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Assignment IV Probability

This document contains instructions for Assignment IV on probability. It includes 6 questions covering the binomial distribution, Poisson distribution, and normal distribution. The questions involve calculating probabilities related to samples drawn from populations using formulas and tables for these three probability distributions.

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269 views

Assignment IV Probability

This document contains instructions for Assignment IV on probability. It includes 6 questions covering the binomial distribution, Poisson distribution, and normal distribution. The questions involve calculating probabilities related to samples drawn from populations using formulas and tables for these three probability distributions.

Uploaded by

kamaranj
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Assignment IV: Probability

Marks:10
THE BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION
Q1: The data from the North Carolina State Centre for Health Statistics show that 14
percent of mothers admitted to smoking one or more cigarettes per day during
pregnancy. If a random sample of size 10 is selected from this population, what is the
probability that it will contain exactly four mothers who admitted to smoking during
pregnancy ?
Q2: Suppose, it is known that 10 percent of a certain population is color blind. If a
random sample of 25 people is drawn from this population, use Table B in the Appendix
to find the probability that:
• Five or fewer will be color blind
• Six or more will be color blind
• Between six and nine inclusive will be color blind
• Two, three or four will be color blind
Using Table B when p>5
Q3: Accordingly to a June 2003 poll conducted by the Massachusetts Health Benchmarks
project, approximately 55 percent of residents answered “ serious problem” to the
question, “Some people think that childhood obesity is a national health problem.
What do you think ? Is it a very serious problem, somewhat of a problem, not much of a
problem, or not a problem at all?”. Assuming that the probability of giving this answer to
the question is 0.55 for any Massachusetts resident, Use Table B to find the probability
that if 12 residents are chosen at random:
• Exactly seven will answer “ Serious problem”
• Five or fewer households will answer “Serious problem”
• Eight or more households will answer “Serious problem”
THE POISSON DISTRIBUTION
Q4: In a study of drug-induced anaphylaxis among patients taking rocuronium bromide
as part of their anesthesia, Laake and Rottingen found that the occurrence of
anaphylaxis followed a Poisson model with λ =12 incidents per year in Norway. Find the
probability that in the next year, among patients receiving rocuronium, exactly three will
experience anaphylaxis.
Refer to Q 12, What is the probability that at least three patients in the next year will
experience anaphylaxis if rocuronium is administered with anesthesia?
Q5: In the study of a certain aquatic organism, a large number of samples were taken
from a pond and the number of organisms in each sample was counted. The average
number of organisms per sample was found to be two. Assuming that the number of
organisms follows a Poission distribution, find the probability that the next sample taken
will contain one or fewer organisms.
Q6: Refer to Q11, Find the probability that the next sample taken will contain exactly
three organism.
Q7: Refer to Q11, Find the probability that the next sample taken will contain more
than five organisms.
THE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
Q8: What is the probability that a z picked at random from the population of z’s will have
a value between -2.55 and +2.55?
Q9: What proportion of z values are between -2.74 and 1.53?
Q10: Given the standard normal distribution, find P (Z >/ 2.71)
Q11: Diskin et al. studied common breath metabolites such as ammonia, acetone,
isoprene, ethanol and acetaldehyde in five subjects over a period of 30 days. Each day,
breath sample were taken and analyzed in the early morning on arrival at the
laboratory. For subject A, a 27 years old female, the ammonia concentration in parts per
billion (ppb) followed a normal distribution over 30 days with mean 491 and standard
deviation 119. What is the probability that on a random day, the subject’s ammonia
concentration is between 292 and 649 ppb?

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