Assessing Mediators and Moderators
Assessing Mediators and Moderators
1) From theory / hypotheses, identify your main predictor of interest (IV1), the potential
mediator(IV2), and the outcome variable (DV).
If both IV1 and IV2 are categorical, simply use the factorial ANOVA technique and
test for significant interaction effects.
If at least one of your IVs is continuous, proceed with check-list.
2) Prepare the data set by (a) centering all continuous variables other than the outcome
variable (compute IV – mean score for the IV) and,(b) if you have a categorical mediator,
dummy code it. Then create a new variable for the interaction term (centered predictor
by centered moderator) and, if your moderator was categorical (with more than 2
categories), dummy code the interaction term.
3) Perform a new regression analysis, with centered predictor and centered moderator in
their appropriate order (within your regression model), and then the interaction term ain
a separate block. “Force enter” all variables.
If the interaction term is significant, then there is a moderation effect. If not, there
is no moderation occurring.
4) To interpret the meaning of the moderator, the moderator itself should not contribute
significantly to the regression mode.
If there is no significant relationship between IV2 and DV, then it is clear that IV2
is the moderator.
However, if both IVs are correlated with the DV, then it is mathematically
impossible to determine which IV is actually the moderator, and which IV is the
main predictor. You have to rely on theory instead.
Mediator/moderator worksheet
2) Examine all the bivariate correlations between the predictor variable, the potential
mediator, and the outcome variable. Are these relationships significant?
If no- then there is no mediation effect (though it might be useful to assess for
moderation). If yes, then proceed.
3) In your main regression model, does the predictor explain a significant proportion of the
variance in the outcome variable?
If no- then there is no relationship to mediate. If yes, then you can proceed to
step 4 to see if the mediator “explains away” that relationship.
4) Perform another regression, this time using the mediator as the outcome variable, and
the predictor of interest as your predictor (omit all other variables in your model). Does
it explain a significant proportion of the variance in the mediator?
If no- then it will not function as a mediator. If yes- then proceed to step 5.
5) Enter the mediator into your original regression model, in the same block as the
predictor variable (force entered). Does the previously significant relationship between
your predictor and your outcome variable become reduced, or non-significant?
If yes, then you have a mediation effect. If no, then you do not.
6) Note that, in a complex model where there are other predictors besides your variables of
interest, they should be retained in the regressions that are run in step 3 and step 5.
The key thing to remember is that, in such a situation, the interpretation involves
discussing the relationships “in the presence of [the other variables].”