Lecture On Index Numbers
Lecture On Index Numbers
I. An index number measures the relative change in price, quantity, or value compared
to a base period.
A. The major characteristics of an index are:
1. It is a percentage, but the percent sign is usually omitted.
2. It has a base period.
where Pt refers to the price in the current period and P0 is the price in the base
period.
2. In the simple average of price indexes, we add the simple indexes for each item
and divide by the number of items.
3. In a simple aggregate price index, the price of the items in the group are totaled
for both periods and compared.
3. Fisher’s ideal index is the geometric mean of the Laspeyres and Paasche indexes.
It is termed “ideal” because it is the only index that satisfies both time reversal
and factor reversal tests.
Laspeyres
Advantage
It requires quantity data from only the base period. This allows a more meaningful
comparison over time. The changes in the index can be attributed to changes in the price.
Disadvantage
Does not reflect changes in buying patterns over time.
Also, it may overweight goods whose prices increase. Hence, it overstates the price index
(upward bias)
Paasche
Advantage
Because it uses quantities from the current period, it reflects current buying habits.
Disadvantage:
It requires quantity data for the current year. Because different quantities are used each
year, it is impossible to attribute changes in the index to changes in price alone.
It tends to overweight the goods whose prices have declined. Hence, it understates the
price index (downward bias).
It requires the product of prices and quantities to be recomputed each year.
KEY NOTES
From the above, Laspeyre’s Index is usually greater than Paasche’s Index but
not always. There are conditions where the Laspeyre’s Index can be greater
than, equal to or less than the Paasche’s Index. In fact, if prices of all the goods
change in the same ratio, both indices are equal.
If PL ˂ PP then PL ˂ PF ˂ PM.E ˂ PP
If PP ˂ PL then PP ˂ PF ˂ PM.E ˂ PL
Since both PF and PM.E have no bias in any known direction, they provide a
better estimate of the true index. They, however, have practical limitations
because it is difficult and rather expensive to obtain correct information
regarding their weights since they require both base and current year prices
and quantities for their computations. Moreover, both are rarely used in
practice because of their computational difficulties.