Who Owns The Pbublic Debt
Who Owns The Pbublic Debt
Who Owns The Pbublic Debt
The “Markets” control of Sovereign debt of Greece and other Eurozone countries
Poses a threat to financial stability
Recent data on the state of the global economy indicate clearly that the crisis
is not over. Contrary to earlier assessments it now appears that in the years
to come the developed economies are bound to experience, a deep
recession. Hence the calls for the adoption of austerity measures and the
debate concerning the wisdom of adopting such measures which took place in
the last G20 summit..
The “Markets”
In his book “A Free Nation deep In Debt” James Macdonald describes how
the evolvement of the Public Debt is inextricably linked to the evolvement of
modern Democracy.
Public debt owes its origin to the realization of absolute rulers that wars are
more easily financed by borrowing from the ruler’s own subjects than from
foreign powers or from lending organizations.
The level of public debt is a key question of economic policy. The “citizen-
creditor” will monitor the conduct of its government to prevent it from entering
into adventures that may jeopardize the value of its debt. By the same token if
the utilization of funds borrowed by the government from its citizens is
democratically approved, the citizens view their government debt as risk –
free, regardless of how such debt might be rated by any foreign agency. In a
monetary union like the EMU, there may be additional restrictions imposed on
a member country, as part of that union’s policy. That
is how public debt has become the anchor of wealth of both individuals and
organizations in a democracy. The social security, life insurance and pension
funds all rely on government debt as fully secured obligations.
It begs the questions how the “Markets” managed to impose on the global
discourse regarding the Public Debt a terminology which is taken from the
contexts of “default” and “bankruptcy” of corporations, or from that of the Paris
Club, where external debts of debtor countries are arranged and restructured.
Greece has been compared to Lehman Bros. and to Argentina. Both
comparisons are utterly wrong.
The declining status of Public Debt is the story of the global economy of the
last three decades. The election of Reagan as president in 1980 ushered in a
US administration openly hostile to any involvement of Government in the
economy. The implied economic policies which have been implemented
hinged on two sacrosanct elements: cutting taxes and limiting public debt.
Those principles became the foundations of the macro-economic orthodoxy
prevailing in the US. Gradually the same principles became the quintessential
characteristics of “good and right economics” in the rest of the world as well.
The policies drawn from such principles, favored the wealthier sections of
society who were less dependent on government services. Their share of the
national income grew dramatically the level of wealth of the less wealthy
strata remained stagnant. Government was increasingly less able to meet the
needs of the weaker sectors of society. The wealthy who were exempted from
paying taxes had no interest in lending to their government. That left the
Government with no other choice but to borrow in the “Markets”. As a
consequence the financial burden of running a country fell more heavily on
the less wealthy, and the Markets became the masters of Public Debt.
To illustrate how dramatic the change in ownership has been one should note
that by the end of WW II, the US public debt was twice its size today, in terms
of GDP, The American citizens owned just about all of it. Today, US citizens
hold directly only 10% of US Government debt. James Galbraith in his review
of Macdonald’s book aptly raises the question: “Can democracy survive when
its financial roots have been cut? The scale of public debt is not the issue, but
its ownership is. Can a country–whether the United States or any other–be
truly democratic if it is in hock to banks and foreigners?” 1
The Eurozone crisis showed us that “Markets’” ownership of public debt may
even be a risk to the stability of the global banking system.
Indeed the “Markets” showed that they are willing and able to destabilize the
entire European banking system on account of their alleged undisclosed
holdings of government debt of certain Eurozone countries. They do so with
assistance from the “Bloombergs”- a generic name I propose for the media
platforms through which they deliver their “message” to the exchanges.
Luckily the ECB has so far withstood the pressure and continued to relate to
Greek sovereign debt as if that debt was not downgraded.
1
http://www.democracyjournal.org/article2.php?
ID=6482&limit=1500&limit2=3000&page=2
The citizens should reclaim control of Public Debt.
Greece too can and should be able to borrow directly from its citizens.
Now that the Eurozone countries provide Greece with protection from the
“Markets” for at least two years, it should organize a State Loan whose
purpose will be to repurchase the tradable sovereign bonds from the
concerned “Markets” . Such a loan will not increase the overall level of
Greece’s public debt and will help it regain its sovereignty over its fiscal affairs
and its status and respect among its fellow Eurozone members.
I doubt very much if at the current yields there will be many sellers of Greek
government debt. As soon as the “Markets” realize that Greece can manage
without them, their assessment of Greece risk profile will suddenly change.
They are in the business of sovereign debt because it is very profitable. In my
assessment they will fight to retain their share of that business.
* The author was a senior banker and a deputy director general of Israel’s Ministry of Finance