Tok SB Ibdip Ch4
Tok SB Ibdip Ch4
04
4.1
are still so many questions
that we can’t answer about Introduction to the natural sciences
the universe. Ordinary matter
– atoms, stars and galaxies –
accounts for less than 5% of
the universe. Astronomers
Maps and the natural sciences
believe that dark matter Our central metaphor for knowledge in this book is a map. In this chapter, we ask what
and dark energy make up it is that is mapped by the natural sciences and for what purposes. By many measures,
the other 95% but more is
the map produced by the natural sciences is supremely successful. It allows us to
unknown than known about
these hypotheses. understand the world around us, to predict what it will do in the future, and gives us
technology that allows us to change it.
The success of this map raises some important questions. What is it that makes this map
so powerful? Are the maps produced by other AOKs as successful in explaining and
predicting the world? Is the raw material of the natural sciences particularly suited to
systematic investigation? Are the methods of the natural sciences the key to their success?
In order to begin thinking about these issues, consider the statements about the natural
sciences and the human sciences in Table 4.1. To what extent do you agree with them?
Exercise
1 Compare your answers with a friend. Do you agree with all the statements? Which statements
caused disagreement?
In this chapter, we investigate these claims further. We explore what problems the natural
sciences can solve and what problems remain outside their scope. We investigate the language
of the natural sciences and explore what special qualities are required to build the accurate
map of reality to which they aspire. We examine whether or not it is true that this map does not
change over time. Finally, we examine what scientific knowledge means to us as individuals.
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Knowledge
Language and concepts
framework
The natural sciences are good examples of shared knowledge. They are the result of a
vast collaboration of people spread over great distances and over long time intervals.
Individuals have learned this shared knowledge and then gone on to contribute further
to it. Their contributions have been subjected to rigorous tests by others and eventually
accepted as part of this shared knowledge.
In this way, these huge systems of knowledge have evolved over time. They
have changed as new problems have emerged to motivate new investigations.
New problems have demanded new ways of thinking, which have spawned new
terminology and concepts. This in turn has led to advances in the methods used to
solve problems. Sometimes, the production of new technology to help solve a problem
has led to sudden advances in a field; for example, the technology of DNA sequencing
led to major advances in genetics.
Of course, other AOKs also have a lot to contribute in terms of how we think about
ourselves and may challenge or contradict the personal knowledge we take from the
natural sciences. Religion in particular might be relevant here.
In this section, we answer two questions: what are the natural sciences and what
motivates the production of this knowledge. Before we start, try to answer the question
yourself: what do the words ‘natural science’ mean to you?
97
Exercises
2 This table shows some disciplines in the natural sciences. Spend a moment identifying the subject
matter of each.
Map Territory
chemistry
biology
astronomy
geology
materials science
biochemistry
cosmology
3 The first three common natural science subjects focus on rather different subject matter. How
would you define each of physics, chemistry, and biology?
Physics explores the world of matter and energy in general – it is thought by some to
be the foundation of the natural sciences. Chemistry is the study of how the properties
of the atom and its electrons translate into the behaviour of substances at the
macroscopic level. Biology studies how the physical and chemical properties of matter
combine to give another material property we call ‘life’. Far from the old idea that
life was a special force – the élan vital – the modern conception of the living is purely
physical. The biologist tells us that a physical system is living if it possesses a number
of properties such as homeostasis, organization, metabolism, growth, adaptation,
In some languages, for response to stimuli, and reproduction.
example German, Dutch,
or Swedish, the word Each natural science discipline exists independently of the others but it is clear that
‘science’ (wissenschaft,
wetenschap, or vetenskap)
there are deep links between them. It is tempting to suggest a hierarchy: ideas in
simply means ‘all biology require an understanding of chemical properties of matter; chemistry seems to
systematic knowledge’. presuppose an understanding of the underlying physics. Therefore, there is a sense in
The term does not just which physics is the basis for the other natural sciences.
apply to the natural
sciences. Therefore, be Another way to think about the natural sciences is to look at their methods. Michael
careful how you use the
word ‘science’ in TOK.
Shermer of Skeptic magazine claims that science is a verb – it is a way of doing things
and that the natural sciences share, broadly speaking, a common method. If we accept
98
Exercises
4 What does Michael Shermer mean when he claims that science is a verb?
5 What reasons does Shermer give for our tendency to believe unlikely claims?
6 What two advantages did Christian Huygens have over Galileo in trying to understand
observations of the rings of Saturn? To learn more about
Michel Shermer’s ideas,
7 According to Shermer, what mistakes do pseudosciences such as astrology or parapsychology
visit pearsonhotlinks.com,
make that prevent them from gaining knowledge?
enter the title or ISBN
8 How would you define the natural sciences in a TOK essay? of this book and select
9 Look again at the xkcd cartoon above. What do you think is meant by ‘purity’ in this context? weblink 4.1.
The scientific method is discussed in much more detail later in the section on
methodology. For now a broad sketch is sufficient. A starting point might be that
the scientific method is an attempt to link theory and observation: it is a way of
systematically making and organizing our observations of the world. It often uses
experiment to replicate, in an ideal manner, some aspect of the world in which we are
interested. The ideal nature of the experimental environment is intended to establish
precisely what causes produce what effects. It is designed to examine only one factor
at a time and eliminate all others. These experimental results can be used to support
theories that lead to general conclusions about how the world works (Figure 4.2).
While there is some disagreement, most writers agree that something like the method
suggested above is characteristic of the natural sciences. This suggests two questions
for the TOK student to tackle.
• What is it about this method that produces the special reliability that is taken to be a
hallmark of natural scientific knowledge?
• Other AOKs also share this method – do they, therefore, give an equally reliable map
of reality?
99
Can you think of other AOKs that use similar methods to the natural sciences?
We might call the first answer ‘pure science’ and the second ‘applied science’. Can you
think of examples of pure science that have produced useful applications? Table 4.2 has
some examples to get you started.
investigating the structure of carbon molecules carbon fibre materials for use in aircraft
So, pure science and applied science can be closely linked. Often the application of a
particular piece of pure science is not obvious at the beginning of the investigation.
So even if applications were the main reason for doing science, it still makes sense to
pursue pure science.
Nevertheless, much inquiry in the natural sciences belongs to the first category.
It is motivated by a set of ‘open questions’. These are big questions that are as yet
unanswered. They act as beacons that help navigate research. One way to understand
a subject is to find out what are the big unanswered questions toward which research
is progressing. It might be worthwhile asking your science teachers what are the big
open questions in their particular fields.
The making of predictions about the state of the world in the future is a feature both
of pure science and science applied to improving our everyday life. The method of
the natural sciences – the rigorous testing of theoretical models through observation
and experiment – lends itself to the sort of precise prediction that we have come to
100
Does all natural scientific knowledge produce predictions? Write down a list of fields
in the natural sciences that do not produce predictions. Here are two suggestions to get
you started:
• seismology (the study of earthquakes)
• geology.
Exercises
11 Copy the diagram on the right
and position the following
fields in the natural sciences: 1 classical physics
astronomy, genetics, cell 1 chemistry
biology, geology, X-ray
crystallography, medicine,
The purpose of scientific
nuclear physics, string theory, 2 neurobiology
fields.
Application
volcanology
2 quantum physics
12 How do you interpret the
different regions on the diagram
(1 = top right, 2 = middle shaded
band, 3 = bottom left)?
13 If you were a government minister
responsible for funding research
in the natural sciences, how would
you decide which projects to 2 cosmology
fund? Write down a short list of
the criteria you would use. What Pure knowledge
knowledge questions do you
encounter in making this choice?
14 Write down a short description of the three most important open questions in the natural science
subject you are studying in the IB Diploma Programme. What makes these questions important?
Chapter 9 discusses in detail ethics as an AOK. However, it is useful here to think about
a number of knowledge questions centred on ethical issues in the natural sciences.
Here are some examples.
101
Knowledge questions
1 Could the results of an investigation justify the means used to reach them?
2 How could we anticipate the results of an investigation and the uses to which they could be put
before the investigation is begun?
3 What sort of ethical principles should limit the type of experiment permitted in producing
knowledge?
While these questions are general and can apply to any AOK, they are particularly
relevant to some of the investigations in the natural sciences because of the powerful
way in which scientific knowledge can be used to change the world.
I was working in my room at Princeton one day when Bob Wilson came in and said
that he had been funded to do a job that was a secret, and he wasn’t supposed to tell
anybody, but he was going to tell me because he knew that as soon as I knew what
he was going to do, I’d see that I had to go along with it. So he told me about the
problem of separating the isotopes of uranium ultimately to make a bomb. He had
a process for separating the isotopes of uranium (different from the one that was
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Knowledge questions
4 What principles should limit the sort of experiments or investigations that are permitted in
producing knowledge in the natural sciences?
5 Can the results of scientific research ever justify the means used to obtain them?
6 Should we judge whether or not research should be carried out based on its possible uses in the
future? If so, how can we know what these uses are?
7 Will some questions remain unanswered simply because the methods required to answer them
are unethical?
103
Exercises
15 Find examples that illustrate each of the knowledge questions on the previous page.
16 Sketch outlines of arguments for each of the knowledge questions. Try to argue both sides.
17 Have a debate with a classmate on one of the knowledge questions. Take opposing sides to each
question and present your arguments in turn. Take 4 minutes per person. Try to summarize the
arguments at the end and come to a consensus.
18 Were the scientists at Los Alamos justified in the research that they were doing? How did Feynman
justify his involvement in the project?
19 Are such ethical questions matters of science alone or do they involve thinking from outside science?
20 What does Feynman’s account tell us about the role of theory in the search for knowledge in nuclear
physics?
Exercises
23 Write down another area of human activity that requires the precise use of language. Why is precision needed
in this case? How does it relate to the reasons you identified for precise language in the natural sciences?
24 Scientific terms do not just label physical objects or parts of physical objects, they also label other
things. Give some examples of scientific terms that do not label objects.
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Idea 4 In physics, when things expand they get cooler (physics students will
recognize this as adiabatic cooling); therefore. the universe is getting cooler.
The temperature of the explosion that happened at the beginning of time is
now only 3 Kelvin.
Idea 5 Since nothing can travel faster than the speed of light, the furthest we can
see in the universe is 13.7 billion light years.
These big ideas constitute the main branches of the tree of knowledge in this area.
They connect key concepts and usually suggest causal relationships – that is, relations
of cause and effect. A key concept is one on which other concepts depend.
Exercises
25 What are the key concepts in the cosmology example?
26 What are the causal connections in the cosmology example?
27 List five concepts from the current topic you are studying in your group 4 subject. Compare your
list with a friend taking the same subject.
28 Some subjects such as biology require the student to learn a fairly long list of terms. Is the
definition of a term a type of knowledge itself?
29 If you answered ‘yes’ to exercise 28, are the ideas which link concepts higher up in the hierarchy of
types of knowledge than this ‘definitional knowledge’?
30 It has been said that a good way to study a subject is to master the key concepts first.
Do you agree?
So, language both labels concepts and links them in the natural sciences.
Causation is a difficult idea to express and thinkers are still divided about its nature.
It does not just mean that events A and B occur together but rather A happening
Causation seems, on the
surface, to be the same makes B happen. In the technical language of TOK, A is a sufficient condition for B.
as implication. But the Intuitively, we expect that A and B are physically connected in some way, and that A
two are quite different. A happening somehow forces B to happen (see the discussion on causation in history in
causing B to happen is a
Chapter 7).
physical phenomenon.
X implying Y is a logical
The second statement seems similar to the first but there is quite a different idea here
one. If x = 2 then x2 = 4
is a matter of pure logic, (be aware). If X implies Y, then it is a contradiction to suppose that X is true and Y is
x = 2 does not cause x2 to false. In other words, the idea of Y is somehow built into X. If Fred is a bachelor, then
be 4. It is just built into Fred is unmarried. Being unmarried is built into the definition of being a bachelor.
the definition of 2. This
must be true in every The third statement makes a link between two properties. It is useful for classifying
universe where these
types of thing. It is useful for showing what types of property always fit together, for
symbols are defined
and have their standard example, fir trees are evergreens. This helps us characterize fir trees – to understand
meanings. It is called their essential nature.
a necessary truth. If
x2 were not 4, then we Explanation seems to be very similar to causation. But it is the most general type on
would have a logical offer here because Y, Z, W might be quite different sorts of thing to X. X might be
contradiction. It would
observable (say acceleration) while Y, Z, W might be something more theoretical
be like saying that there
is a bachelor who is – they might be charge or energy – things that cannot be observed directly. So an
married. But, to take a explanation relates an observed phenomenon to some sort of general theory. We take
causal example, if we this further in the section on methodology.
heat water to 100 °C, that
causes the water to boil. This list is not complete; there are many types of scientific statement that derive from
That is a specific feature
these basic forms. Consider a simple statement that expresses the existence of something
of our universe – pure
water boils at 100 °C with particular properties: there is an X that has property P – there is a mammal that
(at standard pressure, lays eggs, for example. This is related to the third statement, characterization. (Can you
of course). But it is not think of a mammal that does lay eggs? There are three.) In this example, we cannot use the
a logical contradiction
absence of egg-laying to characterize being a mammal because of the counter examples
to say that water has a
temperature of 100 °C (the duck-billed platypus, and the long-and short-beaked echidnas).
and does not boil. This
just contradicts the These statements generally do not allow exceptions. It is not the case that positively
particular facts in our charged particles repel each other most of the time – they do it all the time and if there
universe. There may be is an exception, it is front-page news. Scientific statements are strong and we have seen
universes in which this
that their strength comes from the fact that language defines precise states of affairs.
could be true. It just isn’t
true in ours. Deviations from these narrowly defined possibilities indicate that there is a problem
with the underlying theory. We see in Chapter 5 that this is quite different from the
situation in the human sciences.
106
Most journals are now available online and many publishers have discontinued the print
versions. Access is often strictly controlled by a subscription system. But peer review is
still an important feature of the process by which scientific knowledge is produced.
Exercises
31 What are the advantages and disadvantages of peer review?
32 Discuss the impact of the internet in the accumulation and transmission of knowledge. What are the
implications of the fact that anyone can post items on the internet in general without peer review?
33 What are the implications of moving scientific journals online? Does it matter who controls access
to this information?
Remind yourself how metaphors help us understand and describe complex situations.
Notice in particular how metaphors can lead us towards intuitions.
Metaphors have their dangers too. What do you think are the dangers of using
metaphors in the production of knowledge? The intuitions and understanding they
yield come at a price. It is tempting to forget that a metaphor is just that: a picture. For
example, students of physics have to struggle with two conflicting metaphors applied
to electrons: particles and waves. The term ‘wave’ brings to mind the sea breaking on
the shore – it seems very distant from the idea of particle or ball or planet. The pictures
produced by these different metaphors are different and difficult to reconcile. At this
point it is important to realize that the electron is neither a particle nor a wave. To use
the terminology of Chapter 3, these are source concepts. We should not confuse the
target with the source. But nevertheless, it is useful to think of the electron as having
some wave-like and some particle-like properties. The danger is that we take the
metaphor too far – we may think that because some aspects of it are helpful then all
are – in the words of Chapter 3, we expand the ground to fill the whole target.
Exercises
34 Biology tends to use metaphors taken from engineering when describing organisms. Words such
as purpose, design, and function enter the vocabulary. The popular press even go so far as to
use personification as in statements such as ‘evolution does not like wastefulness’. Write a short
paragraph on the dangers of using such metaphors.
35 Identify metaphors in a group 4 subject that you study. What intuitions do they suggest? Are there
ways in which they hinder the production of knowledge?
36 Is there a sense in which all knowledge is metaphorical?
107
Exercises
37 Can you think of any conventions that are used in the natural sciences?
38 What is the purpose of such conventions?
Changing convention: There are also important conventions regarding how specific experimental procedures
On 3 September 1967 at are to be carried out. Each of these conventions ensures that scientific knowledge
04:50 Sweden changed the
convention from driving on is sharable because we use the same units and have the same ideas about what
the left to driving on the right. constitutes legitimate ways of gathering data and coming to conclusions.
In general, two-year technical programmes and high-school physics use electron flow.
But three-year technician and university engineering programmes still use conventional
current. Certain symbols (e.g. diodes and transistors) and rules (e.g. right-hand rules for
108
Exercises
39 Identify three conventions used in your group 4 subject.
40 How do these conventions allow knowledge to be produced and shared in this subject?
41 Can you identify conventions that apply to methods or procedure rather than, say, units or
terminology?
Classification systems
Carl von Linné (1707–78).
So far, we have discussed the use of specialist scientific terms to name important
concepts from which scientific ideas can be built. We have discussed examples of these
ideas such as scientific laws and generalizations. We have discussed the use of causal
and logical language in the natural sciences and the use of language for explaining
scientific phenomena. We have discussed metaphor to allow us to build simplified
pictures of the complex world and the establishment of conventions to help us share
this knowledge. But perhaps the most important use of language in the natural
sciences is in the classification or sorting of the phenomena of the natural world into
different types.
Classification systems are used extensively in nearly all the sciences. Since the
natural sciences are interested in describing and explaining the natural world,
it is clear that a first step might be to order natural phenomena into different
types. We might want to group them together according to features that they
share. Then we might want to see if there are any general statements we can
make that apply to every member of a particular group. If our classification
system is a good one, it can further our understanding by revealing
patterns that we had not previously noticed.
This method is used often in biology. There are different types of cell,
different types of microorganism and, most striking of all, an impressive
system of classification of plants and animals that group them together
according to important common features.
be shared globally. Moreover, the system helped scientists decide which species were
related.
The genus and species are at the low end of the hierarchy of the classification. Above
the genus, a plant also belongs to a tribe which belongs to a family which belongs to an
order which belongs to a kingdom. So: Lupinus perenis belongs to the tribe Genisteae, the
family Fabacae, the order Fabales and the kingdom Plantae.
The botanical taxonomist has two main problems to solve. The first is to decide which
plants belong to a particular species. The second is which species belong to a particular
genus. How different (and in what ways) should two plants be to belong to different
species? How different (and in what ways) should two species be to belong to different
genera? Indeed cladistics in modern botany is an attempt to differentiate between those
characteristics that derive from a common genetic ancestor and those that result from
convergence of different species.
The front page of Linné’s
Systema Natura of 1758. Linné tried to solve a more basic problem in his work: how we define a plant. Although
this might sound straightforward, biologists tell us that the sheer variety of life forms
sharing some characteristics with plants makes such a definition problematic.
Knowledge question
8 Can a classification system itself be considered knowledge?
Exercises
42 Pick ten objects randomly from your immediate surroundings. Now try to sort these objects into
four categories. None of the categories can be called ‘miscellaneous’.
a What criteria did you use to produce your classification system?
b What difficulties did you encounter while trying to perform your classification?
c Compare the system you used with that of a classmate. Can one classification system be
better than another? If so, how could you decide?
43 How does a system of classification help produce knowledge?
Drawings of shapes of 44 What classification systems can you identify in the other natural sciences?
leaves from Linné’s Hortus 45 Find a classification system in the human sciences and in the arts.
Cliffortianus of 1737.
110
Exercises
46 Why was Pluto reclassified as a dwarf planet?
47 Is a classification purely conventional?
48 Is there knowledge involved in reclassifying Pluto?
49 Does it matter whether Pluto is a dwarf planet or a ‘regular’ planet?
50 What role did prediction play in the research that Brian Marsden did on comets?
51 Marsden’s work involved very careful measurements and painstaking calculations. How does this
research differ from research such as Albert Einstein’s work on special relativity? Is one type of
research more important than the other?
Prescribed essay title 3: In areas of knowledge such as the arts and the sciences,
do we learn more from work that follows or breaks with accepted conventions?
© International Baccalaureate, November 2007, May 2008
111
4.4 Methodology
We have argued that the key to the success of the natural sciences lies in the method
they use to produce knowledge. This method is so important, so the argument goes,
that it merits a special title: the scientific method. We examine two questions here.
• Is there just one scientific method?
• What it is about this method that guarantees the reliability of scientific knowledge?
Hypothetico–deductive method
The mantra for this book is that knowledge is a map that is produced to answer a specific
question. This is true as much in the natural sciences as in any other AOK. The starting
point of scientific inquiry is a question. So while it is often claimed that all science
rests on observation, it does not occur in a vacuum. It is not a question of innocently
observing the world and writing down our observations. Observation is driven from the
beginning by a question that needs to be answered. This question is often posed in the
form of a hypothesis. We produce a statement about how we think the world works.
We then devise an experiment to test whether the hypothesis is true. We observe the
results of the experiment, collect data, and analyse it often using the methods of
mathematics. We draw a conclusion based on this analysis and modify the
hypothesis accordingly. Thus begins a new cycle of testing (Figure 4.4).
Theory The whole procedure has a number of feedback loops built into
it. That the hypothesis is modified on the basis of the analysis
of experimental results means that it can be corrected if the
results deviate from what is expected.
Conclusion Prediction Moreover, the natural sciences are shared knowledge.
This means that an experiment done by one group of people
might be repeated by another group elsewhere. The second
group try to replicate the results of the first.
One conclusion we might draw is that the results of the natural sciences are always
provisional. They are always open to modification in the future. Let us go back the idea
of knowledge as a map. We can always improve the map of the natural sciences. It is
not even a question of truth or untruth. Newton’s laws work perfectly well in most
situations. Einstein proposed a modification to deal with extreme velocity or mass.
It is not that Newton is plain wrong, it is just that his theory is a first approximation,
Einstein’s is a better approximation. Einstein’s map is more accurate but we can get by
with Newton’s map in the majority of terrestrial situations. The Newtonian map got
human beings to the Moon, after all.
Exercises
58 Write down a hypothesis you have tested in a lab in your group 4 subject. Explain the different
stages of the lab test that correspond to the method above.
59 Did you follow the method strictly?
60 What feedback loops can you identify in your method?
61 What is it about the method that makes it reliable?
62 Reflect on what you could have done to improve your experiment to make it more reliable.
113
Prescribed essay title 4: What separates science from all other human activities is
its belief in the provisional nature of all conclusions. (Michael Shermer) Critically
evaluate this way of distinguishing the sciences from other areas of knowledge.
© International Baccalaureate, November 2009, May 2010
Exercises
All of these are floops:
114
We could devise an experiment to measure the force exerted by the gravitational attraction
of the Earth. This is effectively what we are doing when we weigh something. The point
here is that the results of an experiment do not mean anything outside a particular theory. We
need to have a theory that ties together the relevant concepts before we can interpret
experimental results. Without a theory, experimental results are just meaningless numbers
– theory and its embedded concepts provide meaning. The startling implication is that a
different theory might produce a different interpretation of experimental results. We say
that the interpretation of experimental results is theory laden.
Prescribed essay title 5: What is it about theories in the human sciences and
the natural sciences that makes them convincing?
© International Baccalaureate, November 2011, May 2012
Group mastermind
This game is based on a popular family board game. It can be played between the
teacher and the rest of the class. The teacher should choose one student to be the
chairperson. Once the game is underway, the teacher communicates only with the
chairperson. The game consists of six coloured dots which can be drawn on the white
board or their initial letters can be used instead. The colours are: red (R), yellow (Y),
green (G), purple (P), blue (B), and orange (O).
The teacher writes down a code (a list of four colours which can include
repeats, and which he or she keeps secret. The aim of the game is for
the class (through the chairperson) to discover the code by asking
questions. Each question consists of four coloured dots (or initials) with
or without repeats. The teacher responds to these questions as follows. 1
• For each coloured dot or initial that is the right colour in the right
position, a black circle is drawn.
2
• For each coloured dot or initial that is the right colour in the wrong
position, a white circle is drawn.
3
The order of the black and white circles does not correspond to the
order of the correct pegs (Figure 4.6). 4
The chairperson has the job of chairing the debate as to what colours
to try. After an interval of time determined by the teacher, he or she 5
makes a choice based on the class discussion.
Students are advised to play the game with a great deal of TOK awareness. Be aware Figure 4.6 An example
of your own thoughts. What strategies are you using? What feelings do you have game.
115
when playing? Also be aware of others. How are they behaving? How does the group
respond to the challenge?
Figure 4.6 shows an example game. The hidden code is contained in the box at the top.
The questions are the coloured dots on the left-hand side and the responses from the
teacher are on the right-hand side.
There was much argument how to proceed. Some students wanted to try one colour
at a time. There was a feeling that this gave no positional information but there was
also a feeling that the first row should be random. What the class came up with was
moderately successful with one colour right and in the right place. The second row
appears completely unsuccessful but actually gives a lot of information. Neither
orange nor purple can be in the code. This illustrates that negative results can give a
lot of information in science. Since only one colour out of four was correct in the first
row there must be a repeated colour in the code. The class chanced that green was
that colour, hence row 3. But the response of only two white circles indicates that it is
either three reds and one green, or no greens and red and yellow. The class after much
argument went for the latter possibility. Row 4 involved much discussion about which
colour was doubled and the class went for blue. But two black circles and one white
circle means their guess was wrong. Suppose red were right in row 4. We now know
blue is right, reinterpreting row 1 after row 3. So this accounts for the two black circles
in row 4. But this would mean that yellow was in the wrong place. But yellow cannot be
in position 2 because of row 3, so there is nowhere else for yellow to go. This leads to a
contradiction, so red cannot be in the right place in row 4. So there must be two yellows
(there cannot be two blues because there would be more right in row 4 and there is no
position left for a second red to go) and one must be in position 1. So the only place red
could be is position 2, which means that the second yellow has to be in position 4.
Exercises
65 If the teacher is ‘mother nature’, which group of people do the students represent in the game?
66 What does the teacher’s (mother nature’s) hidden code represent?
67 What does each sequence of four colours or letters represent?
68 What do the black-and-white-circle responses to each line of four colours or letters represent?
69 What is the role of hypothesis in the game?
70 What is the role of theory in the game?
71 In what sense is the meaning of the black and white circles theory-dependent?
72 What did you notice about the social interactions of the students during the game? In what sense
is this realistic?
73 What WOKs were in involved in playing the game? Were you using imagination or emotion to
guide your play?
74 Were there any moments when you felt you were using your intuition to guide your play?
75 In what way did the game illustrate the fact that scientific research is a group effort?
76 What aspects of the game are unrealistic? How could you make them more realistic?
Einstein’s mistake
Recently my partner and I were lucky enough to be shown pages from the actual
notebook in which Einstein invented general relativity, while it was being prepared
for publication by a group of historians working in Berlin. As working physicists it
was clear to us right away that the man was confused and lost – very lost. But he was
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back to it. When he did it was questions his good friends asked him that finally made
him see where he had gone wrong.
Nothing in this notebook leads us to doubt Einstein’s greatness – quite the contrary,
for in this notebook we can see the trail followed by a great human being whose
courage and judgement are strong enough to pull him through a thicket of
confusion from which few others could have emerged. Rather the lesson is that
trying to invent new laws of physics is hard. Really hard. No one knew better than
Einstein that it requires not only intelligence and hard work but equal helpings of
insight, stubbornness, patience and character. This is why all scientists work in
communities. And that makes the history of science a human story. There can be no
triumph without an equal amount of foolishness.
Smolin, 2000
8 8'
Exercises
77 Try the particle game with your partner using two atoms. When you get good at it, try increasing
the number of atoms.
78 a What theory can you make about the arrangement of two atoms if you had the following
experimental data:
particle enters at 4, leaves at C; particle enters at D′, leaves at D′; particle enters at G, leaves at
E’; particle enters at H, leaves at H; particle enters at 6, leaves at C′; particle cannot enter at 8′.
b Is this enough information for your theory to be unique given that you know that there are
only two atoms?
c What if you did not know how many atoms there were?
79 This is slightly more difficult. There are three atoms.
particle enters at 4, leaves at B; particle enters at E, leaves at 1; particle enters at F, leaves at F;
particle enters at D, leaves at 3; particle enters at 3′, leaves at 4′; particle enters at 6, leaves at B′;
particle enters at C′, leaves at C′; particle enters at D′, leaves at E′; particle enters at F′, leaves at F′;
particle enters at G′, leaves at 6′.
80 Are the particle paths always symmetrical (i.e. if enter at G, leave at 6 is a path, is enter at 6, leave at
G also a path? In other words, are there any laws you can derive about the observed entry and exit
points of particle?
81 Is it possible for a particle to get stuck (i.e. enter and never leave)?
82 Try the game again but using slightly different deflection rules. Can your partner work out the new
rules just by observing the entries and exits from the grid?
83 What can you say about the atom labelled X in the arrangement below? Is it possible to make a
similar arrangement with only three atoms?
A B C D E F G H
1 1'
2 2'
3 3'
4 4'
5 5'
6 6'
7 7'
8 8'
A' B' C' D' E' F' G' H'
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Exercises
84 a How realistic do you think the particle game is in simulating the basic methods of
experimentation in particle physics?
b Which aspects do you think are realistic and which aspects are not?
c What could be added to make the game more realistic?
I believe in intuition and inspiration. … At times I feel certain I am right while not
knowing the reason. When the eclipse of 1919 confirmed my intuition, I was not in
the least surprised. In fact I would have been astonished had it turned out
otherwise. Imagination is more important than knowledge. For knowledge is
limited, whereas imagination embraces the entire world, stimulating progress,
giving birth to evolution. It is, strictly speaking, a real factor in scientific research.
Einstein, 1931
Before we go on, you might like to think about what WOKs are employed by the
hypothetico–deductive method.
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Induction is problematic because it does not matter how many positive examples we
find of an X having property P, there is still a possibility that the next X we find does
not have property P. There is no cast-iron guarantee that all Xs have this property. But
that is exactly what we are concluding. Therefore, the conclusion is not completely
warranted by the evidence. Hence, we might be justified in stating that we have used
faith to bridge the gap between the evidence and the conclusion when we are making
scientific generalizations.
Imagine now a map that can change with time. It is dynamic. That is what we mean
by a model in the natural sciences: a simplified representation of reality that can
evolve in time.
Figure 4.9 is a simple diagram of a model in the natural sciences. The question we
want to answer is, does the real-life Spitfire plane fit through the doors of the real-life
hangar? We make measurements of the length and wingspan (and other necessary
dimensions) of the Spitfire, and of the doors of the hangar. Then we build scale models
of the aeroplane and the hangar. Now we can check whether or not the model spitfire
fits through the doors of the model hangar. If it does, we can be sure that the real-life
spitfire fits through the doors of the real-life hangar.
In the figure, the blue background separates the real-world situation (on the left) and
the beige background represents the world of the model (on the right). More generally,
the model can be represented as in Figure 4.10.
Scientific models can be used to make predictions about the future state of the real world
but they can also help us to understand the mechanisms that produce changes in the real
world. It is possible to use a model that is very poor at prediction to give us understanding.
Each of the arrows in Figures 4.9 and 4.10 gives rise to a specific set of knowledge
questions. The first arrow concerns the extraction of information from the real world.
It requires us to do some observation, experiment or measurement. This of course
begs the question: what should we measure? It is clear that this decision depends on
the concepts employed by the theory and the model being used. What quantities to
measure seems to presuppose that we know the relevant variables already – that we
already know the solution to the problem. The second arrow concerns what we should
do to the model in order to manipulate it to provide a useful answer to our research
question. The third arrow projects the idealised world of the model back into the real
world. In most cases the model is mathematical and yields numerical results which
need to be interpreted in the non-numerical real world.
measure spitfire
and hangar
interpret
Model spitfire fits
conclusions
in model hangar.
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Construct models of
Real-world problem. extract information real objects.
from real world by
observation and
measurement
Figure 4.10 General
modelling.
manipulate
Solution to problem –
models
understanding.
Knowledge questions
9 How can we know what to measure (what factors are relevant) before we know the solution to the problem?
10 How do we know which model is appropriate?
11 How do we know what assumptions to make in constructing the model?
12 If different models give different solutions to the problem, how can we decide which one is best?
13 How do we know how we should we manipulate the model to get an answer?
14 How should we interpret the model answer in the real world (often this means interpreting a number)?
Representations like this predict the chemical properties of elements. For example,
the outer electron shell for the inert or noble elements He, Ne, Ar is full with electrons.
This means, broadly speaking, that they have no electrons free to make bonds with
Na (11) 2, 8, 1
other elements. But high-school chemistry classes debunk this picture completely.
This is not at all how electrons are in relation to the nucleus. Electrons are smeared- Figure 4.11 Model of a
out probability waves satisfying Schrödinger’s equation. We need to remember sodium atom.
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that our simple picture is a model (and so is the Schrödinger equation – just a more
sophisticated one). It does a good job in the limited area in which it operates. It allows
us to build and understand the Periodic Table and do basic chemistry.
Realism
Understanding
90 Does it matter that simplifying assumptions make a model inaccurate?
91 What other functions might a model have apart from accuracy or predictive power?
92 Can an inaccurate model still give us knowledge?
Popper was impressed by the fact that Einstein’s theory of relativity was put to a
Sir Karl Popper (1902–94) severe test by the solar eclipse of 1919. The theory predicted that light from a star
obscured by the eclipsed Sun would still be visible because it would be bent by the
Sun’s gravitational field. If the star were not visible, then the theory was disproved
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Exercise
93 Einstein was asked what his reaction would have been if general relativity had been disproved by
the observations of Eddington and Dyson in the 1919 solar eclipse. He is supposed to have said,
‘Then I would feel sorry for the dear Lord. The theory is correct anyway.’ To what extent do scientists
really follow Popper’s principle of falsification in practice? Is there really no attempt to protect their
theories from falsification?
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Since the natural sciences devote their energies to discovering general principles or
scientific laws, they naturally make the assumption that such laws exist. They assume
there is some sort of order in the universe rather than randomness, and that every
event has a cause. Up to a point, they assume that if the cause is the same, the effect
produced by it will be the same. This assumption is necessary because of the way in
which the scientific method attempts to isolate causes from other irrelevant factors.
We say ‘up to a point’ because modern quantum physics challenges some of these
fundamental assumptions about nature.
Exercise
94 The polar bear and fish puzzle
One day a scientist was flying over the frozen polar wastes. He looked down and saw an extraordinary
pattern in the ice. This is what he saw:
‘Aha’, he said to himself, ‘two watering holes, ten polar bears and nine fish.’
Later on he looked out of the window again and saw a different pattern:
‘What a strange pattern!’ he cried. ‘But I can see clearly that there are two watering holes, six polar
bears and thirteen fish.’
A little later on he looked down again:
‘Well that’s extraordinary: one watering hole, ten polar bears and ten fish.’
He was intrigued and it was not long before he looked again:
‘I can easily see that there is only one watering hole and just four bears but sixteen fish.’
Before lunch was served on the flight he looked down one more time: This was the scene:
We might be forgiven for thinking that the natural sciences just map what is out there and
that there is little room for questions about their history. After all, how much of a science
textbook is devoted to the history of science? But a crucial part of the knowledge framework
is concerned with how our AOKs depend on their historical development.
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Exercises
95 Are there any events in the history of your group 4 subject that were crucial to its development?
96 What aspects of your group 4 subject in its current form were shaped by those developments?
A good place to start is with the units we use to measure the quantities that are
important in the natural sciences. It is easy to see that they depend on historical
circumstances. The metre (m) has a history that goes back to the 18th century and the
division of the distance between the equator and the pole into 10 million pieces. (This
makes the Earth’s circumference about 40 000 km). But its precise definition is a good
deal more complicated than this.
Exercise
97 Why is the establishment of standard units important in the natural sciences? (Hint: see page 108).
The concepts which we employ in the natural sciences are also historically situated.
Because they are strung together into more elaborate scientific theories, they are
clearly very important in the formation of scientific knowledge. It is useful to trace the
history of the individual scientific disciplines to establish points at which important
conceptual advances took place.
There are more fundamental developments in the history of the natural sciences,
however. These are points where the methodology itself changed or developed. Let us
examine two major developments in the approach to scientific methodology.
• An initial attempt to answer the question: How should we conduct inquiry in the
sciences in order to produce knowledge that is reliable?
• A 20th-century view of how scientific progress is made.
Bacon’s method, as described in his book De Novum Organum, starts with the making
of observations – lots of them. The job of the scientist is to try to find patterns in
these observations. Bacon’s method is empirical in that it is based on observation
but it differs from the hypothetico–deductive method because experiments are not
conducted to test hypotheses. Instead, it relies on induction to justify generalizations
Francis Bacon (1561–1626). made by science.
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the result of an experiment challenges the hypothesis that is itself derived from a 6 After watching the
Horizon programme, what
theoretical framework, the framework itself should be revised. further tests would you
perform to establish the
In practice, Kuhn noted, the science community was reluctant to relinquish its effectiveness or otherwise
cherished paradigm. After all, it had served well up to now and was only being of homeopathic methods?
challenged by one result. There is always the nagging doubt that the experiment
itself had not been conducted properly. If the deviant result is confirmed and other
anomalies observed that also challenge the paradigm, there comes a time when the
current paradigm – the current system of understanding – is no longer sustainable.
At this point, we have what Kuhn described as revolutionary (abnormal) science.
The old paradigm is broken and as yet there is nothing to replace it.
During this period, Kuhn believed that a number of rival explanations emerge; each,
perhaps, with its own system of concepts and methods. There is, as yet, no uniform
rational means of validating one or other of them because there is no overarching
paradigm to which appeals can be made. These new theories must explain the new
observations, but they must also explain all previous observations explained by the old
paradigm. This corresponds loosely to political revolutions in history, when there is a
period where there is no stable government and there are many rival groups making
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bids for power (think of the factions in the French Revolution, for example). Eventually,
one of these new theories becomes dominant (just as, after a revolution, one political
group becomes dominant). What we mean by ‘dominant’ in this context is that the new
theory is accepted by the establishment, or by enough of those with influence, to become
the new orthodoxy. Eventually, this dominant theory and its underlying foundations
become the new paradigm and we get back to a new period of normal science (Table 4.4).
Kuhn’s theory suggests that progress in the natural sciences is truly revolutionary and
that the cycle never stops.
Exercise
103 Can you think of examples of paradigm shifts in other AOKs?
Table 4.5 Characteristics Accuracy The theory describes the observations accurately and serves to predict
that can help a theory
future observations.
become a paradigm.
Consistency The theory is itself free of contradictions but is also consistent with
other theories.
Broadness of The theory can explain many phenomena – perhaps more than the
Scope original observations on which it was based.
Simplicity The theory ‘invents the least and explains the most’. Occam’s razor
applies in a general sense.
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The experiment that was supposed to have proved Albert Einstein wrong by showing
that sub-atomic particles can travel faster than the speed of light is more than likely
to have been an error, scientists said yesterday.
Fellow scientists at the European Nuclear Research Organization (CERN) in
Geneva announced that they had failed to replicate the findings of the rival Opera
experiment last year when neutrinos were detected travelling fractions of a second
faster than light speed on their journey to an underground laboratory at Gran
Sasso, in Italy. Researchers involved in a similar experiment, named Icarus, said
that the time it took for the neutrinos to travel … from Geneva to Gran Sasso did
not suggest that they were capable of travelling faster than light, which would break
Einstein’s special theory of relativity – a fundamental pillar of theoretical physics.
‘The evidence is beginning to point towards the Opera result being an artefact of the
measurement,’ said Sergio Bertolucci, the research director of CERN. The Icarus
experiment uses an independent timing mechanism from that used on Opera. It
measured seven neutrinos in the beam from CERN last year and these all arrived in a
time consistent with them travelling no faster than the speed of light, Dr Bertolucci
said. One suggestion is that the Opera experiment was marred by a loose cable in the
delicate equipment used to measure the arrival times of the neutrinos sent from
Geneva.
The Independent, 17 March 2012
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The scientist who headed a European research team that last year measured
particles travelling faster than light has resigned, weeks after a rival team cast doubt
on the accuracy of those readings. Italy’s National Institute of Nuclear Physics said
today that Antonio Ereditato had stepped down from the leadership of the Opera
experiment, whose measurements on the speed of neutrinos were widely
questioned when they were announced in September. Mr Ereditato confirmed his
resignation in an email but declined to comment further.
The Opera team itself had cautioned in September that the measurements needed
to be checked by independent researchers because they appeared to go against a
key tenet of modern physics – that nothing can travel faster than light. Breaking
that rule, which underlies Albert Einstein’s famous special theory of relativity,
could have opened the door to a new kind of physics in which time travel and warp
speeds might be possible.
In February, the Opera team acknowledged that it had found a flaw in the technical
set-up of its experiment that could have affected the measurements, but held off
on calling them wrong. Then, earlier this month, a rival team called Icarus clocked
neutrino speeds using a different experiment and found they behaved just as
expected. They travelled at, but no faster than, light speed.
Opera, Icarus and two other teams will try to settle the issue once and for all by
conducting further tests at the European Organization for Nuclear Research, or
CERN, in May.
The Independent, 31 March 2012
Exercises
104 What was the anomalous observation in the articles above?
105 What was the paradigm that was challenged by this observation?
106 How was the science community trying to resolve this situation?
107 Do the articles suggest that we are about to witness a paradigm shift at the heart of physics?
Knowledge questions
15 Does Kuhn’s idea that science changes through a series of paradigm shifts undermine the
possibility of objective truth in the natural sciences?
16 Is progress possible in the natural sciences?
Previous sections have dealt with the way in which individuals can contribute to
the scientific project. Through their own personalities, character, interests, and
perspectives scientists can lend individual and personal insights to what is essentially a
collective endeavour.
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The natural sciences impact on our personal sphere at a deeper level as well. Advances in
medicine mean that we are living longer. We have a clearer understanding of the nature of
our illnesses than ever before. Perhaps medical science gives us a view of being human –
this vast complex of interacting systems – that is strangely at odds with the view we have
of ourselves from a first-person perspective. How do we square the view of ourselves as
material beings following deterministic laws, with our inner emotional life – our view of
ourselves as possessing desires and dreams and, most problematic of all, being free?
Physics gives us a view of our place in the universe that is perplexing in many ways.
The universe is vast and largely mechanistic. It has been around a long time. We are
miniscule in comparison and our timelines are but a dot in the whole scheme of
things. These are humbling thoughts. Yet there is a need to create a synthesis of our
view of ourselves as important and highly valued with a physical understanding that
emphatically contradicts this.
Taken on their own, perhaps, the natural sciences cannot tell the whole story but they
nevertheless give us the physical background to other investigations we must do if we
are to understand who we are.
Exercises
108 What impact have the natural sciences had on the way you understand yourself?
109 How has technology affected the form and content of your personal knowledge?
110 To what extent do you agree with the thesis of Nicholas Carr that information technology is
changing the way we think?
111 How has your study of your group 4 subject affected the knowledge you employ in your day-to-
day dealings with the world?
112 How does your personal perspective affect the knowledge that you produce as part of a team in
the natural sciences?
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Knowledge questions
17 How can we know how our personal perspective affects the knowledge that we produce as part of
a group in the natural sciences?
18 How do we reconcile our personal experiences with the shared knowledge of natural science? If
there is a conflict between the two, which side should yield?
19 Are the natural sciences free of personal perspectives because they are a group effort rather than
being the work of one person?
20 What role does interpersonal politics play in the production of knowledge in the natural sciences?
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