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Inferential Statistics, T Test, ANOVA & Proportionate Test

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
113 views117 pages

Inferential Statistics, T Test, ANOVA & Proportionate Test

Uploaded by

sharif
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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FF2613

Inferential Statistics, T Test,


ANOVA & Proportionate Test

Assoc. Prof . Dr Azmi Mohd Tamil


Dept of Community Health
Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia

©[email protected] 2012
FF2613

Inferential Statistics

Basic Hypothesis Testing

©[email protected] 2012
Inferential Statistic

4 When we conduct a study, we want to


make an inference from the data
collected. For example;

“drug A is better than drug B in treating


disease D"

©[email protected] 2012
Drug A Better Than Drug B?

4 Drug A has a higher rate of cure than


drug B. (Cured/Not Cured)
4 If for controlling BP, the mean of BP
drop for drug A is larger than drug B.
(continuous data – mm Hg)

©[email protected] 2012
Null Hypothesis

4 Null Hyphotesis;

“no difference of effectiveness between


drug A and drug B in treating disease D"

©[email protected] 2012
Null Hypothesis

4 H0is assumed TRUE unless data indicate


otherwise:
• The experiment is trying to reject the null
hypothesis
• Can reject, but cannot prove, a hypothesis
– e.g. “all swans are white”
» One black swan suffices to reject
» H0 “Not all swans are white”
» No number of white swans can prove the hypothesis –
since the next swan could still be black.

©[email protected] 2012
Can reindeer fly?
4 You believe reindeer can fly
4 Null hypothesis: “reindeer cannot fly”
4 Experimental design: to throw reindeer off the
roof
4 Implementation: they all go splat on the ground
4 Evaluation: null hypothesis not rejected
• This does not prove reindeer cannot fly: what you have
shown is that
– “from this roof, on this day, under these weather conditions,
these particular reindeer either could not, or chose not to,
fly”
4 It is possible, in principle, to reject the null
hypothesis
• By exhibiting a flying reindeer!
©[email protected] 2012
Significance
4 Inferential statistics determine whether a significant
difference of effectiveness exist between drug A
and drug B.
4 If there is a significant difference (p<0.05), then the
null hypothesis would be rejected.
4 Otherwise, if no significant difference (p>0.05), then
the null hypothesis would not be rejected.
4 The usual level of significance utilised to reject or
not reject the null hypothesis are either 0.05 or 0.01.
In the above example, it was set at 0.05.

©[email protected] 2012
Confidence interval

4 Confidence interval = 1 - level of


significance.
4 If the level of significance is 0.05, then
the confidence interval is 95%.
4CI = 1 – 0.05 = 0.95 = 95%
4If CI = 99%, then level of
significance is 0.01.
©[email protected] 2012
What is level of
significance? Chance?

Reject H0 Reject H0

.025 .025

-2.0639
-1.96 0 2.0639
1.96 t
©[email protected] 2012
Fisher’s Use of p-Values

4 R.A. Fisher referred to the probability to declare


significance as “p-value”.
4 “It is a common practice to judge a result significant, if
it is of such magnitude that it would be produced by
chance not more frequently than once in 20 trials.”
4 1/20=0.05. If p-value less than 0.05, then the
probability of the effect detected were due to chance
is less than 5%.
4 We would be 95% confident that the effect detected is
due to real effect, not due to chance.

©[email protected] 2012
Error

4 Although we have determined the level


of significance and confidence interval,
there is still a chance of error.
4 There are 2 types;
• Type I Error
• Type II Error

©[email protected] 2012
Error
REALITY

Treatments are Treatments are


DECISION not different different

Conclude Correct Decision Type II error


treatments are β error
not different
(Cell a) (Cell b)

Conclude Type I error Correct Decision


treatments are α error
different
(Cell c) (Cell d)
©[email protected] 2012
Error
Incorrect Null
Test of Correct Null Hypothesis Hypothesis
Significance (Ho not rejected) (Ho rejected)
Null Hypothesis
Not Rejected Correct Conclusion Type II Error
Null Hypothesis
Rejected Type I Error Correct Conclusion

©[email protected] 2012
Type I Error

• Type I Error – rejecting the null hypothesis


although the null hypothesis is correct
e.g.
• when we compare the mean/proportion of
the 2 groups, the difference is small but the
difference is found to be significant.
Therefore the null hypothesis is rejected.
• It may occur due to inappropriate choice of
alpha (level of significance).

©[email protected] 2012
Type II Error

• Type II Error – not rejecting the null


hypothesis although the null hypothesis is
wrong
• e.g. when we compare the mean/proportion
of the 2 groups, the difference is big but the
difference is not significant. Therefore the
null hypothesis is not rejected.
• It may occur when the sample size is
too small.
©[email protected] 2012
Example of Type II Error
Data of a clinical trial on 30 patients on comparison of pain control between
two modes of treatment.
Type of treatment * Pain (2 hrs post-op) Crosstabulation

Pain (2 hrs post-op)


No pain In pain Total
Type of treatment Pethidine Count 8 7 15
% within Type
53.3% 46.7% 100.0%
of treatment
Cocktail Count 4 11 15
% within Type
26.7% 73.3% 100.0%
of treatment
Total Count 12 18 30
% within Type
40.0% 60.0% 100.0%
of treatment

Chi-square =2.222, p=0.136

p = 0.136. p bigger than 0.05. No significant difference and the null hypothesis was not
rejected.

There was a large difference between the rates but were not
significant. Type II Error? ©[email protected] 2012
Not significant since power of
the study is less than 80%.

Power is only
32%!

©[email protected] 2012
Check for the errors

4 You can check for type II errors of your


own data analysis by checking for the
power of the respective analysis
4 This can easily be done by utilising
software such as Power & Sample Size
(PS2) from the website of the Vanderbilt
University

©[email protected] 2012
Determining the
appropriate statistical test

©[email protected] 2012
Data Analysis

4 Descriptive – summarising data


4 Test of Association
4 Multivariate – controlling for confounders

©[email protected] 2012
Test of Association

4 To study the relationship between one


or more risk variable(s) (independent)
with outcome variable (dependent)
4 For example; does ethnicity affects the
suicidal/para-suicidal tendencies of
psychiatric patients.

©[email protected] 2012
Problem Flow Chart

Independent Variables

Ethnicity Marital Status

Suicidal Tendencies

Dependent Variable
©[email protected] 2012
Multivariat

4 Studies the association between


multiple causative factors/variables
(independent variables) with the
outcome (dependent).
4 For example; risk factors such as
parental care, practise of religion,
education level of parents & disciplinary
problems of their child (outcome).

©[email protected] 2012
Hypothesis Testing

4 Distinguish parametric & non-parametric


procedures
4 Test two or more populations using
parametric & non-parametric procedures
• Means
• Medians
• Variances

©[email protected] 2012
Hypothesis Testing
Procedures

©[email protected] 2012
Parametric Test
Procedures

4 Involve population parameters


• Example: Population mean
4 Require interval scale or ratio scale
• Whole numbers or fractions
• Example: Height in inches: 72, 60.5, 54.7
4 Have stringent assumptions
• Example: Normal distribution
4 Examples: Z test, t test
©[email protected] 2012
Nonparametric Test
Procedures

4 Statistic does not depend on population


distribution
4 Data may be nominally or ordinally
scaled
• Example: Male-female
4 May involve population parameters such
as median
4 Example: Wilcoxon rank sum test

©[email protected] 2012
Parametric Analysis –
Quantitative

Qualitative Quantitative Normally distributed data Student's t Test


Dichotomus
Qualitative Quantitative Normally distributed data ANOVA
Polinomial
Quantitative Quantitative Repeated measurement of the Paired t Test
same individual & item (e.g.
Hb level before & after
treatment). Normally
distributed data
Quantitative - Quantitative - Normally distributed data Pearson Correlation
continous continous & Linear
Regresssion

©[email protected] 2012
non-parametric tests
Variable 1 Variable 2 Criteria Type of Test
Qualitative Qualitative Sample size < 20 or (< 40 but Fisher Test
Dichotomus Dichotomus with at least one expected
value < 5)
Qualitative Quantitative Data not normally distributed Wilcoxon Rank Sum
Dichotomus Test or U Mann-
Whitney Test
Qualitative Quantitative Data not normally distributed Kruskal-Wallis One
Polinomial Way ANOVA Test
Quantitative Quantitative Repeated measurement of the Wilcoxon Rank Sign
same individual & item Test
Quantitative - Quantitative - Data not normally distributed Spearman/Kendall
continous continous Rank Correlation

©[email protected] 2012
Statistical Tests - Qualitative

Variable 1 Variable 2 Criteria Type of Test


Qualitative Qualitative Sample size > 20 dan no Chi Square Test (X2)
expected value < 5
Qualitative Qualitative Sample size > 30 Proportionate Test
Dichotomus Dichotomus
Qualitative Qualitative Sample size > 40 but with at X2 Test with Yates
Dichotomus Dichotomus least one expected value < 5 Correction
Qualitative Quantitative
Qualitative Normally distributed
Sample size < 20 or data Student's
(< 40 but Fisher Testt Test
Dichotomus Dichotomus with at least one expected
value < 5)
Qualitative Quantitative Data not normally distributed Wilcoxon Rank Sum

©[email protected] 2012
Data Analysis

4Using SPSS;
http://161.142.92.104/spss/
4Using Excel;
http://161.142.92.104/excel/

©[email protected] 2012
FF2613

T Test, ANOVA &


Proportionate Test

Assoc. Prof . Dr Azmi Mohd Tamil


Dept of Community Health
Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia

©[email protected] 2012
T - Test

Independent T-Test
Student’s T-Test

Paired T-Test

ANOVA

© d rta m il@ g m a il.c o m 2012


Student’s T-test

William Sealy Gosset @


“Student”, 1908. The Probable
Error of Mean. Biometrika.

©[email protected] 2012
Student’s T-Test
4 To compare the means of two independent
groups. For example; comparing the mean
Hb between cases and controls. 2 variables
are involved here, one quantitative (i.e. Hb)
and the other a dichotomous qualitative
variable (i.e. case/control).

4 t=
©[email protected] 2012
Examples: Student’s t-
test

4 Comparing the level of blood cholestrol


(mg/dL) between the hypertensive and
normotensive.
4 Comparing the HAMD score of two
groups of psychiatric patients treated
with two different types of drugs (i.e.
Fluoxetine & Sertraline

©[email protected] 2012
Example

Group Statistics

DRUG N Mean Std. Deviation


DHAMAWK6 F 35 4.2571 3.12808
S 32 3.8125 4.39529

Independent Samples Test

t-test for Equality of Means


Sig. Mean
t df (2-tailed) Difference
DHAMAWK6 Equal variances
.48 65 .633 .4446
assumed

©[email protected] 2012
Assumptions of T test

4 Observations are normally distributed in


each population. (Explore)
4 The population variances are equal.
( L e v e n e ’s T e s t)

The 2 groups are independent of each


other. (Design of study)

©[email protected] 2012
Manual Calculation

4 Sample size > 30 4 Small sample size,


equal variance
X1 − X 2
t=
X1 − X 2 1 1
t= s0 +
n1 n2
2 2
s s
+ 1 2
n1 n2 ( n − 1) s 2
+ ( n − 1) s 2
s02 = 1 1 2 2
(n1 − 1) + (n2 − 1)

©[email protected] 2012
Example – compare
cholesterol level
4 Hypertensive : 4 Normal :
Mean : 214.92 Mean : 182.19
s.d. : 39.22 s.d. : 37.26
n : 64 n : 36
• Comparing the cholesterol level between
hypertensive and normal patients.
• The difference is (214.92 – 182.19) = 32.73 mg%.
• H0 : There is no difference of cholesterol level
between hypertensive and normal patients.
• n > 30, (64+36=100), therefore use the first formula.
©[email protected] 2012
Calculation
X1 − X 2
t=
2 2
s s
1
+ 2
n1 n2
4t = (214.92- 182.19)________
((39.222/64)+(37.262/36))0.5
4 t = 4.137
4 df = n1+n2-2 = 64+36-2 = 98
4 Refer to t table; with t = 4.137, p < 0.001
©[email protected] 2012
If df>100, can refer Table A1.
We don’t have 4.137 so we
use 3.99 instead. If t = 3.99,
then p=0.00003x2=0.00006
Therefore if t=4.137,
p<0.00006.
Or can refer to Table A3.
We don’t have df=98,
so we use df=60 instead.
t = 4.137 > 3.46 (p=0.001)

Therefore if t=4.137, p<0.001.


Conclusion
• Therefore p < 0.05, null hypothesis rejected.
• There is a significant difference of
cholesterol level between hypertensive and
normal patients.
• Hypertensive patients have a significantly
higher cholesterol level compared to
normotensive patients.
©[email protected] 2012
Exercise (try it)
• Comparing the mini test 1 (2012) results between
UKM and ACMS students.
• The difference is 11.255
• H0 : There is no difference of marks between UKM
and ACMS students.
• n > 30, therefore use the first formula.

©[email protected] 2012
Exercise (answer)

4 Nullhypothesis rejected
4 There is a difference of marks between
UKM and ACMS students. UKM marks
higher than AUCMS

©[email protected] 2012
T-Test In SPSS

4 For this exercise, we will


be using the data from
the CD, under Chapter
7, sga-bab7.sav
4 This data came from a
case-control study on
factors affecting SGA in
Kelantan.
4 Open the data & select -
>Analyse
>Compare Means
>Ind-Samp T
Test…
©[email protected] 2012
T-Test in SPSS

4 We want to see whether


there is any association
between the mothers’ weight
and SGA. So select the risk
factor (weight2) into ‘Test
Variable’ & the outcome
(SGA) into ‘Grouping
Variable’.
4 Now click on the ‘Define
Groups’ button. Enter
• 0 (Control) for Group 1 and
• 1 (Case) for Group 2.
4 Click the ‘Continue’ button &
then click the ‘OK’ button.

©[email protected] 2012
T-Test Results
Group Statistics

Std. Error
SGA N Mean Std. Deviation Mean
Weight at first ANC Normal 108 58.666 11.2302 1.0806
SGA 109 51.037 9.3574 .8963

4 Compare the mean+sd of both groups.


• Normal 58.7+11.2 kg
• SGA 51.0+ 9.4 kg
4 Apparently there is a difference of
weight between the two groups.
©[email protected] 2012
Results & Homogeneity of
Variances
Independent Samples Test

Levene's Test for


Equality of Variances t-test for Equality of Means
95% Confidence
Interval of the
Mean Std. Error Difference
F Sig. t df Sig. (2-tailed) Difference Difference Lower Upper
Weight at first ANC Equal variances
1.862 .174 5.439 215 .000 7.629 1.4028 4.8641 10.3940
assumed
Equal variances
5.434 207.543 .000 7.629 1.4039 4.8612 10.3969
not assumed

4 Look at the p value of Levene’s Test. If p is not


significant then equal variances is assumed (use top
row).
4 If it is significant then equal variances is not assumed
(use bottom row).
4 So the t value here is 5.439 and p < 0.0005. The
difference is significant. Therefore there is an
association between the mothers weight and SGA.
©[email protected] 2012
How to present the
result?

Group N Mean test p

Normal 108 58.7+11.2 kg


T test
<0.0005
t = 5.439
SGA 109 51.0+ 9.4

©[email protected] 2012
Paired t-test

“Repeated measurement on the


same individual”

©[email protected] 2012
Paired T-Test

4 “Repeated measurement on the same


individual”
4 t=

©[email protected] 2012
Formula

d −0
t=
sd
n

( ∑ d)
2

∑d i
2

n
sd =
n −1

df = n p − 1
©[email protected] 2012
Examples of paired t-test

4 Comparing the HAMD score between


week 0 and week 6 of treatment with
Sertraline for a group of psychiatric
patients.
4 Comparing the haemoglobin level
amongst anaemic pregnant women after
6 weeks of treatment with haematinics.

©[email protected] 2012
Example

Paired Samples Statistics

Mean N Std. Deviation


Pair DHAMAWK0 13.9688 32 6.48315
1 DHAMAWK6 3.8125 32 4.39529

Paired Samples Test

Paired Differences
Std. Sig.
Mean Deviation t df (2-tailed)
Pair DHAMAWK0 -
10.1563 6.75903 8.500 31 .000
1 DHAMAWK6

©[email protected] 2012
M a n u a l C a l c u l a t i o n

The measurement of the systolic and diastolic


blood pressures was done two consecutive
times with an interval of 10 minutes. You want
to d e te r m in e w h e th e r th e r e w a s a n y

difference between those two measurements.


4 H0:There is no difference of the systolic blood
pressure during the first (time 0) and second
measurement (time 10 minutes).

©[email protected] 2012
Calculation

4 Calculate the difference between first &


second measurement and square it.
Total up the difference and the square.

©[email protected] 2012
Calculation

4∑ d = 112 ∑ d2 = 1842 n = 36
4 Mean d = 112/36 = 3.11
4 sd = ((1842-1122/36)/35)0.5 d −0
t=
sd
sd = 6.53 n
4 t = 3.11/(6.53/6)
t = 2.858 (∑ d )
2

4 df = np – 1 = 36 – 1 = 35. ∑ i−
d 2

n
sd =
n −1
4 Refer to t table;
df = n p − 1
©[email protected] 2012
Refer to Table A3.
We don’t have df=35,
so we use df=30 instead.
t = 2.858, larger than 2.75
(p=0.01) but smaller than 3.03
(p=0.005). 3.03>t>2.75
Therefore if t=2.858,
0.005<p<0.01.
Conclusion
with t = 2.858, 0.005<p<0.01
Therefore p < 0.01.
Therefore p < 0.05, null hypothesis
rejected.
Conclusion: There is a significant
difference of the systolic blood pressure
between the first and second
measurement. The mean average of first
reading is significantly higher compared
to the second reading.
©[email protected] 2012
Paired T-Test In SPSS

4 For this exercise, we will


be using the data from
the CD, under Chapter
7, sgapair.sav
4 This data came from a
controlled trial on
haematinic effect on Hb.
4 Open the data & select -
>Analyse
>Compare Means
>Paired-Samples T

Test…
©[email protected] 2012
Paired T-Test In SPSS

4 We want to see whether


there is any association
between the prescription
on haematinic to
anaemic pregnant
mothers and Hb.
4 We are comparing the
Hb before & after
treatment. So pair the
two measurements (Hb2
& Hb3) together.
4 Click the ‘OK’ button.

©[email protected] 2012
Paired T-Test Results
Paired Samples Statistics

Std. Error
Mean N Std. Deviation Mean
Pair HB2 10.247 70 .3566 .0426
1 HB3 10.594 70 .9706 .1160

4 Thisshows the mean & standard


deviation of the two groups.

©[email protected] 2012
Paired T-Test Results
Paired Samples Test

Paired Differences
95% Confidence
Interval of the
Std. Error Difference
Mean Std. Deviation Mean Lower Upper t df Sig. (2-tailed)
Pair 1 HB2 - HB3 -.347 .9623 .1150 -.577 -.118 -3.018 69 .004

4 This shows the mean difference of Hb


before & after treatment is only 0.347
g%.
4 Yet the t=3.018 & p=0.004 show the
difference is statistically significant.
©[email protected] 2012
How to present the
result?

Mean D
Group N Test p
(Diff.)

Before
treatment
Paired T-
(HB2) vs
70 0.35 + 0.96 test 0.004
After
t = 3.018
treatment
(HB3)

©[email protected] 2012
ANOVA

©[email protected] 2012
ANOVA –
Analysis of Variance

4 Extension of independent-samples t test


4 Comparesthe means of groups of
independent observations
• Don’t be fooled by the name. ANOVA does
not compare variances.
4 Can compare more than two groups

©[email protected] 2012
One-Way ANOVA
F-Test
4 Tests the equality of 2 or more population means
4 Variables
• One nominal scaled independent variable
– 2 or more treatment levels or classifications
(i.e. Race; Malay, Chinese, Indian & Others)
• One interval or ratio scaled dependent variable
(i.e. weight, height, age)
4 Used to analyse completely randomized
experimental designs

©[email protected] 2012
Examples

4 Comparing the blood cholesterol levels


between the bus drivers, bus conductors
and taxi drivers.
4 Comparing the mean systolic pressure
between Malays, Chinese, Indian &
Others.

©[email protected] 2012
One-Way ANOVA
F-Test Assumptions

4 Randomness & independence of errors


• Independent random samples are drawn
4 Normality
• Populations are normally distributed
4 Homogeneity of variance
• Populations have equal variances

©[email protected] 2012
Example
Descriptives

Birth weight
N Mean Std. Deviation Minimum Maximum
Housewife 151 2.7801 .52623 1.90 4.72
Office work 23 2.7643 .60319 1.60 3.96
Field work 44 2.8430 .55001 1.90 3.79
Total 218 2.7911 .53754 1.60 4.72

ANOVA

Birth weight
Sum of
Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
Between Groups .153 2 .077 .263 .769
Within Groups 62.550 215 .291
Total 62.703 217
©[email protected] 2012
Manual Calculation

ANOVA

©[email protected] 2012
Manual Calculation

4 Notexpected to be calculated manually


by medical students.

©[email protected] 2012
Example:
Time To Complete
Analysis

45 samples were
analysed using 3 different
blood analyser (Mach1,
Mach2 & Mach3).

15 samples were placed


into each analyser.

Time in seconds was


measured for each
sample analysis.
Example:
Time To Complete
Analysis

The overall mean of the


entire sample was 22.71
seconds.

This is called the “grand”


mean, and is often
denoted by X .

If H0 were true then we’d


expect the group means
to be close to the grand
mean.
Example:
Time To Complete
Analysis
The ANOVA test is
based on the combined
distances from X .

If the combined
distances are large, that
indicates we should
reject H0.
The Anova Statistic

To combine the differences from the grand mean we


• Square the differences
• Multiply by the numbers of observations in the groups
• Sum over the groups

( )2
( )
2
(
SSB = 15 X Mach1 − X + 15 X Mach 2 − X + 15 X Mach3 − X )
2

where the X * are the group means.

“SSB” = Sum of Squares Between groups


The Anova Statistic

To combine the differences from the grand mean we


• Square the differences
• Multiply by the numbers of observations in the groups
• Sum over the groups

( )2
( )
2
(
SSB = 15 X Mach1 − X + 15 X Mach 2 − X + 15 X Mach3 − X )
2

where the X * are the group means.

“SSB” = Sum of Squares Between groups

Note: This looks a bit like a variance.


Sum of Squares Between

( )
2
( )2
(
SSB = 15 X Mach1 − X + 15 X Mach 2 − X + 15 X Mach3 − X )2

4 Grand Mean = 22.71


4 Mean Mach1 = 24.93; (24.93-22.71)2=4.9284
4 Mean Mach2 = 22.61; (22.61-22.71)2=0.01
4 Mean Mach3 = 20.59; (20.59-22.71)2=4.4944
4 SSB = (15*4.9284)+(15*0.01)+(15*4.4944)
4 SSB = 141.492

©[email protected] 2012
How big is big?

4 For the Time to Complete, SSB = 141.492

4 Is that big enough to reject H0?

4 As with the t test, we compare the statistic to


the variability of the individual observations.

4 InANOVA the variability is estimated by the


Mean Square Error, or MSE
MSE
Mean Square Error

The Mean Square Error


is a measure of the
variability after the
group effects have
been taken into
account.

∑∑ (x − X j)
1 2
MSE = ij
N −K j i

where xij is the ith


observation in the jth
group.
MSE
Mean Square Error

The Mean Square Error


is a measure of the
variability after the
group effects have
been taken into
account.

∑∑ (x − X j)
1 2
MSE = ij
N −K j i

where xij is the ith


observation in the jth
group.
MSE
Mean Square Error

The Mean Square Error


is a measure of the
variability after the
group effects have
been taken into
account.

∑∑ (x − X j)
1 2
MSE = ij
N −K j i
MSE =
1
∑∑ (xij − X j )2

N −K j i
Mach1 (x-mean)^2 Mach2 (x-mean)^2 Mach3 (x-mean)^2
23.73 1.4400 21.5 1.2321 19.74 0.7225
23.74 1.4161 21.6 1.0201 19.75 0.7056
23.75 1.3924 21.7 0.8281 19.76 0.6889
24.00 0.8649 21.7 0.8281 19.9 0.4761
24.10 0.6889 21.8 0.6561 20 0.3481
24.20 0.5329 21.9 0.5041 20.1 0.2401
25.00 0.0049 22.75 0.0196 20.3 0.0841
25.10 0.0289 22.75 0.0196 20.4 0.0361
25.20 0.0729 22.75 0.0196 20.5 0.0081
25.30 0.1369 23.3 0.4761 20.5 0.0081
25.40 0.2209 23.4 0.6241 20.6 0.0001
25.50 0.3249 23.4 0.6241 20.7 0.0121
26.30 1.8769 23.5 0.7921 22.1 2.2801
26.31 1.9044 23.5 0.7921 22.2 2.5921
26.32 1.9321 23.6 0.9801 22.3 2.9241
SUM 12.8380 9.4160 11.1262
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MSE =
1
∑∑ (xij − X j )2

N −K j i

4 Note that the variation of the means


(141.492) seems quite large (more likely
to be significant???) compared to the
variance of observations within groups
(12.8380+9.4160+11.1262=33.3802).
4 MSE = 33.3802/(45-3) = 0.7948

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Notes on MSE

4 Ifthere are only two groups, the MSE is equal


to the pooled estimate of variance used in the
equal-variance t test.
4 ANOVA assumes that all the group variances
are equal.
4 Other options should be considered if group
variances differ by a factor of 2 or more.
4 (12.8380 ~ 9.4160 ~ 11.1262)
ANOVA F Test

4 The ANOVA F test is based on the F statistic


SSB (K − 1)
F=
MSE
where K is the number of groups.

4 Under H0 the F statistic has an “F” distribution,


with K-1 and N-K degrees of freedom (N is the
total number of observations)
Time to Analyse:
F test p-value
To get a p-value we
compare our F statistic
to an F(2, 42)
distribution.
Time to Analyse:
F test p-value
To get a p-value we
compare our F statistic
to an F(2, 42)
distribution.

In our example

141.492 2
F= = 89.015
33.3802 42

We cannot draw the line


since the F value is so
large, therefore the p
value is so small!!!!!!
Refer to F Dist. Table (α=0.01).
We don’t have df=2;42,
so we use df=2;40 instead.
F = 89.015, larger than 5.18
(p=0.01)
Therefore if F=89.015, p<0.01.

Why use df=2;42?


We have 3 groups
so K-1 = 2
We have 45
samples therefore
N-K = 42. ©[email protected] 2012
Time to Analyse:
F test p-value
To get a p-value we
compare our F statistic
to an F(2, 42)
distribution.

In our example

141.492 2
F= = 89.015
33.3802 42

The p-value is really


P(F (2,42) > 89.015) = 0.00000000000008
ANOVA Table
Results are often displayed using an ANOVA Table

Sum of Mean
Squares df Square F Sig.
Between
141.492 2 40.746 89.015 .0000000
Groups
Within Groups 33.380 42 .795

Total 174.872 44
ANOVA Table
Results are often displayed using an ANOVA Table

Sum of Mean
Squares df Square F Sig.
Between
141.492 2 40.746 89.015 .0000000
Groups
Within Groups 33.380 42 .795

Total 174.872 44

Pop Quiz!: Where are the following quantities presented in this table?

Sum of Squares Mean Square F Statistic p value


Between (SSB) Error (MSE)
ANOVA Table
Results are often displayed using an ANOVA Table

Sum of Mean
Squares df Square F Sig.
Between
141.492 2 40.746 89.015 .0000000
Groups
Within Groups 33.380 42 .795

Total 174.872 44

Sum of Squares Mean Square F Statistic p value


Between (SSB) Error (MSE)
ANOVA Table
Results are often displayed using an ANOVA Table

Sum of Mean
Squares df Square F Sig.
Between
141.492 2 40.746 89.015 .0000000
Groups
Within Groups 33.380 42 .795

Total 174.872 44

Sum of Squares Mean Square F Statistic p value


Between (SSB) Error (MSE)
ANOVA Table
Results are often displayed using an ANOVA Table

Sum of Mean
Squares df Square F Sig.
Between
141.492 2 40.746 89.015 .0000000
Groups
Within Groups 33.380 42 .795

Total 174.872 44

Sum of Squares Mean Square F Statistic p value


Between (SSB) Error (MSE)
ANOVA Table
Results are often displayed using an ANOVA Table

Sum of Mean
Squares df Square F Sig.
Between
141.492 2 40.746 89.015 .0000000
Groups
Within Groups 33.380 42 .795

Total 174.872 44

Sum of Squares Mean Square F Statistic p value


Between (SSB) Error (MSE)
ANOVA In SPSS

4 For this exercise, we will


be using the data from
the CD, under Chapter
7, sga-bab7.sav
4 This data came from a
case-control study on
factors affecting SGA in
Kelantan.
4 Open the data & select -
>Analyse
>Compare Means
>One-Way
ANOVA…
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ANOVA in SPSS

4 We want to see whether


there is any association
between the babies’ weight
and mothers’ type of work.
So select the risk factor
(typework) into ‘Factor’ & the
outcome (birthwgt) into
‘Dependent’.
4 Now click on the ‘Post Hoc’
button. Select Bonferonni.
4 Click the ‘Continue’ button &
then click the ‘OK’ button.
4 Then click on the ‘Options’
button.

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ANOVA in SPSS

4 Select ‘Descriptive’,
‘Homegeneity of
variance test’ and
‘Means plot’.
4 Click ‘Continue’ and
then ‘OK’.

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ANOVA Results
Descriptives

Birth weight
95% Confidence Interval for
Mean
N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Lower Bound Upper Bound Minimum Maximum
Housewife 151 2.7801 .52623 .04282 2.6955 2.8647 1.90 4.72
Office work 23 2.7643 .60319 .12577 2.5035 3.0252 1.60 3.96
Field work 44 2.8430 .55001 .08292 2.6757 3.0102 1.90 3.79
Total 218 2.7911 .53754 .03641 2.7193 2.8629 1.60 4.72

4 Compare the mean+sd of all groups.


4 Apparently there are not much
difference of babies’ weight between the
groups.

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Results & Homogeneity of
Variances
Test of Homogeneity of Variances

Birth weight
Levene
Statistic df1 df2 Sig.
.757 2 215 .470

4 Look at the p value of Levene’s Test. If p


is not significant then equal variances is
assumed.

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ANOVA Results
ANOVA

Birth weight
Sum of
Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
Between Groups .153 2 .077 .263 .769
Within Groups 62.550 215 .291
Total 62.703 217

4 Sothe F value here is 0.263 and p =0.769.


The difference is not significant. Therefore
there is no association between the
babies’ weight and mothers’ type of work.

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How to present the
result?

Type of Work Mean+sd Test p

Office 2.76 + 0.60

ANOVA
Housewife 2.78 + 0.53 0.769
F = 0.263

Farmer 2.84 + 0.55

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Proportionate Test

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Proportionate Test

4 Qualitativedata utilises rates, i.e. rate of


anaemia among males & females
4 To compare such rates, statistical tests
such as Z-Test and Chi-square can be
used.

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Formula
p1 − p2 • where p1 is the rate for
z= event 1 = a1/n1
1 1 
p0 q0  +  • p2 is the rate for event 2
= a2/n2
 n1 n2 
• a1 and a2 are frequencies
of event 1 and 2

p1n1 + p2 n2 4 We refer to the normal


p0 = distribution table to
n1 + n2 decide whether to reject
or not the null
hypothesis.
q0 = 1 − p0

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http://stattrek.com/hypothesis-
test/proportion.aspx

4 ■The sampling method is simple random


sampling.
4 ■Each sample point can result in just two
possible outcomes. We call one of these
outcomes a success and the other, a failure.
4 ■The sample includes at least 10 successes
and 10 failures.
4 ■The population size is at least 10 times as
big as the sample size.

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Example

4 Comparison of worm infestation rate


between male and female medical
students in Year 2.
4 Rate for males ; p1= 29/96 = 0.302
4 Rate for females;p2 =24/104 = 0.231
4 H0: There is no difference of worm
infestation rate between male and
female medical students in Year 2

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Cont.
p1 p2

p0 q0

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Cont.

4 p0 = (29/96*96)+(24/104*104) = 0.265
96+104

4 q0 = 1 – 0.265 = 0.735

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Cont.

4z = 0.302 - 0.231 = 1.1367


((0.735*0.265) (1/96 + 1/104))0.5

4 From the normal distribution table (A1), z value


is significant at p=0.05 if it is above 1.96. Since
the value is less than 1.96, then there is no
difference of rate for worm infestatation
between the male and female students.
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Refer to Table A1.
We don’t have 1.1367 so we
use 1.14 instead. If z = 1.14,
then p=0.1271x2=0.2542
Therefore if z=1.14,
p=0.2542. H0 not rejected
Exercise (try it)

4 Comparison of failure rate between


ACMS and UKM medical students in
Year 2 for minitest 1 (MS2 2012).
4 Rate for UKM ; p1= 42/196 = 0.214
4 Rate for ACMS;p2 = 35/70 = 0.5
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Answer

4 P1 = 0.214, p2 = 0.5, p0 = 0.289, q0 = 0.711


4 N1 = 196, n2 = 70, Z = 20.470.5 = 4.52
4 p < 0.00006
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