Firstexam Sample f09
Firstexam Sample f09
Fall, 2009
I. Argumentation
A. Basic concepts: Select the best answer to the following multiple choice questions about basic
concepts of logic and scientific reasoning as used in this course (10 points)
An argument is
a. a conflict between two or more individuals
b. a discourse designed to convince someone to accept a conclusion
c. a set of statements, some of which are offered to justify others
d. none of the above
In the statement “The dog won’t bite unless you threaten” “the dog bites” is
a. a necessary condition for you threatening
b. neither a necessary nor a sufficient condition for you threatening
c. a sufficient condition for you threatening
d. both a necessary and a sufficient condition for you threatening
B. Conditionals: Select the best answer to the following multiple choice questions about
conditional statements. (15 points)
The statement “If there is a storm, we will get wet” is false when:
a. There is not a storm and we get wet.
b. There is a storm and we get wet.
c. There is not a storm and we do not get wet.
d. There is a storm and we do not get wet.
“Only if you follow the directions will you pass the exam” is logically equivalent to
which of the following statements?
a. If you follow the directions, then you will pass the exam
b. You will pass the exam if you follow the directions
c. If you pass the exam, then you followed the directions
d. Unless you passed the exam, then you followed the directions
The statement “Only if you follow the directions will you pass the exam” is false when
a. You followed the directions and passed the exam
b. You followed the directions and did not pass the exam
c. You did not follow the directions and passed the exam
d. You did not follow the directions and did not pass the exam
The statement “Unless New York wins, San Diego is out of the race” is logically
equivalent to which of the following:
a. If New York wins, then San Diego is out of the race
b. New York wins only if San Diego is out of the race
c. If San Diego is out of the race, then New York wins
d. If New York does not win, then San Diego is out of the race
The statement “They will die unless a cure is found” is logically equivalent to which of
the following
a. If they do not die, then a cure was found
b. If a cure is found, then they will not die
c. If they die, then a cure was not found
d. Only if a cure was not found will they die
C. Conditional arguments: Identify the form of each of the following conditional arguments AND
whether it is valid or not. Both parts must be correct to get credit for the question (15 points)
If you passed the exam then you followed the directions. Moreover, you followed the
directions. Therefore you passed the exam.
e. Valid f. Invalid
Phil 12 Fall 2009 Sample First Exam p. 3
If there is still fruit on the plate, it is poisoned. But there is no fruit on the plate. Therefore
it is not poisoned.
e. Valid f. Invalid
The defendant is not guilty because she is smiling and if she were guilty she would not be
smiling.
e. Valid f. Invalid
There will be more traffic accidents in the future. We know this because the number of
drivers is increasing, and if the number of drivers increases, there will be more traffic
accidents.
e. Valid f. Invalid
D. Logic and Evidential Relations: Answer the following questions about the logical relations
involved in evaluating hypotheses, including showing the form of argument involved, and
illustrate with an example in a short paragraph. (15 points)
Explain in your own terms what makes the following argument good or bad. Do not just
use terms like valid or sound, but explain what they mean. “There is going to be a major
recession in the next year. We can conclude this because whenever there is a major
recession, it is preceded by turmoil in the equity markets. And there is certainly turmoil
in the equity markets right now.
What is the logical form of a falsification? Illustrate with an example. Give two reasons
(other than laziness or conservatism) why researchers might reasonably not reject a
hypothesis even if the predictions made from it are false.
II. Observation
Why is it important to plan carefully the coding system that will be used in an
observational study? What can go wrong if one has a poorly designed coding system?
B. Basic concepts: Select the best answer to the following multiple choice questions about terms
used to describe features of observational research, including variables and their measurement.
(10 points)
For classifying furniture, the categories dining table, desk chair, sofa, lamp, are
a. exhaustive and exclusive
b. exhaustive but not exclusive
c. exclusive but not exhaustive
d. neither exclusive nor exhaustive
When the American Podiatrist Association evaluates its members as highly qualified,
qualified, and unqualified, it is employing:
a. a nominal variable
b. an ordinal variable
c. an interval variable
d. a ratio variable
C. Observational research, variables, and measurement: Select the best answer to the following
true/false, matching, or multiple choice questions. (20 points)
If the distribution is normal, what percent of scores lie within 2 standard deviations of the
mean of a distribution?
a. 50%
b. 68%
c. 95%
d. 99%
How much of their awake time do marmots spend eating? To answer this question, a
researcher videotaped several hours of marmot behavior from an inconspicuous location
and then arranged for students to code the marmot behavior into a number of exclusive
and exhaustive categories, identifying for each moment which behavior the marmot was
exhibiting.