4th Module Notes PDF
4th Module Notes PDF
ENGINEERING ECONOMY
The word Economics has been derived from two Greek words, namely. Oikus and Nemein.
Oikus means "household" and Nemein ineans "management".
Economics is the science that deals with the production and consumption of goods and services
and the distribution and rendering of these for human welfare. The following life the economic
goals.
Interest and its application over time impact the cost of any transaction involving the lending,
borrowing, and investment of money. In fact, the cost of money and_ the time during which
money is tied up in any business decision process are crucial financial management factors.
Science is a field of study where the basic principles of different physical systems are
formulated and tested. Engineering is the application of science. It establishes varied
application systems based on different scientific principles. Price has a major role in deciding
the demand and supply of a product. Hence, from the organization's point of view, efficient
and effective functioning of the organization would certainly help it to provide goods/services
at a lower cost which in turn will enable it to fix a lower price for its goods or services
BASIC ECONOMIC PROBLEMS
1. Allocation of resources:
The wants or requirements of an individual, business firm or the government far exceed the
resources available to satisfy these needs. So with scarce resources, a choice has to be made
regarding which all wants should be satisfied. This allocation of resources has different
objectives in different countries.
Goods are produced, in various ways. For example, agricultural goods can be produced by
using more of labour and less of capital or more capital and less of labor. When the former is
used, it is known as labour intensive method while the latter is known as capital intensive
method.
3. Distribution of goods
After the goods are produced, the question arises as to who is going to receive these and in
what proportion.
4. Utilization of resources:
The next question is arc the resources of the country, such as Men, material and money, fully
utilized or are they underutilized. This leads us to the question of employment of resources.
When resources remain unuti]ized, goods and services do not get produced the cost of which
is very huge for the society to hear. The resources should not only be put to use, but also
efficient utilization of these is necessary.
5. Consumption:
Consumption means the use of resources or wealth in order to satisfy one's needs. It also means
destruction of resources by human beings.
6. Production:
Distribution means distribution of national income among various factors of production. The
land owners get rent, labourers get wages, suppliers of money get rate of interest and organizers
get profit.
Economic activities are measured in terms of money. Bank is the financial institution that
accepts money in the form of deposits and lends it for productive purposes.
When nations trade among themselves, it is denoted as international trade. No country can
produce all the commodities it requires. So in order to satisfy various needs a large number of
items are depending on international trade.
o Engineering economics deals with the methods that enable one to make economic
decisions towards evaluation of design and engineering alternatives. It helps in
examining the relevancy of a project, estimating its value and justifying it from the
engineering viewpoint.
o Engineering economics provides methods that enable one to take economic decisions
towards minimizing costs and/or maximizing benefits to business organizations.
Engineers use the knowledge of engineering economy in performing analysis, synthesizing and
drawing conclusions as they work on projects of all sizes. The success of engineering and
business projects is normally measured in terms of financial efficiency. A project will be able
to achieve maximum financial efficiency when it is properly planned and operated with respect
to its technical, social, and financial requirements. Since engineers understand the technical
requirements of a project, they can combine the technical details of the project and the
knowledge of engineering economy to perform economy study to arrive at a sound managerial
decision.
PROBLEM SOLVING AND DECISION MAKING
The fundamental approach to economic problem solving is to elaborate on the time honoured
scientific method.
The method. is anchored in two worlds: the real, everyday working world and the abstract,
scientifically oriented world as shown in Fig. 4.1.
Problems in engineering and managerial economy originate in the real world of economic
planning, management, and control. The problem is confined and clarified by data from the
real world. This information is combined with scientific principles supplied by the analyst to
formulate a hypothesis is symbolic terms. By manipulating and experimenting with the
abstractions of the real world, the analyst can simulate multiple configurations of reality that
otherwise would be too costly on too inconvenient to investigate.
From this activity a prediction usually emerges. The predicted behaviour is converted back to
reality for testing in the form of hardware designs, or commands. If it is valid, the problem is
solved. If not, the cycle is repeated with the added information that the previous approach was
unsuccessful.
PRINCIPLES OF ENGINEERING ECONOMY
The choice (decision) is among the alternatives. The alternatives are to be identified and then
defined for subsequent analysis. A decision situation involves making a choice among two or
more alternatives. Developing and defining the alternatives for direct evaluation is important
because of the resulting impact on the quality of the decision.
Only the difference in expected future outcomes among the alternatives is relevant to their
comparison and should be considered when making the decision. If all prospective outcomes
of the feasible alternatives were exactly the same, then there would be no basis or need for
comparison. We would be indifferent to the alternatives and make decision on the basis of
random selection.
The prospective outcomes of the alternatives, economic and other, should be consistently
developed from a defined viewpoint (perspective). It is important that the viewpoint for a
particular decision be first defined and then used consistently in the description, analysis and
comparison of the alternative.
Uncertainty is inherent in projecting for estimating the future outcomes of the alternative
recognized m their analysis and comparison.
Principal 7: Revisit your decision
Improved decision-making results from an adoptive process. To the extent practicable, the
projected outcomes of the selected alternative should he subsequently compared with the actual
results achieved.
The subject matter of Economics has been divided into two parts Microeconomics and
Macroeconomics.
Microeconomics deals with the analysis of individual units and small groups of individual units
such as individual income, price and demand for a product, supply of a goods, etc. Two
conditions of the mixed economy that are most important for microeconomics, including
efficiency, and equity, that are generally desired by society and pursued by governments
throi1gh economic policies
Macroeconomics is the study of economics system as a whole. It deals with the study of
aggregates covering the entire economy such as national income, national product, general
price level, employment, aggregate demand, aggregate supply, and so on.
Macroeconomics is focused on the movement and trends in the economy as a whole, while in
microeconomics the focus is placed on factors that affect the decisions made by firms and
individuals. The factors that are studied by macro and micro will often influence each other,
such as the current level of unemployment in the economy as a whole will affect the supply of
workers.
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN MICROECONOMICS AND MACROECONOMICS
o Present Worth
Present worth, Present Value and Principal all represent the value of money at time zero, which
is the beginning of the engineering economic analysis period under investigation. In formulas,
the present sum of money may be labelled as PW, PV, P or P0. All four of these symbols
represent the same initial time frame, which is time zero.
o Future Worth
Future worth (FW), future value (F) or (F0) represent the future sum of money including
principal plus interest. Future values occur at any point in time in the future and they are usually
designated as the end of the engineering economic analysis period if they are the last activity
to occur in the analysis period. The future worth of present values, and payments and
disbursement streams, includes interest on the money interested or withdrawn from an account.
Annuity(A) is characterized by
• Equal payment
• Equal periods between payments and
• The first payment occurring at the end of the first period.
A series of payments made at the beginning instead at the end of each period is referred to as
annuity due. In this case, calculation will be slightly different from general annuity. It will
differ in the following ways
o Salvage value
The salvage value is what an asset is worth at the end: of its useful life. In engineering economic
analysis, the salvage value is represented by a future value occurring at the end of the analysis
period. It is not always possible to accurately determine what a future salvage value of an asset
will be; therefore, for the purpose of an analysis, a reasonable salvage value is assumed and
included· in the calculations. Many times, salvage values for similar items from previous
projects are incorporated into a new analysis.
o Sunk Cost
Sunk cost is a difficult concept to understand when performing engineering economic analysis.
Sunk cost represents funds not recoverable because they have already been expended sometime
in the past. This is known as the past cost of an equipment/asset.
o Marginal Cost
Marginal cost of a product is the cost of producing an additional unit of that product.
o Marginal Revenue
Marginal revenue of a product is the incremental revenue of selling an additional unit of that
product.
o Opportunity Cost
In practice, if an alternative (A) is selected from a set of competing alternatives (A,B), then the
corresponding investment in the selected alternative is not available for any other purpose. If
the same money is invested in some other alternative (B), it may fetch some return. Since the
money is invested in the selected alternative (A), one has to forego the return from the other
alternative (B). The amount that is foregone by not investing in the other alternative (B) is
known as the opportunity cost of the selected alternative (A). So the opportunity cost of an
alternative is the return that will be foregone by not investing the same money in another
alternative.
o Capitalized Cost
Capitalized cost is a term used in engineering economics and it refers to the present worth of a
project with an infinite life. In other words, capitalized cost is a lump sum of money needed
today (t = 0) to support an infinite life project simply on earned interest only. The concept of
capitalized cost usually applies to public projects such as airports, bridges, dams, and long-
term private projects such as hospitals and private airports. Since most present value interest
factors are the same after 50 to 100 years depending on interest rates, the concept of perpetual
annuity may be used to detem1ine the present worth of infinite life projects as capitalized cost.
Since it is difficult to calculate the capitalized cost of a project with a stream of infinite cash
flows when they vary from year to year or they occur irregularly, it is necessary first to convert
those cash flows to a uniform series or annuity and then use the perpetual annuity concept to
calculate the capitalized cost of that project.
INTEREST FORMULAS
Interest rate can be classified into simple interest rate and compound interest rate. In simple
interest, the interest is calculated, based on the initial deposit for every interest period. In this
case, calculation of interest on interest is not applicable. In compound interest, the interest for
the current period is computed based on the amount (principal plus interest up to the end of the
previous period) at the beginning of the current period. The notations which are used in various
interest formulae are as follows:
• P = principal amount
• n = No. of interest periods
• i = interest rate (It may be compounded monthly, quarterly, semiannually or annually)
• F = future amount at the end of year n
• A= equal amount deposited at the end of every interest period
• G = uniform amount which will be added/subtracted period after period to/ from the
amount of deposit A 1 at the end of period 1
The time value of money is important when one is interested either in investing or borrowing
the money. If a person invests his money today in bank savings, by next year he will definitely
accumulate more money than his investment. This accumulation of money over a specified
time period is called as time value of money. The time value of money is generally expressed
by interest amount. The original investment or the borrowed amount (i.e. loan) is known as the
principal. The amount of interest indicates the increase between principal amount invested or
borrowed and the final amount received or owed.
In case of an investment made in the past, the total amount of interest accumulated till now is
given by total amount to be received- original investment (i.e., principal amount). Similarly, in
case of a loan taken in past, the total amount of interest is given by amount of interest = Present
amount owed - original loan (i.e., principal amount)
In both the cases there is a net increase over the amount of money that was originally invested
or borrowed.
When the interest amount is expressed as the percentage of the original amount per unit time,
the resulting parameter is known as the rate of interest and is generally designated as 'i'.
The time period over which the interest rate is expressed is known as the interest period. The
interest rate is generally expressed per unit year. However, in some cases the interest rate may
also be expressed per unit month.
Example 4.1
A person deposited t 1,50,000 in a bank for one year and got t 1,60.000 at the end of one year.
Find out the total amount of interest and the rate of interest per year on the deposited money.
Solution:
1,60,000 - 1,50,000 = 10,000 The rate of interest 'i' per year is given by
Introduction to Engineering Economy 279
~ 10,000
i(%) =v=J'
1,50,000
x 100 = 6.67%
1
= Pxnxi
T 100
Where
IT= total amount of interest
P = Principal amount
n = number of interest periods -
i = rate of interest (%)
Simple interest reflects the effect of time value of money only on the principal amount.
/7=P(I+ !~OJ
The following example will explain the difference between the simple and the compound
interest.
Example: 4.2
A person has taken a loan of amount of~ 1,00,000 from a bank for a period of ~ years.
Estimate the amount- of money, the person will repay to the bank at the end of 5 years for the
following cases;
a) Considering simple interest rate of 8 % per year
b) Considering compound interest rate of 8% per year.
Solution:
(a) Considering the simple interest @ 8 % per year;
The interest for each year= 1,00,000 x 1 x 0.08 = ~ 8000.
The interest for each is year is calculated only on the principal amount i.e., { 1,00,000.
Thus the interest accumulated at the end of each year is constant i.e., { 8000.
The year - by - year details about the interest accrued and amount owed at the end of each
year are shown in Table 4.1. .
Interest amount = P (I + 1 ~ J -
1 8,000 1,08,000
2 8,640 1, 16,640
3 9,331 1,25,971
4 10,078 1,36,049
- 5 10,883 '" 1,46,932
From these calculations it is clear that, in case of compound interest the interest for each year J
is calculated on the principal amount plus the interest amount accumulated till that period.
.:1;;,:.;a1;;i;., ·~ ·~·· -.,.C. "'&=ii•'•.. •• ., .. ., •·-·~u -
~-·!I
End of year 10
Time 0 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
' 10
Year 1 Year 7
In Fig. 4.2 the cash outflows are ~ 100000, ~ 15000 and ~ 25000 occurring at end of year
(EOY) 'O' i.e. at the beginning, EOY '4' and EOY '7' respectively. Similarly the cash inflows
~ 35000, ~ 80000 and~ 45000 are occurring at EOY '3', EOY '6' and EOY '10' respectively .
.
4.17 SINGLE-PAYMENT
•
_ _J
I I I
Jo 2 3 4 n
p i%
Fig. 4.3 : Cash flow diagram of single-payment compound amount
/
282 Construction Management and Entrepreneurship
_j
will be received after n periods at an interest rate of i compounded at the end of every interest
period. The corresp~nding cash flo~ diagr~ is sho1wn in Fig. 4.4. •
ia
p
2 3
i%
4 n
p = F = F(P I F,i,n)
(I:+if . )
where
(PIF, i, n) is termed as single-payment persent worth factor.
Example: 4.4
'
~
A person wishes to have a future sum of ~ 1,50,000 for his son's education after
10 years from now. What is the single-payment that he should deposit now so that he gets the I
desired amount after 10 years? The bank gives 13% interest rate compounded annually.
Introduction to Engineering Economy 283
Solution:
( F = ~ 1,50,000
i = 13%, compounded annually
I' n = 10 years
P = Fl(l + i)n = F(PIF, i, n)
1 1
~ . = 1,50,000 (P/F, 13%, 10) (1 +if = (1+0.13)'0 = 0.295
f
'.{
t;
! = 1,50,000 x 0.295
~ = ~44,250
The person has to invest ~ 44,250 now so that he will get a sum of~ 1,50,000 after 10 years
at 13% interest rate compounded annually.
0 2 3 4
n
A
l i i l A A A A
Fig. 4.5 : Cash flow diagram of equal-payment series compoundamount
In Fig. 4.5,
A = equal amount deposited at the end of each interest period
n = No. of interest periods
i = rate of interest
F = single future amount
The formula to get Fis
(I+if-1
F = A . = A(F I A,i,n)
l
- •'= rr:o: • •••• ·~2dier1• - "'T'""""Ha1;z~•0!'E"KJ;!=~~_,o.~ •"'"TT •-
where
(FIA, i, n) is termed as equal-payment series compound amount factor.
Example 4.5
A person who is now 30 years old is planning for his retired life. He plans to invest an
equal sum of~ 20,000 at the end of every year for the next 30 years starting from the end of
the next y~ar. The bank gives 15% interest rate, compounded annually. Find the maturity
value of his account when he is 60 years old.
Solution:
r,. A =~20,000
n = 30 years
i = 15%
The corresponding cash flow diagram is shown in Fig. 4.6.
F
0 2
i=15%
3 4
l
·1
30
l l l i
20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000
Fig. 4.6 : Cash flow diagram of equal - payment series compound amount
(l+if-1 (l+if-1
F= A . =A(FIA,i,n)
l
(1+0.15)30 -1
= 20,000 (FIA, 15%, 30) = 0.15
= 20,000 x 434.74
= ~ 86,94,800
The future sum of the annual equal payments after 30 years is equal to~ 86,94,800.
. 0 2 3 4
n
l l l l
A A A A A
i =%
Fig. 4.7: Cash flow diagram of equal-payment series compound amount
In Fig. 4.7,
A = equal amount to be deposited at the end of each interest period
n =No ... of interest periods
i = rate of interest
F = single future amount at the end of the nlll period
The formula to get F is
i .
A = F = F(AI F,i,n)
(l+if-1
where
(AIF, i,_n) is called as equal-payment series sinkingfundfactor.
Example 4.6
A company has to replace a present facility after 10 years at an outlay of~ 5,00,000. It
plans to deposit an equal amount at the end of every year for the next 10 years at an interest
rate of 15% compounded annually. Find the equivalent amount that must be deposited at
the end of every year for the next 10 years.
Solution:
F = ~ 5,00,000
n = 10 years
i= 15%
The corresponding cash flow diagram is shown in Fig. 4.8.
5,00,000
= 10%
0 2 3 4
10
l l l l
A A A A A
Fig. 4.8 : Cash flow diagram of equal - payment series sinking fund
1 i
A = F = F( A I F, i, n)
(l+i)'1-1 (1+ir-1
0.15
= 5,00,000 (AIF, 15%, 10) (1+0.15)!0 -1 = 0.049
= 5,00,000 x 0.049
= ~ 24,500
The annual equal amount which must be deposited for 1 O years is ~ 24,500.
t 2 3
i%
4 n
A
i i l i~ A A A
·--iA
Fig. 4.9 : Cash flow diagram of single-payment series present worth amount
·"'
I
A A A A
·-i
Fig. 4.10 : Cash flow diagram of equal-payment series present recovery amount
In Fig. 4.10,
p = present worth (loan amount)
A = annual equivalent payment (recovery amount)
i = interest rate
n =No. of interest periods
The formula to compute A is as follows:
~ ,,.
A1 ·~
A1+G
H'
.
A1 +2G v
A1+3G
A1+(n-1 )G
Fig. 4.11 : Cash flow diagram of equal-payment series sinking fund
i .
288 Construction Management and Entrepreneurship
A= Al+G(l+i)"-in-1
'(1 +')II
l t '
- l
= Al+G(A!G,i,n)
where
(A/G, i, n) is called uniform gradient series factor.
where,
i = the nominal interest rate
C = the number of interest periods in a year.
Example 4.7
-
A person invests a sum of ~ 10,000 in a bank at a nominal interest rate of 10% for
10 years. The compounding is quarterly. Find the maturity amount of the deposit after
10 years.
Solution:
P=~ 10,000
n =IO years
Introduction to Engineering Economy 289
i = 10% (Nominal interest rate)
No. of interest periods per year, C =4
Effective interest rate, R = (I + i/C)C - I
= 0.1038
= (1 + 10%/4)4 - 1
= 10.38%, compounded annually.
F = P(I + R) 11 = 10,000(1 + 0.1038)10
= ~ 26,84 7 .50
A= ~2.500
0 2 3
I I I I I I I
4 5 6 7
Income ~2,50,000
'"
t
Time (Year) _..
0
1-----+-----l------t----t----i
2 3 4 5
i
Expenditure
,.
~6,00,000
~---- 7- ---- ----
•If .. .i.
~40,000
2 3 4 5
0
Time (Year)__... 1----+---+---+---+----t
--------------------·
~4.00,000 \
~70,000
Fig. 4.14 : Cash flow diagram of Alternative-2
Now the equivalent present worth of Alternative - 2 i.e., PW2 is calculated as follows;
The initial cost, P = < 4,00,000 (cash outflow),
Annual operating and maintenance cost, A=< 70,000 (cash outflow),
Salvage ~alue, F = < 1,40,000 (cash inflow).
PW = -4,00,000 - 70,000 (PIA, i, n) + 1,40,000 (PIF, i, n)
PW
2
2
=
-4,00,000- 70,000 (PIA, 10%, 5) + 1,40,000 (PIF, 10%, 5)
.
(1 + i
PW2 = -4,00,000 - 70,000 x i(l +
rir~ 1 + 1 ,40'ooo x (1 +if1 ,
'
···-·• ...
(1+0.1)5 -1 . ]
PW = -4 00 000 - 70,000 x ( )5 + 1,40,000 x
2 ' ' 0.1 1 + 0.1 ( 1 + 0.1) 5
PW2 = -4,00,000-
70,000 x 3.79 + 1,40,000 x 0.62
PW2 = - ~ 5,78,500
Comparing the equivalent present worth of both the alternatives, it is observed that Alternative-
2 will be selected as it shows lower negative equivalent present worth compared to Alternative-I
at the interest rate of I 0% per year.
Example 4.9
Two alternatives for purchase of Transit mixer having same useful life. Proposed the
details of cash flow as follows.
Alternative-I : Initial purchase cost= ~600000,Annual operating and maintenance cost
= ~40000, Expected salvage value= ~250000, Useful life= 5 years.
Alternative-2: Initial purchase cost =~400000, Annual operating and maintenance cost
= ~70000, Expected salvage value = ~I,40,000, Useful life = 5 years.
The annual revenue to be generated from production of concrete (by concrete mixer)
from Alternative-I and Alternative - 2 are ~I,00,000 and ~90000 respectively. Compute the
equivalent present worth of the alternatives at the rate of interest I 0 % per year and find out
the economical alternative.
Solution:
The cash flow diagram of Alternative-I is shown in Fig. 4.15.
~.50,000
~1.00,000
------~-----------·
6,00,000
~40,000
(l+i)'1-1 1
PW =- 600000 + 60000 x + 2,50,000 x --
1 i(l+i)'1 (l+if
(1+0.1)5-1 1
PW = - 600000 + 60000 x 5 + 2,50,000 x 5
I 0.1(1+0.1) (1+0.1)
. .
PWI = -600000 + 60000 x 3.79 + 2,50,000 x 0.62
PW1 =-
~2,17,600
The cash flow diagram of Altemative-2 is shown in Fig. 4.16.
~1,40,000
~90,000
,, ---- \ __ ___ J
·o 2 3 4 5
Time (Year) --+- l-----J.----+-----1----1--~
i
------~-----------·
I ~400000
[ r
~70,000
PW2 = - 400000 - 70000 (PIA, 10%, 5) + 90000 (PIA, 10%, 5) + 140000 (PIF, 10%, 5)
PW2 = - 400000 + (90000- 70000) (PIA, 10%, 5) + 140000 (PIF, 10%, 5) ·
PW2 = - 400000 + 20000 (PIA, 10%, 5) + 140000 (PIF, 10%, 5)
(l+if-1 - 1
PW = ~ 400000 + 20000 x + 140000 x --
2 i(l+if (l+if
(1+0.1)5 -1 1
PW2 = - 400000 + 20000 x ( 5 + 140000 x
0.1 1 + 0.1) ( 1 + 0.1 )5
PW2 = -400000 + 20000 x 3.79 + 140000 x 0.62
PWI = - ~ 2,37,400
294 Construction Management and Entrepreneurship
,.
Iii Comparing the equivalent present worth of the both the alternatives, it is observed that
• Alternative-I will be selected as it shows lower cost compared to Alternative-2. The annual revenue
I to be generated by the alternatives made the difference as compared to the outcome obtained in
Exam~le-4.8 (Alternative 2 selected).
Example 4.10
An engineer has two bids for an excavator to be installed in a new building. The details
of the bids for the excavator are as follows:
Determine which bid should be accepted, based on the present worth method of
comparison assuming 18% interest rate, compounded annually.
Solution:
Bid 1 : Company A
Initial cost, P = ~ 10,50,000
Annual operation and maintenance cost, A = ~ 60,000
Life= 15 years
Interest rate, i = 18%, compounded annually.
The cash flow diagram of bid 1 is shown in Fig. 4.17.
.------.----,----.----r--·-·--i
0 2 3 4 . . 15
0 2 3 4 15
70,000 70,000
·--i
70,000
70,000 70,000
11,00,000 i=18%
Fig. 4.18 : Cash flow diagram of bid 2
.1
0 2 3 4
2,50,000
Fig. 4.20 : Cash flow diagram of alternative X
Introduction to Engineering Economy,
297
The annual equivalent revenue for alternate X
AE/20%) = - 2,50,000 (A/P, 20%, 5) + 90,000 + 20,000 (AIF, 20%, 5)
= - 2,50,000(0.334) + 90,000 + 20,000(0.134)
= ~9.180
Alternative B
Initial investment, P = ~2,75,000
Annual equal return, A= ~l,00,000
Salvage value at the end of machine life, F = ~ 50,000
Life = 5 years
Interest rate, i = 20%, compounded annually.
The cash flow diagram for alternative Bis shown in Fig. 4.20.
10,000 + 10,000
1. 2 3 4 5
2,75,000
• Fig. 4.21 : Cash flow diagram of alternative X
Example 4.I3 :
There are two alternative for purchasing a transit mixer and following are the cash
flow details;
Alternative-I : Initial purchase cost= ~ 600000, Annual operating and maintenance
cost = ~20000, Expected salvage value = ~250000, {!seful life = 5 years.
Alternative-2: Initial purchase cost= ~400000, Annual operating and maintenance cost
= ~70000, Expected salvage value = ~140000, Useful life = 5 years.
The annual revenue to be generated from production of concrete (by Transit mixer)
from Alternative-I and Alternative - 2 are ~100000 and ~90000 respectively. Compute the
equivalent uniform annual worth of the alternatives at the interest rate of 10% per year and
find out the economical alternative.
'
I ·~
(1
·!·
f
298
Solution:
Construction Management and Entrepreneurship
i The cash flow diagram of Alternative-I i.e., Fig. 4.21 is sh~wn here again for ready reference.
~2,50,000
~1.00,000
---- \ __ ---- J
0 2 3 4 5
Time {Year) --+ 1-----+-----+----+-----+----i
------~-----------·
~6.0Q,000
~40,000
~70000
~45000
\ __
0 2 3 4 5
Time (Year) __. L------+-----+----+-----+-----1
------~-----------·
200000
~35000
p = A[-(I +_i)_n--1]
;- i(l+ir
,t
P = present worth, A = end of year payment of uniform amount series, i = interest rate per
year and n = number of interest periods.
The above equation can be rewritten as;
p A.[(I+ir 1 J
= T (I+ir - (I+ir
,.
f
I
In the above expression, when 'n' approaches infinity (i.e., for perpetual cash flow series),
the term "1/(1 + W" gets neglected and present worth 'P' becomes capitalized cost/worth, the
r expression of which is given by; '
A
P=-:-;A=Pxi
l
The capitalized cost of a single amount occurring at regular intervals in future period of time
is calculated by first finding out the equivalent uniform annual worth "A" of the uniform series
and then di vi ding by the interest rate 'i'.
The capitalized cost can also be used for comparison of two or more mutually exclusive
alternatives which are assumed toserve perpetually. In this case the comparison of the alternatives
is made over same time period i.e. infinite period of time. The alternative that shows lowest
capitalized cost is selected as the best alternative:
Example 4.14:
A concrete road project has an initial cost of ~ 1.5 crores and annual operating and
maintenance cost of~9 lakhs. Further the project will have one time major repair work (old
bridge) of ~25 lakhs at the end of 15 year. Find out the capitalized cost of the alternative if
l
interest rate is 12 % per year. ·
Solution:
The capitalized cost of the alternative is equal to sum of the initial cost, present worth of one
time major repair cost and capitalized cost of the annual operating and maintenance cost.
The total capitalized cost of the alternative is given by;
Capitalized Cost= - 15000000 - 2500000 (PIF, i, n) - 900000/i
Capitalized Cost > - 15000000- 2500000 (PIF, 12%, 15)- 900000/0.12
Capitalized Cost= - 15000000 ~ 2500000 x 0.183 - 7500000
Capitalized cost=-~ 22957500
Example 4.15:
The initial cost of an urban development project which is expected to serve residents of
a city perpetually is ~3 crores. The annual operating cost is ~10 lakhs for first 10 years and
~12 lakhs in the subsequent years (i.e. from year 11 onwards). The expected cost of renovation
at the end of every 15 years is ~20 lakhs. Find out the capitalized cost of the project at
interest rate of 8 % per year.
Solution:
The cash flow diagram of the project for a part of service life is shown in Fig. 4.23. The total
capitalized cost of the project is equal to sum of the initial cost and capitalized cost of annual
operating cost and renovation cost.
Time (year) approaching infinity---..
Time_.o".--~~~2~_3;:.:.---r4~-sr--;6;__--r-7~,ar.~~9~-1ro~,11~-1T2~~1r3~~14;__~1rs__,16
(Year)
~3,00,00,000 I -
~1.00,00,000
!
~.00.000
~20,00,000
Fig. 4.23 : Cash flow diagram of the project
Introduction to Engineering Economy 301
The annual operating cost is~ 1000000 for first 10 years followed by <1200000 thereafter.
This can be represented as ~1000000 from end of year 1 to infinite period of time and ~00000
from end of year 11 to infinity as shown in Fig. 4.24. Thus the capitalized cost of the annual
operating cost is equal to the sum of capitalized cost of these two components.
Capitalized cost of the annual operating cost:
. . 1000000 200000
Capitalized Cost= - . - . (PI F,i,10)
l l
In the above expression, the capitalized cost of~ 120000 from end of year 11 till infinity is
located at the end of year 10. Now the present worth (i.e., amount at time zero) of this amount is
calculated by multiplying it with single payment present worth factor.
k
t . .
Capitalized Cost= -
1000000 200000
- (PI F, 8%, 10)
l 0.08 0.08
. . 200000 x 0.463
Capitalized Cost = -12500000- -----
0.08
Capitalized Cost= -<13657500
The capitalized cost of the annual operating cost can also be calculated by considering
~1000000 from end of year 1 till end of year 10 and <'1200000 from end of year 11 till infinity.
. In this expression, first the present worth of uniform series with annual amount of <'1000000
for first 10 years is calculated. Then the capitalized cost of <'1200000 from end of yearLl till
infinity is calculated.
1200000
Capitalized Cost= -lOOOOOO(P/A,8%,10)- (Pl F,8%,10)
0.08
. 1200000 x 0.463
= -IOOOOOOx6.71------
' 0.08
Capitalized Cost = - ~13655000
The capitalized cost of annual operating cost by both ways is same.
Example 4.16:
There are two alternatives for a sewage treatment project in a city. The details of cash
flow of the alternatives are shown below.
Alternative-I
=
Initial cost ~30000000
Annual operating cost~ ~2000000
Cost' of renovation = ~5000000 at the end of every 20 years
One time upgrading cost = ~6000000 at the end of 25 year
I
-""""-= =..,;,-;.-,,~-_,..".
.r0:.·:,~}~;·,~;:::::'.:''X;~J:,';C;;;fii_;Wii,;.~::t;;I,.':ii.'-lci.•·•k-U.'!>M>R~~ a.s.• .,,.,,, .,.._'=-·-,.:.:.:.L"-i..=-..r.:.:.."'1>""~~~,..,. -·=.....
........
~-- ~-,.
.,.~~ . . .__ ..,..__. . . i., .-.u.; ..~t.:r..- .. ~\r.,trliiv
i
302 Construction Management and Entrepreneurship
A lternative-2
Initial cost = ~35000000
Annual operating cost = ~2500000
Cost of renovation= ~7500000 at the end of every 20 years
_ Compare the alternatives on the basis of capitalized cost and find out the economical
alter~ative if the rate of interest is 9% per year
Solution:
The capitalized cost of Alternative-I will be equal to initial cost plus the capitalized cost of
annual operating cost, periodic renovation cost and one time upgrading cost.
The capitalized cost of Alternative-I
l
2500000 750000o(A I F,9%,20)
= -35000000- - ----'-----'---~
0.09 0.09
- 7500000x 0.0195
= -35000000- 27777777 - -----
0.09
Capitalized cost = - ~ 6,44,02,777
The capitalized cost of alternative-I and Alternative-2 are found to be ~ 53375155 and
~ 64402777 respectively. Thus Alternative-I is the economical as it shows lower capitalized cost
(lower negative value) as compared to Alternative-2. '
\
Introduction to Engineering Economy 303
is computed. Then the alternative which has the highest rate of return is selected as the best
alternative. In this type of analysis, the expenditures are always assigned with a negative sign and
the revenues/inflows are assigned with a positive sign. A generalized cash flow diagram to
demonstrate the rate of return method of comparison is presented in Fig. 4.24.
R1 R2 R3 Rj
I
Rn
t t
2
t
3
t t 1 n
p
Fig. 4.24 : Generalized cash flow diagram
In the above cash flow diagram, P represents an initial investment, Rj the net revenue at the
end of the jth year, and S the salvage value at the end of the nth year.
The first step is to find the net present worth of the cash flow diagram using the following
expression at a given interest rate, i.
Positive
Present
worth
PW(i) Rate of return
2 4 14 16 18'
So, one has to start with an intuitive value of i and check whether the present worth function
is positive. If so, increase the value of i until PW([) becomes negative. Then, the rate of return is
f:.~
~1 determined by interpolation method in the range of values of i for which the sign of the present
iii!
:,If
"1!~ worth function changes from positive to negative.
'itj
~~
Example 4.17:
~
:~
~.'Ji
A firm has identified three mutually exclusive investment proposals for new project
whose details are given below. The life of all the three alternatives is estimated to be five
~·}
:* years with negligible salvage value. The minimum attractive rate of return for the firm is
t'•
12%.
I
~:;
=.=;
Alternative
~ A3
i:IJ
.:·:
Al A2
I
~
Investment
Annual net income
<t,50,000
ese.eoo
<3,10,000
<90,000
<3,25,000
<91,000
I i!i
;;;
Find the best alternative based on the rate of return method of comparison.
Solution:
'
f:!:;?j Calculation of rate of return for alternative Al
Initial outlay= <I,50,000
~ Annual profit = <50,000
~ Life = 5 years
•~. f
:,;;/~ The cash flow diagram for alternative Al is shown in Fig. 4.26.
-..
c 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000
~
~
::::;
i1
i2
i
3
i4
t
5
~::~ ~o
'.~~ 2,50,000
i.. The formula for the net present worth of alternative Al is given as
;j
Ij~'
:;II
When i = 10% ·
PW(i) = - 1,50,000 + 50,000(P/ A, i, 5)
/!
PW(l0%) = - 1,50,000 + 50,000(P/A, 10%, 5)
= - 1,50,000 + 50,000(3.79)
~ = ~ 39,500
~ When i = 12%
*:
~ PW(l2%) = - 1,50,000 + 50,000(P/A, 12%, 5)
I
!:
= - 1,50,000 + 50,000(3.60)
= ~ 30,000
·§ ....
-:
"'Ii'
' ;;
·.%4
~[,{;;,-~;:,f.':>1~·S. - '·;/;~'.i•-i't;.-0 • ·a; •· .,.......,,,,w,,,,,,.. a·······- ·;.·•,.;·•~··• .'-"-.,-·.;,,.,~;,,""'~•<.,;;, ....,;,-,,,,.,..,,, ,~, ·•"'••>"'-""..u,•-..-.--.~,...,_.,,."-?
..:.o;,:.,'-~'·-·'"",,;..,..•.• , .-.y • .,..,,..,,_~,,. . .:.::;,,_,_,~·;..c:.
I . •
~~
When i = 18%
PW(18%) = - 1,50,000 + 50,000(P/A, 18%, 5)
= - 1,50,000 + 50,000(3.12)
= ~ 6,000
r~
I
When i = 21%
PW(2l %) = - 1,50,000 + 50,000(P/A, 21 %, 5)
= - 1,50,000 + 50,000(2.92)
= ~ 4,000
Therefore, the rate of return of the alternative Al is
6•00~-o
i = 18% +
6,000- -4,000
) x (3%)
= 15% + 1.8%
= 16.80%
Calculation of rate of return for alternative A2
Initial outlay = ~ 2,80,000
Annual profit=~ 90,000 ·
Life of alternative A2 = 5 years
The cash flow diagram for alternative A2 is shown in Fig. 4.27.
t t
2
t3
t4
t5
•
306 Construction Management and Entrepreneurship
0/. 14000-0 ( )
l = 12 -10 + x 3%
14000-(-8500)
= 12% + 1.86%
= 13.86%
Calculation of rate of return for alternative A3
Initial outlay = ~ 325,000
Annual profit e f 91,000
Life of alternative A3 = 5 years
The cash flow diagram for alternative A3 is depicted in Fig. 4.28.
t t t t t
io. 1 2 3 4 5
3,25,000
= 11.80%
The rates of return for the three alternatives are now tabulated.
Alternative Al A2 A3
-.:
:.F0
;;;~
~- ·---·--·-··-··--·
(
From the above data, it is clear ' that the rate of return for alternative A3 is less than the
minimum attractive rate of return of 11.8%. So, it should not be considered for comparison. the
remaining two alternatives are qualified for consideration. Among the alternatives A 1 and A2, the
rate of return of alternative Al is greater than that of alternative A2. Hence, alternative Al should
be selected.
Example 4.18:
A company is planning to small scale business activity. It has two alternatives and the
corresponding cash flows are tabulated below. Each alternative has a life of five years and a
negligible salvage value. The minimum attractive rate of return for the company is 12 %•
Suggest the best alternative to the company.
Solution:
Alternative 1
Initial outlay = Rs. 10,00,000
Annual profit = Rs. 3,50,000
Life of alternative 1 = 5 years
The cash flow diagram for alternative 1 is illustrated in Fig. 4.29.
3,50,000 3,50,000 3,50,000 3,50,000 3,50,000
11
1
2
1
3
1
4
t
5
io
10,00,000
I Annual revenue
Life == 5 years
e f 5,50,000
t t t t t5
io 1 2 3 4
16,00,000
= 21.24%
Since the rate of return of alternative I is greater than that of the alternative 2, select alternative
1.
Introduction to Engineering Economy 309
4.23 BREAK EVEN ANALYSIS
.·Break ev~n analysis examines the relationship between the total revenue, total costs and total
profits of the firm at various levels of output. It is used to determine the sales volume required for
the firm to break even and the total profits and losses at other sales level. Break even analysis is a
method, as said by Dominick Salnatore, of revenue and total cost functions of thefirm. According
to Martz, Curry and Frank, a break even analysis indicates at what level cost and revenue are in
equilibrium. ·
In case of break even analysis, the break even point is of particular importance. Break even
point is that volume of sales where the firm breaks even i.e., the total costs equal total revenue. It
is, therefore, a point where losses cease to occur while profits have not yet begun. That is, it is the
point of zero profit, . ·
Fixed Costs.
BEP =
Selling price - Variable costs per unit
Fixed Costs Rs. 10,000
For Example, =
Selling price Rs. 5 per unit - Variable costs Rs. 3 per unit
Uses
Break even analysis is a very generalised approach for dealing with a wide variety of questions
associated with profit planning and forecasting. Some of the important practical applications of
break even analysis are
).;>- What happens to overall profitability when a new product is introduced?
).;>- What level of sales is needed to cover all costs and earn. sav. ~ 1,00,000 profit or a 12% rate
of return?
).;>- What happens to revenues and costs if the price of one of a company's product is hanged?
).;>- What happens to overall profitability if a company purchases new capital equipment or incurs
higher or lower fixed or variable costs?
).;>- Between two alternative investments, which one offers the greater margin of profit (safety)?
).;>- What are the revenue and cost implications of changing the process of production?
).;>- Should one make, buy or lease capital equipment?
Assumptions
The break even analysis is based on certain assumptions, namely
).;>-. All costs are either perfectly variable or absolutely fixed over the entire period of production
but this assumption does not hold good in practice.
310 Construction Management and Entrepreneurship
);;> The volume of production and the volume of sales are equal; but in reality they differ. ·
);;> All revenue is perfectly variable with the physical volume of production and this assumption
is not valid.
);;> The assumption of stable product mix is unrealistic.
D Profit
Break-even point
TC
~
B
Cost,
Revenue l"""-------7''----+----+--- TFC
Price(~
Fixed cost
0
a, Quantitiy(Q)
Figure: 4.31
In the figure 4.31 total revenues and total costs are plotted on the vertical axis whereas output
or sales per time period are plotted on the horizontal axis. The slope of the TR curve refers tothe
' -
~
'1
Introduction to Engineering Economy 311
f constant price at which the firm can sell its output. The TC curve indicates total fixed costs (TFC)
(The vertical intercept) and a constant average variable cost (the slope of the TC curve). This is
often the case for many firms for small changes in output or sales. The firm breaks even (with TR
=TC) at Q1 (point Bin the figure 4.31) and incurs losses at smaller outputs while earnings profits
· at higher levels of output.
Both the total cost (TC) and total revenue (TR) curves· are shown as linear. TR curve is linear
as it is assumed that the price is given, irrespective of the output level. Linearity of TC curve
results from the assumption of constant variable costs.
If the assumptions of constant price and average variable cost are relaxed, break even analysis
can still be applied, although the key relationship (total revenue and total cost) will not be linear
functions of output. Nonlinear total revenue and cost functions are shown in Figure 4.32. The cost
function is conventional in the sense that at first costs increase but less than in proportion to output
and then increase more than in proportion to output. There are two break even points - L and M.
Note that profit which is the vertical distance between the total revenue and total cost functions, is
maximised at output rate Q*.
Of the two break even points, only the first, corresponding to output rateQ, is relevant. When
a firm begins production, management usually expects to incure losses. But it is important to know
at what output rate the firm will go from a loss to a profit situation. In Figure 4.32 the firm would
want to get to the break even output rate Q1 as soon as possible an~ then of course, move to the
profit maximising rate Q*. However, the firm would not expand production beyond Q* because
this would result in a reduction of profit.
TC
rota! revenue
Revenue
Cost"-----<---r---~--TFC
a, Q* 02 Rate or
Output(Q)
l Figure: 4.32
..-----"~",;,,i.iifi',.\';j,i",;f.'w{~,;;.~.;._~~~51;;,.~"J ••.. ?".:oi;;.~,~;; .~~~L:.;;:;,:,;;_;_f!'.::.·~
f"~··~.,,.~"'"""-"~"""""'~·,,.,..,.,...._~--~,..o.,,,,.==~.,....,_=,Wci~uis.".:""~-...,;
~
312
Construction Management and Entrepreneurship
REVIEW QUESTIONS
I
.-~.
~
l
•~.
. .