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CH 05

1) The document contains examples and calculations involving probability distributions and expected values. 2) It provides the probability mass functions and expected values for various random variables X and Y. 3) The examples show how to calculate probabilities, expected values, and determine if variables are independent from their joint and marginal distributions.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
175 views57 pages

CH 05

1) The document contains examples and calculations involving probability distributions and expected values. 2) It provides the probability mass functions and expected values for various random variables X and Y. 3) The examples show how to calculate probabilities, expected values, and determine if variables are independent from their joint and marginal distributions.

Uploaded by

jhnallen
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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CHAPTER 5

Section 5-1

5-1. First, f(x,y) ≥ 0. Let R denote the range of (X,Y).


Then, f ( x, y ) = 14 + 18 + 14 + 14 + 18 = 1
R

5-2 a) P(X < 2.5, Y < 3) = f(1.5,2)+f(1,1) = 1/8+1/4=3/8


b) P(X < 2.5) = f (1.5, 2) + f (1.5, 3) +f(1,1)= 1/8 + 1/4+1/4 = 5/8
c) P(Y < 3) = f (1.5, 2)+f(1,1) = 1/8+1/4=3/8
d) P(X > 1.8, Y > 4.7) = f ( 3, 5) = 1/8

5-3. E(X) = 1(1/4)+ 1.5(3/8) + 2.5(1/4) + 3(1/8) = 1.8125


E(Y) = 1(1/4)+2(1/8) + 3(1/4) + 4(1/4) + 5(1/8) = 2.875

5-4 a) marginal distribution of X


x f(x)
1 1/4
1.5 3/8
2.5 1/4
3 1/8
f XY (1.5, y )
b) fY 1.5 ( y ) = and f X (1.5) = 3/8. Then,
f X (1.5)
y fY 1.5 ( y )
2 (1/8)/(3/8)=1/3
3 (1/4)/(3/8)=2/3
f XY ( x,2)
c) f X 2 ( x) = and fY (2) = 1/8. Then,
f Y ( 2)
x f X 2 ( y)
1.5 (1/8)/(1/8)=1

d) E(Y|X=1.5) = 2(1/3)+3(2/3) =2 1/3


e) Since fY|1.5(y)≠fY(y), X and Y are not independent

5-5 Let R denote the range of (X,Y). Because


f ( x, y ) = c(2 + 3 + 4 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 4 + 5 + 6) = 1 , 36c = 1, and c = 1/36
R

5-6. a) P ( X = 1, Y < 4) = f XY (1,1) + f XY (1,2) + f XY (1,3) = 361 ( 2 + 3 + 4) = 1 / 4


b) P(X = 1) is the same as part a. = 1/4
c) P (Y = 2) = f XY (1,2) + f XY ( 2,2) + f XY (3,2) = 361 (3 + 4 + 5) = 1 / 3
1
d) P ( X < 2, Y < 2) = f XY (1,1) = 36
(2) = 1 / 18

5-1
5-7.
E ( X ) = 1[ f XY (1,1) + f XY (1,2) + f XY (1,3)] + 2[ f XY (2,1) + f XY (2,2) + f XY (2,3)]
+ 3[ f XY (3,1) + f XY (3,2) + f XY (3,3)]
= (1 × 369 ) + (2 × 12
36
) + (3 × 1536 ) = 13 / 6 = 2.167
V ( X ) = (1 − 136 ) 2 9
36
+ (2 − 136 ) 2 12
36
+ (3 − 136 ) 2 15
36
= 0.639
E (Y ) = 2.167
V (Y ) = 0.639

5-8 a) marginal distribution of X


x f X ( x) = f XY ( x,1) + f XY ( x,2) + f XY ( x,3)
1 1/4
2 1/3
3 5/12

f XY (1, y )
b) fY X ( y ) =
f X (1)
y f Y X ( y)

1 (2/36)/(1/4)=2/9
2 (3/36)/(1/4)=1/3
3 (4/36)/(1/4)=4/9
f XY ( x,2) 12
c) f X Y ( x) = and f Y ( 2) = f XY (1,2) + f XY ( 2,2) + f XY (3,2) = 36
= 1/ 3
f Y ( 2)
x f X Y ( x)

1 (3/36)/(1/3)=1/4
2 (4/36)/(1/3)=1/3
3 (5/36)/(1/3)=5/12

d) E(Y|X=1) = 1(2/9)+2(1/3)+3(4/9) = 20/9


e) Since fXY(x,y) ≠fX(x)fY(y), X and Y are not independent.

5-9. f ( x, y ) ≥ 0 and f ( x, y ) = 1
R

5-10. a) P ( X < 0.5, Y < 1.5) = f XY ( −1,−2) + f XY ( −0.5,−1) = 18 + 1


4
= 3
8
3
b) P ( X < 0.5) = f XY ( −1,−2) + f XY ( −0.5,−1) = 8
7
c) P (Y < 1.5) = f XY ( −1,−2) + f XY ( −0.5,−1) + f XY (0.5,1) = 8
5
d) P ( X > 0.25, Y < 4.5) = f XY (0.5,1) + f XY (1,2) = 8

5-2
5-11.
E ( X ) = −1( 18 ) − 0.5( 14 ) + 0.5( 12 ) + 1( 18 ) = 1
8

E (Y ) = −2( 18 ) − 1( 14 ) + 1( 12 ) + 2( 18 ) = 1
4

5-12 a) marginal distribution of X


x f X (x)
-1 1/8
-0.5 ¼
0.5 ½
1 1/8

f XY (1, y )
b) fY X ( y ) =
f X (1)
y f Y X ( y)

2 1/8/(1/8)=1
f XY ( x,1)
c) f X Y ( x) =
f Y (1)
x f X Y ( x)

0.5 ½/(1/2)=1

d) E(Y|X=1) = 0.5

e) no, X and Y are not independent

5-13. Because X and Y denote the number of printers in each category,


X ≥ 0, Y ≥ 0 and X + Y = 4

5-14. a) The range of (X,Y) is

3
y 2
1
0 3
1 2
x

Let H = 3, M = 2, and L = 1 denote the events that a bit has high, moderate, and low
distortion, respectively. Then,

5-3
x,y fxy(x,y)
0,0 0.85738
0,1 0.1083
0,2 0.00456
0,3 0.000064
1,0 0.027075
1,1 0.00228
1,2 0.000048
2,0 0.000285
2,1 0.000012
3,0 0.000001
b)
x fx(x)
0 0.970299
1 0.029835
2 0.000297
3 0.000001

f XY (1, y )
c) fY 1 ( y ) = , fx(1) = 0.29835
f X (1)
y fY|1(x)
0 0.09075
1 0.00764
2 0.000161
E(X)=0(0.970299)+1(0.029403)+2(0.000297)+3*(0.000001)=0.03
(or np=3*.01).
f (1, y )
d) fY 1 ( y ) = XY , fx(1) = 0.029403
f X (1)
y fY|1(x)
0 0.920824
1 0.077543
2 0.001632
e) E(Y|X=1)=0(.920824)+1(0.077543)+2(0.001632)=0.080807
f) No, X and Y are not independent since, for example, fY(0)≠fY|1(0).

5-4
5-15 a) The range of (X,Y) is X ≥ 0, Y ≥ 0 and X + Y ≤ 4 . X is the number of pages with
moderate graphic content and Y is the number of pages with high graphic output out of 4.

x=0 x=1 x=2 x=3 x=4


-05
y=4 5.35x10 0 0 0 0
y=3 0.00184 0.00092 0 0 0
y=2 0.02031 0.02066 0.00499 0 0
y=1 0.08727 0.13542 0.06656 0.01035 0
y=0 0.12436 0.26181 0.19635 0.06212 0.00699

b.)
x=0 x=1 x=2 x=3 x=4
f(x) 0.2338 0.4188 0.2679 0.0725 0.0070

c.)
E(X)=
4
xi f ( xi ) = 0(0.2338) + 1(0.4188) + 2(0.2679) + 3(0.7248) = 4(0.0070) = 1.2
0

f XY (3, y )
d.) f Y 3 ( y ) = , fx(3) = 0.0725
f X (3)
y fY|3(y)
0 0.857
1 0.143
2 0
3 0
4 0

e) E(Y|X=3) = 0(0.857)+1(0.143) = 0.143


f) V(Y|X=3) = 02(0.857)+12(0.143)- 0.1432= 0.123
g) no, X and Y are not independent

5-5
5-16 a) The range of (X,Y) is X ≥ 0, Y ≥ 0 and X + Y ≤ 4 . X is the number of defective
items found with inspection device 1 and Y is the number of defective items found with
inspection device 2.

x=0 x=1 x=2 x=3 x=4


-19 -16 -14 -12 -11
y=0 1.94x10 1.10x10 2.35x10 2.22x10 7.88x10
-16 -13 -11 -9 -7
y=1 2.59x10 1.47x10 3.12x10 2.95x10 1.05x10
-13 -11 -8 -6 -5
y=2 1.29x10 7.31x10 1.56x10 1.47x10 5.22x10
-11 -8 -6 -4
y=3 2.86x10 1.62x10 3.45x10 3.26x10 0.0116
y=4 2.37x10-9 1.35x10-6 2.86x10-4 0.0271 0.961

4 4
f (x, y) = ( 0 . 993 ) x ( 0 . 007 ) 4 − x ( 0 . 997 ) y ( 0 . 003 ) 4 − y
x y

For x=1,2,3,4 and y=1,2,3,4


b.)

x=0 x=1 x=2 x=3 x=4


4
f (x, y) = ( 0 . 993 ) x ( 0 . 007 ) 4 − x for x = 1,2,3,4
x
f(x) 2.40 x 10-9 1.36 x 10-6 2.899 x 10-4 0.0274 0.972

c.)since x is binomial E(X)= n(p) = 4*(0.993)=3.972

f XY (2, y )
d.) f Y |2 ( y ) = = f ( y ) , fx(2) = 0.0725
f X ( 2)
y fY|1(y)=f(y
)
0 8.1 x 10-11
1 1.08 x 10-7
2 5.37 x 10-5
3 0.0119
4 0.988

e) E(Y|X=2) = E(Y)= n(p)= 4(0.997)=3.988


f) V(Y|X=2) = V(Y)=n(p)(1-p)=4(0.997)(0.003)=0.0120
g) yes, X and Y are independent.

5-6
Section 5-2

5-17. a) P( X = 2) = f XYZ (2,1,1) + f XYZ (2,1,2) + f XYZ (2,2,1) + f XYZ (2,2,2) = 0.5
b) P( X = 1, Y = 2) = f XYZ (1,2,1) + f XYZ (1,2,2) = 0.35
c) c) P( Z < 1.5) = f XYZ (1,1,1) + f XYZ (1,2,1) + f XYZ (2,1,1) + f XYZ (2,2,1) = 0.5
d)
P ( X = 1 or Z = 2) = P ( X = 1) + P ( Z = 2) − P ( X = 1, Z = 2) = 0.5 + 0.5 − 0.3 = 0.7

e) E(X) = 1(0.5) + 2(0.5) = 1.5

P ( X = 1, Y = 1) 0.05 + 0.10
5-18 a) P ( X = 1 | Y = 1) = = = 0 .3
P(Y = 1) 0.15 + 0.2 + 0.1 + 0.05
P ( X = 1, Y = 1, Z = 2) 0 .1
b) P ( X = 1, Y = 1 | Z = 2) == = = 0 .2
P ( Z = 2) 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.15 + 0.05
P( X = 1, Y = 1, Z = 2) 0.10
c) P( X = 1 | Y = 1, Z = 2) = = = 0 .4
P(Y = 1, Z = 2) 0.10 + 0.15

f XYZ ( x,1,2)
5-19. f X YZ ( x) = and f YZ (1,2) = f XYZ (1,1,2) + f XYZ (2,1,2) = 0.25
f YZ (1,2)

x f X YZ (x)
1 0.10/0.25=0.4
2 0.15/0.25=0.6

5-20 a.) percentage of slabs classified as high = p1 = 0.05


percentage of slabs classified as medium = p2 = 0.85
percentage of slabs classified as low = p3 = 0.10

b.) X is the number of voids independently classified as high X ≥ 0


Y is the number of voids independently classified as medium Y ≥ 0
Z is the number of with a low number of voids and Z ≥ 0
And X+Y+Z = 20

c.) p1 is the percentage of slabs classified as high.

d) E(X)=np1 = 20(0.05) = 1
V(X)=np1 (1-p1)= 20(0.05)(0.95) = 0.95

5-7
5-21. a) P ( X = 1, Y = 17, Z = 3) = 0 Because the point (1,17,3) ≠ 20 is not in the range of
(X,Y,Z).

b)
P ( X ≤ 1, Y = 17, Z = 3) = P ( X = 0, Y = 17, Z = 3) + P ( X = 1, Y = 17, Z = 3)
20!
= 0.05 0 0.8517 0.10 3 + 0 = 0.07195
0!17!3!
Because the point (1,17,3) ≠ 20 is not in the range of (X,Y,Z).
( )
c) Because X is binomial, P ( X ≤ 1) = 020 0.05 0 0.95 20 + ( )0.05 0.95
20
1
1 19
= 0.7358
d.) Because X is binomial E(X) = np = 20(0.05) = 1

5-22 a) The probability is 0 since x+y+z>20


P ( X = 2, Z = 3, Y = 17)
P ( X = 2, Z = 3 | Y = 17) = .
P (Y = 17)
Because Y is binomial, P (Y = 17) = ( )0.85
20
17
17
0.15 3 = 0.2428 .
20! 0.05 2 0.8517 0.10 3
Then, P ( X = 2, Z = 3, Y = 17) = =0
2!3!17! 0.2054
P ( X = 2, Y = 17)
b) P ( X = 2 | Y = 17) = . Now, because x+y+z = 20,
P (Y = 17)
20!
P(X=2, Y=17) = P(X=2, Y=17, Z=1) = 0.05 2 0.8517 0.10 1 = 0.0540
2!17!1!
P( X = 2, Y = 17) 0.0540
P( X = 2 | Y = 17) = = = 0.2224
P(Y = 17) 0.2428
c)
P ( X = 0, Y = 17) P ( X = 1, Y = 17)
E ( X | Y = 17) = 0 +1
P (Y = 17) P (Y = 17)
P ( X = 2, Y = 17) P ( X = 3, Y = 17)
+2 +3
P(Y = 17) P (Y = 17)
0.07195 0.1079 0.05396 0.008994
E ( X | Y = 17) = 0 +1 +2 +3
0.2428 0.2428 0.2428 0.2428
=1

5-23. a) The range consists of nonnegative integers with x+y+z = 4.


b) Because the samples are selected without replacement, the trials are not independent
and the joint distribution is not multinomial.

5-8
f XY ( x , 2 )
5-24 P ( X = x | Y = 2) =
fY (2)
P (Y = 2) =
( )( )( ) + ( )( )( ) + ( )( )( ) = 0.1098 + 0.1758 + 0.0440 = 0.3296
4
0
5
2
6
2
4
1
5
2
6
1
4
2
5
2
6
0

( )
15
4 ( ) 15
4 ( ) 15
4

P ( X = 0 and Y = 2) =
( )( )( ) = 0.1098
4
0
5
2
6
2

( ) 15
4

P ( X = 1 and Y = 2) =
( )( )( ) = 0.1758
4
1
5
2
6
1

( ) 15
4

P ( X = 2 and Y = 2) =
( )( )( ) = 0.0440
4
1
5
2
6
1

( ) 15
4

x f XY (x,2)
0 0.1098/0.3296=0.3331
1 0.1758/0.3296=0.5334
2 0.0440/0.3296=0.1335

5-25. P(X=x, Y=y, Z=z) is the number of subsets of size 4 that contain x printers with graphics
enhancements, y printers with extra memory, and z printers with both features divided by
the number of subsets of size 4. From the results on the CD material on counting
techniques, it can be shown that
( )( )( )
4
x
5
y
6
z
P ( X = x, Y = y , Z = z ) = for x+y+z = 4.
( ) 15
4

a) P ( X = 1, Y = 2, Z = 1) =
( )( )( ) = 0.1758
4
1
5
2
6
1

( ) 15
4

b) P ( X = 1, Y = 1) = P ( X = 1, Y = 1, Z = 2) =
( )( )( ) = 0.2198 4
1 1
5 6
2

( ) 15
4
c) The marginal distribution of X is hypergeometric with N = 15, n = 4, K = 4.
Therefore, E(X) = nK/N = 16/15 and V(X) = 4(4/15)(11/15)[11/14] = 0.6146.

5-9
5-26 a)
P ( X = 1, Y = 2 | Z = 1) = P ( X = 1, Y = 2, Z = 1) / P ( Z = 1)
= [( )(( )() )] [( ( )( ) )] = 0.4762
4
1
5
2
15
4
6
1
6
1
15
4
9
3

b)
P ( X = 2 | Y = 2 ) = P ( X = 2 , Y = 2 ) / P (Y = 2 )
[
= ( 2 )((152 )() 0 )
4 5

4
6
] [( ()( ) )] = 0 .1334
5
2
10
2
15
4

c) Because X+Y+Z = 4, if Y = 0 and Z = 3, then X = 1. Because X must equal 1,


f X YZ (1) = 1 .

5-27. a)The probability distribution is multinomial because the result of each trial (a dropped
oven) results in either a major, minor or no defect with probability 0.6, 0.3 and 0.1
respectively. Also, the trials are independent

b.) Let X, Y, and Z denote the number of ovens in the sample of four with major, minor,
and no defects, respectively.
4!
P ( X = 2, Y = 2, Z = 0) = 0.6 2 0.3 2 0.10 = 0.1944
2!2!0!
4!
c. ) P ( X = 0, Y = 0, Z = 4) = 0.6 0 0.3 0 0.14 = 0.0001
0!0!4!

5-28 a.) fXY ( x, y) = fXYZ ( x, y, z) where R is the set of values for z such that x+y+z = 4. That is,
R
R consists of the single value z = 4-x-y and
4!
f XY ( x, y ) = 0.6 x 0.3 y 0.14 − x − y for x + y ≤ 4.
x! y!(4 − x − y )!

b.) E ( X ) = np1 = 4(0.6) = 2.4


c.) E (Y ) = np 2 = 4(0.3) = 1.2

P ( X = 2, Y = 2) 0.1944
5-29 a.) P ( X = 2 | Y = 2) = = = 0.7347
P (Y = 2) 0.2646
4
P (Y = 2) = 0.3 2 0.7 4 = 0.2646 from the binomial marginal distribution of Y
2

b) Not possible, x+y+z=4, the probability is zero.

5-10
c.) P ( X | Y = 2) = P ( X = 0 | Y = 2), P ( X = 1 | Y = 2), P ( X = 2 | Y = 2)
P ( X = 0, Y = 2) 4!
P ( X = 0 | Y = 2) = = 0.6 0 0.3 2 0.12 0.2646 = 0.0204
P (Y = 2) 0!2!2!
P ( X = 1, Y = 2) 4!
P ( X = 1 | Y = 2) = = 0.610.3 2 0.11 0.2646 = 0.2449
P (Y = 2) 1!2!1!
P ( X = 2, Y = 2) 4!
P ( X = 2 | Y = 2) = = 0.6 2 0.3 2 0.10 0.2646 = 0.7347
P (Y = 2) 2!2!0!
d.) E(X|Y=2)=0(0.0204)+1(0.2449)+2(0.7347) = 1.7143

5-30 Let X,Y, and Z denote the number of bits with high, moderate, and low distortion. Then,
the joint distribution of X, Y, and Z is multinomial with n =3 and
p1 = 0.01, p2 = 0.04, and p3 = 0.95 .
a)
P ( X = 2, Y = 1) = P ( X = 2, Y = 1, Z = 0)
3!
= 0.0120.0410.950 = 1.2 × 10 − 5
2!1!0!
3!
b) P ( X = 0, Y = 0, Z = 3) = 0.0100.0400.953 = 0.8574
0!0!3!

5-31 a., X has a binomial distribution with n = 3 and p = 0.01. Then, E(X) = 3(0.01) = 0.03
and V(X) = 3(0.01)(0.99) = 0.0297.

b. first find P ( X | Y = 2)
P (Y = 2) = P ( X = 1, Y = 2, Z = 0) + P ( X = 0, Y = 2, Z = 1)
3! 3!
= 0.01(0.04) 2 0.95 0 + 0.010 (0.04) 2 0.951 = 0.0046
1!2!0! 0!2!1!
P ( X = 0, Y = 2) 3!
P ( X = 0 | Y = 2) = = 0.010 0.04 2 0.951 0.004608 = 0.98958
P (Y = 2) 0!2!1!

P ( X = 1, Y = 2) 3!
P ( X = 1 | Y = 2) = = 0.0110.04 2 0.95 0 0.004608 = 0.01042
P (Y = 2) 1!2!1!

E ( X | Y = 2) = 0(0.98958) + 1(0.01042) = 0.01042

V ( X | Y = 2) = E ( X 2 ) − ( E ( X )) 2 = 0.01042 − (0.01042) 2 = 0.01031

5-11
5-32 a.) Let X,Y, and Z denote the risk of new competitors as no risk, moderate risk, and very
high risk. Then, the joint distribution of X, Y, and Z is multinomial with n =12 and
p1 = 0.13, p 2 = 0.72, and p 3 = 0.15 . X, Y and Z ≥ 0 and x+y+z=12
b.) P ( X = 1, Y = 3, Z = 1) = 0, not possible since x+y+z≠12

c)
12 12 12
P ( Z ≤ 2) = 0.15 0 0.8512 + 0.151 0.8511 + 0.15 2 0.8510
0 1 2
= 0.1422 + 0.3012 + 0.2924 = 0.7358

5-33 a.) P ( Z = 2 | Y = 1, X = 10) = 0

b.) first get


P( X = 10) = P( X = 10, Y = 2, Z = 0) + P( X = 10, Y = 1, Z = 1) + P( X = 10, Y = 0, Z = 2)
12! 12! 12!
= 0.1310 0.72 2 0.15 0 + 0.1310 0.7210.151 + 0.1310 0.72 0 0.15 2
10!2!0! 10!1!1! 10!0!2!
−8 −8 −9 −8
= 4.72 x10 + 1.97 x10 + 2.04 x10 = 6.89 x10
P ( Z = 0, Y = 2, X = 10) P ( Z = 1, Y = 1, X = 10)
P ( Z ≤ 1 | X = 10) = +
P ( X = 10) P ( X = 10)
12! 12!
= 0.1310 0.72 2 0.15 0 6.89 x10 −8 + 0.1310 0.721 0.151 6.89 x10 −8
10!2!0! 10!1!1!
= 0.9698
c.)
P ( Z = 1, Y = 1, X = 10)
P(Y ≤ 1, Z ≤ 1 | X = 10) =
P( X = 10)
12!
= 0.13100.7210.151 6.89 x10 −8
10!1!1!
= 0.2852

d.
E ( Z | X = 10) = (0(4.72 x10 −8 ) + 1(1.97 x10 −8 ) + 2(2.04 x10 −9 )) / 6.89 x10 −8
= 2.378 x10 −8

5-12
Section 5-3

3 3 3 3 3
2 y2 81
5-34 Determine c such that c xydxdy = c y x2 dy = c(4.5 2
)= 4
c.
0 0 0 0 0

Therefore, c = 4/81.

3 2 3
5-35. a) P ( X < 2, Y < 3) = 4
81
xydxdy = 4
81
(2) ydy = 814 (2)( 92 ) = 0.4444
0 0 0
b) P(X < 2.5) = P(X < 2.5, Y < 3) because the range of Y is from 0 to 3.
3 2.5 3
P( X < 2.5, Y < 3) = 4
81 xydxdy = 4
81 (3.125) ydy = 814 (3.125) 92 = 0.6944
0 0 0
2.5 3 2.5 2.5
y2
c) P (1 < Y < 2.5) = 4
81 xydxdy = 4
81 (4.5) ydy = 18
81 2 =0.5833
1 0 1 1

5-35 d)
2.5 3 2.5
2
P( X > 1.8,1 < Y < 2.5) = 4
81 xydxdy = 4
81 (2.88) ydy = 4
81 (2.88) ( 2.52 −1) =0.3733
1 1.8 1
3 3 3 3
y2
e) E ( X ) = 4
81
x 2 ydxdy = 4
81
9 ydy = 49 2
=2
0 0 0 0

4 0 4
f) P ( X < 0, Y < 4) = 4
81 xydxdy = 0 ydy = 0
0 0 0
3 3
2x
5-36 a) f X ( x) = f XY ( x, y )dy = x 814 ydy = 814 x(4.5) = 9
for 0 < x < 3 .
0 0
4
f XY (1.5, y ) 81
y (1.5)
b) fY 1.5 ( y ) = = 2
= 92 y for 0 < y < 3.
f X (1.5) 9
(1.5)
3 3 3
2 2 2 2y3
c) E(Y|X=1.5) = y y dy = y dy = =6
0
9 90 27 0

2
2 1 2 4 4
d.) P (Y < 2 | X = 1.5) = f Y |1.5 ( y ) = ydy = y 2 = −0 =
0 9 9 0 9 9
4
f XY ( x,2) 81
x ( 2)
e) f X 2 ( x) = = 2
= 92 x for 0 < x < 3.
f Y ( 2) 9
( 2)

5-13
5-37.
3 x+2 3 x+2
y2
c ( x + y )dydx = xy + 2 dx
0 x 0 x

3
= [x( x + 2) + ( x+ 2)2
2 − x2 − x2
2
]dx
0
3
= c (4 x + 2 )dx = 2 x 2 + 2 x [ ] 3

0
= 24c
0
Therefore, c = 1/24.

5-38 a) P(X < 1, Y < 2) equals the integral of f XY ( x, y ) over the following region.

0 1 2 x
0
Then,
1 12 1 1 y2
2 1 3 2
P( X < 1, Y < 2) = ( x + y )dydx = xy + 2
dx = 2 x + 2 − 3 x2 dx =
24 0 x 24 0 x 24 0
1 2 x3
1
x + 2x − 2
= 0.10417
24 0

b) P(1 < X < 2) equals the integral of f XY ( x, y ) over the following region.

0 1 2 x
0
2 x+2 2 x+2
1 1 y2
P (1 < X < 2) = ( x + y )dydx = xy + 2
dx
24 1 x
24 1 x

3
1 1 2
= (4 x + 2)dx = 2 x 2 + 2 x = 16 .
24 0 24 1

5-14
c) P(Y > 1) is the integral of f XY ( x , y ) over the following region.

1 1 1 1
1 1 y2
P (Y > 1) = 1 − P (Y ≤ 1) = 1 − 24
( x + y )dydx = 1 − ( xy + )
0 x 24 0 2 x
1
1
1 1 3 2 1 x2 1 1 3
= 1− x + − x dx = 1 − + − x
24 0 2 2 24 2 2 2 0

= 1 − 0.02083 = 0.9792

d) P(X < 2, Y < 2) is the integral of fXY ( x, y) over the following region.

0 2 x
0

3 x+2 3 x+2
1 1 xy 2
E( X ) = x( x + y )dydx = x2 y + 2 dx
24 0 x
24 0 x

3
1 1 4x3 3 15
= (4 x 2 + 2 x)dx = + x2 =
24 0 24 3 0 8
e)
3 x+2 3 x+2
1 1 xy 2
E( X ) = x( x + y )dydx = x2 y + 2
dx
24 0 x 24 0 x

3
1 1 3 3 15
= (3 x 2 + 2 x)dx = x + x2 =
24 0 24 0 8

5-15
5-39. a) f X ( x) is the integral of f XY ( x, y ) over the interval from x to x+2. That is,
x+2 x+2
1 1 y2 x 1
f X ( x) = ( x + y )dy = xy + 2 = + for 0 < x < 3.
24 x
24 x 6 12
1
f XY (1, y ) 24
(1+ y ) 1+ y
b) f Y 1 ( y ) = f X (1) = 1 1 = for 1 < y < 3.
+
6 12
6
See the following graph,

2 f (y) defined over this line segment


Y|1
1
0 1 2 x
0
3
3 3
1+ y 1 1 y2 y3
c) E(Y|X=1) = y dy = ( y + y 2 )dy = + = 2.111
1 6 61 6 2 3 1
3
3 3
1+ y 1 1 y2
d.) P (Y > 2 | X = 1) = dy = (1 + y )dy = y + =0.5833
2 6 62 6 2 2
f XY ( x , 2 )
e.) f X 2 ( x) = fY ( 2) . Here f Y ( y ) is determined by integrating over x. There are
three regions of integration. For 0 < y ≤ 2 the integration is from 0 to y. For 2 < y ≤ 3
the integration is from y-2 to y. For 3 < y < 5 the integration is from y to 3. Because
the condition is y=2, only the first integration is needed.
y y
1 1 x2 y2
fY ( y) = ( x + y )dx = 2 + xy = 16 for 0 < y ≤ 2 .
24 0 24 0

y
f X|2 (x) defined over this line segment
2
1
0 1 2 x
0
1
( x + 2)
24 x+2
Therefore, fY (2) = 1 / 4 and f X 2 ( x) = = for 0 < x < 2
1/ 4 6

5-16
3 x 3 3 x
y2 x3 x 4 81
5-40 c xydyd x = c x dx = c dx = c. Therefore, c = 8/81
0 0 0
2 0 0
2 8 8

1 x 1
8 8 x3 8 1 1
5-41. a) P(X<1,Y<2)= xydyd x = dx = = .
81 0 0 81 0 2 81 8 81
2 x 2 2
8 8 x2 8 x4 8 (2 4 − 1) 5
b) P(1<X<2) = xydyd x = x dx = = = .
81 1 0 81 1 2 81 8 1
81 8 27
c)
3
3 x 3 3 3
8 8 x2 −1 8 x x 8 x4 x2
P (Y > 1) = xydyd x = x dx = − dx = −
81 1 1 81 1 2 81 1 2 2 81 8 4 1
4 2 4 2
8 3 3 1 1 1
= − − − = = 0.01235
81 8 4 8 4 81

2 x 2
8 8 x3 8 24 16
d) P(X<2,Y<2) = xydyd x = dx = = .
81 0 0 81 0 2 81 8 81

e.)
3 x 3 x 3 3
8 8 2 8 x2 2 8 x4
E( X ) = x( xy )dyd x = x ydyd x = x dx = dx
81 0 0 81 0 0 81 0 2 81 0 2
8 35 12
= =
81 10 5
f)
3 x 3 x 3
8 8 8 x3
E (Y ) = y ( xy )dyd x = xy 2 dyd x = x dx
81 0 0 81 0 0 81 0 3
3
8 x4 8 35 8
= dx = =
81 0 3 81 15 5

5-17
x
8 4x 3
5-42 a.) f ( x) = xydy = 0< x<3
81 0 81
8
(1) y
f (1, y ) 81
b.) f Y | x =1 ( y ) = = = 2y 0 < y <1
f (1) 4(1) 3
81
1
1
c.) E (Y | X = 1) = 2 ydy = y 2 =1
0
0
d.) P (Y > 2 | X = 1) = 0 this isn’t possible since the values of y are 0< y < x.
3
8 4y
e.) f ( y ) = xydx = , therefore
81 0 9
8
x ( 2)
f ( x,2) 81 2x
f X |Y = 2 ( x) = = = 0< x<2
f ( 2) 4( 2) 9
9
5-43. Solve for c
∞ x ∞ ∞
c −2x c −2 x
c e − 2 x − 3 y dyd x =
30
(
e 1 − e −3 x d x =
30
)
e − e −5 x d x =
0 0

c 1 1 1
− = c. c = 10
3 2 5 10

5-44 a)
1 x 1 1
− 2 x −3 y 10 − 2 x 10 − 2 x
P( X < 1, Y < 2) = 10 e dyd x = e (1 − e − 3 x )dy = e − e − 5 x dy
0 0
3 0 3 0
1
10 e − 5 x e − 2 x
= − = 0.77893
3 5 2 0

2 x 2
− 2 x −3 y 10 − 2 x
P(1 < X < 2) = 10 e dyd x = e − e −5 x d x
1 0
3 1
b) 2
10 e − 5 x e − 2 x
= − = 0.19057
3 5 2 1
c)
∞ x 1∞
10 − 2 x −9
P(Y > 3) = 10 e − 2 x −3 y dyd x = e (e − e −3 x )dy
3 3
3 3

10 e −5 x e −9 e − 2 x
= − = 3.059 x10 −7
3 5 2 3

5-18
d)
2
2 x 2
− 2 x −3 y 10 − 2 x 10 e −10 e − 4
P ( X < 2, Y < 2) = 10 e dyd x = e (1 − e −3 x )dx = −
0 0
3 0 3 5 2 0

= 0.9695
∞ x
7
e) E(X) = 10 xe − 2 x − 3 y dyd x =
0 0 10
∞ x
1
f) E(Y) = 10 ye − 2 x − 3 y dyd x =
0 0 5

x
− 2 x −3 y 10e −2 z 10
5-45. a) f ( x ) = 10 e dy = (1 − e − 3 x ) = (e − 2 x − e − 5 x ) for 0 < x
0
3 3
f X ,Y (1, y ) 10e −2 − 3 y
b) f Y \ X =1 ( y ) = = = 3.157e − 3 y 0 < y < 1
f X (1) 10 − 2
(e − e − 5 )
3
1
c) E(Y|X=1 )=3.157 ye -3 y dy=0.2809
0

f X ,Y (x,2 ) 10e −2 x − 6
d) f X |Y = 2 ( x) = = −10
= 2e − 2 x + 4 for 2 < x,
fY ( 2 ) 5e
where f(y) = 5e-5y for 0 < y
∞∞ ∞ ∞
c − 2 x −3 x c 1
5-46 c e − 2 x e −3 y dydx = e (e )dx = e −5 x dx = c c = 15
0 x
30 30 15

5-47. a)
1 2 1
P ( X < 1, Y < 2) = 15 e − 2 x − 3 y dyd x = 5 e − 2 x (e −3 x − e − 6 )d x
0 x 0
1 1
5
= 5 e − 5 x dx − 5e − 6 e − 2 x dx = 1 − e −5 + e − 6 (e − 2 − 1) = 0.9879
0 0
2
2 ∞ 2
b) P(1 < X < 2) = 15 e − 2 x − 3 y dyd x = 5 e −5 x dyd x =(e −5 − e 10 ) = 0.0067
1 x 1

c)
3∞ ∞∞ 3 ∞
− 2 x −3 y − 2 x −3 y −9 −2 x
P (Y > 3) = 15 e dydx + e dydx = 5 e e dx + 5 e −5 x dx
0 3 3 x 0 3

3 5
= − e −15 + e −9 = 0.000308
2 2

5-19
d)
2 2 2
P ( X < 2, Y < 2) = 15 e − 2 x −3 y dyd x = 5 e − 2 x (e −3 x − e −6 )d x =
0 x 0
2 2
5
( )
= 5 e −5 x dx − 5e −6 e − 2 x dx = 1 − e −10 + e − 6 e − 4 − 1 = 0.9939
2
( )
0 0

∞∞ ∞
1
e) E(X) = 15 xe − 2 x −3 y dyd x = 5 xe −5 x dx = = 0.04
0 x 0 52

f)
∞∞ ∞ ∞
−3 5
E (Y ) = 15 ye − 2 x −3 y dyd x = 5 ye −5 y dy + 3 ye −3 y dy
0 x
2 0 20
3 5 8
=− + =
10 6 15


15 − 2 z − 3 x
5-48 a.) f ( x) = 15 e − 2 x − 3 y dy = (e ) = 5e − 5 x for x > 0
x 3
−5
b) f X (1) = 5e f XY (1, y ) = 15e −2 − 3 y
15e −2 − 3 y
f Y | X =1 ( y ) = = 3e 3− 3 y for 1 <y
5e − 5

∞ ∞
c) E (Y | X = 1) = 3 ye 3−3 y dy = − y e 3−3 y + e 3−3 y dy = 4 / 3
1 1
1
2 15 − 6
d) 3e 3−3 y dy = 1 − e −3 = 0.9502 for 0 < y , f Y (2) = e
1 2
15e −2 x − 6
f X |Y = 2 ( y ) = = 2e − 2 x
15 − 6
e
2

5-20
5-49. The graph of the range of (X, Y) is
y

5
4
3
2
1
0 1 2 3 4 x
1 x +1 4 x +1
cdydx + cdydx = 1
0 0 1 x −1
1 4
= c ( x + 1)dx + 2c dx
0 1
3
= c + 6c = 7.5c = 1
2
Therefore, c = 1/7.5=2/15

0.50.5
1 1
5-50 a) P ( X < 0.5, Y < 0.5) = 7.5
dydx = 30
0 0
0.5x +1 0.5
b) P ( X < 0.5) = 1
7.5
dydx = 1
7.5
( x + 1)dx = 2
15
( 58 ) = 1
12
0 0 0
c)
1 x +1 4 x +1
x x
E( X ) = 7.5
dydx + 7.5
dydx
0 0 1 x −1
1 4
= 1
7.5
( x 2 + x)dx + 2
7.5
( x)dx = 12
15
( 56 ) + 2
7.5
(7.5) = 19
9
0 1
d)
1 x +1 4 x +1
1 1
E (Y ) = 7.5
ydydx + 7.5
ydydx
0 0 1 x −1
1 4
1 ( x +1) 2 ( x +1) 2 − ( x −1) 2
= 7.5 2
dx + 71.5 2
dx
0 1
1 4
1 2 1
= 15
( x + 2 x + 1)dx + 15
4 xdx
0 1

= 151 ( 73 ) + 151 (30 ) = 97


45

5-21
5-51. a. )
x +1
1 x +1
f ( x) = dy = for 0 < x < 1,
0
7 .5 7 .5
x +1
1 x + 1 − ( x − 1) 2
f ( x) = dy = = for 1 < x < 4
x −1
7 .5 7 .5 7 .5
b. )
f XY (1, y ) 1 / 7.5
f Y | X =1 ( y ) = = = 0 .5
f X (1) 2 / 7 .5
f Y | X =1 ( y ) = 0.5 for 0 < y < 2
2 2
y y2
c. ) E (Y | X = 1) = dy = =1
0
2 4 0
0.5 0.5

d.) P (Y < 0.5 | X = 1) = 0.5dy = 0.5 y = 0.25


0 0
5-52 Let X, Y, and Z denote the time until a problem on line 1, 2, and 3, respectively.
a)
P ( X > 40, Y > 40, Z > 40) = [ P ( X > 40)] 3
because the random variables are independent with the same distribution. Now,
∞ ∞
P( X > 40) = 1
40
e− x / 40 dx = −e − x / 40 = e−1 and the answer is
40 40

(e )
−1 3
= e − 3 = 0.0498 .
b) P ( 20 < X < 40,20 < Y < 40,20 < Z < 40) = [ P (20 < X < 40)]3 and
40
P (20 < X < 40) = −e − x / 40 = e − 0.5 − e −1 = 0.2387 .
20
3
The answer is 0.2387 = 0.0136.

c.) The joint density is not needed because the process is represented by three
independent exponential distributions. Therefore, the probabilities may be multiplied.

5-22
5-53 a.) µ=3.2 λ=1/3.2
∞ ∞ x y ∞ x 5
− − − −
P ( X > 5, Y > 5 ) = (1 / 10 .24 ) e 3 .2 3 . 2
dydx = 3 .2 e 3 .2
e 3 .2
dx
5 5 5
5 5
− −
= e 3 .2
e 3 .2
= 0 .0439

∞ ∞ x y ∞ x 10
− − − −
P( X > 10, Y > 10) = (1 / 10.24) e 3.2 3.2
dydx = 3.2 e 3.2
e 3.2
dx
10 10 10
10 10
− −
= e 3.2
e 3.2
= 0.0019

b.) Let X denote the number of orders in a 5-minute interval. Then X is a Poisson
random variable with λ=5/3.2 = 1.5625.

e −1.5625 (1.5625) 2
P ( X = 2) = = 0.256
2!

For both systems, P ( X = 2) P (Y = 2) = 0.256 2 = 0.0655

c. ) The joint probability distribution is not necessary because the two processes are
independent and we can just multiply the probabilities.

5-54 a) fY|X=x(y), for x = 2, 4, 6, 8

3
f(y2)

0 1 2 3 4
y

5-23
2
b) P(Y < 2 | X = 2) = 2e − 2 y dy = 0.9817
0

c) E (Y | X = 2) = 2 ye − 2 y dy = 1 / 2 (using integration by parts)
0

d) E (Y | X = x) = xye − xy dy = 1 / x (using integration by parts)
0
1 1 − xy f ( x, y )
e) Use fX(x) = = , fY | X ( x, y ) = xe , and the relationship fY | X ( x, y ) = XY
b − a 10 f X ( x)
f XY ( x, y ) xe − xy
Therefore, xe − xy = and f XY ( x, y ) =
1 / 10 10
− xy −10 y −10 y
10 xe 1 − 10 ye −e
f) fY(y) = dx = 2
(using integration by parts)
0 10 10 y

Section 5-4

0.5 1 1 0.5 1 0.5 0.5


5-55. a) P ( X < 0.5) = (8 xyz )dzdydx = (4 xy )dydx = (2 x)dx = x 2 = 0.25
0 0 0 0 0 0 0

b)
0.5 0.5 1
P ( X < 0.5, Y < 0.5) = (8 xyz )dzdydx
0 0 0
0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
x2
= (4 xy )dydx = (0.5 x)dx = 4
= 0.0625
0 0 0 0

c) P(Z < 2) = 1, because the range of Z is from 0 to 1.


d) P(X < 0.5 or Z < 2) = P(X < 0.5) + P(Z < 2) - P(X < 0.5, Z < 2). Now, P(Z < 2) =1 and
P(X < 0.5, Z < 2) = P(X < 0.5). Therefore, the answer is 1.
1 1 1 1
1
2 x3
e) E ( X ) = (8 x yz )dzdydx = (2 x 2 )dx =
2
3 0 = 2/3
0 0 0 0

5-56 a) P( X < 0.5 Y = 0.5) is the integral of the conditional density f X Y ( x) . Now,
1
f XY ( x,0.5)
f X 0.5 ( x) = and f XY ( x,0.5) = (8 xyz )dz = 4 xy for 0 < x < 1 and
fY (0.5) 0
1 1
0 < y < 1. Also, fY ( y ) = (8 xyz )dzdx = 2 y for 0 < y < 1.
0 0

2x
Therefore, f X 0.5
( x) = = 2 x for 0 < x < 1.
1
0.5
Then, P ( X < 0.5 Y = 0.5) = 2 xdx = 0.25 .
0

5-24
b) P( X < 0.5, Y < 0.5 Z = 0.8) is the integral of the conditional density of X and Y.
Now, f Z ( z ) = 2 z for 0 < z < 1 as in part a. and
f XYZ ( x, y, z ) 8 xy(0.8)
f XY Z ( x, y ) = = = 4 xy for 0 < x < 1 and 0 < y < 1.
fZ ( z) 2(0.8)
0.50.5 0.5
1
Then, P ( X < 0.5, Y < 0.5 Z = 0.8) = (4 xy )dydx = ( x / 2)dx = 16
= 0.0625
0 0 0
1
5-57. a) fYZ ( y, z ) = (8 xyz )dx = 4 yz for 0 < y < 1 and 0 < z < 1.
0

f XYZ ( x, y, z ) 8 x(0.5)(0.8)
Then, f X YZ ( x) = = = 2 x for 0 < x < 1.
fYZ ( y, z ) 4(0.5)(0.8)
0.5
b) Therefore, P ( X < 0.5 Y = 0.5, Z = 0.8) = 2 xdx = 0.25
0
4
5-58 a) cdzdydx = the volume of a cylinder with a base of radius 2 and a height of 4 =
0
x2 + y2 ≤4

1
(π 2 2 )4 = 16π . Therefore, c =
16π
b) P ( X 2 + Y 2 ≤ 1) equals the volume of a cylinder of radius 2 and a height of 4 (

=8π) times c. Therefore, the answer is = 1 / 2.
16π
c) P(Z < 2) equals half the volume of the region where f XYZ ( x, y, z ) is positive times
1/c. Therefore, the answer is 0.5.
2 4− x2 4 2 4− x 2 2
d) E ( X ) = x
c
dzdydx = 1
c
4 xy dx = 1
c
(8 x 4 − x 2 )dx . Using
2
− 2− 4 − x 2 0 −2 − 4− x −2

3 2
substitution, u = 4 − x 2 , du = -2x dx, and E ( X ) = 1
c
4 u du = −4 2
c 3
(4 − x 2 ) 2 = 0.
−2
4
f ( x,1)
5-59. a) f X 1 ( x) = XY and f XY ( x, y ) = 1
c
dz = 4c = 1

for x 2 + y 2 < 4 .
fY (1) 0
2
4− y 4
Also, f Y ( y ) = 1
c
dzdx = 8c 4 − y 2 for -2 < y < 2.
− 4− y 2 0

Then, f ( x) = 4/c evaluated at y = 1. That is, f X 1 ( x) = 1


for
X y
2
2 3
8
c
4− y
− 3<x< 3.
1
1 1+ 3
Therefore, P ( X < 1 | Y < 1) = 2 3
dx = = 0.7887
− 3
2 3

5-25
f ( x, y,1) 2 4 − x2 2
b) f XY 1( x, y) = XYZ and f Z ( z) = 1 dydx = 2 4 − x 2 dx
f Z (1) c c
−2 −2
− 4 − x2
Because f Z (z ) is a density over the range 0 < z < 4 that does not depend on Z,
f Z ( z ) =1/4 for
1/ c 1
0 < z < 4. Then, f XY 1 ( x, y ) = = for x 2 + y 2 < 4 .
1 / 4 4π
area in x 2 + y 2 < 1
Then, P ( x 2 + y 2 < 1 | Z = 1) = = 1/ 4 .

f XYZ ( x, y, z )
5-60 f Z xy ( z ) = and from part 5-59 a., f XY ( x, y ) = 1

for x 2 + y 2 < 4 .
f XY ( x, y )
1
16π
Therefore, f Z xy ( z ) = 1
= 1 / 4 for 0 < z < 4.

5-61 Determine c such that f ( xyz ) = c is a joint density probability over the region x>0, y>0
and z>0 with x+y+z<1
1 1− x 1− x − y 1 1− x 1 1− x
y2
f ( xyz ) = c dzdydx = c(1 − x − y )dydx = c( y − xy − ) dx
0 0 0 0 0 0
2 0
1
1
(1 − x) 2 1
(1 − x ) 1 x2 x3
2

= c (1 − x) − x(1 − x) − dx = c dx = c x − +
0
2 0
2 2 2 6 0

1
=c . Therefore, c = 6.
6
1 1− x 1− x − y
5-62 a.) P ( X < 0.5, Y < 0.5, Z < 0.5) = 6 dzdydx The conditions x>0.5, y>0.5,
0 0 0
z>0.5 and x+y+z<1 make a space that is a cube with a volume of 0.125. Therefore the
probability of P ( X < 0.5, Y < 0.5, Z < 0.5) = 6(0.125) = 0.75

b.)
0 . 50 . 5 0 .5
P ( X < 0 .5, Y < 0 .5) = 6 (1 − x − y ) dydx = (6 y − 6 xy − 3 y ) 2 0.5

0
dx
0 0 0
0.5 0 .5
9 9 3
= − 3 x dx = x − x2 = 3/ 4
0
4 4 2 0

c.)
0.51− x 1− x − y 0.51 1− x 0.5 1− x
y2
P( X < 0.5) = 6 dzdydx = 6(1 − x − y )dydx = 6( y − xy − )
0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
0.5 2
x 1
= 6(
2
− x + )dx = x 3 − 3 x 2 + 3 x
2
( ) 0.5

0
= 0.875
0

5-26
d. )
1 1− x 1− x − y 1 1− x 1 1− x
y2
E( X ) = 6 xdzdydx = 6 x(1 − x − y )dydx = 6x( y − xy − )
0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
1
1
x3 x 3x 4 3x 2
= 6( − x 2 + )dx = − 2x 3 + = 0.25
0
2 2 4 2 0

5-63 a.)
1− x
1− x 1− x − y 1− x
y2
f ( x) = 6 dzdy = 6(1 − x − y )dy = 6 y − xy −
0 0 0
2 0
2
x 1
= 6( − x + ) = 3( x − 1) 2 for 0 < x < 1
2 2

b.)
1− x − y

f ( x, y ) = 6 dz = 6(1 − x − y )
0

for x > 0 , y > 0 and x + y < 1


c.)
f ( x, y = 0.5, z = 0,5) 6
f ( x | y = 0.5, z = 0.5) = = = 1 For, x = 0
f ( y = 0.5, z = 0.5) 6

d. ) The marginal f Y ( y ) is similar to f X ( x) and f Y ( y ) = 3(1 − y ) 2 for 0 < y < 1.


f ( x,0.5) 6(0.5 − x)
f X |Y ( x | 0.5) = = = 4(1 − 2 x) for x < 0.5
f Y (0.5) 3(0.25)

5-64 Let X denote the production yield on a day. Then,


1400 −1500
P ( X > 1400) = P ( Z > 10000
) = P( Z > −1) = 0.84134 .
a) Let Y denote the number of days out of five such that the yield exceeds 1400. Then,
by independence, Y has a binomial distribution with n = 5 and p = 0.8413. Therefore,
()
the answer is P (Y = 5) = 55 0.84135 (1 − 0.8413) 0 = 0.4215 .
b) As in part a., the answer is
P (Y ≥ 4) = P (Y = 4) + P (Y = 5)
= ( )0.8413 (1 − 0.8413)
5
4
4 1
+ 0.4215 = 0.8190

5-27
5-65. a) Let X denote the weight of a brick. Then,
2.75 − 3
P ( X > 2.75) = P ( Z > 0.25
) = P( Z > −1) = 0.84134 .
Let Y denote the number of bricks in the sample of 20 that exceed 2.75 pounds. Then, by
independence, Y has a binomial distribution with n = 20 and p = 0.84134. Therefore,
the answer is P (Y = 20) = 20 ( )
20 0.84134
20
= 0.032 .
b) Let A denote the event that the heaviest brick in the sample exceeds 3.75 pounds.
Then, P(A) = 1 - P(A') and A' is the event that all bricks weigh less than 3.75 pounds. As
in part a., P(X < 3.75) = P(Z < 3) and
P ( A) = 1 − [ P ( Z < 3)] 20 = 1 − 0.99865 20 = 0.0267 .

5-66 a) Let X denote the grams of luminescent ink. Then,


P ( X < 1.14) = P ( Z < 1.140.−31.2 ) = P ( Z < −2) = 0.022750 .
Let Y denote the number of bulbs in the sample of 25 that have less than 1.14 grams.
Then, by independence, Y has a binomial distribution with n = 25 and p =
0.022750. Therefore, the answer is
( )
P (Y ≥ 1) = 1 − P (Y = 0) = 025 0.02275 0 (0.97725) 25 = 1 − 0.5625 = 0.4375 .
b)
P (Y ≤ 5) = P (Y = 0) + P (Y = 1) + P (Y = 2) + ( P (Y = 3) + P (Y = 4) + P(Y = 5)
= ( )0.02275 (0.97725)
25
0
0 25
+ ( )0.02275 (0.97725)
25
1
1 24
+ ( )0.02275
25
2
2
(0.97725) 23
.
+ ( )0.02275 (0.97725)
25
3
3 22
+ ( )0.02275 (0.97725)
25
4
4 21
+ ( )0.02275
25
5
5
(0.97725) 20
= 0.5625 + 0.3274 + 0.09146 + 0.01632 + 0.002090 + 0.0002043 = 0.99997 ≅ 1

c.) P (Y = 0) = ( )0.02275
25
0
0
(0.97725) 25 = 0.5625

d.) The lamps are normally and independently distributed, therefore, the probabilities can
be multiplied.

Section 5-5

5-67. E(X) = 1(3/8)+2(1/2)+4(1/8)=15/8 = 1.875


E(Y) = 3(1/8)+4(1/4)+5(1/2)+6(1/8)=37/8 = 4.625

E(XY) = [1 × 3 × (1/8)] + [1 × 4 × (1/4)] + [2 × 5 × (1/2)] + [4 × 6 × (1/8)]


= 75/8 = 9.375
σ XY = E ( XY ) − E ( X ) E (Y ) = 9.375 − (1.875)(4.625) = 0.703125
V(X) = 12(3/8)+ 22(1/2) +42(1/8)-(15/8)2 = 0.8594
V(Y) = 32(1/8)+ 42(1/4)+ 52(1/2) +62(1/8)-(37/8)2 = 0.7344
σ XY 0.703125
ρ XY = = = 0.8851
σ XσY (0.8594)(0.7344)

5-28
5-68 E ( X ) = −1(1 / 8) + (−0.5)(1 / 4) + 0.5(1 / 2) + 1(1 / 8) = 0.125
E (Y ) = −2(1 / 8) + (−1)(1 / 4) + 1(1 / 2) + 2(1 / 8) = 0.25
E(XY) = [-1× −2 × (1/8)] + [-0.5 × -1× (1/4)] + [0.5 × 1× (1/2)] + [1× 2 × (1/8)] = 0.875
V(X) = 0.4219
V(Y) = 1.6875
σ XY = 0.875 − (0.125)(0.25) = 0.8438
0.8438
ρ XY = σσ σ = X
XY
Y
=1
0.4219 1.6875

5-69.
3 3
c( x + y ) = 36c, c = 1 / 36
x =1 y =1
2
13 13 14 14 13 −1
E( X ) = E (Y ) = E ( XY ) = σ xy = − =
6 6 3 3 6 36
16 16 23
E( X 2 ) = E (Y 2 ) = V ( X ) = V (Y ) =
3 3 36
−1
ρ= 36 = −0.0435
23 23
36 36

5-70 E ( X ) = 0(0.01) + 1(0.99) = 0.99


E (Y ) = 0(0.02) + 1(0.98) = 0.98
E(XY) = [0 × 0 × (0.002)] + [0 × 1× (0.0098)] + [1× 0 × (0.0198)] + [1× 1× (0.9702)] = 0.9702
V(X) = 0.99-0.992=0.0099
V(Y) = 0.98-0.982=0.0196
σ XY = 0.9702 − (0.99)(0.98) = 0
0
ρ XY = σσ σ = XY
X Y
=0
0.0099 0.0196

5-71 E(X1) = np1 = 20(1/3)=6.67


E(X2) = np2=20(1/3)=6.67
V(X1) = np1(1-p1)=20(1/3)(2/3)=4.44
V(X2) = np2(1-p2)=20(1/3)(2/3)=4.44
E(X1X2) =n(n-1)p1p2 =20(19)(1/3)(1/3)=42.22
− 2.267
σ XY = 42.22 − 6.67 2 = −2.267 and ρ XY = = −0.51
(4.44)(4.44)

The sign is negative.

5-29
5-72 From Exercise 5-40, c=8/81.
From Exercise 5-41, E(X) = 12/5, and E(Y) = 8/5
3 x 3 x 3 3
8 8 8 x3 2 8 x5
E ( XY ) = xy ( xy )dyd x = x 2 y 2 dyd x = x dx = dx
81 0 0 81 0 0 81 0 3 81 0 3
8 36
= =4
81 18
12 8
σ xy = 4 − = 0.16
5 5
E( X 2 ) = 6 E (Y 2 ) = 3
V ( x) = 0.24, V (Y ) = 0.44
0.16
ρ= = 0.4924
0.24 0.44

5-73. Similarly to 5-49, c = 2 / 19


1 x +1 5 x +1
2 2
E( X ) = xdydx + xdydx = 2.614
19 0 0
19 1 x −1
1 x +1 5 x +1
2 2
E (Y ) = ydydx + ydydx = 2.649
19 0 0 19 1 x −1
1 x +1 5 x +1
2 2
Now, E ( XY ) = xydydx + xydydx = 8.7763
19 0 0 19 1 x −1
σ xy = 8.7763 − (2.614)(2.649) = 1.85181
E ( X 2 ) = 8.7632 E (Y 2 ) = 9.11403
V ( x) = 1.930, V (Y ) = 2.0968
1.852
ρ= = 0.9206
1.930 2.062

5-30
5-74
1 x +1 4 x +1
x x
E( X ) = 7.5
dydx + 7.5
dydx
0 0 1 x −1
1 4
2
= 1
7.5
( x + x)dx + 2
7.5
( x)dx = 12 (5) +
15 6
2
7.5
(7.5) = 199
0 1
2
E(X )=222,222.2
V(X)=222222.2-(333.33)2=111,113.31
E(Y2)=1,055,556
V(Y)=361,117.11
∞∞
E ( XY ) = 6 × 10 −6 xye −.001x −.002 y dydx = 388,888.9
0 x

σ xy = 388,888.9 − (333.33)(833.33) = 111,115.01


111,115.01
ρ= = 0.5547
111113.31 361117.11

5-75. a) E(X) = 1 E(Y) = 1


∞∞
E ( XY ) = xye − x − y dxdy
0 0
∞ ∞
= xe dx ye − y dy
−x

0 0

= E ( X ) E (Y )
Therefore, σ XY = ρ XY = 0 .

5-76. Suppose the correlation between X and Y is ρ. for constants a, b, c, and d, what is the
correlation between the random variables U = aX+b and V = cY+d?
Now, E(U) = a E(X) + b and E(V) = c E(Y) + d.
Also, U - E(U) = a[ X - E(X) ] and V - E(V) = c[ Y - E(Y) ]. Then,
σ UV = E{[U − E (U )][V − E (V )]} = acE{[ X − E ( X )][Y − E (Y )]} = acσ XY
Also, σ U2 = E[U − E (U )]2 = a 2 E[ X − E ( X )]2 = a 2σ X2 and σ V2 = c 2σ Y2 . Then,

acσ XY ρ XY if a and c are of the same sign


ρ UV = =
a 2σ X2 c 2σ Y2 - ρ XY if a and c differ in sign

5-31
5-77 E ( X ) = −1(1 / 4) + 1(1 / 4) = 0
E (Y ) = −1(1 / 4) + 1(1 / 4) = 0
E(XY) = [-1× 0 × (1/4)] + [-1× 0 × (1/4)] + [1× 0 × (1/4)] + [0 × 1× (1/4)] = 0
V(X) = 1/2
V(Y) = 1/2
σ XY = 0 − (0)(0) = 0
0
ρ XY = σσ σ =
XY
X Y
=0
1/ 2 1/ 2
The correlation is zero, but X and Y are not independent, since, for example, if
y=0, X must be –1 or 1.

5-78 If X and Y are independent, then f XY ( x, y ) = f X ( x) f Y ( y ) and the range of


(X, Y) is rectangular. Therefore,
E ( XY ) = xyf X ( x) fY ( y )dxdy = xf X ( x)dx yfY ( y )dy = E ( X ) E (Y )
hence σXY=0

Section 5-6

5-79 a.)

0.04

0.03

0.02
z(0)
0.01

10
0.00

-2
0 x
-1 0 1 -10
y 2 3 4

5-32
b.)

0.07
0.06
0.05
0.04
0.03
z(.8)
0.02
0.01
10
0.00

-2
0 x
-1 0 1 2 -10
y 3 4

c)

0.07

0.06
0.05

0.04
0.03
z(-.8)
0.02

0.01
10
0.00

-2
0 x
-1 0 1 -10
y 2 3 4

5-33
5-80 Because ρ = 0 and X and Y are normally distributed, X and Y are independent.
Therefore,
P(2.95 < X < 3.05, 7.60 < Y < 7.80) = P(2.95 < X < 3.05) P(7.60 < Y < 7.80) =
P ( 2.095.04− 3 < Z < 3.05 − 3
0.04
) P ( 7.600.−087.70 < Z < 7.80 − 7.70
0.08
) = 0.7887 2 = 0.6220

5-81. Because ρ = 0 and X and Y are normally distributed, X and Y are independent.
Therefore,
µX = 0.1mm σX=0.00031mm µY = 0.23mm σY=0.00017mm
Probability X is within specification limits is
0.099535 − 0.1 0.100465 − 0.1
P (0.099535 < X < 0.100465) = P <Z<
0.00031 0.00031
= P(−1.5 < Z < 1.5) = P ( Z < 1.5) − P( Z < −1.5) = 0.8664
Probability that Y is within specification limits is
0.22966 − 0.23 0.23034 − 0.23
P (0.22966 < X < 0.23034) = P <Z <
0.00017 0.00017
= P (−2 < Z < 2) = P ( Z < 2) − P ( Z < −2) = 0.9545
Probability that a randomly selected lamp is within specification limits is
(0.8664)(.9594)=0.8270

5-82 a) By completing the square in the numerator of the exponent of the bivariate normal PDF, the joint
PDF can be written as
2 2
1 σY x−µ x
( y −( µY + ρ ( x − µ x )) + (1− ρ 2 )
σ Y2 σX σx

1 2 (1− ρ 2 )
e
2
f XY ( x , y ) 2πσ x σ y 1 − ρ
f Y |X = x = = 2
f X ( x) x−µ x
σx
1 −
2
e
2π σ x
2
x−µx
σx
Also, fx(x) = 1 −
2 By definition,
e
2π σ x
2 2
1 σY x −µ x
( y − (µY + ρ ( x − µ x )) + (1−ρ 2 )
σY2 σX σx

1 2(1− ρ 2 )
e
2
f XY ( x, y ) 2πσ x σ y 1 − ρ
fY | X = x = = 2
f X ( x) x −µ x
σx

1 2(1− ρ 2 )
e
2π σ x
2
1 σY
( y − ( µY + ρ ( x −µ x ))
σY2 σX

1 2 (1−ρ 2 )
= e
2π σ y 1 − ρ 2

5-34
Now fY|X=x is in the form of a normal distribution.

σy
b) E(Y|X=x) = µ y + ρ ( x − µ x ) . This answer can be seen from part 5-82a. Since the PDF is in
σx
the form of a normal distribution, then the mean can be obtained from the exponent.

c) V(Y|X=x) = σ 2y (1 − ρ2 ) . This answer can be seen from part 5-82a. Since the PDF is in the form
of a normal distribution, then the variance can be obtained from the exponent.

5-83
∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ( x−µ X )2 ( y − µY ) 2
− 12 +
f XY ( x, y )dxdy = 1 σ X
2 σ Y
2
dxdy =
2π σ σ e
X Y
− ∞− ∞ −∞−∞

∞ ( x−µ X )2 ∞ ( y − µY ) 2
− 12 − 12
1 σ 2
1 σ 2

σ e dx σ e dy
X Y
2π X 2π Y
−∞ −∞

and each of the last two integrals is recognized as the integral of a normal probability
density function from −∞ to ∞. That is, each integral equals one. Since
f XY( x, y ) = f ( x) f ( y ) then X and Y are independent.

2 2
X −µ X 2ρ ( X −µ X )(Y − µ X ) Y − µY
− +
σX σ X σY σY

1 2(1− ρ 2 )
5-84 Let f XY ( x, y ) = e
2πσ xσ y 1 − ρ2
Completing the square in the numerator of the exponent we get:

2 2
2 2
X −µ X 2 ρ ( X − µ X )(Y − µ X ) Y − µY Y − µY X −µ X 2 X −µ X
− + = −ρ + (1 − ρ )
σX σ XσY σY σY σX σX

But,
Y − µY X −µ X 1 σY 1 σY
− ρ = (Y − µ Y ) − ρ ( X −µ x ) = (Y − ( µY + ρ ( X − µ x ))
σY σX σY σX σY σX

Substituting into fXY(x,y), we get


2 2
1 σY x−µx
y − ( µY + ρ ( x − µ x )) + (1− ρ 2 )
σ Y2 σX σx

∞ ∞ 1 2(1− ρ 2 )
f XY ( x, y ) = e dydx
−∞ −∞
2πσ xσ y 1 − ρ 2
2
σy
y −( µ y + ρ ( x − µ x ))
σx
2 −
1 x−µx 2σ x2 (1− ρ 2 )

∞ 1 2 σx ∞ 1
= e dx × e dy
−∞
2πσ x −∞
2πσ y 1 − ρ 2

The integrand in the second integral above is in the form of a normally distributed random
variable. By definition of the integral over this function, the second integral is equal to 1:

5-35
2
σy
y −( µ y + ρ ( x − µ x ))
σx
2 −
1 x−µx 2σ x2 (1− ρ 2 )

∞ 1 2 σx ∞ 1
e dx × e dy
−∞
2πσ x −∞
2πσ y 1 − ρ 2
2
1 x−µx

∞ 1 2 σx
= e dx × 1
−∞
2πσ x

The remaining integral is also the integral of a normally distributed random variable and therefore,
it also integrates to 1, by definition. Therefore,

∞ ∞
f ( x, y ) =1
− ∞ − ∞ XY

5-85
− 0 .5 ( x−µ X )2 2 ρ ( x − µ X )( y − µ Y ) ( y − µY ) 2
∞ − +
1− ρ 2 σ 2 σσ X Y σ 2
f X ( x) = 1
e X Y
dy
πσ σ
2 X Y 1− ρ 2
−∞

2 2
)2 ( y − µY ) ρ ( x−µ X ) ρ ( x−µ X )
− 0.5 ( x − µ X ∞ − 0 .5 − −
1− ρ 2 σ 2 1− ρ 2 σ Y σ X σ X
= 1
σ e
X 1
e dy
2π X 2π σ Y 1− ρ 2
−∞
2

− 0 .5 ( y − µY ) ρ ( x−µ X )
( x−µ X )2 −
− 0 .5
σ 2
∞ 1− ρ 2
σ σ X
= 1
2πσ X
e X 1
e Y
dy
2π σ Y 1− ρ 2
−∞

The last integral is recognized as the integral of a normal probability density with mean
µ Y + σ ρσ( x − µ
Y
X
X ) 2
and variance σ Y (1 − ρ 2 ) . Therefore, the last integral equals one and
the requested result is obtained.

5-36
5-86 E ( X ) = µ X , E (Y ) = µY , V ( X ) = σ X2 , and V (Y ) = σ Y2 . Also,

− 0.5 ( x−µ X )2 2 ρ ( x−µ X )( y − µ Y ) ( y − µ Y ) 2

∞ ∞
1− ρ 2 σ 2
X

σσ X Y
+
σ Y
2

( x − µ X )( y − µ Y )e
E ( X − µ X )(Y − µ Y ) = dxdy
− ∞− ∞ 2πσ X σ Y (1 − ρ 2 ) 1 / 2

x−µ X y − µY
Let u = σX
and v = σY
. Then,
−0.5
u 2 − 2 ρuv + v 2
1− ρ 2
∞ ∞
uve
E ( X − µ X )(Y − µ Y ) = 2 1/ 2
σ X σ Y dudv
− ∞− ∞ 2π (1 − ρ )
− 0. 5
[u − ρv ]2 + (1− ρ 2 ) v 2
1− ρ 2
∞ ∞
uve
= σ X σ Y dudv
− ∞− ∞ 2π (1 − ρ 2 ) 1 / 2
The integral with respect to u is recognized as a constant times the mean of a normal
random variable with mean ρv and variance 1 − ρ 2 . Therefore,

∞ ∞
v 2 v2 2
E ( X − µ X )(Y − µY ) = e −0.5v ρvσ X σ Y dv = ρσ X σ Y e −0.5v dv .
−∞ 2π −∞ 2π
The last integral is recognized as the variance of a normal random variable with mean 0
and variance 1. Therefore, E( X − µ X )( Y − µ Y ) = ρσ X σ Y and the correlation between X and
Y is ρ .

Section 5-7

5-87. a) E(2X + 3Y) = 2(0) + 3(10) = 30


b) V(2X + 3Y) = 4V(X) + 9V(Y) = 97
c) 2X + 3Y is normally distributed with mean 30 and variance 97. Therefore,
30 − 30
P(2 X + 3Y < 30) = P( Z < 97
) = P( Z < 0) = 0.5
40 −30
d) P(2 X + 3Y < 40) = P( Z < 97
) = P( Z < 1.02) = 0.8461

5-88 Y = 10X and E(Y) =10E(X) = 50mm.


V(Y)=102V(X)=25mm2

5-37
5-89 a) Let T denote the total thickness. Then, T = X + Y and E(T) = 4 mm,
V(T) = 0.12 + 0.12 = 0.02mm 2 , and σ T = 0.1414 mm.
b)
4 .3 − 4
P (T > 4.3) = P Z > = P ( Z > 2.12)
0.1414
= 1 − P ( Z < 2.12) = 1 − 0.983 = 0.0170

5-90 a) X∼N(0.1, 0.00031) and Y∼N(0.23, 0.00017) Let T denote the total thickness.
Then, T = X + Y and E(T) = 0.33 mm,
V(T) = 0.000312 + 0.00017 2 = 1.25 x10 −7 mm 2 , and σ T = 0.000354 mm.
0.2337 − 0.33
P (T < 0.2337 ) = P Z < = P (Z < −272) ≅ 0
0.000354

b)
0 . 2405 − 0 . 33
P ( T > 0 . 2405 ) = P Z > = P ( Z > − 253 ) = 1 − P ( Z < 253 ) ≅ 1
0 . 000345

5-91. Let D denote the width of the casing minus the width of the door. Then, D is normally
distributed.
a) E(D) = 1/8 V(D) = ( 18 ) 2 + ( 161 ) 2 = 256
5

1 1

b) P ( D > 14 ) = P ( Z > 4 8
5
) = P ( Z > 0.89) = 0.187
256

0 − 18
c) P ( D < 0) = P ( Z < 5
) = P ( Z < −0.89) = 0.187
256

5-92 D=A-B-C
a) E(D) = 10 - 2 - 2 = 6 mm
V ( D ) = 0.12 + 0.052 + 0.052 = 0.015mm 2
σ D = 0.1225mm
5 .9 − 6
b) P(D < 5.9) = P(Z < ) = P(Z < -0.82) = 0.206.
0.1225

5-93. a) Let X denote the average fill-volume of 100 cans. σ X = 0.5 2 = 0.05 .
100

12 − 12.1
b) E( X ) = 12.1 and P ( X < 12) = P Z < = P ( Z < −2) = 0.023
0.05
12 − µ
c) P( X < 12) = 0.005 implies that P Z < = 0.005.
0.05
12 − µ
Then 0.05 = -2.58 and µ = 12.129 .
12 − 12.1
d.) P( X < 12) = 0.005 implies that P Z < = 0.005.
σ / 100
Then 12 −12.1
σ / 100
= -2.58 and σ = 0.388 .

5-38
12 − 12.1
e.) P( X < 12) = 0.01 implies that P Z < = 0.01.
0 .5 / n
Then 12−12.1
0.5 / n
= -2.33 and n = 135.72 ≅ 136 .

5-94 Let X denote the average thickness of 10 wafers. Then, E( X ) = 10 and V( X ) = 0.1.
a) P (9 < X < 11) = P ( 9 −010
.1
< Z < 11−010
.1
) = P (−3.16 < Z < 3.16) = 0.998 .
The answer is 1 − 0.998 = 0.002
b) P( X > 11) = 0.01 and σ X = 1
n
.
Therefore, P ( X > 11) = P ( Z > 11−10
) = 0.01 , 11− 10 = 2.33 and n = 5.43 which is
1 1
n n
rounded up to 6.

c.) P( X > 11) = 0.0005 and σ X = σ 10


.
11−10 11−10
Therefore, P ( X > 11) = P ( Z > σ
) = 0.0005 , σ
= 3.29
10 10

σ = 10 / 3.29 = 0.9612

5-95. X~N(160, 900)


a) Let Y = 25X, E(Y)=25E(X)=4000, V(Y) = 252(900)=562500
P(Y>4300) =
4300 − 4000
P Z> = P ( Z > 0.4) = 1 − P ( Z < 0.4) = 1 − 0.6554 = 0.3446
562500
x − 4000
b.) c) P( Y > x) = 0.0001 implies that P Z > = 0.0001.
562500
x − 4000
Then 750 = 3.72 and x = 6790 .

Supplemental Exercises

5-96 The sum of ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )


f ( x, y ) = 1 , 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 1
4 8 8 4 4
x y

and f XY ( x, y ) ≥ 0
5-97. a) P( X < 0.5, Y < 1.5) = f XY (0,1) + f XY (0,0) = 1 / 8 + 1 / 4 = 3 / 8 .
b) P( X ≤ 1) = f XY (0,0) + f XY (0,1) + f XY (1,0) + f XY (1,1) = 3 / 4
c) P(Y < 1.5) = f XY (0,0) + f XY (0,1) + f XY (1,0) + f XY (1,1) = 3 / 4
d) P( X > 0.5, Y < 1.5) = f XY (1,0) + f XY (1,1) = 3 / 8
e) E(X) = 0(3/8) + 1(3/8) + 2(1/4) = 7/8.
V(X) = 02(3/8) + 12(3/8) + 22(1/4) - 7/82 =39/64
E(Y) = 1(3/8) + 0(3/8) + 2(1/4) = 7/8.
. V(Y) = 12(3/8) + 02(3/8) + 22(1/4) - 7/82 =39/64

5-39
5-98 a) f X ( x ) = f XY ( x, y ) and f X (0) = 3 / 8, f X (1) = 3 / 8, f X (2) = 1/ 4 .
y

f XY (1, y ) 1/8 1/ 4
b) fY 1 ( y ) = and fY 1 (0) = 3/8
= 1 / 3, fY 1 (1) = 3/8
= 2/3.
f X (1)
c) E (Y | X = 1) = yf XY (1, y ) =0(1/ 3) + 1(2 / 3) = 2 / 3
x =1
d) Because the range of (X, Y) is not rectangular, X and Y are not independent.

e.) E(XY) = 1.25, E(X) = E(Y)= 0.875 V(X) = V(Y) = 0.6094


COV(X,Y)=E(XY)-E(X)E(Y)= 1.25-0.8752=0.4844

0.4844
ρ XY = = 0.7949
0.6094 0.6094
20!
5-99 a. ) P ( X = 2, Y = 4, Z = 14) = 0.10 2 0.20 4 0.7014 = 0.0631
2!4!14!
b.) P ( X = 0) = 0.10 0 0.90 20 = 0.1216
c.) E ( X ) = np1 = 20(0.10) = 2
V ( X ) = np1 (1 − p1 ) = 20(0.10)(0.9) = 1.8
f ( x, z )
d.) f X | Z = z ( X | Z = 19) XZ
f Z ( z)
20!
f XZ ( xz ) = 0.1 x 0.2 20− x − z 0.7 z
x! z!(20 − x − z )!
20!
f Z ( z) = 0.3 20− z 0.7 z
z! (20 − z )!
x 20 − x − z
f XZ ( x, z ) (20 − z )! 0.1 x 0.2 20 − x − z (20 − z )! 1 2
f X | Z = z ( X | Z = 19) = 20 − z
=
f Z ( z) x! (20 − x − z )! 0.3 x! (20 − x − z )! 3 3
Therefore, X is a binomial random variable with n=20-z and p=1/3. When z=19,
2 1
f X |19 (0) = and f X |19 (1) = .
3 3
2 1 1
e.) E ( X | Z = 19) = 0 +1 =
3 3 3
5-100 Let X, Y, and Z denote the number of bolts rated high, moderate, and low.
Then, X, Y, and Z have a multinomial distribution.
20!
a) P ( X = 12, Y = 6, Z = 2) = 0.6120.360.12 = 0.0560 .
12!6!2!
b) Because X, Y, and Z are multinomial, the marginal distribution of Z is binomial with
n = 20 and p = 0.1.
c) E(Z) = np = 20(0.1) = 2.

5-40
f XZ (16, z ) 20!
5-101. a) f Z |16 ( z ) = and f XZ ( x, z ) = 0.6 x 0.3 ( 20 − x − z ) 0.1 z for
f X (16) x! z! (20 − x − z )!
x + z ≤ 20 and 0 ≤ x,0 ≤ z . Then,
20!
0.616 0.3( 4 − z ) 0.1z
f Z 16 ( z ) =
16!z!( 4 − z )!
20! 16 4
= 4!
( ) ( )
0.3 4 − z 0.1 z
z!( 4 − z )! 0.4 0.4
16!4! 0.6 0.4
for 0 ≤ z ≤ 4 . That is the distribution of Z given X = 16 is binomial with n = 4 and
p = 0.25.
b) From part a., E(Z) = 4 (0.25) = 1.
c) Because the conditional distribution of Z given X = 16 does not equal the marginal
distribution of Z, X
and Z are not independent.

5-102 Let X, Y, and Z denote the number of calls answered in two rings or less, three or
four rings, and five rings or more, respectively.
10!
a) P ( X = 8, Y = 1, Z = 1) = 0.780.2510.051 = 0.0649
8!1!1!
b) Let W denote the number of calls answered in four rings or less. Then, W is a
binomial random variable with n = 10 and p = 0.95.
Therefore, P(W = 10) = 10 10 0
( )
10 0.95 0.05 = 0.5987 .
c) E(W) = 10(0.95) = 9.5.

f XZ (8, z ) 10!
5-103 a) f Z 8 ( z ) = and f XZ ( x, z ) = 0.70 x 0.25(10 − x − z ) 0.05 z for
f X (8) x! z!(10 − x − z )!
x + z ≤ 10 and 0 ≤ x,0 ≤ z . Then,
10!
0.70 8 0.25 ( 2 − z ) 0.05 z
f Z 8 ( z) =
8!z!( 2 − z )!
10! 8 2
= 2!
( ) ( )
0.25 2 − z 0.05 z
z !( 2 − z )! 0.30 0.30
8!2!
0.70 0.30
for 0 ≤ z ≤ 2 . That is Z is binomial with n =2 and p = 0.05/0.30 = 1/6.
b) E(Z) given X = 8 is 2(1/6) = 1/3.
c) Because the conditional distribution of Z given X = 8 does not equal the marginal
distribution of Z, X and Z are not independent.

3 2 3 2 3
y2 3
5-104 cx 2 ydydx = cx 2 2
dx = 2c x3 = 18c . Therefore, c = 1/18.
0 0 0 0 0

5-41
1 1 1 1 1
y2 1 x3
5-105. a) P ( X < 1, Y < 1) = 1
18
x 2 ydydx = 1
18
x2 2
dx = 36 3
= 1
108
0 0 0 0 0

2.5 2 2.5 2 2.5


y2 1 x3
b) P ( X < 2.5) = 1
18
x 2 ydydx = 1
18
x2 2
dx = 9 3
= 0.5787
0 0 0 0 0

3 2 3 2 3
y2 1 x3
c) P (1 < Y < 2.5) = 1
18
x 2 ydydx = 1
18
x2 2
dx = 12 3
= 3
4
0 1 0 1 0

d)
3 1.5 3 1.5 3
2 y2 5 x3
P ( X > 2,1 < Y < 1.5) = 1
18
x ydydx = 1
18
x2 2
dx = 144 3
2 1 2 1 2

95
= 432
= 0.2199
3 2 3 3
3 1 x4
e) E ( X ) = 1
18
x ydydx = 1
18
x 3 2dx = 9 4
= 9
4
0 0 0 0

3 2 3 3
4 x3
f) E (Y ) = 1
18
x 2 y 2 dydx = 1
18
x 2 83 dx = 27 3
= 4
3
0 0 0 0

2
5-106 a) f X ( x) = 1
18
x 2 ydy = 19 x 2 for 0 < x < 3
0
1
f XY (1, y ) 18
y y
b) fY X ( y ) = = 1
= for 0 < y < 2.
f X (1) 9
2
2 3
f XY ( x,1) 181 x y
c) f X 1 ( x) = = and fY ( y ) = 1
18
x 2 ydx = 2
for 0 < y < 2 .
fY (1) fY (1) 0
1
18
x2 1 2
Therefore, f X 1 ( x) = = x for 0 < x < 3.
1/ 2 9

5-107. The region x2 + y 2 ≤ 1 and 0 < z < 4 is a cylinder of radius 1 ( and base area π ) and
1
height 4. Therefore, the volume of the cylinder is 4 π and f XYZ ( x, y, z) = for x2 + y 2 ≤ 1

and 0 < z < 4.
a) The region X 2 + Y 2 ≤ 0.5 is a cylinder of radius 0.5 and height 4. Therefore,
4 ( 0.5π )
P( X 2 + Y 2 ≤ 0.5) = 4π
= 1/ 2 .
b) The region X 2 + Y 2 ≤ 0.5 and 0 < z < 2 is a cylinder of radius 0.5 and height 2.
Therefore,
2 ( 0.5π )
P( X 2 + Y 2 ≤ 0.5, Z < 2) = 4π
= 1/ 4

5-42
f XYZ ( x, y,1)
c) f XY 1 ( x, y ) = and f Z ( z ) = 1
4π dydx = 1 / 4
f Z (1) x 2 + y 2 ≤1

1 / 4π
for 0 < z < 4. Then, f XY 1 ( x, y ) = = 1
π
for x 2 + y 2 ≤ 1 .
1/ 4
4 1− x 2 4
d) f X ( x) = 1

dydz = 1

1 − x 2 dz = π2 1 − x 2 for -1 < x < 1
0 − 1− x 2 0

4
f XYZ (0,0, z ) 2 2
and f XY ( x, y ) = 4π dz = 1 / π for x + y ≤ 1 . Then,
1
5-108 a) f Z 0, 0 ( z ) =
f XY (0,0) 0

1 / 4π
f Z 0,0 ( z ) = = 1 / 4 for 0 < z < 4 and µ Z 0, 0 = 2 .
1/ π
f ( x, y, z ) 1 / 4π
b) f Z xy ( z ) = XYZ = = 1 / 4 for 0 < z < 4. Then, E(Z) given X = x and Y = y is
f XY ( x, y ) 1/ π
4
z
4
dz = 2 .
0

1 1
5-109. f XY ( x, y ) = c for 0 < x < 1 and 0 < y < 1. Then, cdxdy = 1 and c = 1. Because
0 0

f XY ( x, y ) is constant, P( X − Y < 0.5) is the area of the shaded region below

1
0.5

0 0.5 1

That is, P( X − Y < 0.5) = 3/4.

5-110 a) Let X1, X 2 ,..., X 6 denote the lifetimes of the six components, respectively. Because of
independence,
P( X1 > 5000, X 2 > 5000,..., X 6 > 5000 ) = P( X1 > 5000)P( X 2 > 5000 )... P( X 6 > 5000)

If X is exponentially distributed with mean θ , then λ = 1 and


θ
∞ ∞
P( X > x) = 1
θ
e − t / θ dt = −e − t / θ = e − x / θ . Therefore, the answer is
x x

e −5 / 8 e −0.5 e −0.5 e −0.25 e −0.25 e −0.2 = e −2.325 = 0.0978 .

5-43
b) The probability that at least one component lifetime exceeds 25,000 hours is the
same as 1 minus the probability that none of the component lifetimes exceed
25,000 hours. Thus,
1-P(Xa<25,000, X2<25,000, …, X6<25,000)=1-P(X1<25,000)…P(X6<25,000)
=1-(1-e-25/8)(1-e-2.5)(1-e-2.5)(1-e-1.25)(1-e-1.25)(1-e-1)=1-.2592=0.7408

5-111. Let X, Y, and Z denote the number of problems that result in functional, minor, and no
defects, respectively.
a) P ( X = 2, Y = 5) = P ( X = 2, Y = 5, Z = 3) = 210 !
!5!3!
0.2 2 0.5 5 0.3 3 = 0.085
b) Z is binomial with n = 10 and p = 0.3.
c) E(Z) = 10(0.3) = 3.

5-112 a) Let X denote the mean weight of the 25 bricks in the sample. Then, E( X ) = 3 and
σ X = 0.25
25
= 0.05 . Then, P( X < 2.95) = P(Z < 2 .095 − 3 ) = P (Z < -1) = 0.159.
. 05
x−3 x−3
b) P( X > x) = P( Z > ) = 0.99 . So, = -2.33 and x=2.8835.
.05 0.05

5-113. a.)
18.25 5.25
Because cdydx = 0.25c, c = 4. The area of a panel is XY and P(XY > 90) is
17.75 4.75

the shaded area times 4 below,

5.25
4.75

17.25 18.25
18.25 5.25 18.25 18.25
That is, 4dydx = 4 5.25 − 90x dx = 4(5.25 x − 90 ln x ) = 0.499
17.75 90 / x 17.75 17.75

b. The perimeter of a panel is 2X+2Y and we want P(2X+2Y >46)


18.25 5.25 18.25
4dydx = 4 5.25 − (23 − x)dx
17.75 23− x 17.75
18.25
x2 18.25
= 4 (−17.75 + x)dx = 4(−17.75 x + ) = 0 .5
17.75
2 17.75

5-44
5-114 a)Let X denote the weight of a piece of candy and X∼N(0.1, 0.01). Each package has 16
candies, then P is the total weight of the package with 16 pieces and E( P ) = 16(0.1)=1.6
ounces and V(P) = 162(0.012)=0.0256 ounces2
b) P ( P < 1.6) = P ( Z < 1.06.−161.6 ) = P ( Z < 0) = 0.5 .
c) Let Y equal the total weight of the package with 17 pieces, E(Y) = 17(0.1)=1.7
ounces and V(Y) = 172(0.012)=0.0289 ounces2
−1.7
P(Y < 1.6) = P( Z < 1.06.0289 ) = P( Z < −0.59) = 0.2776 .
5-115. Let X denote the average time to locate 10 parts. Then, E( X ) =45 and σ X = 30
10
60 − 45
a) P ( X > 60) = P ( Z > 30 / 10
) = P ( Z > 1.58) = 0.057
b) Let Y denote the total time to locate 10 parts. Then, Y > 600 if and only if X > 60.
Therefore, the answer is the same as part a.

5-116 a) Let Y denote the weight of an assembly. Then, E(Y) = 4 + 5.5 + 10 + 8 = 27.5 and
V(Y)= 0.4 2 + 0.5 2 + 0.2 2 + 0.5 2 = 0.7 .
29.5 − 27.5
P (Y > 29.5) = P( Z > 0.7
) = P ( Z > 2.39) = 0.0084
b) Let X denote the mean weight of 8 independent assemblies. Then, E( X ) = 27.5 and
V( X ) = 0.7/8 = 0.0875. Also, P ( X > 29) = P ( Z > 290−.0875
27.5
) = P ( Z > 5.07) = 0 .

5-117

0.07

0.06
0.05

0.04
0.03
z(-.8)
0.02

0.01
10
0.00

-2
0 x
-1 0 1 -10
y 2 3 4

5-45
5-118
−1
1 {( x −1) 2 −1 .6 ( x −1)( y − 2 ) + ( y − 2 ) 2 }
0.72
f XY ( x , y ) = e
1 .2π
−1
{( x −1) 2 −1.6 ( x −1)( y − 2 ) + ( y − 2 ) 2 }
1 2 ( 0 .36 )
f XY ( x , y ) = e
2π .36
−1
{( x −1) 2 − 2 (. 8 )( x −1)( y − 2 ) + ( y − 2 ) 2 }
1 2 (1−.8 2 )
f XY ( x , y ) = e
2π 1 − .8 2
E ( X ) = 1 , E (Y ) = 2 V ( X ) = 1 V (Y ) = 1 and ρ = 0.8

5-119 Let T denote the total thickness. Then, T = X1 + X2 and


a.) E(T) = 0.5+1=1.5 mm
V(T)=V(X1) +V(X2) + 2Cov(X1X2)=0.01+0.04+2(0.014)=0.078mm2
where Cov(XY)=ρσXσY=0.7(0.1)(0.2)=0.014

1 − 1 .5
b.) P (T < 1) = P Z < = P ( Z < −1.79) = 0.0367
0.078
c.) Let P denote the total thickness. Then, P = 2X1 +3 X2 and
E(P) =2(0.5)+3(1)=4 mm
V(P)=4V(X1) +9V(X2) +
2(2)(3)Cov(X1X2)=4(0.01)+9(0.04)+2(2)(3)(0.014)=0.568mm2
where Cov(XY)=ρσXσY=0.7(0.1)(0.2)=0.014

5-120 Let T denote the total thickness. Then, T = X1 + X2 + X3 and


a) E(T) = 0.5+1+1.5 =3 mm
V(T)=V(X1) +V(X2) +V(X3)+2Cov(X1X2)+ 2Cov(X2X3)+
2Cov(X1X3)=0.01+0.04+0.09+2(0.014)+2(0.03)+ 2(0.009)=0.246mm2
where Cov(XY)=ρσXσY

1 .5 − 3
b.) P (T < 1.5) = P Z < = P ( Z < −6.10) ≅ 0
0.246

5-46
5-121 Let X and Y denote the percentage returns for security one and two respectively.
If ½ of the total dollars is invested in each then ½X+ ½Y is the percentage return.
E(½X+ ½Y)= 0.05 (or 5 if given in terms of percent)
V(½X+ ½Y)=1/4 V(X)+1/4V(Y)+2(1/2)(1/2)Cov(X,Y)
where Cov(XY)=ρσXσY=-0.5(2)(4)=-4
V(½X+ ½Y)=1/4(4)+1/4(6)-2=3
Also, E(X)=5 and V(X) = 4. Therefore, the strategy that splits between the securities has a lower
standard deviation of percentage return than investing 2million in the first security.

Mind-Expanding Exercises

5-122. By the independence,

P( X 1 ∈ A1 , X 2 ∈ A2 ,..., X p ∈ A p ) = ... f X 1 ( x1 ) f X 2 ( x 2 )... f X p ( x p )dx1 dx 2 ...dx p


A1 A2 Ap

= f X 1 ( x1 )dx1 f X 2 ( x 2 )dx 2 ... f X p ( x p )dx p


A1 A2 Ap

= P( X 1 ∈ A1 ) P( X 2 ∈ A2 )...P( X p ∈ A p )

5-123 E (Y ) = c1µ1 + c2 µ 2 + ... + c p µ p .


Also,
V (Y ) = [c x + c x + ... + c x − (c µ + c µ + ... + c µ )]
1 1 2 2 p p 1 1 2 2 p p
2
f X 1 ( x1 ) f X 2 ( x2 )... f X p ( x p )dx1dx2 ...dx p
= [c ( x − µ ) + ... + c ( x − µ )] f ( x ) f ( x )... f
1 1 1 p p p
2
X1 1 X2 2 Xp ( x p )dx1dx2 ...dx p

Now, the cross-term


c1c ( x1 − µ1 )( x2 − µ 2 ) f X 1 ( x1 ) f X 2 ( x2 )... f X p ( x p )dx1dx2 ...dx p
2

[
= c1c2 ( x1 − µ1 ) f X 1 ( x1 )dx1 ][ ( x 2 − µ 2 ) f X 2 ( x2 )dx2 = 0 ]
from the definition of the mean. Therefore, each cross-term in the last integral for V(Y)
is zero and
V (Y ) = [ c (x − µ )
2
1 1 1
2
][
f X 1 ( x1 )dx1 ... c 2p ( x p − µ p ) 2 f X p ( x p )dx p ]
= c12V ( X 1 ) + ... + c 2pV ( X p ).

5-47
a b a b
5-124 f XY ( x, y )dydx = cdydx = cab . Therefore, c = 1/ab. Then,
0 0 0 0
b
a
1
f X ( x) = cdy = a
for 0 < x < a, and f Y ( y) = cdx = 1 for 0 < y < b. Therefore,
b
0 0

f XY (x,y)=f X (x)f Y (y) for all x and y and X and Y are independent.

b b b
5-125 f X ( x) = g ( x)h( y )dy = g ( x) h( y )dy = kg ( x) where k = h( y )dy. Also,
0 0 0
a
f Y ( y ) = lh( y ) where l = g ( x)dx. Because f XY (x,y) is a probability density
0
a b a b
function, g ( x)h( y )dydx = g ( x)dx h( y )dy = 1. Therefore, kl = 1 and
0 0 0 0

f XY (x,y)=f X (x)f Y (y) for all x and y.

Section 5-8 on CD

1
S5-1. f Y ( y) = at y = 3, 5, 7, 9 from Theorem S5-1.
4

S5-2. Because X ≥ 0 , the transformation is one-to-one; that is y = x2 and x= y . From Theorem S5-2,

f Y ( y) = f X ( y ) = ( )p (1 − p)3
y
y 3− y
for y = 0, 1, 4, 9.

If p = 0.25, fY ( y ) = ( )(0.25) (0.75)


3
y
y 3− y
for y = 0, 1, 4, 9.

y − 10 1 y − 10
S5-3. a) fY ( y ) = f X = for 10 ≤ y ≤ 22
2 2 72
22
y 2 − 10 y
b) E (Y ) =
72
dy =
1
72
( y3
3 − 102y
2
) 22

10
= 18
10

y −y −y −y −y
−2
S5-4. Because y = -2 ln x, e = x . Then, f Y ( y ) = f X (e 2 ) − 12 e 2
= 12 e 2 for 0 ≤ e 2 ≤ 1 or
y ≥ 0 , which is an exponential distribution (which equals a chi-square distribution with k = 2 degrees of
freedom).

5-48
S5-5. a) Let Q = R. Then,
p
p = i 2r i= q
and
q=r r=q
∂i ∂i
∂p ∂q
1
( pq ) −1 / 2 − 12 p 1 / 2 q −3 / 2 1
J= ∂r ∂r
= 2
= 2 ( pq ) −1 / 2
∂p ∂q 0 1
f PQ ( p, q ) = f IR ( p
q
, q ) 12 ( pq ) −1 / 2 = 2 ( ) p
q
1
2
( pq ) −1 / 2 = q −1
p
for 0 ≤ q
≤ 1, 0 ≤ q ≤ 1
That is, for 0 ≤ p ≤ q, 0 < q ≤ 1 .
1
f P ( p ) = q −1dq = − ln p for 0 < p ≤ 1.
p
1
b) E ( P ) = − p ln p dp . Let u = ln p and dv = p dp. Then, du = 1/p and
0

2 1
p p2
1
p p2
1 1
v= . Therefore, E ( P) = − (ln p ) 2
+ 2
dp = 4
=
2 0
0
0 4

− 12 e− y
S5-6. a) If y = x 2 , then x = y for x ≥ 0 and y ≥ 0 . Thus, f Y ( y ) = f X ( y ) 12 y = for
2 y
y > 0.
2
b) If y = x 1 / 2 , then x = y 2 for x≥0 and y ≥ 0 . Thus, fY ( y ) = f X ( y 2 )2 y = 2 ye− y for y >
0.
y y
c) If y = ln x, then x = e y for x ≥ 0 . Thus, f Y ( y ) = f X (e y )e y = e y e − e = e y − e for
−∞ < y < ∞.

∞ ∞ ∞
S5-7. a) Now, av 2 e −bv dv must equal one. Let u = bv, then 1 = a ( ub ) 2 e −u du = a3 u 2 e −u du. From
0 0
b b 0
a 2a b3
the definition of the gamma function the last expression is Γ (3) = 3 . Therefore, a = .
b3 b 2
mv 2 2w
b) If w= , then v= for v ≥ 0, w ≥ 0 .
2 m
b 3 2 w −b 2mw
f W ( w) = f V ( ) 2 w dv
m
dw
=
2m
e (2mw) −1 / 2

b 3 m −3 / 2 −b 2w

= w1 / 2 e m

2
for w ≥ 0.

5-49
1 1
S5-8. If y = e x , then x = ln y for 1 ≤ x ≤ 2 and e 1 ≤ y ≤ e 2 . Thus, fY ( y ) = f X (ln y ) = for
y y
1
1≤ ln y ≤ 2 . That is, fY ( y ) = for e ≤ y ≤ e2 .
y


S5-9. Now P (Y ≤ a ) = P ( X ≥ u (a )) = f X ( x)dx . By changing the variable of integration from x to y
u(a)
−∞
by using x = u(y), we obtain P(Y ≤ a ) = f X (u ( y ))u ' ( y )dy because as x tends to ∞, y = h(x) tends
a
a
to - ∞. Then, P (Y ≤ a ) = f X (u ( y ))(−u ' ( y ))dy . Because h(x) is decreasing, u'( y) is negative.
−∞
Therefore, | u'( y) | = - u'( y) and Theorem S5-1 holds in this case also.

S5-10. If y = ( x − 2) 2 , then x = 2 − y for 0≤ x≤2 and x = 2+ y for 2 ≤ x ≤ 4 . Thus,


fY ( y ) = f X (2 − y ) | − 12 y −1 / 2 | + f X (2 + y ) | 12 y −1 / 2 |
2− y 2+ y
= +
16 y 16 y
= ( 14 ) y −1 / 2 for 0 ≤ y ≤ 4

a
S5-11. a) Let a = s1s 2 and y = s1 . Then, s1 = y, s 2 = and
y
∂s ∂s 1 1
0 1
∂a ∂y 1 a 1
J= = − y −3 / 2 = − y . Then,
∂s ∂s 2
y
2
2
∂a ∂y
f AY (a, y ) = f S S ( y, ay )( 1y ) = 2 y ( 8ay )( 1y ) = 4ay for
1 2
0 ≤ y ≤ 1 and 0 ≤ a ≤ 4 . That is, for
y
0 ≤ y ≤ 1 and 0 ≤ a ≤ 4 y .
1
a a
b) f A (a) = dy = − ln( a4 ) for 0 < a ≤ 4.
a /4 4y 4

5-50
S5-12. Let r = v/i and s = i. Then, i = s and v = rs
∂i ∂i
J = ∂r ∂s = 0 1 = s
∂v ∂v s r
∂r ∂s
f RS (r , s ) = f IV ( s, rs ) s = e −rs s for rs ≥ 0 and 1 ≤ s ≤ 2 . That is,
− rs
f RS (r , s) = se for 1 ≤ s ≤ 2 and r ≥ 0 .
2
− rs − rs − e − rs
Then, f R (r ) = se ds . Let u = s and dv = e ds. Then, du = ds and v =
1
r
Then,
2 2 2
−e−rs −e−rs e−r −2e−2r e−rs
f R (r) = −s + ds= − 2
r 1 1 r r r 1
e−r −2e−2r e−r −e−2r
= +
r r2
e−r (r +1) −e−2r (2r +1)
=
r2
for r > 0.

Section 5-9 on CD

m
e tx 1 m
(e t ) m +1 − e t e t (1 − e tm )
S5-13 . a) E (e tX ) = = (e t ) x = =
x =1 m m x =1 m(e t − 1) m(1 − e t )
1 t
b) M (t ) = e (1 − e tm )(1 − e t ) −1 and
m
dM(t ) 1 t
dt
{
= e (1 − etm )(1 − et )−1 + et (−metm )(1 − et )−1 + et (1 − etm )(−1)(1 − et )−2 (−et )
m
}
dM (t ) et tm tm (1 − e tm )e t
= 1 − e − me +
dt m(1 − e t ) 1− et
et
= {
1 − e tm − me tm + me ( m +1) t }
m(1 − e t ) 2
Using L’Hospital’s rule,
dM (t ) et − me tm − m 2 e tm + m(m + 1)e ( m +1)t
lim = lim lim
t →0 dt t →0 m t →0 − 2(1 − e t )e t
et − m 2 e tm − m 3 e tm + m(m + 1) 2 e ( m +1)t
= lim lim
t →0 m t →0 − 2(1 − e t )e t − 2e t (−e t )
1 m(m + 1) 2 − m 2 − m 3 m 2 + m m + 1
= × = =
m 2 2m 2

5-51
m +1
Therefore, E(X) = .
2
d 2 M (t ) d 2 m
1 1 m
d2 (tx ) 2
= 2 e tx = 1 + tx + +
dt 2 dt x =1 m m x =1 dt
2
2
m
1
= ( x 2 + term sin volvingpow ersoft )
m x =1
Thus,

d 2 M (t ) 1 m(m + 1)(m + 2) (m + 1)(2m + 2)


= =
dt 2 t =0 m 6 6

Then,
2m 2 + 3m + 1 (m + 1) 2 4m 2 + 6m + 2 − 3m 2 − 6m − 3
V (X ) = − =
6 4 12
2
m −1
=
12


e −λ λx ∞
( λe t ) x t t
S5-14. a) E (e tX ) = e tx = e −λ = e −λ e λe = e λ ( e −1)
x =0 x! x =0 x!
dM (t ) t
b) = λe t e λ ( e −1)
dt
dM (t )
= λ = E( X )
dt t = 0
d 2 M (t ) 2 2 t λ ( e t −1) t λ ( e t −1)
= λ e e + λ e e
dt 2
d 2 M (t )
2
= λ2 + λ
dt t =0

V ( X ) = λ 2 + λ − λ2 = λ

5-52

p ∞ t
S5-15 a) E(etX ) = etx (1 − p)x−1 p = [e (1 − p)]x
x =1 1 − p x=1
et (1 − p ) p pet
= =
1 − (1 − p )et 1 − p 1 − (1 − p )et
dM (t )
b) = pe t (1 − (1 − p ) e t ) − 2 (1 − p ) e t + pe t (1 − (1 − p ) e t ) −1
dt
= p (1 − p )e 2t (1 − (1 − p )et )−2 + pet (1 − (1 − p )et )−1
dM(t) 1− p 1
= +1= = E(X )
dt t =0 p p
d 2M(t)
= p(1 − p)e2t 2(1− (1 − p)et )−3(1− p)et + p(1− p)(1 − (1 − p)et )−2 2e2t
dt2
+ pet (1− (1− p)et )−2 (1− p)et + pet (1− (1− p)et )−1
d 2 M (t ) 2(1 − p ) 2 2(1 − p ) 1 − p 2(1 − p ) 2 + 3 p (1 − p ) + p 2
= + + + 1 =
dt 2 t = 0 p2 p p p2
2 + 2 p2 − 4 p + 3 p − 3 p2 + p2 2 − p
= =
p2 p2
2 − p 1 1− p
V (X ) = − 2 = 2
p2 p p

S5-16. M Y (t ) = Ee tY = Ee t ( X 1 + X 2 ) = Ee tX 1 Ee tX 2
= (1 − 2t ) − k1 / 2 (1 − 2t ) − k 2 / 2 = (1 − 2t ) − ( k1 + k 2 ) / 2
Therefore, Y has a chi-square distribution with k 1 + k 2 degrees of freedom.
∞ ∞
S5-17. a) E (e tX ) = e tx 4 xe − 2 x dx = 4 xe ( t − 2) x dx
0 0

Using integration by parts with u = x and dv = e (t − 2 ) x dx and du = dx,


(t − 2) x
e
v= we obtain
t−2
∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
xe (t − 2) x e (t −2 ) x xe ( t − 2) x e (t −2 ) x
4 − dx = 4 −
t−2 0 0
t−2 t−2 0
(t − 2) 2 0

4
This integral only exists for t < 2. In that case, E (e tX ) = for t < 2
(t − 2) 2
dM (t ) dM (t )
b) = −8(t − 2) −3 and = −8(−2) −3 = 1 = E ( X )
dt dt t = 0
d 2 M (t ) d 2 M (t ) 24 3 3 1
c) 2
= 24(t − 2) − 4 and 2
= = . Therefore, V ( X ) = − 12 =
dt dt t =0
16 2 2 2

5-53
β β
tX etx etx etβ − etα
S5-18. a) E (e ) = dx = =
α β −α t(β − α ) α t(β − α )
dM (t ) e tβ − e tα β e tβ − αe tα
b) = +
dt − ( β − α )t 2 t (β − α )
( βt − 1)e tβ − (αt − 1)e tα
=
t 2 (β − α )
Using L’Hospital’s rule,
dM (t ) (βt − 1)βe tβ + βe tβ − (αt − 1)αe tα − αe tα
lim =
t →0 dt 2t (β − α )
dM (t ) β 2 (βt − 1)e tβ + β 2 e tβ + β 2 e tβ − α 2 (αt − 1)e tα − α 2 e tα − α 2 e tα
lim =
t →0 dt 2(β − α )
dM (t ) β 2 − α 2 (β + α )
lim = = = E( X )
t →0 dt 2(β − α ) 2
b
d 2 M (t ) d 2 1 tx 1 d 2 e tb − e ta
= e dx = ( )
dt 2 dt 2 a b − a b − a dt 2 t
(tb) 2 (tb) 3 (ta ) 2 (ta ) 3
tb + + − ta − − + ...
1 d2 2 3! 2 3!
= =
b − a dt 2 t

1 d2 (b 2 − a 2 )t (b 3 − a 3 )t 2
= b − a + + + ...
b − a dt 2 2 3!
b 3 − a 3 b 2 + ba + a 2
= =
3(b − a ) 3
Thus,
b 2 + ba + a 2 (b + a ) 2 b 2 − 2ab + a 2 (b − a ) 2
V(X)= − = =
3 4 12 12

5-54
∞ ∞
S5-19. a) M (t ) = e tx λe − λx dx = λ e ( t − λ ) x dx
0 0

(t −λ ) x ∞
e −λ 1
=λ = = = (1 − t
λ
)−1 for t < λ
t −λ 0
t − λ 1 − λt
dM (t ) 1
= (−1)(1 − λt ) ( −λ1 ) =
−2
b)
λ (1 − λt )
2
dt
dM (t ) 1
=
dt t =0 λ
d 2 M (t ) 2
2
= 2
dt λ (1 − λt ) 3
d 2 M (t ) 2
=
dt 2 t =0
λ2
2
2 1 1
V (X ) = 2
− =
λ λ λ2
∞ ∞
λ λr
S5-20. a) M (t ) = e tx (λx) r −1 e − λx dx = x r −1 e ( t − λ ) x dx
0
Γ (r ) Γ(r ) 0
Let u = (λ-t)x. Then,
∞ r −1
λr u −u du λr Γ(r ) 1
M (t ) = e = r
= t r
= (1 − λt ) − r from
Γ( r ) 0 λ −t λ − t Γ(r )(λ − t ) (1 − λ )
the definition of the gamma function for t < λ.
b) M ' ( t ) = − r (1 − t ) − r − 1 ( − 1 )
λ λ
r
M ' (t ) t = 0 = = E( X )
λ
r (r + 1)
M ' ' (t ) = (1 − λt ) r − 2
λ2
r (r + 1)
M ' ' (t ) t = 0 =
λ2
2
r (r + 1) r r
V (X ) = 2
− =
λ λ λ2

5-55
n
E (e ) = ∏ E (e tX i ) = (1 − λt )
tY −n
S5-21. a)
i =1
b) From Exercise S5-20, Y has a gamma distribution with parameter λ and n.

2 2 2
µ1t +σ 12 t2 + µ 2t +σ 22 t2 ( µ1 + µ 2 ) t + (σ 12 +σ 22 ) t2
S5-22. a) M Y (t ) = e =e
b) Y has a normal distribution with mean µ 1 + µ 2 and variances σ 12 + σ 22

1 k
S5-23. Because a chi-square distribution is a special case of the gamma distribution with λ = and r = , from
2 2
Exercise S5-20.
M (t ) = (1 − 2t ) − k / 2
k − k −1 − k −1
M ' (t ) = − (1 − 2t ) 2 (−2) = k (1 − 2t ) 2
2
M ' (t ) t =0 = k = E( X )
− k2 − 2
M ' ' (t ) = 2k ( k2 + 1)(1 − 2t )
M ' ' (t ) t = 0 = 2k ( k2 + 1) = k 2 + 2k
V ( X ) = k 2 + 2k − k 2 = 2k
2 r
S5-24. a) M (t ) = M (0) + M ' (0)t + M ' (0) t2! + ... + M ( r ) (0) tr! + ... by Taylor’s expansion. Now, M(0)
= 1 and M ( r ) (0) = µ r' and the result is obtained.
r ( r +1) t 2
b) From Exercise S5-20, M (t ) = 1 + λr t + λ2 2! + ...
r ( r +1)
c) µ 1' = r
λ and µ 2' = λ2
which agrees with Exercise S5-20.

Section 5-10 on CD

S5-25. Use Chebychev's inequality with c = 4. Then, P( X − 10 > 4) ≤ 161 .

S5-26. E(X) = 5 and σ X = 2.887 . Then, P( X − 5 > 2σ X ) ≤ 1


4
.

The actual probability is P( X − 5 > 2σ X ) = P( X − 5 > 5.77) = 0 .

5-56
S5-27. E(X) = 20 and V(X) = 400. Then, P( X − 20 > 2σ ) ≤ 1
4
and P( X − 20 > 3σ ) ≤ 1
9
The actual
probabilities are
P ( X − 20 > 2σ ) = 1 − P ( X − 20 < 40)
60 60
= 1 − 0.05e − 0.05 x dx = 1 − − e −0.05 x = 0.0498
0 0

P ( X − 20 > 3σ ) = 1 − P ( X − 20 < 60)


80 80
= 1 − 0.05e − 0.05 x dx = 1 − − e −0.05 x = 0.0183
0 0

S5-28. E(X) = 4 and σ X = 2


1 1
P ( X − 4 ≥ 4) ≤ 4
and P( X − 4 ≥ 6) ≤ 9
. The actual probabilities are
7
e−2 2x
P ( X − 4 ≥ 4) = 1 − P ( X − 4 < 4) = 1 − x!
= 1 − 0.8636 = 0.1364
x =1
9
e− 2 2 x
P ( X − 4 ≥ 6) = 1 − P ( X − 4 < 6) = 1 − x! = 0.000046
x =1

S5-29. Let X denote the average of 500 diameters. Then, σX = 0.01


500
= 4.47 x10 −4 .
a) P ( X − µ ≥ 4σ X ) ≤ 161 and P ( X − µ < 0.0018) ≥ 15
16 . Therefore, the bound is
0.0018.

X −µ
If P ( X − µ < x) = 15
16
, then P ( σ− x < σX < σx ) = 0.9375. Then,
X X

P( −x
4.47 x10 − −4
<Z< x
4.47 x10 − 4
) = 0.9375. and x
4.47 x10 − 4
= 1.86. Therefore, x = 8.31x10 −4 .

S5-30. a) E(Y) = P( X − µ ≥ cσ )
b) Because Y ≤ 1 , ( X − µ )2 ≥ ( X − µ )2Y
If X − µ ≥ cσ , then Y = 1 and ( X − µ ) 2 Y ≥ c 2σ 2 Y
If X − µ < cσ , then Y = 0 and ( X − µ )2 Y = c 2σ 2Y .
c) Because ( X − µ ) 2 ≥ c 2σ 2Y , E[( X − µ ) 2 ] ≥ c 2σ 2 E (Y ) .
d) From part a., E(Y) = P( X − µ ≥ cσ ) . From part c., σ 2 ≥ c 2σ 2 P( X − µ ≥ cσ ) . Therefore,
1
c2
≥ P ( X − µ ≥ cσ ) .

5-57

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