Mainstreet Canada Nov13a
Mainstreet Canada Nov13a
Mainstreet Canada Nov13a
15 November 2018 (Ottawa, ON) – More Canadians are supportive of the Liberal carbon tax proposal
than opposed, while a strong majority of Canadians believe that climate change is real and requires
action.
Those are the findings from Mainstreet Research’s latest UltraPoll, a conglomeration of ten provincial
polls. The poll surveyed 7961 Canadians between October 30th and November 7th. The poll has a
margin of error of +/- 1.09% and is accurate 19 times out of 20.
“There is a strong consensus among Canadians about the necessity to take action on climate change”,
said Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research. “Canadians accept both that climate
change is real and want private companies to pay for polluting the environment.”
Just under 50% of Canadians support the Liberal plan to implement a carbon tax, while just over 40%
are opposed.
“Partisanship as well as regional and economic concerns is what is keeping these numbers from being
even higher,” continued Maggi. “Opposition to the carbon tax is fierce in Alberta, Saskatchewan, and
Manitoba, as it is among Conservative and People’s Party supporters.”
The poll also found that the Prairie provinces had the highest rates of scepticism about climate
change, as well the highest rates of opposition to solving the issue of climate change even at the risk
of harming the economy.
“Support for the carbon tax is lower than the general desire to fix climate change,” continued Maggi.
“This means that support for the carbon tax is being hampered by the fact that there concerns about
what the Liberal plan might do the Prairie economy and the fact that conservative-leaning voters
won’t support anything that the Liberal Prime Minister is proposing.”
“What this shows is that climate change has fully become a partisan debate about values and not a
discussion about using public resources to fix a problem affecting all Canadians,” continued Maggi.
-30-
10.1%
30.1%
28%
19.7%
12.1%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Not Sure
5.3%
9.7%
8.8%
57.7%
18.4%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Not Sure
7.1%
29.2%
18.7%
15.5%
29.6%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Not Sure
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Not Sure
Do you agree or disagree that private companies should
have to pay if they want to pollute the environment?
5.6%
6.4%
6.4%
18.1%
63.5%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Not Sure
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Not Sure
Do you agree or disagree that we have a moral duty
to future generations to not destroy the environment
further, even if that means we pay more taxes in the
short term?
4.9%
13.8%
41.8%
14.7%
24.8%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Not Sure
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Not Sure
Breakout Tables
Based on what you have seen and heard, you approve or disapprove of the
Liberal government’s plan to implement a carbon tax?
All Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
Strongly approve 30.1% 30.3% 29.8% 34.5% 29.2% 26% 30.7% 31.5% 19.2% 19.6% 32.2% 34.9% 26.9%
Somewhat approve 19.7% 18.3% 21.1% 20.5% 18.4% 19.3% 20.9% 20.6% 11.9% 15.8% 19.3% 23.7% 23.4%
Somewhat disapprove 12.1% 11.4% 12.8% 10% 11.3% 13.4% 14.3% 13.1% 10.6% 10.8% 12.2% 12.4% 12.5%
Strongly disapprove 28% 33.7% 22.4% 23% 32.1% 31.5% 25% 25% 54.4% 45.7% 26.6% 14.8% 26.6%
Not Sure 10.1% 6.3% 13.8% 11.9% 9% 9.9% 9% 9.8% 3.9% 8.1% 9.7% 14.2% 10.7%
Unweighted Frequency 7961 4398 3563 1389 1875 2408 2289 963 896 1514 1229 896 2463
Weighted Frequency 7961 3942 4019 2214 1994 2193 1561 1085 900 519 3052 1859 546
Do you agree or disagree that the scientific evidence clearly shows that climate
change is real and caused by human activity?
All Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
Strongly agree 57.7% 52.9% 62.5% 68.4% 55.6% 52.5% 52.7% 58.9% 36.5% 46.9% 59.3% 66.6% 61.6%
Somewhat agree 18.4% 20.7% 16.2% 14.3% 19.5% 20.5% 20% 17% 19.6% 19.5% 18.5% 18.1% 18.7%
Somewhat disagree 8.8% 9.8% 7.7% 5.7% 9.7% 10.1% 10% 9% 17.8% 11.7% 7.2% 6.3% 7.5%
Strongly disagree 9.7% 12.6% 6.9% 8.1% 9.8% 11.5% 9.6% 10.5% 22.4% 15.2% 8.7% 4.7% 5.1%
Not Sure 5.3% 4% 6.7% 3.6% 5.3% 5.5% 7.7% 4.6% 3.7% 6.7% 6.2% 4.3% 7.1%
Unweighted Frequency 7961 4398 3563 1389 1875 2408 2289 963 896 1514 1229 896 2463
Weighted Frequency 7961 3942 4019 2214 1994 2193 1561 1085 900 519 3052 1859 546
Do you agree or disagree that private companies should have to pay if they want
to pollute the environment?
All Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
Strongly agree 63.5% 59.7% 67.2% 67.2% 61.2% 63% 61.6% 66.6% 48.5% 54.4% 63.2% 70.6% 67.9%
Somewhat agree 18.1% 20.4% 15.9% 15.3% 19% 19.7% 18.8% 16.5% 21.7% 20.8% 18.4% 16.3% 17.5%
Somewhat disagree 6.4% 7.6% 5.3% 4.9% 7.5% 6.8% 6.7% 6.3% 13.8% 9.2% 5% 5% 4.8%
Strongly disagree 6.4% 8.1% 4.7% 7.5% 7.2% 5.2% 5.5% 5.5% 11.5% 8.9% 6.8% 3.9% 3.8%
Not Sure 5.6% 4.2% 6.9% 5.1% 5.1% 5.3% 7.4% 5.1% 4.5% 6.6% 6.7% 4.2% 6%
Unweighted Frequency 7961 4398 3563 1389 1875 2408 2289 963 896 1514 1229 896 2463
Weighted Frequency 7961 3942 4019 2214 1994 2193 1561 1085 900 519 3052 1859 546
This survey was conducted by Mainstreet Research and has not been sponsored by any
third-party organization.
The sampling frame was derived from both a national telephone directory compiled by
Mainstreet Research from various commercially available sources and random digit dialing.
The survey that dialed from the directory was conducted as a stratified dial of the ten
Canadian provinces. In the case of random digit dials, respondents were asked the additional
question of what region of the country they resided in. Respondents were dialed at random.
At least two attempts were made to complete an interview at every sampled telephone
number. The calls were staggered over times of day and two days to maximize the chances
of making contact with a potential respondent. Interviewing was also spread as evenly as
possible across the field period.
The questionnaire used in this survey is available in this report and online at www.
mainstreetresearch.ca. Questions are asked as they appear in the release document. If
a question is asked of a subset of the sample a descriptive note is added in parenthesis
preceding the question.
The sample was weighted by population parameters from the Canada 2016 Census for adults
18 years of age or older in Canada. The population parameters used for weighting are age,
gender, and region.
The margin of error for this poll is +/- 1.09% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are
higher in each subsample.
The margins of error for each subsample is as following: Males: +/- 1.47%, Females: +/- 1.64%,
18-34 age group: +/- 2.63%, 35-49 age group: +/- 2.26%, 50-64 age group: +/- 1.99%, 65+
age group: +/- 2.04%, British Columbia: +/- 3.15%, Alberta: +/- 3.27%, Prairies: +/- 2.51%,
Ontario: +/- 2.79%, Quebec: +/- 3.27%, Atlantic Canada: +/- 1.97%.
In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that the wording of questions and
practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of
opinion polls. Moreover, all sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of
error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.