Kochi Report 2010 June 2010
Kochi Report 2010 June 2010
Kochi Report 2010 June 2010
October 2011
TABLE OF CONTENTS
7. CENTRAL LUCKNOW 14
10. DISCLAIMER 17
Lucknow Fact File
City Overview
Lucknow Metropolis, the state capital of Uttar Pradesh, traditionally known for its rich cultural heritage and distinct
etiquette is now emerging as one of the fastest growing non-metropolitan cities. Shedding its old image of a city famous
only for its unique styles of embroidery like 'Chikan' and 'Lakhnawi Zardozi', it is today a centre of modern technology,
with a high level of investment, institutional development and a progressive outlook. It is witnessing an economic boom
which is reflected in the pace of real estate development in the city. Lucknow is today an amalgamation of cultured grace
and newly acquired pace.
Geographical Location
The city is geographically located at 26.50 N and 80.5 E in the Northern Gangetic plains, around 123 metres above sea
0
The River Gomti flows through the city, dividing the whole city diagonally into trans-Gomti and cis-Gomti regions. Some
of the tributaries of this river are the Kukrail, Loni and Beta. The Sai river flows from the south of the city. Lucknow
witnesses diverse climatic conditions, with hot-humid summers from April to June (maximum temperature 470 C) and
cool-dry winters from December to February (minimum temperature 20 C).
The service sector forms the main economic base of the city. Government departments and the public sector
undertakings are the principal employers of the salaried middle-class. Liberalisation has created many more
opportunities in the business, service sector and self-employed professionals are burgeoning in the city.
History
Lucknow traces its origin to the Suryavanshi dynasty of Ayodhya in ancient times and derives its name from Lakshman,
brother of Lord Rama, the hero of the Indian epic 'Ramayana'. The city came into eminence only during the 18th century.
In 1732, Mohammad Shah, one of the later kings of the once powerful Mughal dynasty, appointed Mohammad Amir
Saadat Khan, a Persian adventurer of noble lineage, to the vice royalty of the area known as Awadh, of which Lucknow
was a part.
At the time of the first war of independence in 1857, the city suffered a lot of damages, vestiges of which can still be
witnessed in the dilapidated buildings. The old past was replaced with new developments during the British period. Post
independence, Lucknow replaced Allahabad as the capital of Uttar Pradesh.
Administrative Framework
Lucknow is the political and administrative capital of Uttar Pradesh. The city elects members to the Lok Sabha as well as
the Uttar Pradesh Vidhan Sabha (State Assembly). Lucknow has two Lok Sabha Constituencies named Lucknow and
Mohanlalganj.
The city is under the jurisdiction of a District Magistrate/Collector, who is an IAS officer. The Collector is in charge of
property records and revenue collection for the Government. The Collector oversees the national elections held in the
city and is also responsible for maintaining law and order.
3
Lucknow Fact File
The civic amenities of the city are managed by the Lucknow Municipal Corporation with executive power vested in the
Municipal Commissioner. The corporation comprises elected members (corporators elected from the wards directly by
the people) with the City Mayor as its head. An Assistant Municipal Commissioner oversees each ward for
administrative purposes.
Bada Imambada
4
Infrastructure
The city has experienced a lot of infrastructural improvement in the past 17–18 years. The development has
accelerated during the last decade in terms of organised and planned development of roadways, entertainment zones,
good educational institutions and other public amenities. Recently the city's central commercial hub, Hazratganj has
undergone a makeover which gives it a near international look.
Road Connectivity
There are four national highways in the city: NH 24 connects Delhi, NH 25 connects Bhopal via Jhansi, NH 28 connects
to Mokama (Bihar), NH 56 to Varanasi and four State highways viz. SH 25 connects Hardoi, SH 36 connects Rae Bareli,
SH 56 connects Sultanpur and SH 40 connects Mohaan.
Many bridges across the Gomti river have been constructed. Hardinge Bridge (near Imambara), Iron Bridge (at
Daliganj), University Bridge and Nishaathganj Bridge are old bridges providing connectivity mainly in the old part of the
city. Gomti Barrage, Gandhi Setu and Ambedkar park bridge are a set of parallel bridges providing good connectivity in
the new part of Lucknow.
Initiatives have been taken to provide good intra and inter-city road connectivity.
Amar Shaheed Path or Lucknow Bypass is an upcoming elevated road, which starts from Gomti Nagar and ends at
Kanpur Road, connecting large parts of the city. It will considerably improve the city's links with Kanpur, Rae Bareli,
Sitapur and Sultanpur by providing smooth connectivity and mitigating congestion within the city. It will also pass
through many upcoming developer projects.
Other chief roads are the upcoming Lucknow-Kanpur Expressway and existing outer ring road.
The Chaudhary Charan Singh international airport, Amausi is the main airport and is located about 20 km from the city
centre. Lucknow is directly connected by air with New Delhi, Patna, Kolkata, Mumbai and Hyderabad. International
destinations include Dubai, Muscat, Sharjah, Jeddah, Riyadh and Kathmandu (Nepal). During Haj, special flights are
also operated from Lucknow.
Lucknow Metro
The Lucknow Metro project is still in the planning stage. It would be built and operated by the Lucknow Metro Rail
Corporation. As per the proposed plan, the phase-I of the Lucknow Metro will constitute two lines and an extension line.
North-South Corridor
This will connect Amausi airport to Munshipulia. This corridor is expected to have 21 stations.
East-West Corridor
This will connect Lucknow railway station at Charbagh to Vasantkunj on Hardoi Road. This corridor is expected to have
12 stations.
5
Lucknow Real Estate
The above analysis is for the new and upcoming part of the city viz. New Lucknow in the report, where developmental
activities indicate a promising real estate potential in the future.
An average capital appreciation of approximately 8 – 10% is expected in the Lucknow residential real estate markets in
the short term (10 – 12 months). However, over a longer span of 50 – 60 months, the market is expected to deliver a
year-on-year appreciation of 10 – 15% on a conservative note. This analysis is based on the past market trends,
present builder/buyer sentiments and the enormous future real estate potential. The high future potential is suggested
by initiatives taken for well-planned city development, employment generation by various public/private sector firms
and reputed private developers' presence.
The upward bias over a five-year horizon is also based on the estimate that 40% of the current activity in New Lucknow
is driven by investors and this is expected to escalate in the future.
We analysed the past price trends of certain locations of 'New Lucknow' in the report. It can be noticed from the price
trends over the last two years (Q4-2008 to Q4-2009 and Q4-2009 to Q4-2010) that the year-on-year appreciation
ranged from 11 - 48%. When we consider price movements over the last five years, year-on-year appreciation ranged
from 8 - 36%. This has been analysed from the property price movement graphs illustrated later in the report.
The real estate market of Lucknow is considered to be one of the most upcoming markets on account of the huge
metamorphosis that the city is undergoing. While we analyse this outlook in the report, it is interesting to note the
contrasting nature of the two parts located within the same city but separated by river Gomti. These pockets have
different real estate dynamics driving them.
Old Lucknow is spread out mainly in cis-Gomti region. It was established in the 'Nawabi' period. This part of the
city has mainly unplanned residential development with old architecture, heritage monuments, grossly inadequate
infrastructure, water and sanitation issues. This locality is home to a number of handicraft factories for Zardozi and
Chikan embroidery work. People from varying socio-economic groups, ranging from wealthy established families
to families below poverty line reside here. There are hardly any multi-storied builder developments in this cluster.
New Lucknow lies in the trans-Gomti region, with the exception of certain prime localities around Hazratganj in
Central Lucknow located in the cis-Gomti region. It started to develop at a much later stage, hence it is well-
planned with wide roads, modern architecture and has an organised social infrastructure. While the real estate
landscape is dotted with independent houses, the trend of apartment/floor establishments by reputed builders is
now being witnessed.
Lucknow over the years has witnessed a radial growth – greater along the Faizabad Road and the trans-Gomti
area. In the recent years a large number of private developers like Unitech, Ansals, Rohtas, Sahara India and
Eldeco have entered the market.
lMarket Sentiment
The Lucknow real estate market is largely 'End-user' driven, with some investment activity prevalent in the newer
locations.
6
Lucknow Real Estate
New Lucknow, apart from government authority developments, witnesses several private builder developments in
the form of either re-development or construction on acquired land. In New Lucknow, investor participation is
approximately 40% and it is expected to escalate in the future. Builders exude positive market sentiment in the long
run which is supported by the fact that many outside developers of repute have expressed interest in establishing
their projects in the city. Developers are showing interest in Tier-II and Tier-III cities like Lucknow because of better
profit margins due to lower land costs. A recent CRISIL report titled 'Real(i)ty Next – Beyond the top 10 cities of
India', stated that Lucknow is one of the next top ten cities with enormous real estate potential. Although investment
activity is prevalent in the market, short term speculation is still at a nascent stage.
The investor base includes bureaucrats and government officials, businessmen and also those who have migrated
from Lucknow but wish to own a second home in the city. Moreover, residents of other cities in Uttar Pradesh like
Faizabad, Gonda, Bahraich, Sultanpur, Unnao, Sitapur, Barabanki, Allahabad, Kanpur and Varanasi are also
investing in Lucknow attracted by its infrastructural development.
The real estate market of Old Lucknow is more of an end-user driven market with very few investment
opportunities. The old colonies like Rakabganj, Chowk, Rajabazaar, Rajajipuram have been densely populated on
account of easy availability of low priced real estate. It may be surprising to know that despite the underdeveloped
infrastructure, property prices in several parts of Old Lucknow like Chowk are at par with the average prices
prevailing in prime localities like Gomti Nagar. The reason is the high demand by those who want to expand their
traditional establishments in these areas and lack of fresh supply. Moreover, there are a number of wealthy
business families here with huge potential spending power. Hence, this high demand and low supply, coupled with
good spending capability leads to property price escalations.
There are several old 'kothis' erected over huge land parcels at various locations within the city. These kothis are
generally old and dilapidated and many owners are offloading these properties. Builders are either purchasing
these kothis and reconstructing apartments or entering into a Joint-Development model with the owners wherein
builders construct their project and share profits with the original owner. This trend is prevalent in developed areas
like Central Lucknow, New Hyderabad, etc.
Nevertheless, since the past 2-3 years, residents are moving towards apartments and developer establishments
mainly due to the charm of residing in a planned society with special amenities. One of the key attractions here is
the gated security these apartments offer. This migration has been seen most in the prime areas like central
Lucknow (Jopling Road, Gokhale Marg), New Hyderabad and Gomti Nagar.
7
LDA schemes for independent houses and plots have not been announced for a long time. The schemes that
came up lately offered apartment floors in Gomti Nagar and Janakipuram, contributing further to the migration from
independent houses to apartments.
The locations which are considered hot-spots for investment are mainly in the trans-Gomti Region. Localities not
just within the city and suburbs but also along the highways connecting to Sitapur, Faizabad, Sultanpur, Rae
Bareli, Kanpur and Hardoi offer good investment opportunities where reputed developers like Ansals, Rohtas,
Sahara, Eldeco, etc. are constructing their mega projects.
On the other hand, the cis-Gomti region is mainly end-user driven. The exceptions here are Hardoi Road and
prime localities like Civil Lines, Mall Avenue and Jopling Road near Hazratganj with bungalow style as well as
apartment and builder floor style development.
1) Lucknow's position as the state capital and the second largest city of Uttar Pradesh. The city is the only large
urban centre amidst a number of small towns in the surrounding districts, making it an attractive destination.
2) Higher per capita income coupled with growing aspirations of middle-class.
3) Improving infrastructure in terms of road networks, good educational institutions and organised retail.
Creation of employment opportunities by the government/public sector companies and private companies
are an added factor.
4) Availability of land at affordable prices when compared to metros, has led to private developers venturing into
the market.
5) Presence of reputed private developers like Rohtas, Eldeco, Halwasiya, Ansals, Unitech and Sahara in the
form of various mega projects with world class social amenities is slowly and gradually changing the face of
residential real estate in the city.
6) Lucknow's eligibility under JNNURM.
7) The proposed Metro in the city is another reason for the boom.
However, issues like slums mushrooming in almost all the parts of city, water-sanitation issues and pollution of the
river Gomti are a few causes of concern.
It may be interesting to know that recently a reputed developer sold 500 land plots in Lucknow within three days,
which clearly supports the fact of burgeoning demand. While demand for plots has been high, interest is also being
witnessed for builder floors/apartments and independent houses.
8
Major Locations within Lucknow
Methodology: For this analysis, we have divided the Lucknow real estate market into five zones on the basis of
geographical location and the growth stimulators driving them. We have considered the trans and cis-Gomti regions
separately. Each of these is further divided into two parts, while central Lucknow in the cis-Gomti region is considered
as a separate zone. Therefore, there are a total of 5 zones. The analysis of each zone is as follows:
9
Trans-Gomti Region – Zone 1
Major Locations: Gomti Nagar Phase I, II and Extension, Indira Nagar, Kamta, Chinhat, Faizabad Road,
Rabindra Palli, Sanjay Gandhi Puram, Maruti Puram and New Gulistan Colony.
Key highlights:
1. This micro-market of Lucknow is one of the prime upcoming locations. The Lucknow Development Authority
(LDA), Uttar Pradesh Housing and Development Board (UPHDB) and also private developers carry out
developments in this area.
2. Gomti Nagar Area: This is one of the well-planned areas of Lucknow with adequate social amenities. Many
important government/public sector and private sector offices like the Reserve Bank of India, passport office, LDA,
TCS, NTPC, Hindustan Times are located in this area. Also, the new premise of U.P. High Court-Lucknow Bench is
under construction in this area.
3. Faizabad Road is an education hub. Various engineering, medical and management institutions dot this region. It
also has residential and commercial developments. Recently Spencer's retail store started operations on this road.
Also, there are certain ongoing residential projects on this road. Moreover, the H.A.L. (Hindustan Aeronautics
Limited) office and its residential township is located here.
4. Chinhat, Deva Road: This is in close proximity to the Islamic shrine 'Deva Shareef'. The Tata automobile factory is
located in this area. This has stimulated residential real estate development with some private developer presence
in the area.
5. Organised retail developments like the Zee mall, East End and Riverside mall are present in Gomti Nagar. The
famous Taj Hotel is also located in this area.
6. Major developers in this area include Omaxe, Parsvnath, Rohtas and Eldeco.
Growth Stimulators:
1. Good road connectivity owing to existing and upcoming wide roads, highways, bridges and flyovers.
2. Well-developed social infrastructure in terms of hospitals (eg. Sahara, Ram Manohar Lohiya Hospital), reputed
educational institutions (eg. Jagran School-Dainik Jagran's initiative, Jaipuria school and institute of management,
Homeopathic Medical College) and other social amenities like shopping arcades, malls and multiplexes.
3. Presence of various government/public and private sector offices have boosted employment opportunities.
4. Proposed metro connectivity.
200
Index
150
100
50
Mar – 07
Mar – 08
Mar – 09
Mar – 10
Mar – 11
10
Residential Property Rates in Prime Residential Markets of Some Trans-Gomti Locations of Lucknow**
Location Average Capital Values (INR/sq.ft.) Average Rentals for 2 BHK (INR/month)
Gomti Nagar 3,000 - 4,000 8,000 - 15,000
Indira Nagar 2,400 - 3,200 6,000 - 14,000
Roomi Gate
11
Trans-Gomti Region - Zone 2
Major Locations: Sitapur Road, Janakipuram and Extension, Aliganj, Niralanagar, Mahanagar and Daliganj.
Key highlights:
1. This area primarily has residential and institutional buildings, the major ones being The Geographical Survey of
India, Public Service Commission of Uttar Pradesh, Central Government Office Building Complex, Institute of
Engineering and Technology and New Campus of Lucknow University. Moreover, adjoining Daliganj are the well-
known Lucknow University campus and Isabella Thoburn College.
2. Aliganj is flooded with residences of government officials and coaching institutes. This segment has the head office
of Sahara India Group. The area is a mix of old and new architecture.
3. While Aliganj, Niralanagar and Mahanagar are planned colonies which were developed more than 30-40 years
ago, Jankipuram and Sitapur Road are comparatively new upcoming developments.
4. Major developers in this area include Sahara and SAS.
Growth Stimulators:
1. Good connectivity through wide well-planned roads.
2. Some of the growth boosters here include the presence of traditional shopping arcades in various pockets of this
part, commercial complexes like Kapur Thala, hospitals and good educational institutions.
150
100
50
Mar – 07
Mar – 08
Mar – 09
Mar – 10
Mar – 11
Location Average Capital Values (INR/sq.ft.) Average Rentals for 2 BHK (INR/month)
Mahanagar 2,500 - 3,500 7,000 - 15,000
Aliganj 2,000 - 3,000 5,000 - 12,000
Nirala Nagar 3,000 - 3,500 8,000 - 12,000
Vikas Nagar 2,000 - 2,800 4,500 - 10,000
Janakipuram Scheme of LDA 1,700 - 2,300 4,500 - 8,000
12
Cis-Gomti Region - Zone 3
Major Locations: Kanpur Road, Rae Bareli Road, Sultanpur Road, LDA Colony, Ashiana Colony, South City,
Vrindavan Upnagari, Alambagh and Shardanagar.
Key highlights:
1. Lucknow cantonment lies between Rae Bareli Road and Sultanpur Road. Since major portions of the area
belonged to the defense ministry, the area adjoining the Lucknow cantonment did not witness much development
in the past. It was post the establishment of S.G.P.G.I (Sanjay Gandhi Post Graduate Institute of Medical
Sciences) on Rae Bareli Road that urban residential development accelerated.
2. Sultanpur Road has the presence of many private educational institutions. It is developing with several private
developers foraying into the area.
3. This cluster also hosts the Vrindavan Upnagri, one of the biggest residential townships being developed by Uttar
Pradesh Awas evam Vikas Parishad.
4. Kanpur Road is mainly an Industrial area.
5. Unitech South City was launched in the year 1987, under license agreement with Lucknow Development Authority
on a land bank of around 250 acres.
6. Ansal is developing its mega township called 'Sushant Golf City' on a land bank of around 3200 acres between
Rae Bareli Road and Sultanpur Road.
7. Organised retail like Phoenix United Mall is located in the heart of Alambagh. It is strategically located, with close
proximity to Lucknow's Amausi international airport and the Charbagh railway station, along National Highway NH
25, which connects Lucknow to Kanpur.
8. Major developers present in this area include Ansal, Unitech, etc.
Growth Stimulators:
1. Good road connectivity with other parts of city as well as neighbouring cities.
2. Presence of organised retail (Phoenix Mall) as well as commercial developments in various parts of this cluster is
another growth booster.
250 Alambagh
200
150
100
50
Mar – 07
Mar – 08
Mar – 09
Mar – 10
Mar – 11
Location Average Capital Values (INR/sq.ft.) Average Rentals for 2 BHK (INR/month)
Rae Bareli Road 1,500 - 2,300 5,000 - 8,000
Sharda Nagar Scheme 1,800 - 2,000 5,000 - 8,000
**Indicative mid market segment
Source: ICICI Property Services Group
13
Central Lucknow
Major Locations: Hazratganj, Jopling Road, Wazir Hasan Road, Mall Avenue, Aminabad, New Hyderabad,
Kaiser Bagh, Meenabagh (commercial area) and Aishbagh (Industrial Area).
Key highlights:
1. Hazratganj is said to be the heart of Lucknow. It is a prime commercial hub and one of the well-known high street
shopping destinations in Lucknow. Vidhan Sabha is located in this part. Also many government and private offices
like Northern Railway Office, ICICI and Life Insurance Corporation are located in Hazratganj. Another commercial
centre is Aminabad, which is in close proximity to the old part of the city.
2. This basically is a seller's market as there is less residential supply. Hence, the high rates in some areas around
Hazratganj cannot be compared with the rates in other locations of Lucknow. The residential development is mainly
bungalow style with a few good multi-storied developments.
3. Sahara Mall is located in this cluster.
4. Major developers present in this area include Eldeco, SAS and Halwasiya.
Growth Stimulators:
1. Proximity to other parts of the city.
2. Good connectivity to both trans and cis-Gomti regions of the city through roads and highways.
3. All the residential areas in this cluster are very close to Hazratganj, the biggest commercial hub and high street
shopping centre.
4. Presence of organised retail (Sahara Mall).
5. Lucknow Golf Club, one of the premier clubs of Lucknow, is located between Hazratganj and Gomti Nagar.
200
Index
150
100
50
Mar – 07
Mar – 08
Mar – 09
Mar – 10
Mar – 11
Location Average Capital Values (INR/sq.ft.) Average Rentals for 2 BHK (INR/month)
Gokhale Marg 3,000 – 5,500 10,000 - 15,000
New Hyderabad 2,200 - 3,000 8,000 - 11,000
Paper mill colony 2,200 - 3,500 5,000 - 13,000
Hazrat Ganj 3,000 - 5,000 10,000 - 15,000
**Indicative mid market segment
Source: ICICI Property Services Group
14
Cis-Gomti Region - Zone 4
Major Locations: Hardoi Road, Alambagh, Rajajipuram, Chowk, Thakurganj and other locations of old
Lucknow city.
Key highlights:
1. Major parts of this region consist of old developments like Chowk, Rajajipuram, Thakurganj and Rakabganj. This
part of Lucknow is saturated, except for some upcoming areas like Hardoi Road and IIM Road.
2. Alambagh and its adjoining areas are commercial.
3. Chowk is a mix of residential and commercial developments. It is the centre for 'chikan' and 'zardozi' embroidery.
Many heritage monuments and famous 'Imambaras' are located in Chowk making it often frequented by tourists.
4. Rajajipuram is one of the planned colonies of old Lucknow. Here land plots were auctioned by LDA.
5. Hardoi Road and IIM Road are upcoming locations of cis-Gomti region. The premier management institute 'Indian
Institute of Management, Lucknow' is located near Hardoi Road. Both government authorities and private
developers have planned residential projects in this area. Main developers present in this area include Sahara
and Eldeco.
Location Average Capital Values (INR/sq.ft.) Average Rentals for 2 BHK (INR/month)
Alambagh 1,800 - 2,500 5,000 - 10,000
Hardoi Road 1,500 - 2,000 N.A.
**Indicative mid market segment
Source: ICICI Property Services Group
Hardinge Bridge
15
Location Attractiveness Index
We have shortlisted ten prime and upcoming locations within Lucknow and rigorously analysed them on various
parameters like infrastructure, residential costs in the region, future employment prospects, future infrastructure
development, etc. as detailed in the matrix below:
Infrastructure
(connectivity, roads,
markets, schools)
Residential Cost
Proximity to Organised
Retail
Proximity to Commercial
Development
Future Infrastructure
Development
Future Employment
Generation
Explanatory Note: While Central Lucknow and Gomtinagar show greys/blues on almost all parameters (which is
positive), a maroon box indicates high residential costs. Out of the shortlisted locations, while Central Lucknow,
Gomtinagar, Indranagar and Aliganj are established prime localities, Jankipuram, Raebareli Road, Faizabad Road,
Sitapur Road and Hardoi Road are upcoming locations.
Source: ICICI Property Services Group
16
ANALYST
DEEPIKA SRIVASTAV
Assistant Manager – Research
ICICI Property Services Group
[email protected]
or
For more on our research reports & periodicals please log on to www.icicihfc.com
The information set out in this document has been prepared by ICICI HFC Ltd. based upon projections which have been determined in good faith by
ICICI HFC Ltd. There can be no assurance that such projections will prove to be accurate.
ICICI HFC Ltd. does not accept any responsibility for any errors whether caused by negligence or otherwise or for any loss or damage incurred by
anyone in reliance on anything set out in this document. The information in this document reflects prevailing conditions and our views as of this date,
all of which are subject to change. In preparing this document we have relied upon and assumed, without independent verification, the accuracy and
completeness of all information available from public sources or which was provided to us or which was otherwise reviewed by us. Past performance
cannot be a guide to future performance.
No reliance may be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information contained in this document or on its completeness. The information set out
herein may be subject to updating, completion, revision, verification and amendment and such information may change materially.
This document is being communicated to you solely for the purposes of providing our views on current market trends. This document is being
communicated to you on a confidential basis and does not carry any right of publication or disclosure to any third party. By accepting delivery of this
document each recipient undertakes not to reproduce or distribute this presentation in whole or in part, nor to disclose any of its contents (except to its
professional advisers) without the prior written consent of ICICI HFC Ltd., who the recipient agrees has the benefit of this undertaking.
The recipient and its professional advisers will keep permanently confidential information contained herein and not already in the public domain. This
document is not an offer, invitation or solicitation of any kind to buy or sell any security and is not intended to create any rights or obligations. Nothing in
this document is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities or investment advice, or opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, or a
solicitation for any product or service. The use of any information set out in this document is entirely at the recipient's own risk.