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MACD-Histogram
Developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986, the MACD-Histogram measures the distance between MACD and its signal line (the 9-day EMA of
MACD). Like MACD, the MACD-Histogram is also an oscillator that fluctuates above and below the zero line. Aspray developed the
MACD-Histogram to anticipate signal line crossovers in MACD. Because MACD uses moving averages and moving averages lag price,
signal line crossovers can come late and affect the reward-to-risk ratio of a trade. Bullish or bearish divergences in the MACD-Histogram
can alert chartists to an imminent signal line crossover in MACD. See our ChartSchool article for more on MACD.
Calculation
MACD: (12-day EMA - 26-day EMA)
Standard MACD is the 12-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) less the 26-day EMA. Closing prices are used to form the moving
averages so MACD. A 9-day EMA of MACD is plotted along side to act as a signal line to identify turns in the indicator. The MACD-
Histogram represents the difference between MACD and its 9-day EMA, the signal line. The histogram is positive when MACD is above its
9-day EMA and negative when MACD is below its 9-day EMA.
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The base for this indicator is the security's price. It takes four steps to get from the actual price to the MACD-Histogram. Talk about
massaging the data. While not necessarily a bad thing, chartists should keep this in mind when analyzing the MACD-Histogram. It is an
indicator of an indicator. Therefore, it is designed to anticipate signals in MACD, which in turn is designed to identify changes in the price
momentum of the underlying security.
Interpretation
As with MACD, the MACD-Histogram is also designed to identify convergence, divergence and crossovers. The MACD-Histogram,
however, is measuring the distance between MACD and its signal line. The histogram is positive when MACD is above its signal line.
Positive values increase as MACD diverges further from its signal line (to the upside). Positive values decrease as MACD and its signal line
converge. The MACD-Histogram crosses the zero line as MACD crosses below its signal line. The indicator is negative when MACD is
below its signal line. Negative values increase as MACD diverges further from its signal line (to the downside). Conversely, negative values
decrease as MACD converges on its signal line.
Chart 1 shows Darden Restaurants (DRI) with MACD and the MACD-Histogram. A bearish signal line crossover occurred in late
September and this turned the MACD-Histogram negative. A bullish signal line crossover occurred in early December and this turned the
MACD-Histogram positive the rest of the month. There was a period of divergence as MACD moved further from its signal line (green
line) and a period of convergence as MACD moved closer to its signal line (red line).
Peak-Trough Divergence
The MACD-Histogram anticipates signal line crossovers in MACD by forming bullish and bearish divergences. These divergences signal
that MACD is converging on its signal line and could be ripe for a cross. There are two types of divergences: peak-trough and slant. A
peak-trough divergence forms with two peaks or two troughs in the MACD-Histogram. A peak-trough bullish divergence forms when
MACD forges a lower low and the MACD-Histogram forges a higher low. Well-defined troughs are important to the robustness of a peak-
trough divergence. Chart 2 shows Caterpillar with a bullish divergence in the MACD-Histogram. Notice that MACD moved to a lower low
in June-July, but the MACD-Histogram formed a higher low (trough). There are two distinct troughs. This bullish divergence
foreshadowed the bullish signal line crossover in mid-July and a big rally.
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Chart 3 shows Aeropostale (ARO) with a bearish divergence in August-September 2009. MACD moved to a new high in September, but
the MACD-Histogram formed a lower high. Notice that there are two definitive peaks (higher) with a dip in between on the MACD-
Histogram (red line). The subsequent bearish signal line crossover foreshadowed a sharp decline in the stock.
Slant Divergence
As its name implies, slant divergences form without well-defined peaks or troughs. Instead of two reaction highs, there is simply a slant
lower as the MACD-Histogram moves towards the zero line. This slant towards the zero line reflects a convergence between MACD and its
signal line. In other words, they are getting closer to each other. Momentum shows strength when MACD is moving away from its signal
line and the MACD-Histogram expands. Momentum weakens as MACD moves closer to its signal line and the MACD-Histogram
contracts. Contracting MACD-Histogram is the first step towards a signal line crossover.
Chart 4 shows Boeing with a classic slant divergence in the MACD-Histogram. MACD moved sharply lower after the bearish signal line
crossover in June 2009. MACD moved to a new low in mid-July, but the MACD-Histogram held well above its prior low. In fact, the
MACD-Histogram bottomed towards the end of June and formed a bullish slant divergence. The thick red lines show the distance between
MACD and its signal line. It is sometimes hard to gauge distance on the chart so these lines highlight the difference between 26-June and
8-July. This slant divergence foreshadowed the bullish signal line crossover in mid-July and a sharp advance in the stock.
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Chart 5 shows Disney (DIS) with a bearish slant divergence in May 2008. Notice how MACD continued to a new high on 16-May, but the
MACD-Histogram peaked on 8-May and formed a slant divergence. The advance in MACD was losing momentum and the indicator
moved below its signal line to foreshadow a sharp decline in the stock. This chart also shows a nice bullish divergence in March-April.
Conclusions
The MACD-Histogram is an indicator designed to predict signal line crossovers in MACD. By extension, it is designed as an early warning
system for these signal line crossovers, which are the most frequent of MACD signals. Divergences in the MACD-Histogram can be used to
filter signal line crossovers, which will reduce the number of signals. Even with a filter, the robustness of MACD-Histogram divergences is
still an issue. Short and shallow divergences are much more frequent than long and large divergences. In other words, divergences that
develop over a few days with shallow movements are generally less robust than divergences that develop over a few weeks with more
pronounced movements. The signal line crossover provides the ultimate confirmation, but aggressive traders may try to improve the
reward-to-risk ratio by making their move just before the crossover. This is when the MACD-Histogram is as close to the zero line as it can
be without actually making a cross, usually between -.20 and +.20.
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to show MACD without the histogram in the main window. Choose MACD as an indicator and change the signal line number from 9 to 1
(9,26,1). This will remove the signal line and the histogram. The signal line can be added separately by clicking the advanced indicator
options and adding a 9-day EMA.
Suggested Scans
MACD-Histogram Turns Positive
First, this scan only considers stocks trading above their 200-day moving average, which implies an uptrend overall. Second, the MACD-
Histogram moves from negative territory to positive territory. Also, notice that MACD is required to be negative to ensure this upturn
occurs after a pullback. This scan is just meant as a starter for further refinement.
For more details on the syntax to use for MACD-Histogram scans, please see our Scanning Indicator Reference in the Support Center.
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Further Study
Technical Analysis - Power Tools for Active Investors offers a complete course in market forecasting from the creator of MACD. Short,
intermediate and long term strategies are explained with many incorporating MACD.
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