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15MA207 4 Sem

This document contains sample exam questions for a probability and queuing theory exam. 1. The first question asks the student to identify the value of k in a probability mass function where P(X) is defined for values of X from 0 to 4. 2. The second part asks the student multiple choice questions related to properties of random variables, common probability distributions, and calculations involving mean, variance and standard deviation. 3. The third part provides two word problems involving Poisson processes and queuing models at a barber shop to calculate expected numbers of customers, waiting times, and the probability of being turned away.

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Rishab Mathur
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
195 views2 pages

15MA207 4 Sem

This document contains sample exam questions for a probability and queuing theory exam. 1. The first question asks the student to identify the value of k in a probability mass function where P(X) is defined for values of X from 0 to 4. 2. The second part asks the student multiple choice questions related to properties of random variables, common probability distributions, and calculations involving mean, variance and standard deviation. 3. The third part provides two word problems involving Poisson processes and queuing models at a barber shop to calculate expected numbers of customers, waiting times, and the probability of being turned away.

Uploaded by

Rishab Mathur
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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ii. ln a normal distoibution, 7Yo of the items are under 35 and 89% are under 63.

63. What are the Reg. No.


mean and standard deviation of the distribution?
B.Tech. DEGREE EXAMINATION, MAy 2012
30. a.i. kr a large city A, 20% of a random sample of 900 school boys had a slight physical defect. Third / Fourth Semester
In another large city B, 18.5% of a random sample of 1600 school boys had the same I5MA2O7 _ PROBABILITY AND QUEUING TT{EORY
defect. Is the difference between the proportions significant? (For the candidates admitted during the academic vear 2015
- 2016 onwards)
ii' The mean height and the SD height of 8 raadomly chosen soldiers are 166.9 and 8.29 cms (Statistical table to be provided)
respectively. The corresponding values of6 randomly chosen sailors are 170.3 and 8.50 cm Note:
(i) Part - A should be answered in OMR sheet within first 45 minutes and OMR sheet should be handed
respectively. Based on these data. can we conclude that soldiers are, in general shorter than
over to hall invigilator at the end of 45m minute.
sailors? (ii) Part - B and Part - C should be answered in answer booklet.

Time: Three Hours Max. Marks: 100


b. A total number of 3759 individual. 19.? ,n.*r"wed in a public opinion survey on a
political proposal. Of them, 1872 were men and tle rest women. A total of 2ZS7 PART-A(20x1=20Marks)
individuals were'in favour of the proposal and 917 were opposed to it. A total of243 men
Answer ALL Questions
were undecided ar..d 424 women were opposed to the proposal. Do youjustiff or contradict ]. A random variable X has the function
the hypothesis that there is no association between sex and attitude? 0 I 2 3 4
P(x): k 2k 5k 7k 9k
31. a. Customers arrive at a one-man barber shop according to a Poisson process with a mean
The value of K is.
inter arrival time of 12 min. Customers spend an average of l0 min in the barber's chair.
(1) What is the expected number of customers in the barber shop and in the queue? (A) 2/24 @) 2U24
(2) Calculate the percentage of time an arrival can walk straight into the barber's chair (c) 7/12 @) 1/24
without having to wait. 2. var[+x + g] is
(3) How much time can a customer expect to spend in the barber's shop? (A) rzvar[xj (B) avar[x]+s
(4) What is the average time customers spend in the queue?
(5) What is the probability that the waiting time in the system is greater than 30 min? (c) t6var[x] (D) 16 var[x]+ s
(6) Calculate the percentage of customers who have to wait prior to getting into the 3. When a die is t}rown, X denotes the number that tums up, find the mean
barber's chair, (A) 7t2 @) 3/4
(oR) (c) 4/s (D) -<ls
b. The local one-person barber shop can accommodate and maximum of 5 people at a time 4.
(4 waiting and 1 getting hair-cut). Customers arrive according to a Poisson distribution
Given that the PDF of a random variable X is /(x)=Zx; 0<x<l,find p(,Y>0.5)
with mean 15 per hour. The barber cuts hair at an average rate of4 per hour (exponential (A) 1/2 (B) 2t3
service time)
(c) 3/4 (D) 4/s
(l) What percentage of time is the barber idle? 5. If on an averagg 9 ships out of 10 arrive safely to a por! then mean and sD of the number of
(2) What fraction of the potential customers are tumed away? ships returning safely out of 150 ships are
(3) What is the expected number of customers waiting for a hair-cut? (A) 13s,2.674 (B) 125, 3.674
(4) How much time can a customer expect to spend in the barber shop? (c) 13s,3.674 (D) 12s,2.674
32. a. A man either drives a car or catches a train to go to oflice each day. He never goes 2 days Mean of the Poisson distribution is
in a row by train but if he drives one day, then the next day he is just as likely to drive (A) l. (B) ?,+1
again as he is to travel by train. Now suppose that on the first day of the week, the man (c) 1/tu (D) T,
tossed a fair dice and drove to work if and only if a 6 appeared. Find (i) the probability that
he takes a train on the third day (ii) the probability that he drives to work in the long run.
7. The MGF of Geometric distribution is
(A) 1 (B)
(oR) l-q"' l- pe'
b. Three boys A, B and c are tfuowing a ball to each other. A always throws the ball to B (c) (D)
and B always tfuows the ball to c, but c is just as likely to throw the ball to B as to A.
L- pe
J!-
Show that the process is Mmkovian. Find the transition matrix and classifu the states. l-q"'

PaEe 4 of 4 22MF3l4l5Il,A207 page I of4 22Mr3/415MA207


8. The variance of Uniform distribution U(a,b) is 20. A state 'i' is said to be aperiodic with period 'di' if
(A) (A) di<1 (B) di: I
I (B)
Lr@-")'
12'
(,r
- r)' (c) di>1 (D) di: o
'
(c) 1(a*o) (D)
PART-B(5x4=20Marks)
2' )o-,) Answer ANY FfVE Questions
9. The value set for cr is known as
2t. x> 0 ' Find the value of k'
(B) Acceptance level A continuous random variable x has a pdf /(x) = laze-';
(A) Rejection level
(C) Signihcance level (D) Hypotheti cal level
Given the random variable x with density function
10. The standard deviation ofa sampling distribution is called as l2x
-" o<x<1
Y :
(A) Sampling error (B) Standard enor r/(x)
\ ''=.{ . Find the pdf of 8X3.

(C) Simple error @) Sample enor


L0 elsewhere

11. A is a subset of a 23. If the probability that an applicant for a driver's license will pass the road test on arry.given
(A) trial iJ 0.8, what is the probability that he will finally pass the test (i) on the fourth hial (ii)
Sample, population @) Population, sample
(C) Statistic,parameter (D) Parameter, statistic in fewer than 4 trials.

24. The mileage which can owner get with a certain kind of radial tire is a random variable
12. The hypothesis that an aralyst is trying to prove is called
(A) Electivehypothesis (B) Alternatehypothesis having an exponential distribution with mean 40, 000 km. Find the probabilities that one of
(C) (D) Optionalhypothesis these tires will last (i) atleast 20,000kms (ii) atrnost 30, 000kms.
Null hypothesis
13. The symbolic notation of queuing model is represented by 25. Define (i) null hypothesis (ii) altemate hypothesis (iii) Bpe I error (iv) type II error.
(A) Kendall (B) Euler
26. what do the letters in the symbolic representalion (a /b I c):(d I e) of a queuing model
. (C) Fisher (D) Neuman
represent?
14. The interval between two consecutive arrivals of a Poisson process follows
distribution. 27. Ifthepmof aMarkovcirainis [,:" .1t2) thechain.
(A) ]".l Findthesteadystatedistributionof
Binomial (B) Uniform 11/2
(C) Normal (D) Exponential
PART-C(5x12:60Marks)
15. The probability of 'n' customers in the system Po : Answer ALL Questions
,o, (B) ( s"\
[4)r. tt l)
,0 28. a. A random variable X has the following probabilit distribution
\p) lp) x:
|\
-1 0 I 2 3
(D) P(x): 0.1 k 0.2 2k 0.3 3k
'"' (#)'", (+) Po (i) Find k (ii) evaluate P(X < 2) (ii| P(-2 < X < 2) (iv) CDF of X (v) mean of X
(vi) variance of X.
16. Which term refers to "a customer who leaves the queue because the queue is too long"
(A) Balking (B) Reneging (oR)
(C) Jockeying (D) Leaving If X is a random variable with E(X)=3 and EOp):13, find the lower bound for
P(-2 < X< 8 ), using Tchebycheff s inequality.
17. The sum of all the elements of any row of the hansition probability matrix is
(A) 0 (B) 0.s ll. If X represents the outcome, when a fair die is tossed, furd the MGF of X and hence find
(c) 0.7s (D) I E(X) and var (X).
18. The steady state probability vector r of a discrete markov chain with transition probability 29. a. out of 800 families with 4 children each, how many families wouid be expected to have
matrix satisfies the matrix equation. (i) 2 boys and 2 girls (ii) atleast I boy (iii) atmost 2 girls (iv) children of both sexes.
(A) aP=o (B) rP=n Assume equal probabilities for boys and girls.
(c) z(t-r)=o (D) nP =r
(oR)
19. A non-null persistent and aperiodic state is called b.i. Buses arrive at a specified stop at 15 mins interval starting at 6 am (ie) arrive at 6am' 6.15
(A) Empty (B) Finite am, 6.30 am and so on. If a passenger arrives at the stop at a time that is uniformly
(C) Ergodic (D) Full distributed between 6 and 6.30 am, find the probability that he waits (l) less than 5 mins
for a bus (2) more than 10 mins for a but.
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