Finman 2b Notes
Finman 2b Notes
Finman 2b Notes
• Stemming from neoclassical economics, Homo economicus is a simple model of human economic
behavior, which assumes that principles of perfect self-interest, perfect rationality, and perfect
information govern economic decisions by individuals.
• Homo economicus is a tenet that economists uphold with varying degrees of stringency. Some
have adopted it in a semistrong form; this version does not see rational economic behavior as
perfectly predominant but still assumes an abnormally high occurrence of rational economic
traits. Other economists support a weak form of Homo economicus, in which the corresponding
traits exist but are not strong. All of these versions share the core assumption that humans are
“rational maximizers” who are purely self-interested and make perfectly rational economic
decisions.
• Economists like to use the concept of rational economic man for two primary reasons:
(1) Homo economicus makes economic analysis relatively simple.
(2) Homo economicus allows economists to quantify their findings, making their work more
elegant and easier to digest. If humans are perfectly rational, possessing perfect information and
perfect selfinterest, then perhaps their behavior can be quantified.
• Most criticisms of Homo economicus proceed by challenging the bases for these three underlying
assumptions—perfect rationality, perfect self-interest, and perfect information.
1. Perfect Rationality. When humans are rational, they have the ability to reason and to make
beneficial judgments. However, rationality is not the sole driver of human behavior. In fact,
it may not even be the primary driver, as many psychologists believe that the human
intellect is actually subservient to human emotion. They contend, therefore, that human
behavior is less the product of logic than of subjective impulses, such as fear, love, hate,
pleasure, and pain. Humans use their intellect only to achieve or to avoid these emotional
outcomes.
2. Perfect Self-Interest. Many studies have shown that people are not perfectly self-interested.
If they were, philanthropy would not exist. Religions prizing selflessness, sacrifice, and
kindness to strangers would also be unlikely to prevail as they have over centuries. Perfect
self-interest would preclude people from performing such unselfish deeds as volunteering,
helping the needy, or serving in the military. It would also rule out self-destructive behavior,
such as suicide, alcoholism, and substance abuse.
3. Perfect Information. Some people may possess perfect or near-perfect information on
certain subjects; a doctor or a dentist, one would hope, is impeccably versed in his or her
field. It is impossible, however, for every person to enjoy perfect knowledge of every
subject. In the world of investing, there is nearly an infinite amount to know and learn; and
even the most successful investors don’t master all disciplines. Many economic decisions
are made in the absence of perfect information.
The primary benefit that behavioral finance offers is the ability to develop a strong bond between client
and advisor. By getting inside the head of the client and developing a comprehensive grasp of his or her
motives and fears, the advisor can help the client to better understand why a portfolio is designed the
way it is and why it is the “right” portfolio for him or her—regardless of what happens from day to day
in the markets.
Two Intellectual Disciplines Emerging that Contributed to the Genesis of Behavioral Finance:
1. Cognitive Psychology - Many scholars of contemporary behavioral finance feel that the field’s
most direct roots are in cognitive psychology. Cognitive psychology is the scientific study of cognition, or
the mental processes that are believed to drive human behavior. Research in cognitive psychology
investigates a variety of topics, including memory, attention, perception, knowledge representation,
reasoning, creativity, and problem solving. Cognitive psychology is a relatively recent development in
the history of psychological research, emerging only in the late 1950s and early 1960s. The term
“cognitive psychology” was coined by Ulrich Neisser in1967, when he published a book with that title.
The cognitive approach was actually brought to prominence, however, by Donald Broadbent, who
published Perception and Communication in 1958. Broadbent promulgated the information-processing
archetype of cognition that, to this day, serves as the dominant cognitive psychological model.
Broadbent’s approach treats mental processes like software running on a computer (the brain).
Cognitive psychology commonly describes human thought in terms of input, representation,
computation or processing, and output.
When deciding under uncertainty, there are generally accepted guidelines that a decision maker should
follow:
1. Take an inventory of all viable options available for obtaining information, for experimentation, and
for action.
2. List the events that may occur.
3. Arrange pertinent information and choices/assumptions.
4. Rank the consequences resulting from the various courses of action.
5. Determine the probability of an uncertain event occurring.
Unfortunately, facing uncertainty, most people cannot and do not systematically describe problems,
record all the necessary data, or synthesize information to create rules for making decisions. Instead,
most people venture down somewhat more subjective, less ideal paths of reasoning in an attempt to
determine the course of action consistent with their basic judgments and preferences.
In 1968, in Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices under Uncertainty,9 decision theorist
Howard Raiffa introduced to the analysis of decisions three approaches that provide a more accurate
view of a “real” person’s thought process.
(1) Normative analysis is concerned with the rational solution to the problem at hand. It defines
an ideal that actual decisions should strive to approximate.
(2) Descriptive analysis is concerned with the manner in which real people actually make
decisions.
(3) Prescriptive analysis is concerned with practical advice and tools that might help people
achieve results more closely approximating those of normative analysis.