Data Demand. Produk 1: Harga Produk 2: Harga Market Share: 20% Data Perusahaan + (NPM (Kls A 845), (Kls B 1034), (Kls C 683) ) Data Pesaing

Data Demand.
Produk 1 : Harga
Produk 2 : Harga
Market Share : 20%
Data Perusahaan +
{NPM * (Kls A 845), (Kls Data Pesaing
B 1034), (Kls C 683)}
Produk 1 Produk 2 Produk 1 Produk 2
87193 97576 67400 75810
90440 94865 68443 74569
87616 89841 69919 76990
90257 91217 68302 76168
89803 94892 70327 78667
89590 92464 69236 75886
91144 96720 69682 76789
92842 92920 70989 78430
91095 93621 69665 79171
91448 99283 70260 79531
93870 95773 72361 78257
92456 98690 71835 79904
91026 97886 71753 78484
93495 94112 70585 79987
94378 93545 72292 79462
92655 92876 72033 82369
93547 94589 72271 80831
93880 95663 71919 81999
92969 96807 73435 81695
94918 99324 74278 82361
96308 97654 75138 84279
97035 95895 75498 81590
94786 94567 76526 84627
96771 93214 76225 83126
95848 92349 77163 84794
98812 92783 75892 82818
96431 94799 74746 83363
96103 94481 74833 85778
93974 95541 75963 84070
95208 97894 71374 85440
96990 98129 72159 86465
98544 101267 72985 86952
99613 101984 74123 89841
101189 102567 75136 90920
103063 105871 78791 91343
109083 106171 79879 92479
PERHITUNGAN AGREGAT
Data Perusahaan Data Pesaing

No. No.
Produk 1 Produk 2 Produk 1 Produk 2
1 91418 101801 1 67400 75810
2 94665 99090 2 68443 74569
3 91841 94066 3 69919 76990
4 94482 95442 4 68302 76168
5 94028 99117 5 70327 78667
6 93815 96689 6 69236 75886
7 95369 100945 7 69682 76789
8 97067 97145 8 70989 78430
9 95320 97846 9 69665 79171
10 95673 103508 10 70260 79531
11 98095 99998 11 72361 78257
12 96681 102915 12 71835 79904
13 95251 102111 13 71753 78484
14 97720 98337 14 70585 79987
15 98603 97770 15 72292 79462
16 96880 97101 16 72033 82369
17 97772 98814 17 72271 80831
18 98105 99888 18 71919 81999
19 97194 101032 19 73435 81695
20 99143 103549 20 74278 82361
21 100533 101879 21 75138 84279
22 101260 100120 22 75498 81590
23 99011 98792 23 76526 84627
24 100996 97439 24 76225 83126
25 100073 96574 25 77163 84794
26 103037 97008 26 75892 82818
27 100656 99024 27 74746 83363
28 100328 98706 28 74833 85778
29 98199 99766 29 75963 84070
30 99433 102119 30 71374 85440
31 101215 102354 31 72159 86465
32 102769 105492 32 72985 86952
33 103838 106209 33 74123 89841
34 105414 106792 34 75136 90920
35 107288 110096 35 78791 91343
36 113308 110396 36 79879 92479
Perusahaan Pesaing
Harga Sepeda Roda 3 Rp346,000 Harga Sepeda Roda 3 Rp346,000
Harga Grill Carts Rp1,089,420 Harga Grill Carts Rp1,089,420
Market Share 20% Market Share 20%
Agregat
Data Perusahaan Data Pesaing
Periode Sepeda Roda 3 Grill Carts Agregat Periode Sepeda Roda 3 Grill Carts Agregat
1 Rp31,630,628,000 Rp110,904,045,420 Rp142,534,673,420 1 Rp23,320,400,000 Rp82,588,930,200 Rp105,909,330,200
2 Rp32,754,090,000 Rp107,950,627,800 Rp140,704,717,800 2 Rp23,681,278,000 Rp81,236,959,980 Rp104,918,237,980
3 Rp31,776,986,000 Rp102,477,381,720 Rp134,254,367,720 3 Rp24,191,974,000 Rp83,874,445,800 Rp108,066,419,800
4 Rp32,690,772,000 Rp103,976,423,640 Rp136,667,195,640 4 Rp23,632,492,000 Rp82,978,942,560 Rp106,611,434,560
5 Rp32,533,688,000 Rp107,980,042,140 Rp140,513,730,140 5 Rp24,333,142,000 Rp85,701,403,140 Rp110,034,545,140
6 Rp32,459,990,000 Rp105,334,930,380 Rp137,794,920,380 6 Rp23,955,656,000 Rp82,671,726,120 Rp106,627,382,120
7 Rp32,997,674,000 Rp109,971,501,900 Rp142,969,175,900 7 Rp24,109,972,000 Rp83,655,472,380 Rp107,765,444,380
8 Rp33,585,182,000 Rp105,831,705,900 Rp139,416,887,900 8 Rp24,562,194,000 Rp85,443,210,600 Rp110,005,404,600
9 Rp32,980,720,000 Rp106,595,389,320 Rp139,576,109,320 9 Rp24,104,090,000 Rp86,250,470,820 Rp110,354,560,820
10 Rp33,102,858,000 Rp112,763,685,360 Rp145,866,543,360 10 Rp24,309,960,000 Rp86,642,662,020 Rp110,952,622,020
11 Rp33,940,870,000 Rp108,939,821,160 Rp142,880,691,160 11 Rp25,036,906,000 Rp85,254,740,940 Rp110,291,646,940
12 Rp33,451,626,000 Rp112,117,659,300 Rp145,569,285,300 12 Rp24,854,910,000 Rp87,049,015,680 Rp111,903,925,680
13 Rp32,956,846,000 Rp111,241,765,620 Rp144,198,611,620 13 Rp24,826,538,000 Rp85,502,039,280 Rp110,328,577,280
14 Rp33,811,120,000 Rp107,130,294,540 Rp140,941,414,540 14 Rp24,422,410,000 Rp87,139,437,540 Rp111,561,847,540
15 Rp34,116,638,000 Rp106,512,593,400 Rp140,629,231,400 15 Rp25,013,032,000 Rp86,567,492,040 Rp111,580,524,040
16 Rp33,520,480,000 Rp105,783,771,420 Rp139,304,251,420 16 Rp24,923,418,000 Rp89,734,435,980 Rp114,657,853,980
17 Rp33,829,112,000 Rp107,649,947,880 Rp141,479,059,880 17 Rp25,005,766,000 Rp88,058,908,020 Rp113,064,674,020
18 Rp33,944,330,000 Rp108,819,984,960 Rp142,764,314,960 18 Rp24,883,974,000 Rp89,331,350,580 Rp114,215,324,580
19 Rp33,629,124,000 Rp110,066,281,440 Rp143,695,405,440 19 Rp25,408,510,000 Rp89,000,166,900 Rp114,408,676,900
20 Rp34,303,478,000 Rp112,808,351,580 Rp147,111,829,580 20 Rp25,700,188,000 Rp89,725,720,620 Rp115,425,908,620
21 Rp34,784,418,000 Rp110,989,020,180 Rp145,773,438,180 21 Rp25,997,748,000 Rp91,815,228,180 Rp117,812,976,180
22 Rp35,035,960,000 Rp109,072,730,400 Rp144,108,690,400 22 Rp26,122,308,000 Rp88,885,777,800 Rp115,008,085,800
23 Rp34,257,806,000 Rp107,625,980,640 Rp141,883,786,640 23 Rp26,477,996,000 Rp92,194,346,340 Rp118,672,342,340
24 Rp34,944,616,000 Rp106,151,995,380 Rp141,096,611,380 24 Rp26,373,850,000 Rp90,559,126,920 Rp116,932,976,920
25 Rp34,625,258,000 Rp105,209,647,080 Rp139,834,905,080 25 Rp26,698,398,000 Rp92,376,279,480 Rp119,074,677,480
26 Rp35,650,802,000 Rp105,682,455,360 Rp141,333,257,360 26 Rp26,258,632,000 Rp90,223,585,560 Rp116,482,217,560
27 Rp34,826,976,000 Rp107,878,726,080 Rp142,705,702,080 27 Rp25,862,116,000 Rp90,817,319,460 Rp116,679,435,460
28 Rp34,713,488,000 Rp107,532,290,520 Rp142,245,778,520 28 Rp25,892,218,000 Rp93,448,268,760 Rp119,340,486,760
29 Rp33,976,854,000 Rp108,687,075,720 Rp142,663,929,720 29 Rp26,283,198,000 Rp91,587,539,400 Rp117,870,737,400
30 Rp34,403,818,000 Rp111,250,480,980 Rp145,654,298,980 30 Rp24,695,404,000 Rp93,080,044,800 Rp117,775,448,800
31 Rp35,020,390,000 Rp111,506,494,680 Rp146,526,884,680 31 Rp24,967,014,000 Rp94,196,700,300 Rp119,163,714,300
32 Rp35,558,074,000 Rp114,925,094,640 Rp150,483,168,640 32 Rp25,252,810,000 Rp94,727,247,840 Rp119,980,057,840
33 Rp35,927,948,000 Rp115,706,208,780 Rp151,634,156,780 33 Rp25,646,558,000 Rp97,874,582,220 Rp123,521,140,220
34 Rp36,473,244,000 Rp116,341,340,640 Rp152,814,584,640 34 Rp25,997,056,000 Rp99,050,066,400 Rp125,047,122,400
35 Rp37,121,648,000 Rp119,940,784,320 Rp157,062,432,320 35 Rp27,261,686,000 Rp99,510,891,060 Rp126,772,577,060
36 Rp39,204,568,000 Rp120,267,610,320 Rp159,472,178,320 36 Rp27,638,134,000 Rp100,748,472,180 Rp128,386,606,180
Jumlah 1,230,542,080,000 3,943,624,140,600 5,174,166,220,600 Jumlah 907,701,936,000 3,219,503,007,900 4,127,204,943,900
Proporsi 24% 76% Proporsi 22% 78%
DMA Perusahaan
Periode Demand S't S''t at bt m F(t+m) Forecast et |et| et^2 Pe(%) |Pe|
1 Rp142,534,673,420 - - - - - - - - - - - -
2 Rp140,704,717,800 - - - - - - - - - - - - ME 266172874
3 Rp134,254,367,720 Rp139,164,586,313 - - - - - - - - - - - MAE 2188542739
4 Rp136,667,195,640 Rp137,208,760,387 - - - - - - - - - - - SSE 213970930697533000000
5 Rp140,513,730,140 Rp137,145,097,833 Rp137,839,481,511 Rp136,450,714,156 -Rp694,383,678 1 - - - - - - - MSE 6293262667574500000
6 Rp137,794,920,380 Rp138,325,282,053 Rp137,559,713,424 Rp139,090,850,682 Rp765,568,629 1 Rp135,756,330,478 Rp135,756,330,478 Rp2,038,589,902 2038589902 4155848788536370000 1.4794 1.4794 SDE 2670648677
7 Rp142,969,175,900 Rp140,425,942,140 Rp138,632,107,342 Rp142,219,776,938 Rp1,793,834,798 1 Rp139,856,419,311 Rp139,856,419,312 Rp3,112,756,588 3112756588 9689253576137400000 2.1772 2.1772 MPE 0.17424956
8 Rp139,416,887,900 Rp140,060,328,060 Rp139,603,850,751 Rp140,516,805,369 Rp456,477,309 1 Rp144,013,611,736 Rp144,013,611,736 -Rp4,596,723,836 4596723836 21129870024450600000 -3.2971 3.2971 MAPE 1.522429438
9 Rp139,576,109,320 Rp140,654,057,707 Rp140,380,109,302 Rp140,928,006,111 Rp273,948,404 1 Rp140,973,282,678 Rp140,973,282,678 -Rp1,397,173,358 1397173358 1952093392305000000 -1.0010 1.0010
10 Rp145,866,543,360 Rp141,619,846,860 Rp140,778,077,542 Rp142,461,616,178 Rp841,769,318 1 Rp141,201,954,516 Rp141,201,954,516 Rp4,664,588,844 4664588844 21758389083569300000 3.1978 3.1978
11 Rp142,880,691,160 Rp142,774,447,947 Rp141,682,784,171 Rp143,866,111,722 Rp1,091,663,776 1 Rp143,303,385,496 Rp143,303,385,496 -Rp422,694,336 422694336 178670501686481000 -0.2958 0.2958
12 Rp145,569,285,300 Rp144,772,173,273 Rp143,055,489,360 Rp146,488,857,187 Rp1,716,683,913 1 Rp144,957,775,498 Rp144,957,775,498 Rp611,509,802 611509802 373944237942079000 0.4201 0.4201
14 Rp140,941,414,540 Rp143,569,770,487 Rp144,186,046,596 Rp142,953,494,378 -Rp616,276,109 1 Rp144,806,709,916 Rp144,806,709,916 -Rp3,865,295,376 3865295376 14940508343727000000 -2.7425 2.7425
15 Rp140,629,231,400 Rp141,923,085,853 Rp143,236,350,789 Rp140,609,820,918 -Rp1,313,264,936 1 Rp142,337,218,269 Rp142,337,218,269 -Rp1,707,986,869 1707986869 2917219144676420000 -1.2145 1.2145
16 Rp139,304,251,420 Rp140,291,632,453 Rp141,928,162,931 Rp138,655,101,976 -Rp1,636,530,478 1 Rp139,296,555,982 Rp139,296,555,983 Rp7,695,437 7695437 59219750620969 0.0055 0.0055
17 Rp141,479,059,880 Rp140,470,847,567 Rp140,895,188,624 Rp140,046,506,509 -Rp424,341,058 1 Rp137,018,571,498 Rp137,018,571,498 Rp4,460,488,382 4460488382 19895956605957000000 3.1528 3.1528
19 Rp143,695,405,440 Rp142,646,260,093 Rp141,433,216,582 Rp143,859,303,604 Rp1,213,043,511 1 Rp142,250,944,856 Rp142,250,944,856 Rp1,444,460,584 1444460584 2086466378729620000 1.0052 1.0052
21 Rp145,773,438,180 Rp145,526,891,067 Rp144,232,333,718 Rp146,821,448,416 Rp1,294,557,349 1 Rp148,003,115,198 Rp148,003,115,198 -Rp2,229,677,018 2229677018 4971459604597370000 -1.5295 1.5295
23 Rp141,883,786,640 Rp143,921,971,740 Rp145,037,838,509 Rp142,806,104,971 -Rp1,115,866,769 1 Rp146,517,028,973 Rp146,517,028,974 -Rp4,633,242,334 4633242334 21466934525569800000 -3.2655 3.2655
24 Rp141,096,611,380 Rp142,363,029,473 Rp143,983,217,978 Rp140,742,840,969 -Rp1,620,188,504 1 Rp141,690,238,202 Rp141,690,238,203 -Rp593,626,823 593626823 352392804985073000 -0.4207 0.4207
25 Rp139,834,905,080 Rp140,938,434,367 Rp142,407,811,860 Rp139,469,056,873 -Rp1,469,377,493 1 Rp139,122,652,464 Rp139,122,652,465 Rp712,252,615 712252615 507303787574338000 0.5094 0.5094
26 Rp141,333,257,360 Rp140,754,924,607 Rp141,352,129,482 Rp140,157,719,731 -Rp597,204,876 1 Rp137,999,679,380 Rp137,999,679,380 Rp3,333,577,980 3333577980 11112742148740900000 2.3587 2.3587
28 Rp142,245,778,520 Rp142,094,912,653 Rp141,380,375,144 Rp142,809,450,162 Rp714,537,509 1 Rp141,884,099,756 Rp141,884,099,756 Rp361,678,764 361678764 130811528328568000 0.2543 0.2543
29 Rp142,663,929,720 Rp142,538,470,107 Rp141,974,890,311 Rp143,102,049,902 Rp563,579,796 1 Rp143,523,987,671 Rp143,523,987,672 -Rp860,057,952 860057952 739699680798434000 -0.6029 0.6029
37 - - - - - 1 Rp310,426,651,658 Rp310,426,651,658 - - - - -
38 - - - - - 2 Rp310,426,651,658 Rp310,426,651,658 - - - - -
39 - - - - - 3 Rp464,403,571,556 Rp464,403,571,556 - - - - -
40 - - - - - 4 Rp618,380,491,453 Rp618,380,491,454 - - - - -
41 - - - - - 5 Rp772,357,411,351 Rp772,357,411,352 - - - - -
42 - - - - - 6 Rp926,334,331,249 Rp926,334,331,249 - - - - -
43 - - - - - 7 Rp1,080,311,251,147 Rp1,080,311,251,147 - - - - -
44 - - - - - 8 Rp1,234,288,171,044 Rp1,234,288,171,045 - - - - -
45 - - - - - 9 Rp1,388,265,090,942 Rp1,388,265,090,943 - - - - -
46 - - - - - 10 Rp1,542,242,010,840 Rp1,542,242,010,840 - - - - -
47 - - - - - 11 Rp1,696,218,930,738 Rp1,696,218,930,738 - - - - -
48 - - - - - 12 Rp1,850,195,850,636 Rp1,850,195,850,636 - - - - -
49 - - - - - 13 Rp2,004,172,770,533 Rp2,004,172,770,534 - - - - -
50 - - - - - 14 Rp2,158,149,690,431 Rp2,158,149,690,432 - - - - -
51 - - - - - 15 Rp2,312,126,610,329 Rp2,312,126,610,329 - - - - -
52 - - - - - 16 Rp2,466,103,530,227 Rp2,466,103,530,227 - - - - -
53 - - - - - 17 Rp2,620,080,450,124 Rp2,620,080,450,125 - - - - -
54 - - - - - 18 Rp2,774,057,370,022 Rp2,774,057,370,023 - - - - -
55 - - - - - 19 Rp2,928,034,289,920 Rp2,928,034,289,920 - - - - -
56 - - - - - 20 Rp3,082,011,209,818 Rp3,082,011,209,818 - - - - -
57 - - - - - 21 Rp3,235,988,129,716 Rp3,235,988,129,716 - - - - -
58 - - - - - 22 Rp3,389,965,049,613 Rp3,389,965,049,614 - - - - -
59 - - - - - 23 Rp3,543,941,969,511 Rp3,543,941,969,512 - - - - -
60 - - - - - 24 Rp3,697,918,889,409 Rp3,697,918,889,409 - - - - -
61 - - - - - 25 Rp3,851,895,809,307 Rp3,851,895,809,307 - - - - -
62 - - - - - 26 Rp4,005,872,729,204 Rp4,005,872,729,205 - - - - -
63 - - - - - 27 Rp4,159,849,649,102 Rp4,159,849,649,103 - - - - -
64 - - - - - 28 Rp4,313,826,569,000 Rp4,313,826,569,000 - - - - -
65 - - - - - 29 Rp4,467,803,488,898 Rp4,467,803,488,898 - - - - -
66 - - - - - 30 Rp4,621,780,408,796 Rp4,621,780,408,796 - - - - -
67 - - - - - 31 Rp4,775,757,328,693 Rp4,775,757,328,694 - - - - -
68 - - - - - 32 Rp4,929,734,248,591 Rp4,929,734,248,592 - - - - -
69 - - - - - 33 Rp5,083,711,168,489 Rp5,083,711,168,489 - - - - -
70 - - - - - 34 Rp5,237,688,088,387 Rp5,237,688,088,387 - - - - -
71 - - - - - 35 Rp5,391,665,008,284 Rp5,391,665,008,285 - - - - -
72 - - - - - 36 Rp5,545,641,928,182 Rp5,545,641,928,183 - - - - -
73 - - - - - 37 Rp5,699,618,848,080 Rp5,699,618,848,080 - - - - -
74 - - - - - 38 Rp5,853,595,767,978 Rp5,853,595,767,978 - - - - -
75 - - - - - 39 Rp6,007,572,687,876 Rp6,007,572,687,876 - - - - -
76 - - - - - 40 Rp6,161,549,607,773 Rp6,161,549,607,774 - - - - -
77 - - - - - 41 Rp6,315,526,527,671 Rp6,315,526,527,672 - - - - -
78 - - - - - 42 Rp6,469,503,447,569 Rp6,469,503,447,569 - - - - -
79 - - - - - 43 Rp6,623,480,367,467 Rp6,623,480,367,467 - - - - -
80 - - - - - 44 Rp6,777,457,287,364 Rp6,777,457,287,365 - - - - -
81 - - - - - 45 Rp6,931,434,207,262 Rp6,931,434,207,263 - - - - -
82 - - - - - 46 Rp7,085,411,127,160 Rp7,085,411,127,160 - - - - -
83 - - - - - 47 Rp7,239,388,047,058 Rp7,239,388,047,058 - - - - -
84 - - - - - 48 Rp7,393,364,966,956 Rp7,393,364,966,956 - - - - -
85 - - - - - 49 Rp7,547,341,886,853 Rp7,547,341,886,854 - - - - -
86 - - - - - 50 Rp7,701,318,806,751 Rp7,701,318,806,752 - - - - -
87 - - - - - 51 Rp7,855,295,726,649 Rp7,855,295,726,649 - - - - -
88 - - - - - 52 Rp8,009,272,646,547 Rp8,009,272,646,547 - - - - -
89 - - - - - 53 Rp8,163,249,566,444 Rp8,163,249,566,445 - - - - -
90 - - - - - 54 Rp8,317,226,486,342 Rp8,317,226,486,343 - - - - -
91 - - - - - 55 Rp8,471,203,406,240 Rp8,471,203,406,240 - - - - -
92 - - - - - 56 Rp8,625,180,326,138 Rp8,625,180,326,138 - - - - -
93 - - - - - 57 Rp8,779,157,246,036 Rp8,779,157,246,036 - - - - -
94 - - - - - 58 Rp8,933,134,165,933 Rp8,933,134,165,934 - - - - -
95 - - - - - 59 Rp9,087,111,085,831 Rp9,087,111,085,832 - - - - -
96 - - - - - 60 Rp9,241,088,005,729 Rp9,241,088,005,729 - - - - -
TOTAL 8251359086 67844824906 2.13971E+20 5.401736368 47.19531258
DMA Pesaing
Periode Demand S't S''t at bt m F(t+m) Forecast et |et| et^2 Pe(%) |Pe|
1 Rp105,909,330,200 - - - - - - - - - - - -
2 Rp104,918,237,980 - - - - - - - - - - - - ME 53010243
3 Rp108,066,419,800 Rp106,297,995,993 - - - - - - - - - - - MAE 1497016451
4 Rp106,611,434,560 Rp106,532,030,780 - - - - - - - - - - - SSE 107462613004809000000
5 Rp110,034,545,140 Rp108,237,466,500 Rp107,022,497,758 Rp109,452,435,242 Rp1,214,968,742 1 - - - - - - - MSE 3160665088376730000
6 Rp106,627,382,120 Rp107,757,787,273 Rp107,509,094,851 Rp108,006,479,696 Rp248,692,422 1 Rp110,667,403,984 Rp110,667,403,985 -Rp4,040,021,865 4040021865 16321776669678100000 -3.7889 3.7889 SDE 1892640246
7 Rp107,765,444,380 Rp108,142,457,213 Rp108,045,903,662 Rp108,239,010,764 Rp96,553,551 1 Rp108,255,172,118 Rp108,255,172,118 -Rp489,727,738 489727738 239833257366597000 -0.4544 0.4544 MPE 0.023299631
8 Rp110,005,404,600 Rp108,132,743,700 Rp108,010,996,062 Rp108,254,491,338 Rp121,747,638 1 Rp108,335,564,316 Rp108,335,564,316 Rp1,669,840,284 1669840284 2788366574069200000 1.5180 1.5180 MAPE 1.298012347
26 Rp116,482,217,560 Rp117,496,623,987 Rp117,531,474,862 Rp117,461,773,111 -Rp34,850,876 1 Rp119,838,484,269 Rp119,838,484,269 -Rp3,356,266,709 3356266709 11264526221941700000 -2.8814 2.8814
27 Rp116,679,435,460 Rp117,412,110,167 Rp117,711,799,911 Rp117,112,420,422 -Rp299,689,744 1 Rp117,426,922,236 Rp117,426,922,236 -Rp747,486,776 747486776 558736480294874000 -0.6406 0.6406
35 Rp126,772,577,060 Rp125,113,613,227 Rp122,950,452,500 Rp127,276,773,953 Rp2,163,160,727 1 Rp126,741,108,513 Rp126,741,108,514 Rp31,468,546 31468546 990269387354116 0.0248 0.0248
37 - - - - - 1 Rp310,426,651,658 Rp310,426,651,658 - - - - -
38 - - - - - 2 Rp310,426,651,658 Rp310,426,651,658 - - - - -
39 - - - - - 3 Rp464,403,571,556 Rp464,403,571,556 - - - - -
40 - - - - - 4 Rp618,380,491,453 Rp618,380,491,454 - - - - -
41 - - - - - 5 Rp772,357,411,351 Rp772,357,411,352 - - - - -
42 - - - - - 6 Rp926,334,331,249 Rp926,334,331,249 - - - - -
43 - - - - - 7 Rp1,080,311,251,147 Rp1,080,311,251,147 - - - - -
44 - - - - - 8 Rp1,234,288,171,044 Rp1,234,288,171,045 - - - - -
45 - - - - - 9 Rp1,388,265,090,942 Rp1,388,265,090,943 - - - - -
46 - - - - - 10 Rp1,542,242,010,840 Rp1,542,242,010,840 - - - - -
47 - - - - - 11 Rp1,696,218,930,738 Rp1,696,218,930,738 - - - - -
48 - - - - - 12 Rp1,850,195,850,636 Rp1,850,195,850,636 - - - - -
49 - - - - - 13 Rp2,004,172,770,533 Rp2,004,172,770,534 - - - - -
50 - - - - - 14 Rp2,158,149,690,431 Rp2,158,149,690,432 - - - - -
51 - - - - - 15 Rp2,312,126,610,329 Rp2,312,126,610,329 - - - - -
52 - - - - - 16 Rp2,466,103,530,227 Rp2,466,103,530,227 - - - - -
53 - - - - - 17 Rp2,620,080,450,124 Rp2,620,080,450,125 - - - - -
54 - - - - - 18 Rp2,774,057,370,022 Rp2,774,057,370,023 - - - - -
55 - - - - - 19 Rp2,928,034,289,920 Rp2,928,034,289,920 - - - - -
56 - - - - - 20 Rp3,082,011,209,818 Rp3,082,011,209,818 - - - - -
57 - - - - - 21 Rp3,235,988,129,716 Rp3,235,988,129,716 - - - - -
58 - - - - - 22 Rp3,389,965,049,613 Rp3,389,965,049,614 - - - - -
59 - - - - - 23 Rp3,543,941,969,511 Rp3,543,941,969,512 - - - - -
60 - - - - - 24 Rp3,697,918,889,409 Rp3,697,918,889,409 - - - - -
61 - - - - - 25 Rp3,851,895,809,307 Rp3,851,895,809,307 - - - - -
62 - - - - - 26 Rp4,005,872,729,204 Rp4,005,872,729,205 - - - - -
63 - - - - - 27 Rp4,159,849,649,102 Rp4,159,849,649,103 - - - - -
64 - - - - - 28 Rp4,313,826,569,000 Rp4,313,826,569,000 - - - - -
65 - - - - - 29 Rp4,467,803,488,898 Rp4,467,803,488,898 - - - - -
66 - - - - - 30 Rp4,621,780,408,796 Rp4,621,780,408,796 - - - - -
67 - - - - - 31 Rp4,775,757,328,693 Rp4,775,757,328,694 - - - - -
68 - - - - - 32 Rp4,929,734,248,591 Rp4,929,734,248,592 - - - - -
69 - - - - - 33 Rp5,083,711,168,489 Rp5,083,711,168,489 - - - - -
70 - - - - - 34 Rp5,237,688,088,387 Rp5,237,688,088,387 - - - - -
71 - - - - - 35 Rp5,391,665,008,284 Rp5,391,665,008,285 - - - - -
72 - - - - - 36 Rp5,545,641,928,182 Rp5,545,641,928,183 - - - - -
73 - - - - - 37 Rp5,699,618,848,080 Rp5,699,618,848,080 - - - - -
74 - - - - - 38 Rp5,853,595,767,978 Rp5,853,595,767,978 - - - - -
75 - - - - - 39 Rp6,007,572,687,876 Rp6,007,572,687,876 - - - - -
76 - - - - - 40 Rp6,161,549,607,773 Rp6,161,549,607,774 - - - - -
77 - - - - - 41 Rp6,315,526,527,671 Rp6,315,526,527,672 - - - - -
78 - - - - - 42 Rp6,469,503,447,569 Rp6,469,503,447,569 - - - - -
79 - - - - - 43 Rp6,623,480,367,467 Rp6,623,480,367,467 - - - - -
80 - - - - - 44 Rp6,777,457,287,364 Rp6,777,457,287,365 - - - - -
81 - - - - - 45 Rp6,931,434,207,262 Rp6,931,434,207,263 - - - - -
82 - - - - - 46 Rp7,085,411,127,160 Rp7,085,411,127,160 - - - - -
83 - - - - - 47 Rp7,239,388,047,058 Rp7,239,388,047,058 - - - - -
84 - - - - - 48 Rp7,393,364,966,956 Rp7,393,364,966,956 - - - - -
85 - - - - - 49 Rp7,547,341,886,853 Rp7,547,341,886,854 - - - - -
86 - - - - - 50 Rp7,701,318,806,751 Rp7,701,318,806,752 - - - - -
87 - - - - - 51 Rp7,855,295,726,649 Rp7,855,295,726,649 - - - - -
88 - - - - - 52 Rp8,009,272,646,547 Rp8,009,272,646,547 - - - - -
89 - - - - - 53 Rp8,163,249,566,444 Rp8,163,249,566,445 - - - - -
90 - - - - - 54 Rp8,317,226,486,342 Rp8,317,226,486,343 - - - - -
91 - - - - - 55 Rp8,471,203,406,240 Rp8,471,203,406,240 - - - - -
92 - - - - - 56 Rp8,625,180,326,138 Rp8,625,180,326,138 - - - - -
93 - - - - - 57 Rp8,779,157,246,036 Rp8,779,157,246,036 - - - - -
94 - - - - - 58 Rp8,933,134,165,933 Rp8,933,134,165,934 - - - - -
95 - - - - - 59 Rp9,087,111,085,831 Rp9,087,111,085,832 - - - - -
96 - - - - - 60 Rp9,241,088,005,729 Rp9,241,088,005,729 - - - - -
TOTAL 1643317522 46407509994 1.07463E+20 0.722288567 40.23838276
DOUBLE EKSPONENSIAL SMOOTHING BROWN Perusahaan
a= 0.5
PERIODE DEMAND
S't S''t a b m F(t+m) Forecast et |et| et^2 Pe(%) |Pe|
1 Rp142,534,673,420 1.42535E+11 142534673420 1.42535E+11 291436150
2 Rp140,704,717,800 141619695610 142077184515 141162206705.00 -457488905.00 ME 344515366
3 Rp134,254,367,720 137937031665 140007108090 135866955240.00 -2070076425.00 1 140704717800.00 Rp140,704,717,800 -6450350080 6450350080 41607016154556000000 -4.7475 4.747548857 MAE 2313840124 0.5
4 Rp136,667,195,640 137302113653 138654610871 135949616433.75 -1352497218.75 1 133796878815.00 Rp133,796,878,815 2870316825 2870316825 8238718675878080000 2.1113 2.111309248 SSE 280250323469225000000
5 Rp140,513,730,140 138907921896 138781266384 139034577408.75 126655512.50 1 134597119215.00 Rp134,597,119,215 5916610925 5916610925 35006284837829400000 4.2555 4.255496032 MSE 8242656572624250000
6 Rp137,794,920,380 138351421138 138566343761 138136498515.31 -214922622.81 1 139161232921.25 Rp139,161,232,922 -1366312542 1366312542 1866809962426500000 -0.9891 0.989103211 SDE 2914178108
7 Rp142,969,175,900 140660298519 139613321140 141707275898.13 1046977379.06 1 137921575892.50 Rp137,921,575,893 5047600007 5047600007 25478265830666400000 3.5620 3.561990713 MPE 0.229760801
8 Rp139,416,887,900 140038593210 139825957175 140251229244.30 212636034.77 1 142754253277.19 Rp142,754,253,278 -3337365378 3337365378 11138007666273100000 -2.3796 2.379562301 MAPE 1.623390007
9 Rp139,576,109,320 139807351265 139816654220 139798048309.77 -9302955.00 1 140463865279.06 Rp140,463,865,280 -887755960 887755960 788110644515522000 -0.6350 0.635027435
10 Rp145,866,543,360 142836947312 141326800766 144347093858.69 1510146546.31 1 139788745354.77 Rp139,788,745,355 6077798005 6077798005 36939628589582000000 4.2105 4.210544073
11 Rp142,880,691,160 142858819236 142092810001 143624828471.25 766009235.06 1 145857240405.00 Rp145,857,240,405 -2976549245 2976549245 8859845407910070000 -2.0724 2.072447554 α 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
12 Rp145,569,285,300 144214052268 143153431135 145274673401.58 1060621133.48 1 144390837706.31 Rp144,390,837,707 1178447593 1178447593 1388738729447490000 0.8112 0.811185849 0.1 5340509235399090000 5391635724220440000 5709531658691500000 5850463911839270000 5869039828560200000 5887327479303790000 5900577262358620000 5944613406369220000 5946691170067750000 5948490548470340000
13 Rp144,198,611,620 144206331944 143679881539 144732782348.77 526450404.72 1 146335294535.06 Rp146,335,294,536 -2136682916 2136682916 4565413883526260000 -1.4763 1.47629506 0.2 3580009126549750000 3585850277648250000 3643561365091180000 3752741891385330000 3793801523390800000 3801707711733750000 3903785979836140000 3918059368690280000 3924543693755430000 4011622678498760000
14 Rp140,941,414,540 142573873242 143126877391 142020869093.37 -553004148.65 1 145259232753.48 Rp145,259,232,754 -4317818214 4317818214 18643554129150100000 -3.0403 3.040270237 0.3 2810732298186910000 2890966695285650000 2958444537851180000 2970481877049660000 3066982383416840000 3163573529690230000 3168495798323180000 3339396886661260000 3376554704536290000 3417012243375800000
15 Rp140,629,231,400 141601552321 142364214856 140838889786.18 -762662534.83 1 141467864944.72 Rp141,467,864,945 -838633545 838633545 703306222799267000 -0.5955 0.595455947 0.4 2511071817526670000 2522649797936470000 2596833505483190000 2604345961135330000 2630836359900130000 2649700179661030000 2734076195364570000 2842885543204630000 2996388400976180000 3078397207827970000
16 Rp139,304,251,420 140452901871 141408558363 139497245377.84 -955656492.67 1 140076227251.35 Rp140,076,227,252 -771975832 771975832 595946685192092000 -0.5534 0.553398621 0.5 2474261884840340000 2531748267734170000 2686585669945780000 2742393436396300000 2786452702934820000 2935212523050950000 2943700058136780000 2956866786082270000 3022448431903800000 3050980458090830000
17 Rp141,479,059,880 140965980875 141187269619 140744692131.29 -221288743.96 1 138541588885.17 Rp138,541,588,886 2937470994 2937470994 8628735840591350000 2.0871 2.087091847 0.6 2615622556013720000 2668450357889820000 2699628008518640000 2753223559667380000 2966410764341790000 3089755533494210000 3114807467382620000 3138627561486820000 3183717812435100000 3223379594555510000
18 Rp142,764,314,960 141865147918 141526208768 142204087066.83 338939149.21 1 140523403387.33 Rp140,523,403,388 2240911572 2240911572 5021684673523510000 1.5758 1.575841889 0.7 2917658926705120000 3177723845631290000 3259650935308650000 3383104901357740000 3410055984780420000 3111837641260390000 3273491953025160000 3045185409994570000 3199868333409430000 3069433900670520000
19 Rp143,695,405,440 142780276679 142153242724 143407310634.01 627033955.20 1 142543026216.04 Rp142,543,026,217 1152379223 1152379223 1327977873602080000 0.8036 0.803570765 0.8 3400721455538770000 3437701372096650000 3457080737810580000 3569503548059260000 3582126489739660000 3627448778515510000 3702592912589080000 3870585190914390000 3882033642330010000 3887027087531080000
20 Rp147,111,829,580 144946053129 143549647927 146342458332.30 1396405202.89 1 144034344589.21 Rp144,034,344,590 3077484990 3077484990 9470913863675300000 2.1029 2.102933779 0.9 4113694292404860000 4161362077600770000 4255080643827350000 4264272423404630000 4533783543326770000 4534886204993440000 4539405323618900000 4587202128922300000 4754313022712740000 4788134339718650000
21 Rp145,773,438,180 145359745655 144454696791 146264794518.80 905048864.10 1 147738863535.20 Rp147,738,863,536 -1965425356 1965425356 3862896830007730000 -1.3437 1.343744653
22 Rp144,108,690,400 144734218027 144594457409 144873978645.72 139760618.37 1 147169843382.90 Rp147,169,843,383 -3061152983 3061152983 9370657585329800000 -2.1130 2.112976403
23 Rp141,883,786,640 143309002334 143951729871 142666274796.02 -642727537.65 1 145013739264.10 Rp145,013,739,265 -3129952625 3129952625 9796603434744390000 -2.1939 2.193898053
24 Rp141,096,611,380 142202806857 143077268364 141328345349.59 -874461507.24 1 142023547258.37 Rp142,023,547,259 -926935879 926935879 859210123777503000 -0.6559 0.655874005
25 Rp139,834,905,080 141018855968 142048062166 139989649770.59 -1029206197.83 1 140453883842.35 Rp140,453,883,843 -618978763 618978763 383134709045010000 -0.4422 0.442160377
26 Rp141,333,257,360 141176056664 141612059415 140740053913.19 -436002751.02 1 138960443572.76 Rp138,960,443,573 2372813787 2372813787 5630245267777280000 1.6860 1.685954866
27 Rp142,705,702,080 141940879372 141776469394 142105289350.54 164409978.44 1 140304051162.17 Rp140,304,051,163 2401650917 2401650917 5767927127126940000 1.6901 1.690050334
28 Rp142,245,778,520 142093328946 141934899170 142251758722.25 158429776.19 1 142269699328.98 Rp142,269,699,329 -23920809 23920809 572205103214481 -0.0168 0.016815827
29 Rp142,663,929,720 142378629333 142156764251 142600494414.61 221865081.58 1 142410188498.44 Rp142,410,188,499 253741221 253741221 64384607234570800 0.1779 0.177938528
30 Rp145,654,298,980 144016464157 143086614204 144946314109.05 929849952.54 1 142822359496.19 Rp142,822,359,497 2831939483 2831939483 8019881235374310000 1.9538 1.953785097
31 Rp146,526,884,680 145271674418 144179144311 146364204525.40 1092530107.14 1 145876164061.58 Rp145,876,164,062 650720618 650720618 423437322690302000 0.4446 0.444590001
32 Rp150,483,168,640 147877421529 146028282920 149726560138.13 1849138609.01 1 147456734632.54 Rp147,456,734,633 3026434007 3026434007 9159302798726080000 2.0213 2.021307378
33 Rp151,634,156,780 149755789155 147892036037 151619542271.79 1863753117.22 1 151575698747.14 Rp151,575,698,748 58458032 58458032 3417341505313020 0.0386 0.038555737
34 Rp152,814,584,640 151285186897 149588611467 152981762327.25 1696575429.97 1 153483295389.01 Rp153,483,295,390 -668710750 668710750 447174067165562000 -0.4371 0.437117954
35 Rp157,062,432,320 154173809609 151881210538 156466408679.31 2292599070.66 1 154678337757.22 Rp154,678,337,758 2384094562 2384094562 5683906880557970000 1.5237 1.523710157
36 Rp159,472,178,320 156822993964 154352102251 159293885677.49 2470891713.17 1 158759007749.97 Rp158,759,007,750 713170570 713170570 508612261914125000 0.4477 0.447707435
37 - - - - - 1 161764777390.66 Rp161,764,777,391 - - - - -
38 - - - - - 2 164235669103.84 Rp164,235,669,104 - - - - -
39 - - - - - 3 166706560817.01 Rp166,706,560,818 - - - - -
40 - - - - - 4 169177452530.18 Rp169,177,452,531 - - - - -
41 - - - - - 5 171648344243.35 Rp171,648,344,244 - - - - -
42 - - - - - 6 174119235956.52 Rp174,119,235,957 - - - - -
43 - - - - - 7 176590127669.70 Rp176,590,127,670 - - - - -
44 - - - - - 8 179061019382.87 Rp179,061,019,383 - - - - -
45 - - - - - 9 181531911096.04 Rp181,531,911,097 - - - - -
46 - - - - - 10 184002802809.21 Rp184,002,802,810 - - - - -
47 - - - - - 11 186473694522.38 Rp186,473,694,523 - - - - -
48 - - - - - 12 188944586235.55 Rp188,944,586,236 - - - - -
49 - - - - - 13 191415477948.73 Rp191,415,477,949 - - - - -
50 - - - - - 14 193886369661.90 Rp193,886,369,662 - - - - -
51 - - - - - 15 196357261375.07 Rp196,357,261,376 - - - - -
52 - - - - - 16 198828153088.24 Rp198,828,153,089 - - - - -
53 - - - - - 17 201299044801.41 Rp201,299,044,802 - - - - -
54 - - - - - 18 203769936514.58 Rp203,769,936,515 - - - - -
55 - - - - - 19 206240828227.76 Rp206,240,828,228 - - - - -
56 - - - - - 20 208711719940.93 Rp208,711,719,941 - - - - -
57 - - - - - 21 211182611654.10 Rp211,182,611,655 - - - - -
58 - - - - - 22 213653503367.27 Rp213,653,503,368 - - - - -
59 - - - - - 23 216124395080.44 Rp216,124,395,081 - - - - -
60 - - - - - 24 218595286793.62 Rp218,595,286,794 - - - - -
61 - - - - - 25 221066178506.79 Rp221,066,178,507 - - - - -
62 - - - - - 26 223537070219.96 Rp223,537,070,220 - - - - -
63 - - - - - 27 226007961933.13 Rp226,007,961,934 - - - - -
64 - - - - - 28 228478853646.30 Rp228,478,853,647 - - - - -
65 - - - - - 29 230949745359.47 Rp230,949,745,360 - - - - -
66 - - - - - 30 233420637072.65 Rp233,420,637,073 - - - - -
67 - - - - - 31 235891528785.82 Rp235,891,528,786 - - - - -
68 - - - - - 32 238362420498.99 Rp238,362,420,499 - - - - -
69 - - - - - 33 240833312212.16 Rp240,833,312,213 - - - - -
70 - - - - - 34 243304203925.33 Rp243,304,203,926 - - - - -
71 - - - - - 35 245775095638.51 Rp245,775,095,639 - - - - -
72 - - - - - 36 248245987351.68 Rp248,245,987,352 - - - - -
73 - - - - - 37 250716879064.85 Rp250,716,879,065 - - - - -
74 - - - - - 38 253187770778.02 Rp253,187,770,779 - - - - -
75 - - - - - 39 255658662491.19 Rp255,658,662,492 - - - - -
76 - - - - - 40 258129554204.36 Rp258,129,554,205 - - - - -
77 - - - - - 41 260600445917.54 Rp260,600,445,918 - - - - -
78 - - - - - 42 263071337630.71 Rp263,071,337,631 - - - - -
79 - - - - - 43 265542229343.88 Rp265,542,229,344 - - - - -
80 - - - - - 44 268013121057.05 Rp268,013,121,058 - - - - -
81 - - - - - 45 270484012770.22 Rp270,484,012,771 - - - - -
82 - - - - - 46 272954904483.39 Rp272,954,904,484 - - - - -
83 - - - - - 47 275425796196.57 Rp275,425,796,197 - - - - -
84 - - - - - 48 277896687909.74 Rp277,896,687,910 - - - - -
85 - - - - - 49 280367579622.91 Rp280,367,579,623 - - - - -
86 - - - - - 50 282838471336.08 Rp282,838,471,337 - - - - -
87 - - - - - 51 285309363049.25 Rp285,309,363,050 - - - - -
88 - - - - - 52 287780254762.43 Rp287,780,254,763 - - - - -
89 - - - - - 53 290251146475.60 Rp290,251,146,476 - - - - -
90 - - - - - 54 292722038188.77 Rp292,722,038,189 - - - - -
91 - - - - - 55 295192929901.94 Rp295,192,929,902 - - - - -
92 - - - - - 56 297663821615.11 Rp297,663,821,616 - - - - -
93 - - - - - 57 300134713328.28 Rp300,134,713,329 - - - - -
94 - - - - - 58 302605605041.46 Rp302,605,605,042 - - - - -
95 - - - - - 59 305076496754.63 Rp305,076,496,755 - - - - -
96 - - - - - 60 307547388467.80 Rp307,547,388,468 - - - - -
TOTAL 11713522454 78670564208 2.8025E+20 7.811867233 55.19526022
Regresi Linier Perusahaan
PERIODE DEMAND t^2 dt F=a+bt Forecast et |et| et^2 Pe(%) |Pe|
1 Rp142,534,673,420 1 Rp142,534,673,420 Rp137,628,714,776 Rp137,628,714,777 4905958643 4905958643 24068430206826400000 3.4419 3.441940494
2 Rp140,704,717,800 4 Rp281,409,435,600 Rp137,977,179,044 Rp137,977,179,044 2727538756 2727538756 7439467665482030000 1.9385 1.938484223 ME -1
3 Rp134,254,367,720 9 Rp402,763,103,160 Rp138,325,643,312 Rp138,325,643,312 -4071275592 4071275592 16575284946015000000 -3.0325 3.032508857 MAE 3089065484
4 Rp136,667,195,640 16 Rp546,668,782,560 Rp138,674,107,579 Rp138,674,107,580 -2006911940 2006911940 4027695534914560000 -1.4685 1.468466467 SSE 491489803971556000000
5 Rp140,513,730,140 25 Rp702,568,650,700 Rp139,022,571,847 Rp139,022,571,848 1491158292 1491158292 2223553051800360000 1.0612 1.061218922 MSE 14455582469751600000
6 Rp137,794,920,380 36 Rp826,769,522,280 Rp139,371,036,115 Rp139,371,036,115 -1576115735 1576115735 2484140810114590000 -1.1438 1.143812653 SDE 3747341168
7 Rp142,969,175,900 49 Rp1,000,784,231,300 Rp139,719,500,382 Rp139,719,500,383 3249675517 3249675517 10560390965789200000 2.2730 2.272990312 MPE -0.063132538
8 Rp139,416,887,900 64 Rp1,115,335,103,200 Rp140,067,964,650 Rp140,067,964,651 -651076751 651076751 423900935692716000 -0.4670 0.466999917 MAPE 2.130741103
9 Rp139,576,109,320 81 Rp1,256,184,983,880 Rp140,416,428,918 Rp140,416,428,918 -840319598 840319598 706137026782882000 -0.6021 0.602051169
10 Rp145,866,543,360 100 Rp1,458,665,433,600 Rp140,764,893,186 Rp140,764,893,186 5101650174 5101650174 26026834497874200000 3.4975 3.497477939
11 Rp142,880,691,160 121 Rp1,571,687,602,760 Rp141,113,357,453 Rp141,113,357,454 1767333706 1767333706 3123468428363690000 1.2369 1.236929701
12 Rp145,569,285,300 144 Rp1,746,831,423,600 Rp141,461,821,721 Rp141,461,821,721 4107463579 4107463579 16871257052811500000 2.8217 2.821655386
13 Rp144,198,611,620 169 Rp1,874,581,951,060 Rp141,810,285,989 Rp141,810,285,989 2388325631 2388325631 5704099319691550000 1.6563 1.656275053
14 Rp140,941,414,540 196 Rp1,973,179,803,560 Rp142,158,750,256 Rp142,158,750,257 -1217335717 1217335717 1481906247883900000 -0.8637 0.863717539
15 Rp140,629,231,400 225 Rp2,109,438,471,000 Rp142,507,214,524 Rp142,507,214,525 -1877983125 1877983125 3526820617784770000 -1.3354 1.335414484
16 Rp139,304,251,420 256 Rp2,228,868,022,720 Rp142,855,678,792 Rp142,855,678,792 -3551427372 3551427372 12612636378590800000 -2.5494 2.549403436
17 Rp141,479,059,880 289 Rp2,405,144,017,960 Rp143,204,143,060 Rp143,204,143,060 -1725083180 1725083180 2975911977918910000 -1.2193 1.2193205
18 Rp142,764,314,960 324 Rp2,569,757,669,280 Rp143,552,607,327 Rp143,552,607,328 -788292368 788292368 621404857447047000 -0.5522 0.552163451
19 Rp143,695,405,440 361 Rp2,730,212,703,360 Rp143,901,071,595 Rp143,901,071,595 -205666155 205666155 42298567312484000 -0.1431 0.143126466
20 Rp147,111,829,580 400 Rp2,942,236,591,600 Rp144,249,535,863 Rp144,249,535,863 2862293717 2862293717 8192725322377680000 1.9457 1.945658432
21 Rp145,773,438,180 441 Rp3,061,242,201,780 Rp144,598,000,130 Rp144,598,000,131 1175438049 1175438049 1381654607036930000 0.8063 0.806345836
22 Rp144,108,690,400 484 Rp3,170,391,188,800 Rp144,946,464,398 Rp144,946,464,399 -837773999 837773999 701865273400452000 -0.5813 0.581348701
23 Rp141,883,786,640 529 Rp3,263,327,092,720 Rp145,294,928,666 Rp145,294,928,666 -3411142026 3411142026 11635889921543400000 -2.4042 2.404180285
24 Rp141,096,611,380 576 Rp3,386,318,673,120 Rp145,643,392,934 Rp145,643,392,934 -4546781554 4546781554 20673222499794700000 -3.2225 3.222459781
25 Rp139,834,905,080 625 Rp3,495,872,627,000 Rp145,991,857,201 Rp145,991,857,202 -6156952122 6156952122 37908059432600300000 -4.4030 4.403015197
26 Rp141,333,257,360 676 Rp3,674,664,691,360 Rp146,340,321,469 Rp146,340,321,469 -5007064109 5007064109 25070690991636000000 -3.5427 3.542735944
27 Rp142,705,702,080 729 Rp3,853,053,956,160 Rp146,688,785,737 Rp146,688,785,737 -3983083657 3983083657 15864955418660500000 -2.7911 2.791117383
28 Rp142,245,778,520 784 Rp3,982,881,798,560 Rp147,037,250,004 Rp147,037,250,005 -4791471485 4791471485 22958198991568100000 -3.3684 3.368445472
29 Rp142,663,929,720 841 Rp4,137,253,961,880 Rp147,385,714,272 Rp147,385,714,273 -4721784553 4721784553 22295249364949400000 -3.3097 3.309725564
30 Rp145,654,298,980 900 Rp4,369,628,969,400 Rp147,734,178,540 Rp147,734,178,540 -2079879560 2079879560 4325898984105790000 -1.4280 1.427956177
31 Rp146,526,884,680 961 Rp4,542,333,425,080 Rp148,082,642,808 Rp148,082,642,808 -1555758128 1555758128 2420383352838060000 -1.0618 1.061756094
32 Rp150,483,168,640 1024 Rp4,815,461,396,480 Rp148,431,107,075 Rp148,431,107,076 2052061564 2052061564 4210956662446130000 1.3636 1.363648561
33 Rp151,634,156,780 1089 Rp5,003,927,173,740 Rp148,779,571,343 Rp148,779,571,343 2854585437 2854585437 8148658017132480000 1.8825 1.88254777
34 Rp152,814,584,640 1156 Rp5,195,695,877,760 Rp149,128,035,611 Rp149,128,035,611 3686549029 3686549029 13590643743220800000 2.4124 2.412432712
35 Rp157,062,432,320 1225 Rp5,497,185,131,200 Rp149,476,499,878 Rp149,476,499,879 7585932441 7585932441 57546370999416200000 4.8299 4.82988346
36 Rp159,472,178,320 1296 Rp5,740,998,419,520 Rp149,824,964,146 Rp149,824,964,147 9647214173 9647214173 93068741299732100000 6.0495 6.049465352
37 - - - Rp150,173,428,414 Rp150,173,428,414 - - - - -
38 - - - Rp150,521,892,681 Rp150,521,892,682 - - - - -
39 - a= 1.3728E+11 Rp150,870,356,949 Rp150,870,356,950 - - - - -
40 - b= 348464267.7 Rp151,218,821,217 Rp151,218,821,217 - - - - -
41 - - - Rp151,567,285,485 Rp151,567,285,485 - - - - -
42 - - - Rp151,915,749,752 Rp151,915,749,753 - - - - -
43 - - - Rp152,264,214,020 Rp152,264,214,021 - - - - -
44 - - - Rp152,612,678,288 Rp152,612,678,288 - - - - -
45 - - - Rp152,961,142,555 Rp152,961,142,556 - - - - -
46 - - - Rp153,309,606,823 Rp153,309,606,824 - - - - -
47 - - - Rp153,658,071,091 Rp153,658,071,091 - - - - -
48 - - - Rp154,006,535,359 Rp154,006,535,359 - - - - -
49 - - - Rp154,354,999,626 Rp154,354,999,627 - - - - -
50 - - - Rp154,703,463,894 Rp154,703,463,895 - - - - -
51 - - - Rp155,051,928,162 Rp155,051,928,162 - - - - -
52 - - - Rp155,400,392,429 Rp155,400,392,430 - - - - -
53 - - - Rp155,748,856,697 Rp155,748,856,698 - - - - -
54 - - - Rp156,097,320,965 Rp156,097,320,965 - - - - -
55 - - - Rp156,445,785,233 Rp156,445,785,233 - - - - -
56 - - - Rp156,794,249,500 Rp156,794,249,501 - - - - -
57 - - - Rp157,142,713,768 Rp157,142,713,769 - - - - -
58 - - - Rp157,491,178,036 Rp157,491,178,036 - - - - -
59 - - - Rp157,839,642,303 Rp157,839,642,304 - - - - -
60 - - - Rp158,188,106,571 Rp158,188,106,572 - - - - -
61 - - - Rp158,536,570,839 Rp158,536,570,839 - - - - -
62 - - - Rp158,885,035,107 Rp158,885,035,107 - - - - -
63 - - - Rp159,233,499,374 Rp159,233,499,375 - - - - -
64 - - - Rp159,581,963,642 Rp159,581,963,642 - - - - -
65 - - - Rp159,930,427,910 Rp159,930,427,910 - - - - -
66 - - - Rp160,278,892,177 Rp160,278,892,178 - - - - -
67 - - - Rp160,627,356,445 Rp160,627,356,446 - - - - -
68 - - - Rp160,975,820,713 Rp160,975,820,713 - - - - -
69 - - - Rp161,324,284,981 Rp161,324,284,981 - - - - -
70 - - - Rp161,672,749,248 Rp161,672,749,249 - - - - -
71 - - - Rp162,021,213,516 Rp162,021,213,516 - - - - -
72 - - - Rp162,369,677,784 Rp162,369,677,784 - - - - -
73 - - - Rp162,718,142,051 Rp162,718,142,052 - - - - -
74 - - - Rp163,066,606,319 Rp163,066,606,320 - - - - -
75 - - - Rp163,415,070,587 Rp163,415,070,587 - - - - -
76 - - - Rp163,763,534,855 Rp163,763,534,855 - - - - -
77 - - - Rp164,111,999,122 Rp164,111,999,123 - - - - -
78 - - - Rp164,460,463,390 Rp164,460,463,390 - - - - -
79 - - - Rp164,808,927,658 Rp164,808,927,658 - - - - -
80 - - - Rp165,157,391,925 Rp165,157,391,926 - - - - -
81 - - - Rp165,505,856,193 Rp165,505,856,194 - - - - -
82 - - - Rp165,854,320,461 Rp165,854,320,461 - - - - -
83 - - - Rp166,202,784,729 Rp166,202,784,729 - - - - -
84 - - - Rp166,551,248,996 Rp166,551,248,997 - - - - -
85 - - - Rp166,899,713,264 Rp166,899,713,264 - - - - -
86 - - - Rp167,248,177,532 Rp167,248,177,532 - - - - -
87 - - - Rp167,596,641,799 Rp167,596,641,800 - - - - -
88 - - - Rp167,945,106,067 Rp167,945,106,068 - - - - -
89 - - - Rp168,293,570,335 Rp168,293,570,335 - - - - -
90 - - - Rp168,642,034,602 Rp168,642,034,603 - - - - -
91 - - - Rp168,990,498,870 Rp168,990,498,871 - - - - -
92 - - - Rp169,338,963,138 Rp169,338,963,138 - - - - -
93 - - - Rp169,687,427,406 Rp169,687,427,406 - - - - -
94 - - - Rp170,035,891,673 Rp170,035,891,674 - - - - -
95 - - - Rp170,384,355,941 Rp170,384,355,942 - - - - -
96 - - - Rp170,732,820,209 Rp170,732,820,209 - - - - -
666 Rp5,174,166,220,600 16206 Rp97,075,858,761,160 -18 111206357434 491489803971556000000 -2 77
Regresi Linier Perusahaan
PERIODE DEMAND t^2 dt F=a+bt Forecast et |et| et^2 Pe(%) |Pe|
1 Rp105,909,330,200 1 Rp105,909,330,200 Rp105,320,537,779 Rp105,320,537,779 588792421 588792421 346676515027041000 0.5559 0.555940086
2 Rp104,918,237,980 4 Rp209,836,475,960 Rp105,853,340,293 Rp105,853,340,293 -935102313 935102313 874416335777950000 -0.8913 0.891267649 ME -1
3 Rp108,066,419,800 9 Rp324,199,259,400 Rp106,386,142,807 Rp106,386,142,808 1680276992 1680276992 2823330769844570000 1.5549 1.554855796 MAE 1387032990
4 Rp106,611,434,560 16 Rp426,445,738,240 Rp106,918,945,321 Rp106,918,945,322 -307510762 307510762 94562868745820600 -0.2884 0.288440694 SSE 102437968953243000000
5 Rp110,034,545,140 25 Rp550,172,725,700 Rp107,451,747,835 Rp107,451,747,836 2582797304 2582797304 6670841913549670000 2.3473 2.3472604 MSE 3012881439801280000
6 Rp106,627,382,120 36 Rp639,764,292,720 Rp107,984,550,349 Rp107,984,550,350 -1357168230 1357168230 1841905604521330000 -1.2728 1.272813984 SDE 1710789032
7 Rp107,765,444,380 49 Rp754,358,110,660 Rp108,517,352,863 Rp108,517,352,864 -751908484 751908484 565366368311178000 -0.6977 0.69772689 MPE -0.01924125
8 Rp110,005,404,600 64 Rp880,043,236,800 Rp109,050,155,377 Rp109,050,155,378 955249222 955249222 912501076131605000 0.8684 0.868365718 MAPE 1.189401335
9 Rp110,354,560,820 81 Rp993,191,047,380 Rp109,582,957,891 Rp109,582,957,892 771602928 771602928 595371078498173000 0.6992 0.699203479
10 Rp110,952,622,020 100 Rp1,109,526,220,200 Rp110,115,760,405 Rp110,115,760,406 836861614 836861614 700337360986685000 0.7543 0.754251318
11 Rp110,291,646,940 121 Rp1,213,208,116,340 Rp110,648,562,920 Rp110,648,562,920 -356915980 356915980 127389016779360000 -0.3236 0.323611071
12 Rp111,903,925,680 144 Rp1,342,847,108,160 Rp111,181,365,434 Rp111,181,365,434 722560246 722560246 522093309099581000 0.6457 0.64569696
13 Rp110,328,577,280 169 Rp1,434,271,504,640 Rp111,714,167,948 Rp111,714,167,948 -1385590668 1385590668 1919861499248690000 -1.2559 1.255876494
14 Rp111,561,847,540 196 Rp1,561,865,865,560 Rp112,246,970,462 Rp112,246,970,462 -685122922 685122922 469393418249818000 -0.6141 0.614119376
15 Rp111,580,524,040 225 Rp1,673,707,860,600 Rp112,779,772,976 Rp112,779,772,976 -1199248936 1199248936 1438198010497130000 -1.0748 1.074783387
16 Rp114,657,853,980 256 Rp1,834,525,663,680 Rp113,312,575,490 Rp113,312,575,490 1345278490 1345278490 1809774215656680000 1.1733 1.173298159
17 Rp113,064,674,020 289 Rp1,922,099,458,340 Rp113,845,378,004 Rp113,845,378,004 -780703984 780703984 609498710633472000 -0.6905 0.690493287
18 Rp114,215,324,580 324 Rp2,055,875,842,440 Rp114,378,180,518 Rp114,378,180,518 -162855938 162855938 26522056541859800 -0.1426 0.142586766
19 Rp114,408,676,900 361 Rp2,173,764,861,100 Rp114,910,983,032 Rp114,910,983,033 -502306133 502306133 252311451249414000 -0.4390 0.439045487
20 Rp115,425,908,620 400 Rp2,308,518,172,400 Rp115,443,785,546 Rp115,443,785,547 -17876927 17876927 319584518963329 -0.0155 0.015487794
21 Rp117,812,976,180 441 Rp2,474,072,499,780 Rp115,976,588,060 Rp115,976,588,061 1836388119 1836388119 3372321323604360000 1.5587 1.558731626
22 Rp115,008,085,800 484 Rp2,530,177,887,600 Rp116,509,390,574 Rp116,509,390,575 -1501304775 1501304775 2253916027437800000 -1.3054 1.305390629
23 Rp118,672,342,340 529 Rp2,729,463,873,820 Rp117,042,193,088 Rp117,042,193,089 1630149251 1630149251 2657386580535860000 1.3737 1.373655579
24 Rp116,932,976,920 576 Rp2,806,391,446,080 Rp117,574,995,602 Rp117,574,995,603 -642018683 642018683 412187989321054000 -0.5490 0.549048438
25 Rp119,074,677,480 625 Rp2,976,866,937,000 Rp118,107,798,116 Rp118,107,798,117 966879363 966879363 934855702595286000 0.8120 0.811994106
26 Rp116,482,217,560 676 Rp3,028,537,656,560 Rp118,640,600,630 Rp118,640,600,631 -2158383071 2158383071 4658617481179390000 -1.8530 1.852972167
27 Rp116,679,435,460 729 Rp3,150,344,757,420 Rp119,173,403,145 Rp119,173,403,145 -2493967685 2493967685 6219874813824260000 -2.1375 2.13745265
28 Rp119,340,486,760 784 Rp3,341,533,629,280 Rp119,706,205,659 Rp119,706,205,659 -365718899 365718899 133750313085772000 -0.3064 0.306449981
29 Rp117,870,737,400 841 Rp3,418,251,384,600 Rp120,239,008,173 Rp120,239,008,173 -2368270773 2368270773 5608706454246020000 -2.0092 2.00921011
30 Rp117,775,448,800 900 Rp3,533,263,464,000 Rp120,771,810,687 Rp120,771,810,687 -2996361887 2996361887 8978184557866200000 -2.5441 2.544131156
31 Rp119,163,714,300 961 Rp3,694,075,143,300 Rp121,304,613,201 Rp121,304,613,201 -2140898901 2140898901 4583448104303010000 -1.7966 1.796603029
32 Rp119,980,057,840 1024 Rp3,839,361,850,880 Rp121,837,415,715 Rp121,837,415,715 -1857357875 1857357875 3449778275824520000 -1.5481 1.548055492
33 Rp123,521,140,220 1089 Rp4,076,197,627,260 Rp122,370,218,229 Rp122,370,218,229 1150921991 1150921991 1324621429367400000 0.9318 0.931761145
34 Rp125,047,122,400 1156 Rp4,251,602,161,600 Rp122,903,020,743 Rp122,903,020,743 2144101657 2144101657 4597171915550150000 1.7146 1.714634944
35 Rp126,772,577,060 1225 Rp4,437,040,197,100 Rp123,435,823,257 Rp123,435,823,258 3336753802 3336753802 11133925935161500000 2.6321 2.632078545
36 Rp128,386,606,180 1296 Rp4,621,917,822,480 Rp123,968,625,771 Rp123,968,625,772 4417980408 4417980408 19518550885471800000 3.4412 3.441153668
37 - - - Rp124,501,428,285 Rp124,501,428,286 - - - - -
38 - - - Rp125,034,230,799 Rp125,034,230,800 - - - - -
39 - a= 1.04788E+11 Rp125,567,033,313 Rp125,567,033,314 - - - - -
40 - b= 532802514.1 Rp126,099,835,827 Rp126,099,835,828 - - - - -
41 - - - Rp126,632,638,341 Rp126,632,638,342 - - - - -
42 - - - Rp127,165,440,855 Rp127,165,440,856 - - - - -
43 - - - Rp127,698,243,370 Rp127,698,243,370 - - - - -
44 - - - Rp128,231,045,884 Rp128,231,045,884 - - - - -
45 - - - Rp128,763,848,398 Rp128,763,848,398 - - - - -
46 - - - Rp129,296,650,912 Rp129,296,650,912 - - - - -
47 - - - Rp129,829,453,426 Rp129,829,453,426 - - - - -
48 - - - Rp130,362,255,940 Rp130,362,255,940 - - - - -
49 - - - Rp130,895,058,454 Rp130,895,058,454 - - - - -
50 - - - Rp131,427,860,968 Rp131,427,860,968 - - - - -
51 - - - Rp131,960,663,482 Rp131,960,663,483 - - - - -
52 - - - Rp132,493,465,996 Rp132,493,465,997 - - - - -
53 - - - Rp133,026,268,510 Rp133,026,268,511 - - - - -
54 - - - Rp133,559,071,024 Rp133,559,071,025 - - - - -
55 - - - Rp134,091,873,538 Rp134,091,873,539 - - - - -
56 - - - Rp134,624,676,052 Rp134,624,676,053 - - - - -
57 - - - Rp135,157,478,566 Rp135,157,478,567 - - - - -
58 - - - Rp135,690,281,080 Rp135,690,281,081 - - - - -
59 - - - Rp136,223,083,595 Rp136,223,083,595 - - - - -
60 - - - Rp136,755,886,109 Rp136,755,886,109 - - - - -
61 - - - Rp137,288,688,623 Rp137,288,688,623 - - - - -
62 - - - Rp137,821,491,137 Rp137,821,491,137 - - - - -
63 - - - Rp138,354,293,651 Rp138,354,293,651 - - - - -
64 - - - Rp138,887,096,165 Rp138,887,096,165 - - - - -
65 - - - Rp139,419,898,679 Rp139,419,898,679 - - - - -
66 - - - Rp139,952,701,193 Rp139,952,701,193 - - - - -
67 - - - Rp140,485,503,707 Rp140,485,503,707 - - - - -
68 - - - Rp141,018,306,221 Rp141,018,306,222 - - - - -
69 - - - Rp141,551,108,735 Rp141,551,108,736 - - - - -
70 - - - Rp142,083,911,249 Rp142,083,911,250 - - - - -
71 - - - Rp142,616,713,763 Rp142,616,713,764 - - - - -
72 - - - Rp143,149,516,277 Rp143,149,516,278 - - - - -
73 - - - Rp143,682,318,791 Rp143,682,318,792 - - - - -
74 - - - Rp144,215,121,305 Rp144,215,121,306 - - - - -
75 - - - Rp144,747,923,819 Rp144,747,923,820 - - - - -
76 - - - Rp145,280,726,334 Rp145,280,726,334 - - - - -
77 - - - Rp145,813,528,848 Rp145,813,528,848 - - - - -
78 - - - Rp146,346,331,362 Rp146,346,331,362 - - - - -
79 - - - Rp146,879,133,876 Rp146,879,133,876 - - - - -
80 - - - Rp147,411,936,390 Rp147,411,936,390 - - - - -
81 - - - Rp147,944,738,904 Rp147,944,738,904 - - - - -
82 - - - Rp148,477,541,418 Rp148,477,541,418 - - - - -
83 - - - Rp149,010,343,932 Rp149,010,343,932 - - - - -
84 - - - Rp149,543,146,446 Rp149,543,146,447 - - - - -
85 - - - Rp150,075,948,960 Rp150,075,948,961 - - - - -
86 - - - Rp150,608,751,474 Rp150,608,751,475 - - - - -
87 - - - Rp151,141,553,988 Rp151,141,553,989 - - - - -
88 - - - Rp151,674,356,502 Rp151,674,356,503 - - - - -
89 - - - Rp152,207,159,016 Rp152,207,159,017 - - - - -
90 - - - Rp152,739,961,530 Rp152,739,961,531 - - - - -
91 - - - Rp153,272,764,044 Rp153,272,764,045 - - - - -
92 - - - Rp153,805,566,559 Rp153,805,566,559 - - - - -
93 - - - Rp154,338,369,073 Rp154,338,369,073 - - - - -
94 - - - Rp154,871,171,587 Rp154,871,171,587 - - - - -
95 - - - Rp155,403,974,101 Rp155,403,974,101 - - - - -
96 - - - Rp155,936,776,615 Rp155,936,776,615 - - - - -
666 Rp4,127,204,943,900 16206 Rp78,423,229,229,280 -18 49933187634 102437968953243000000 -1 43
Holt Perusahaan
α 0.8 ɣ 0.2
PERIODE DEMAND
S't bt m F(t+m) Forecast et |et| et^2 Pe(%) |Pe|
1 Rp142,534,673,420 1.42535E+11 -1829955620.00 1 - - - - - - - ME 702498608.1
2 Rp140,704,717,800 140704717800.00 -1829955620 1 - - - - - - - MAE 2275222339
3 Rp134,254,367,720 135178446612.00 -2569218734 1 138874762180.00 138874762180.00 -4620394460 4620394460 21348044965998700000 -3.4415 3.44152264 SSE 2.79381E+20
4 Rp136,667,195,640 135855602087.68 -1919943892 1 132609227878.40 132609227879.00 4057967761 4057967761 16467102349315400000 2.9692 2.969233211 MSE 8.21708E+18
5 Rp140,513,730,140 139198115751.19 -867452380.7 1 133935658195.94 133935658196.00 6578071944 6578071944 43271030500439900000 4.6814 4.681444253 SDE 2909652467
6 Rp137,794,920,380 137902068978.10 -953171259.2 1 138330663370.49 138330663371.00 -535742991 535742991 287020552405626000 -0.3888 0.388797344 MPE 0.46981758
7 Rp142,969,175,900 141765120263.79 10073249.8 1 136948897718.93 136948897719.00 6020278181 6020278181 36243749376624700000 4.2109 4.210892413 MAPE 1.58941643
8 Rp139,416,887,900 139888549022.72 -367255648.4 1 141775193513.58 141775193514.00 -2358305614 2358305614 5561605369023920000 -1.6915 1.69154946
9 Rp139,576,109,320 139565146130.87 -358485097.1 1 139521293374.34 139521293375.00 54815945 54815945 3004787826243020 0.0393 0.039273157
10 Rp145,866,543,360 144534566894.76 707096075.1 1 139206661033.80 139206661034.00 6659882326 6659882326 44354032596167200000 4.5657 4.565736716
11 Rp142,880,691,160 143352885521.98 329340585.5 1 145241662969.88 145241662970.00 -2360971810 2360971810 5574187887614680000 -1.6524 1.652407887
12 Rp145,569,285,300 145191873461.50 631270056.3 1 143682226107.52 143682226108.00 1887059192 1887059192 3560992394111690000 1.2963 1.296330602
13 Rp144,198,611,620 144523517999.57 371344952.7 1 145823143517.84 145823143518.00 -1624531898 1624531898 2639103887619480000 -1.1266 1.126593301
14 Rp140,941,414,540 141732104222.45 -261206793.3 1 144894862952.25 144894862953.00 -3953448413 3953448413 15629754354252200000 -2.8050 2.805029612
15 Rp140,629,231,400 140797564605.84 -395873357.9 1 141470897429.17 141470897430.00 -841666030 841666030 708401706055961000 -0.5985 0.598500057
16 Rp139,304,251,420 139523739385.58 -571463730.4 1 140401691247.89 140401691248.00 -1097439828 1097439828 1204374176080670000 -0.7878 0.787800671
17 Rp141,479,059,880 140973703035.03 -167178254.4 1 138952275655.17 138952275656.00 2526784224 2526784224 6384638514655280000 1.7860 1.785977533
18 Rp142,764,314,960 142372756924.12 146068174.3 1 140806524780.60 140806524781.00 1957790179 1957790179 3832942384988850000 1.3713 1.371344218
19 Rp143,695,405,440 143460089371.68 334321028.9 1 142518825098.39 142518825099.00 1176580341 1176580341 1384341298827680000 0.8188 0.818801643
20 Rp147,111,829,580 146448345744.12 865108097.6 1 143794410400.61 143794410401.00 3317419179 3317419179 11005270009197000000 2.2550 2.255032235
21 Rp145,773,438,180 146081441312.35 618705591.8 1 147313453841.75 147313453842.00 -1540015662 1540015662 2371648239205300000 -1.0564 1.056444632
22 Rp144,108,690,400 144626981700.82 204072551.1 1 146700146904.10 146700146905.00 -2591456505 2591456505 6715646817306820000 -1.7983 1.798265252
23 Rp141,883,786,640 142473240162.38 -267490266.8 1 144831054251.91 144831054252.00 -2947267612 2947267612 8686386376744180000 -2.0772 2.077240594
24 Rp141,096,611,380 141318439083.11 -444952429.3 1 142205749895.57 142205749896.00 -1109138516 1109138516 1230188247674680000 -0.7861 0.786084446
25 Rp139,834,905,080 140042621394.76 -611125481.1 1 140873486653.81 140873486654.00 -1038581574 1038581574 1078651685852320000 -0.7427 0.742719833
26 Rp141,333,257,360 140952905070.73 -306843649.7 1 139431495913.65 139431495914.00 1901761446 1901761446 3616696597492010000 1.3456 1.345586652
27 Rp142,705,702,080 142293773948.21 22698855.74 1 140646061421.03 140646061422.00 2059640658 2059640658 4242119640086670000 1.4433 1.443278459
28 Rp142,245,778,520 142259917376.79 11387770.31 1 142316472803.94 142316472804.00 -70694284 70694284 4997681790272660 -0.0497 0.049698687
29 Rp142,663,929,720 142585404805.42 74207701.97 1 142271305147.10 142271305148.00 392624572 392624572 154154054538183000 0.2752 0.275209419
30 Rp145,654,298,980 145055361685.48 553357537.6 1 142659612507.39 142659612508.00 2994686472 2994686472 8968147065579810000 2.0560 2.056023401
31 Rp146,526,884,680 146343251588.61 700264010.7 1 145608719223.07 145608719224.00 918165456 918165456 843027804591688000 0.6266 0.626619107
32 Rp150,483,168,640 149795238031.86 1250608497 1 147043515599.31 147043515600.00 3439653040 3439653040 11831213035581200000 2.2857 2.285739376
33 Rp151,634,156,780 151516494729.81 1344738137 1 151045846529.07 151045846530.00 588310250 588310250 346108950255063000 0.3880 0.387980032
34 Rp152,814,584,640 152823914285.43 1337274421 1 152861232867.17 152861232868.00 -46648228 46648228 2176057175539980 -0.0305 0.030526031
35 Rp157,062,432,320 156482183597.29 1801473399 1 154161188706.44 154161188707.00 2901243613 2901243613 8417214501973290000 1.8472 1.847191318
36 Rp159,472,178,320 159234474055.29 1991636811 1 158283656996.47 158283656997.00 1188521323 1188521323 1412582935225670000 0.7453 0.745284435
37 - - - 1 161226110866.24 161226110867.00 - - - - -
38 - - - 2 161226110866.24 161226110867.00 - - - - -
39 - - - 3 163217747677.18 163217747678.00 - - - - -
40 - - - 4 165209384488.13 165209384489.00 - - - - -
41 - - - 5 167201021299.07 167201021300.00 - - - - -
42 - - - 6 169192658110.01 169192658111.00 - - - - -
43 - - - 7 171184294920.96 171184294921.00 - - - - -
44 - - - 8 173175931731.90 173175931732.00 - - - - -
45 - - - 9 175167568542.84 175167568543.00 - - - - -
46 - - - 10 177159205353.79 177159205354.00 - - - - -
47 - - - 11 179150842164.73 179150842165.00 - - - - -
48 - - - 12 181142478975.68 181142478976.00 - - - - -
49 - - - 13 183134115786.62 183134115787.00 - - - - -
50 - - - 14 185125752597.56 185125752598.00 - - - - -
51 - - - 15 187117389408.51 187117389409.00 - - - - -
52 - - - 16 189109026219.45 189109026220.00 - - - - -
53 - - - 17 191100663030.40 191100663031.00 - - - - -
54 - - - 18 193092299841.34 193092299842.00 - - - - -
55 - - - 19 195083936652.28 195083936653.00 - - - - -
56 - - - 20 197075573463.23 197075573464.00 - - - - -
57 - - - 21 199067210274.17 199067210275.00 - - - - -
58 - - - 22 201058847085.11 201058847086.00 - - - - -
59 - - - 23 203050483896.06 203050483897.00 - - - - -
60 - - - 24 205042120707.00 205042120708.00 - - - - -
61 - - - 25 207033757517.95 207033757518.00 - - - - -
62 - - - 26 209025394328.89 209025394329.00 - - - - -
63 - - - 27 211017031139.83 211017031140.00 - - - - -
64 - - - 28 213008667950.78 213008667951.00 - - - - -
65 - - - 29 215000304761.72 215000304762.00 - - - - -
66 - - - 30 216991941572.67 216991941573.00 - - - - -
67 - - - 31 218983578383.61 218983578384.00 - - - - -
68 - - - 32 220975215194.55 220975215195.00 - - - - -
69 - - - 33 222966852005.50 222966852006.00 - - - - -
70 - - - 34 224958488816.44 224958488817.00 - - - - -
71 - - - 35 226950125627.38 226950125628.00 - - - - -
72 - - - 36 228941762438.33 228941762439.00 - - - - -
73 - - - 37 230933399249.27 230933399250.00 - - - - -
74 - - - 38 232925036060.22 232925036061.00 - - - - -
75 - - - 39 234916672871.16 234916672872.00 - - - - -
76 - - - 40 236908309682.10 236908309683.00 - - - - -
77 - - - 41 238899946493.05 238899946494.00 - - - - -
78 - - - 42 240891583303.99 240891583304.00 - - - - -
79 - - - 43 242883220114.94 242883220115.00 - - - - -
80 - - - 44 244874856925.88 244874856926.00 - - - - -
81 - - - 45 246866493736.82 246866493737.00 - - - - -
82 - - - 46 248858130547.77 248858130548.00 - - - - -
83 - - - 47 250849767358.71 250849767359.00 - - - - -
84 - - - 48 252841404169.65 252841404170.00 - - - - -
85 - - - 49 254833040980.60 254833040981.00 - - - - -
86 - - - 50 256824677791.54 256824677792.00 - - - - -
87 - - - 51 258816314602.49 258816314603.00 - - - - -
88 - - - 52 260807951413.43 260807951414.00 - - - - -
89 - - - 53 262799588224.37 262799588225.00 - - - - -
90 - - - 54 264791225035.32 264791225036.00 - - - - -
91 - - - 55 266782861846.26 266782861847.00 - - - - -
92 - - - 56 268774498657.21 268774498658.00 - - - - -
93 - - - 57 270766135468.15 270766135469.00 - - - - -
94 - - - 58 272757772279.09 272757772280.00 - - - - -
95 - - - 59 274749409090.04 274749409091.00 - - - - -
96 - - - 60 276741045900.98 276741045901.00 - - - - -
23884952677 77357559527 2.79381E+20 15.97379773 54.04015863
KESIMPULAN
PERUSAHAAN PESAING
METODE MSE METODE MSE
DMA 6293262667574500000 DMA 3160665088376730000
BROWN 8242656572624250000 BROWN 3373480284718120000
REGRESI LINIER 14455582469751600000 REGRESI LINIER 3012881439801280000
HOLT 8.21708E+18 HOLT 3115431617626380000
MINIMAL 6293262667574500000 MINIMAL 3012881439801280000
α
0.1 12731377727664100000 8966194037832120000 9163139080990870000 10061823860647300000 10667139458955100000 10637902017284900000 10041283847940100000 9155007202638800000 8268349267791850000
0.2 7186799146063980000 6684663838477100000 6584489024081900000 6180485701490190000 4219930375072200000 3105438864063900000 8360825708465470000 4466286617204810000 6289107760037850000
0.3 5368757043099210000 4968406775230190000 4711739656839200000 4539779187533940000 5204674731489860000 6695746532202830000 7520212768777530000 3665838584294640000 4757066961390940000
0.4 4303137237598940000 3977595578447540000 3818916511165010000 3764070554091680000 7701087345117060000 8501812127241300000 8762548178537410000 7119081911891890000 3757608291322180000
0.5 3648384455813150000 3405018708371980000 3309509550560960000 3288919284056180000 9368728508434640000 9088599975202240000 9833341237710990000 4270709231812880000 3404196320090480000
0.6 3245761762658640000 3072854526536970000 3023740646619480000 3058959811206310000 10102359583297700000 9874783085264950000 3165435710879900000 3238429174494080000 3322881053412050000
0.7 3009193106360120000 2897886208393260000 2891921693471350000 2932126027949010000 2998635577714530000 3083686776714600000 3184549575212110000 3299713702274450000 3428132065961300000
0.8 2891658221472800000 2838382492478850000 2878134097334030000 2961729911648950000 3074091497802230000 3209819028751270000 3367729825972270000 3548710506960740000 3755436888089650000
0.9 2868235544506780000 2874813982744410000 2968170124453220000 3108119652888450000 3284304164225140000 3495080629574930000 3743323113055170000 4034988272570640000 4378821252622060000
Min 1 2868235544506780000 2838382492478850000 2878134097334030000 2932126027949010000 2998635577714530000 3083686776714600000 3165435710879900000 3238429174494080000 3322881053412050000
Min2 2838382492478850000
α 0.8
ɣ 0.2
α ɣ ɣ α
0.11 7.38952E+18 0.91 8.18814E+18
0.12 6.86452E+18 0.92
0.13 6.59387E+18 0.93
0.14 6.48352E+18 0.94
0.15 0.9 6.45742E+18 0.95 0.1 7.89E+18
0.16 6.46063E+18 0.96 7.82166E+18
0.17 6.4583E+18 0.97 7.75595E+18
0.18 6.43212E+18 0.98 7.69296E+18
0.19 6.37555E+18 0.99 7.63274E+18
6.37555E+18
Holt Pesaing
α 0.4 ɣ 0.9
PERIODE DEMAND
S't bt m F(t+m) Forecast et |et| et^2 Pe(%) |Pe|
1 Rp105,909,330,200 1.05909E+11 -991092220.00 1 - - - - - - - ME 256832979.8
2 Rp104,918,237,980 104918237980.00 -991092220 1 104918237980.00 104918237980.00 0 0 0 0.0000 0 MAE 1361842689
3 Rp108,066,419,800 105582855376.00 499046434.4 1 103927145760.00 103927145760.00 4139274040 4139274040 17133589578217900000 3.8303 3.830305517 SSE 1.0904E+20
4 Rp106,611,434,560 106293714910.24 689678224.3 1 106081901810.40 106081901811.00 529532749 529532749 280404932263497000 0.4967 0.496694141 MSE 3.11543E+18
5 Rp110,034,545,140 108203853936.70 1788092946 1 106983393134.50 106983393135.00 3051152005 3051152005 9309528557615520000 2.7729 2.772903729 SDE 1790827172
6 Rp106,627,382,120 108646120977.76 576849631.6 1 109991946882.94 109991946883.00 -3364564763 3364564763 11320296044421200000 -3.1554 3.155441591 MPE 0.212850111
7 Rp107,765,444,380 108639960117.61 52140189.02 1 109222970609.34 109222970610.00 -1457526230 1457526230 2124382711138010000 -1.3525 1.352498696 MAPE 1.190384177
8 Rp110,005,404,600 109217422023.97 524929734.6 1 108692100306.62 108692100307.00 1313304293 1313304293 1724768166012230000 1.1939 1.193854336
9 Rp110,354,560,820 109987235383.16 745324996.7 1 109742351758.61 109742351759.00 612209061 612209061 374799934370502000 0.5548 0.554765527
10 Rp110,952,622,020 110820585035.94 824547187.2 1 110732560379.90 110732560380.00 220061640 220061640 48427125399489600 0.1983 0.198338386
11 Rp110,291,646,940 111103738109.87 337292485.3 1 111645132223.11 111645132224.00 -1353485284 1353485284 1831922414004560000 -1.2272 1.227187481
12 Rp111,903,925,680 111626188629.07 503934715.8 1 111441030595.12 111441030596.00 462895084 462895084 214271858791367000 0.4137 0.413654017
13 Rp110,328,577,280 111409504918.93 -144621867.5 1 112130123344.88 112130123345.00 -1801546065 1801546065 3245568224316980000 -1.6329 1.632891595
14 Rp111,561,847,540 111383668846.83 -37714651.64 1 111264883051.38 111264883052.00 296964488 296964488 88187907133102100 0.2662 0.266188213
15 Rp111,580,524,040 111439782133.11 46730492.49 1 111345954195.18 111345954196.00 234569844 234569844 55023011714184300 0.2102 0.21022472
16 Rp114,657,853,980 112755049167.36 1188413380 1 111486512625.60 111486512626.00 3171341354 3171341354 10057405983590600000 2.7659 2.765917243
17 Rp113,064,674,020 113591947136.46 872049510.2 1 113943462547.43 113943462548.00 -878788528 878788528 772269276944407000 -0.7772 0.777244118
18 Rp114,215,324,580 114364527820.00 782527566.2 1 114463996646.66 114463996647.00 -248672067 248672067 61837796906052500 -0.2177 0.217722156
19 Rp114,408,676,900 114851703991.72 516711311.2 1 115147055386.20 115147055387.00 -738378487 738378487 545202790064409000 -0.6454 0.64538679
20 Rp115,425,908,620 115391412629.73 537408905.3 1 115368415302.89 115368415303.00 57493317 57493317 3305481499662490 0.0498 0.049809716
21 Rp117,812,976,180 116682483393.04 1215704578 1 115928821535.06 115928821536.00 1884154644 1884154644 3550038722506770000 1.5993 1.599275992
22 Rp115,008,085,800 116742147102.33 175267796.1 1 117898187970.55 117898187971.00 -2890102171 2890102171 8352690558818910000 -2.5130 2.512955633
23 Rp118,672,342,340 117619385875.06 807041675.1 1 116917414898.44 116917414899.00 1754927441 1754927441 3079770323174810000 1.4788 1.47880071
24 Rp116,932,976,920 117829047298.08 269399448.2 1 118426427550.14 118426427551.00 -1493450631 1493450631 2230394787234300000 -1.2772 1.277185162
25 Rp119,074,677,480 118488939039.78 620842512.4 1 118098446746.31 118098446747.00 976230733 976230733 953026444053717000 0.8198 0.819847472
26 Rp116,482,217,560 118058755955.28 -325080524.8 1 119109781552.14 119109781553.00 -2627563993 2627563993 6904092537310100000 -2.2558 2.255764054
27 Rp116,679,435,460 117311979442.28 -704606914.2 1 117733675430.47 117733675431.00 -1054239971 1054239971 1111421916454080000 -0.9035 0.903535372
28 Rp119,340,486,760 117700618220.86 279314209.3 1 116607372528.10 116607372529.00 2733114231 2733114231 7469913399694720000 2.2902 2.290181903
29 Rp117,870,737,400 117936254418.10 240003998.4 1 117979932430.16 117979932431.00 -109195031 109195031 11923554795091000 -0.0926 0.092639644
30 Rp117,775,448,800 118015934569.92 95712536.49 1 118176258416.54 118176258417.00 -400809617 400809617 160648349079687000 -0.3403 0.340316782
31 Rp119,163,714,300 118532473983.85 474456726.2 1 118111647106.41 118111647107.00 1052067193 1052067193 1106845378586900000 0.8829 0.882875462
32 Rp119,980,057,840 119396181562.02 824782493 1 119006930710.03 119006930711.00 973127129 973127129 946976409195783000 0.8111 0.811074062
33 Rp123,521,140,220 121541034520.99 2012845912 1 120220964054.99 120220964055.00 3300176165 3300176165 10891162720034100000 2.6718 2.671750082
34 Rp125,047,122,400 124151177220.02 2550413020 1 123553880433.37 123553880434.00 1493241966 1493241966 2229771569023550000 1.1941 1.194143406
35 Rp126,772,577,060 126729984968.23 2575968275 1 126701590240.38 126701590241.00 70986819 70986819 5039128471738760 0.0560 0.055995406
36 Rp128,386,606,180 128938214418.19 2245003333 1 129305953243.65 129305953244.00 -919347064 919347064 845199024085420000 -0.7161 0.716077083
37 - - - 1 161226110866.24 161226110867.00 - - - - -
38 - - - 2 161226110866.24 161226110867.00 - - - - -
39 - - - 3 163217747677.18 163217747678.00 - - - - -
40 - - - 4 165209384488.13 165209384489.00 - - - - -
41 - - - 5 167201021299.07 167201021300.00 - - - - -
42 - - - 6 169192658110.01 169192658111.00 - - - - -
43 - - - 7 171184294920.96 171184294921.00 - - - - -
44 - - - 8 173175931731.90 173175931732.00 - - - - -
45 - - - 9 175167568542.84 175167568543.00 - - - - -
46 - - - 10 177159205353.79 177159205354.00 - - - - -
47 - - - 11 179150842164.73 179150842165.00 - - - - -
48 - - - 12 181142478975.68 181142478976.00 - - - - -
49 - - - 13 183134115786.62 183134115787.00 - - - - -
50 - - - 14 185125752597.56 185125752598.00 - - - - -
51 - - - 15 187117389408.51 187117389409.00 - - - - -
52 - - - 16 189109026219.45 189109026220.00 - - - - -
53 - - - 17 191100663030.40 191100663031.00 - - - - -
54 - - - 18 193092299841.34 193092299842.00 - - - - -
55 - - - 19 195083936652.28 195083936653.00 - - - - -
56 - - - 20 197075573463.23 197075573464.00 - - - - -
57 - - - 21 199067210274.17 199067210275.00 - - - - -
58 - - - 22 201058847085.11 201058847086.00 - - - - -
59 - - - 23 203050483896.06 203050483897.00 - - - - -
60 - - - 24 205042120707.00 205042120708.00 - - - - -
61 - - - 25 207033757517.95 207033757518.00 - - - - -
62 - - - 26 209025394328.89 209025394329.00 - - - - -
63 - - - 27 211017031139.83 211017031140.00 - - - - -
64 - - - 28 213008667950.78 213008667951.00 - - - - -
65 - - - 29 215000304761.72 215000304762.00 - - - - -
66 - - - 30 216991941572.67 216991941573.00 - - - - -
67 - - - 31 218983578383.61 218983578384.00 - - - - -
68 - - - 32 220975215194.55 220975215195.00 - - - - -
69 - - - 33 222966852005.50 222966852006.00 - - - - -
70 - - - 34 224958488816.44 224958488817.00 - - - - -
71 - - - 35 226950125627.38 226950125628.00 - - - - -
72 - - - 36 228941762438.33 228941762439.00 - - - - -
73 - - - 37 230933399249.27 230933399250.00 - - - - -
74 - - - 38 232925036060.22 232925036061.00 - - - - -
75 - - - 39 234916672871.16 234916672872.00 - - - - -
76 - - - 40 236908309682.10 236908309683.00 - - - - -
77 - - - 41 238899946493.05 238899946494.00 - - - - -
78 - - - 42 240891583303.99 240891583304.00 - - - - -
79 - - - 43 242883220114.94 242883220115.00 - - - - -
80 - - - 44 244874856925.88 244874856926.00 - - - - -
81 - - - 45 246866493736.82 246866493737.00 - - - - -
82 - - - 46 248858130547.77 248858130548.00 - - - - -
83 - - - 47 250849767358.71 250849767359.00 - - - - -
84 - - - 48 252841404169.65 252841404170.00 - - - - -
85 - - - 49 254833040980.60 254833040981.00 - - - - -
86 - - - 50 256824677791.54 256824677792.00 - - - - -
87 - - - 51 258816314602.49 258816314603.00 - - - - -
88 - - - 52 260807951413.43 260807951414.00 - - - - -
89 - - - 53 262799588224.37 262799588225.00 - - - - -
90 - - - 54 264791225035.32 264791225036.00 - - - - -
91 - - - 55 266782861846.26 266782861847.00 - - - - -
92 - - - 56 268774498657.21 268774498658.00 - - - - -
93 - - - 57 270766135468.15 270766135469.00 - - - - -
94 - - - 58 272757772279.09 272757772280.00 - - - - -
95 - - - 59 274749409090.04 274749409091.00 - - - - -
96 - - - 60 276741045900.98 276741045901.00 - - - - -
8989154294 47664494098 1.0904E+20 7.449753884 41.6634462
DISAGREGASI
Harga 346,000 1,089,420 Harga 346,000 1,089,420
Proporsi 0.80 0.20 Proporsi 0.80 0.20
Periode Forecast Perusahaan Sepeda Grass Carts Periode Forecast Pesaing Sepeda Grass Carts
1 161226110867.00 372778 29599 1 Rp124,501,428,286 287865 22857
2 161226110867.00 372778 29599 2 Rp125,034,230,800 289097 22955
3 163217747678.00 377383 29965 3 Rp125,567,033,314 290329 23053
4 165209384489.00 381988 30330 4 Rp126,099,835,828 291561 23150
5 167201021300.00 386592 30696 5 Rp126,632,638,342 292793 23248
6 169192658111.00 391197 31062 6 Rp127,165,440,856 294025 23346
7 171184294921.00 395802 31427 7 Rp127,698,243,370 295257 23444
8 173175931732.00 400407 31793 8 Rp128,231,045,884 296488 23542
9 175167568543.00 405012 32158 9 Rp128,763,848,398 297720 23639
10 177159205354.00 409617 32524 10 Rp129,296,650,912 298952 23737
11 179150842165.00 414222 32890 11 Rp129,829,453,426 300184 23835
12 181142478976.00 418827 33255 12 Rp130,362,255,940 301416 23933
13 183134115787.00 423432 33621 13 Rp130,895,058,454 302648 24031
14 185125752598.00 428037 33987 14 Rp131,427,860,968 303880 24129
15 187117389409.00 432642 34352 15 Rp131,960,663,483 305112 24226
16 189109026220.00 437247 34718 16 Rp132,493,465,997 306344 24324
17 191100663031.00 441852 35084 17 Rp133,026,268,511 307576 24422
18 193092299842.00 446457 35449 18 Rp133,559,071,025 308808 24520
19 195083936653.00 451062 35815 19 Rp134,091,873,539 310040 24618
20 197075573464.00 455667 36180 20 Rp134,624,676,053 311271 24715
21 199067210275.00 460272 36546 21 Rp135,157,478,567 312503 24813
22 201058847086.00 464876 36912 22 Rp135,690,281,081 313735 24911
23 203050483897.00 469481 37277 23 Rp136,223,083,595 314967 25009
24 205042120708.00 474086 37643 24 Rp136,755,886,109 316199 25107
25 207033757518.00 478691 38009 25 Rp137,288,688,623 317431 25204
26 209025394329.00 483296 38374 26 Rp137,821,491,137 318663 25302
27 211017031140.00 487901 38740 27 Rp138,354,293,651 319895 25400
28 213008667951.00 492506 39105 28 Rp138,887,096,165 321127 25498
29 215000304762.00 497111 39471 29 Rp139,419,898,679 322359 25596
30 216991941573.00 501716 39837 30 Rp139,952,701,193 323591 25694
31 218983578384.00 506321 40202 31 Rp140,485,503,707 324822 25791
32 220975215195.00 510926 40568 32 Rp141,018,306,222 326054 25889
33 222966852006.00 515531 40934 33 Rp141,551,108,736 327286 25987
34 224958488817.00 520136 41299 34 Rp142,083,911,250 328518 26085
35 226950125628.00 524741 41665 35 Rp142,616,713,764 329750 26183
36 228941762439.00 529346 42031 36 Rp143,149,516,278 330982 26280
37 230933399250.00 533951 42396 37 Rp143,682,318,792 332214 26378
38 232925036061.00 538555 42762 38 Rp144,215,121,306 333446 26476
39 234916672872.00 543160 43127 39 Rp144,747,923,820 334678 26574
40 236908309683.00 547765 43493 40 Rp145,280,726,334 335910 26672
41 238899946494.00 552370 43859 41 Rp145,813,528,848 337142 26770
42 240891583304.00 556975 44224 42 Rp146,346,331,362 338374 26867
43 242883220115.00 561580 44590 43 Rp146,879,133,876 339605 26965
44 244874856926.00 566185 44956 44 Rp147,411,936,390 340837 27063
45 246866493737.00 570790 45321 45 Rp147,944,738,904 342069 27161
46 248858130548.00 575395 45687 46 Rp148,477,541,418 343301 27259
47 250849767359.00 580000 46052 47 Rp149,010,343,932 344533 27356
48 252841404170.00 584605 46418 48 Rp149,543,146,447 345765 27454
49 254833040981.00 589210 46784 49 Rp150,075,948,961 346997 27552
50 256824677792.00 593815 47149 50 Rp150,608,751,475 348229 27650
51 258816314603.00 598420 47515 51 Rp151,141,553,989 349461 27748
52 260807951414.00 603025 47881 52 Rp151,674,356,503 350693 27845
53 262799588225.00 607630 48246 53 Rp152,207,159,017 351925 27943
54 264791225036.00 612235 48612 54 Rp152,739,961,531 353156 28041
55 266782861847.00 616839 48978 55 Rp153,272,764,045 354388 28139
56 268774498658.00 621444 49343 56 Rp153,805,566,559 355620 28237
57 270766135469.00 626049 49709 57 Rp154,338,369,073 356852 28335
58 272757772280.00 630654 50074 58 Rp154,871,171,587 358084 28432
59 274749409091.00 635259 50440 59 Rp155,403,974,101 359316 28530
60 276741045901.00 639864 50806 60 Rp155,936,776,615 360548 28628
KPT
Sepeda Roda Tiga Market Share 20%

∑ Forecast
Tahun ∑ Forecast Pesaing Market Potensial Market Share (%) Kapasitas Produksi KPT Jam Kerja/hari 5 jam/hari
Perusahaan
2020 4726603 3535687 1,190,916 20% 238,183 184 Hari Kerja/tahun 260 hari/tahun
2021 5385111 3713083 1,672,028 20% 334,405 258 Waktu Kerja Total 1300 jam/tahun
2022 6048222 3890478 2,157,744 20% 431,364 332 Efektivitas Kerja 72%
2023 6711331 4067874 2,643,457 20% 528,691 407
2024 7374444 4245269 3,129,175 20% 625,835 482
Jumlah 10,793,320
Grass carts
∑ Forecast
Tahun ∑ Forecast Pesaing Market Potensial Market Share (%) Kapasitas Produksi KPT
Perusahaan
2020 375298 280739 94,559 20% 18,912 15
2021 427584 294825 132,759 20% 26,552 21
2022 480235 308909 171,326 20% 34,251 27
2023 532885 322995 209,890 20% 41,978 33
2024 585537 337080 248,457 20% 49,691 39
Jumlah 856,991
HARGA SEPEDA
HARGA GRASS CARTS

Data Demand. Produk 1: Harga Produk 2: Harga Market Share: 20% Data Perusahaan + (NPM (Kls A 845), (Kls B 1034), (Kls C 683) ) Data Pesaing

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Sepeda Roda Tiga Market Share 20%

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