Below The Line - City of Syracuse Poverty Analysis - November 2018
Below The Line - City of Syracuse Poverty Analysis - November 2018
Below The Line - City of Syracuse Poverty Analysis - November 2018
THE LINE
AN ANALYSIS OF BARRIERS TO
OPPORTUNITY IN SYRACUSE
OVERVIEW
CITY OF SYRACUSE
Office of Accountability, Performance and Innovation
Department of Neighborhood and Business Development
NOVEMBER 2018
TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
HOUSING STABILITY..............................8-9
1 We acknowledge the limitations of the ACS survey data, as well as its relatively high margin of error, particularly with one-year estimates.
Nonetheless, we believe the survey provides useful information to identify key issues and broad trends and to make comparisons with other cities
surveyed using the same methodology.
2 ACS five-year estimates are used for 2011-16 unless otherwise unavailable. At the time of publishing this analysis, five-year estimates were not yet
available for 2017.
100%
75%
HISPANIC/
LATINO
PERCENT
50%
BLACK
ALL
25%
WHITE,
NON−HISPANIC
0%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
YEAR
Albany 22,085 1,669 22,452 1,497 22,337 1,687 23,744 1,476 23,871 1,499 22,826 1,522 19,449 3,383
Buffalo 75,920 2,985 76,036 2,430 77,299 2,575 77,748 2,576 78,831 2,312 78,270 3,274 74,228 7,493
Rochester 62,860 2,495 63,771 2,188 66,312 2,185 68,222 2,415 67,443 2,322 66,239 1,797 64,320 4,986
Syracuse 42,720 2,064 44,316 2,004 45,605 1,491 46,060 1,678 45,568 1,529 44,060 1,692 41,651 3,776
1 The Census Bureau uses a set of dollar value income cutoffs that vary by family size, composition and in some cases, age of householder, to determine
who is in poverty. Additional information on how the Census Bureau determines poverty status can be found in the ACS Subject Definitions here: https://
www.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/technical-documentation/code-lists.2017.html
2 People who identify their origin as Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish may be of any race
3 2017 Data for Hispanic/Latino is unavailable for Albany
$60,000
$40,000
INCOME
$20,000
$0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
YEAR
1 People who identify their origin as Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish may be of any race
2 ACS one-year estimates are used for all 2017 data. ACS one-estimates typically have higher rates of associated error than five-year estimates.
All margin of error data can be found in the appendices.
3 “Federal poverty guidelines” refer to the poverty guideline figures set annually by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, which are not the
same as the thresholds used by the Census Bureau to calculate the number of poor persons.
100% 100
75% ROCHESTER 75
SYRACUSE
BUFFALO
PERCENT
PERCENT
50% 50
ROCHESTER
ALBANY
BUFFALO
SYRACUSE
25% 25
ALBANY
0% 0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
YEAR YEAR
HOUSING While housing costs in Syracuse are some of the lowest compared to Upstate peer cities,
STABILITY over half of all households citywide paid more per month for housing than they could
afford in 2016. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, Syracuse’s median monthly housing cost in
WHAT YOU 2016 was $759. During the same year, 40% of households citywide had estimated incomes under
SHOULD KNOW
$25,000, meaning that they would be unable to afford payments that meet or exceed the citywide
+ More than half of all median. Despite having one of the lowest costs among upstate cities, it is much more difficult for
Syracuse residents do
a person on a fixed income to find housing that is affordable, safe, and in good repair. Over half
not make enough to
(56%) of all households in Syracuse experienced housing cost-burden in 20161. Of those, one
sustain their housing
payments, as defined third are considered severely cost-burdened, meaning that more than half of all gross monthly
by the Federal Housing income went to housing expenses. Cost-burden numbers across peer cities statewide has stayed
Authority’s definition of stagnant since 2011.
affordability2.
Gross Rent as a Percent of Household Income, Syracuse
American Community Survey, B25070
100%
75%
PERCENT OF MONTHLY INCOME
PERCENT OF INCOME
UNDER 30%
50%
3149%
50% OR MORE
25%
0%
2017
YEAR
1,2 “Cost-burden” is a federal definition that refers to individuals or households that spend 30% or more of monthly gross income on housing expenses.
Households spending more than 50% of monthly gross income for housing are considered “Severely Cost Burdened”.
Program moved at l
east once during the
PERCENT
25%
0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
YEAR
Other data available locally indicates that housing instability, particularly eviction, poses a
challenge for many in Syracuse. A 2017 analysis of data from the Onondaga County Volunteer
Lawyers Project by the Maxwell Community Benchmarking Program at Syracuse University2
estimated that Syracuse landlords move to evict approximately 7,000 tenants annually. Of those,
just over 75% end in eviction, displacing an average of 11,000 people in the area annually.
Additional data from the Literacy Coalition of Onondaga County indicates that of 25,520
children ages 0-5 who have enrolled in the Imagination Library Program from January
2011-February 2018, 34% moved at least once during the time that they were enrolled.
Overall, the children in the program collectively made 13,725 moves, two-thirds of which were
made by just 15% of the children. In general, children in Syracuse enrolled in the program
tended to move more frequently than children living in other areas within Onondaga County.
Of 16,722 children who never moved during the time they were enrolled in the program, 58%
were associated with addresses outside of the city of Syracuse.
1 More information about eviction and other cause of housing instability can be found at https://evictionlab.org/
2 The Community Benchmarks Program (2017). Final Notice: An analysis of evictions and housing instability in Syracuse, NY. Maxwell School of
Citizenship and Public Affairs. Retrieved via special request to the Public Affairs Department.
SYRACUSE
ROCHESTER
YEAR
BUFFALO
ALBANY
100%
80%
60%
SYRACUSE
PERCENT
40% ROCHESTER
BUFFALO
ALBANY
20%
0%
YEAR
1 The U.S. Census Bureau defines Participation in labor force as all people 16 years old and over who are not classified as members of
the labor force. This category consists mainly of students, homemakers, retired workers, seasonal workers interviewed in an off season who were
not looking for work, institutionalized people, and people doing only incidental unpaid family work (less than 15 hours during the reference week).
Labor Force Participation Rate – The labor force participation rate represents the proportion of the population that is in the labor force.
2 There is a +/-2,555 margin of error for the number not participating in the labor force in Syracuse in 2017
75%
PERCENT
ALBANY
50% ROCHESTER
BUFFALO
SYRACUSE SYRACUSE
ROCHESTER
BUFFALO
25%
ALBANY
0%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
YEAR
There was also a decrease in jobs across several occupational fields from 2012-17,
totaling 4,283 fewer jobs1. Jobs in science, art, business and management as well
as construction and maintenance accounted for almost all reductions. This is again in
contrast to both Buffalo and Rochester, which both saw substantial gains in each of these
fields. While the margin of error is reasonably high for this indicator, these preliminary
estimates suggest that further analysis is warranted, particularly given that Syracuse is
the only one of its peers experiencing consistent negative trends in these areas.
1 The margin of error for the 2017 one-year estimate was +/- 2,416 jobs.
TRANSPORTATION The percent of low-income public poverty using public transportation stayed
transportation riders compared to all relatively stable. This could suggest that
riders in Syracuse is increasing, and those who have the option to take another
WHAT YOU
SHOULD KNOW exceeds all other peer cities statewide. form of transportation are increasingly
While overall public transportation usage opting to do so.
+ Almost two thirds of
users who rely on public has varied somewhat between 2011-17, This is not necessarily the case across all
transportation to get low-income users have consistently made peer cities. Overall, people in Syracuse
to work with no access up the majority of all riders in Syracuse. are less reliant on public transportation to
to a vehicle at home
had incomes below the Among peer cities statewide, Syracuse also commute to work than people in Albany,
poverty line. has the highest percent of people taking even though the two cities have similar
public transportation without access to rates of households without access to a
+ Overall, people in
a vehicle. The percent of people relying vehicle. More data is required in order
Syracuse are taking
public transportation to on public transportation to get to work to create a reliable correlation study
work less frequently than without access to a vehicle has increased between these two indicators that might
residents in other cities, more accurately quantify the degree to
significantly between 2011-17.
despite similar levels of
which transportation access is a barrier
vehicle access. There also was a decline in the total number
for residents, and the extent to which
of people using public transportation in
+ The Syracuse that may have implications for workforce
Syracuse, although the number of people in
Metropolitan participation in the City.
Transportation Council
has extensively studied
barriers to transportation Percent Taking Public Transportion to Work,
No Vehicle Available in Household, 2011−17 Means of Transportation to Work, 2017
in the Syracuse region. American Community Survey, B08141
American Community Survey, B08141
Several reports can
100% 100%
be accessed on
their website, http://
www.smtcmpo.org/
publications.asp 75%
75%
SYRACUSE MEANS OF
TRANSPORTATION
ALBANY Drove Alone
BUFFALO
PERCENT
Public Transportation
PERCENT
Carpooled
50% ROCHESTER 50%
Walked
Taxi, bike, or other
Worked from Home
25% 25%
0% 0%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
SYRACUSE ROCHESTER BUFFALO ALBANY
YEAR
to a computer with a
broadband or DSL Rate of Population with Computer with
subscription at home of Broadband Subscription in Home, 2017
American Community Survey, B28003
Upstate peer cities.
BUFFALO
ALBANY
100%
75%
PERCENT
50%
SYRACUSE
ROCHESTER
25% ALBANY
BUFFALO
0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
YEAR
Our vision for Syracuse is to create a growing regret any omissions or errors that may have
city that embraces diversity and creates occurred as a result, and we welcome your
opportunity for all. True progress won’t be input at [email protected].
achieved unless all city residents have the The City of Syracuse is deeply grateful to
opportunity to experience success. the many partners in government, non-
As stated in the introduction, the city’s profits, and in the business community
analysis of 2011-17 U.S. Census Bureau data who are working tirelessly to help our
focuses on the following barriers to progress city overcome poverty. We prepared this
for people living in Syracuse: analysis to better understand the reasons
the ACS survey indicates Syracuse is
• Workforce Participation
behind other cities in New York in reducing
• Educational Attainment
poverty. We hope this analysis stimulates
• Housing Stability further dialogue, discussion and debate.
• Transportation More importantly, we stand ready to
• Internet Access work together on actions to address the
We must overcome these barriers to achieve conditions identified here and others that are
our vision. In preparing this analysis, we limiting opportunity for people in Syracuse.
reviewed our draft findings with multiple Working together, in a system of total
community partners. Our urgency for action alignment, we can and will make Syracuse a
did not allow us to review with all. We growing city with opportunity for all.
SYRACUSE, NY
CENSUS TRACTS + MAJOR CORRIDORS
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STATE
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SOUTH
ONONDAGA
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COMSTOCK
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SAL
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48
ON
ON
49 50 56.01
DA
51
ONONDAGA
GA
COLVIN 54
PAR
COLVIN
K
BRIGHTO
N 55
GLENWOOD
CREEK
56.02
59
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MIDLAND
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61.02
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61.03
Albany 22,085 1,669 22,452 1,497 22,337 1,687 23,744 1,476 23,871 1,499 22,826 1,522 19,449 3,383
Buffalo 75,920 2,985 76,036 2,430 77,299 2,575 77,748 2,576 78,831 2,312 78,270 3,274 74,228 7,493
Rochester 62,860 2,495 63,771 2,188 66,312 2,185 68,222 2,415 67,443 2,322 66,239 1,797 64,320 4,986
Syracuse 42,720 2,064 44,316 2,004 45,605 1,491 46,060 1,678 45,568 1,529 44,060 1,692 41,651 3,776
Estimates, Total Population under Poverty in past 12 months
ACS 5-Year, Black
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Estmate,
Name MOE +/- N MOE +/- N MOE +/- N MOE +/- N MOE +/- N MOE +/- N MOE +/-
Total
Albany 86,66 1,191 8,606 1037 8,897 1,133 8,990 1,199 9,018 1,043 9148 1,047 7,980 2,269
Buffalo 37,542 1,963 37,472 1621 38,115 2,147 37,359 1,943 37,705 1,954 36,033 1,989 31,143 4,743
Rochester 31,466 1,787 32,629 1638 33,792 2,091 3,5020 1,837 34,777 1,667 33,011 1,632 34,788 4,261
Syracuse 16,325 1,393 17,165 1280 17,958 1,082 17,890 1,204 1,6826 1,039 16,939 956 17,474 2,664
Albany 2,558 551 2,626 595 2,551 630 3,041 480 3,116 637 3,214 709 0 0
Buffalo 11,040 1,128 11,823 1043 12,228 1,041 12832 1,164 12,967 1,180 12,977 1,101 13,094 2,658
Rochester 14.276 1,354 14,145 1150 15,199 1,023 15616 1,142 15,438 1,028 15,512 1,138 14,640 2,352
Syracuse 4,967 704 5,237 658 6262 731 6039 610 5,544 632 5,109 645 7,429 1,554
Albany 8,430 870 8,572 728 8,192 865 8,065 898 8,131 877 7,875 740 6,069 1,904
Buffalo 21,941 1,524 21,176 1424 19,910 1,314 19,949 1,272 20,056 1129 21,223 1,801 20,584 3,675
Rochester 141,92 1,003 13,988 1012 14,356 1,099 13,961 1,032 13,979 873 14,629 995 13,387 2,336
Syracuse 16,078 1,455 16,270 1,164 15,507 921 15,716 876 16,167 1,094 15,043 965 12,308 2,211
Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty
Name Name Poverty Rate % Poverty Rate % Poverty Rate %Poverty Rate %
Rate % Rate % Rate % Rate % Rate % Rate % Rate % Rate % Rate % Rate %
Albany 36 37 33 37 37 37 0
Albany 25 25 25 27 27 26 22
Buffalo 30 30 31 31 31 31 30 Buffalo 48 50 50 51 48 48 44
Rochester 31 32 33 34 33 33 32 Rochester 43 42 44 44 43 43 42
Syracuse 32 34 35 35 35 34 32 Syracuse 48 51 56 56 49 44 58
Estimates, Total Population under Poverty in past 12 months Estimates, Total Population under Poverty in past 12 months
American Community Survey, 5-Year, Black American Community Survey, 5-Year, White, non-Hispanic/Latino
2017
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty Poverty
Name Name Poverty Rate %
Rate Rate % Rate % Rate % Rate % Rate % Rate % Rate % Rate % Rate % Rate % Rate % Rate %
Albany 31 30 30 31 32 33 32 Albany 18 19 18 18 18 18 14
Buffalo 38 39 40 39 40 38 34 Buffalo 18 18 17 18 18 19 19
Rochester 37 38 40 42 41 39 42 Rochester 19 19 20 19 20 20 18
Syracuse 41 42 44 44 41 42 41 Syracuse 23 24 23 24 25 23 21
City Race 2011 ($) 2012 ($) 2013 ($) 2014 ($) 2015 ($) 2016 ($) 2017e ($)
City Race 2011 +/- 2012 +/- 2013 +/- 2014 +/- 2015 +/- 2016 +/- 2017 +/-
Population, 2011-17
American Community Survey, B01003
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
City Estimate MOE Estimate MOE Estimate MOE Estimate MOE Estimate MOE Estimate MOE Estimate MOE
Syracuse City
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
School District
Total Tested 1444 1427 1482 1502 1475
# Proficient 145 120 156 231 294
11%
% Proficient 10% 8% 11% 15% 20%
Albany Highest Education 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 MOE 2013 MOE 2014 MOE 2015 MOE 2016 MOE 2017 MOE
Less Than High School 7,953 7,013 6,621 6,249 6,145 6,704 2,155 1,919 1,917 2,001 5,194 1,963
High School 14,344 15,120 16,158 16,260 15,887 13,913 1,194 1,069 1,247 1,212 2,848 1,246
Some College 10,464 10,220 10,779 10,713 10,367 10,153 1,123 972 1,050 1,087 2,262 999
Associates Degree 4,416 4,716 4,417 4,878 5,181 4,211 430 527 403 406 1,025 490
Bachelor's Degree 11,602 11,741 11,545 11,761 11,726 12,002 927 640 810 803 1,474 767
Master's Degree 6,721 6,769 7,115 7,109 7,442 8,787 570 442 596 513 1,443 561
Professional Degree 2,068 1,833 1,512 1,400 1,530 2,046 340 307 262 234 681 231
Doctorate Degree 1,492 1,591 1,443 1,537 1,637 1,491 246 256 288 271 495 273
Buffalo Highest Education 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 MOE 2013 MOE 2014 MOE 2015 MOE 2016 MOE 2017 MOE
Less Than High School 30,166 29,321 28,886 28,718 27,741 24,341 4,043 3,876 3,635 3,670 8,127 3,630
High School 47,295 46,627 44,978 45,491 45,307 47,133 1,880 1,832 1,916 1,878 4,994 2,026
Some College 34,113 34,526 35,130 35,311 34,862 35,208 1,711 1,747 1,690 1,820 3,987 1,534
Associates Degree 14,678 14,804 15,512 15,513 15,870 16,273 865 910 756 856 1,954 802
Bachelor's Degree 21,268 22,196 22,676 22,224 23,811 26,400 872 1,027 1,134 982 2,346 1,103
Master's Degree 12,403 13,157 12,978 13,228 12,726 16,257 769 761 843 743 2,042 778
Professional Degree 2,968 3,127 3,143 3,171 3,102 2,604 431 452 340 358 559 337
Doctorate Degree 1,848 1,917 2,015 2,107 2,202 1,934 258 267 287 265 658 294
Rochester Highest Education 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 MOE 2013 MOE 2014 MOE 2015 MOE 2016 MOE 2017 MOE
Less Than High School 26,785 26,103 26,263 25,632 25,408 27,380 3,494 3,244 3,248 3,262 8,483 3,241
High School 35,574 36,267 36,814 37,252 37,068 38,142 1,531 1,606 1,608 1,551 4,402 1,664
Some College 23,311 23,598 23,924 24,433 25,015 23,883 1,582 1,379 1,303 1,260 3,193 1,391
Associates Degree 11,688 12,237 12,316 12,672 13,326 14,703 750 692 573 727 1,784 778
Bachelor's Degree 19,235 18,873 18,955 18,421 18,534 21,040 1,145 898 835 766 2,387 877
Master's Degree 10,037 10,244 9,842 9,319 9,122 11,092 589 706 630 624 1,795 598
Professional Degree 2,176 2,049 1,976 2,049 1,924 2,313 295 282 245 319 784 297
Doctorate Degree 1,231 1,163 1,272 1,410 1,668 1,626 267 255 227 232 475 231
Syracuse Highest Education 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 MOE 2013 MOE 2014 MOE 2015 MOE 2016 MOE 2017 MOE
Less Than High School 16,598 16,308 16,722 16,841 16,473 14,959 2,572 2,556 2,519 2,367 5,608 2,524
High School 22,648 22,971 22,844 22,880 22,824 24,776 1,148 1,265 1,138 1,152 3,114 1,146
Some College 15,113 15,009 15,086 15,451 16,586 12,578 1,071 1,011 943 972 2,186 1,040
Associates Degree 7,359 7,616 7,630 7,270 7,577 8,187 527 606 524 530 1,281 538
Bachelor's Degree 12,106 11,873 11,645 12,099 12,698 11,949 649 666 772 741 1,620 627
Master's Degree 6,482 6,747 6,900 6,691 6,856 7,893 479 562 472 450 1,407 540
Professional Degree 1,747 1,729 1,847 1,973 1,957 1,678 261 262 247 271 591 246
Doctorate Degree 1,285 1,439 1,497 1,655 1,728 1,668 205 207 227 250 573 222
Industry by Occupation for the Civilian Employed Population 16 Years and Older, 2011-17
American Community Survey, C24050
Albany -
Buffalo
Rochester
Syracuse
Albany 307,983 46,362 108,910 108,678 44,033 41,154 12,134 4,627 1,805
2011 43,096 6,231 15,629 14,613 6,623 5,631 1,956 590 290
2012 43,183 6,533 15,006 14,891 6,753 5,552 1,541 587 358
2013 42,900 6,232 14,911 14,636 7,121 5,170 1,521 463 310
2014 43,518 6,258 15,900 15,270 6,090 5,644 1,741 667 226
2015 44,078 6,615 15,950 15,482 6,031 6,287 1,945 808 183
2016 45,234 6,559 17,088 15,438 6,149 6,283 2,081 735 136
2017 45,974 7,934 14,426 18,348 5,266 6,587 1,349 777 302
Buffalo 732,791 102,017 286,909 247,701 96,164 88,428 24,794 9,659 2,728
2011 102,812 14,519 40,641 34,374 13,278 13,173 3,320 1,725 433
2012 102,704 14,373 40,006 34,431 13,894 13,008 3,287 1,750 461
2013 101,757 14,097 40,225 33,255 14,180 12,170 3,403 1,457 366
2014 103,205 14,384 40,735 34,689 13,397 12,023 3,467 1,317 300
2015 104,184 14,595 41,109 34,965 13,515 12,057 3,693 1,112 379
2016 104,036 14,583 40,339 35,250 13,864 11,853 3,556 973 404
2017 114,093 15,466 43,854 40,737 14,036 14,144 4,068 1,325 385
Rochester 590,035 69,440 225,523 209,156 85,916 46,833 13,213 4,920 1,941
2011 83,375 10,009 30,479 30,160 12,727 6,731 1,701 538 314
2012 83,702 10,470 30,889 30,195 12,148 6,402 1,555 567 297
2013 83,129 10,321 32,134 29,212 11,462 6,417 1,530 618 254
2014 82,646 9,662 32,304 29,219 11,461 6,747 1,769 888 290
2015 83,142 9,693 33,048 28,477 11,924 7,320 2,131 889 328
2016 84,632 9,396 32,796 29,797 12,643 7,734 2,247 993 378
Syracuse 371,116 51,814 142,752 128,072 48,478 31,491 8,599 2,957 724
2012 53,518 7,126 20,653 18,313 7,426 4,536 1,370 389 133
2014 52,607 7,205 20,696 17,867 6,839 4,309 1,294 445 101
2015 53,031 7,658 20,699 18,158 6,516 4,738 1,371 474 102
2016 54,299 7,803 21,230 18,175 7,091 4,972 1,336 480 128
Cellular data plan with no other type of Internet subscription 4,050 20,357 12,595 6,573
Broadband such as cable, fiber optic or DSL 27,211 66,337 53,375 30,459
Broadband such as cable, fiber optic or DSL with no other type of Internet subscription 5,399 8,003 9,972 5,619
Satellite Internet service with no other type of Internet subscription 169 320 60 164
With a
No No internet
Name Total broadband
computer Access
subscription
Albany 5,418 7,137 172,384 78,907
Buffalo 15,360 20,884 479,058 215,757