher debt levels. The company is currently
undertaking capex to the tune of Rs. 65 crore which is expected to get over by FY2018. Further capex
plans cannot be ruled out going forward given the estimated cashflow generation of the company.
Analytical approach: For arriving at the ratings, ICRA has applied its rating methodologies as indicated
below.
In H1 FY2018 (provisional), HFL reported a net profit after tax of Rs. 25.5 crore on an operating income
of Rs. 252.1 crore, as compared to net profit of Rs. 34.2 crore on an operating income of Rs. 432.6 crore
for FY2017 and net profit of Rs. 17.0 crore on an operating income of Rs. 375.6 crore for FY2016.
“CARE has been seeking information from Happy Forgings Limited (HFL), to monitor the ratings vide e-
mail communications/letters dated November 08, 2016; November 09, 2016; November 15, 2016;
February 28, 2017; March 02, 2017; March 07, 2017 & March 09, 2017 and numerous phone calls.
However, despite our repeated requests, the company has not provided the requisite information for
monitoring the ratings. In line with the extant SEBI guidelines, CARE has reviewed the rating on the
basis of the publicly available information which however, in CARE’s opinion is not sufficient to arrive at
a fair rating. The ratings on Happy Forgings Limited’s bank facilities will now be denoted as CARE
BB+/CARE A4+; ISSUER NOT COOPERATING.”
Harsh Jagnani
+91-124-4545394
[email protected]
Relationship Contact
Jayanta Chatterjee
+91 80 4332 6401
[email protected]
Corporate Office
Mr. Vivek Mathur
Mobile: +91 9871221122
Email: [email protected]
Building No. 8, 2nd Floor, Tower A, DLF Cyber City, Phase II, Gurgaon 122002
Ph: +91-124-4545310 (D), 4545300 / 4545800 (B) Fax; +91- 124-4050424
Mumbai Kolkata
Mr. L. Shivakumar Mr. Jayanta Roy
Mobile: +91 9821086490 Mobile: +91 9903394664
Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected]
3rd Floor, Electric Mansion A-10 & 11, 3rd Floor, FMC Fortuna
Appasaheb Marathe Marg, Prabhadevi 234/3A, A.J.C. Bose Road
Mumbai—400025, Kolkata—700020
Board : +91-22-61796300; Fax: +91-22-24331390 Tel +91-33-22876617/8839 22800008/22831411,
Fax +91-33-22870728
Chennai Bangalore
Mr. Jayanta Chatterjee Mr. Jayanta Chatterjee
Mobile: +91 9845022459 Mobile: +91 9845022459
Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected]
907 & 908 Sakar -II, Ellisbridge, 5A, 5th Floor, Symphony, S.No. 210, CTS 3202, Range
Ahmedabad- 380006 Hills Road, Shivajinagar,Pune-411 020
Tel: +91-79-26585049, 26585494, 26584924; Fax: Tel: + 91-20-25561194-25560196; Fax: +91-20-
+91-79-25569231 25561231
Hyderabad
Mr. Jayanta Chatterjee
Mobile: +91 9845022459
Email: [email protected]