Exercises Point Estimation
Exercises Point Estimation
List of exercises
Point estimation
1. In a box there are θ balls, numbered from 1 to θ . A random sample of 3 balls was drawn with
replacement, having obtained (13, 5, 9). Compute an estimate for θ using the method of moments
and the maximum likelihood method, and compare them.
3. Consider a Poisson random variable X describing the number of faults in a piece of fabric from the
production of a certain firm. The Poisson parameter θ=E ( X ) represents the average number of
faults per piece of fabric in the total production of the firm.
However, rather than in θ , we can be interested in another quantity, for instance the proportion of
faultless pieces of fabric from the total production. Find the expression of such proportion as a
function of θ .
4. The time it takes a student to answer an exam question (in minutes) follows an exponential
distribution with parameter λ . A random sample of 40 questions gave a total of 480 minutes.
a) Obtain the maximum likelihood estimate of λ .
b) Compute the maximum likelihood estimate for the proportion of questions that are answered in
less than 15 minutes.
c) Consider an exam with 8 questions. What is the probability of answering all questions, given
that the maximum time allowed for the exam is 2 hours?
5. The repair time (minutes) of a certain type of machine, say X, follows a Normal distribution with
unknown parameters. A random sample of 10 repair times gave:
∑i =1 xi = 846 and ∑i =1 xi2 = 71607
10 10
Estimate the probability of the repair time being less than 83 minutes.
8. Traffic between 8am and 9am at a certain place was measured counting the number of vehicles that
passed at that time. Suppose the counts follow a Poisson process. A random sample of 9
observations was collected, having observed the following number of vehicles:
(95, 100, 80, 70, 110, 98, 97, 90, 70).
a) Derive the maximum likelihood estimator for the average number of vehicles that pass by that
place between 8am and 9am, and compute the corresponding estimate using the above sample.
b) Show that the estimator you found is consistent and the most efficient.
c) Compute the maximum likelihood estimate for the probability that no vehicles pass during at
least two minutes.
10. The maximum height of the waves (meters) at a certain beach is represented by a random variable
with the following density function:
x
f (x∣θ )= exp −
θ { }
x2
2θ
( x > 0) .
a) Obtain the maximum likelihood estimator for θ from the random sample ( X 1 , X 2 , , X n ) .
b) Show that the Fisher information equals 1/θ2 . (Note: X 2 follows an exponential distribution
with mean equal to 2θ ).
c) Show that the above estimator is unbiased, and study its efficiency.
d) Suppose that in the last six years the following maximum heights were observed:
3.1, 2.4, 2.6, 2.2, 1.9, 2.8.
Compute an estimate for P( X >3 ) .