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Course No. MSO 201a Probability and Statistics 2016-17-II Semester

This document provides details about the MSO 201a Probability and Statistics course for the 2016-17-II semester. It will be conducted in a flipped classroom mode, releasing video lectures on Fridays for students to watch before attending discussion sessions on Mondays. Students will have tutorials on Wednesdays divided into sections. Assessments include mid and end-semester exams, in-class and online quizzes weighted towards the final grade. The course covers probability distributions, random variables, statistics topics like estimation, hypothesis testing, and regression. The textbook is Introduction to Mathematical Statistics by Hogg et al.

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pankaj kumar
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© © All Rights Reserved
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
151 views

Course No. MSO 201a Probability and Statistics 2016-17-II Semester

This document provides details about the MSO 201a Probability and Statistics course for the 2016-17-II semester. It will be conducted in a flipped classroom mode, releasing video lectures on Fridays for students to watch before attending discussion sessions on Mondays. Students will have tutorials on Wednesdays divided into sections. Assessments include mid and end-semester exams, in-class and online quizzes weighted towards the final grade. The course covers probability distributions, random variables, statistics topics like estimation, hypothesis testing, and regression. The textbook is Introduction to Mathematical Statistics by Hogg et al.

Uploaded by

pankaj kumar
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 13

Course No.

MSO 201a
Probability and Statistics

2016-17-II Semester

Instructor: Dr. Neeraj Misra

FB 515, Department of Mathematics & Statistics


Indian Institute of Technology, Kanpur

Talk: 7087; E-Mail: [email protected]

1
Module 1

COURSE DETAILS

2
Course Details
• This course will be conducted in Flipped Classroom mode.

• Release of Video Lectures: Every Friday evening between three to seven


videos will be released.

• Total duration (per week) of these videos will be between 90-100 minutes
(each video will be of about 10 to 35 minutes duration).

• You are expected to watch these videos at your convenience and come for
discussions in flipped classrooms.

• Flipped classroom: Venue: L7; Days: Mondays; Time 08:00-08:50 Hrs

• Discussion Hour: Venue: L7; Days: Fridays; Time 08:00-08:50 Hrs

3
Tutorials
• On Wednesdays; Time: 08:00-08:50 Hrs.

• Whole class is divided into five sections. Each section will be handled by a different
tutor.

• Section 1: Roll numbers 10001-150119; Section 2: Roll Numbers 150120-150368;

• Section 3: Roll Numbers 150369-150596; Section 4: Roll Numbers 150597-151100;

• Venue of tutorials and names of tutors will be announced in course portal.

• Office Hours (if any): To be announced by respective tutors.

4
Weightages
• Mid-Semester Examination of 2 Hour Duration (pen and
paper): On 27-02-17 (Mon), carrying 24% weightage;

• End-Semester Examination of 3 Hour Duration (pen and


paper): On 24-04-17 (Mon), carrying 40% weightage;

• Two classroom quizzes of 30 minutes each (pen and paper):


On 04-02-17 (Sat) and 08-04-17 (Sat), each carrying a
weightage of 10%;

• Four online quizzes of 20 minutes each: On 21-01-17 (Sat),


18-02-17 (Sat), 25-03-17 (Sat) and 15-04-17 (Sat)), each
carrying a weightage of 4%.

5
Academic Performance Evaluation Scheme

Although the policy of relative grading will be followed for awarding the final
grades, there is a minimum performance requirement for each grade. These
minimum performance requirements are given below:

• A* Grade: 85% Marks

• A Grade: 70% Marks

• B Grade: 55% Marks

• C Grade: 40% Marks

• D Grade: 30% Marks

• E Grade: 20% Marks

6
Attendance Policy & Code of Conduct

You are expected to:

• watch the video lectures on regular basis;

• attend all sessions (flipped classrooms, tutorials,


examinations, quizzes) of the course;

• maintain proper decorum and discipline during


flipped classrooms, tutorials and examinations.
Any act of misconduct will be dealt severely.

7
Makeup Examination Policy
• Mid-semester examination and quizzes:
Except for serious exigencies (such as
hospitalization during the examination), there
will be no makeup examination.

• End-semester examination:
As per the policy of the institute.

8
Text Book
• Introduction to Mathematical Statistics,
Seventh Edition, by Robert V. Hogg, J. W.
McKean, and Allen T. Craig, Pearson
Education, Asia.

9
Course Content
• Probability:

Axiomatic definition, Properties, Conditional probability, Bayes rule


and independence of events, Random Variables, Distribution
function, Probability mass and density functions, Expectation,
Moments, Moment generating function, Chebyshev's inequality;
Special distributions: Bernoulli, Binomial, Geometric, Negative
binomial, Hypergeometric, Poisson, Uniform, Exponential, gamma;

Joint distributions, Marginal and conditional distributions,


Moments, Independence of random variables, Covariance,
Correlation, Functions of random variables, Weak law of large
numbers, P Levy's Central limit theorem (IID, finite variance cast),
Normal and Poisson approximations to Binomial.

10
• Statistics:

Introduction: Population, sample, parameters;


Point Estimation: Method of moments, MLE, Unbiasedness, Consistency,
Comparing two estimators (relative MSE), Confidence interval estimation
for mean, difference of means, variance, proportions, Sample size problem;

Tests of Hypotheses: N-P lemma, examples of MP and UMP tests, p-value.


Likelihood ratio test, Tests for mean, variance, two sample problems, Tests
for proportions, Relation between confidence interval and tests of
hypotheses. Chi-square goodness of fit tests, Contingency table; SPRT;

Regression Problem; Scatter diagram, Simple linear regression, Least


square estimation, tests for slope and correlation, prediction problem,
Graphical residual analysis, Q-Q plot to test for normality of residuals,
Multiple regression; Analysis of Variance: Completely randomized design
and randomized block design; Quality Control, Shewhart control charts and
cusum charts.

11
Abstract of Next Module
• Introduction to probability and Statistics and
their interrelations.

12
Thank you for your patience

13

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