0% found this document useful (0 votes)
69 views4 pages

The Bass Model Unscrambling Regression Coefficients For P&Q

The document appears to present sales data and regression analysis for a new product over 10 years. It includes cumulative and non-cumulative sales figures each year. A regression model was developed with two independent variables to predict annual sales based on past performance. The regression analysis produced an R-squared value of 0.901, indicating the model explains 90.1% of the variation in sales.

Uploaded by

Cristhian
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLS, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
69 views4 pages

The Bass Model Unscrambling Regression Coefficients For P&Q

The document appears to present sales data and regression analysis for a new product over 10 years. It includes cumulative and non-cumulative sales figures each year. A regression model was developed with two independent variables to predict annual sales based on past performance. The regression analysis produced an R-squared value of 0.901, indicating the model explains 90.1% of the variation in sales.

Uploaded by

Cristhian
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLS, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 4

Sheet1

The Bass Model Unscrambling Regression Coefficients for P&Q


Nbar= 9361 <==== Total Cumulative Sales
p= 0.0472611
q= 0.7384405

-------------------Regression ----------------------------- ------test---------------------


Non Cum Non Cum
Dep. var Cumul. Independent Variables Calc Cumul. Cum.
Actuals Actuals X1 X2 Fitted Fitted Fitted (t-1)
Year 1 150 150 0 0 442.41 442.41 0
Year 2 400 550 150 22,500 544.33 986.74 442.41147
Year 3 1,225 1,775 550 302,500 798.91 1785.65 1175.1687
Year 4 1,675 3,450 1,775 3,150,625 1422.91 3208.56 2320.8909
Year 5 1,700 5,150 3,450 11,902,500 1896.33 5104.88 3942.5387
Year 6 1,710 6,860 5,150 26,522,500 1928.20 7033.08 5883.7971
Year 7 1,650 8,510 6,860 47,059,600 1504.32 8537.40 7662.0499
Year 8 800 9,310 8,510 72,420,100 661.83 9199.23 8769.2223
Year 9 50 9,360 9,310 86,676,100 100.10 9299.33 9206.5575
Year 10 1 9,361 9,360 87,609,600 61.67 9361.00 9326.0216
Lifetime: 9,361

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics 2,500 NonCumul


Multiple R 0.9493711988
R Square 0.9013056732 2,000
Adjusted R 0.8731072941
Standard Er 262.9767883 1,500
Observatio 10
1,000
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F 500
Regression 2 4420921 2210461 31.963031 0.000302
Residual 7 484097.5 69156.791 0
Total 9 4905019 1 2 3 4 Si
Years

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0%
Intercept 442.41146912 158.131 2.7977534 0.02661 68.4914 816.33153 68.491404
X Variable 0.6911793832 0.09641 7.1691304 0.0001823 0.463205 0.9191538 0.463205
X Variable -7.818984E-05 1E-05 -7.804326 0.0001067 -0.0001 -5.45E-05 -0.0001019

Page 1
Sheet1

------test---------------------

Predicted Actuals
442 150
733 400
1,146 1,225
1,622 1,675
1,941 1,700
1,778 1,710
1,107 1,650
437 800
119 50
27 1

00 NonCumulative Unit Sales


Predict
00 ed

00

00

00

0
1 2 3 4 Since
Years 5 Product
6 Launch
7 8 9 10

Upper 95.0%
816.3315
0.919154
-5.45E-05

Page 2
Sheet1

2,000 NonCumulative Unit Sales

Actual
1,500 s

1,000

500

0
1 2 3 4 5 Since6Introduction
Years 7 8 9 10

Page 3
Sheet1

it Sales

Actual
s

ction 8 9 10

Page 4

You might also like