Dalal Street Investment Journal - August 07 2018 PDF
Dalal Street Investment Journal - August 07 2018 PDF
Dalal Street Investment Journal - August 07 2018 PDF
Recommendations
10 Choice Scrip
14 Hot Chips
Regulars
06 Editor’s Keyboard
07 Company Index
08 Market View
16 Technicals
62 Query Board
64 Reviews
65 Kerbside
The current bull run is not broad-based and only the select large-caps are showing outperformance.
Also, note that the delivery volume is at five-month low in the month of July, suggesting lower
participation from investors.
The current issue is a special CFO edition where we have provided an opportunity for investors to get to
know directly from the strategists themselves about the company’s future plans and goals. I am sure the
long-term investors would benefit from the specific comments made by the finance captains of
Corporate India on various issues facing Indian economy and various sectors. It is interesting to see that
majority of the CFOs do not see the trade war as a major factor that may dampen the investment
sentiment at the corporate level. To find many more such interesting aspects from the insiders, please go
though our special edition on CFOs in India. Do give us your feedback on the special edition and
whether you agree with the views of the CFOs on a variety of topics.
We are expecting some good set of results from NBFCs this season. We have hinted where the investors
should focus in the NBFC space in our cover story. For sure, NBFCs should occupy good amount of
space in your long-term equity portfolio.
Going forward, focus on bottom-up investing opportunities. Before you make investment, study if the
balance sheet is intact and that it is not stretched, cash flows are consistently positive and analyse if the
business in which you are investing will survive for the next 10 years. Markets are expected to remain
robust owing to liquidity and improvement in quality of earnings. Markets at all-time highs should not
worry you. If markets at all-time highs were bad for equity prices, they would have never moved up
from previous all-time highs. So don’t be scared of investing at all-time highs!!
V B PADODE
Editor-in-Chief
www.dsij.in/apps.aspx
[email protected] linkedin.com/in/DalalStreetInvestmentJournal
Mid-caps Carnage
Founder & Editor-In-Chief
V B Padode
Editors
Compliances and Internal Audit
Arvind Manor I am really appreciative of the DSIJ team for very appropriately taking up
Cover Story “Underperforming Stocks: What Should You Do with
them?” It has been very correctly brought out that holding the
Prakash Patil - Chief Copy Editor Marketing & Sales
Farid Khan - AVP underperformers is a cascading risk which can wipe out the invested
Gayathri Udyawar - Copy Editor capital altogether. As indicated by the learned authors and very relevantly,
Deputy Editors Mumbai:
Anand Chinchole - Manager investors find it a tough decision to sell a stock at a loss under the
Yogesh Supekar, Shashikant Singh
Delhi: sentiment and belief of an eventual pick-up.
Research
Neerja Agarwal - VP Lokesh Sharma - Sr. Manager
Karan Bhojwani - Sr. Manager Kolkata : One issue on which I would like to see coverage relates to the buyback
Bhagyashree V - Sr. Analyst-CRU Soutrik Ghosh - Sr. Manager and subsequent announcement of bonus issue by Infosys. The company
Apurva Joshi - Analyst Chennai: undertook buyback in Dec 2017, which reduced the equity and has now
Tanay Loya - Sr. Associate P V Bhaskar - Sr. Manager announced a 1:1 bonus to celebrate 25 years of listing, which may not be
Graphics
Domain Experts
value accretive and would reduce the EPS. The matter appears perplexing
Vipin Bendale as the object of buyback and thereby improving earnings gets nullified by
Hemant Rustagi
Subscription & Customer Service Jayesh Dadia bloating equity through bonus shares. Can the attention of SEBI be
Utkarsh Sawale, Mayank Dubey invited to put time limits/ restriction on such acts in a span of even less
than a year? - Ajay Gupta
Editor Responds: Thank you for your great feedback on our previous issue.
DSIJ Private Limited As far as corporate actions go, we would be studying your observations on
Infosys and shall cover the topic in one of our coming issues. Yes, investors
Managing Director can highlight pertinent issues to SEBI by sending them a query. You can
Rajesh V Padode surely do so in your capacity as an investor. Keep writing to us and hope you
For Customer Service would also enjoy the current issue.
020-49072626 OR
[email protected]
Mumbai Office
419-A, 4th Floor, Arun Chambers, Tardeo, Next to AC Market Recommendations
Mumbai - 400034 022-43476012/16/17 Company/Scheme Reco. Price (`) Column Page No
Pune Office
Adlabs Entertainment zExit 34.85 QueryBoard 63
C-305, 3rd Floor, Trade Center, North Main Road, Near Axis Bank,
Opposite Lane no. 6, Koregaon Park, Pune - 411001 BBTC LTD zBuy 1567.15 Technicals 18
020-49072600
Bharat Forge zBuy 641.00 Kerbside 65
Chennai 9445546165
Capri Global Capital zBuy 82.25 Low Priced Scrip 12
Kolkata 7003118028 Cholamandalam Investment zHold 1432.40 QueryBoard 62
Delhi 8076878278
Deep industries zExit 106.80 QueryBoard 62
Delta Corp zBuy 256.25 Hot Chips 14
To advertise, mail us on [email protected] Havells zBuy 634.25 Kerbside 65
Printer and Publisher: Nitin Sawant, Editor: V B Padode for DSIJ Pvt Ltd. IDFC Bank zHold 40.00 QueryBoard 63
on behalf of Achievements Merchandise Pvt Ltd. Printed at Kala Jyothi
Process Pvt. Ltd. Plot No.: W-17&18, M.I.D.C. Industrial Area, Taloja, IFB Industries zHold 1095.25 Reviews 64
Dist. Raigad, Navi Mmbai. - 410 206. and published from 419-A, 4th
Floor, Arun Chambers, Tardeo, Next to AC Market, Mumbai - 400034 INDIAN BANK zBuy 358.20 Technicals 18
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information published is correct and up-to-date, Dalal Street Investment Lemon Tree Hotels zBuy 78.25 Kerbside 65
Journal holds no responsibility for any errors that might occur. All
material contained herein is based on fundamental and technical analysis MCX zBuy 881.70 Kerbside 65
and other in-house methods, which though reliable, are not infallible. The PVR Ltd. zHold 1127.40 Analysis 20
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advised to consult experts before taking any investment decision and Dalal Sanwaria Consumer zHold 12.75 Reviews 64
Street Journal holds no responsibility for any losses that may arise due to
investment decisions made on the basis of information given within the Sun Pharma zBuy 566.65 Hot Chips 14
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consent from Dalal Street Journal All disputes are subject to the Take Solutions zBuy 208.00 Choice Scrip 10
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I
t was time to cut the celebration broader markets participated in the rally, disappointing earnings are
cake at the BSE as the Sensex soared with the BSE Mid-cap and Small-cap
past the 37,000 mark, gaining indices registering 3.12% and 1.57% gains, being dumped by investors.
positive momentum from good respectively, during the fortnight. Among Despite the rally, the market is
quarterly earnings. The fortnight the sectoral indices, the FMCG and Banks
had it all, all-time highs, record closings, outshined the market, while Auto was the reevaluating a large number of
and the usual swings with Sensex and only sector that dipped as Q1 results of stocks that were earlier peaking
Nifty testing new highs. The PSU banks auto majors Maruti, Hero Motocorp and
as well as private banks fuelled the Bajaj Auto disappointed on the margin on the back of mere sentiments.
market’s upward trajectory as they front. In the two-week period, the BSE
reported better asset quality for the Bankex gained 3.20%, FMCG was up by global markets, put pressure on
quarter. The markets also took support 3.55%, while Auto dipped by 1.21%. Power domestic gold prices. The crude oil
from macro developments, including index grew by 2.11%, followed by IT prices still lingered around the US$75
easing of trade war between the US and which was up 0.91%, Realty up by 0.35% per barrel mark, even as the Trump
the European Union. Also, the fact that and Metal up 0.35%. administration continued to threaten
the US economy posted a GDP growth of Iran with sanctions.
4.1% in Q2 eased some fears of recession. In a reversal of the trend, albeit
marginally, the FIIs have turned net With the earnings season turning out
The global markets were upbeat during buyers during the fortnight. The FIIs have be a success, investors are indulging
the fortnight with only Nasdaq down by bought equities to the tune of Rs 45.52 in cherry-picking to update and
1.13% on the back of disappointing crore; whereas the domestic institutional rebalance their portfolios. The Reserve
earnings by tech gaints Facebook and investors (DIIs) have bought equities of Bank of India at its August policy
Twitter. In the last two weeks, Dow Jones Rs 598.38 crore, during the fortnight. meet maintained the GDP growth
gained by 1.71%, while S&P 500 was up forecast for FY19 at 7.4% and increased
by 0.63%. In Europe, UK’s FTSE 100 As concerns over the trade war between the repo rate by 25 bps to 6.5 per cent.
gained 0.51%, whereas the German index the US and the EU eased, gold turned Going ahead, banking and auto
DAX posted a surge of 2.55% and the bearish. A dip in demand from local stocks are expected to give direction to
French CAC40 registered a growth of jewellers, coupled with weakness in the the markets. DS
1.52%. During the fortnight, the Asian Performance Of Indices Net Investment In Equity Markets (`/Cr)
markets Hang Seng, Nikkei and Shanghai 13th July 27th July Gain/Loss Date FIIs DIIs
exchange, gained by 0.98%, 0.51% and Indices
2018 2018 (%) 27-Jul-18 738.05 406.12
1.50%, respectively. SENSEX 36,501.61 37,336.85 2.29 26-Jul-18 2,453.57 -2,716.04
Nifty 11,018.90 11,278.35 2.35 25-Jul-18 -1,195.75 97.64
Far ahead of its global peers, the Indian Mid-Cap 15,431.47 15,912.62 3.12 24-Jul-18 104.34 513.78
benchmark indices registered impressive Small-Cap 16,196.33 16,450.20 1.57 23-Jul-18 259.37 124.82
gains of above 2% during the fortnight Auto 24,567.12 24,269.32 -1.21 20-Jul-18 310.27 -50.73
studded by new all-time highs. As the bulls Bankex 29,788.45 30,743.13 3.20 19-Jul-18 -315.69 470.02
took over the Indian equity markets, FMCG 11,485.10 11,892.60 3.55 18-Jul-18 95.68 111.01
Sensex and Nifty scaled new highs gaining IT 14,385.70 14,516.97 0.91 17-Jul-18 -673.99 840.06
2.29% and 2.35%, respectively. Sensex Metal 12,470.90 12,511.06 0.32 16-Jul-18 -625.68 -70.3
breached the 37,500 mark, while Nifty was Power 1,910.79 1,951.17 2.11 13-Jul-18 -1,104.65 872
trading above the 11,300 mark. Even the Realty 2,061.04 2,068.32 0.35 Total 45.52 598.38
T
wo and three-wheeler giant, Bajaj Auto Limited reported its best
July sales growth since 2010.
The company sold 4 lakh units during the month, registering a growth of
30 per cent over the same period last year.
The company in its filing to the exchanges also said that the Domestic
sales during the month grew by 27 per cent YoY to 2.37 lakh units and
exports increased 34 per cent to 1.63 lakh units.
This is the first time the RBI has raised the benchmark interest rate
by 25 basis points in two consecutive policy meets. RBI also hiked
reverse repo rate by 25 bps to 6.25 per cent.
CCRL will enable electronic accounting of commodities, thereby ensuring ease of use, higher
accuracy and lower costs for document transmission. The commodity repository will also provide
the legal and regulatory environment for inventory financing and warehouse receipt lending.
Shri Ashishkumar Chauhan, MD & CEO, BSE said, “We are delighted to partner with CCRL to
provide a repository for commodities that will support regulatory reporting requirements for
development of the commodities derivatives in India. We believe this partnership will further
strengthen our quest of developing and strengthening Commodity markets in India”.
T
ake Solutions operates in a cent YoY to `159.8 crore in FY18.
niche technology-led
segment and offer services to The company’s order book for life
the life sciences industry sciences, as on FY18, stood at USD 179.5
which accounts for almost million, which is likely to be executed in
91 per cent of the total revenue. The 7-9 months, which provides strong
company provides IP-based solutions in revenue visibility for the near term.
clinical, regulatory, safety and consulting Notably, the company’s management
processes to global life science Best of LAST ONE Year expects life sciences business to grow at
companies across multiple therapeutic Name of Reco Exit/CMP Absolute Annual 30 per cent for FY19. Overall, the
areas. Company Price Price (`) Gains Returns management has indicated that the
(`) (%) (%) company is likely to witness growth of
Balkrishna Ind. 1079.8 1317.85 22.05 417.79
The company also operates in the supply almost 22-24 per cent. Furthermore, in
chain management segment, where it Tata Metaliks 667.8 826.2 37.93 89.89 biosimilars, the company is witnessing
focuses on high-margin niches in Colgate-Palmolive (I) 1051.65 1231 17.5 77.78 traction in orders in monoclonal
engineering services, and supply chain PFC 122.6 147.6 20.39 64.96 antibodies space, which is used to treat
collaboration. The company’s IP-led Symphony Ltd. 1429.8 1672 16.94 64.19 rare indications like rheumatoid arthritis,
approach enables its clients to automate spot psoriasis and some rare indications
supply chain processes, track, trace and quarter of FY18, the operating revenue of cancer. The company’s addressable
control at item level, mandate supplier rose 11.3 per cent on a QoQ basis to market Clinical Research Organisation
compliance, and streamline material and `453.9 crore. In dollar terms, the revenue (CRO) is expected to grow from USD 32
shipment movement, and thus optimise during the same period rose 11.7 per billion in the year 2016 to USD 44 billion
their processes. The company has its cent. The operating profit (EBITDA) in the year 2021 (representing 7 per cent
presence in North America, Europe, during the period increased almost 13.4 CAGR) driven by R&D spend and
Asia, and South America, etc. The per cent to `90.5 crore from `79.8 crore increasing level of clinical development
company’s majority of the revenue come in the previous quarter. In terms of outsourcing. Above all, the strengthening
from the United States (~80 per cent), bottomline, the company witnessed of USD as against INR gives further
followed by APAC (13 per cent) and growth of almost 10 per cent QoQ to boost to the company as majority of its
Europe (7 per cent). `45 crore. revenue comes from the US. Owing to all
these, we urge our reader-investors to
On financial front, looking at the last On the valuation front, the company is BUY the stock. DS
CMP
Monthly Stock Market Returns Shareholding Pattern Last Five Quarters (`/Cr)
(`) Particulars Mar '18 Dec '17 Sep '17 Jun '17 Mar '17
BSE Code: 532890 June 2018
CMP: `208 FV: `1 Total Income 453.92 408.02 370.93 354.37 355.51
BSE Volume: 29865 Promoters 66.80
Date: 30/07/2018 Other Income 2.87 1.37 1.10 1.08 0.50
Public 33.20 Operating Profit 93.38 81.18 71.06 67.27 69.54
Interest 5.51 5.03 5.52 4.70 5.33
Others 0
Net Profit 45.49 41.96 36.69 35.72 41.81
Total 100 Equity 14.59 13.12 13.11 13.10 13.10
C
apri Global Capital Limited company also increased by over
(CGCL) is a RBI registered 114 per cent to `25.5 crore in the
non-deposit taking, fourth quarter of FY18 as compared to
non-banking finance `11.91 crore in the same quarter of the
company (NBFC). It PRICED SCRIP previous fiscal.
focuses on the financing of micro, small
and medium enterprises (MSME), Best of LAST ONE Year
On the annual front, the net sales of the
construction finance and housing Name of Reco Exit/CMP Absolute Annual
company increased by 57.76 per cent to
finance segments. Product portfolio of Company Price Price (`) Gains Returns `336.45 crore in FY18 as against
MSME finance include business loan (`) (%) (%) `213.27 crore in FY17. The PBDT of the
against residential/ commercial/ National Fert. 61.30 78.00 27.24 350.22 company increased by 39.46 per cent to
industrial properties and financing for Gufic BioSci. 78.70 95.10 20.84 288.55 `138.61 crore in FY18 as against `99.39
purchase of commercial/ industrial Jamna Auto Ind. 77.15 96.75 25.41 254.10 crore in the previous fiscal. The net profit
properties. Virinchi Ltd. 88.00 110.00 25.00 225.00 of the company increased by over 62 per
Amines & Plasti. 68.00 81.00 19.12 167.88 cent to `94 crore in FY18 as compared to
In the MSME finance segment in FY18, `57.79 crore in the previous year.
CGCL increased its presence to 66
locations from 38 in FY17, adding affordable housing like Telangana and On the valuation front, the company is
new branches in tier 2/3 cities. Its Rajasthan. trading at a PE ratio of 13.16x. The
MSME book size increased 28.46 per company’s return on equity (RoE) and
cent to `1,55,923.35 lakh on a YoY basis. Further, FY18 was the first full year of return on capital employed (RoCE)
In the coming years, CGCL plans to operation of the company’s housing stood at 8.61 per cent and 62.46 per cent,
reduce reliance on intermediaries and finance subsidiary. The loan book at the respectively. The company has a
focus on direct sourcing via its branch end of the year was `24,633 lakh with an debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25x.
network. average ticket size of `11 lakh and average
tenure of over 207 months. The stock is trading at 1.09 times its
Its construction finance segment book book value and is expected to give a
size stood at `1,05,404 lakh at the The housing finance business is expected good quarter. Further, considering the
end of the year, registering an increase to blossom on the back of incremental drive in consumption due to higher per
of 74.86 per cent from a year-ago business from smaller towns. CGCL capita income and growth in rural
period. The company plans to reach plans to consolidate its presence in North demand, we recommend our reader-
further into high potential states for and West India and drive higher investors to BUY the stock. DS
CMP
Monthly Stock Market Returns Last Five Quarters (`/Cr)
Shareholding Pattern
(`) Particulars Mar'18 Dec'17 Sep'17 Jun'17 Mar'17
BSE Code: 531595
June 2018
CMP: `82.25 FV: `2 Total Income 108.42 95.1 82.89 84.01 62.03
BSE Volume: 9,018 Promoters 74.94
Date: 30/07/2018 Other Income 13.88 6.81 3.57 0.04 6.48
Public 25.06 Operating Profit 73.59 66.42 57.48 54.92 38.18
I
ndian benchmark indices breached Roadmap for the next 15 trading sessions
their major resistances and are Ideas Nifty Levels Action to be Initiated Probable Targets
hitting all-time high levels. Sensex Close above 11375 on the daily chart on closing
had hit its first all-time high after Resistance for the medium term 11375 11117-11171
basis would give further momentum to the bulls.
January on July 12, while Nifty did it for Close below 11260 on the weekly chart would
the first time on July 26. Currently, the Support for the medium term 11260 11200-11145
change the trend and trigger a retreat.
indices are trading at their peaks, making
higher highs on a daily basis. The broader of USD 72.45/barrel and thereby the range target at 11235-11250 level. In case
markets too witnessed bottom fishing and Indian rupee went off its all-time low, Nifty continues with the upside rally
have succeeded in breaking their prior which further buoyed the markets. even above 11375, we hold 11450 as the
major resistances, depicting trend reversal However, the markets did not react much immediate resistance. Above this, the
in Mid-cap and Small-cap indices. to the bounce-back in the oil prices level of 11550, followed by 11750, will act
above USD 75/barrel. as the major resistance, which is 80% of
The FIIs have turned net buyers for the the symmetric triangle pattern target in
first time after March 2018, reporting net Further, the RBI is expected to keep the the medium term.
equity investment of `2408.5 crore in the rates unchanged in its upcoming policy, Nifty has been making higher highs in
month of July. The DIIs continued to buy, despite higher CPI and WPI amid high daily trading sessions, except for a
but their buying remained modest in July fuel prices. We are at the doorstep of the one-day breather in-between.
2018 at `4503 crore, its lowest since release of macros and the core
February 2018. infrastructure output and PMI numbers However, the upside in the prices is
are likely to direct the markets followed accompanied with relatively falling
The revival in the domestic by auto sales numbers for July. volumes and the 14-period RSI hitting
macroeconomic numbers, followed by above 75. In case Nifty turns back from
robust corporate earnings for Q1FY19, Technically speaking, our benchmark the current levels, we hold 11260-11200
have acted as the catalysts for this index Nifty broke its major resistance at as the immediate supports, followed by
northward movement. Further, the Brent 11080, where it also breached its range of 11145-11095. The level of 10925 will act
oil had slipped below its crucial support 10925-11080. Nifty also surpassed its as the trend reversal in this case.
*LEGEND: EMA - Exponential Moving Average. MACD - Moving Average Convergence Divergence RMI - Relative Momentum Index
ROC - Rate of Change RSI - Relative Strength Index (Closing price as of July 31, 2018)
Disclaimer : Above recommendations are based on various technical parameters and any fundamental input has not been considered for the recommendations. Follow strict stop loss for the recommendation.
B
SE 532413/NSE listed Cerebra whereby Cerebra will make substantial The investment for this ultra modern
Integrated Technologies Ltd has gains in turnover and profits. Cerebra plant will be done from internal accruals
India’s largest e-waste recycling Middle East FZCO is a niche IT and it will be a major revenue earner by
facility currently with a capacity of distribution house offering data centre, the end of this financial year. Cerebra has
96000 MT per annum. This facility is security surveillance and IT started processing large quantities of
fully automated and pollution free .
According to a report by the International Telecommunication Union (ITU), a
Cerebra has informed the stock UN agency working in the field of information and communication
exchanges that it has commenced technologies, India discarded about 2 million tonnes, i.e. 2,000,000,000 kg,
construction of its second factory of electronic waste (e-waste) in 2016. And, the number is increasing steadily
building measuring 50,000 sq ft to house every year.
state-of-the-art, fully automated, ultra
modern, pollution-free, e-waste In its first phase, Cerebra has setup the e-waste recycling facility, and in the
recycling facility to handle white goods near future, it will be adding catalytic converters, tubelight and battery
specifically. The facility will be ready and recycling facilities other than the gold extraction facility. Cerebra is
fully operational by December 2018. The currently having offices across the country and has the infrastructure to
total facility now stands at 1,00,000 sq ft. collect e-waste pan-India.
Very soon with government support, which will encourage entire market
Cerebra was recently awarded 'CRISIL being handled by organised players only, Cerebra will gain with turnover
MSE 2' rating which indicates high and profits increasing substantially.
financial strength, high operating
performance and also high credit- infrastructure management solutions to e-waste and has now established
worthiness in relation to other SMEs. the Middle East and North Africa country-wide collection centres and will
The company has been performing well (MENA) regions. be expanding this further by identifying
with excellent results for FY2017-18. and establishing around 3000-plus third
During this period, the company This new facility will be an ultra modern party collection centres.
reported total revenue of `316.13 crore, facility capable of handling all white
EBITDA of `43.91 crore and EPS of goods, including refrigerators, washing The Government of India has brought
`2.75. machines, air-conditioners and ensure out a detailed set of rules under the
that it is safely disposed off without E-waste Handling Rules 2017 and it is
It is heard from market sources that the causing any pollution, without letting out working towards strengthening this law,
promoters of the company have been anything into the atmosphere, land or which ensures that the electronic waste
acquiring the shares through creeping water. This will be a state-of-the-art will not be handled by the informal
acquisition at regular intervals from the automated plant. With this new facility, sector and, thereby, ensuring that India
market and are now holding about 1.35 Cerebra will be having an unparalleled has pollution-free society and helps in
crore shares of the company. The infrastructure in the country of over one saving our planet from pollution.
When major indices are trading at record valuations and are technology for efficiency is a priority, growth financing comes
touching all-time highs in line with the US indices, the first in the priority list of majority of CFOs.
million-dollar question facing the investors is where are we
headed from here and what are the industry captains thinking We find that the Indian CFOs are optimistic on the economy
about India'a growth story? and in principle do not believe that the trade war is going to
impact the Indian companies too much. In fact, few of the
Investors definitely must be asking themselves - financial masterminds believe that India will emerge victorious
Are we going to get stronger from here on or weaker in in the trade war game, going forward. This sentiment is in
terms of corporate balance sheets and economy? sharp contrast with what the CFOs of major global
Are the corporate balance sheets immune from the risks conglomerates believe as per the latest Deloitte survey of global
of global trade war and where is the Indian currency CFOs.
headed vis-à-vis USD?
Majority of the CFOs we spoke to are planning for expansion,
While these questions are important for investors, there are thus reflecting their confidence in the economy and positive
many things an investor would want to know from a corporate sectoral outlook. CFOs of consumer-facing companies are
insider, including capex plans, organic or inorganic expansion bullish on the consumption story in India even as the CFO of
plans, future growth outlook, etc. In this special edition, we the NBFC company is betting on increasing financialisation of
have the insiders in the form of CFOs of major corporations in savings in India. While the CFO of a leading graphite player in
India being candid with us, sharing their optimism and outlook India is bullish on the prospects for the industry owing to the
for the economy and their vision for their own company. structural changes in the demand and supply, the outlook is
positive for the automotive industry in India as per the CFO of
CFOs are mastermind behind the growth strategy adopted by the leading automotive brand in India.
any company. The tightrope that a CFO has to walk to balance
growth with risk management without ignoring the corporate Overall, the India growth story is intact as per the financial
governance makes him a highly valuable player in the effort of captains of Corporate India. The focus areas for almost all of
wealth maximisation for the shareholders. As a master the CFOs is growth, corporate governance, keeping margins
strategist, a CFO has to be future ready and needs to own intact and continuously concentrating on improving market
analytics that improves predictive powers. While investing in share.
CFO, Tech Mahindra sure our processes and systems are in line What are the key growth
with the changing needs and demands of drivers for your company
the marketplace, and incorporating going forward?
technology changes like automation and
AI, and data analytics to help steer agile For Tech Mahindra, FY19 will be a year
decision-making. Last, but not the least, of digital transformation and growth.
Manoj Bhat has been associated with driving operating efficiencies and helping Our endeavour is to clock 40 per cent of
Tech Mahindra since 2006. He brings Tech Mahindra drive value creation for the overall revenue from digital over
with him a rich experience of more investors, customers and employees is a time. As part of our TechMNxt charter,
than 20 years in the IT and ITES priority area. we are betting big on the next gen
industry -- across various roles in technologies like Blockchain,
Finance, Corporate Planning & As a company, we have started this Cybersecurity, Artificial Intelligence
Development, Merger & journey well, but believe that we have to (AI), Machine Learning (ML), Internet
Acquisitions, and Strategy, and has keep the momentum and achieve a lot of Things (IoT), Robotics and Analytics.
played a key role in Tech Mahindra’s more.
organic and non-organic growth Our enterprise vertical has been
initiatives. Due to rationalisation of delivering growth over the last few years
onsite and offshore, what and our vertical presence and our service
He has been the Deputy CFO of Tech offerings across IT, BPS and engineering
Mahindra from 2013, with global impact do you think it will
services has enabled us to maintain this
responsibilities for Business Finance, have on your company mar- momentum. The communication vertical
Investor Relations and Corporate gins going forward? is also showing signs of growth after a
Planning. He is also handling the role Tech Mahindra is a global digital period of consolidation and investments
of ‘Head of Mergers and Acquisitions’ transformation provider with operations in digital and networks of the future.
for Tech Mahindra from 2011 and is in 90 countries serving over 926
responsible for the acquisition customers - this, apart from the partner Due to 5G implementation,
strategy of the company. and alliance ecosystem that we work what kind of opportunities do
with. Also, co-innovation with clients, you see for your company’s
Mr. Bhat has a Bachelors in
academia, industry as well as
Technology degree from IIT Mumbai
collaborating with start-ups form an
telecom vertical?
and a postgraduate diploma in integral part of our TECHMNxt charter. If we look at 5G , the key benefits of the
management (PGDM) from IIM 5G technology will be increased data
Bangalore. Our delivery models, therefore, are capacity and more flexible and agile
A K Sharma
Director (Finance), Indian Oil Corporation
growtha area, raising equity oil and gas production from international and domestic assets
through future acquisitions as a part of diversification of business risk, will also form
part of the integration drive. In future, the demand for cleaner fuels will be the
hallmark for a cleaner environment, wherein investing across the gas value chain will
Mr. A. K. Sharma is a Commerce & kick-start a new phase of growth.
Law graduate and a Chartered
Accountant. Mr. Sharma has rich and Further, disruption is the new buzzword in every sphere of business and oil and gas is
not an exception. Therefore, from a long term perspective, we would have to intensify
varied experience in Petroleum
our foray into alternate energy sources, while also establishing presence in waste-to-
Industry. He joined IndianOil in 1983
energy, bio-CNG, EV battery manufacturing and the like.
and has handled various assignments
in Finance function both in In all the above endeavours, technological advances would be harnessed to the hilt to
Marketing as well as the Refinery achieve speedier results. Of course, it has to be ensured that capital is available at the
Division of Indian Oil. As the Head of right cost for the above choices to be profitable, at the same time, the bigger challenge
Treasury, he was credited for issuing would be to prioritise the capital allocation to support such growth.
the first ever Foreign Currency Bonds
($500 million bonds REG-S) of What kind of technical changes you will have to make to
IndianOil in the International refineries to produce BS-VI fuel?
Markets in 2010. Mr. Sharma brings
with him the vast experience of You would be aware that for migration from BS-IV to BS-VI fuel, sulphur content of
Project appraisal, Project Finance and MS and HSD has to be reduced from 50 PPMW max (BS-IV) to 10 PPMW max
Treasury Operations. Mr. Sharma is (BS-VI). In the refineries, the sulphur from fuels, that is, from high speed diesel
also the Chairman of IndianOil (HSD) and motor spirit (MS) is removed through hydro-treating utilising hydrogen.
Mauritius Ltd., a subsidiary of The sulphur content in HSD is removed through units like diesel-hydro treating unit
IndianOil in Mauritius. (DHDT) and with respect to MS FCC gasoline (high sulphur component of MS) is
P B Balaji
Group CFO, Tata Motors
with path-breaking With regards to JLR, the contribution margins are healthy. We are keen to step up on
the operating leverage. Our portfolio is starting to fill up with plug-in hybrids and
technologies and electrics. That means that all the products which are there with electric options are
starting to sell exceedingly well. Range Rover, Range Rover Sport get their full model
innovationsa year impact as well this year. We are quite excited and expect to see both demand and
profitability improve in FY19 compared to last year
Lalit Malik
CFO, Dabur India Ltd
Mr. Lalit Malik is the CFO at Dabur As CFO of Dabur, what are your top three strategic priorities?
India Ltd. A Finance professional CFO's responsibility covers the 5 's of the business: Cost Control, Compliance,
with over three decades of experience Consistency, Continuous Improvement and Effective Communication. In a highly
in India and abroad, Lalit oversees the volatile environment where strong external headwinds and regulatory changes are the
Accounting, Business Support, order of the day, a CFO has to be forward thinking to not just manage the emerging
Financial Planning and Analysis, challenges but also ensure sustainable growth for his organisation.
Mergers & Acquisitions, Internal For me, the top three priorities will be:
audit and Tax functions at Dabur a. Being a partner in ensuring sustainable, profitable growth for Dabur
globally. He is a strong proponent of b. Ensuring complete statutory compliance and corporate governance
good Corporate Governance c. Ensuring control and cost savings
Practices and believes that
transparency is the key ingredient for
success of any organisation. What are the growth drivers for your company? Which product
segment are you expecting to show maximum growth?
Lalit is part of the core strategic group
at Dabur. As Dabur’s Joint Chief Risk There are three key pillars to Dabur’s growth strategy:
Officer, he has helped the company a. New product development
successfully navigate the emerging b. Expansion into new geographies
risks and the several structural c. Acquisition
changes in India’s Regulatory
Environment. Dabur has been witnessing a highly secular growth across all its key categories, which
has been reflected in the performance in Q1 of FY2018-19. Despite an increase in the
level of competitive intensity, our brands reported a robust performance during the
Lalit has been conferred with several
quarter, growing ahead of the market and delivering strong double-digit growth
prestigious awards like:
across all our key categories like health supplements, hair care, oral care, skin care,
Most Influential CFO’s of India – home care and foods. Our business has performed well on all operating parameters.
from CIMA. This strong performance reflects the robustness of our business model and our ability
to efficiently manage the emerging challenges. We have put in place a prudent growth
CFO Award for Excellence in strategy and continued to invest heavily behind our brands to successfully tap the
Contribution to the World of Finance emerging opportunities.
from – CFO India in 2016 and 2017.
Ranked among the Top 3 Best CFO’s The recent years have seen a marked increase in demand for Ayurveda and natural
by Business World Magazine in the products. This trend has been gaining momentum with the growing awareness about
consistent Liquidity Management the benefits of Ayurveda and Ayurvedic products. To tap these opportunities, Dabur
Category. strengthened its healthcare portfolio by introducing several time-tested Ayurvedic
remedies in modern day formats to cater to the new generation. In a market that
Naresh H. Bhansali
CEO – Finance, Strategy and Business Development and CFO
Emami Limited
Kumar Subbiah
CFO, CEAT
size of the market Can you throw some light on your capex plan?
In terms of capex plan, we have already stated that we would be spending about `4000
piea crore over the next 3-5 years. So that is our capex plan. It is a large amount of capex and
currently CEAT's balance sheet is reasonably healthy, particularly with respect to
leverage ratios, whether debt/equity, debt/EBIDTA, etc, so CEAT's consolidated basis
debt-equity ratio is 0.28 and standalone is 0.2 as on.June 30. So we have enough balance
sheet strength to fund capex, but considering that the capex amount is large, we are
planning to fund one-third of it from internal accruals and two-third through debt.
Kumar Subbiah joined CEAT in Feb However, it depends on the cash flow. We have already started expanding our capacity.
The first one is for truck and bus radial tyres at our existing location in Halol and we are
2015 after spending little over 20 years
going to set up one large modern passenger car radial plant in the southern part of India
with Unilever and Hindustan
near Chennai. So, we have clearly drawn out a plan in terms of where would be
Unilever, where he handled various investing that capex and how much for each of the categories is being worked out and
finance and commercial roles in India broadly shared also.
and outside India. Kumar is a B.Com
graduate from Loyola College,
In FY18, 61 per cent of your revenue was from replacement
Chennai. He is also a Chartered
Accountant and a Cost Accountant market. What is your strategy to ramp-up revenue from the OEM
with professional interests both in segment?
finance and supply chain.He is fond of Our original equipment share is very close to about 28-30 per cent. If you really look at
macroeconomics and information sales of tyres in India also, it would be a similar ratio between replacement and OEM.
technology. But when you really want to grow, we have to ensure is that we increase the size of the
Sanjay Upadhyay
Director - Finance & CFO, Deepak Nitrite
How has the role of CFO evolved over several years? How is CFO
in general influencing the strategy adopted by the company?
It is a fact that the role of CFO has changed over the past decade and it is still evolving
towards managing, growing and diversifying business. The number of CFOs has rapidly
grown due to the growing intellectual needs of the businesses. The evolution started
with presenting correct numbers, smart reporting, paving the way towards new
regulations for a healthy commercial world, installing of cost management and cost
leadership in an integrated ERP environment, managing working capital and capital
expenditure, enhancing return on capital and adhering to regulatory compliances etc.
CFO’s role has Gradually, the role did spread towards a greater involvement in the decision-making of
the business and came with an expectation towards providing deep and precise insights.
evolved from The commercial and financial considerations of all management decisions are vital to
enable the collective leadership to steer an organisation forward and this is where the
reporting numbers to CFO started having increasing strategic relevance.
managing businessa Today’s CFO fraternity is very different from what it used to be.
« They are able to partner their CEOs in creating a resilient but flexible business model
«They are analytical about data, regulations, business environment, competition;
which helps in effective facilitation of business needs
«CFOs now analyse their business model and ascertain how the model is amenable
towards adapting constant change
«CFOs are now very cautious about various known and unknown risks (e.g country-
specific risk, product/sector risk, product technology obsolescence risk, cyber risk,
Sanjay Upadhyay is an Associate etc) and they continuously find out ways to mitigate such risks
Member of the Institute of Cost «In recent times, lot of socio-economic-political changes have had severe impact on
Accountants of India. He is also a business and CFOs are now constantly striving towards establishing their business
Fellow Member of the Institute of in such a new regime
Company Secretaries of India. He has «Grasping future technological developments and application of AI in business
also completed Advanced «Developing, managing and retaining a focused team
Management Program from Wharton,
USA. He has vast experience in the What are the top three key challenges faced by you as a CFO?
areas of finance, accounts, commercial Kindly mention your top three priorities as a CFO in
and secretarial functions. He is implementing the business strategy and technology?
associated with the company since
The key challenges are:
1994. 1) Monitoring complexity and putting all the assets of the company into maximum
Please share with us your outlook on chemical Kindly highlight growth drivers for your com-
Intermediate space in which you operate? pany and the future prospects on the backdrop
of commissioning of phenol business?
India is the third largest producer of chemicals in Asia and
seventh largest in the world. As revealed by the National The commissioning of the greenfield project for manufacture of
Accounts Statistics 2017, the chemical industry constitutes 2.4% phenol and acetone is one of the foremost growth drivers in the
of India’s Gross Value Added (GVA). The chemical industry is a coming years. This project is set to commence commercial
critical component of the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) operations soon. This will make Deepak Phenolics Ltd the
and has 7.9% weight in the index. Its expansive portfolio of more company’s wholly-owned subsidiary as a market leader for
than 80,000 products makes Indian chemical industry one of the phenol and acetone in the country and also open up new
most diversified chemical industries in the world. According to a frontiers of growth for DNL. The outlook remains favourable as
report jointly published by FICCI and Tata Strategic phenol is finding new applications, resulting in increased local
Management Group, India ranks 14th in exports and 8th in demand, which has now crossed 320,000 tonnes per annum. As
imports of chemicals. the local supply is limited, the wide demand-supply gap is met by
increase in imports. Further, the availability of raw materials in
Based on properties and applications, India’s chemical industry the local market has eased considerably, while margins are
can be classified into seven major segments — bulk chemicals, improving. The combination of these factors is contributing to a
speciality chemicals, petrochemicals, pharmaceuticals, fertilisers, strong tailwind ahead of the commissioning.
agrochemicals and biotechnology. India’s chemical industry is
projected to double in size to $300 billion by 2025, growing at We are currently working on few downstream products of
nearly 10% annually, with specialty and agrochemical sectors phenol and acetone, and once we establish basic operations, we
leading the pace, thereby outgrowing the pace of growth of other shall bring in those products.
industries across the world. There are several other softer sides which have remained and
expected to remain strong growth drivers for our company:
We are witnessing encouraging opportunities across the «Sound corporate governance
chemicals and specialty chemicals landscape. China had been «Product portfolio to suit sustainable growth
the largest supplier of bulk chemicals for about last three «Sound environmental compliance leading to lapels like
decades, while it used to dominate intermediates and fine Responsible Care
Kailash B Gupta
CFO, INOX Leisure Ltd
Can you highlight the strategic initiatives that paid off well for
your company during your tenure as a CFO with the present
company? How did these help the company and investors who
have parked their money in your company's stocks?
Today's CFO is a The following key initiatives were undertaken:
« We entered into a fresh deal with a few ticket aggregators which in turn led to an
financial strategist additional revenue of approx. `100 crore over a period of three years.
« We formed centralised procurement cell to take advantage of bulk buying, better
and business adviser rates and to maintain integrity issues
« We introduced multiple banking arrangement in the company and optimised the
to the CEOa loan mix from Indian and foreign banks, leading to substantial savings in the form
of lower interest rates
Can you highlight a strategic initiative which paid off well for your company during
your tenure as a CFO with the present company? How did it help the company and
investors who have parked their money in your company's stocks?
The company framed a strategy to allocate more resources and focus on the K-12
content segment in FY2011-12 and embarked on an inorganic path to increase its
presence in this vertical. This strategy has played out largely as per plans and
resultedin the company growing at above 30% CAGR in the last six years.
Our initial investor Everstone Capital backed us on this strategy right from the start
Saurabh Mittal and made healthy returns with a part exit from our IPO in 2017.
CFO, S Chand & Company As a CFO what are the key challenges faced by you in achieving
the company’s objectives? How did you overcome them?
The key challenges include balancing allocation of capital and other resources to new
ventures which will pave the path for future growth without impacting the existing
business and ensuring margins are not diluted. The company must be disciplined
enough to allocate resources knowing that some venture would work and some may
not. The company has over the years invested into digital and service businesses, both
inhouse and outside, after understanding internal capabilities to spread the risk and
improve the probability of success in each of the ventures.
of companies in partner, the CFOsare not deprived of any limelight and they are already the face of
companies in India.
Indiaa Numbers are the primary things that you play with at work.
People in the outside world have a feel that CFOs are a set of
people who only understand numbers and kind of away from
other aspects of life. How much is this true? What further
needs to be done to ensure CFOs in India get their dues?
With the changing regulatory environment, corporate governance and information
technology available today, the role of the CFO is much more than numbers. The CFO
has to be an integral part of any decision-making process, be it new product
development, new line of business, marketing strategies, new production units, hiring
of talent, mergers and acquisitions etc. Every aspect of the business has a financial
impact and there must be a buy in with the CFO for the same.
Changing technology, What kind of impact do you see on debt due to investment in
content-driven film? Do you have any internal target ratio for
increased debt-to-equity?
bandwidths and The investments in premium content and distribution networks we have made over
the past few years are now clearly showing in our financials. We believe in
internet affordability maintaining a conservative balance sheet and our debt-to-equity ratio as on March 31
was 0.25, which is below the industry norms.
Retail
N
on-banking finance companies (NBFCs) have uncertainty in the financial markets. NBFCs, along with the
been on the radar of investors over the past few broader markets, have taken a beating in CY18.
years. Indeed, many of the leading NBFC players
have turned out to be multi-baggers, viz., Bajaj NBFCs, apart from being an integral part of the Indian financial
Finserv and Bajaj Finance. While the sector has system, play an important role in nation-building by
been riding on decent growth trajectory over the past 3 to 5 complementing the banking sector in reaching out to the
years, it is worth looking at the sector afresh amidst increasing unbanked segments of the populace in the country.
INTERVIEW
Nitasha Shankar `NBFC valuations are stretched at the
Sr. Vice President and Head of Research current levelsa
Yes Securities
Will NBFCs surprise on the earnings front in stocks from PSU bank stocks?
Q1FY19? We have been underweight on PSU banks for a while owing to
Non-food credit has grown at a healthy pace, albeit owing to a the concerns related to asset quality, recapitalisation woes and
favourable base effect on account of demonetisation. In weak business models. On the other hand, investors could
addition to this, favourable trends in consumer finance, auto certainly consider NBFCs in the affordable housing and
numbers, as well as positive traction in affordable housing consumer financing segments.
segment would help drive the topline for most of the NBFCs
lending to these segments. However, the rising cost of How are valuations looking for NBFC stocks?
borrowings can pose a threat to the NIMs. We believe that Valuations are stretched at the current levels. However, we
housing finance and consumer finance companies could yield believe that the capital markets would see volatility in the
positive surprises in the ongoing earnings season. months leading up to the state and general elections. Therefore,
any dips could provide a good opportunity to accumulate
Should an individual investor shift to NBFC quality stocks in the NBFC segment.
While most NBFCs touched their 52-week highs in January, However, NBFCs have been directed to prepare their
many NBFCs touched their 52-week lows in the first half of July books of account according to new Indian Accounting
alone. This indicates the massive correction that has taken place Standards (Ind-AS) from FY19.
in the NBFC stocks. The increasing number of stocks touching
their 52-week lows in July also indicates that the prices of many of Due to convergence of Ind-AS to IFRS, the companies
the NBFC stocks are bottoming out. which are having zero coupon bonds, structured debt,
preference shares on their balance sheet and a higher
Month-Wise 52-Week Low Data share of unstable fees and higher ESOP cost are likely
No. of Stocks to have adverse impact.
Month 52-week High 52-week Low
July 3 14 This convergence is also likely to change the way
June 6 8 companies do their business related to liabilities,
May 6 2 employee compensation, structuring their loans and
April 5 0 securitisation/assignment etc.
March 0 7
February 2 4 Housing finance companies (HFCs) are well-poised for
January 13 0 the changeover to new Ind-AS. On the other hand,
corporate lenders are likely to face challenges.
NBFC Stocks Hitting 52-Week Low In First-Half Of July
Company 52-week Low date
Indostar Capital Finance 13-Jul-18
Capital First 13-Jul-18
Greencrest Financial Services
Can Fin Homes
13-Jul-18
13-Jul-18 Maket outlook
PTC India Financial Services 11-Jul-18
The Investment Trust of India 09-Jul-18
Oswal Greentech
IDFC
06-Jul-18
05-Jul-18
Rishi Kohli
Vardhman Holdings 05-Jul-18 Chief Investment Officer & MD
Shriram City Union Finance 04-Jul-18
Reliance Capital 04-Jul-18
ProAlpha Capital
`Nifty has been climbing new highs and
LIC Housing Finance 04-Jul-18
Housing & Urban Development Corporation 04-Jul-18
SREI Infrastructure Finance 03-Jul-18
is expecting to touch a record benchmark of
NBFC Stocks Touching 52-Week Lows In July After Trading At 12500. If the trend persists, exhibiting a
52-High In January 2018 continuous upward trend, Nifty can cross
Name of the stock 52-week high date 52-week low date
Vardhman Holdings 05-Jan-18 05-Jul-18 the mark in the coming 6 months.
Motilal Oswal Financial Services 09-Jan-18 28-Jun-18 Meanwhile, the Midcaps have bounced back
IDFC 15-Jan-18 05-Jul-18
Capital First 15-Jan-18 13-Jul-18
and seem to have been corrected and
Reliance Nippon Life Asset Mgmt. 16-Jan-18 01-Jun-18 reinitiated brisk movements. In the present
Paisalo Digital 18-Jan-18 14-Jul-17 scenario, considering aspects from both the
HDFC 29-Jan-18 26-Jul-17
angles, Indian markets are on the way of
NBFC Stocks Hitting 52-Week High In First-Half Of July finding its luster and a bounce is clearly on
Company 52-week High date
the cards
Bajaj Finance Ltd.
Bajaj Finserv Ltd.
13-Jul-18
13-Jul-18
a
60 DALAL STREET INVESTMENT JOURNAL I AUG 06 - 19, 2018 DSIJ.in
Where to focus in the NBFC space? Conclusion
We find that the RoEs for the consumer finance companies are NBFCs are expected to gain market share owing to the stress on
higher than the RoEs for HFCs. HFCs on an average are public sector banks. The digital disruption among the micro,
reflecting a couple of percentage points higher RoEs when small and medium enterprises is on the rise and NBFCs
compared to transport finance companies. Investors can hunt adopting advanced analytics solutions and technology may do
for opportunities in HFCs and consumer finance companies. well in terms of improving their market share.
Housing Finance Companies
ROE (%) The NBFCs are expected to perform in line with estimates in
Indiabulls Housing Finance Ltd. 25.5 Q1FY19. The results for the likes of Bajaj Finance and Shriram
LIC Housing Finance Ltd. 19.07 Transport, which are consumer-facing lenders, have been
Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd. 18.57
better-than-expected.
Repco Home Finance Ltd. 17.27
Dewan Housing Finance Corporation Ltd. 14.17
Looking at the prospects for the NBFC sector going forward,
PNB Housing Finance Ltd. 13.15
Housing & Urban Development Corporation Ltd. 9.56
there is a good case for investors to include NBFC stocks in the
diversified portfolio.
Average RoEs 16.75
Transport Finance Companies Investors can focus on HFCs that are witnessing growth owing
ROE(%) to affordable homes and also identify opportunities in
Cholamandalam Investment & Finance Company 20.58 consumer-facing lending businesses. With heavy bouts of
Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services 12.5 selling in mid-caps and small-caps in H1CY18, several NBFC
Shriram Transport Finance Company 13 stocks have shed their gains accumulated in 2017.
Average RoEs 15.36
Investors should scout for those stocks where the growth and
Consumer Finance Companies fundamentals are intact, while the stock prices have fallen more
RoE (%) than warranted.
Capital First 24.6
Bajaj Finserv 15
Definitely, there is potential for growth in the NBFC space, but
Average RoE 19.8 the valuations should not be ignored by long term investors. DS
QueryBoard Query-Specific
HOLD EXIT
BSE/NSE Code 511243 / CHOLAFIN BSE Code 532760 / DEEPIND
Face Value `10 Face Value `10
CMP `1432.40 CMP `106.80
52-Week High `1,760.75 / Low `1,052.95 52-Week High `269.70 / Low `79.10
Your Current (12.64 per cent) Your Current (41.11 per cent)
Profit/(Loss) Profit/(Loss)
C D
holamandalam Investment & Finance Corporation is eep Industries Ltd caters to oil and gas industry. Its
part of Murugappa Group having interest in CV segment includes exploration and production (E&P) of
financing and loan against property (LAP) financing. oil and gas. In service business, the company is involved
As on March 31, 2018, the company’s AUM stood at `43,830 in workover and drilling rigs, natural gas compression and
crore, which has witnessed a growth of 20 per cent CAGR over natural gas dehydration.On the financial front, the company’s
the last 10 years. The company has transformed itself from net sales for Q4FY18 was at `79.1 crore, representing marginal
financing LCVs to financing of two-wheelers, tractors, increase of 5.6 per cent from Q4FY17. However, the net profit
construction equipments, cars, etc. Besides, the company also during the quarter dipped almost 20 per cent YoY to `18.6
started financing used and new vehicles. The NII for the crore. Looking at the company’s full year performance, net sales
quarter rose by 34 per cent YoY to `891 crore in Q4FY18 for FY18 rose almost 12 per cent YoY to `312.7 crore. The net
versus `665 crore in the corresponding quarter previous year. profit for the full year grew marginally by 4.7 per cent YoY to
The interest income for the company grew by 24.6 per cent `77.5 crore. The company is in the process of separating its
YoY to `1511 crore in Q4FY18. The provisions for the quarter services business and E&P business in two separate listed
rose by 40.6 per cent YoY to `73.6 crore in Q4FY18 as against entities. This will result in own management expertise and
`52.3 crore in Q4FY1. As a result, the net profit for the quarter financial and operational resources. However, Central Bureau
rose to `291 crore in Q4FY18 as compared with `219.6 crore in of Investigation (CBI) has filed a case against 13 officials of
the corresponding quarter previous year. Strong traction in ONGC and Deep Industries after complaint filed by ONGC’s
infrastructure and construction activity is expected to give vigilance department regarding contract worth `312 crore
boost to commercial vehicle cycle, which in turn would benefit awarded to Deep Industries in 2014 by ONGC for supply of gas
commercial vehicle financing. Being one of the largest dehydration units. In this case, Deep Industries has filed
commercial vehicle financing company, Cholamandalam is petitions with the high court in Hyderabad. we will have to wait
likely to benefit from this development. Thus, we recommend till the court gives its verdict. Thus, we recommend our
our reader-investors to HOLD this stock. reader-investors to EXIT this stock.
Readers are requested to send only one query at a time so that more readers get a chance. For complaints regarding non-receipt of
dividend, bonus, rights and other matters, investors may write to www.investor.sebi.gov.in
Vol.
Vol.No.
No.31
33 No.18
No. 17
Query:
Send in your queries:
DSIJ Pvt. Ltd.
C-305, 3rd Floor, Trade Center,
Name: North Main Road, Near Axis Bank,
Opp. Lane No. 6, Koregaon Park,
Address:
Pune - 411001
E-mail: Email:[email protected]
HOLD EXIT
BSE/NSE Code 539437 / IDFCBANK BSE/NSE Code 539056 / ADLABS
Face Value `10 Face Value `10
CMP `40.00 CMP `34.85
52-Week High `70.35 / Low `35.85 52-Week High `88.50 /Low `31.75
Your Current (19.40 per cent) Your Current --
Profit/(Loss) Profit/(Loss)
I A
DFC Bank, a part of Infrastructure Development Finance dlabs Entertainment Ltd is engaged in the business of
Corporation Ltd (IDFC Ltd), is a private sector bank. IDFC development and operations of theme-based
Ltd received a universal banking licence from RBI in July entertainment destinations in India, including theme
2015 and started operations in October 2015. The bank serves parks, water parks and associated activities, including retail
corporate and private customers in India, including the merchandising and food and beverages. Its segments include
infrastructure sector that IDFC Ltd specialised in since its tickets, restaurants, merchandise, hotel and other operations.
inception in 1997. The bank offers fixed deposits, debit cards,
savings account, cash management and other services. IDFC Adlabs also owns and operates an integrated entertainment
Bank plans to build a network of more than one lakh points-of- holiday destination, Imagica, which includes a theme park, a
presence in the coming months to enable people across the water park, a snow park, a hotel and other associated activities
country to transact digitally. The private lender plans to set up like retail and merchandise, and food and beverages (F&B). Its
about 30,000 micro ATMs and about 75,000 Aadhaar Pay project is branded as Adlabs Imagica for the theme park
merchant points. While the micro ATMs function as a bank-in- component and Adlabs Aquamagica for the water park
a-box, most of the Aadhaar Pay merchants will be converted into component. The company also owns and operates Novotel
business correspondents and will deliver basic financial services. Imagica, Khopoli, a theme park-based hotel. It also owns and
operates a range of F&B outlets at Imagica, which include
IDFC reported a 76 per cent plunge in its quarterly profit due to Roberto’s Food Court, Red Bonnet, Imagica Capital, Zeze Bar
jump in provisions to cover bad loans. Its net profit stood at and Grill themed on an African Zulu village.
`41.93 crore ($6.3 million) for the quarter ended March 2018 as
compared with `176 crore a year ago. Gross bad loans as a On the financial front, the company posted net sales of `50.83
percentage of total loans stood at 3.31 per cent in Q4FY18 as crore in Q4FY18 as compared to `55.67 crore in Q4FY17. The
compared with 5.62 per cent in the preceding quarter and 2.99 company’s reported a negative PBDT of `17.47 crore in Q4FY18
per cent a year ago period. Provisions and contingencies surged as compared to a negative PBDT of `18.05 crore in FY17. Also,
to `242 crore in the March quarter from `4.8 crore in the same the company reported a loss of `40.07 crore in Q4FY18 as
quarter previous year. compared to a loss of `31.18 crore in Q4FY17.
On an annual basis, the company posted net sales of `236.29
On an annual basis, its operating income stood at `3056 crore crore in FY18 as compared to `238.29 crore in FY17. The
from `3030 crore in FY17. The company’s PAT declined to company’s PBDT loss widened to `62.75 crore in FY18 as
`859 crore in FY18 from `1020 crore in FY17. The bank’s EPS against `58.53 crore in FY17. The company’s net loss widened to
declined from `3 in FY17 to `2.5 in FY18. `155.17 crore in FY18 from a loss of `117.14 crore in FY17.
With the merger of Capital First, IDFC may finally be able to The company has a debt-to-equity of 2.73x. The company has
shed its image as an infrastructure finance company. The low interest coverage ratio. Further, the company has a negative
merger could be a way for the bank to build its retail book, return on equity of -22.98 per cent for the last three years. Also,
something it has been unable to do since becoming a bank. If the promoters have pledged over 63 per cent of their holdings.
an investor can wait for 5 years, then we recommend a HOLD on We don’t recommend a fresh entry in the stock. We recommend
the stock. our reader-investors to EXIT the stock.
(Closing price as on July 31, 2018)
S
anwariya Consumer Ltd (SCL) was maida, besan, daliya, and soya meal etc.
recommended in volume 33, No.
10, dated April 16-29, 2018, under On the financial front, the company
the ‘Low Priced Scrip’ when the stock posted 4 per cent growth in net sales to
was trading at `21.25. The `1,200 crore in Q1FY19 as against
recommendation was backed by the `1,152 crore in Q1FY18. The PBDT of
company’s product diversification, the company for Q1FY19 has grown
robust financials and its tie-up with significantly by 78 per cent to `41 crore
Patanjali. versus `23 crore in Q1FY18. The net company has shown a steep growth as
profit of the company has jumped 77 per well, increasing by 117 per cent to `124
Sanwaria Consumer Limited is an cent to `32 crore in Q1FY19 as against crore in FY18 from `57 crore in FY17.
India-based fast-moving consumer `18 crore in Q1FY18. The company posted net profit of `84
goods (FMCG) food processing crore in FY18 as against `43 crore in
company. The company manufactures On an annual basis, the company’s FY17, a growth of 95 per cent.
and sells rice, edible oil and staple food revenue has grown by 43 per cent to
products, such as pulses, sugar, soya `5054 crore in FY 2018 as against We recommend a HOLD considering the
chunks, wheat flour, rice flour, salt, suji, `3,512 crore in FY17. The PBDT of the good performance of the company.
W
e had recommended IFB components and tools to related
Industries in volume 33, issue machines, such as straighteners,
no 4 dated Jan 22 – Feb 4, decoilers and strip loaders.
2018 under Choice Scrip section when
the stock was trading at `1460.10. Our On the financial front, looking at the
recommendation was based on strong recently concluded quarter Q1FY19, the
fundamentals (virtually debt-free sales increased by 22.2 per cent YoY to
company), new product launches and `614.6 crore as against `503.1 crore in
IFB Industries’ focus on domestic the corresponding quarter previous year. Currently, the company has 422 IFB
production. The EBITDA grew by 56.2 per cent YoY exclusive stores and targets to achieve
to `32 crore during the quarter from 475 to 500 over the next three months.
IFB Industries’ operates in engineering `20.5 crore in the corresponding quarter Notably, with recent cut in GST rate from
and home appliances business. It has two last year. 28 per cent to 18 per cent, the company is
divisions: fine blanking and home planning to cut the price of the
appliances. The home appliances division The EBITDA margin improved by ~113 appliances by 8-9 per cent. This would
includes washing machines, clothes bps to 5.2 per cent in the quarter. The net result in further boost in demand for the
dryers, dishwashers, microwave ovens, profit during the quarter increased by electronic appliances. Considering all the
air-conditioners, chimneys, refrigerators, 104.6 per cent YoY to `14.2 crore as aspects, we recommend our reader-
modular kitchens, built-in ovens and against `7 crore in the corresponding investors to HOLD this stock. DS
Kerbside sources such as brokers, analysts, dealers and investment strategists, etc. These
recommendations may not be backed by strong fundamentals. Therefore we advise
readers to use their own discretion before investing in these recommendation
AND FINALLY..
Lemon Tree Hotels
BSE Code: 541233
CMP: `78.25
This stock from the hotel sector has been buzzing this year as the occupancy
rate recorded highest growth over a decade as per a report. Moreover,
factors such as increasing disposable income has presented a rosy picture
for this sector. Among all the hotel stocks, the stock of Lemon Tree Hotels
looks attractive as it has presence in NCR, Bengaluru, Hyderabad and
Chennai, as well as tier-I and tier-II cities of Pune, Ahmedabad and
Chandigarh. It plans to enter new markets like Mumbai, Kolkata and Patna
and has a development pipeline of 3,000 rooms across 28 new hotels in 21
new cities. Along with this, the company focuses on ‘Value for Money’ and
offers attractive room rates for middle income domestic travellers. This hotel
stock could light up the fortune of your portfolio. DS
facebook.com/DSIJin twitter.com/DSIJ
T
he mutual fund industry has come a long way since idea. I suggest you give an insight on some investment
1993, when the first private sector players entered the opportunities which can be used in down markets. I would like
space. In July 1993, Kothari Pioneer, a joint venture to read more innovative stories on mutual fund investments.
between Chennai-based Kothari Group and
US-based Pioneer Mutual Fund, was the first private sector - Nikhil Kulkarni
asset management company to get licence to launch MF
products. Prior to that, the MF space in India was largely Editor Responds: Thank you for appreciating our stories. It is the
dominated by government-owned institutions and banks. But endeavour of our editorial team to keep you updated on innovative
contrary to the general expectation that entry of private players ways of understanding mutual funds. We assure you that we will
would take the industry growth to the next level, the MF space continue to publish out of box MF stories for our readers.
remained a non-starter even after the entry of foreign firms
such as Morgan Stanley. For the next ten years, AUMs of the
industry grew at a laggardly rate of 10.5 per cent per year.
Cover Story
Building A
Winning
Portfolio
F
inancial independence, though desired by many, is among retail investors. These funds are categorised on various
achieved by very few. Making a winning and parameters. For example, in terms of size, these are categorised
sustainable portfolio will help you to achieve it. There as small-cap, mid-cap and large-cap funds, and in terms of
is no secret mantra or rocket science to attain your sectors, some of the categories include healthcare, information
financial independence early and securely. The technology, banking, real estate, etc. There are also funds that
formula is well researched, documented and open to all. The invest in equities of other countries known as international
only problem is, however, it is followed by very few. It requires a funds.
well-planned strategy and a disciplined approach. Garry
Kasparov, a Russian chess grandmaster, famously said, "If you According to SEBI’s rule, there are 10 types of equity schemes.
change your strategy frequently, you don't really have one." Depending upon the category, these funds invest in a given set of
Hence, you need to stick to the strategy to attain your financial stocks. For example, a large-cap fund needs to invest a minimum
goals. This story will illustrate the assets you need to invest in, of 80% of its total assets in equity and equity-related instruments
the ideal proportion of assets and how the proportion should of large-cap companies. Every category has its own risk-return
change with times. profile, which helps investors to select the right category of
equity funds that suits their own risk-return profiles.
Before going into the details, it is important to know the various
components that form the basic building blocks of your Debt Funds
portfolio. If you are a mutual fund investor, there are various This is probably lesser explored instrument by retail investors.
products available for you to choose from, primary among them Mutual funds that invests in fixed income securities are known
being equity and debt. Although direct investment in these as debt funds. Every individual debt is issued with a fixed
underlyings might help you, however, investment through maturity date, that is, the date when investors are repaid the
mutual funds is recommended as it requires lesser supervision principal amount of the bond. A typical debt fund, depending
and time on your part. Maybe we are biased and believe that upon its category, keeps on buying new funds to replace the
investing via mutual funds is the best route for most of the bonds that are maturing. Therefore, at any given point of time,
investors in most of the situations. Before we embark on the a debt fund might be holding some long-term bonds, some
journey of making a sustainable portfolio, we need to know intermediate-term bonds and some short-term bonds that are
about these two primary investment avenues available to us. nearing maturity. The weighted average term to maturity of the
cash flows from these funds also called duration determines
Equity Funds their category. For example, for a short duration fund, the
This is probably the most known category of mutual funds weighted average term should be between one year and 3 years.
Cover Story
Similarly, for a long duration fund, it should be greater than 7 It is easier said than done to invest in bond funds, as there are
years. The importance of the maturity period is that it is used as more varieties in bond funds than equity funds. The simple rule
a measure by bond fund investors to determine if a particular is to select a bond fund having duration (explained earlier) that
bond is appropriate for them, considering their time horizon matches your investment time horizon. For example, if you
and risk tolerance levels. The higher the duration of maturity, need money in the next three years, then you can invest in short
the more sensitive the fund would be to changes in the interest duration bonds that have duration of 1-3 years. You should
rate. Taking an example of fund with duration of 4 years, a avoid investing in bond funds that have a duration longer than
bond fund investor should expect a decline in their investment your investment time horizon. Also, do not try to time your
value by 4 per cent for every single percentage increase in the purchase/sale with interest rate hike/cut. Keep your investments
interest rate. Similarly, its value increases by the same in bond funds simple.
percentage in case the rate declines.
The next obvious question that may come to your mind is how
Why To Invest In Bond Funds much of your total portfolio should go into bond funds.
Having understood the bond funds, you might question why Although, a popular rule of thumb is to own your age in bond
should you be investing in them? The reason is that bond and funds. This means that if you are 30-year-old, you should invest
bond funds have a low correlation to stocks or equity funds and 30% in bond funds and 70% in equity funds. Nevertheless, this
hence they act as a stabilising force for your portfolio. For approach will not give you optimum results and you should
example, during 2008, when equity funds were down by consider factors such as your financial background, financial
anywhere between 35 per cent to 75 per cent, depending upon goals, risk tolerance and returns expectations to arrive at
the categories, bond funds during the same period on an amount you need to allocate to bond funds.
average gave positive return and the best medium-term debt
funds generated return of more than 20 per cent. Asset Allocation: The Cornerstone Of Successful Investing
Top 5 Funds based on one-year returns (2008) The most fundamental decision you will ever make in investing
is the allocation of your assets. How much should you own in
Equity Diversified Debt – Medium Term
stock, bonds and cash. Some of you might be thinking there are
1 Year 1 Year
Fund Name
Return (%)
Fund Name
Return (%) other investment avenues too like commodity, bullion, etc.
Birla Sun Life Asset Allocation Aggre. -35.68 Canara Robeco Income 28.62 Nonetheless, research shows that investments in stocks, bonds,
FT India Life Stage FoF 20s -40.7 IDFC Dynamic Bond Plan A 26.35 and cash have proven to be a successful combination of
IDFC Imperial Equity -43.03 IDFC SSI Inv Plan A 24.25 securities for portfolio construction and is a primary
UTI MNC -43.1 ICICI Prudential Income 23.56 determinant of your portfolio returns.
Sahara Growth -43.22 Birla Sun Life Income Plus 21.58
Some of the research shows more than 90% of the portfolio
The below diagram clearly shows why you need to invest in debt return is determined by allocating right amount of funds in
funds. The table summarises what would have been your returns these asset classes. In the year 2003, the Vanguard Group did a
(%) in year 2008, had you invested in equity and debt both in study using 40 years of data of 420 balanced mutual funds
different proportion. Although, an event like 2008 is rare, the which invests in both equity and debt. It found that 77 per cent
only problem is that such events do not come with warning and of the variability in return was determined by the asset
can pop out from nowhere and catch you off guard. Hence, a allocation policy of the fund rather than selection of individual
portion of your fund should always be invested in bond funds. securities.
Equity Holding (The number in boxes represents return (%) by holding equity and debt in various proportion.)
50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0%
50% -8.14 -6.08 -4.02 -1.97 0.09 2.15 4.21 6.26 8.32 10.38 12.44
55% -4.84 -2.78 -0.72 1.34 3.39 5.45 7.51 9.57 11.62 13.68
60% -1.54 0.52 2.58 4.64 6.69 8.75 10.81 12.87 14.92
65% 1.77 3.82 5.88 7.94 9.99 12.05 14.11 16.17
Debt 70% 5.07 7.12 9.18 11.24 13.30 15.35 17.41
Holding 75% 8.37 10.42 12.48 14.54 16.60 18.65
80% 11.67 13.73 15.78 17.84 19.90
85% 14.97 17.03 19.08 21.14
90% 18.27 20.33 22.38
95% 21.57 23.63
100% 24.87
Numbers in green colour reflect 100% of your money is invested in a combination of debt and equity with varying percentages. Returns by debt and
equity are the average returns generated by these categories during 2008
4 DALAL STREET INVESTMENT JOURNAL I DEC 26, 2016 - JAN 8, 2017 DSIJ.in
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How To Design Your Wining Portfolio A middle-aged investor's portfolio (30’s to 40’s)
'One size does not fit all' so goes the adage, which is aptly Funds Dedicated to % of Assets
applicable in the case of designing a portfolio. Therefore, before Cash 5%
you build your portfolio, there are few basic questions you need Domestic Large Cap Equity 30%
to answer. First, you should know your goals, whether it is to Domestic mid/small cap Equity 15%
finance your home, child’s education or a vacation at one of the International Funds 10%
exotic locations abroad. The second question that need to be Intermediate-term bond 20%
answered is about your investment horizon. Short-term bond 20%
Depending upon the horizon, a right mix of assets is An investor nearing retirement (in early 50s)
determined. Stocks are usually unsuitable for short time frames. An Investor nearing retirement
Besides, you should know your risk tolerance as it imposes a Funds Dedicated to % of Assets
discipline in your investment and helps you resist performance Cash 10%
chasing. Diversified domestic Equity 20%
Diversified international equity 10%
Equity Portfolio Intermediate-term bond 30%
To get the maximum benefit of diversification, the stock Short term bond 30%
allocation should be further divided between various sub-
categories. This is because different type of stocks performs An investor in late retirement (late 50s and 60s)
differently at different points of time. Therefore, it is advisable Funds Dedicated to % of Assets
to have as many different types of stocks as is reasonable Cash 20%
practical. For example, the mid-cap and small-cap stocks, and Diversified domestic Equity 30%
hence the funds dedicated to these categories, are down by Intermediate-term bond 30%
10-15% in the last six months. In the year 2017, these stocks Short term bond 20%
were the darlings of the investors and some of the funds were
even up by 50%. Besides, cap-wise category, international stocks Track your progress and rebalance whenever necessary
are also another option that helps you to diversify your equity Making a portfolio is your first step towards achieving your
portfolio. In the last one year, the international funds have financial goal. The next step is to keep track of your progress and
generated return of 12 per cent. This return is better than many keep on rebalancing whenever necessary. Rebalancing is simply
other categories. the act of bringing your portfolio back to your target asset
allocation after it has drifted from the required or desired level
Bond Portfolio due to various factors including change in your financial goal or
The bond part of your portfolio should remain simple. A single age. For example, you are in 20s and 45% of your portfolio
low-cost short or intermediate-term good quality fund should comprises of equity diversified funds, but after a year, equity
be adequate in most of the cases. The only thing that you should prices have surged, and your equity portion reaches 55% of your
take care of is the duration of the bond should not be greater portfolio, so you need to sell 10% of equity portion to bring back
than your expected investment time frame to meet your goal. If to the desired asset allocation. Rebalancing forces you to follow
the duration of your bond fund is lower than your investment the classical investment rule, that is, 'sell high and buy low'. You
horizon, it reduces the chance of a negative return. sell your outperforming assets and buy underperforming assets.
This helps you to improve your portfolio returns as returns from
Finally, Your Portfolio any asset class tends to revert to the mean over time. This means
It is not only difficult, but also impossible to recommend a outperforming assets may underperform going forward, and
specific portfolio that suits everyone, as each investor is unique vice-versa. There are various methods of rebalancing your
and has unique needs and requirements. They may be different portfolio, which you can chose based on their suitability to you.
in terms of their goals, time frames, risk tolerance and their There are only two considerations you need to consider while
financial background. Nevertheless, the following portfolio rebalancing. The first is cost and the second is tax. You need to
may act as a guide to make a winning portfolio for you. You check the impact of these two to make your re-balancing fruitful.
may tweak it little bit here and there to make a portfolio that
suits you. It is assumed that you have emergency cash savings Making a winning portfolio is incredibly simple if you follow the
to the tune of 3-12 months of income. above rules. Create a diversified portfolio based on your goals and
A Young Investor's Portfolio (In his 20’s) age. Keep track of your investments and rebalance them whenever
Funds Dedicated to % of Assets necessary to stay on course. A simple thumb rule of your portfolio
Cash 5%
is it should pass ‘sleep test’. If you sleep soundly without worrying
Domestic Large Cap Equity 45%
too much about your investment, you have struck the right cord.
Domestic mid/small cap Equity 30%
There is no investment worth worrying about and losing sleep
Intermediate-term bonds 20%
over. The volatility in the market is its inherent nature—it should
not worry you too much, but you should live with it comfortably. DS
DSIJ.in DEC 26, 2016 - JAN 8, 2017 I DALAL STREET INVESTMENT JOURNAL 5
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Special Report
T
he recent market correction was just like a horrible What are international funds?
dream for the investors which has snatched their An international fund is a type of mutual fund which invests in
peace and offered a worry to the investors firms in countries other than the ones they reside, so these
regarding the returns they earn through the mutual funds are also called overseas or foreign funds. These funds are
fund investing and stock market investing. bit riskier as these funds invest in the foreign securities, but
these are poised to garner higher returns in the longer run.
In the recent months the major equity benchmark indices
Sensex and Nifty have recovered but still the mutual fund Categories to invest in International Mutual funds
schemes are facing challenges to perform. Then where should International mutual funds invest in three ways geographically,
investor invest, what are the potential opportunities for the thematic and direct.
investor. As of now if we see the equity funds from large cap,
mid cap and small cap space are been underperforming the By Geography - The international funds invest across the
benchmarks and even the stretched valuations of the stocks geography differently. For instance, Kotak US Equity Fund -
won’t allow them to give better returns in near terms. So, Direct (G) and icici prudential us blue-chip equity fund invests
investor need to curtail down their returns expectation from dominantly in companies/securities that are listed on the stock
the Indian equity markets. exchanges of in the UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. In the
same way Edelweiss Greater China Equity fund invest in the
But the question remains that how one can cope up with the securities from China. So, investors should always look where
situation how they can meet their financial goals for this to invest before investing in these funds.
instead investing more into the Indian markets one should look
into the investing opportunities in the developed markets. Sectoral or Thematic - Some of the International funds invest
in companies which are from a sector or theme which is
For this international fund are the great option for investors expected to perform well. For instance, Gold fund, Real estate
which allows them to take exposure in the foreign equities. fund, Agriculture Fund, pharma fund etc.
These funds are great options for diversification, but investors
should know how these funds work. Fund of Funds or direct investment - Some of the
6 DALAL STREET INVESTMENT JOURNAL I DEC 26, 2016 - JAN 8, 2017 DSIJ.in
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Special Report
international funds are fund of funds that is these funds invest will benefit with this. That is, he can gain even in just the
directly in the funds instead of the companies. In this case currency movements. Investor investing in the international
Indian fund manager just collect or pool of investment from fund invest in its local currency which is INR for Indian
investors and invest in their parent fund which is managed by investor which is further changed to other currency, so he earns
fund manager who is managing fund in the country where the returns on every increase the international currency where he
money is invested. So, these funds are the good options as the has invested.
fund manager who is managing the parent fund have a keen
knowledge of fundamental attributes. So current rupee depreciation also accounts for the wealth of
the investors if they invest in international funds. So instead of
So, now the question is does these funds are the good options redeeming existing equity investment one can invest in the
for now? Are these funds being beneficial of reaping returns in international funds with a moderate exposure of 10%-15% to
the current market situation. For this we need to understand just safeguard returns and push the performance of the
the current market situation and rupee depreciation and then portfolio. US focussed equity funds can be one of the best bets
we can conclude does these funds are good in current situation among the international funds to negate the impact of rupee
or not. depreciation.
1-Year Net
Expense
Fund Category Return Assets
Ratio (%)
(%) (Cr)
Franklin India Feeder Franklin
Equity-
US Opportunities Fund - Direct 0.82 30.86 597.05
With this correlation if we consider the current market International
Plan
condition, with all the macro traps rupee has been depreciated DSP BlackRock US Flexible Equity-
2.03 25.2 190.82
which statistically indicates the good performance of the S&P Equity Fund - Direct Plan International
500 in the near terms. So, investing in the international funds Reliance US Equity Opportunities Equity-
1.75 24.06 16.59
could be a high return game for the investors. Fund - Direct Plan International
DSP BlackRock World Energy Equity-
2.53 23.67 21.67
Fund - Direct Plan International
The risks these funds have currency risk, but in the current DSP BlackRock World Mining Equity-
situation where INR is depreciated against US dollar, investors 2.14 21.82 35.92D
Fund - Direct Plan International S
8 DALAL STREET INVESTMENT JOURNAL I DEC 26, 2016 - JAN 8, 2017 DSIJ.in
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MF Select
DSP BlackRock Tiger Fund - Direct Plan
Equity: Sectoral-Infrastructure 23%
Scheme Category *Expected Return In Next One Year
Monthly Returns
Returns (%)
This might not be top ranked fund, however, looking at risk-reward opportunity we recommend this fund. * Expected one year return is based on the assumption that current holdings remain constant.
Goal Planning
Abhishek Agarwal
Director, Eastern Financiers Ltd
10 DALAL STREET INVESTMENT JOURNAL I DEC 26, 2016 - JAN 8, 2017 DSIJ.in
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hence you will have lower maximum loss tolerance. Asset Age-Based Asset Allocation Strategies
allocation based on MLP is quite practical as it is based on how The Rule of 100 is a popular asset allocation thumb rule. Simply
investors react in adverse situations and protects their interest put, you subtract the investor’s age from 100, and the result
in such situations. suggests the maximum percentage of equity investment. So, for
a 30 year old investor, this rule suggests that 70% of his/her
Good old strategy - 50/50 Asset Allocation portfolio should be invested in equities and so on. This model is
Some financial planners suggest this strategy of having equal ideally suited for a passive investor.
exposure to both the assets – equity and debt. It makes intuitive
sense, especially for new investors. In fact, hybrid aggressive Some financial planners may suggest that Rule of 100 can result
funds (earlier known as Balanced Funds) are supposed to work in sub-optimal allocation to equities in retirement years. They
on the same principle, even though in India the asset allocation may argue, age expectancy and longer retired lives and rising
of hybrid aggressive funds is around 65/35 for availing equity inflation require us to have higher allocation to equities.
taxation. Therefore, instead of Rule of 100, some suggest the Rule of 120
to take care of post retirement income needs. Let us see the
A 50/50 asset allocation strategy with asset rebalancing from asset allocation guidance for different age groups, according to
time-to-time can work well for investors with moderate to Rule of 120.
moderately high risk profiles. Age Equity Fixed Income
25 95% 5%
“Ration for the Worst Case” - Asset Allocation strategy for
30 90% 10%
senior citizens
Popular US finance author, Darrow Kirkpatrick, shared in his 35 85% 15%
blog an asset allocation strategy for senior citizens. He called it 40 80% 20%
“Ration for the Worst Case”. Though Kirkpatrick’s strategy is a 45 75% 25%
little too conservative, the beauty of this strategy is its simplicity. 50 70% 30%
Let us understand it through an example - 55 65% 35%
60 60% 40%
Suppose you are nearing retirement or just retired (at the age of 65 55% 45%
60), assume your retired life will be 30 years long and annual
70 50% 50%
expenses are `8 lakh. In this strategy, you will invest an amount
75+ 45% 55%
equal to 15 years (half of your retired life), i.e.
`1.20 crore in total (`8 lakh X 15) in low risk fixed income To conclude, you can choose a strategy or even try to mix
products, e.g. short duration debt fund. Let us assume that the various strategies and form a hybrid one that works best for
post-tax debt fund returns will at least match inflation rates, say you. At the end of the day, the best strategy is the one which
6-6.5%. Using this strategy, you can make annual/quarterly/ works for you.
monthly withdrawals from your debt fund investment to meet
your expenses for the next 15 years. So, irrespective of what
happens in equity market, you can comfortably carry on with
your inflation adjusted expenses for at least first 15 years.
The question is how will you meet your expenses for the next 15
years? This is where the equity allocation comes into play. The
beauty of this strategy is that there is no reliance on income
from equities for the first 15 years, thereby allowing it to
compound and create substantial wealth which can help meet
your income needs, for the rest of your life.
Why is this strategy effective? Because, this strategy not only
takes care of first 15 years of your retired life, but also creates
sufficient wealth for the next 15 years.
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Special Report
Robo-Advisory,
The Way Forward
F
ew years back, a lot of fintech companies appeared Then, sometime in the year 2012-13 came the fintech
on the Indian financial landscape. Many of them companies, who promised panacea from all these drawbacks by
were robo-advisory firms that wanted to automate offering robo-advisory services. The robo-advisors primarily
the entire investing process for an investor. The capture the basic details of the customers, and based on that
promotions of these firms were common in both information, determine an appropriate asset allocation along
electronic as well as print media. There were expectations that with suitable MF schemes, and then automate the entire
new investors, especially those who are internet-savvy and have rebalancing, tax harvesting, billing and reporting functions. It
higher earnings and savings, would flock to these firms, was supposed to democratise the investment management
attracted by low fees and the promise of solid returns and market. The services that were accessible only to those with
customised portfolio. These companies would automate their deep pockets was now available to everyone interested in
client’s investment process of selecting right fund, rebalancing financial planning.
of portfolio and tax-loss harvesting process to keep an investor’s
portfolio on track. Five years down the line, things have not shaped the way they
were expected to. Many of the start-ups in the field found their
Before these robo-advisors came into the picture, the financial enthusiasm misplaced and pressing the reset button was not
advisory was largely manual. Financial advisors use to assess easier. Hence, many of them are changing their strategy to
the risk profile of the investors, and based on that, they would survive and thrive.
recommend a portfolio. After that, advisors would also help the
investors with their transactions. Although everything was This can easily be seen from the latest report released by the
smooth, it had all the drawback that a manual system could AMFI on commission distributed by fund houses to mutual
possibly have. It was painfully slow process, there were fund distributors. The list is dominated by banks and few
inconsistencies in advice and, most importantly, it was not other corporates that have human interface rather than only
scalable. Hence, only a select few could afford the services. digital.
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T
he following table lists top-ranked equity funds based on
DSIJ's proprietary research methodology. We have Category Rank: Category wise ranking as on July 27th 2018
evaluated each funds underlying portfolio of stocks and Scheme Name: This is the name of the mutual fund scheme
NAV (`): Net asset value per unit of a mutual fund or an exchange-traded fund
ranked them based on their expected portfolio returns. This way
(ETF) on a specific date
we are also able to rank newly launched funds that are not rated
AUM (`Crore): This is the total market value of financial assets held by the mutual
by others due to their short duration of existence. fund scheme on a specific date.
We evaluate all the equity funds based on the changed ratings Weightage: Large-Cap: This is a percentage of total assets held by a fund in the
of their underlying stocks and the change in their prices. large-cap stocks as defined by AMFI for the current period.
Therefore, this list is quite dynamic and reflects the best possible Mid-Cap: This is a percentage of total assets held by a fund in mid-cap stocks as
return potential of the funds for the next one year. defined by AMFI for the current period.
You can use this ranking to create your own mutual fund Small-Cap: This is a percentage of total assets held by a fund in small-cap stocks as
portfolio. Depending on your risk profile, return expectations and defined by AMFI for the current period.
Total No of Companies: This is a total number of companies held by a mutual fund
overall asset allocation, you can add the best performing fund
scheme at the end of a specific month.
category to your portfolio. For clarity and to include more funds,
Expenses Ratio: This is the latest expense ratio disclosed by the mutual fund scheme
we have not included ‘Direct’ and ‘close-ended’ funds. You can Return_1Years: This is the past one-year return given by the scheme.
visit our website (www.dsij.in/mutual-fund) to know the latest Expected 1-yr return: This is based on our analysis of the portfolio of mutual fund
ranking of both ‘Direct’ and ‘Regular’ Funds along with equity- scheme and their expected growth in the next one year, assuming the underlying
oriented hybrid and close-ended funds. remains the same.
This ranking can also be used for reviewing different holdings Current Rank: Rank as on July 27th 2018
in your fund portfolio. Hence, a consistently laggard performer of Previous Rank of July 13th 2018 is shown under bracket ()
a category can be looked at as 'Switch' or 'Exit' advice.
There are 74,624,230 accounts in the mutual fund industry as at June 2018,
of which 99.4% is accounted for by individual investors.
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Since December 2014, there is an increase in investor accounts from 4.03 crore
to 7.46 crore in June 2018
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MF Data Bank
Category Weightage (%) Return Expected DSIJ Current
NAV AUM Total No of Expense
Scheme Name 1 Years 1 yr return Rank
Rank (`) (` Cr) Companies Ratio (%)
Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap (%) (%) (27 July 18)
30 IDBI Banking & Financial Services Fund 10.11 186.00 5.86 0.98 0.00 4.00 3.16 ** 13.53 145 ()
31 ICICI Prudential FMCG Fund - Growth 237.54 408.00 60.79 17.43 13.25 25.00 2.89 16.64 13.23 153 (266)
Equity - Focused
1 Franklin India Focused Equity Fund 38.92 7356.00 67.25 10.67 11.11 27.00 2.08 3.86 18.55 50 (23)
2 Reliance Focused Equity Fund 47.39 4295.00 67.77 20.10 7.41 32.00 2.23 4.46 17.63 66 (59)
3 DSP BlackRock Focus Fund 23.41 2718.00 91.90 6.12 1.49 31.00 2.36 6.83 13.47 148 (145)
4 IDBI Focused 30 Equity Fund 10.37 327.00 74.32 1.99 4.54 27.00 3.09 ** 12.86 160 (227)
5 ICICI Prudential Focused Equity Fund 30.13 545.00 92.24 0.00 0.00 12.00 2.76 8.03 11.08 184 (198)
6 Principal Focused Multicap Fund 63.40 298.00 71.98 9.53 3.43 30.00 2.58 8.01 10.53 203 (281)
Equity - Mid Cap
1 SBI Magnum Midcap Fund 74.22 3521.00 0.80 65.34 30.24 45.00 2.52 -4.51 20.23 31 (65)
2 IDBI Midcap Fund 11.77 250.00 14.98 59.19 22.69 49.00 3.09 3.61 19.28 38 (53)
3 Kotak Emerging Equity Scheme - Regular Plan 38.85 3163.00 6.18 57.38 34.84 67.00 2.30 4.68 18.41 53 (91)
4 Invesco India Mid Cap Fund 48.70 179.00 12.71 54.87 28.45 40.00 2.73 10.93 18.38 54 (118)
5 ICICI Prudential MidCap Fund 97.04 1523.00 9.33 46.09 33.37 82.00 2.45 5.39 18.08 56 (95)
6 DSP BlackRock Mid Cap Fund 55.38 5266.00 12.12 54.48 29.45 60.00 2.16 5.39 17.77 62 (82)
7 Franklin India Prima Fund 965.84 6336.00 19.45 61.24 15.53 57.00 2.11 5.94 16.45 91 (141)
8 UTI Mid Cap Fund 106.68 3884.00 10.88 63.79 22.68 60.00 2.06 5.70 16.09 96 (124)
9 Sundaram Mid Cap Fund 491.86 6039.00 3.38 60.61 32.61 67.00 2.11 1.97 15.50 112 (145)
10 Sundaram Mid Cap Fund - Institutional Plan 517.36 6039.00 3.38 60.61 32.61 67.00 1.59 2.74 15.50 112 (145)
Equity - Small Cap
1 Sundaram Small Cap Fund 89.40 1173.00 0.00 0.64 92.59 49.00 2.38 -9.27 24.87 3 (36)
2 HSBC Small Cap Equity Fund 53.78 575.00 5.91 18.44 64.56 51.00 2.45 0.08 21.69 16 (44)
3 DSP BlackRock Small Cap Fund 57.64 5255.00 0.00 9.02 84.12 85.00 2.18 -6.09 21.69 16 (85)
4 ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund - Institutional Plan 25.47 174.00 12.12 2.70 74.04 37.00 2.25 -3.74 21.55 18 (51)
5 ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund 25.48 174.00 12.12 2.70 74.04 37.00 2.74 -3.67 21.55 18 (51)
6 Franklin India Smaller Companies Fund 57.22 7114.00 13.48 9.93 68.94 72.00 2.15 3.87 20.65 26 (83)
7 Union Small Cap Fund 15.08 305.00 2.73 19.88 69.23 47.00 2.82 0.33 20.49 28 (38)
8 Kotak Small Cap Fund - Regular Plan 74.09 804.00 7.94 19.03 71.30 61.00 2.43 0.13 17.89 60 (153)
Hybrid - Balanced/Aggressive
1 ICICI Prudential Equity & Debt Fund 127.13 28266.00 72.71 6.59 1.74 116.00 2.13 4.39 19.64 33 (35)
2 Franklin India Equity Hybrid Fund 116.41 2036.00 59.26 7.91 1.63 40.00 2.18 4.49 17.33 69 (91)
3 UTI Hybrid Equity Fund 169.70 6272.00 49.94 26.95 11.32 96.00 2.04 4.60 17.11 74 (126)
4 Reliance Equity Hybrid Fund 55.58 13593.00 64.53 8.29 4.96 59.00 2.24 5.86 16.11 95 (104)
5 IDFC Hybrid Equity Fund 11.74 1162.00 43.11 13.25 14.82 75.00 2.20 4.51 15.64 107 (189)
6 IDBI Hybrid Equity Fund 12.16 421.00 53.68 16.25 9.24 53.00 3.06 6.02 15.54 110 (197)
7 Kotak Equity Hybrid - Regular Plan 24.41 2030.00 40.90 14.24 24.94 64.00 2.20 3.50 15.09 121 (176)
8 Principal Hybrid Equity Fund 76.44 1408.00 53.57 11.77 11.15 69.00 2.74 10.21 13.35 151 (202)
9 Mirae Asset Hybrid Equity Fund 13.99 1213.00 63.29 9.65 1.46 62.00 2.15 7.63 13.05 158 (188)
Equity - Multi Cap
1 Reliance Multi Cap Fund 91.24 9270.00 49.02 28.58 21.82 54.00 2.18 5.23 16.85 81 (63)
2 ICICI Prudential Multicap Fund 287.59 2794.00 79.96 12.00 4.61 35.00 2.15 10.26 16.42 92 (87)
3 Invesco India Multicap Fund 49.34 524.00 37.06 22.28 37.89 41.00 2.72 8.87 15.72 103 (160)
4 IDFC Focused Equity Fund 39.82 1667.00 41.00 22.61 27.47 25.00 2.28 10.01 15.66 106 (127)
5 Franklin India Equity Fund 589.33 11470.00 73.13 13.67 8.28 49.00 2.04 4.62 15.63 108 (163)
6 HSBC Multi Cap Equity Fund 89.67 612.00 66.34 18.59 13.20 51.00 2.43 6.16 15.04 122 (149)
7 SBI Magnum Multi Cap Fund 48.03 5413.00 59.39 12.17 19.88 67.00 2.43 9.16 14.98 123 (161)
8 Mirae Asset India Equity Fund 48.61 7945.00 82.90 9.94 2.70 63.00 2.39 9.38 13.91 137 (175)
9 DSP BlackRock Equity Fund 38.64 2503.00 63.60 17.98 15.58 62.00 2.25 8.52 13.20 154 (218)
10 IDFC Multicap Fund 95.76 5484.00 38.67 30.73 24.39 65.00 2.14 8.45 12.42 166 (310)
11 IDBI Diversified Equity Fund 21.53 363.00 48.84 21.92 23.50 49.00 2.93 9.07 12.02 171 (309)
12 Motilal Oswal Multicap 35 Fund 27.28 13016.00 79.74 17.50 0.63 27.00 2.04 8.78 11.34 180 (76)
Equity - Value/Contra
1 SBI Contra Fund 110.12 1605.00 48.22 8.10 31.45 34.00 2.34 0.43 20.31 30 (57)
The ticket size for equity oriented funds is `154,506 per account at the end of June 2018
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