Jazz Pharmaceuticals Investment Banking Pitch Book
Jazz Pharmaceuticals Investment Banking Pitch Book
Jazz Pharmaceuticals Investment Banking Pitch Book
Project Jaguar
Goldman Stanley
Executive Summary
▪ Over the past year, Jaguar’s share price has barely changed, falling by ~33% (~$50) and then rising by ~50% (~$50) to
its current level of $147.40 (there has also been little net change over the past ~3 years)
▪ At its current levels, Jaguar is undervalued relative to Comparable Public Companies and on an intrinsic, cash-flow
basis; Precedent Transactions and Premiums also imply a much higher share price
▪ Jaguar’s promising portfolio, pricing power, and market position could make it an attractive acquisition candidate and
allow it to achieve a significantly higher valuation in a deal
▪ Such a strategy would allow Jaguar to maximize shareholder value, expand its geographic reach and distribution
channels, and acquire more resources for future research & development and M&A activity
▪ Given Jaguar’s unique attributes, we believe a purchase premium between 20% and 35%, implying share prices
ranging from approximately $175 to $200, is possible
▪ We recommend a highly targeted process focused on the most likely (“Tier 1”) potential partners, along with an
outreach to Tier 2 potential partners while discussions with Tier 1 partners are ongoing
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Summary of Jaguar Valuation
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Operational Assumptions for Jaguar
Management Forecast Consensus Forecast
Terminal Value ▪ 2.5% Terminal Growth Rate ▪ 2.0% Terminal Growth Rate
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Management Case – Financial Projections
($ USD in Millions)
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Revenue Projections: Management vs. Consensus
($ USD in Billions)
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EBITDA Projections: Management vs. Consensus
($ USD in Billions)
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Valuation Summary – Management Case
($ USD in Dollars as Stated)
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Jaguar Comparable Public Companies
Specialty Pharmaceutical Companies That Sell Primarily Branded Drugs, with LTM Revenue Between $500 Million and $5 Billion
($ USD in Billions)
($ USD in Billions)
($ USD in Millions)
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Jaguar DCF Analysis – Free Cash Flow Projections
($ USD in Millions)
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Jaguar DCF Analysis – Sensitivities
($ USD in Dollars as Stated)
▪ Output from the sensitivities below is based on the Management forecasts for Jaguar
▪ Range of Discount Rates is based on a 10.13% median WACC of comparable public companies and a 9.76% median
WACC with Jaguar’s current capital structure; Terminal Multiples and Growth Rates are linked to comparables
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Summary Profile of Equity Shareholders
The company’s margins and growth rates exceed the median figures of its
“75th Percentile”
#1 peer companies, indicating that it should be valued in-line with the 75th
Valuation is Justified
percentile multiples
This price represents a 35%+ premium to Jaguar’s current share price; greater
#2 Goal: $200 / Share
upside might be possible with a highly complementary partner
Implied value is between $110 and $160 / share, but these projections do not
Discounted Cash Flow
#3 include possible synergies in an M&A deal and, as such, they likely undervalue
(DCF) Analysis
Jaguar
Premiums Paid Premiums Paid indicate a median implied share price of $180 – $200, with a
#4
Analysis 75th percentile implied share price in the $200 – $220 range
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Potential Strategic Partners
▪ Size, ability to pay, product/pipeline, and strategic fit should all be considered
▪ At $200 / share, Jaguar would be worth an Enterprise Value of nearly $15 billion; therefore, potential partners should be
able to drawn on this much Cash and Debt to fund the deal
▪ Both branded and generics companies should be considered, in light of recent M&A activity
Ability to Pay: ▪ Capable of paying at least $10-15 ▪ May have to issue Stock to fund
billion in Cash and Debt the full purchase price
Strategic Fit: ▪ Solid product and pipeline fit ▪ Solid product and pipeline fit
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Potential Strategic Partners
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Key Recommendations
▪ We recommend engaging in targeted discussions with the Tier 1 candidates and assessing their receptiveness to M&A
discussions
▪ At the same time, Goldman Stanley will reach out to Tier 2 candidates and introduce Jaguar as a potential partner
▪ M&A process with Tier 1 candidates will take significantly longer due to the size of the companies, so we recommend
conducting both processes simultaneously
▪ Depending on the responses from Tier 1 and Tier 2 candidates, Goldman Stanley and Jaguar may do additional
research to determine other potential partners and then approach them
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Process Recommendations
Specialized Targeted
Highly Targeted Broad M&A
Negotiations With Discussions +
Process Process Broad
One Party Broader Search
Marketing
RECOMMENDED
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