Identify Research Issues in Risk
Identify Research Issues in Risk
Identify Research Issues in Risk
a r t i c l e in fo abstract
Available online 3 July 2010 The purpose of this paper is to investigate the research development in supply chain risk management
Keywords: (SCRM), which has shown an increasing global attention in recent years. Literature survey and citation/
Supply chain co-citation analysis are used to fulfil the research task. Literature survey has undertaken a thorough
Risk management search of articles on selected journals relevant to supply chain operations management. Meanwhile,
Citation/co-citation analysis citation/co-citation analysis uses Web of Sciences database to disclose SCRM development between
1995 and 2009. Both the approaches show similar trends of rising publications over the past 15 years.
This review has piloted us to identify and classify the potential risk associated with different flows,
namely material, cash and information flows. Consequently, we identify some research gaps. Even
though there is a pressing need and awareness of SCRM from industrial aspect, quantitative models in
the field are relatively lacking and information flow risk has received less attention. It is also interesting
to observe the evolutions and advancements of SCRM discipline. One finding is that the intellectual
structure of the field made statistically significant increase during 2000–2005 and evolved from
passively reacting to vague general issues of disruptions towards more proactively managing supply
chain risk from system perspectives.
& 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
0925-5273/$ - see front matter & 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.ijpe.2010.06.013
26 O. Tang, S. Nurmaya Musa / Int. J. Production Economics 133 (2011) 25–34
Jansson, 2004; Poirier et al., 2007; Quinn, 2006; Tang, 2006a). The Table 1
above examples show that any material, financial or information List of journals reviewed.
risk could create problems in a supply chain. Any hiccup
I: Business/Management Review
transpired within the supply chain will cause delay and even California Management Review
disruption (Buzacott, 1971). Disruption does not only halt the Decision Sciences
supply chain operations but without preparation and precaution, Harvard Business Review
it takes time for the affected system to recover (Sheffi and Rice, Interfaces
MIT Sloan Management Review
2005; Hendricks and Singhal, 2005. Supply Chain Management Review
The above background provides the motivation to investigate
the current trend and issues in SCRM. Our main objective is II: Operations management journals
through literature review to (i) define the important risk issues International Journal of Logistics Management
International Journal of Logistics: Research and Application
and mitigation techniques in SCRM; (ii) understand the research
International Journal of Operations and Production Management
trend both from industrial and academic perspectives; and (iii) International Journal of Physical Distribution and Logistics Management
identify the possible research gaps and opportunities in the field. Journal of Operations Management
Production and Operations Management
Supply Chain Management: An International Journal
2. Research process
III: MS/OR type journals
European Journal of Operational Research
This study is based on the review of existing literature using International Journal of Production Economics
two approaches; literature survey as well as basic bibliometric International Journal of Production Research
Journal of the Operational Research Society
method of citation and co-citation analysis. Before we present the
Management Science
details of these two approaches, we need to clarify some Omega
definitions. Operations Research
Production Planning and Control
time horizon has been divided into three segments such as T1 Table 2
(1995–1999), T2 (2000–2004), and T3 (2005–2009). In total 236 Main issues discussed over the years by literature reviews findings.
articles have been obtained and examined by keywords co-
1995–1999 2000–2004 2005–2008
occurrence. (cf. Pilkington and Meredith (2009) for details on
citation/co-citation analysis.) Operation strategies Operation strategies Financial risk
We have to note that the two search methods end with management
different number of articles, since we have not performed any Financial risk Supply chain partners Operation strategies
management relationship
journal refinement in WoS search. Thus some journals, which do Information management Environmental
not have supply chain management as a main scope are included Political and cultural Information management
as well. Also WoS search has been performed up till December practices
2009 as compared to June 2008 in literature survey. Finally the Environmental Outsourcing to low cost
countries
applications BibExcel and Pajek are used for multidimensional
scaling, cluster analysis and factor analysis on co-citations
approach.
increases. Main issues vary from operation plans to relationship of
2.4. Supply chain operations framework supply chain partners. In the same time period, we also note the
emerging of studies on information technology and information
Supply chain is a complicated production system. One flow. Meantime, we also note a rising discussion on globalization
important change in managing supply chain is the emphasis on risk associating with political and cultural practices.
integrating activities into key supply chain processes instead of A dramatic increase of publications starts in 2004, from which
individual functions. With regard to SCRM, managerial aspect may SCRM exhibits a steady rising of interest from academic
not be the same when considering the inbound and outbound researchers and practitioners. Challenges and opportunities of
sides. For instance, when we discuss the risk in terms of supplier outsourcing to low cost countries are the favorite discussion
selection, a major concern is to sustain the flow of raw material. topics. Others include supply chain partner relationship, supply
However, on the demand side, financial risk (such as customer’s chain environmental, economy and political issues and growth of
possibility of bankruptcy) may appear more important. information sharing and security. Several studies on financial risk
However, there was no clear evidence of flows interlinking as are also noted. A summary of supply chain risk studies obtained
well as integrating activities in previous SCRM studies, possibility from literature reviews is given in Table 2.
due to its complexity. Therefore, in this paper, we will identify the Our study also shows that main SCRM articles are found in the
flows in the forms of material, financial and information. In business or management review journals (cf. Table 1) with 41%.
addition, we will analyze the system process of source (supply), The next group is operation management journals of 34%, among
make (production) and deliver (demand), based on Supply Chain which most are conceptual models. After year 2000, more
Operations Reference (SCOR) Model. We define material flow as quantitative orientated articles were published. However, the
physical movement of products from suppliers to customers. number of articles compared to qualitative orientated ones is still
Letters of credit, timely payment of bills, bankruptcy, payment considerably small. This indicates a growing awareness of SCRM
schedules, credit terms and suppliers’ contract fall under the in industry, but still there is a lacking of quantitative models for
category of financial flows. Finally, the information flow is used to system analysis and decision supporting.
keep all supply chain elements updated and hence provides
resources for decision making. Examples of information flow are 3.2. Major risk issues
order status, order delivery and inventory status, among others.
Similar thoughts appear in Chopra and Sodhi (2004), Johnson In this section we summarize the major risk issues according
(2001) and Spekman and Davis (2004), in which the authors to our literature survey. For a detail description of various risks in
identify risks in the form of other flows. supply chain, we refer to Tang (2006a), although the author
presents a different study aspect. We further identify risks in
material, information and financial flows, which are necessary in
3. Results
operating a supply chain no matter how simple or extended it is.
Table 3
Material flow risk and mitigation techniques.
Sourcing flexibility risk Resilience supply chain (Christopher and Peck, 2004) Real option model for flexible sourcing (Kamrad and Siddique, 2004)
Multivariate analysis DSS (Kremic et al., 2006)
Procurement contract model (Martı́nez-de-Albéniz and Simchi-Levi,
2005)
Supplier selection /outsourcing Alternative sourcing in and out of home country Decision-tree based optimization model (Berger et al., 2004)
(Fitzgerald, 2005) Foreign suppliers supply risk ranking model (Levary, 2007)
Avoid outsourcing/off-shoring: in-house/regional Selection model based on cost, quality, responsiveness, strategic issue
manufacturing (Crone, 2006; Stalk, 2006) and operating constraint (Kirkwood et al., 2005)
Incentive conflicts and coordinating contracts model
(Agrell et al., 2004)
Simulated-based decision support system (DSS) model for
collaboration level selection (Cigolini and Rossi, 2006)
Multivariate analysis DSS (Kremic et al., 2006)
Make
Product and process design risk ESI (Handfield et al., 1999; Khan et al., 2008;
Peck, 2005)
Production capacity risk ESI (Handfield et al., 1999; Khan et al., 2008; Options contract model (Fang and Whinston, 2007)
Peck, 2005)
Early warning system (Bovet, 2006)
Operational disruption ESI (Handfield et al., 1999; Khan et al., 2008; Optimization model (Tomlin, 2006)
Peck, 2005)
Alternative sourcing in and out of home country
(Fitzgerald, 2005)
Supply chain design (Kleindorfer and Saad, 2005)
Operational hedging (Cudahy et al., 2008)
Deliver
Demand volatility/Seasonality Postponement strategy (Bovet, 2006) Postponement model (Tang, 2006b)
Adopting/improvising information technology OPP relocating opportunities and QR simulation (Wong and Hvolby,
(Lee, 2002, 2007) 2007)
Mixed model (Lee, 2002, 2007) Robust economic order quantity (EOQ) model (Sounderpandian et al.,
Aligning interest (Lee, 2004) 2008; Yu, 1997)
Licensing (Johnson, 2001) Optimization model for optimal operating policy (Li et al., 2001; Wu,
Increase number of channels (Johnson, 2001) 2006))
Build longer life products i.e. rolling mix Linear dynamic system model (Zhang, 2006)
(Johnson, 2001) Incentive conflicts and coordinating contracts model (Agrell et al.,
Lean manufacturing (Abernathy et al., 2000; 2004)
Geary et al., 2002) Two-stage stochastic model using real option and financial options
Operational hedging (Cudahy et al., 2008) (Ding et al., 2007)
Application of best practices (Geary et al., 2002) Options contract model (Fang and Whinston, 2007)
Multi stage stochastic model (Goh et al., 2007)
Equilibrium modeling to counter supply and demand risk (Nagurney
et al., 2005)
Balance of unmet demand and Lean manufacturing (Abernathy et al., 2000; Options contract model (Fang and Whinston, 2007)
excess inventory Geary et al., 2002) Improvise contract with aligned incentives (Narayanan and Raman,
Reduce inventory holding (Jüttner, 2005) 2004)
Propose application of ‘‘demand-at-risk’’ Robust economic order quantity (EOQ) model (Yu, 1997)
(Sodhi, Value-at-Risk model (Tapiero, 2005, 2007)
2005)
Propose application of ‘‘inventory-at-risk’’
(Sodhi, 2005)
O. Tang, S. Nurmaya Musa / Int. J. Production Economics 133 (2011) 25–34 29
Table 3 (continued )
variation of choices and concerns, hence selecting the right obstructing the others are common. From the supply chain
supplier has become difficult. At the very least, supplier selection scopes, logistics, price volatility of commodity and alternative
should consider supplier reliability, country risk, transport energy, environment degradation and awareness, political risk,
reliability and supplier’s supplier reliability (Levary, 2007). When cultural and ethics, and supply chain partners relationship are other
a company decides to outsource globally, it is most likely cost- risk issues need to be concerned.
driven. However, not long, the unseen cost of outsourcing has
eventually unveiled, such as various taxes, fluctuating currency
3.2.2. Financial flow risk
exchange rates, import/export duties, increasing transportation
Financial flow risk involves the inability to settle payments
costs and suppliers audit costs (Crone, 2006; Fitzgerald, 2005;
and improper investment. The common risks are exchange rate
Kremic et al., 2006; Murphy, 2007; Stalk, 2006). Operational
risk, price and cost risk, financial strength of supply chain partners
performance such as transportation lead time could be another
and financial handling/practice. The results are illustrated in
concern. In addition, lacking of supply product monitoring creates
Table 4.
quality associated problems such as product safety and contam-
Research on exchange rate risk can be found at Li et al. (2001),
ination (Fitzgerald, 2005). Supply capacity is another form of risk,
Carr (1999), Goh et al. (2007) and Kouvelis (1999), among others.
if supply chain does not have an early supplier involvement in
With a global supply chain as a study scope, exchange rate has a
new product development (Khan et al., 2008).
major influence on firm’s after tax profit, supplier selection,
The major issues at make stage involve product and process design
market development and other operation decisions. Price and cost
risk, production capacity risk, and operational disruption. First, product
risk can be strongly attached with exchange rate, but its
and process design risk occurs with the inability to cope with
fluctuation may also be caused by scarcity of raw materials
changes, in particular associated with new product development
(Papadakis, 2006). Hendricks and Singhal (2005) study financial
stage (Khan et al., 2008) and product launch activity (Handfield
flow vulnerability and long-term effect of supply chain disrup-
et al., 1999). The issue is significant since it involves a big sum of
tions with focus on financial strength of supply chain partners. Their
capital spent in positioning products in the market. Production
empirical study also shows that this type of risk can be evaluated
capacity risk refers to technological, skills and quality capacities
based on the evidence of increasing equity risk, financial leverage
(Handfield et al., 1999). Finally, operational disruption often happens
and asset risk. The vulnerability of financial strength of a supply
due to operational contingencies, natural disasters and political
chain member, may easily affect the entire supply chain network
instability including terrorism (Kleindorfer and Saad, 2005).
(Peck et al., 2003; Tang, 2006b; Hartley-Urquhart, 2006), referring
On the deliver side, we have main risk issues such as demand
Asia’s financial crisis in 1997 as case in point. Finally Hartley-
volatility/seasonality, balance of unmet demand and excess inven-
Urquhart (2006) and Kerr (2006) discuss the risk arising from
tory. These issues are all affected by the forecasting difficulties
financial handling and practice. For instance, an increasing velocity
due to seasonality, volatility of fads, new product adoptions and
and quantity of payment should complicate the financial flow and
short product life (Johnson, 2001; Wong and Hvolby, 2007). In
need urgent attention. Lack of control and visibility of procure-to-
addition, due to rapid technology evolvement and customer
pay process may cause alleged illegal collection of excess vendor
demand changes, excess inventory may expose the obsolete risk,
markdown.
cf. the well-known case of inventory write-off in Cisco (Narayanan
and Raman, 2004).
In the above discussion, we focus on individual flow. We need 3.2.3. Information flow risk
to acknowledge that when discussing risk, these flows are related Value adding activities in a supply chain are often triggered by
and interconnected and therefore cases of one flow disruption information flows such as demand, inventory status, order
30 O. Tang, S. Nurmaya Musa / Int. J. Production Economics 133 (2011) 25–34
Table 4
Financial flow risk and mitigation techniques.
Price and cost risk Framework to enable SC driven profit growth (Bovet, 2006)
Avoid low cost country (Stalk, 2006)
Real options application (van Putten and MacMillan, 2004)
Table 5
Information flow risk and mitigation techniques.
Intellectual property
Information outsourcing ‘Value-added’ outsourcing, ‘Co-sourcing’ and create ‘spin-off’
with vendors (Faisal et al., 2007)
Improve visibility (Christopher and Lee, 2004)
fulfillment, product and process design changes and capacity 3.3. Results of citation and co-citation studies
status. One may also look at information flow as the bonding
agent between material flow and financial flow. Here we obtain Citation analysis shows similar trends of rising publications
issues such as information accuracy, information system security during the three time segments, based on both core articles
and disruption, intellectual property and information outsourcing (articles obtained from database search) and cited references
risk (cf. Table 5). (Fig. 2). A significant increase occurs in 2007. More interestingly,
The risk of information accuracy may cause by information the cited references show steady increase in 1990s with a
accessibility, information efficiency and data accuracy (Lee, 2002, dramatic rise in 2000. These beliefs resulted from the arising
2004; Geary et al., 2002; Raman et al., 2001; Giermanski, 2000; vulnerability issues, such as the Asian economic crisis in 1997.
Bradley, 2001; Faisal et al., 2007). Inaccurate information should By using the co-citation analysis, we note the emergency of
further affect decision making in supply chain. The threats of various clusters between three time segments T1, T2 and T3 with
information system security and disruption could be internally due to number of clusters 3, 11 and 9, respectively. The cluster is defined
ill-manage system, or externally by hackers and nature disaster from the keywords co-occurrence analysis. The results indicate
(Faisal et al., 2007). The information system risk can also be that the intellectual structure of SCRM field has made statistically
considered at application, organizational and inter-organizational significant increase in T2 and research has evolved from vague
levels (Finch, 2004). Intellectual property risk is associated with general issues of supply chain disruptions towards more specific
increasing information flow in supply chain network and in the yet global perspectives of risk. This can be seen in Figs. 3–5. In the
meantime inability of protecting information sharing, for instance time segment T1 (1995–1999), distinct areas such as operation
trade secret exposure (Barry, 2004). Information outsourcing allows management (T1-1), inventory theory (T1-2) and lean/product
company to focus on the core-competence. However, it also increases introduction (T1-3) are the only clusters, which are also studied
the risk of opportunism of vendors, information security apprehen- independently. In the time segment T2 (2000–2004), more
sion, hidden costs, loss of control, service debasement, disagree- clusters appear and some weak links have been established
ments, disputes and litigation and poaching (Faisal et al., 2007). between clusters for risk issues (cf. Fig. 4). In the time segment T3
O. Tang, S. Nurmaya Musa / Int. J. Production Economics 133 (2011) 25–34 31
Fig. 2. Development of core articles and cited articles for SCRM in 1995–2009.
Fig. 4. Keywords co-occurrence cluster for T2 (T2-1: innovation, logistics; T2-2: interfaces, EDI; T2-3: production planning and management; T2-4: production planning
system; T2-5: organizational; T2-6: management strategies; T2-7: policies; T2-8: MRP; T2-9: facility planning; T2-10: contract and T2-11: cost).
Fig. 5. Keywords co-occurrence cluster for T3 (T3-1: integrated SCRM; T3-2: inventory models; T3-3: liability management; T3-4: human factors; T3-5: inventory
management; T3-6:earnings and returns; T3-7: agricultural; T3-8: financial risk and T3-9: Gen. Motor case).
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