What Chemical Engineers Can Learn From Mother Nature
What Chemical Engineers Can Learn From Mother Nature
What Chemical Engineers Can Learn From Mother Nature
What Chemical
Engineers Can Learn
from Mother Nature
conomic pressures on the chemi- The problem
Biological
processes can serve
E cal process industries (CPI), and
particularly on research and de-
velopment, are currently quite
severe. Most specifically, the high cost of
innovation must be reduced if the pros-
The challenge facing the CPI has re-
cently been characterized by J. A. Miller,
chief technical officer of Du Pont, in
these terms:
“In the last 14 years, our net returns
as a model for perity of the CPI is to continue. Success have not been sufficient to allow industry
will require recognizing that the primary to attract the capital needed for sustained
improving the basic function of the engineer is neither analy- growth. We seem trapped in a box de-
sis nor design. It is creating new process- fined by sociopolitical forces and by the
means by which es, products, concepts, and organizations. way we develop and implement technolo-
The only means we have for conducting gy. Our future depends on finding a way
our profession such creative activities is to mimic, in out of this box.”
some sense, the evolutionary processes of The situations in academia and gov-
operates, nature, and even a cursory examination ernment are different, but comparable to
shows that such processes are inherently those in industry: all of us live in fast-
particularly for uncertain and “expensive.” changing environments dominated by
Fortunately, Mother Nature has de- forces that we cannot control. To prosper,
R&D, as this article vised some complex and effective mech- and perhaps even to survive, we must
derived from the anisms for increasing the economy of continually evolve, and we must do so on
evolutionary activity, and some of these many levels. We must react to changing
1996 Institute are already being used by chemical engi-
neers. Others remain to be applied, and
conditions on time scales from hours or
days for discharging immediate responsi-
Lecture suggests. there appear to be ways for us to im-
prove on natural evolution for restricted
bilities, to decades if we wish to have
successful careers.
ranges of creative activity. Moreover, re- Since sociopolitical forces are beyond
cent results of nonlinear dynamics and our direct control, we must all learn to in-
E. N. Lightfoot, complexity theory suggest that there are novate more quickly and economically.
University of Wisconsin powerful innate organizing forces in Moreover, as suggested in Figure 1, it is
the physical world of as yet unrealized the inventive aspect of engineering which
potential. must drive all others, and, at the moment,
The primary purpose of our analysis is it is also that which has received the least
to suggest examination of the rapidly systematic attention.
growing literature in biological evolution It will be suggested below that all evo-
and nonlinear dynamics as bases for im- lutionary processes exhibit similar dy-
proving innovation rates in the CPI. Sug- namics, and that the large literature on bi-
gestions are also made for developing al- ological evolution and dynamics of com-
ternative approaches that are more suit- plex processes should prove helpful for
able to our situation. increasing innovation rates in the CPI.
CHEMICAL ENGINEERING PROGRESS • JANUARY 1998 ©Copyright 1997 American Institute of Chemical Engineers. All rights reserved. Copying and downloading permitted with restrictions.
INSTITUTE LECTURE
Specific examples are given, but we • Even producing anything as im- One can, however, provide an or-
start here with the back side of evolu- pressive as a Shakespeare in what ganization which supports the activ-
tion: its essential wastefulness and turns out to be about 109.6 years by ities of creative people, and empha-
lack of predictability which lie at the simple Darwinian selection is so un- sis below will be on identifying de-
heart of the innovation problem. likely as to be effectively impossible; sirable characteristics of such a
and structure.
Back side of evolution • It follows that biological evolu-
Shown in Figure 2 is a variant of tion uses some tricks that are worth Nature of evolution and
the famous problem posed over two- investigating. We will initiate such an requirements for success
and-half centuries ago by Jonathan investigation below. We shall begin here by para-
Swift (“Travel Into Several Remote However, there is another implicit phrasing Manfred Eigen and define
Nations of the World, by Lemuel lesson which is just as important: evolution as an increase in function-
Gulliver” (1726)): could a Shake- evolution is inherently unpredictable, al efficiency manifesting itself as
speare play be produced by random and no simple random evolutionary the spontaneous generation of useful
typing on what would now be a com- process could produce a Will Shake- information. At least in principle
puter? It is easily shown that it would speare from a primitive life form. He then, evolution can be quantified in
take the order of 10300,000 years to was just one of an exceedingly large terms of information theory. More
type through all the combinations of a number of equally probable results of practically, biological evolution is
120,000 character manuscript or evolution dynamics. most commonly understood as the
10299,990 times the probable age of our This inherent unpredictability is generation of increasingly “fit” liv-
universe. It is immediately clear that the reason that we must always start ing organisms, with fitness defined
such a random process could not pro- with a desired solution, and not in terms of reproductive success.
duce the desired result, and it seems with the analytical tools later need- However, ecological and social
equally obvious that simple trial-and- ed to refine it. That is why there are communities can also be said to
error could hardly produce William asymmetric interactions in Figure 1, evolve, and, for our purposes, we
Shakespeare, either. and why many research programs can generalize this term to concepts,
We, thus, obtain our first useful fail. The leader of any innovative equipment, processes, and indus-
bits of information from evolution group has to have a sense of mis- tries. We need only replace the ad-
dynamics: sion and know what kind of infor- jective “reproductive” by “finan-
• Simple random processes are mation is needed from those work- cial” or other appropriate term.
enormously inefficient. It can be ing at more-detailed levels. No In spite of their obviously distinct
shown by extension that simple Dar- committee of analysts can innovate features, these various evolutionary
winian selection is not a whole lot effectively and one cannot legislate processes share the same small set
better; breakthroughs. of essential characteristics: variation,
Invention
Could Swift's apes type a
Shakespeare play?
No!
Design Production Use
120,000 Characters
Analysis and Technology 10301,008 Combinations
Experiment
10301,000 Years
■ Figure 1. The business of engineering.
Invention is the key element in all
engineering processes, but information
flow is bidirectional.
■ Figure 2.
Magnitude of the
combinatorial problem.
these evolutionary changes are driven ment of which is subject to random ganisms, including mammals, and
by market competition and other replication errors. Moreover, both has important consequences. First,
politicoeconomic forces. However, the RNA sequences and replication there are no well-defined species,
the interplay of concepts and imple- error rates can be determined exper- only groups of closely related indi-
mentation, the analog of the biologi- imentally. These viruses can then be viduals now normally known as
cal reproductive cycle, has not been used to test Darwinian evolution “quasi-species.” Second, diversity
studied in sufficient detail to give a dynamics quantitatively by subject- is a source of robustness for all or-
real understanding of the process. ing a stable culture to an abrupt ganisms and even ecosystems. This
In many cases, for example, chro- change in conditions, measuring its point has relevance for all human
matography, we can actually pinpoint response rate, and characterizing organizations: hiring in one’s own
the initial discovery and the circum- the new dominant sequence. Such image is a dangerous procedure
stances leading to it, and there are tests, by Manfred Eigen and others, leading to inflexibility and limited
many detailed discussions of creativi- produced some major surprises — capacity for dealing with changing
ty. Moreover, it is widely recognized and the first quantitative characteri- circumstances.
that some individuals are more cre- zation of evolution dynamics. By extension, generalists, such
ative than others. However, we seem The first surprise was that re- as rats and coyotes, tend to fare
far from optimum fostering of cre- sponse to change was very much much better in fast-changing envi-
ativity, and this is clearly an impor- faster than predicted, and it was ronments than specialists like the
tant area for future research. found that this speed results from famous dodo bird. The current per-
Further exploration of these heterogeneity in the original cul- ilous conditions of Hawaii’s highly
ideas must wait on a more-detailed ture: there is always a multidimen- specialized birds and plants are cur-
study of what is known about evo- sional distribution of base se- rent examples, but some academic
lution dynamics, and we now begin quences about the mean, or a domi- departments and industrial organi-
this process. nant sequence known as the “wild zations may soon illustrate this
type.” Some of these variants are same principle.
Darwinian dynamics better adapted to the new conditions The third surprise is in the rela-
and the error catastrophe than the previously dominant strain tion of evolutionary speed to error
The simplest of organisms are and, thus, need little or no evolu- rates, suggested in Figure 4 for a
small viruses whose genes consist tionary sequence modification. reasonable virus model. Shown here
of single strands of RNA, each ele- Such diversity occurs for all or- are the frequencies of variants dis-
tributed about a wild type as a func-
tion of error rate in RNA replica-
tion. Here d is the number of indi-
1.0
vidual RNA elements differing from
those in the wild type. It may be
seen that the fraction of individuals
corresponding to the mean, or wild
d = 0 (Master)
type, steadily decreases as the error
rate increases, but the mean remains
stable up to the error threshold. Up
Error Threshold
to this point then, information is re-
Relative Population Number, xd
Kilotons/yr
1E3
dN /dt = kN P 2
P N
kP , kN = constants British Pig Iron
1E2
wards, but that this happy situation proportional to the population of P2. past decades provide a classic ex-
reverses abruptly at a finite level of This leads to the very fast hyperbol- ample of trying to reach too far
risk. As a result, there is a danger- ic kinetics and makes up in speed with existing resources and suffer-
ous tendency to become increasing- for a high error rate. Such a pro- ing repeated error catastrophes as a
ly bold — and to encounter disaster cess, called a hypercycle, is known result. Synthetic fuels programs
just as success seems most spec- to occur, and there are in fact many provide another example.
tacular. The newspapers are full of more complex and powerful vari-
examples. ants known. It is one of nature’s Roles of DNA and sex
ways of getting around replication Single RNA strands proved too
Hypercycles errors, and there are indeed nonbio- error-prone, even with the aid of hy-
It is found that most small virus- logical hypercycles. percycles, to support the evolution
es operate just below their error One is the Industrial Revolution of bacteria, let alone the macroscop-
threshold, and that each variant in England during the eighteenth ic life forms we see around us. As a
grows at its own exponential rate. and early nineteenth centuries. result, the genes of almost all inde-
However, the number of errors per Thus, it is shown in Figure 6 that pendently existing life forms be-
generation increases with base se- British iron production rose at a came organized into very long dou-
quence length, and above a certain faster-than-exponential rate. A com- ble strands of DNA, which permit
size, error rates of RNA replication bination of circumstances, including very low copying error rates. How-
exceed the expected error threshold. Justus Liebig’s demonstration that ever, these low error rates also
This limitation would prevent the North European agriculture could be strongly inhibit adaptation, especial-
development of all higher organ- made more productive by use of ly if changes can only be passed
isms, and one consequence is that phosphate fertilizer, caused an enor- down along single lines of descent.
simple Darwinian dynamics could mously vigorous increase of popula- This problem was resolved by the
not produce the myriad of species tion, well being, and productivity in development of sexually based re-
we see around us. The first biologic the north of England. It is probable production which permits recombi-
response to this problem was devel- that American biotechnology and nation of large segments of DNA
opment of autocatalytic replication the computer industry are currently between pairs of individuals without
which permits faster than exponen- enjoying mutually supportive hyper- frequent catastrophic errors. Such
tial growth rates and, thus, raises cycles, and there have been many homologous recombination, sug-
the error threshold. other historical examples. gested in Figure 7, proved a very
A very simple example is shown The lesson for engineers is that difficult process, with both pheno-
in Figure 5 for a virus whose geno- research should begin paying its typic aspects (mating rituals) and
type is denoted as P and the pheno- way as early as possible, providing genotypic (meiosis). Its develop-
type as N. Here, the P form acts as income streams before ultimate ment was very slow: some two-and-
its own catalyst and to a first ap- goals have been met. The repeated a-half billion years, or more than
proximation rate of N formation is failures of fuel cell technology over twice as long as required for the de-
new approaches. For example, the narrow range of solutions that can acting with as wide a variety of other
use of “evolutionary algorithms” be handled by these familiar tech- professionals as possible.
modeled on Darwinian evolution, niques, and we make the claim here An important early step is estab-
which is to say complete ignorance, that this is best done by a hierarchi- lishing an approximate structure for
is unlikely to be efficient. cal sequence of carefully selected the problem at hand which identifies
approximations. the aspects of primary importance
Biological evolution The first step is the fundamental and their interrelations with each
problems creative one of establishing a new other. This requires a good grasp of
There is a wide variety of at- concept, and here biology has little to orders of magnitude and must in-
tractive biological problems for offer: in spite of many emphatic clude a practical familiarity with ex-
chemical engineers, and rapidly claims to the contrary, no one knows isting technology. Miller’s text is
mutating viruses are a prime exam- how or in what circumstances the first particularly useful here in emphasiz-
ple. John Yin at Dartmouth has al- living species arose. What is needed ing the importance of visualization,
ready begun such an investigation, here is a “creative” generalist who usually through rough sketches. It is
and there is plenty of room for more. has a wide experience and knowledge essential to avoid excess detail at
The problems of antibiotic resistance of available technology. The works of this early stage.
of bacteria is a pressing problem, J. H. Holland can be useful here and The next step is the use of geome-
and gene therapy is clearly in need also analytical biographies describing try-insensitive correlations to obtain
of attention. Bernhard Palsson of the the psychology and personalities of improved descriptions, and then one
University of California at San creative individuals. A. I. Miller’s goes on to successively more-refined
Diego has already shown that heuris- “Insights of Genius” is one of the calculations and experiments.
tic application of classic mass-trans- more recent, but there are many. The most important point is that
fer theory can be helpful in this lat- There is no substitute for studying the we are normally looking for anoma-
ter problem. lives of creative individuals and inter- lies: solutions that are better than
Frances Arnold of Cal Tech is brute-force ones based on some gen-
using modifications of genetic algo- eral formula. Such approaches can
rithms which she calls “directed evo- only be taught or discussed intelli-
lution” for development of improved E. N. LIGHTFOOT is Emeritus Hilldale Professor, gently by example. CEP