rESr coDE 02105020 -l

FORM TP 2018142 MAY/JUNE 20I8

CARIBBEAN EXAMINATIONS COUNCIL

CARIBBEAN ADVANCED PROFICIENCY EXAMINATION@
APPLIED MATHEMATICS
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
UNIT 1-Paper02
2 hours 30 minutes

READ THE FOLLOWING INSTRUCTIONS CAREFULLY.

l. This paper consists of six questions. Answer all questions.

2. Write your answers in the spaces provided in this booklet.

3. Do NOT write in the marsins.

4. Unless otherwise stated in the question, all numerical answers MUST be given exactly
OR to three significant figures as appropriate.

5. If you need to rewrite any answer and there is not enough space to do so on the
original page, you must use the extra lined page(s) provided at the back ofthis booklet.
Remember to draw a line through your original answer.

6. If you use the extra page(s), you MUST write the question number clearly in
the box provided at the top of the extra page(s) and, where relevant, include the
question part beside the answer.

xamination Materials:

A list of mathematical formulae and tables (Reviqed 2Ol2\

DO NOT TURN THIS PAGE UNTIL YOU ARE TOLD TO DO SO.

Copyright O 201 7 Caribbean Examinations Council

All rishts reserved.

or oso2o/cAPE 20r 8 iltil ililt ililt lflt ilil lilt ililt iltil ililr ililt ilil ilrl
L
|

021 0502003
 -4-

SECTION A

MODULE 1: COLLECTING AND DBSCRIBING DATA

Answer BOTH questions.

1. (a) For EACH of the following variables, state whether the data collected are discrete or
continuous:

Number of performers at last month's jazz concert

Times recorded for the athletes in the 100 m race

The heights of the players in the basketball team

[3 marks]

(b) Classify EACH of the following data as either quantitative or qualitative:

The texture of the material used to make the tent cover

The number of phone calls that come into the switchboard in the last hour

The heights of the parsley plants in the plant nursery

[3 marks]

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02 105020/CAPE 2018
|il]iltilflililtiltt||iltillllllllilllllillllillillllll
lijj' _l
t-r,--------l
i-1111- 1 I
[-:-r-----
-,-- l
t-111- I
I
jjjjj_ _
l

-5-

l--:=F:':l
(c) Classify EACH of the following as either a population or a sample:
[--+;\.']
f-'rr\l --l
f:.€ij
1.1+'.1 The 100 cars sold at the Quality Cars dealership last year
[-:-----Y ]

fr:ta:1-l
F--'\a:-l
FIFT
l-:.E{J
r------ -,-,-,1

i..R.1
t:=+l
r-_-ti--l
The 100 patients selected to test the new asthma medication
:+\t l
:--H'l
::lia.:
:i$l
L'_E---l
r:.h{i The 100 children who attend the Maeic Isle Primarv School
1..€ll
F:-Ei1
r:--_---'-_-1
i--rt----1
r-'A----l
:_-_r=L:l

ijjjjj:
[3 marks]
i:---------:l
!:_-_---,__ I
::---------1]
l:_-_-_-_--11 (d) The distribution of students in a sixth-form college, arranged by sex and year level, is
;::::: -l
shown in the table below.
t-'-'-'-'-'- - I
i-_---_--,_,_,f

:-__-! 1 Year
r-t;+---l
r-tra-l Sex I )
i.gl
Llrllrj l
Male 175 100
i-:.(a---l
r--!ra-
lltt'_f
-l
Female 275 200
i.}l--l
i:i!+l
'-ts'.1
:..{ii.:l A random sample of size 30 is taken, without replacement, from the students.
f-]:!i1'l
:.-.f--1
:-,tia,_l
:.E{.1
:-:g-..1
(i) Using the stratified sampling method, calculate the number of Year I males that
,:E:j would be in the sample.
:-:{=J
rjA-.!
l -.\a I
:e.r
:.{.:l
:--V l
lr/t--i
:-*t--j
:l-------,l
'-------a
;--:-_- _
l
:--_-_-_____l

:--.'.-.-.-.1
rr,r-_-_- J
i---:- _
l
:---_-- ,,l
:__---_-_--J

:::::1:l
'-.+a.'l
:i-a{--l
._-_t\t---l
:-€.']
-'-'i;;--'-t
[3 marks]
,-._.s:.--t
i-{ai:
'--rx:l
'---rri-,-l
r,f!!+.i
::E{:l

=:j
.--rri-.--l

i$']
:.1--'l
:'.\+ - l
:F+l
::iX-j-i
:-lri{-!
:.....-_-l

.ial
ii;{.1
---fi;r-l
_--xT.--t
-t-- -,-:,,1
'---"------
GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE
"'--,-,-,-,'J
-l

"""---,-,
- l
02 10s020/cAPE 201 8
"-,-,---,-,_-l
-:__, --l

L
_ _
-,-,"'-'---
---------'-- - l
-t
|ilril ililtililttililtil]]iltilil riltililt ilil ilil flrl
ji.jj'-l 021 0502005
 -6

(i i) Describe ONE advantage and ONE disadvantage associated with stratified random
sampling.

Advantase

[2 marksl

(e) A class of 20 students was given a quiz. The marks obtained by the students are recorded
below.

5 6 10 1l 12 12 13
1a
IJ 14 t4
14 14 15 16 20 20 25 30
.A
J+ 44

(i) For these marks, determine the

mode.........

median

upper quartile

lower quartile

me4n.........

[7 marks]

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02l.05020lcAPE 2018
liltil ilfilllllilllilll lill lilll lill lllillilllllilllll
 -7 -

(ii) In the space below, construct a box-and-whisker diagram to show the distribution
of these marks.

[4 marks]

Total25 marks
GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE
02 10s020/cAPE 2018

L ill]il ililililil|lil ilil tilfl]il iltililil tillilil

0210502007
il|
r
) (a)
-8-

A survey is conducted at a school to determine the number of Form 5 students who have
siblings (not in Form 5) attending the same school. The results are shown in the following
table.

Number of Siblings 0 2 3 or more

A1
Number of Students 56 28 14

(i) Calculate the size of the sector angles required to represent EACH of the four
categories (0,1,2,3 or more) in a pie chart.

[4 marks]

(ii) Using a radius of 4 cm, draw a clearly labelled pie chart to show this information.

[4 marks]

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02t05020lcAPE 2018
1ilffi I]|l ilil rill lilll lill llil lill lllilllillllllllll
r------l

l
r-------_-_- -
'-----'----i

:,-,,---'-f
f,-,-,:_--l
-9-
a_--:_-_--f
::I::-l
,:-_,------I
'------ - -,,
l (b) As part ofthe qualifications for employment as data entry clerks at a new offshore company,
'...t:
-_-;\t-_1 a speed test is administered to 150 persons applying for positions. Persons who take less
:.!4.1 than 30 minutes to complete the test will be considered for employment. The following
:.'-tii-:-l

...8D-l
j-.ii+--l
table shows the frequency distribution of the times, / minutes, to the nearest minutes, taken
:_.H,j:__l
:-trriii-l by the applicants to complete the test.
i:Iiiil
r.k-l
::f+--l
i-i;i.-:l Time Frequency
i-!!i:l
:-Fr-l
i-!!!i:,]
(l minutes)
'.'6f'l
:-s-_'___1 l0-14 l0
i.E-_l
r-;--,! 'rA
t-F!+l 15-19
i.t):l 20-24
i=I
:-ttl--1
44

:-.4-rl
25-29 40
:+l
30-34 20
35-39 12

(i) State

.-'-" - _,1
i----1 ONE disadvantage of presenting the data in this manner
:-3;:i
j-nif---l
'.q,.]
:rs-_t
r-!a:,1
.--!x{
.--rtar-- -l
I
.--xir--11

...ft.1
i:{*.1 the limits of the third class
:l-airl
:'Ffrl
;,t!ia:,]
i-'iir-!
.t(l
:-s:
:-R1]

:J5'. the boundaries of the fifth class.

lEl
.,r1:.]
J

:--Sli-l
:.sl
:----_-_J [3 marks]
:____-_---_-]
(ii) What does the 24 in the frequency column indicate?

:---_---_-_l
:-_._-_-__ -_-l
i:=--il
r.-i--1
ri:sl
-'.t\l'-'l
..€.1
i.;a-.-l [1 mark]
:.tA-i-l
::E--1
::F_-_l (iii) Determine how many applicants would be considered for employment based on
:-F-f--l
the results of the test?
.,al
:-ri_--l
;Gi l
.-I!i l
"-J\+--l
,.!tl
_,.*--f
:1-i-\----j

:f!{'''l
:tti -1
[2 marksl
€r
-f'\--']
--r|ir.l
--E{i.l
r-- - -.,,1
:''''-'-'-l
:-'.. ---..1
CO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE
02 105020/CAPE 2018
:__--_-_-_:l

jijij 1'l

L
:--____---l
ililt ilil iltil ililt rilil ilil ililr flil ill
:,::,__--l
:1::1:l r ililr ililt rfit
:_,-_-_----_-_l
:'-_,_
_---_,1
021 0502009
 -10-

(iv) State the

modal class

t
I

median class.
I

i;;il;i
(v)Calculateestimatesforthemeantimetakenandthestandarddeviationofthetimes
provided'
taken. Show your working in the space

Time FrequencY
(l minutes)

10-14 l0

a1
15-19 L.-l

20-24 44

25-29 40

30-34 20

3s-39 t2

. Mean time taken

[4 marksl

GO ON TO THE NE,XT PAGE

02l05020lcAPE 2018
I illlllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll
 - 1l -

. Standard deviation of the times taken

[5 marks]

Total25 marks
GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE
02 105020/0APE 2018

L |ililililililtrilrtilttiltilil1ilill]ill||iltililtl
0210502011
 -12-

SECTION B

MODULE 2: MANAGING UNCERTAINTY

Answer BOTH questions.

(a) (i) Given that R and T are two mutually exclusive events and that

P(R):0.6 and P(R U T):0.8, determine P(T).

[2 marksl

(i i) K and L are two independent events such that P(K) : 0.4 and P(K n L):0.32-
Calculate P(L).

[2 marks]

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

021050201cAP8 2018
I lillt ilil lllll llill lllll lill llll lill lilll lllll lll llll
::'j:ri,

=
=.:
- 13 -
:==

=
:-vr-- (iii) The events M and N are such that P(M) : 0.48, P(N):0.56 and P(M U N):0.76.
i-Jir+:
..€.
Calculate P(M n N) and P(M|N).
:rt a:
:-J5,i:
:-i*i-:
:-.Fi--
P(M n N)
:.k:
:-l*i:
:-i;'--:
:Frt-l
:H-l
:-l_ia-l
.:${:

.r*.
:-A-_:
:_-\,:
:=.
:'A'-i
--.t\----
r-|!rl:

=
:t=

ir= [2 marks]
---=r---.
'-?;+---
--fr{--. P(MlN)
=S:.
1dt--.
-t.!a:
--Fia-.
--ati----
:-lsi-j
r-Ft:
.'El
-:Ltiii:
:l:!ir
.-fht'.'
:Fa-.
-:Ei:-
.gL
jNr

:ii:i
---ti----
r.\t---
:,E...
:i'!\-i-
:--Y--
:-rA_-_-
:*t-:
t-aaaaa,
[2 marksl

a.i=
:--_-_.
:I;l-'-:
.--tta:
:t(.:i
.--!Ft:
:----\---.
it6ir
.'lX-l
:r!ra---,
:+ijr
:Ff-:i
,.t.j
:l|ii'-!
+iil
=f,1
:E+:_l
i(-.l
:.E_-1
:*1--]
:-;:.,f,
:ttif-!

:al
^'J
-ii'l
:\;ril
:Fi.-.--l
:r\I-!
:11:jjl GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE
02 105020/CAPE 20t8

'..-......:
L | ililt tilfl tililflil t]il tilt
0210502013
ilil til[||] til[ til til
 -14-

(b) Afaircoinandafairdiewithfacesnumbered l,2,3,4,5,6arethrowntogetherrepeatedly

in a game. If the coin shows a head, H, the score is the number on the die. If the coin
shows a tail, ! the score is three times the number on the die'

The possibility space diagram below shows the possible scores that may be obtained from
one throw of the coin and the die.

Die

I 7 3 4 f, 6

H I 2
a
J p 5 6
Coin Scores
T q 6 9 t2 15 18

(i) State the values of p and q.

p..'."..'....--

q ........-----..
[2 marks]

(ii) Determine the probability that on one throw

. the score is 6

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02r0s020lcAPE 2018
r ililil ilil lllll llllllilll lill lllll llill lllil llill lill llll
 T

. 15 -

the coin shows a head given that the score is 6.

[4 marks]

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02 105020/CAPE 20t 8

L | illil ililililil iltil ilil

0210502015
tilt ilfl iltil t||il ilil ]il ilil
 t6

(c) A bag contains blue (B) and yellow (Y) marbles, all identical except for colour.
A marble is drawn from the bag, its colour is noted and then it is replaced in
the bag. This process is repeated three times. The probability of drawing a blue

marble first is
l_.3The probability of drawing any subsequent blue marble ir
7. T.

(i) Complete the tree diagram below, to show this process, by filling in the missing
probabilities.

\"

[3 marks]

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02 10s020/CAPE 2018

L I tililililililr tilt ilil

021 050201 6
tilt ilfi iltil ilililil ]il ilt
=
-.--.':-
-....:
:-----,-,-_l
=--_-_-_-_:

-:----_-1 -17 -
-------l
=---------a
::-::=
:_---'.--_.1
j.-.---. .-.-l

:-----.--_,1
:;;.':l (ii) Calculate the probability that
SEII
.Eil . the second marble drawn is yellow
fa-l
_-j{::l
'ir*; - l
:Fi.--l
:Fi--:l

:kl
:r-r+--i

*.+..1
:-t=+-- l
:54,i: - I
Ril
ctl--'-1

:Fi-:l
jfi_Tl
::fl
---E-_-1

:-_-_-_-_'. _1
.-A'-'-1

al
--_y_--1

:_-_-_,---,1

:--_:__--I
:_.:---l
:::1i--'l
:-_---_-_-_f
'---- -. I
:::-,____l
------l

:+rlr:l
E:J
:.*.:l
:-----l-l
:D4-1
:'I*ijl
:i5;----l
+...-j
only ONE yellow marble is drawn
:*_l
*il
--.-l
sil
-ti:.:
--l
{*.t
alE _1

=:j
=j:r
g-i
=ii
3-r:
==
::--:_-:j
:-_-----_;
:-_-_-_--_-l

:jj:.:
:-:j-rj:j

-==---.--1
:______-__1
:-_-_--_-l
:-_-_-----:
i+-1
f$ri
ff.j
-*.J
!,iil
=::
*t---
.!-t+jj
lry-:
*:
H.::
F+.l
M{-_J
Ar+:-l
ttl
E--a
*'-1
trrr-',]
$l
=t
$:r
*I:i
:.---:-'::
:---_-__,:
GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE
=-:t-.-'- 02 105020/CAPE 2018

L
===
=:-_-_-:
-______:
Itililililililtiltililtffittilflil1ililtill|lililililt|
---_-_-_:
0210502017
 -18- -t
. the three marbles are the same
colour'

[8 marksl

Total25 marks

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

o2105020lcAPE 2018
illlllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll
8
J
t- -19-

4. (a) (i) Briefly state FOUR assumptions that are made when modelling data by a binomial
distribution.

[4 marks]

(i i) For EACH of the models described below, state whether or not a binomial model
is appropriate. Give a reason for your answer.

Model I : A die is tossed until a 6 is obtained.

[2 marks]

Model 2: Abag contains 15 bottle caps of 2 different colours: red and green. The
bottle caps are identical except for colour. Five bottle caps are selected one at a
time, without replacement. The number of red bottle caps are recorded.

[2 marks]

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02 105020/CAPE 2018

L ilililltililtilill||ilr]ilrilfl]illililillllilllllilllll
021 050201 9
 -20 -

Model 3: In a darts competition, a turn consists of throwing a dart 5 times. A darts

player believes that the probability that he will hit the bull's eye on the first throw
of a dart is 0.3. If he misses the bull's eye on the first throw, then the probability
of hitting on the second throw is 0.5. For any further throws of the dart, the
probability of hitting the bull's eye is 0.75. X is the number of hits that he makes
in 5 throws of the dart.

[2 marks]

(b) From past records, management of a petrol station has determined that 60% of the customers
will use their debit card to pay for petrol.

(i) For a random sample of 12 customers, write the distribution for the random variable
X, the number of customers who will pay for their petrol with a debit card, and
calculate the probability that exactly 8 customers will pay for their petrol with
debit cards.

Distribution for the random variable. X

[3 marks]

Probability that exactly 8 customers will pay with debit cards

[3 marks]

(i i) For a random sample of 80 customers, how many customers are expected to pay
with debit cards?

[2 marks]

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

0210502010APE 2018
ilililtliltilillil[]iltilfl]lllilllllllillllllllll
 -21 -

(iii) Use a normal distribution to approximate the probability that more than
55 customers will pay for their petrol with debit cards. (Assume a random
sample of 80 customers.)

-::hii
'-1q-.'.
--lEL--

:lE
-.-N-:
jA--'-
r--tlrl--

t:-.-.;

:=!i
.T;t.'
:*f--
."S.

[7 marks]

Total25 marks

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02 105020/CAPE 2018

L | iltil ilil ililt tilr ilil tilt l]||

0210502021
iltil il|| lfi l til ill
r
!

,,.'

SECTION C

MODULE 3: ANALYSING AND INTERPRETING DATA

Answer BOTH questions.

3. (a) The length of time, x hours, for a sample of 200 cars parked in car park is Ir: 358.2 and
2* :773.18.
Denoting the population mean and variance of the parking times by p, and o2 respectively,
calculate the unbiased estimates of p and o2, and a symmetric 90o% confidence interval for
tl.

O Unbiased estimates of p, and o2

[5 marks]

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02105020/0APE 2018
| ililil ilil il||t tilt lil] tilillll lililill ililt til iltl
 -23 -

( ii) Symmetric 90o% confidence interval for p

[4 marks]

(b) Analysis of the purchases at a snack bar over a long period shows that55Yo ofthe customers
buy a hot drink. Using a suitable approximation, find the probability that in a random
sample of 120 customers, 77 or more will buy a hot drink.

[6 marks]

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02 105020/CAPE 2018

L | ililt ililt tilt iltil ilil

0210502023
ililt ililt ililt ililt ilil ril ill
 -24 -

(c) A farmer grows a new variety of potato. A random sample of 80 roots of the new variety
is harvested and weighed to determine the number of kg, .r, per root. It is found that the
mean value of x is 3.20 kg per root, and the standard deviation is 0.50 kg per root. Based
on his knowledge of the land, the farmer expected 3.30 kg per root.

You are required to test atthe 4Yo level whether the sample provides significant evidence
that the crop is NOT what the farmer expected.

(i) State, in symbols, appropriate null and alternate hypotheses for the test.

Null hypothesis ............

Alternate hypothesis
[2 marks]

(ii) Determine the critical region(s) for the test.

[2 marks]

(iii) Calculate the value of the test statistic.

[3 marks]

(iv) State your conclusion, giving a reason for your answer.

[3 marks]
Total25 marks
GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE
02 L05020/CAPE 2018

L lil]ilil||lilttilltl|]]iltililttiltililttilttililrl
0210502024
 -25 -

6. (a) A market researcher records the number of advertisements for vehicles in each of three
categories on three TV channels over a period of time.

A X,2 test is carried out at the 5oh level of significance to determine whether or not there
is evidence of the proportion of advertisements for each type of vehicle being dependent
on the channel.

(i) Formulate a null and an alternate hypothesis for this test.

Null hypothesis ............

Alternate hypothesis

[2 marks]

(ii) Complete the following table which shows the observed (O) and the expected (E)
frequencies of the results of the research.
-+rt---l+i:
iJ.H
-1::f--S+
I r-t-_-_-_-_-_-_
TJ..E
-ti+---r+ Channel 1 Channel2 Channel 3
T iL---l-!1
.r-+--s+ Total
1iJ:-Gr''---
-t-i,I_-_Ei:
o E o E o E
-+il'ft,
J:{:-$
-l,rjl---.x
-1:rl---;----1 Honda 69 5 5.55 35 46.15 28
1i1. f*
_|r-T--'cr
ti-t-:sJ
+J'.e'
+ 5_r_:_---_-_- Kia 20 28 23.38 l8
1it-.ra:
-l-.-irV
-l-r-t-:rA-
li-t'.+ri
J::-T,:,r----
Toyota t2 22 8
-liil-=-a
-Il-l:-------:
+l-T-:- ---
Total 240
:ti-T-:--------

[4 marks]
iuj+:l-i;i:
:fil-la{
:l-rl----r,r{.1
:H n<
'.fili:;r
l,;fj€ii'
'-fil- \.
il:f.'.!F+
+i+.r*i
rtJ-'-tif
-+:-T-_----_-_:

i+=
-_i-T--r*-

:-!-+:'{,1:
::+1..t-_-
rl+',-l+*
'-lt:-ft
- +:t-__*_
:_fJ.'.fr-
i-+J,',1-r
:.tJ..A-,

lJi..R
.iF.'al'
-fJ-T.--r|{r
.fHJ \J
GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE
02 105020/CAPE 201 8
;F.r:...

li=.... L | ililr ililr ililililr ilil

0210502025
tilt flilt iltil il|| ililt ]il ill
 -26-

(iii) Calculate the I'test value.

[4 marks]

(iv) Determine the critical region of the test at the 5%o levelof significance.

[3 marks]

GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE

02 105020/CAPE 2018

| ilIil ilflil1t tilt ilil til[]il tilfl]il ilfl til ilil

 -27 -

(v) Clearly state the conclusion that may be drawn from this test.

:F-
:?

1+

ir-
-1+

- lt-
-1+

[2 marks]

(b) An Internet service provider runs a series of television advertisements at weekly intervals.
To investigate the effectiveness of the advertisements, the company records the viewing
figures in millions, v, for the programme in which the advertisement is shown, and the
number of new customers, c, who sign up for its service the next day. The results are
summarized as follows:

v:4.92, V: t0+.+. S,.: 594.05, S,,,,: 85.44.

(i) Calculate the equation of the regression line, c on v, in the form c: a * bv.

[4 marks]

(ii) Give an interpretation of the constants a and b in this context.

a ................

[2 marks]
GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE
02 105020/cAPE 20r8

L I ilil tilt ililt iltil il|| ilril ilr ilil

lililt tilil ililt ilil
0210502027
 28

(iii) Estimate the number of customers who will sign up with the company the day after
an advertisement is shown during a programme watched by 3.7 million viewers.

[2 marks]

(iv) State TWO factors, other than the number of viewers, that will affect the success
of an advertisement in gaining new customers for the company.

[2 marks]

Total25 marks

END OF TEST

IFYOU FINISH BBFORE TIME IS CALLED, CHECK YOUR WORK ON THIS TBST.

02105020/CAPE 201 8
|iltil tillt ilil rillllllllilllilll lilllllll lllllllilllil