LPG Project 3 PDF
LPG Project 3 PDF
LPG Project 3 PDF
Prepared by
Antonette D’Sa and K.V.Narasimha Murthy
June 2004
Summary vi
1. Introduction 1
1.1 Background 1
1.2 Why LPG? 2
1.3 Objectives of this study 5
1.4 Methodology 6
3. Supply of LPG 22
3.1 Current availability of LPG in India 22
3.1.1 In country refining capacity 23
3.1.2 Imports 26
3.1.3 Transport 28
3.1.4 Storage and distribution infrastructure 32
3.1.5 Marketing 35
3.2 Supply-demand balances 38
3.2.1 Regional balances 38
3.2.2 Sensitivity to demand scenarios 39
3.2.3 Estimated increases in supply to meet projected
requirements 41
Annexes 56
Bibliography 75
Demand (Section 2)
The current (primary)1 cooking fuel use patterns (Census of India, 2001) reveal
that LPG is used by 33.6 million (or 17.5% of the total) homes. In urban areas, the most
commonly used fuel is LPG (47.96%), followed by firewood (22.74%), and kerosene
(19.16%). However, in rural areas, 90% of rural homes still depend on some traditional
form of biomass, with firewood by far, the most important fuel (64.10%), followed by
crop residues (13.10%), and cow-dung (12.80%). The use of LPG (5.67%) is now
increasing in importance. Factors like income, (urban/rural) location, and the availability
and price of alternatives appear to have affected the choice of fuels.
Based on estimates derived from the Census figures, the average annual rate of
increase of LPG-dependent households in the 1990s’ has been about 11.8% in urban and
6.8% in rural areas2. Corresponding to the increase in LPG dependence, the urban
proportion of homes dependent on firewood and kerosene has fallen. Urban families have
shifted away from these fuels to LPG, possibly because of the easier accessibility, lack of
other fuel options, and more regular cash incomes.
From the current country-wide average use per household, based on total sales,
and weights for rural and urban differences (based on National Sample Survey estimates),
we have found the annual LPG use to be about 101.4 kg/rural household and 119.3
kg/urban household. These estimates have been assumed for future demand estimation.
(The lower rural use could be due both to difficulties in obtaining fuel refills and to the
availability of biomass for back-up/supplementary use). At this level of use, the LPG
required for domestic cooking would rise from about 3.87 million tonnes (mmt) in 2000-
01 to 6.46 mmt in 2005-06 and 9.10 mt in 2010-11.
1
Some households use more than one fuel; these figures pertain to the main source.
2
There are even higher estimates of household adoption of LPG, based on point-to-point growth
rates obtaining from a comparison between specific rounds of the National Sample Survey (NSS,
2001).
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy vi
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
Apart from business-as-usual, enhanced-rural growth scenarios have been
projected, but these may not be practicable, considering the number of families living at
the subsistence level and unable to afford payment for fuel.
In addition, provision for other users must be included in the allocation of supply,
particularly the rapidly increasing use for automobile fuelling – by consumer choice in
the four-wheeler category and through a mandatory requirement in the three-wheeled
auto-rickshaw segment.
Supply (Section 3)
India’s indigenous production of LPG has not been able to keep pace with
increasing demand. Production rose from 2.150 mmt in 1990-91 to 7.273 in 2002-03, but
imports were required throughout the period. Of the total LPG supply in 2002-03, 4.903
mmt were from crude oil refineries, 2.370 mmt from natural gas, and 1.073 mmt (13% of
the total) were imported. With the average yields obtaining at present at Indian refineries,
LPG accounts for only 4.5% of the crude oil processed. Hence, in spite of the recent
discoveries of gas and the major refinery projects being undertaken, estimates from the
central Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas (MoP&NG) indicate a continuing shortage
of LPG, at least in the near future. By the year 2006-07, indigenous LPG production
would be 8.10 mmt, but total demand would be 11.48 mmt with current usage patterns
and 13.40 mmt, in a higher auto-fuel3 demand scenario. (Enhanced domestic demand
scenarios, like those our study, were not published).
Regarding the cost of imports, in recent years, the LPG import bill has amounted
to only 1.4%-3.4% of the net oil (POL)4 import bill, so that this source of supply has been
relied upon. However, the Asia–Pacific region has a shortage and dependence on the
Middle East that may not be strategically wise.
Even when available at the main ports and scattered refineries, LPG has to be
effectively transported, stored and distributed all over the country, if it has to be a viable
domestic fuel. Production is concentrated in the western region; pipeline capacity and
railway-tank-wagons are inadequate. There are also regional imbalances of demand and
supply that have to be addressed. Improvements are being made, but considering the
geographical spread of the country, the available infrastructure is still inadequate, for
example, the northern region has continually been a deficit area. More importantly,
although private distributors have entered the market, they have not extended services to
rural areas that seem to have been left a Public Sector concern.
The need for using cleaner fuels has already been established. However, numerous
challenges are faced when considering the increased use of LPG; these include ensuring
adequate supply and accessibility, increasing affordability, effective pricing policies, and
reaching the people now dependent on collected biomass.
3
Here, 20% of petrol (gasoline or motor spirit) would be replaced by LPG.
4
POL = petroleum, oil, and lubricants
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy vii
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
• Ensuring reliable supply and accessibility – The country needs not only additional
LPG production capacity, in the face of increased demand from the domestic and
auto-fuelling sectors, but also the development of adequate transportation (pipelines
and rail-tank-wagons), and storage installations. There has to be a reliable
distribution system running to local distributors even in rural areas, to prevent
refilling inconveniences that seem to counteract the advantages of using LPG.
• Increasing affordability – The economically disadvantaged face the problems of
high first costs of LPG (connection and equipment), and the lumpiness of relatively
high refilling bills, and loans are difficult to service without financial returns from the
investment.
• Appropriate pricing policies – These are a challenge, particularly because of the
subsidies already offered. The subsidies do not reach most of the poor as they are not
yet users of LPG, there is diversion of subsidised LPG from domestic to other uses,
and there is also a heavy burden on the central exchequer.
• Poverty issues – While the use of LPG is beneficial for health and the quality of life,
there is no direct impact on poverty alleviation without a link with income generation.
Further, questions regarding how the inherent benefits of LPG or other clean fuels can
be extended to the poor remain unanswered.
From the Deepam scheme implemented for households below the poverty line in
the state of Andhra Pradesh (in south-east India), one can get some more insights. For
example, although the scheme aimed at those below the poverty line, some of these
dropped out from it, while 80% of those above the specified income limit managed to be
included. Secondly, implementation bottlenecks -- limited choice, inability of suppliers
to supply equipment on time, co-ordination problems at the local level for the supply
arrangements, and irregular “commissions” for fuel refills -- contributed to dissatisfaction
among the recipients.
Provision of LPG
On the demand side, one would have to consider pricing (in particular, the
question of subsidies), financing options, and public awareness, and on the supply side,
security of supply, effective distribution/delivery, and regulation.
• Pricing issues
• Choice of LPG subsidies: With a subsidy provided for domestic users of LPG
even after the dismantling of the Administered Pricing Mechanism (APM),
any decisions regarding domestic LPG provision would have to begin with
pricing. Subsidy-options would also have to be decided upon – either on the
initial costs of connections/stoves, or on the fuel, through funds from cross-
subsidies or budgeted from the exchequer, and so on. Subsidising initial costs
helps to overcome the first-cost sensitive, and seems preferable to fuel (or
refill) subsidies because the latter could be diverted to other uses/users.
However, first-cost subsidies leave possibilities for dropouts from those who
cannot afford the fuel costs, resulting in “dead” investments.
• Operating (fuel) subsidies: If LPG refill subsidy is to be continued, some
precautions have to be taken:
• rationing/quotas (quantitative limits) for the subsidised fuel (as with
ration cards) and/or coupons (as with food stamps);
• differentiated containers (say, smaller cylinders, and/or cylinders
painted another colour) for specific purposes (as with subsidised
kerosene currently being coloured blue), to prevent use by those
outside the scope of the planned benefits;
• use-based subsidies (as with baseline tariffs for electricity) with
prices increasing with the level of consumption, thereby helping only
the minimum-level users and restricting “subsidy capture”.
• Cross subsidies from other distillates: This has been the Indian practice for
many years, but would need to be weighed against the disadvantages of higher
costs of transport (from higher priced auto-fuels).
• Funding of subsidies: The source of funds for the subsidies would have to be
one/more from among:
• LPG companies themselves - through a mandate of the government,
requiring the providers to sell below their costs, as in the present Indian
situation, but this has to be temporary or else there could be financial
disasters (as happened with the State Electricity Boards);
• Pricing of competing fuels: When evaluating the pricing of LPG, one has to
consider the relative prices of these fuels, and whether or not inter-fuel shifts
are desirable.
• Reducing/removing the subsidy on kerosene could make LPG relatively
cheaper, without a burden on the exchequer. (However, in the near term, or
as long as homes are not electrified, subsidies to kerosene have to merit
consideration because it is the source of lighting for about 43% of the
population).
• If the relative costs of LPG vis-à-vis other fuels were reckoned after
accounting for their calorific values and the efficiencies of the related
stoves; it can therefore be argued that LPG subsidies are not required.
• Direct cash benefits instead of subsidised fuel: There could be schemes through
which LPG is priced at its full cost, but targeted households get some pre-determined
compensation (as in the case of electricity for irrigation, in the state of Tamil Nadu).
This would avoid careless use of the fuel, while assisting the economically
disadvantaged. Such programmes would require funding from the government - with
transfer payments directly to the poor, but the better the targeting, the higher the
administrative costs. Also, earlier experiences with such below-BPL schemes have
not been very successful.
• Marketing (financing and packaging) schemes: Instalment payments for the cost of
connection and stove, and each fuel refill in much smaller containers (e.g. 2 – 5 kg,
instead of the regular 14.2 kg cylinders), will reduce the “lumpiness” of successive
cash outlays. (The latter option has been launched on a small scale by the three main
Public Sector distributors, but needs to be extended beyond limited areas).
While the government has to be involved, at least through its policies, in helping
to provide energy services to the economically disadvantaged, there has also to be a
suitable environment for the private sector to cater to those who can pay for their
needs. Subsidies will continue to be necessary for a while, but have to be applied
with care. Development assistance/grants – from aid agencies, etc. could help only
small fractions of the population; which means that the government and market forces
have to handle the rest and their extent and effectiveness have to be expanded to meet
current and growing needs.
Other options
1.1 Background:
Of the two billion people in the world currently dependent on biomass energy
(chiefly wood, and also dung and crop residues), some 700 million are estimated
to live in India alone (ESMAP, 2001). According to the Census of India, 2001,
about 91% of rural and 31% of urban5 homes depend chiefly on traditional fuels --
fuel-wood, animal and crop waste and charcoal -- for cooking.
Trends in household fuel use can also be viewed along an “energy ladder”,
from simple biomass fuels -- twigs/shrubs, dung, crop waste -- at the lowest
levels, to fuel-wood, charcoal, and kerosene, and finally to LPG and electricity.
The fuel-stove combinations become cleaner and more efficient, but also increase
in capital costs as the ladder is ascended (OTA, 1992). Therefore, as household
income increases, people are able to move up the energy ladder, affording
seemingly more expensive but more efficient sources of energy, if they are
accessible8.
5
“Urban” is defined by the Census of India as any place with a municipality, corporation,
cantonment board or notified town area committee, or one satisfying the following three criteria
simultaneously: (i) a minimum population of 5,000, (ii) at least 75% of the male working
population engaged in non-agricultural pursuits, and (iii) a density of population of at least 400
per km2.
6
Actually, forests have been cleared for other reasons such as expanding settlements, roads, etc.
7
Agenda 21 is a comprehensive plan of action of the UN Division for Sustainable Development;
originally adopted at the UN Conference on Environment and Development in 1992, its
implementation was reaffirmed at the World Summit on Sustainable Development in 2002.
8
The energy ladder concept has been proven in studies of specific areas, for example, for a
sample of households in the city of Bangalore India (Reddy, B.S., 1995, 1996a).
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 1
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
Unfortunately, while households around the world have moved to higher
quality rungs of the ladder, in developing countries9 many are still dependent on
fuel-wood or have been forced down by local wood shortage to crop residues or
even shrubs and grasses (UNDP, 1998). It therefore is pertinent to assess the
current use of various domestic cooking fuels and the possibility of shifting to
cleaner and more efficient options. One of these options is liquefied petroleum
gas (LPG)10.
9
The term “developing countries” is usually used for lower income countries that are members of
the G-77, and China.
10
Liquefied petroleum gas consists mainly of propane (C3H8) and butane (C4H10). Annexe 1
contains more technical details.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 2
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
Table 2: IPCC default (uncontrolled) emission factors for residential
fuel combustion (g/kg)
CO CH4 TNMOC* N2O
Gas1 2.0 0.2 0.2 0.005
Oil2 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.030
Wood 80.0 5.0 9.0 0.060
Charcoal 200.0 6.0 3.0 0.030
Dung/agricultural wastes3 68.0 4.0 8.0 0.050
Source: IPCC, 1997 (quoted in Smith et al., 2000b)
1. Determined using IPCC emission factors given for “Natural gas” and the net calorific
value given for “LPG”.
2. Determined using the IPCC emission factors given for “Oil” and the net calorific
value given for “Kerosene”.
3. Determined using the IPCC emission factors given for “Other Biomass and wastes”
and the average of the net calorific values given for “Dung” and “Agricultural
wastes”.
* Total non-methane organic compounds
There have been studies correlating fuel use and personal activity patterns
with health concerns, based on the use of biomass, and types of stoves, and in
particular, for specific parts of the country. For example, a sample study of
58,768 individuals in 10,265 rural households in 118 villages from 18 districts in
the north-Indian states of Uttar Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh and Rajasthan (Parikh,
et al., 2003) found correlation between the incidence of respiratory ailments and
the use of biomass-based fuels; the effects of health damaging pollutants through
the present cooking fuels was established, although this was exacerbated by
factors such as kitchen location and limited ventilation.
Among “cleaner” fuels, biogas, kerosene and LPG, the first depends on the
availability of cattle, and between the latter two, LPG has been found from
complete life-cycle environmental assessments (burden associated with the entire
product/package) to be a preferable option. A comparison was made between
kerosene and LPG (Jungbluth, 1995) in terms of the entire product/package, i.e.
on the basis of the total life-cycle impact from the extraction of crude oil and
natural gas, to processing in refineries and fractionating plants, product transport
and distribution, and finally cooking. For a majority of the indicators, it was
concluded that LPG had an ecological advantage over kerosene.
For the purpose of comparing the total costs of each alternative, we have
made a comparison (in Indian Rupees) of the annualised life-cycle costs (ALCC)11
of the commonly used stoves, at a discount rate of 12% per year. (In the case of
kerosene LPG, there is a difference in the price per unit between the administered
11
Annualised life-cycle cost = the annual equivalent value of the total costs incurred (initially and
during the working life of the equipment) = [Kx(CRF) + A], where K is the capital or initial
purchase cost, CRF = capital recovery factor = i÷[1-(1+i)-n], with i = interest or discount rate/year
and n = operating life of the equipment (in years), and A is the average annual operating cost =
the sum of fuel and maintenance costs. The costs that could result from adverse health effects
have not been considered.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 3
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
price at which refills are purchased through the Public Sector12 oil companies and
the market price; hence two options each have been considered). These ALCCs
include both the initial costs and the operating costs, the latter varying with the
amount of fuel required (dependent on the energy content of the fuel and the
efficiency with which it is used) and the prevailing prices of the fuel. (Annexe 3
shows the prices and efficiencies of stoves and the prices of each fuel used for the
computation).
Figure 1:
4000
3500 Maintenance
3000
2500 Fuel
2000
1500
1000 Capital
500
0
Wood- Wood- Kero- Kero- LPG- LPG- Electric
tradn impr. PDS market subs. market (regular
coil)
Types of stoves
LPG can therefore be recommended both for its higher efficiency and lower
environmental impact than the alternatives. The human labour avoided and time
saving achieved through convenient cooking fuels have not been imputed with a
value, but need to be considered too.
Demand estimation:
Current requirement -
As data are not available in the form required, some computation has to be
done (using assumptions where required) to obtain estimates of the relevant
variables.
The service-based energy-use of any category of users for any period can
be described as the product of two variables, namely, (1) the total number of users
(an indicator of the spread of, or access to, that energy source), and (2) the energy
requirement for each user during that period (an indicator of the magnitude of
energy required to enjoy the service derived from that energy source).
For (1) the number of households using LPG for cooking, there are several
numbers available, namely, the decennial Census of India (2001) and various
estimates based on the aggregate number of domestic connections served by the
main Public Sector Undertakings in the petroleum sector. The Census information
is being considered the most reliable and hence the year 2000-01 is being taken as
the base year for the estimation.
For (2), the average LPG requirement per household, we are dividing the
estimated total annual use by “domestic” connections, by the estimated number of
such domestic connections (through all the public sector and private
distributors)15. This is not strictly correct because “domestic” LPG is known to be
diverted to automobiles and even small industries and commercial establishments.
This can be taken as a proxy for the “requirement per home”, because the actual
requirement for cooking based on the food cooked at each meal and the number of
meals for which LPG was the cooking fuel (in cases where more than one fuel is
used), are difficult to obtain for the country as a whole.
For the base-year, the total LPG use M1 is therefore the product of n1, the
number of households using LPG, and m1, the average annual use per
household (as a proxy for the strict requirement based on actual heat used for a
specified level of cooking). Then:
n1 x m1 = M1
[number of households [specific annual fuel use] [total LPG
requirement]
(say, in thousands) (kg per household) (thousand kg or
tonnes)
15
As the question of privatisation of (or government “dis-investment” from) Public Sector
undertakings is currently being debated, oil corporations have not been forthcoming about details.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 6
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
It is important to avoid the “per capita” consumption figures usually
published, as these represent total use divided by the total number of homes in the
entire population and are therefore incorrect when applied only to LPG-using
homes.
In this case, future use of a particular fuel, is estimated on the basis of the
base-year data.
These growth rates gn and gm, could be based on past trends or on new
growth rates, g’n and g’m, depending on the policies likely to be implemented. For
example, if cleaner more efficient fuel use is to be encouraged in the domestic
sector, an increased growth rates of household LPG connections would be called
for, so that g’n > gn. (These rates of growth of consumers could vary over the
period considered).
Similarly, the average fuel use per consumer could also be expected to be
either constant, or change (increase/decrease). A focus on improved efficiency of
energy, say, through improved stoves, if possible, would result in lower fuel use
per household for the same level of energy service, i.e. m’k < mk. Even with
stove-efficiency constant, there could be changes in the average use because of the
level of services derived, for instance, where people shift from a
complementary/back-up fuel to using it for all their cooking/heating needs, the
requirement per household would increase, i.e. m’k > mk.
Simplifying the required steps from the above generalisation, one could
consider only two options for each variable -- number of households and fuel use
per household – in future scenarios:
The number of households would change over time either:
according to the current (business-as-usual) annual rate of growth gn, (leading to
nk), or
a new suggested rate of growth g’n (leading to nk).
The unit use per household, could:
continue at the current level, i.e. mk = m1 without any change (i.e. gm=0), or
change by some determined amount to m’k.
16
Ideally, at any point of time, one would have to consider, not merely an average fuel use per
consumer for the entire population, but several consumer segments, each with a particular usage
pattern.
Focus on consumer-population
Current New
growth rate growth rate
Current
End-use Unit user-development-
business-as-usual
(per consumer) Use focused
nk.mk
orientation n’k.mk
New use-intensity-
Unit altered user-& intensity-
Use altered
nk.m’k
n’k.m’k
Even without strictly working out growth rates in relation to a base-year, one
can consider scenarios with different proportions of the expected population
dependent on LPG for their main cooking requirements; one could also consider a
restriction (ceiling) on the dependence on LPG.
Supply assessment:
When assessing the possibility of meeting the requirement, one has to consider
both the quantity of LPG needs and the system for effective domestic delivery.
Quantity
Current production and the proposed refinery increases and production pattern
will give the estimated in-country supply; this includes production both directly
from natural gas and from distillation yield at refineries. To these one must add
imports; here there are problems of the country’s debt burden from the import bill,
depending on the international prices and currency exchange rates, and also on the
political situation.
Infrastructure
Challenges:
There are obvious problems regarding increased LPG use, particularly with
regard to accessibility – particularly in rural areas, affordability – of the initial
costs and fuel, and availability – in terms of the supply, transport, storage and
distribution network. These have to be looked at systematically, so that a solution
can be suggested to tackle each challenge.
Other experiences:
The experiences with (i) the expansion of LPG use in other countries and (ii)
LPG programmes in India are also being used to derive factors that would either
help or inhibit the successful implementation of LPG use programmes.
Suggested:
Finally, based on the situation described in the demand and supply sections,
the barriers to enhanced supply, and the lessons that could be learnt, suggestions
are being made regarding the policies through which the problems encountered
can be overcome.
Worldwide, the end-use demand for LPG has been as shown in Figure 3.
However, while half of all LPG used East of the Suez was consumed by the
residential-commercial sector in 1985, this use is expected to increase to about
60% by the year 2005 (Purvin and Gertz, 2000). Growth of the residential-
commercial sector LPG demand is also expected to vary from region to region,
varying from a barely positive growth rate in Europe to over 5% for Asia during
1999-2005. The largest growth rates in this category will be in China and India;
in 1985, 5% of the total world residential-commercial LPG consumption was in
these two countries, but by 2005, this consumption will rise to more than 20% of
17
Conversely, India’s dependence on petrol (gasoline or motor spirit) is one of the lowest in the
region.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 9
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
the world total. This would result in a deficit in the Asia Pacific region, further
necessitating imports from the Middle-east.
Figure 3: World-wide end-use demand for LPG - in the year 2000 and estimates for
the year 2005
0.6%
0.2% Firewood
0.4%
Crop residue
0.3% 22.7%
Cowdung cake
2.1%
Coal/lignite/charcoal
Kerosene
LPG
48.0% 2.0%
4.6% Electricity
19.2% Biogas
Any other
No cooking
0.2%
0.8%
0.5%
Firewood
1.6% 0.1% Crop residue
5.7%
1.1% Cowdung cake
12.8%
Coal/lignite/charcoal
Kerosene
LPG
13.1% Electricity
64.1%
Biogas
Any other
No cooking
0.3%
0.6%
0.4%
Firewood
0.2%
Crop residue
17.5%
Cowdung cake
6.5% Coal/lignite/charcoal
Kerosene
LPG
2.0% 52.5%
Electricity
9.8%
Biogas
10.0%
Any other
No cooking
The Census reveals that in the year 2001, there were 33.6 million or 17.5%
of the households in the country using LPG as their primary cooking fuel. These
comprised 7.845 million homes (or 5.67 % of the population) in rural areas and
25.752 million (or 47.96 % of the population) in urban areas. From the
information on individual states and union territories in the country, as shown in
Table 3, the dependence varied from over 50% in the (chiefly urban) union
territories to under 15% in the eastern states.
Table 3: State-wise use of LPG as fuel for cooking in the year 2000-01
Household income
The most recent information obtained is from the NSS 55th round
pertaining to the year 1999-2000. Figures 5a and b, based on NSS data (for 1993-
94 and 1999-2000), show the percentage of households dependent on each type of
cooking fuel in each expenditure decile of the sample.
18
The National Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO) is under the Ministry of Statistics and
Programme Implementation of the Government of India. Details about the Survey are included in
Annexe 5, part 6.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 13
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
Figure 5a: Historical progression of primary cooking fuel choice in rural
India (Comparison of 1993-94 and 1999-2000 NSS data)
The graphs indicate that as one proceeds upwards along the expenditure
(income) deciles, households shift to “better” (cleaner and more efficient) fuels.
Obviously, the top deciles consume a disproportionately higher share of these
better carriers than the poor. This could be because, as incomes rise, the
households’ capital resources also increase, so that they can more easily incur the
initial costs of more expensive energy carriers like LPG (for the stove,
connection). Further, with increasing income, the consumer discount rate falls as
consumers more easily forego present consumption in return for future earning.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 14
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
In other words, with lower consumer discount rates, future saving19 would have
relatively higher present values, so that seemingly more expensive options like
LPG would be more attractive. Studies on household energy use, for example, a
study on Bangalore city (Reddy, B.S., 1996), have verified this.
Availability
Location
The demand for LPG has historically been higher in the urban areas,
probably because the higher costs of refills vis-à-vis other fuels necessitates
higher cash incomes and also because the absence/shortage of biomass forces a
dependence on other fuels. Moreover, LPG is more easily available in urban
areas, as discussed above. However, the “switch” between fuels is often found to
be incomplete, as many households use more than one fuel, partly because of
differences between the tasks undertaken – the main meal versus supplementary
or additional heating. Further, although there appear to be more choices (wood,
kerosene, LPG, electricity), the gaps in and uncertainty of supply of each lead to
dependence on more than one source, with families storing and using more than
one fuel simultaneously as a risk mitigation strategy.
19
The present value of any saving S, derived k years from the present, at discount rate i% per year
= S÷(1+i)k
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 15
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
In contrast, in rural areas, the continued availability of some type of biomass --
branches, twigs, fronds, grasses, crop field waste, -- even if further away from
home, has not pushed households to other options. But here too, shifts to better
fuels do not eliminate the use of a traditional carrier, as users distinguish between
cooking of the main meals and other uses such as water heating.
Social factors
Historical progression
There have been perceptible shifts between over time away from fuelwood
and kerosene and towards LPG. As shown in the Figure 4 series above, the shifts
are evident even between the six-year period 1994-2000. In particular, during the
last two decades, the demand for LPG as a convenient fuel for cooking has been
increasing, to the extent of there being waiting lists of households seeking
“connections” (implying access to one/two cylinders of LPG at a time) from
distributing agencies. Thus the shifts shown in the Figures could have been
blunted by the lack of availability. The increasing demand for LPG has provided
a consumer base for private distributors who have been permitted into the market
in 1996.
However, it must be noted that the use of LPG through domestic connections
may not have been only for household use but also for cooking in commercial
establishments (hotels, etc.), for fuelling vehicles, and for small industrial units.
The estimated total number of consumers – domestic and others -- and their
corresponding use of LPG are shown in Table 4.
Table 4: Increase in India’s total LPG consumption and the number of consumers
and distributors
The NSS results can be used to verify this. Details from the 55th round
(1999-2000) on the reported average monthly household consumption of LPG
(shown in Table 5) indicate a cluster around 14.2 kilograms (one regular cylinder)
per month and another cluster around 7-8 kg (half a cylinder) per month; these are
equivalent to 170 kg and 85 kg per year, respectively. The averages from the
entire sample survey for rural and urban households were 11.3 kg per month
(135.6 kg/year) and 13.3 kg per month (159.6 kg/year), respectively.
Table 6a: Nominal monthly expenditure on LPG as primary cooking fuel in rural
India, (NSS) 1999-2000
Expenditure Amount spent Proportion of
decile (Rupees) expenses (%)
1 53 4.8
2 91 3.9
3 84 3.9
4 102 4.9
5 138 5.5
6 141 4.8
7 137 4.8
8 152 4.4
9 148 4.1
10 153 3.3
For future estimation of domestic LPG requirement, therefore, one needs the
true fuel requirement per household, based on efficiency of LPG-stoves and
cooking needs. However, cooking needs vary between families, in terms of
lifestyle patterns and the type of food cooked (depending on regional customs).
And, as indicated above, overestimation also occurs.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 18
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
Hence, the assumption is being made that the average annual
consumption20 per connection is equivalent to the annual requirement per
household, but this single average is being weighted between rural and urban
areas in the ratio of the average NSS-reported household use, i.e. 11.3 kg per
month and 13.3 kg per month, and the number of Census-reported LPG-dependent
households -- 7.845 million and 25.752 million, in rural and urban areas,
respectively. Correspondingly, the aggregate annual average of 115.12 kg is
being disaggregated into 101.4 kg for rural areas and 119.3 kg for urban areas.
Then, for the average LPG requirement per household, as a first approximation for
the base year 2001, we are using these estimates of average LPG use per
household in rural and urban areas. Therefore, for the reported LPG-using
households, the total requirement would be 0.795 million metric tonnes (mmt) in
rural areas and 3.072 mmt in urban areas, as shown in Table 7. Further this
represents 58.5% of the total use of 6.613 mmt of LPG reported (MoP&NG, 2003)
for that year.
(1) The total number of households in the country, in rural and urban areas, in any
particular year, has to be estimated by interpolating between the decennial Census
figures. Then, with the National Sample Survey (NSS) proportions of the
population using a particular fuel, and the estimated total number of households,
the relevant number of households using the fuel in that year can be obtained.
Thus, the number of LPG-using households for the NSS years 1993-94 and 1999-
2000 was estimated. These numbers are shown in Table 8.
Table 8: Estimated number of households using LPG in the years 1993-94 and 1999-
2000
(2) From the number of LPG-using homes so estimated21, the current (1999-2001)
average annual increase in users has been derived. These annual growth rates of
6.82% for rural areas and 11.75% for urban areas are being used for the business-
as-usual scenario.
21
As a means of verifying these estimates, the same method was used to estimate the number of
kerosene-using households, because apart from new households, the increase in LPG using-
households would involve a fuel shift from households that paid for another fuel. In addition,
those purchasing firewood also incur costs that could stimulate a changeover to the LPG option.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 20
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
the current increase in the number of LPG-using households would take the urban
dependence on LPG to around 90% of the projected number of households by the
year 2008. If one envisages that the urban dependence will not exceed 90%, the
rate of increase of households could, after that point, be reduced to the expected
population-determined increase of households (2.75% per year)22. Actually,
enough data has not been obtained to gauge the adoption curves and the relative
positions along it, so that annual-growth-rate based projections may not be
reasonable. However, with the current rates of LPG adoption, even in the year
2015-16, LPG would be used for cooking in only about 11.9% of rural homes.
For the country as a whole, LPG would account for about 36.4% of homes, with
the total requirement amounting to 10.8 mmt.
22
This was the average annual increase in the number of households in urban areas between 1991
and 2001; the corresponding rate for rural households was 1.66%. As a first approximation, these
rates are being projected for the estimation of the total number of households in the scenarios till
2016.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 21
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
be projected, but these would not be practicable without substantial increases in
household incomes.
3. Supply of LPG
Worldwide, the supplies of LPG are growing to meet demand. In 1985, world
supply was approximately 114 million tonnes; this is expected to increase to 240
million tonnes in 2005 (Purvin and Gertz, 2000), from enhanced processing of
natural gas and rising oil-refinery throughput. The growth in production of LPG
will probably outstrip that of most other oil products, since natural gas processing
– now the largest source of LPG -- is increasing more rapidly than crude oil
processing. Rising natural gas production will add to the amount of gas that is
processed and boost the supply of propane and butane. As markets develop,
reduced flaring of natural gas in many countries will also boost LPG supply;
Saudi Arabia and Nigeria, that flare gas the most, both plan to phase out the
practice (WB & WLPGA, 2002).
Production of LPG in India grew steadily during the 1990s, both from crude
oil refining and from increased natural gas processing (Table 11). Imports also
India’s total refining capacity for all petroleum products (as on 1.4.2002)
was 116.07 million metric tonnes per annum (mmtpa) (MoP&NG, 2003a). As
shown in Figure 6, there are currently 18 refineries in operation in the country (16
in Public Sector, one in joint sector, and one in private sector). Of the 16 Public
Sector refineries, seven are owned by Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOCL), two
by Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited (a subsidiary of IOCL), two by
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HPCL) and one each by Bharat
Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL), Kochi Refineries Limited (KRL) (a
subsidiary of BPCL), Bongaigaon Refinery & Petrochemicals Limited (BRPL) (a
subsidiary of IOCL), Numaligarh Refineries Limited (NRL) (a subsidiary of
BPCL) and Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited (ONGC). There is one
refinery Mangalore Refinery & Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL) in the joint
sector, (operated by HPCL), and one refinery in the private sector, at Jamnagar (in
the western state of Gujarat) belonging to Reliance Petroleum Limited (RPL).
Bhatinda
Digboi
Panipat
Mathura Bongaigaon
Numaligarh
Barauni
Guwahati
Bina
Koyali
Jamnagar Haldia
Mumbai
Vizag Paradeep
Existing
Under Construction/Proposed
Subsidiary Companies
Mangalore Chennai
Cuddalore
Cochin Narimanam
Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOCL) owns and operates seven refineries
in the country -- at Digboi, Guwahati, Barauni, (all the north east), Haldia (in the
east), Mathura and Panipat (in the north), and Gujarat (in the west) with a
combined installed capacity of 38.15 mmtpa; these achieved a total crude
throughput of 33.76 mmt (million metric tonnes) during 2001-2002. In addition,
its two subsidiaries, Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (with two refineries in
south India) and Bongaigaon Refinery and Petrochemicals Ltd. (with one refinery
in the north east), add another 9.35 mmtpa to its refining capacity.
Table 12: Average refinery yields of Indian refineries (based on 2001-02 production)
Apart from the production at oil refineries, LPG is extracted from natural
gas (as was indicated in Table 11). This is currently the source of almost a half of
the LPG produced in the country. LPG is now being extracted from natural gas at
Duliajan and Lakwa in Assam (in the north-east), Bijaipur in Madhya Pradesh
(central India), Hazira and Vaghodia in Gujarat, and Uran and Ussar in
Maharashtra (all in the west), Pata in Uttar Pradesh (in the north) and
Nagapattinam in Tamil Nadu (in the south). In addition, a new plant is being set
up at Gandhar in Gujarat by the Gas Authority of India Limited (GAIL) and this
will have the processing capacity of 0.207 mmtpa (MoP&NG, 2002).
Ideally, this study should project estimates of future supply of LPG from
the various potential sources described so far. However, these estimates would be
subject to several assumptions, as the plans of the main firms dealing with the
supply of LPG (and other petroleum products) are not providing information on
the basis of which such estimates could be drawn. This appears to be mainly due
to the fact that structural changes in the sector are on the anvil, particularly dis-
investment of governmental holding in these undertakings.
Import of crude oil was made duty-free with effect from 1st April 2001.
Further, the Government decided in May 2001 to allow public sector oil
companies to exercise the option to import their crude oil requirement directly,
under the “actual user licensing policy” or through the largest Public Sector
Undertaking (IOCL).
In order to improve oil security, the oil companies made efforts towards
diversification of crude oil sourcing during 2002-03. IOCL had term contracts
with the national oil companies of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Abu Dhabi, Malaysia,
Libya & Nigeria. In addition, IOCL had a term contract with the national oil
company of Iran for supply of crude oil to MRPL. The remaining requirement was
procured through tenders. BPCL entered into term contracts with the national
companies of Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia and Abu Dhabi to import crude oil
for its Mumbai refinery and KRL. Besides this, BPCL purchased crude oil of
Yemen, Egypt and some West African countries, on tender basis. BPCL is also in
the process of developing other sources of crude oil from countries like Angola
and Libya. For its Mumbai and Visakhapatnam refineries, HPCL entered into
term contracts during 2002-03 with the national oil companies of Saudi Arabia,
Abu Dhabi and Libya.
Import bill
Table 13: Importance of crude oil and petroleum product (POL) imports
Year Value of as a as a
imports of percentage of percentage
POL i.e. crude total imports of total
oil and (%) exports
petroleum (%)
products
(US$ million)
1970-71 180 8.3 8.8
However, thus far, LPG has not contributed greatly to the total crude oil
and petroleum product (POL) import bill. LPG accounted for between about 1.4%
and 3.4% of the net POL bill over the last four years (’99 –’03)23. (During the last
three years, India has been exporting petroleum products like naphtha, motor
spirit, diesel and fuel oil, so that we are now net exporters of petroleum products
as a whole; however, the increasing imports of crude oil contribute to the growing
net import bill). Hence, it can be proposed that India import LPG to the extent of
the deficit of requirement over indigenous production.
Further, for LPG, in particular, there can be price differences on the basis of
the size of shipments that influence the landed costs; the larger the shipment, the
lower the cost per unit. For example, in West African markets, the shipping cost
of a 1,000 tonne shipment is at least 30% more on a per tonne basis than a 2,000
tonne shipment and at least three times the cost per tonne of a 12,000 tonne
shipment (WB&WLPGA, 2001).
Ports
IOCL is a promoter of Petronet LNG Limited (PLL) along with the Oil
and Natural Gas Commission (ONGC), Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited
(BPCL) and Gas Authority of India Limited (GAIL). PLL is putting up terminals
at Dahej in Gujarat and Kochi in Kerala. The LPG import/export facility of the
joint venture Indian Oil Petronas Pvt. Ltd. at Haldia has been commissioned and is
terminalling LPG for public sector companies.
The existing infrastructure to receive imported crude oil and LPG are
given in Table 14. Although adequate for crude oil, the infrastructure at Indian
ports for LPG is inadequate to meet demand and is also not well dispersed. Over
75 per cent of indigenous LPG production comes from the sources located north
of Goa, and half the LPG import infrastructure is also located in that region. Due
to inadequate import facilities on the east coast, inland movement is required and
the costs are substantial.
3.1.3 Transport
Rail:
The Railways have been an important means of transportation, but the limiting
factor has been the availability of tank-wagons. Notwithstanding this fact, more
than 40% of the petroleum product transport is by rail. The available details are
listed in Table 15.
24
The average diesel used by trucks per tonne km of freight hauled in India has been 0.0341 litres,
whereas by rail it has been 0.0069 litres (Plan. Com., GoI, 1991)
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 28
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
Table 15: Estimated movement of petroleum products through the Railways
The rail share of total petroleum product transport may, however, fall in
the years to come due to withdrawal of budgetary support. To overcome the
shortage of tank-wagons, especially for transportation of LPG, oil companies have
been financing railways under the "Own your tank-wagon scheme". The
Railways offer a rebate in freight with respect to products moved through tank-
wagons owned by oil companies. Since the depreciation on tank-wagons is
compensated for under the administered pricing mechanism (APM)25, oil
companies surrender the rebate so received to the Oil Coordination Committee
(OCC).
Pipelines:
Table 16: Indian petroleum product pipeline capacities (in mmtpa), as on 1st April
2002
25
The APM is explained in Annexe 4.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 29
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
East coast - 3 6.70 1 1.40 4 8.10
inland
Others 5 8.15 5 6.02 10 14.17
(i) Pipelines originating from refineries, whether coastal or inland, till a distance
of 300 kilometres from the refinery,
(ii) pipelines dedicated to supplying product to particular consumer, originating
either from a refinery or from the oil company’s terminal, and
(iii) pipelines originating from ports and pipelines originating from refineries
exceeding 300 km in length, other than those specified in (i) & (ii) above.
As per the guidelines, companies and investors will have complete freedom in
respect of the pipelines originating from refineries or meant for captive use of
companies for which ROU will be unconditional.
However, for pipelines exceeding 300 km in length and those originating from a
port location, grant of ROU will be subject to fulfilment of certain conditions27.
Figure 7 indicates the location of crude oil and product pipelines in India.
Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOCL) has the country’s largest network, with a
combined length of 6,523 kms and a capacity of 43.45 mmtpa. IOCL’s pipelines
carried 40.36 mmt during 2001-2002. Petronet India Limited (PIL) a private
26
Vide notification F.No. P-20012/5/99-PP dated 20.11.2002
27
Some of these conditions are:
- Oil companies/investors interested in laying a product pipeline originating from a refinery or a
port would be required to publish the proposal inviting other interested companies to take capacity
in the pipeline.
- Any oil company interested in sharing the capacity of the pipeline, will be able to do so on
mutually agreed commercial terms and conditions. The proposer would then provide capacity for
such interested party also.
- The proposer company applying for the grant of ROU in land would need to provide at least
25% extra capacity for others.
- The pipeline will be owned and operated by the proposer company.
- The pipeline tariff will be subject to the control orders or the regulations that may be issued by
the Government under the appropriate law in force.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 30
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
company, has so far implemented the Vadinar - Kandla pipeline and the Kochi -
Kurur pipeline projects. The Mangalore – Bangalore pipeline project (in the state
of Karnataka) is at an advanced stage of implementation.
Jalandhar
Bhatinda
Saharanpur
Meerut
Panipat Nahorkatiya
Delhi Tinsukia
Bongaigaon
Mathura Siliguri
Jodhpur Tundla Lucknow
Digboi
Chaksu Barauni Guwahati
Kot Kanpur
Sidhpur
Kandla Ahmedabad
Karur
Kochi Madurai
However, the investment required may have hindered pipeline expansion, for
example, Gas Authority of India Limited (GAIL)’s 1,246 km LPG pipeline from
Kandla to Loni is estimated to cost Rs 12.295 billion (US$ 273 million), including
a foreign exchange component of Rs 3.867 billion. Acknowledging the
importance of creation of a pipeline grid, the Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas
(MoP&NG) of the Government of India has recently approved the setting up of an
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 31
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
apex holding company28 which will co-promote specific pipeline joint venture
companies (JVCs) to implement discrete sections of the grid.
Port traffic:
Road:
Tankage
India usually has total storage capacity of about 16 days’ supply of LPG,
as shown in Table 17. Details on tankage of the industry are available for 1995
when the total tankage (all products’) capacity stood at 10.75 mmt.
28
The holding company will be a non-governmental company in which the main public sector
companies IOCL, BPCL, and HPCL will hold 16% each and IBP will hold 2%. The remaining
50% will be offered to private sector oil companies and financial institutions. The holding
company shall subscribe to 26% of equity in each of the JVCs, 48% shall be offered to the public
and the remaining 26% shall be subscribed to by oil PSUs, financial institutions and private sector
oil companies.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 32
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
The Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas (MoP&NG) intends
construction of an additional 530,000 tonnes capacity. For example, HPCL has
construction in progress for additional product tankage and allied facilities at
Pedapalli, Hassan and Irumpanam, in southern India.
Containers
To meet the growing demand for LPG, the country is looking at quicker
ways of distributing imports. LPG is usually imported in large tankers and
unloaded into onshore storage tanks at ports. However, as India has only a few
ports large enough to berth modern LPG tankers, there remains the problem of
conveying LPG from theses few ports to the bottling plants at various locations.
Southern and eastern India – with an LPG deficit and therefore dependent
on imports – will benefit the most. Thus far, only Haldia (in West Bengal in
eastern India) and Vishakapatnam (in Andhra Pradesh, south-eastern India) have
facilities to berth regular LPG tankers, and these cannot economically supply the
southern peninsula region. Through this proposed container option, the expensive
option of constructing a large port along the southern part of the peninsula is
avoided and the existing smaller ports (such as Tuticorin, Tamil Nadu and
Kakinada, Andhra Pradesh, both on the south-eastern coast) can be utilised. The
risk will also be lower as transfer from mother to daughter vessels will take place
further from the shore.
29
Each LPG cylinder marketed by the public and the private sectors is supposed to carry its
complete details including serial number, tare and gross weight, water capacity, ISI approval
monogram, test dates, manufacturer’s identification and year of manufacture. The cylinders have
to be manufactured only by the approved manufacturers, under the supervision of BIS inspectors
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 33
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
are meant for industrial and commercial customers, domestic consumers are
provided with the 14.2 kg cylinders and now 5 kg for low-income urban, as well
as semi-urban and rural homes.
Special facilities are needed to pack LPG in cylinders and LPG bottling
plants have been set up near the markets to facilitate the return of empty cylinders
and re-fuelling. It may be noted that manual bottling and distribution in small
carriers is cost-effective in developing countries, hence one can ignore the
economies of scale in bulk handling and distribution. However, safety standards
and reliability may not be as good as with automated filling plants.
The initial cost of new bottling plants is about Rs 2,600 (US$ 57.8) per
tonne per annum (tpa) capacity, with a plant of 70,000 tpa having been built at Rs
180 million (US$ 4 million) (MoP&NG, 2003, Section 3.7.2) and another of
138,000 tpa, at Rs 360 million (US$ 8 million) (MoP&NG, 2003, Section 4.2.2.1).
Regional distribution
There are arrangements between the organisations IOCL, HPCL and BPCL for
sharing infrastructure like depots, terminals and bottling plants. For instance,
HPCL is expanding its facilities at Loni so that BPCL does not have to invest in a
new plant of its own there and BPCL is sharing its facilities at Manmad with
HPCL.
Private players – Sri Shakthi, Caltex-SPIC and Mobil -- have a strong foothold
in the distribution market in the region, possibly due to inadequate supply from
the existing organisations. However, HPCL has a unique 60,000 million tonne
underground cavern storage facility at Vishakapatnam.
This has so far been a region of relatively low demand, so that distribution
facilities are not increasing as in the other regions.
and are painted with a signal red colour; those from BPCL have a yellow ring around the bung,
those from HPCL a blue ring, and those from IOCL are fully red.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 34
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
3.1.5 Marketing
Union Territories
Andaman & Nicobar 2
Chandigarh 30
Dadra & Nagar Haveli 1
Daman & Diu 2
Lakshadweep 2
Pondicherry 12
TOTAL 7,910
Union Territories
Andaman & Nicobar 32
Chandigarh 279
Dadra & Nagar Haveli 20
Daman & Diu 22
Lakshadweep 3
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 36
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
Pondicherry 173
TOTAL 69,805
Source: MoP&NG, 2003c
IOCL has an extensive network of over 22,000 sales points backed for
supplies by 182 bulk storage points, and 78 LPG bottling plants. During the year
2002, IOCL has launched compact 5 kg cylinders for the benefit of the people in
rural and hilly areas.
During the year 2001-02, HPCL commissioned 178 retail outlets and 210
LPG distributorships and released 17.42 lakh new LPG connections. HPCL has
also introduced 5 kg cylinders in the states of Punjab, Uttar Pradesh and Jammu &
Kashmir, in the month of August ’02. One LPG bottling plant of 44-mmtpa
capacity at Kota, Rajasthan, and capacity augmentation of six existing plants (at
Kondapally, Mysore, Palghat, Gummudipundi, Unnao, and Jamshedpur) by a total
of 138 mmtpa, have been completed during 2002-’03 (till September ’02).
Construction work for the augmentation of an additional four LPG bottling plants
by a total capacity of 142 mmtpa is in progress and scheduled to be completed
during 2003.
HPCL now has a scheme called rasoi ghar (kitchen) for communal use of
LPG stoves in villages. Individual households would not have to invest on stoves
or pay a connection deposit, as with personal connections, but would have only to
pay for the use of the fuel and the facility, on the basis of the duration of usage. In
order to identify all the factors that can influence the effective operation of
HPCL’s rasoi ghar and to develop a viable model, a pilot project was taken up at
village Agwan, Tal Palghar, in Thane district (Maharashtra state). Accordingly,
the idea of a community kitchen was mooted to the panchayat of the village. The
pilot project was commissioned on 17.8.2002. Till November 2002, 49
community kitchens had been established in various parts of the country.
During the year 2001-02, BPCL commissioned 140 new retail outlets, 17
kerosene dealerships and 313 new LPG distributorships, and released 15.68 lakh
new LPG connections. In August 2002, BPCL has launched 5 kg cylinders at 33
selected rural markets in the State of Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu,
Punjab, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, & West Bengal.
In order to reach far-flung rural customers, BPCL had introduced the Rural
Mobile Vehicle (RMV), in 1999, in the state of Punjab. Encouraged by this novel
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 37
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
method of reaching rural customers, BPCL has introduced 20 RMVs during the
year 2002-03.
Costs of LPG
The northern region, consisting of the states of Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal
Pradesh, Haryana, Punjab, Delhi, Chandigarh, Uttaranchal, Uttar Pradesh and
Madhya Pradesh, consumes about 1.94 mmtpa or 33% of the country’s total LPG
use.
This has been a petroleum product deficit area (Indiainfoline, 2002). The
Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL)’s Mathura and Panipat refineries together
contribute about 0.5 mmtpa, and Gas Authority of India Limited (GAIL) supplies
LPG from its gas fractioning plants at Auraiya (0.3 mmtpa) and Vijaypur (0.4
mmtpa), with the balance met from the western region (including imports).
However, it is expected that the situation will be remedied in future through
increased transport from the western region via a cross-country pipeline and also
with the completion of new refineries. Hindustan Petroleum Corporation (HPCL)
is setting up a 9 mmtpa refinery at Bhatinda, while Bharat Petroleum Corporation
(BPCL) is due to construct a 7 mmtpa refinery at Bina and another 7 mmtpa
refinery in Lucknow.
The western region, comprising Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra and Goa, uses
about 1.77 mmtpa or 30% of the country’s consumption. However, this region
may have a surplus capacity with the commissioning of Reliance Petrochemical
Limited (RPL)’s 27mmtpa refinery, apart from the existing refineries of the three
main corporations, IOCL, HPCL and BPCL (Indiainfoline, 2002).
The southern region that includes Karnataka, Kerala, Andhra Pradesh and Tamil
Nadu, consumes about 1.47 mmtpa (or 25% of the country’s LPG use). The
public sector companies HPCL, Cochin Refineries Limited (CRL), Madras
Refineries Limited (MRL), and Mangalore Refineries and Petroleum Limited
(MRPL) together supply about 0.8 mmtpa. This total will increase with MRPL’s
expanded capacity (6 mmtpa) and the proposed expansion of HPCL’s
Vishakapatnam refinery (by 3 mmtpa). The private Nagarjuna Oil Corporation
has recently commissioned a 6 mmtpa refinery.
The eastern region comprises the states of Bihar, Jharkand, West Bengal, Orissa,
Chattisgarh, Sikkim, Assam, Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur,
Tripura and Mizoram. It currently accounts for only about 0.67 mmtpa or 12% of
the country’s LPG consumption. This requirement is met mostly through the
refineries of the IOCL, although the port facilities of Haldia (in West Bengal) are
used for imports. At present, the geographical spread together with the low per
capita incomes in most areas make it unattractive except in the few cities (chiefly
Kolkata).
As indicated in several studies (some of which are quoted below), the current
shortage of LPG supply vis-à-vis demand is likely to worsen. The estimated LPG
In addition, LPG is being increasingly used for auto fuel use (legalised
since 24th April 2001)30. This will be a competing source of demand on the
already insufficient supply, as indicated in the Ministry’s Scenario 2, shown in
Table 21(a).
The estimates in our study deal with only the domestic demand, but even
the business-as-usual domestic requirement of 9.1 mmt and 10.8 mmt in the years
2010-11 and 2015-16, could exceed indigenous supply. Given that the domestic
requirement accounted for only 58.5% in the base year 2001 and the use of LPG
for fuelling cars and auto-rickshaws has been increasing rapidly, the total demand-
supply gap would be even higher.
30
LPG use for automobiles is not only legal, but even mandatory for use in some cases (e.g. auto-
rickshaws in certain parts of the country).
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 40
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
3.2.3 Estimated increases in supply to meet projected requirements
The supply estimates listed thus far have not considered the recent results
of new exploration and the proposals of increasing LPG production by both
private and public sector organisations. If these proposals fructify, increased
delivery to currently under-supplied areas could be possible.
The costs of new refinery capacity are high31. For instance, the total
investment for the 27 million metric tonnes per annum (mmtpa) plant at Jamnagar,
(in the state of Gujarat, in western India) was reported to be US$ 6 billion32 (Rs
288 billion in 2002), and LPG constitutes a relatively small fraction of potential
refinery output (as shown in Table 12).
Supply issues:
31
These are not disclosed by oil companies for strategic reasons; only the costs of a few projects
indicated in other contexts are mentioned in reports or news items.
32
This plant of Reliance Petroleum Limited boasts the world’s largest polypropylene complex
(0.6 mmtpa), largest fluid catalytic cracking unit, delayed coking plant and paraxylene complex
(1.4 mmtpa), and also estimates its cost at 30-40% lower on a per-tonne basis, than recent
refineries built in Asia (RPL, 2000).
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 41
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
• Present supply shortage: As indicated in Tables 21(a) to (c), LPG is in
short supply even at the present requirement. Growing domestic
consumption would lead to an ever-increasing imbalance.
• Competing demands: There are likely to be further problems of supply if
LPG is used increasingly for automobile fuelling – both because of four-
wheelers (private vehicles and taxis) being converted and due to
mandatory norms requiring the use of LPG, as in the case of three-
wheelers (auto-rickshaws).
• Indigenous production: The costs of new production infrastructure --
refinery capacity and gas fractionation, and bottling units – are already
high (as indicated in Section 3.1) and would be difficult to recover with the
current price structure.
• Imports: More importantly, the Asia Pacific region will have a sizeable
deficit in the supply of LPG that would have to be met by importing from
the middle-eastern countries, any interruption in the Arab Gulf region may
lead to disruption in physical supplies and price risks.
Distribution/delivery issues:
• Infrastructure: The existing infrastructure at Indian ports for LPG is
inadequate to meet present demand. Also, over 75 per cent of indigenous
LPG production is from the western region, and half the LPG import
infrastructure is also located there. Due to inadequate import facilities on
the east coast, inland movement is required and the costs are substantial.
Internationally, pipelines are the preferred mode of transport, but in India
only around 32% of such transport is through pipelines. Due to non-
availability of tank-wagons, 30% of oil product movement is undertaken
by road, which is not only hazardous and polluting but also involves 15 to
20 times the specific energy use as through pipelines and 5 times the
energy use by rail.
• Consumer problems: Currently, vast (rural) areas of the country are
located far from distribution centres, so that users have to pay for the extra
costs of cylinder supply. Moreover, for small and remote markets, refills
often take more than a week, so that for those without a second cylinder
there are gaps in fuel supply, requiring a standby fuel also. (And, signing
up for a second cylinder obviously increases the deposit cost, precluding
lower income households from investing).
• Distributor problems: For LPG dealers considering rural markets, the
small number of purchasers and low rate of consumption (and refills) lead
to poor economies of scale, that, along with poor road infrastructure make
it difficult to establish commercially viable distribution networks.
• Safety: LPG delivery (as in the case of other pressurised or gaseous fuels)
involves cylinder management; this necessitates more careful transport
than kerosene or firewood that in turn imposes additional requirements on
prospective dealers.
A lack of awareness about the effects on health and the relative thermal
efficiency of alternative fuels could hinder people from making the effort to obtain
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 42
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
cleaner and more efficient fuels, even without financial hurdles. However, the
problem of affordability affects the households’ decision in several ways.
33
New cylinders of 5 kg or less are not available in most places.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 43
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
Liberalisation is supposed to have taken root in the petroleum sector with
several policy changes: in 1987, private participation was allowed in joint
venture refining, in 1993, parallel marketing was allowed for LPG and
kerosene, to attract the private sector into distribution and thereby increase the
availability of the products, in 1998, phased dismantling of the Administered
Pricing Mechanism (APM) was initiated and in 2002, the APM was
dismantled. When decontrol measures were initiated, retention pricing for
refineries was abolished. But controls on the prices of 5 products (motor
spirit, diesel, aviation turbine fuel, kerosene, and LPG) that contribute 70% of
the volumes, were retained, while subsidies on LPG and kerosene were limited
to 15% and 33% of import parity prices. (Tariffs on crude and petroleum
products were reduced to 0-5% and 15% respectively).
The kerosene and LPG segments still enjoy subsidies; these subsidies were
scheduled to be reduced substantially by the time of downstream petroleum
sector deregulation in April 2002. However, what happened was that in the
fiscal year (April to March) 2002-03, these subsidies that had previously been
managed through cross-subsidies from other petroleum products using the Oil
Pool Account, were for the first time made explicit in the national Budget.
The Ministry of Finance allocated Rs 45 billion (approximately US$ 1 billion
in December 2003) for LPG and kerosene; due to the rising international
prices, the actual subsidy worked out to Rs 100 billion, of which the
Government paid Rs 63 billion (Business Standard, 2003). With the retail
prices fixed34, and the costs higher than expected, there was a shortfall that
had to be met by the four main state oil companies35. For example, based on
the international price of US$ 230/tonne (April 2003), the cost of LPG is Rs
80/cylinder higher than the permitted retail price to the domestic sector, but
the subsidy provides only 56% (Rs 45.17) of it (Gupta, 2003).
• Subsidies for fuel reduce the incentive for efficient use – By lowering
end-use prices, they reduce the users’ incentive to conserve or use energy
more efficiently, and if not reimbursed to producers, they reduce their
incentive and ability to invest in new infrastructure/technology.
34
Prices were raised on 16th June 2004, since this report was prepared.
35
An additional problem has recently arisen. The Finance Ministry has proposed that private
LPG distributors be given the same subsidy for domestic sales as the Public sector companies
(Business Line, 2004a), but the retail price restriction for them has not been specified, which is
likely to lead to further problems.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 44
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
• Misuse of subsidies – Even though subsidies for refills are provided for
domestic connections, domestic cylinders are often diverted to running
vehicles. The average use calculated on the basis of the total quantity of
LPG in some areas, divided by the number of domestic connections works
out to over 200kg per connection per year; this is too high for cooking and
indicates an obvious diversion to other uses.
• Subsidies to LPG users for fuel purchase not justifiable – The usual
justification for subsidies (sunrise industry protection, increased
employment, access for the poor, redistribution of income, etc.) cannot
apply in general, but only to specific categories of consumers. (Perhaps
one could justify subsidies for increased access to a “cleaner” fuel or
avoidance of other inefficient/polluting fuel options?)
• Subsidies garnered chiefly by the urban rich - This is obvious from the
residential descriptions of consumers and also from specific studies. It has
been estimated that three-quarters of the LPG subsidy went to urban
households in 1999-2000, four-fifths of whom were in the top half of the
population, expenditure-wise36. For example, a study of a sample of
homes in the city of Hyderabad indicated that 90% of the urban rich were
utilising the subsidy meant for domestic LPG (UNDP&ESMAP, 2003).
Even if lower-income households are able to benefit from LPG through
subsidies, the relative financial value to them is relatively small as their
consumption is generally modest.
• Would improved cooking fuels benefit the poor less than the others? It
has been observed in the past that rural electrification has benefited people
36
In economic parlance, this is the problem of “inclusion”.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 45
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
with higher income rather than lower income37. The explanation seems
straightforward as only those with sufficient resources for the initial
investment in the connection and the energy-using equipment will be in a
position to benefit from electricity or any energy supply (Jechoutek, 1992).
The same is likely to be observed with modern sources of fuel for cooking
such as LPG, where the poorest households are unable to afford even the
subsidised rates. Thus far, the “middle” and “upper” classes on the income
ladder have benefited the most, and, on the energy ladder, kerosene is
being replaced by LPG, but not “free” biomass. It seems unlikely that the
poor would leapfrog the lower rungs of the ladder unless “free” biomass is
no longer available, hence the drudgery of fuel collection and traditional
stove tending for the poorest has not been reduced.
• Other cooking fuel options? For the poorest people who cannot afford (to
purchase) LPG (or any other fuels), there obviously need to be options like
more efficient biomass-based stoves, but appropriate strategies for this that
are not being discussed in this report.
Indonesia: LPG for domestic use has been subsidised, but kerosene subsidies are
even higher, which undermines the competitiveness of LPG (WB&WLPGA,
2002).
West African region: 60% of the LPG consumption in this region is concentrated
in four countries -- Cameroon, Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana, and Senegal, where demand
has grown significantly during the 1990s. (The use of LPG in the other countries
of the region is considerably lower). Factors that have contributed to the increase
in demand in the case of Senegal, where the highest growth has been recorded,
include subsidised LPG to small cylinders39 (of 6 kg each), helpful for low-
income households, and also new participants in the market who have adopted
aggressive marketing strategies (WB&WLPGA, 2002). In both Senegal and Côte
d’Ivoire, price subsidies available to small cylinders have not been extended to
larger bottles, emphasizing the assistance to lower income households (WLPGA
& UNDP, 2002).
The Philippines: The opening of the market in 1996 encouraged several oil
companies to invest there. Since 1997, more than 100 bottling plants have been
built and demand, almost entirely for the household sector, has risen by about
40% (WB&WLPGA, 2002).
China: In the People’s Republic of China, the shift up the energy ladder from
biomass-based fuels to LPG was spurred on by the restrictions on the supply of
kerosene (UNDP et al., 2000, Chapter 10). With liberalisation of the market, a
number of international oil companies have established distribution and marketing
operations, as joint ventures with the Chinese (WB&WLPGA, 2002).
39
Retail prices ranged (in 2000) from US$ 336/tonne to US$ 652/tonne.
40
Price ceilings were reintroduced temporarily between June 1999 and March 2001 in response to
a surge in import costs (WLPGA, 2002).
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 47
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
From the experiences summarised in this Section, the following factors
appear to have helped extend the domestic use of LPG (including lower income
households):
• Lower prices of LPG through cross subsidies from other distillates,
(particularly gasoline),
• favourable relative prices of LPG (in relation to competing fuels like
kerosene)
• initial cost financing (instalment payments for the purchase of stove and
cylinder deposit),
• smaller cylinders/bottles to target (lower income) households through
lower periodic/incremental refuelling bills
• special subsidies to these smaller cylinders/bottles – intended for lower
income groups
• restriction on the supply of competing fuels (e.g. kerosene)
• dependable distribution (reliable and more storage, bottling and refuelling
units)
41
The Poverty Line is defined in terms of the cost of a certain basket of goods, in particular, a
specified level of calorie intake per capita in urban and rural areas in each state.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 48
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
• The scheme was not very efficacious, because although all white-card holders
participated, over 80% of non-white card-holders in the region also did42!
• The retention rate was down to 85% in less than three years, in a sample of 52
villages and 18 municipal wards, because of cylinders having been given away
to relatives (including dowry to daughters), and being lent (!) to civil servants
in local areas (NIRD, 2002).
• Factors affecting the refill rate were: distance from distribution points, and the
season i.e., there is higher demand during the monsoons.
• (Participants’) perceived advantages of LPG were: timesaving, social status,
cleaner environment, and help during the monsoons. LPG was found useful
chiefly during the rainy season because of more employment (implying more
cash available for refuelling), more labour demand (and therefore less time for
firewood collection) and moisture making collection and preservation of
biomass difficult. (The scheme itself was considered attractive because of the
initial fee waiver).
• However, the perceived disadvantages were: implementation bottlenecks,
reduction in kerosene quota (in municipal areas), high refill costs (including
illegal commissions) of refills, and unwanted envy of non-beneficiaries.
Implementation bottlenecks within the scheme that contributed to
dissatisfaction included: limited choice, inability of suppliers to supply stoves
and accessories on time, co-ordination problems at the local level for the
supply arrangements, and irregularities with beneficiaries also having to incur
Rs 5 – 30 extra, per cylinder, for collection/delivery.
• Suggestions from local self help groups (SHGs) for improvement include:
credit for refills and reduction in cylinder size (reducing cash outflow per refill
although the cost/kg would increase).
• Most importantly, the fuel use pattern of Deepam beneficiaries has not
changed as much as intended: Wood remains the dominant fuel (for the main
meals), while LPG is used for additional cooking (tea, guests, etc.); crop
residues the third most important source, and kerosene the fourth -- used for
igniting the fire or in urban areas. LPG (average) use in these areas =
3kg/family/month and does not increase with the number of family members
and/or wage earners.
42
Further, some “white-card holders” do not appear to be BPL, but that is a separate issue.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 49
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
6.1 Choice of fuels
The advantages of LPG over the traditional biomass-based fuels are numerous
– reduced pollution and thereby improved health, reduced/avoided deforestation
and ecological damage, improved efficiency and reduced cooking time, and
reduced fuel collection time and effort. However, factors like the beneficial (or
reduction of harmful) effects on health are not being quantified or even included
in the households’ consideration (as it appears in the survey of households of the
Deepam scheme). Hence, that it would need some intervention or public
awareness drive to insert the “clean” fuel factor into the reckoning. Only obvious
cause-effect sequences like polluted water causing illnesses push people to pay for
alternatives (IEI, 2003).
If the goal is to address the difficulty of obtaining fuel in rural areas where
biomass supply is getting scarce, then LPG promotion remains a worthwhile
strategy; further, with reduced demand for biomass from those able to shift to
another fuel, those still dependent on biomass for economic reasons, would be
helped.
However, the comparison need not necessarily be only with traditional fuels.
A study was made (CBA Energy Institute, 1996) chiefly for the comparison of
LPG with natural gas, but also for issues of urban air quality, etc, in Mexico, as
well as Brazil, China, and India. As LPG infrastructure can be more quickly
deployed and because LPG would be an improvement over wood and coal,
opportunities for increased LPG use were perceived.
In view of the problems faced in the country (in Section 4) and the
experiences elsewhere (in Section 5), the following issues would have to be
considered when drawing up policies for the provision/delivery of LPG.
On the demand side, one would have to consider pricing (in particular, the
question of subsidies), financing options, and public awareness, and on the supply
side, security of supply, effective distribution/delivery, and regulation.
Demand issues
6.2.1 Pricing
• Choice of LPG subsidies: Choices have to be made from among the many
subsidy-options – either on the initial costs of connections/stoves, or on the
fuel, and either cross-subsidies or budgeted from the exchequer. In particular,
the following aspects should be considered:
o Cross subsidies from other distillates – This has been the Indian practice
for many years, but would need to be weighed against the disadvantages of
higher costs of transport.
When evaluating the pricing of LPG, one has to consider the relative
prices of these fuels and whether or not inter-fuel shifts are desirable.
• Relative efficiencies: If the relative costs of LPG vis-à-vis other fuels were
reckoned after accounting for their calorific values and the efficiencies of the
related stoves, LPG would not seem as expensive44 (as was shown in Figure
1).
There could be schemes through which LPG is priced at its full cost, but
targeted households get some pre-determined compensation. This would avoid
careless use of the fuel (and may also be an incentive for fuel efficiency), while
assisting the economically disadvantaged. Such programmes would require
funding from the government - with transfer payments directly to the poor, but the
better the targeting, the higher the administrative costs, and experiences with BPL
schemes have shown that those not entitled manage to get themselves included.
44
With lighting improvement, payments for the improved source (electricity) are less than those
for the earlier source (kerosene lamps) because of the much greater efficacy of electric lighting.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 52
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
6.2.2 Marketing (financing and packaging) schemes
There are several marketing schemes that encourage the purchase of consumer
durables by lowering the amount of each cash outflow. Similar methods could be
used to help lower income households in the case of LPG. Instalment payments
for the cost of connection and stove, and each fuel refill in much smaller
containers (e.g. 2 – 5 kg, instead of the regular 14.2 kg cylinders), will reduce the
“lumpiness” of successive cash outlays. The latter option has been launched by
the Public Sector companies but needs to be extended beyond limited areas.
Supply issues
6.2.6 Regulation
Currently, the UNDP and the World LPG Association (WLPGA) have a
partnership/initiative called the LPG Challenge to address concrete barriers to
meeting the thermal energy needs of rural and peri-urban populations through
the expanded use of LPG (UNDP, 2002)45. Additional factors identified
through the project could be included.
Biogas from animal waste: In areas where cattle are kept extensively (for
example for dairying), biogas (CH4 and CO2, in the ratio 3:2) can be generated
from cattle dung, if adequate amounts can be supplied daily to the digester.
India’s largest biogas plant has been running since April 1987 in the village of
Methan (Sidhpur tehsil, Patan district, in the state of Gujarat); the plant,
consisting of eight digesters, has a total capacity of 630 m3, and caters to the
main cooking fuel requirements of 320 families (Jamwal, 2003). However,
the supply of dung by villagers to the plant has been found to be inadequate to
meet the village cooking needs in many other villages; in fact, it has not been
enough even for running a dual-fuel (biogas-diesel) generation plant for the
electricity and water-pumping needs of the village (IEI, 2003). Family-size
biogas plants are operating successfully and constitute a feasible option
(wherever the cattle owned are adequate). About 3.482 million family-size
biogas plants have been constructed in the country (MNES, 2003), of which an
45
UNDP has initiated pilot projects in different regions. Specific targets will have two basic
categories – affordability and availability. UNDP hopes to undertake this partnership in not less
than 10 countries.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 54
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
estimated 80% are operating successfully (AFPRO-CHF, 1997). The
efficiency of biogas stoves has been found to be higher than other available
alternatives (Smith, et al., 2000).
Other options:
Gasification: Where adequate crop residues are available from the crops
cultivated in the area, crop-residue can be gasified to produce carbon
monoxide and hydrogen, combustible gases that could be used for cooking or
for power generation, (Mukunda et al., check, Henderick and Williams, 2000,
Shyam, 2002). Even where crop residues are not normally available,
plantations can be started on fallow/degraded lands (to avoid competing with
agriculture), for biomass generation (Larson and Kartha, 2000).
New options (not yet field-tested in India): The amount of household cooking
fuel that could be produced from the biomass assigned for the purpose
depends on the particular fuel considered and the conversion technologies
employed; possibilities include ethanol, di-methyl ether (DME), and synthetic
LPG, but these have yet to be tried in India.
Distillation is the first step in the processing of crude oil and it takes place in a tall
steel tower called a fractionation column. The inside of the column is divided at
intervals by horizontal trays. The insulated column is kept very hot at the bottom, but
as different hydrocarbons boil at different temperatures, the temperature gradually
reduces towards the top, so that each tray is a little cooler than the one below.
The crude oil needs to be heated up before entering the fractionation column and
this is done at first in a series of heat exchangers where heat is taken from other
As the raw crude oil arriving contains quite a bit of water and salt, it is normally
sent for salt removing first, in a piece of equipment called a desalter. Upstream from
the desalter, the crude is mixed with a water stream, typically about 4 - 6% on feed.
Intense mixing takes place over a mixing valve and (optionally) as static mixer. The
desalter, a large liquid full vessel, uses an electric field to separate the crude from the
water droplets. It operates best at 120 - 150 0C, hence it is conveniently placed
somewhere in the middle of the preheat train.
A part of the salts contained in the crude oil, particularly magnesium chloride, are
hydrolysable at temperatures above 120 0C. Upon hydrolysis, the chlorides get
converted into hydrochloric acid, which will find its way to the distillation column's
overhead where it will corrode the overhead condensers. A good performing desalter
can remove about 90% of the salt in raw crude.
Downstream from the desalter, crude is further heated up with heat exchangers,
and starts vaporising, which will increase the system pressure drop. At about 170 -200
0
C, the crude will enter a 'pre-flashvessel', operating at about 2 - 5 bar, where the
vapours are separated from the remaining liquid. Vapours are directly sent to the
fractionation column, and by doing so, the hydraulic load on the remainder of the
crude preheat train and furnace is reduced (smaller piping and pumps).
Just upstream the preflash vessel, a small caustic stream is mixed with the crude,
in order to neutralise any hydrochloric acid formed by hydrolysis. The sodium
chloride formed will leave the fractionation column via the bottom residue stream.
The dosing rate of caustic is adjusted based on chloride measurements in the overhead
vessel (typically 10 - 20 ppm).
At about 200 - 280 0C the crude enters the furnace where it is heated up further to
about 330 -370 0C. The furnace outlet stream is sent directly to the fractionation
column. Here, it is separated into a number of fractions, each having a particular
boiling range.
At 350 0C, and about 1 bar, most of the fractions in the crude oil vaporise and rise
up the column through perforations in the trays, losing heat as they rise. When each
fraction reaches the tray where the temperature is just below its own boiling point, it
condenses and changes back into liquid phase. A continuous liquid phase is flowing
by gravity through 'downcomers' from tray to tray downwards. In this way, the
different fractions are gradually separated from each other on the trays of the
fractionation column. The heaviest fractions condense on the lower trays and the
lighter fractions condense on the trays higher up in the column. At different elevations
in the column, with special trays called draw-off trays, fractions can be drawn out on
gravity through pipes, for further processing in the refinery.
The lightest side draw-off from the fractionating column is a fraction called
kerosene, boiling in the range 160 - 280 0C, which falls down through a pipe into a
smaller column called 'side-stripper'. The purpose of the side stripper is to remove
very light hydrocarbons by using steam injection or an external heater called 'reboiler'.
The stripping steam rate, or reboiled duty is controlled such as to meet the flashpoint
specification of the product. Similarly to the atmospheric column, the side stripper has
fractionating trays for providing contact between vapour and liquid. The vapours
produced from the top of the side stripper are routed back via pipe into the
fractionating column.
The second and third (optional) side draw-offs from the main fractionating
column are gas oil fractions, boiling in the range 200 - 400 0C, which are ultimately
used for blending the final diesel product. Similar as with the kerosene product, the
gas oil fractions (light and heavy gas oil) are first sent to a side stripper before being
routed to further treating units.
Propane Butane
Chemical formula C3H8 C4H10
Liquid Density 0.505 0.575
Gas Density 1.5 1.95
Ratio Gas/liquid 274 230
Atm. Boiling ptc. -42 -2
Specific heat liquid 0.60 Btu/deg. 0.58 Btu/deg
Latent heat Vaporization 358 kj/kg. 372 kj/kg
Flammability limit 2.2 - 9.5% 1.8 - 8.5%
Auto temp ign 470ºC 410ºC
44.10
Mole Weight 58.12
kg/k/mole
Freezing Point -187.7ºC -138.4
Critical temp 96.7ºC 152.1ºC
Critical Press 42.5 bar 38.0 bar
Litres/tonne 1965-2019 1723-1760
Octane number <100 92
Relative density of liquid 537-543 406-431
Maximum flame temperature 1980 1990
Ratio of gas volume to liquid volume 274 233
Soluble in water Slight Slight
Colour Colourless Colourless
Normally used as gas, LPG is stored and transported as liquid under pressure for
convenience and ease of handling; liquid LPG evaporates to produce about 270 times
its volume of gas. This facilitates storage and transportation in relatively small
containers. In addition, unlike traditional fuels and other liquid fuels, LPG has an
indefinite shelf life, not deteriorating over time. (Adapted from Cheresources, 2002)
LPG at about 45.5GJ/tonne, has a higher energy content than the fuels currently in
use for cooking – kerosene (43.2 GJ/tonne), fuel-wood (about 15 GJ/tonne), crop
residues (13 – 14 GJ/tonne) and dung (12.5 – 13 GJ/tonne). In addition, the higher
efficiency of LPG stoves (about 65%) as compared with traditional stoves (about
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 59
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
15%) and even “improved” models of biomass-based stoves (up to 45%), makes the
relative efficiency considerable.
Solid fuels and kerosene were analysed for carbon, ash, sulphur, nitrogen and
hydrogen content using standard methods (BIS 1987). For LPG, the energy content
was given by Bharat Petroleum Company Ltd. (BPCL). The chemical composition,
moisture content and net (low heating value) energy of the fuels are given in Table 23,
using the method described below.
Table 23: Fuel chemical composition, moisture content, and net energy
Basis of calculation:
Moisture content (wet basis): To determine the moisture content of any fuel it is
necessary that it should be of small particle size. The wood was sawed to make
sawdust in such a way that the whole area, including cell wall, was included. About
five pieces of the fuel samples taken from different places were sawed and the
sawdust obtained were mixed properly and used for moisture content measurement.
These steps were all carried out in triplicate.
A known quantity of sample was taken in a crucible and kept in an oven maintained at
105 o C till the weight stabilizes. The weight loss was measured and the moisture
content of the sample was estimated as follows.
The apparent heat capacity by benzoic acid (w), calorific value of thread (m), and the
calorific value of Nichrome ignition wire were provided by the instrument supplier.
=> TOTAL ANNUALISED 1,399 760 2,329 3,425 2,469 3,519 3,935
COSTS PER STOVE (Rs)
------------------------------------
Please note:
US$ = Rs 45 (November 2003)
Evolution of APM
One of the important drawbacks of the import parity pricing was that the
indigenous cost of production was totally overlooked while determining producer
prices. This issue was addressed through Retention Pricing Mechanism, by which
refiners were allowed to "retain" out of the sale proceeds,
• Cost of crude
• Refining cost and
• Reasonable return on investment.
The same mechanism was extended to marketing & distribution companies as
well. The Government of India also fixed the pricing of finished products and the
returns of oil companies were de-linked from the price at which the goods were
finally sold. With the administration of pricing of products by the government, the
The scheme was administered under the aegis of the Ministry of Petroleum &
Natural Gas through its executive wing "Oil Co-ordination Committee" (OCC)
with its secretariat at New Delhi.
Objectives of APM
Functioning of APM
The basic principles on which the edifice of APM was built can be
summarised thus:
Retention price
The oil companies were reimbursed in addition to the cost of crude oil
• Operating costs
• Return on capital employed
The companies were also eligible for a return on their total capital
employed, consisting of average net fixed assets and normative working capital.
Standards were laid down for each refinery with respect to throughput,
product pattern, fuel and losses. The standard throughput was fixed after taking
into account the crude availability, the primary/ secondary/ offsite facilities, intake
capacity and other technical factors. For a new refinery, the standard was 60% of
the installed capacity in the first year of operation and 90% in the second year of
operation.
Based on the aggregate operating cost (OC) and return on capital employed
(ROCE) standards so set, the OC and ROCE per unit of crude throughput was
worked out for each of the refineries, for the relevant pricing period.
The Delivered Cost of Crude (DCC) for imported crude was worked out
for each of the refineries, on the basis of pooled free-on-board (FOB) cost of
crude, freight, insurance, ocean loss, wharfage/other landing charges and customs
duty.
The difference between the landed cost of crude and the DCC could be claimed
from the Pool account, subject to the following restrictions.
• Actual cost of insurance was limited to a maximum premia based on free
particular average clause including war risk premia.
• Ocean loss for imported crude was taken as 0.5% of the bill of lading quantity,
0.2%/ 0.3% of Bombay High custody transfer quantity by West Coast / East
Coast refineries. Variation in actual quantity of losses vis-à-vis the norms
would benefit or adversely affect the refineries.
The retention price per tonne of crude for each of the refineries was thereafter
worked out by cumulating the DCC, the operating cost (OC) and the ROCE.
While working out the operating cost, the following amounts were reduced as the
same was recovered from the marketing companies separately in addition to the
ex-refinery prices.
• Rs 50/tonne of LPG filled in bulk.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 66
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
• Rs 200/tonne of LPG filled in packed cylinders.
The total amount of reduction was worked out by multiplying the aforementioned
rates with the standards set for the pricing period.
The retention price per tonne of crude so computed was then pro-rated over
various products, as laid down in the standard product pattern through a set of
indices laid down by OCC. While calculating the retention prices of the products,
the cost of fuel and loss was spread over all the products, based on indices
developed after taking note of the current supply & demand position. These were
the prevailing international prices of various petroleum products, need to
encourage production of deficit products and conversely to discourage production
of surplus products, and other factors affecting the distribution and allocation
efficiency. The role of the indices was limited to determination of the product
prices of refineries; this had little bearing on the final consumer prices.
The installation & distribution cost were disaggregated into common costs and
specific costs.
All operating costs other than specific costs were categorized as common
costs. Since the common costs were bound to be different from one company to
another, the actual reimbursement would differ from one company to another.
The allowable costs for the pricing period were collated and the total cost was pro-
rated over volumes to arrive at a per kilolitre (kl) cost or per metric tonne (mt)
cost.
The marketing margin at the ex-storage point would thus include the
installation, distribution (both specific & common), and administration costs and
the return on capital employed and this would be the retention margin per selling
unit. The weighted average marketing margin of all the oil companies was
computed and included in the selling price, and the oil companies would adjust the
differential between the retention margin and the marketing margin included in
the selling price in the Pool account.
For each refinery, standard LPG filling norms were set. For all fillings up
to the standard, each refinery would be entitled to a uniform filling margin of Rs
200 per mt for packed LPG and Rs 50/ mt for LPG sold in bulk. If LPG filling
exceeded the standard, the refineries were eligible to retain Rs 50/ mt of
incremental LPG packed and the balance amount of Rs 150/ mt was surrendered
to Pool account. There is no penalty however for not filling up to the standard.
As stated earlier, the filling margin recovered on LPG was deducted from
the refining cost while computing retention margins, and the amount so deducted
was restricted to the standard. Thus the additional margin of Rs 50 per mt would
accrue as an incentive for the refining companies.
For LPG supplied at centres other than refinery points, notional rail freight
(NRF) applicable for bulk LPG was recovered through the selling price from the
nearest refinery to the bottling plant located in the upcountry centre. The
difference between the actual freight and NRF could be claimed by the oil
companies from the Pool a/c. Even if the product were supplied from a point
other than the contiguous refinery point, the difference in transportation charges
could also be claimed from the Pool a/c.
For all refineries, the filling quantity was fixed. Any quantity filled in
excess of standard would entitle the refineries for an additional amount of Rs 50/
mt that would be a straight addition to contribution margins. No penalty was
applied for filling below the standard.
For all marketing bottling plants, the cost reimbursement was uniform
based on industry average. Therefore companies whose operating cost was lower
than the industry average were bound to gain and companies whose operating cost
was higher were bound to lose, to the extent of differential cost. It may also be
noted that as regards marketing plants, no standards were set and the actual
contribution was a multiple of actual quantity filled and the per unit retention
margins. Hence, there was a tremendous incentive for LPG filling at these plants.
The additional contribution, earned by filling marketing bottling plants, was
significantly higher than Rs 50/mt for additional filling in refinery bottling plants.
The Oil Industry Pool Account mechanism was used to subsidise and
cross-subsidies certain oil products; financial inflows from collection of
surcharges on the sale of some products were meant to offset the outflows for
compensating for the shortfall in revenue on other products. The Pool Account
was meant to be in balance over the long run without budgetary support from the
Central Government. However, during the 1990s the Pool Account fell into
deficit when adjustments failed to keep pace with changes in import prices; this
led to shortfalls in disbursements to the oil companies.
The Finance Ministry has provided (Public Sector Unit) oil firms a subsidy
on LPG cylinders for domestic use, at Rs 67.75 per cylinder during 2002-03, and
will provide Rs 45.17 per cylinder during 2003-04; the subsidy per cylinder is
likely to drop to Rs 22.58 during 2004-05. This subsidy was not earlier available
to private LPG marketing companies, but from the year 2003-04 is likely to be
given to them too. However, there remains a difference between the cost and the
retail price per cylinder, even after taking into account the subsidy. To counter
this, the central Government has put together an intricate system of cross-
subsidisation by which retailing firms and LPG producers share the under-
recoveries in the case of Public Sector Units; thus far, this mechanism has not
been made available to private companies.
Gas pricing
Till the 1970s’, gas prices were based on the recommendations given by
expert committees. In the early 1970s’, gas prices were set on a negotiated basis,
resulting in different gas prices for different consumer segments. In the mid 70s’,
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 71
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
the price of natural gas was determined by the producers themselves, based on the
thermal equivalence of substitute fuels and the opportunity cost to the consumer.
Post December 1995, the consumer price for non-North-East areas was
fixed by the Government at Rs 1,850/tcm (exclusive of royalty @ 10 per cent and
class tax varying from 0 to 19 per cent), for a calorific value of 9,000 kilocalories.
The corresponding figure for North East India was Rs 1,000/tcm with a provision
for further discounts. In January 1996, the Government appointed a Committee
under the chairmanship of Mr T.L.Sankar to review the pricing of natural gas.
Based on the recommendations of this Committee, Government fixed a price band
of 2,150 Rs/tcm as the lower limit and 2,850 Rs/tcm as the ceiling for the
consumer price. Producer Price actually payable to the producer (ONGC) was
pre-determined at an amount lower than the consumer price so that the difference
between the Consumer Price and Producer Price could be credited to a Gas Pool
Account. This Account was established in order to encourage the development of
the gas industry in India by partly compensating exploration and development
companies for the low margins received in the development and sale of gas, at
prices fixed by the government.
In addition to the price as fixed above, royalty, taxes, duties and other
statutory levies on the production and sale of natural gas are payable by the
consumers. The royalty on gas, as fixed under the Oilfields Development Act, is
10 per cent of the wellhead price. For privately operated fields, the royalty is
fixed on the negotiated wellhead prices. There is no cess on natural gas (unlike
crude oil) although a cess could be levied under the law. There is no excise duty
on natural gas or on crude oil, as these are minerals, although excise duty is
charged on petroleum products. A sales tax is leviable at state rates if the sale is
within the state or at the central rate of 4 percent for inter-state sales. The sales
tax rates vary from state to state ranging from zero to 22 per cent. It may be noted
that Gas Authority of India Limited (GAIL) does not get a margin on merchant
sales; it is allowed a return only on its investment in the pipeline. In order to
encourage investment in the exploration of oil and gas, the Government has
allowed contractors freedom to market oil and gas produced under New
Exploraton Licencing Policy (NELP). Accordingly, oil and gas produced under
NELP blocks are not covered under the Administered Gas Pricing Mechanism and
the producers are free to market gas at the market-determined prices.
GAIL also uses natural gas internally, as a fuel for operating the compressors
required to ensure desired pressure of gas in the HBJ pipeline system. There are a
total of six compressors stations along the HBJ system of which two compressors
were commissioned after October 1, 1997. Further, two compressor stations at
Jhabua and Hazira were augmented after October 1, 1997. As a result, the total
quantum of natural gas used internally as fuel by GAIL has increased.
Simultaneously, the gas price has also increased from the level considered during
HBJ tariff fixation by Sankar Committee. Therefore, the cost of transportation has
been raised to 1,160 Rs/tcm. At the meeting of Committee of Secretaries (CoS) in
May 2003, ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas (MoP&NG) had suggested that
the gas prices be increased from Rs 2,850/tcm to Rs 3850/tcm whereas the
Ministry of Power and Department of Fertilisers indicated Rs 3250/tcm as their
acceptable price for gas. On July 23, 2003, Group of Minister (GoM), represented
by producer and user Ministries met and recommended an increase in natural gas
prices of Rs 350/tcm. They have also suggested that the Gas Pool Account to be
limited to Rs 1 billion per annum as per the actual requirement of compensation
for concessional gas price in northeast region and other purposes. However,
MoP&NG is yet to take a decision on these recommendations.
46
At present, the consumer price for general consumers is 2,850 Rs/tcm whereas for north-eastern
consumers the corresponding price is 1,700 Rs/tcm which works out to be 60 percent of the
general consumer prices. The difference between the producer price and the consumer price in the
northeastern region may be reimbursed to OIL from the Gas Pool Account as is being done under
the existing arrangement.
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 73
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
Annexe 5:
Lessons from India’s improved stove programme
Lessons could also be learnt from India’s national improved stove (chulha)
programme.
47
Chulha = stove
Antonette D’Sa & K.V.Narasimha Murthy 74
International Energy Initiative, Bangalore
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