Republic of the Philippines

Department of Education
Region IV-A CALABARZON
Division of Laguna
District of Alaminos
Alaminos Integrated National High School

The Probability of a Simple

Event
Lesson Plan in Mathematics 8

Prepared By:

PENKE M. BELEN
Math Teacher

Observed By:

HELEN M. MALABUYOC ADELINA F. TROPICALES

Mathematics Coordinator Head Teacher I

Approved By:

FAJILAGO F. SANTIAGO JR., E. Ed.

Principal III
I. OBJECTIVES

A. Content Standard:
The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of probability.

B. Performance Standard:
The learner is able to formulate and solve practical problems involving probability of simple events.

C. Learning Competency:
The learner finds the probability of a simple event. (M8GE-IVh-1)

Specific Objectives:
At the end of the lesson, the learner will be able to
1. Define what is probability of an event
2. Calculate the probability of an event
3. Appreciate the value of finding the probability of real life events

II. CONTENT
Defining probability and calculating the probability of a simple event using the formula.

III. LEARNING RESOURCES

A. References
1. Mathematics Learner’s Module pages 568 – 579
2. https://www.edb.gov.hk/attachment/en/edu-system/primary-secondary
B. Other Learning Resources
Printed activity sheets, die, coin, standard deck of cards, and a basket of fruits

IV. PROCEDURES
A. Daily Routine
1. Prayer
2. Greetings
3. Checking of attendance
B. Review
The learners will name the four counting methods and briefly describe how each method is
used to find the total number of outcomes in an experiment.
C. Motivation
The learners will answer the Activity 1 (Certain and Uncertain Events) individually but they can
discuss their answer with their seatmates. This activity will enable the learners to analyze that
for some events in everyday life, we are certain about the outcomes, and for other events we
are not so sure about the outcomes. Also, for some events we can control the outcomes, but for
other we cannot control the outcomes.

D. Presentation
1. The learners will answer the Activity 2 (More Likely) as a group. They will compare the
likelihood of the following pairs of events and draw a smiley face ( ) against the event
that is more likely to happen. At the end of the activity, the learners will be lead into
analyzation that for uncertain events, some events are more likely to happen and some
events are less likely to happen. We may use a number to represent the likelihood of an
event happening. This number is called the probability of the event.

2. The learners will do the Activity 3 (Experiments) as a group. This activity comprises three (3)
experiments.

Example
Experiment: Toss Me Up!

When we toss the coin, we may get “Head” or “Tail”.

There are two possible outcomes.
For event E, getting Heads is the favorable outcome.
The number of favorable outcomes is one.
The probability of the getting head, P(Head), is ________.

Experiment A. Draw a fruit from the basket

There are eight different fruits in the basket.

Event: Draw an apple from the basket.
The possible outcomes: _________________
 There are _____________ possible outcomes.
Favorable outcomes: _______________________________
Probability of the event, P(White): _______________

Experiment B. Throw a die

If the die is a fair die, you have an equal chance of getting any number from 1 to 6.
Event E: Throw the die and get an odd number.
The possible outcomes: _____________________________
There are _____________ possible outcomes.
Favorable outcomes: _______________________________
P(Odd): _______________

Experiment C. Draw a card from the standard deck.

A standard deck of playing cards consists of 52 cards.

Event F: Draw a Queen.
The possible outcomes: _____________________________
There are _____________ possible outcomes.
Favorable outcomes: _______________________________
P(Queen): _______________

E. Application
Your sock drawer is a mess. Twelve (12) black socks and six (6) white socks are mixed together.
What are the chances that, without looking, you pick out a white sock. What are the chances of
picking a black sock? Which color of sock has a higher chances to be picked? Why?

F. Generalization
The probability of an event is the number of favorable outcomes divided by the number
of possible outcomes.
The formula of probability of an event G:
number of favorable outcomes
P (G )=
number of possible outcomes
 The number of favorable outcomes must be greater than or equal to 0 and less than or
equal to the number of possible outcomes. For any event E, 0  P(H)  1.

G. Evaluation
Solve the following carefully, then write the correct answer on the space provided before each
number in your notebook.

_____ 1. Earl Darenz is asked to choose a day from a week. What is the probability of choosing
a day which starts with S.
_____ 2. Choosing a month from a year, what is the probability of selecting a month with 31
Days?
_____ 3. The sides of a cube are numbered 11 to 16. If Jan Renz rolled the cube once, what is
the probability of rolling a composite number?
_____ 4. What is the probability of getting an 8 from a deck of 52 cards?
_____ 5. Of the 45 students in a class, 25 are boys. If a student is selected at random for a field
trip, what is the probability of selecting a girl?

H. Assignment
The learner will answer the Activity (My Father Solved With Me) on page 577 of their Math
Book.
Activity 1: Certain and Uncertain Events
Direction: Study the following events. Put a tick (/) before the items for which you are certain about the result
and put a cross (x) before the items for which you are not certain about the result.

____1. The sun will rise in the east tomorrow.

____2. You will lose your cellphone this week.
____3. John will be sick tomorrow.
____4. In the Philippines, it will snow in March.
____5. The third person to leave the room will be a male.

Activity 2: More Likely

Direction: Compare the likelihood of following pairs of events and draw a smiley face ( ) against the event
that is more likely to happen.

1. Event A: You will get 98 marks or above in the coming math examination. ( )
Event B: You will pass the coming math examination. ( )
2. Event A: You will throw a dice and get an odd number. ( )
Event B: You will throw a dice and get a number 3. ( )
3. Event A: There will be a typhoon signal hoisted in August in the Philippines. ( )
Event B: There will be a typhoon signal hoisted in February in the Philippines. ( )
4. Event A: You will draw a king from a deck of playing cards. ( )
Event B: You will get a “Head” when you toss a coin. ( )

RUBRIC FOR SCORING DURING GROUP ACTIVITIES

The following three-point rubric will be used to evaluate group work during this lesson.

Three points: demonstrates a strong understanding of probability based on their participation in class, their
ability to complete the Classroom Activity Sheet, and their ability to apply the mathematical skill needed to
solve the problem.
Two points: demonstrates a moderate understanding of probability based on their participation in class, their
ability to complete the Classroom Activity Sheet, and their ability to apply the mathematical skill needed to
solve the problem.
One point: demonstrates a weak understanding of probability based on their participation in class, their ability
to complete the Classroom Activity Sheet, and their ability to apply the mathematical skill needed to solve the
problem.