Emerging Disease
Emerging Disease
infectious Diseases
• This term also refers to that disease which was formerly confined to
one geographic area, has now spread to other areas.
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Factors contributing to the emergence of infectious
diseases:
1. Human demographics and behaviour 8. Climate and weather
2. Technology and industry 9. Changing ecosystems
3. Economic development and land use 10. Poverty and social inequality
4. International travel and commerce 11. War and famine
5. Microbial adaptation and change 12. Lack of political will
6. Breakdown of public health measures 13. Intent to harm
7. Human susceptibility to infection
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Factors contributing to the emergence
AGENT:
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HOST:
• Human demographic change (inhabiting new areas)
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Source: NATURE; Vol 430; www.nature.com/nature
Examples of Emerging Infectious Diseases
• 1993: Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (United States)
• 1994: Plague (India)
• 1995: Ebola fever (Democratic Republic of Congo)
• 1996: New variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (United Kingdom)
• 1997: H5N1 influenza (Hong Kong);
• 1998: Nipah virus encephalitis (Malaysia, Singapore)
• 1999: West Nile virus encephalitis (Russia, United States)
• 2000: Rift Valley fever (Kenya, Saudi Arabia, Yemen); Ebola fever(Uganda)
• 2001: Anthrax (United States); foot-and-mouth disease(United Kingdom)
• 2002: Vancomycin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (United States)
• 2003: Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) (multiple countries); monkeypox (USA)
• 2004: H5N1 influenza (Southeast Asia) 10
Examples of Emerging Infectious Diseases
• Hepatitis C- First identified in 1989
In mid 1990s estimated global prevalence 3%
• Hepatitis B- Identified several decades earlier
Upward trend in all countries
Prevalence >90% in high-risk population
• Zoonoses- 1,415 microbes are infectious for human
Of these, 868 (61%) considered zoonotic
70% of newly recognized pathogens are zoonoses
Emerging Influenza infections in Humans associated with Chickens, Pigs
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Emerging Zoonoses: Human-animal interface
Avian influenza virus Bats: Nipah virus Ebola virus Marburg virus
Borrelia burgdorferi Deer tick Mostomys rodent: Lassa fever Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome
(Lyme disease) (Ixodes scapularis)
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SARS
The First Emerging Infectious Disease Of The 21st Century
No infectious disease has spread so fast and far as SARS did in 2003
SARS Cases Total: 8,439 cases, 812 deaths,
19 February to 5 July 2003 30 countries in 7-8 months
Thailand (9)
South Africa (1)
(
Australia (5)
New Zealand (1)
Source: www.who.int.csr/sars 13
Lesson learnt from SARS
• An infectious disease in one country is a threat to all
• Important role of air travel in international spread
• Tremendous negative economic impact on trade, travel and tourism, estimated loss
of $ 30 to $150 billion
• High level commitment is crucial for rapid containment
• WHO can play a critical role in catalyzing international cooperation and support
• Global partnerships & rapid sharing of data/information enhances preparedness and
response
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Swine Flu (H1N1)
• Swine flu causes respiratory disease – high level of illness, low death rates
• Causative agent- Influenza A- RNA viruses of the family Orthomyxoviridae
• RNA virus- highly mutagenic
• Pigs can get infected by human, avian and swine influenza virus
• Pandemic outbreak since April 2009
• April 15th 2009 CDC identifies H1N1 (swine flu)
• April 25th 2009 WHO declares public health emergency
• By May 5th 2009 more than 1000 cases confirmed in 21 countries
• May 16th 2009India reports first confirmed case
• Cases of swine flu have been reported in India, with over 31,156 positive test
cases and 1,841 deaths up to March 2015
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16
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Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (H5N1)
• Since Nov 2003, avian influenza H5N1 in birds affected 60 countries across Asia,
Europe, Middle-East & Africa
• >220 million birds killed by this virus or culled to prevent further spread
• Majority of human H5N1 infection due to direct contact with birds infected with
virus
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Emerging Food borne
&
water borne disease
• Accounts for 20 million cases in the world annually (T.D. Chugh-2008)
• Incidence is increasing
• Half of all known food borne pathogens discovered during the past 25 years
• Most common associated organisms are: Entero hemorrhagic Escherichia coli, Vibrio
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Ebola
• Ebola was first discovered in 1976 near the Ebola River. Since then, outbreaks have
appeared sporadically in Africa.
• 2000-2001: Uganda
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Zika
• Since 2015, 69 countries and territories reported evidence of vector-borne Zika
virus transmission.
• Brazil is by far the most affected country, reporting the most cases of people
infected with the Zika virus. As of September 2016, some 1,949 confirmed cases
of Zika-related microcephaly in newborns were reported.
• In the U.S., there were over 3,000 Zika virus infections reported up to September
2016.
• On 18th Nov 2016, WHO commits to sustained and robust long-term response to
Zika as ‘public health emergency’ is lifted.
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Malaysian Nipah virus epidemic 1998-1999
• An outbreak of Nipah virus in Malaysia and Singapore
• The virus persists in low numbers in the island flying fox (Pteropus hypomelanus), a type
of fruit bat and Malayan flying fox (Pteropus vampyrus)
• Of the 269 human cases of viral encephalitis associated with Nipah virus infection
reported in Malaysia in 1999, 108 were fatal (Ministry of Health Malaysia, 2001).
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Examples of Re-Emerging Infectious
Diseases
• Diphtheria- Early 1990s epidemic in Eastern Europe(1980- 1% cases; 1994- 90%
cases)
• Dengue/ DHF- Over past 40 years, 20-fold increase to nearly 0.5 million (between
1990-98)
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Disease Year State
Plague 1994 Gujrat
2002 H.P.
2004 Uttranchal
Leptospirosis 1988-2004 Andaman & Nicobar
1994-2004 Gujrat
1984-1986 Tamil Nadu
1999-2003 Kerala
2000-2002 Maharastra
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Antibiotic resistance
• Emerge in environment due to inappropriate use of antibiotic
• WHO estimates that 10 million people are dying of infectious diseases related to
antibiotic resistance.
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Multi-resistant pathogens
Staphylococcus aureus is the most frequently identified drug-resistant pathogen.
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Bioterrorism
• Possible deliberate release of infectious agents by dissident individuals or terrorist groups
• Biological agents are attractive instruments of terror- easy to produce, mass casualties,
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Control of Emerging and Re-emerging Diseases
• Controlling the reservoir
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Role of Doctors in Prevention
Increase knowledge and skill ; Educate the public
Encourage partnerships with consumers and other disciplines to identify needs, set
priorities, develop strategies and evaluate progress
Involve in research
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Public health measures to prevent infectious
diseases
Safe water
Vaccination programme
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Response of the WHO
• Developing global and regional strategies
• Ensure rapid deployment of technical assistance, contribute to long-term epidemic preparedness &
capacity building
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PREVENTIVE STRATEGY IN INDIA
VECTOR SURVEILLANCE
o Vector borne epidemic prone diseases: JE, Dengue, Plague, Kala Azar, Rickettsial
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LAB SURVEILLANCE
Serological Surveillance
Microbial surveillance
Changing genotype
Mutations
Development of Antimicrobial Resistance
Eg. Salmonella, Cholera, Plague, Anthrax
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Laboratories network in surveillance
International (Collaborating Centres)
like CDC Atlanta
Intermediate
(District/Provincial/Medical College) District Laboratories
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Peripheral Disease
laboratories Surveillance unit
ACTION
Surveillance unit
State Disease
laboratories Surveillance unit
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Peripheral Laboratories: Functions
• Collection of specimen
• Preliminary Processing Storage and transport
• Reporting of results
• Undertaking simple tests
• Microscopy for malaria, TB, meningitis, dysentery/Cholera
• Rapid Tests (Typhi Dot for enteric fever, Latex test for HBsAg
• Water Quality Monitoring by rapid H2S Test
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District Laboratories: Functions
• Microscopy for diphtheria, kala azar, Cholera
• Serological tests: Widal test, Latex test for meningitis in CSF, ELISA based test
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State Laboratories: Functions
• All that is done at district lab+ Specialized microscopy like dark ground,
fluorescent microscopy
• Culture of all common bacteria including mycobacteria and their identification (&
serotype, wherever applicable)
• Serology for viral hepatitis markers, dengue, JE, measles, leptospirosis etc.
• ?Viral cultures
• The results will alter clinical or infection control management, or as needed for public
health surveillance purposes.
• For infectious diseases, modern serological techniques, more and more based on
recombinant antigens, are being proven to be specific, rapid and less labor intensive.
• PCR may prove very useful and rapid test.
• Conventional methods turned out to be either too insensitive (e.g., during the
asymptomatic stage of HIV infection), too slow (e.g., mycobacterial culture) or too
cumbersome to be used on a large scale (e.g., virus isolation).
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Recommended laboratory testing in emerging infections
• Molecular testing- PCR- highly sensitive and specific
• Rapid test – for flu- need to confirm with PCR
• Dengue-NS1 antigen (indicated for case < 5 days)
• Antimicrobial resistance-susceptibility testing , gene detection by PCR
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Key Tasks in Dealing with Emerging Diseases
• Surveillance at national, regional, global level
• epidemiological,
• laboratory
• ecological
• anthropological
• Monitoring, evaluation 48
Solutions
• Strengthen international surveillance networks to issue early warning, detect, control, and
reduce emerging infectious diseases.
• Improve international public health infrastructure e.g. special laboratory that capable of
accurate and rapid diagnosis.
• Encourage national governments to improve their public health care systems, devote
resources to eliminating or controlling causes of emerging infectious diseases and
coordinate public health activities with WHO and other international communities.
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Solutions (cont.)
Factors affecting emerging Solution
infections
Migration Proper health screening, vaccination
Global
Regional
Synergy
National
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What skills are needed?
Public
Infectious Health
Telecom. &
diseases
Informatics
International Laboratory
Epidemio- field
Information
logy experience
management
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References:
• Public Health and Preventive Medicine. MAXY-ROSENMAN-LAST, 15th edition.
• Oxford textbook of Public Health 6th edition.
• Park text Book of Preventive & Social Medicine. 23rd edition
• EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES IN SEAR. WHO1998.
• WHO GLOBAL STRATEGY FOR CONTAINMENT OF ANTIMICROBIAL RESISTANCE.
Executive summary.2001.
• CDC website: https://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/about.html
• Preventing Emerging Infectious Diseases: A Strategy for the 21st Century. Overview of the Updated
CDC Plan
• Review of the emerging infectious disease problem And strengthening of epidemiological surveillance.
Forty fourth meeting of the regional director within WHO representative, New Delhi, 1995.
• Forty-fifth Meeting of the Regional Director with the WHO Representatives, New Delhi 4 to 13
November 1996 SEA/WR45/5. Emerging and re-emerging diseases, including tuberculosis and
malaria.
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Take Home Massage
• Community health is the pivot of Global health.
Let us join our hands on creating an awareness to
the individual family and community through
effective risk communication.
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Emerging Infectious Diseases: A
Research Approach
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Benefits of Research on Emerging
Diseases
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ENVIRONMENT
Food
production
ANIMALS VECTORS
Intensive farming
Transmission
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Entero hemorrhagic Escherichia coli
• Causes no signs of illness
• Low infections dose in humans causes hemorrhagic colitis and hemolytic uremic
syndrome
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Disadvantages of PCR:
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Vibrio cholerae
• Cholera is one of the oldest recorded infectious diseases.
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Campylobacter spp
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Trends in Malaria in SEA Region,
1976-2002
8000000 50.0
45.0
7000000
40.0
6000000
35.0
Pf Percentage
5000000
30.0
Cases
4000000 25.0
20.0
3000000
15.0
2000000
10.0
1000000
5.0
0 0.0
*
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84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
Year
Total Malaria Cases Pf %
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P.falciparum Resistance to
Antimalarials in WHO SEA Region, 2002
P. falciparum Resistance to Antimalarials in
WHO SEA Region, 1999
DPR K orea
N epal Bhutan
#
Myanmar
India
T hailand
Banglades h
#
Antimalarials
CQ
CQ +S P
#
CQ +S P +M EF
Sri Lank a
#
Maldives
#
I ndonesia
W E
East Tim or
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