Barriers Entry
Barriers Entry
June 6, 2003
In the Papers and Proceedings of the Forty-eighth Annual Meeting of the American
Economic Association, published in March 1936, Donald H. Wallace explains that the
key principles of public policy that emerged from the literature on monopolistic
competition, initiated by Chamberlin (1935), are that "Competitive measures which did
not truly measure efficiency should be eliminated; and, by implication at least, any other
barriers to free entry except those inherent in differing personal qualities or ability to
obtain capital should be removed" (p. 79). This is the first occurence of the term "barrier
to entry" in an academic article published in an economics journal.
Wallace goes on to lament the neglect in the existing literature of other important
barriers to entry: "Public policy seems to have overlooked such important barriers to free
entry as control of scarce resources of raw materials, ... and the impressive formidability
of size and length or purse supplemented by industrial and financial affiliations" (p.80).
He expresses his belief, which would be shared by many economists after him, that large
capital requirements are also an important barrier to entry that warrants the scrutiny of
antitrust authorities. Wallace concludes his article with a research program that would
prove to be visionary: "The nature and extent of barriers to free entry needs thorough
1
Preston McAfee and Hugo Mialon, Department of Economics, University of Texas at
Austin, Austin, Texas, 78712 ([email protected] and [email protected]),
Michael Williams, Analysis Group, Inc., PM KeyPoint LLC, 2200 Powell Street, Suite
1080, Emeryville, CA 94608 ([email protected]).
study" (p.83). Fifteen years later, Joe S. Bain would publish a series of articles
culminating in a book that would constitute the first thorough study of barriers to entry.
In this book, Bain (1956) defined a barrier to entry as anything that allows incumbent
firms to earn above-normal profits without the threat of entry. Bain argued that large
scale economies are a barrier to entry, according to this definition. Stigler (1968) later
rejected the basic notion that scale economies are a barrier to entry. He defined a barrier
to entry as a cost that must be borne by a firm that seeks to enter an industry but is not
borne by firms already in the industry. With equal access to technology, economies of
scale are not a barrier to entry according to Stigler.
Capital requirements are not a barrier to entry either, according to Stigler, unless the
incumbent never paid them; but they are a barrier to entry according to Bain, for they
seem to be positively correlated with high profits. With respect to scale economies and
capital costs, the definitions of Bain and Stigler are at variance, which has resulted in
controversy among economists and antitrust lawyers, both over the definition of a barrier
to entry, and over the question of whether scale economies and capital costs each
constitute a barrier to entry.
2
We argue that scale economies and capital costs are ancillary, antitrust, but not
economic, barriers to entry. We then briefly discuss how the new concepts can be
employed to classify the barriers to entry posed by other well-known structural
characteristics of industries and competitive tactics by incumbents.
Bain (1954) argued that large scale economies are a barrier to entry. Suppose a firm
must add significantly to industry output in order to be efficient, and incumbent firms are
committed to maintain their output levels in the event of entry. If a firm enters this
market at less than the efficient scale, it enters at a significant cost disadvantage relative
to incumbent firms. If the firm enters at or above the efficient scale, then the combined
industry output would exceed industry demand causing the industry selling price to fall
and dissipating all profits for the entrant. Therefore, firms in industries where the
efficient scale is large relative to the market may be able to earn considerable profits
without inducing entry.
Bain called this effect of scale economies on barriers to entry the "percentage effect,"
because it reflects the importance of the proportion of industry output supplied by a firm
of efficient scale. He suggested that this is only one of two effects of scale economies on
barriers to entry. Scale economies may be important to entry also because large absolute
amounts of capital are required for efficiency. That is, absolute capital requirements may
so large that relatively few entrepreneurs could secure the required capital, or that
entrants could secure it only at interest rates that placed them at an important cost
disadvantage relative to incumbents.
In the process of defending his view that scale economies and capital requirements
pose important barriers to entry, Bain formulated the first general definition of a barrier
to entry, which he offered in the introductory chapter of his 1956 book, "Barriers to New
Competition."
3
Definition 1 (Bain, 1956, p. 3). A barrier to entry is an advantage of established sellers in
an industry over potential entrant sellers, which is reflected in the extent to which
established sellers can persistently raise their prices above competitive levels without
attracting new firms to enter the industry.
Prices would settle down to their competitive levels if new firms were free to enter
the industry. At their competitive levels, prices are equal to marginal cost. According to
Bain, a barrier to entry is anything that allows incumbents to raise prices above marginal
cost, which usually entails above-normal profits, without inducing entry of new firms. As
Viscusi et al. (1992) point out, a problem with this definition is that it is tautological.
Bain defines a barrier to entry in terms of its outcome, the extent to which incumbents
price above marginal cost or earn above-normal profits without inducing entry, which he
called the "condition of entry." The definition is true by virtue of the meaning of the
condition of entry alone, without reference to external fact, and its denial results in self-
contradiction.
Although not theoretically sound, this definition might have been fashioned for the
purpose of identifying barriers to entry empirically. If the condition of entry were
observable, then Bain might have been able to identify the extent of barriers to entry
across industries. However, Bain could find no immediate observable proxy for the
condition of entry. So he simply measured, for a cross-section of twenty industries, the
size and importance of the market characteristics that he believed to have an important
effect on the condition of entry: economies of scale, capital requirements, absolute cost
advantages, and differentiation advantages.
Relative to other industries, Bain found that capital requirements were high in the steel
and cigarette industries, and economies of scale were average in the steel industry, and
low in the cigarette industry (Table 14, p. 169). Whether scale economies and capital
requirements actually had an effect on the condition of entry in the cigarette, steel, and
other industries, and hence whether they actually were barriers to entry, Bain answered
only in theory.
4
While admiring Bain's important empirical contributions, Nobel laureate George S.
Stigler rejected Bain's basic contention that scale economies and capital requirements are
barriers to entry, and developed a more useful definition to defend his point of view.
Definition 2 (Stigler, 1968, p. 67). A barrier to entry is a cost of producing (at some or
every rate of output) which must be borne by firms which seek to enter an industry but is
not borne by firms already in the industry.
According to Stigler's definition, a barrier to entry exists only if the potential entrant's
long-run costs after entry are greater than those of the incumbent. Stigler's definition is
narrower than Bain's definition, that is, some things are barriers to entry according to
Bain, and not according to Stigler; but nothing is a barrier to entry according to Stigler,
and not according to Bain. In any given industry, entrants and incumbents enjoy the same
scale economies as they expand their output. With equal access to technology, economies
of scale are not a barrier to entry according to Stigler; but they are a barrier to entry
according to Bain (via their percentage effects). Absolute capital requirements are not a
barrier to entry either, according to Stigler, unless the incumbent never paid them; but
they are a barrier to entry according to Bain, for they seem to be positively correlated
with high profits.
The spirit of Bain's definition did not fade after Stigler proposed an alternative
definition. Ferguson (1974), who was mainly concerned with the question of whether
5
advertising is a barrier to entry, proposed a definition that follows Bain's, but with the
additional requirement that incumbents earn monopoly profits.
Definition 3 (Ferguson, 1974, p.10). A barrier to entry is a factor that makes entry
unprofitable while permitting established firms to set prices above marginal cost, and to
persistently earn monopoly return.
Ferguson pointed out that pricing above marginal cost in the long run is not
sufficient for incumbent firms to persistently earn above-normal profits. Incumbents only
earn above-normal profits if prices exceeds average cost. Prices may not exceed average
cost even though they exceed marginal cost because of price or non-price competition
among existing firms.
For example, existing firms might compete through advertising. Then potential
entrants might be required to pay large fixed advertising costs to enter the industry.
However, incumbents also pay these fixed advertising costs to compete in the industry.
These costs increase the average cost curves of incumbents, as well as entrants (without
affecting their marginal cost curves). As long as they are not a source of scale economies,
even if they allow incumbents to set prices above marginal cost, they are not a barrier to
entry according to Ferguson's definition, because they increase incumbents' average cost,
thereby dissipating their above-normal profits, and hence reducing the incentives of
potential entrants to enter the industry. In contrast, they are a barrier to entry according to
Bain simply because they allow incumbents to price above marginal cost without
inducing entry.
Fisher (1979) proposed another definition, which is in the spirit of Bain's and
Ferguson's definition, but is normative rather than positive.
Definition 4 (Fisher, 1979, p. 23) A barrier to entry is anything that prevents entry when
entry is socially beneficial.
6
According to Fisher, a barrier to entry exists if incumbents earn profits that are
unnecessarily high, in the sense that society would be better off if they were competed
away, but firms do not enter to do this. To determine whether a potential barrier to entry
causes profits to be unnecessarily high, Fisher asks whether potential entrants make a
calculation that is any different from the one that society would want them to make in
order to decide whether to enter a market, given this barrier to entry.
Consider, for example, an industry that firms can only enter if they make a large
capital expenditure. A firm will not enter if the profits that it anticipates in the long run
will not be sufficient to justify the initial capital requirement. But this is exactly the
calculation that society would want the potential entrant to make. The capital expenditure
would be socially wasteful if it did not guarantee a rate of return that exceeded the rate of
return that it could earn if it were invested elsewhere. Therefore, according to Fisher's
definition, an initial capital requirement, no matter how large, is not a barrier to entry. It
is not a barrier to entry according to Stigler's definition either, but only because
incumbents and entrants both had to pay it in the same amount, which is an entirely
different reason.
Von Weizsacker argues that a cost differential is a barrier to entry only if it results in
a decrease in welfare. His point is that the number of firms in a Cournot industry can be
greater than the socially optimal number of firms. To prove his point, he develops a
model of an industry with economies of scale, and shows that the number of active firms
7
in the Cournot equilibrium with free entry, defined as the largest number of firms such
that the Cournot equilibrium is still profitable, exceeds the number of active firms that
would maximize social surplus, defined as the sum of consumer surplus and market profit
at the level of total industry output that arises when all firms set price equal to marginal
cost. In this model, economies of scale are not a sufficient barrier to entry. Welfare would
increase if the number of firms were limited to less than the free entry number. The cost
savings that arise with fewer firms from taking advantage of economies of scale more
than compensate for the reduction in total output from having fewer firms. In such an
industry, additional barriers to entry could enhance welfare, by reducing the number of
firms to their socially optimal level. However, industries where the number of firms is
greater that the socially optimal number of firms are generally difficult to identify.
The definitions of Stigler and von Weizsacker focus on the cost disadvantages of
entrants relative to incumbents. Gilbert (1989) argues that such definitions are
unnecessarily confining, and proposes a new definition that focuses on the advantages of
incumbents rather than the disadvantages of entrants.
Definition 6 (Gilbert, 1989, p. 478). An entry barrier is a rent that is derived from
incumbency.
According to Gilbert, a barrier to entry is the additional profit that a firm can earn as
a sole consequence of being established in the industry. An incumbent may be able to
earn profit and exclude entry not only because of cost advantages over entrants. Suppose
the incumbent can commit itself to producing the monopoly output, and this being the
case, no other firm can enter at a profit. 2 Then entry is excluded in this market even
though the incumbent has no cost advantage over a new entrant, since both had to pay the
sunk costs. Sunk costs are a barrier to exit for the incumbent, which allows it to commit
to a level of output, which in turn deters entry, earning the incumbent a rent. Thus, exit
barriers for incumbents create entry barriers for entrants.
2
In this case, Bain's assumption that entrants expect incumbents to maintain their pre-
entry output levels even after entry has occured is valid.
8
Moreover, incumbents can use strategic behavior to exploit sunk costs to their
advantage. Sunk costs increase the entrant's loss in the event that entry fails, which makes
the incumbent's threats of strategic entry deterrence more effective. Thus, exit barriers for
entrants create entry barriers for entrants. In these ways, sunk costs provide a rent to
incumbents, and hence are a barrier to entry according to Gilbert's definition. The legal
restriction that drivers must buy an official medallion from city authorities before
supplying taxi services may be a barrier to entry according to Gilbert's definition for the
same reason, while it is not a barrier to entry according to the definitions of Bain, Stigler,
Ferguson, Fisher, or von Weizsacker.
Disagreement over the definition of a barrier to entry has persisted. Authors of modern
textbooks in industrial organization openly document the lack of consensus (see for
example, Viscusi et al, 2000, p. 159-163, and Church and Ware, 1999, p. 513-518). In a
popular textbook, Carlton and Perloff (1994) propose a literal definition of a barrier to
entry.
Definition 7 (Carlton and Perloff, 1994, p. 110). A barrier to entry is anything that
prevents an entrepreneur from instantaneously creating a new firm in a market. A long-
run barrier to entry is a cost that must be incurred by a new entrant that incumbents do
not (or have not had to) bear.
The authors argue that the first definition is rarely useful in practice, for it implies
that any capital requirement is a barrier to entry and that any industry in which entry
takes time has a barrier to entry. They note that the term "barrier to entry" is often used to
refer to both costs of entering and the time required to enter. However, to our knowledge,
they are the first to propose a definition that explicitly includes a time dimension. 3
Unfortunately, they avoid the timing issue thereafter by considering only barriers to entry
in the long run. Entry erodes profits in the long run. Therefore, if a firm earns profits in
3
Shephard (1997) also distinguishes between the extent and speed of entry (p. 209), but
does not explicitly incorporate speed into a definition of an entry barrier.
9
the long run, the industry must have long run barriers to entry. The authors argue that a
firm can only earn profits in the long run if they have an advantage over potential
entrants, which leads them to adopt a modern version of Stigler's definition. Notice that
their version clears up the confusion about the present tense "is" in Stigler's original
definition.
In another popular textbook, Church and Ware (1999) distinguish between structural
and strategic barriers to entry, reserving the term "barrier to entry" only for the former.
Most definitions before this one were implicitly intended to apply mainly to structural
market characteristics anyway. That is not to say that these definitions could not, in
principle, be applied to strategic behavior also. However, most strategic behavior
involves sacrifice by incumbents in order to inflict losses on entrants. Thus strategic
behavior is never a barrier to entry according to any definition that is inspired from
Stigler's.
We have seen that the concept of a barrier to entry has a rich heritage in economics. In
attempting to define the term, economists have made at least seven fruitful distinctions:
(1) incumbents earning high profits versus entrants having greater costs than incumbents,
(2) incumbents pricing above marginal cost versus incumbents earning profits that are
above normal, (3) entry being deterred versus social welfare being reduced, (4)
advantages of incumbents versus disadvantages of entrants, (5) barriers to entry versus
barriers to exit, (6) speed of entry versus extent of entry, and (7) structural versus
strategic barriers to entry.
10
II. ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
A patent is a sizeable barrier to entry into any market, regardless of whether the market
has any other barrier to entry. This suggests that some barriers deter entry autonomously.
Definition 10. An ancillary barrier to entry is a cost that does no constitute a barrier to
entry by itself, but reinforces other barriers to entry if they are present.
11
II.B. ECONOMIC OR ANTITRUST
The dominant definition of a barrier to entry to emerge from the economics literature is
Stigler's definition.
Definition 11. An economic barrier to entry is a cost that must be incurred by a new
entrant and that incumbents have not had to incur, or a cost-time tradeoff that must be
faced by a new entrant and that is less favorable to the new entrant than it was to
incumbents when they entered the market.
Generally, the time it takes to enter a market is endogenous. A barrier to entry is not
economic only if incumbents faced the same cost-time tradeoff as entrants. However,
now that the incumbents are in the market, an entrant might choose a slower entry path,
or the same time path and that takes an appreciable amount of time. In this case, the
barrier to entry is economic. Even though a cost is not an economic barrier to entry, it
may nevertheless reduce social welfare simply because it delays entry.
Definition 12. An antitrust barrier to entry is a cost that delays entry, and thereby reduces
social welfare relative to immediate but equally costly entry.
An antitrust barrier to entry reduces welfare relative to what it would have been in the
absence of that barrier to entry. The presence of an antitrust barrier to entry does not
necessarily mean that, for example, a merger should be disallowed. The net change in
welfare resulting from the merger could still be positive. Rather, the presence of the
antitrust barrier to entry means that welfare would be higher if that barrier did not exist.
12
Most economic barriers to entry are also antitrust barriers to entry. However, many
antitrust barriers to entry are not economic barriers to entry. Antitrust is a larger category
than economic. Indeed, the economic definition derives from Stigler's work, which
served to complete the edifice of Chicago antitrust thought. The Chicago School has
consistently argued against the need for "draconian" measures against monoply and
collusion, such as those in the Sherman and Clayton Acts (see Posner, 1979). No surprise,
then, that their definition of a barrier to entry is stricter than those that the legal
authorities had in mind when they enacted the draconian measures.
We now employ the concepts introduced in this and the previous section to assess the
nature of the barriers to entry posed by scale economies, capital requirements, and some
of the other usual suspects.
With access to credit, an entrant could easily build a plant of minimum efficient
scale. The problem is that incumbents have already built plants of minimum efficient
scale. If the added output of the entrant's plant of minimum efficient scale is large relative
to industry demand and existing output, the product price would fall below the entrant's
per unit cost, so that entry would be unprofitable.
However, this argument assumes that the new firm expects the incumbent to maintain
its pre-entry output level even after entry has occured. Once the new firm has entered, the
13
incumbent may want to reduce its output from its pre-entry level, to prevent its profits
from falling to zero. But then the entrant's profits might also be prevented from falling to
zero, so that entry might be ex ante profitable. However, this requires some buyers to
switch from the incumbent firm to the new entrant. Switching from an IBM computer
system to that of a new rival may cause the business buyer to incur added costs for new
software or for employee retraining. If such switching costs are high, then entry will not
be profitable.
On the other hand, the new firm could enter and slightly undercut the incumbent's
price. It would then get all of market demand, and entry would be profitable, provided the
new firm can induce all consumers to switch to buying its product by setting a slightly
lower price. Consumers may be loyal to existing brands, and for good reason. Rational
consumers who have had experience with the existing brand may decide not even to try a
new brand introduced at the same price and of equal ex ante attractiveness, for once the
brand has been used, continuing to buy it involves less risk than trying the new brand. In
order to offset brand loyalty, a new firm would have to offer a considerable price
discount to lure consumers away. But at this discount, entry might no longer be
profitable.
Therefore, scale economies are ancillary barriers to entry that reinforce other barriers
to entry, such as customer switching costs and brand loyalty. Whether scale economies
are economic barriers to entry depends on whether switching costs and brand loyalty are
economic barriers to entry. The switching costs borne by entrants today are usually
comparable to those that were borne by incumbents back when they entered the market,
unless these incumbents were the pioneers. Thus, customer switching costs are not
usually economic barriers to entry. 4
4
Indeed, if scale economies are low, switching costs may even be entry boosters rather
than barriers. Farrell and Shapiro (1988) analyze an overlapping generations model, in
which two infinitely lived firms compete over price in the presence of buyer switching
costs, and buyers live for two periods. If switching costs are greater than scale
economies, the incumbent exploits his locked-in buyers and concedes the new buyers to
the entrant (a Fat-Cat effect). Although switching costs make it harder for entrants to
14
On the other hand, brand loyalty seems to confer a definite advantage to an incumbent
over potential entrants, which may lead one to conclude that it is an economic barrier to
entry. However, this advantage may have been costly for the incumbent to acquire, or it
may be relatively easy for potential entrants to overcome. Brand loyalty is an economic
barrier to entry only if it provides the incumbent with an advantage that is more
expensive for potential entrants to overcome than it was for the incumbent to acquire.
This test is more stringent. Consumers may view purchases of contraceptive pills as
particularly risky, so that brand loyalty in contraceptive pills may be particularly difficult
for entrants to overcome; but firms' expenditures on advertising may also have to be
particularly large in order to acquire brand loyalty in the market for contraceptive pills, so
that on the whole brand loyalty in this market may not be an economic barrier to entry.
Even if brand loyalty is not more expensive for the incumbent to acquire than for
potential entrants to overcome, one might nevertheless argue that brand loyalty is an
antitrust barrier to entry if it reduces welfare by delaying entry. Consumer loyalty can
reduce consumer welfare only if consumers are ignorant of some underlying bio-
equivalence of the various brands in the market. Possibly, buyers may refuse to buy from
a new entrant even though its brand is bio-equivalent to the incumbent's brand because
they are not informed of this bio-equivalence, which is a market failure that might require
intervention by the courts. One way for the courts to inform consumers about the
homogeneity of brands is mandatory trademark licensing, since trademarks provide a
good deal of information quickly to one who has experience with it. With mandatory
trademark licensing, the courts can quickly inform consumers without them knowing it.
attract attached buyers, they actually encourage entry to serve unattached ones. However,
if scale economies are greater than switching costs, the incumbent firm keeps the
potential entrant out in equilibrium. The switching costs protect the incumbent from the
entrant's competition for attached buyers, while the economies of scale make it
unattractive for the entrant to enter and serve only the unattached buyers. This suggests
that scale economies and switching costs might both be ancillary barriers to entry that
reinforce each other, as well as other standalone barriers to entry.
15
IV. CAPITAL COSTS
The necessity for firms to be large relative to the market in order to attain
productive efficiency reinforces barriers to entry such as brand loyalty and customer
switching costs. This is the percentage effects of scale economies on barriers to entry.
Scale economies may also affect entry because the absolute amount of capital required
for efficiency may be so large that relatively few entrepreneurs could secure the required
capital, or that entrants could secure it only at interest rates that placed them at an
important cost disadvantage relative to incumbents.
However, many firms are capable of paying large capital costs, if the entry is
worthwhile. Raising money for large projects is not necessarily more difficult than
raising money for small projects. If capital markets work properly, raising capital should
be no more difficult for a profitable large-scale project than for a profitable small-scale
project. Profitable projects should attract many investors.
If capital markets do not work properly, prospective entrants may not be able to pay
the large capital costs associated with entry even if entry is worthwhile, but incumbents
may not be able to pay the large costs associated with replacing existing, depreciated
capital either. Capital market imperfections favor wealthier and more experienced firms
over entrepreneurs without track records, but the former are not necessarily the
incumbents. Some entrants are large, diversified firms that build new plants in a new
industry. 5 Microsoft entering the internet browser business, and Sony entering the
videogame business, are instances where the entrant was larger than the largest
incumbent. In industries where the principle, potential entrants are large diversified firms,
large capital costs may be an economic entry booster rather than barrier.
5
Although in most industries usually no more than 4 percent of entrants are large
diversifying firms, these large entrants are typically the principle engines of industry
growth. Baldwin and Gu (2003) find that in Canada almost all the contribution of plant
turnover to productivity growth is due to more productive new plants of multi-plant firms
displacing existing plants of multiplant firms, suggesting that small independent single-
plant firms have had little impact on aggregate productivity.
16
Nevertheless, large capital requirements can indirectly discourage entry. Instead of
being barriers to entry in their own right, capital requirements often reinforce other
barriers to entry, by making the risks larger. Thus, when a solid reputation is necessary to
enter an industry, large costs make it difficult or impossible to test the market; instead,
the entrant must commit large resources to enter. If large sunk costs are associated with
entry and entry is unsuccessful, the entrant's losses are large. In such a setting, the threat
of aggressive behavior by the incumbent may deter entry. The greater the potential loss,
the more potent is the threat of aggressive behavior. By magnifying risks, capital
requirements reinforce other barriers to entry. Therefore, capital requirements are
ancillary barriers to entry, especially if a significant proprotion of them are sunk.
Capital costs are not ancillary, economic barriers to entry, since incumbents had to
bear capital costs in the past similar in size to those that entrants have to bear today.
Capital costs are analogous to an admission fee, which must be borne by any firm that
enters the industry. Although capital costs are not economic barriers to entry, they may
nevertheless be antitrust barriers to entry. Sunks costs cause firms to delay entry because
of their option value. The option of entering is lost once the firm enters. With uncertainty
about market conditions, this option has value. Thus dynamic entry is retarded relative to
a static world.
But does this reduce social welfare? The question is whether sunk costs retard entry
relative to efficient entry. Consider a simple two-period entry deterrance model in which
a prospective entrant is uncertain about the incumbent's type. The incumbent is either
aggressive, with probability α , or weak, with probability 1 − α . The aggressive
incumbent never accomodates. In period 1, the potential entrant chooses whether or not
to enter, not knowing the incumbent's type. If the potential entrant enters, the weak
incumbent chooses whether or not to accommodate. If the incumbent does not
accomodate, its payoff is 0, and the entrant's payoff is −σ , where σ is a measure of the
extent to which the capital costs of entering the industry are sunk. If the weak incumbent
accomodates, the weak incumbent and entrant both get the Cournot payoff, π c .
17
Even if the potential entrant does not enter in period 1, it can still choose whether or
not to enter in period 2. At the end of period 1, just before period 2, the entrant learns the
incumbent's type (perhaps because it has had time to observe the incumbent's reaction to
other entrants). If the potential entrant does not enter in period 2 either, its payoff is 0,
and the incumbent's payoff is π m (1 + δ ) , where δ is the discount factor, and π m is the
monopoly profit. If the incumbent does not accomodate in period 2, then its payoff is π m
and the entrant's payoff is −δσ . If the weak incumbent accomodates in period 2, then its
payoff is π m + π cδ and the entrant's payoff is π cδ .
Using backward induction, we find that the weak incumbent accomodates in both
periods. Therefore, the potential entrant enters in period 2 if it has learned at the end of
period 1 that the incumbent is weak, but it does not enter if it has learned at the end of
period 1 that the incumbent is aggressive. The potential entrant's expected payoff from
not entering in period 1 is therefore α (0) + (1 − α )δπ c (which is a measure of the lost
option value of entering), while its expected payoff from entering in period 1 is
α (−σ ) + (1 − α )(1 + δ )π c . Therefore, the potential entrant does not enter in period 1 if and
only if
1−α c
(1) σ> π
α
In this model, a relatively large sunk cost of entry results in equilibrium entry waiting
for the realization of uncertainty. For an important class of demand functions, social
welfare under Cournot competition is higher than social welfare under monopoly,
because the profit loss incurred by the incumbent is not large enough to offset the price
reduction that benefits consumers. In these cases, efficient entry is in advance of the
realization of uncertainty, so that the relatively large sunk cost of entry is an antitrust
barrier to entry, since it delays entry and thereby reduces social welfare.
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V. OTHER USUAL SUSPECTS
Absolute Cost Advantages. Incumbents may have already established their operations
in the most favorable locations, so that entrants may have to pay more for scarce raw
materials and other crucial inputs, and ship them a greater distance than incumbents.
Favorable input access for incumbents over entrants tends to deter entry permanently, let
alone delay it, and tends to deter entry into all industries, regardless of whether these
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industries have many or few other barriers to entry. Therefore, they are standalone
economic, and hence antitrust, barriers to entry.
Incumbents may also have patents on superior production techniques, learned through
research and development. A patent is an economic barrier to entry, and may or may not
be an antitrust barrier to entry depending on the time required to create intellectual
property that avoids the patent in question. Legal literature on "blocking patents." Patents
are still antitrust barriers to entry in the sense of limiting entry temporarily even when
success at enforcing the patent is uncertain. ***
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