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Abstract
Related Literature This paper relates to a body of literature that studies the interac-
tion of and coordination between monetary policy and macro-prudential policy. A group
of papers in this literature — for instance, Angelini et al. (2012) and Gelain and Ilbas
(2017), among others — speci…es policy mandates that are grounded in macroeconomic
aggregates (such as in‡ation, output gap, credit growth, and so on), but not necessarily
grounded in social welfare. Another group of papers in this literature — e.g., Woodford
(2011), Bailliu et al. (2015) and Carrillo et al. (2017), among others — restricts attention
to simple policy rules such as Taylor rules. This paper di¤erentiates from the papers in
these two groups by considering policy mandates that are grounded in social welfare, and
general policy rules whose only restriction is to be polynomial functions of the aggregate
state.
De Paoli and Paustian (2017), Collard et al. (2017), and Farhi and Werning (2016)
follow a similar approach to this paper concerning the speci…cation of policy mandates
and policy rules.2 The main di¤erence with respect to De Paoli and Paustian (2017) and
Collard et al. (2017) is that in their model economy the …nancing constraint always binds.
Occasionally binding …nancing constraints are critical for generating economic cycles with
multiples phases and hence for analyzing the e¤ects of policies that are truly prudential
in nature. The main di¤erence with respect to Farhi and Werning (2016) is that for
justifying macro-prudential policies, they consider both aggregate demand externalities
and pecuniary externalities while I consider only pecuniary externalities.
This paper also relates to a body of literature that studies whether monetary policy
should lean against the wind of credit booms and …nancial imbalances. Most of the papers
in this literature — for instance, Svensson (2016), Ajello et al. (2016), and Gourio et al.
(2017), among others — consider an economic cycle that has only two stages: “normal
times” and “crisis times.” A notable exception is Filardo and Rungcharoenkitkul (2016),
who introduce an endogenous economic cycle with an arbitrarily large number of stages
into an otherwise standard quadratic-function-loss model for the stabilization problem of
monetary policy. The main di¤erence with respect to those papers is that, in this paper, the
2
To be more precise concerning the speci…cation of the policy rules, none of those papers place any
restrictions on their domain.
2 The Model
The model is a continuous-time New Keynesian economy in which a …nancial intermediary
sector is subject to a leverage constraint. The speci…cation for the sluggish nominal price
adjustments of …rms, which is the key feature of the New Keynesian framework, follows
the work of Calvo (1983). The setup of …nancial intermediation builds on the works
of Brunnermeier and Sannikov (2014), Gertler and Karadi (2011), Gertler and Kiyotaki
(2010), and Maggiori (2017).
that has a common labor share of output and a common productivity factor At across
j 2 [0; 1] : The productivity factor At is exogenous and evolves stochastically according to
the Ito process:
dAt =At = A dt + A dZt ; (2)
with drift process A and di¤usion process A > 0; being fZt 2 R : t 0g a standard
Brownian process de…ned on a …ltered probability space ( ; F; P ) : Intuitively, the Brown-
ian shock dZt is an i.i.d. shock to the growth rate of aggregate productivity that is normally
(0; 1) distributed. The shock dZt is the only source of risk in the model economy.
To produce their intermediate good variety, …rms hire labor and rent capital services
in competitive markets at the real wage rate of wt and at the real rental rate of rk;t : Firms
combine labor and capital services optimally to minimize their production costs xt (yj;t ) ;
that aggregates fyj;t gj2[0;1] into a …nal consumption good yt optimally given fpj;t gj2[0;1] ,
being " > 1 the elasticity of substitution across intermediate goods in the CES aggregator.
The nominal price pt measures the minimum cost required to produce one unit of the …nal
consumption good; it equals the consumer price index:
Z 1
1
1 "
pt = p1j;t " dj ; (5)
0
Price-setting Problem In the Calvo (1983) pricing speci…cation, …rms can reset their
nominal price occasionally, only when they are hit by an idiosyncratic Poisson shock that
has a common arrival rate across …rms.3 When they have the opportunity to reset their
nominal price, …rms maximize the present discounted value of the pro…ts ‡ows accrued
from …xing their nominal price at pj;t :
Z 1
(s t) s pj;t yd;s (pj;t )
max Et e (1 ) xs [yd;s (pj;t )] ds : (6)
pj;t >0 t t ps
I assume that …rms discount future pro…t ‡ows with the Stochastic Discount Factor (SDF)
of households — weighted, of course, by the survival density function e (s t) of their
t
…xed nominal price. The SDF t is an endogenous object to be determined in equilibrium.
The coe¢ cient is an advalorem sales subsidy on …rms.
3
Additionally, in the Calvo (1983) pricing speci…cation, …rms pay no “menu” cost for resetting their
nominal price, and …rms that cannot reset their price must accommodate their indirect demand at the
prevailing market prices.
The …rst factor is the product of a sales subsidy multiplier 1= (1 ) and a distortion
coe¢ cient from monopoly pricing "= (" 1) : I impose that = 1= (" 1) to eliminate
the distortions from monopoly pricing. This implies that …rms set competitive prices.
The second factor is the ratio of the present discounted value of production costs to that
of sales revenues (gross of sales subsidies) of a hypothetical …rm that charges a nominal
price equal to the aggregate price level pt : The second factor would reduce to the spot
marginal production costs xt (yj ) =yj if …rms could instead reset their price continuously,
i.e., 1= ! 0:
being > 1 a real number, and Vt the franchise value of the …nancial intermediary company.
The limited enforcement problem is such that …nancial intermediaries can divert a share
1= of their assets, at the expense of losing access to their intermediary company. For
this problem to be relevant, I assume that each …nancial intermediary is owned by a single
household, and that each household deposits funds with …nancial intermediaries other
than the one they own. In the IC constraint (8) ; deposits bt are also bounded from above,
because …nancial intermediaries cannot issue equity, which ensures that nf;t 0: Later in
the paper, I show that Vt vt nf;t is proportional to net worth nf;t ; with vt 1; which
delivers the linear IC constraints bt ( vt 1) nf;t and 0 qt kf;t vt nf;t ; and the
corresponding linear upper bounds on bt and qt kf;t :
Let dRe;t ; with e = ff; hg ; denote the rates on return on physical capital that …nancial
intermediaries (f ) and households (h) earn. Rates dRe;t are the sum of the speci…c dividend
yields that agents e = ff; hg obtain and the common capital gain/loss rate dqt =qt :
rk;t dqt
dRe;t [ah 1e=h + 1 1e=h ] dt + ; with e = ff; hg :
qt qt
Because dRf;t > dRh;t ; …nancial intermediaries would eventually accumulate enough net
worth to grow out of the IC constraint if they were to not pay out dividends su¢ ciently
often. To avoid that scenario, I assume that …nancial intermediaries pay out dividends
according to an idiosyncratic Poisson process that has a common arrival rate of across
them. I also assume that when …nancial intermediaries pay out dividends, they transfer
all of their net worth to the households, and that after the dividend payout, …nancial
intermediaries automatically receive a share = of the aggregate capital stock as a start-up
with (11) being the condition that describes the evolution of the intermediary net worth,
it the nominal deposit rate, and t the expected in‡ation rate. By design, deposits are
short-term nominal debt contracts that pay out a locally risk-free nominal rate of return
of it dt: I postulate that the in‡ation rate dpt =pt is locally risk-free:
which implies that the real deposit rate (it t ) dt is also locally risk-free. This postulate
will be consistent with the conditions that characterize the competitive equilibrium.
~t dRn ;t +
E dt + Et [dvt =vt ] dt + Covt [d t = t ; dvt =vt ] =0; (13)
f
vt
with7
~t dRn ;t
E Et [dnf;t =nf;t ] (it t ) dt + Covt [d t= t + dvt =vt ; dnf;t =nf;t ] :
f
5
To derive the HJB equation, I conjecture that qt ; vt and t evolve stochastically according to Ito
processes. The conjecture on qt implies that dqt =qt and dRe;t are locally risky and, therefore, that …nancial
intermediaries concentrate aggregate risk in their balance sheets when they take on leverage.
6
Financial intermediaries cannot earn a negative risk-adjusted excess return; otherwise, they would not
be willing to take levered positions on physical capital.
7
The expression in (13) assumes that (it t ) dt = Et [d t = t ] : This latter condition follows from the
optimality conditions in the households’portfolio problem.
on net worth over deposits that …nancial intermediaries earn. It equals the product of the
leverage multiple and the (expected) risk-adjusted excess return on capital in (12) : The
t
~t dRn ;t enters as a dividend yield component in asset pricing
conditional expectation E f
condition (13) which implies that vt can also be interpreted as a present discounted value
of the marginal pro…t ‡ows that …nancial intermediaries make. Because the value vhf;t of
a hypothetical …nancial intermediary that can invest only in deposits equals 1 (notice that
for such hypothetical …nancial intermediary hf;t = 0); vt vhf;t = 1:8
Households’ Portfolio Problem To close the model economy, I specify the portfolio
problem of households. Households choose their consumption ct ; labor supply lt ; and
investment portfolio. Households are subject to no leverage constraints. Their objective is
to maximize the present discounted value of their utility ‡ows:
Z " #
1
(s t) ls1+
Et e ln cs ds; (14)
t 1+
being the time discount rate; the weight assigned to the disutility from labor; and the
inverse of the Frish elasticity of the labor supply. Households have logarithmic preferences
for consumption, which implies that their SDF is e t =c
t t:
Households solve a standard portfolio problem, which consists of maximizing (14) sub-
ject to ct ; lt ; kh;t 0 and to the evolution of their net worth,
being nh;t the net worth of households; kh;t the position households take on physical capital;
and T rt the net transfers households receive from …rms and …nancial intermediaries. The
position nh;t qt kh;t is the funds households deposit with …nancial intermediaries.
Consumption, Labor, and Savings In Appendix B, I show that the value of house-
holds Ut max (14) : ct ; lt ; kh;t 0 ^ (15) satis…es a standard HJB equation, which de-
livers three optimality conditions.
8 ~t dRn ;t is constant. Intuitively, this restricts
I restrict attention to values vt that are constant if E f
This condition implies that households match their expected utility return from consump-
tion to the real deposit rate, and that households are therefore indi¤erent on the margin
between consumption and deposits.
The third optimality condition is an asset pricing condition for physical capital that
can be represented accordingly:
1. fls;t ; ks;t gs t are consistent with the labor and capital services demand functions
related to the cost function (3) ;
n o
2. fls;t ; ks;t ; ys;t gs t ; yt are consistent with production functions (1) and (4) ;
n o
3. fp ;s gs t ; pt are consistent with the consumer price index (5) ;
6. yt ; lt ; kh;t satisfy optimality conditions (16) ; (17) ; and (18) in the households’
portfolio problem;
7. The labor market, the rental market for capital services, and the market for physical
capital, clear:
Z t Z t
(t s) (t s)
e ls;t ds = lt ; e ks;t ds = ah kh;t + kf;t ; and kh;t + kf;t = k :
1 1
In equilibrium, because a law of large numbers applies, the aggregate share of …rms (s; t)
equals the survival density function e (t s) of the optimal nominal price p ;s : Aggregate
are identical.
3 Equilibrium Results
I summarize the key features of the competitive equilibrium with the following three results.
The three results below shed light on the sources of ine¢ ciency in the model economy and
therefore are useful for motivating the mandates for policy.
Let t nf;t =qt k 2 [0; 1] denote the wealth share of …nancial intermediaries. The total
wealth in the economy, i.e., nf;t + nh;t ; equals qt k because physical capital is the only
real asset. Financial intermediaries lack enough borrowing capacity to absorb all of the
aggregate capital stock when min f vt ; tg t < 1; they do have enough borrowing capacity
to absorb all of the aggregate capital stock when the opposite inequality holds.
In equilibrium, when min f vt ; tg t < 1; households hold a positive amount of physical
capital, and therefore are indi¤erent on the margin between physical capital and deposits.
Financial intermediaries strictly prefer physical capital to deposits,12 hit their leverage
constraint, and t = min f vt ; tg : When min f vt ; tg t 1; …nancial intermediaries are
indi¤erent between deposits and physical capital, and households therefore strictly prefer
deposits to physical capital on the margin. Households hold no physical capital, …nancial
intermediaries hold all of the aggregate capital stock, and t = 1= t min f vt ; tg :
11
See Clarida, Galí, and Gertler (1999) for a reference.
12
Otherwise, there would be more asset pricing conditions holding with equality than endogenous
processes to be determined in equilibrium.
yt = t lt k1 ; with t At a1t =! t :
The inputs in the aggregate production function are aggregate labor lt and the aggregate
stock of physical capital k: The labor share of output and the exogenous productivity
factor At are the same as in the individual production function of …rms. The endogenous
TFP is t =At 1: The endogenous productivity factor at is:
at ah kh;t =k + kf;t =k = ah (1 t t) + t t:
The factor a1t measures the extent to which allocative e¢ ciency problems in …nancial
markets hinder economic activity. The endogenous productivity factor 1=! t is the inverse
of the consumption-based measure of quantity dispersion on intermediate goods:
Z t Z t "
(t s) ys;t (t s) p ;s
!t e ds = e ds: (19)
1 yt 1 pt
The factor ! t measures the quantity of the …nal consumption good that could have been
produced relative to the actual quantity yt if the aggregate quantity of intermediate goods
! t yt had been evenly allocated across intermediate-goods varieties. Jensen’s inequality
implies that ! t 1; and hence that quantity dispersion across intermediate goods is
ine¢ cient. The indirect demand function yd;t (p ;s ) implies that ! t can be interpreted as
the consumption-based measure of price dispersion.
1+
xt (yj ) lt 1
= ;
yj l !t
1
with (l =lt )1+ being a labor wedge, and l ( = ) 1+ being the equilibrium quantity of
aggregate labor in the ‡exible price economy in which 1= ! 0:13
The Labor Wedge A labor wedge may exist only in the sticky price economy in which
1= 6! 0: In the ‡exible price economy, no labor wedge can exist because prices are ‡exible
as well as competitive. In the sticky price economy, a labor wedge exists only if p ;t =pt
deviates from 1=! t :14 Intuitively, starting from a situation in which there is no labor wedge
and lt = l ; if p ;t =pt deviates from 1=! t ; then in intermediate goods markets real prices de-
viate from marginal production costs, generating distortions in the quantities demanded of
intermediate goods and of inputs. These distortions, in turn, create wedges between input
prices wt and rk;t and their respective marginal productivities yt =lt and (1 ) yt =at k
which, in equilibrium, lead to deviations of lt from l in accord with:
1+ 1+
lt yt lt yt
wt = and rk;t = (1 ) :
l lt l at k
The Optimal Prices But why in equilibrium may p ;t =pt = bt =mt deviate from 1=! t ?
The reason is that the cost-revenue ratio bt =mt is forward-looking and depends on
fls =l ; 1=! s ; s gs>t : The cost-revenue ratio depends on future expected in‡ation because
13
The labor wedge is the ratio of the marginal product of labor yt =lt to the households’marginal rate
of substitution of labor for consumption lt yt :
14
See Appendix B for a formal proof.
The In‡ation Rate But why in equilibrium is in‡ation locally risk-free? And why does
Rs
pt =ps = exp t s~d~
s necessarily hold? The reason is that the aggregate price level pt
is time-di¤erentiable:
Z t
1
1 "
(t s) 1 "
pt = e p ;s ds :
1
Intuitively, in equilibrium, actual in‡ation dpt =pt equals expected in‡ation Et [dpt =pt ]
t dt; because …rms that can reset their nominal price during the time interval [t; t + dt]
set the same nominal price. All of these …rms set the same nominal price p ;t because the
Brownian shock dZt is a cumulative shock that fully realizes just before time t + dt arrives.
A locally risk-free in‡ation rate is consistent, in particular, with a sluggish response of
the aggregate price level pt to the shock dZt which, indeed, is the formal notion of price
stickiness in the model economy.
The expression for expected in‡ation rate t is:
" #
(" 1)
p ;t
t = 1 : (20)
" 1 pt
Decomposition of Utility Losses Speci…cally, policy mandates are based on the fol-
lowing partition of the utility ‡ows of households:
1 lt1+
ln + ln lt + (1 ) ln at + ln At + (1 ) ln k : (21)
!t 1+
The …rst term in (21) accounts for the utility losses from price dispersion, the di¤erence
between the second and third terms accounts for the utility losses from the labor wedge,
and the fourth term accounts for the utility losses from …nancial disintermediation. The
last two terms in (21) are exogenous and therefore uninteresting.
5 Traditional Mandate
Under the traditional mandate, monetary policy and macro-prudential policy interact
strategically in accord with a static game. The outcome of their strategic interaction
is consistent with the Nash equilibrium.
l1+ ^ ^ 1 @2U^
^ = ln 1 +
U ln l +
@U
!! +
@U
+ ( )2 ; (23)
! 1+ @! @ 2 (@ )2
with ! being the di¤usion process of price dispersion, and and the drift and the
di¤usion processes of the wealth share : The drift process ! depends on the optimal price
p =p and on in‡ation according to:
" #
"
p 1
! = 1 +" :
p !
The di¤usion process of price dispersion ! is null because ! is time-di¤erentiable. The drift
and di¤usion processes and re‡ect the realized excess returns on internal …nancing
and on external …nancing over the total wealth in the economy that …nancial intermediaries
earn. (See Appendix B for their mathematical formula.) The invariant distribution G (!; )
is endogenously determined by the joint evolution of ! and in accord with a Kolmogorov
forward equation.
Solution I solve for the optimal monetary policy analytically. Under the traditional
mandate, monetary policy has a dominant strategy which consists of mimicking the natural
rate with policy rate i: The natural rate r~ is the real interest rate in the ‡exible price
economy:
r~dt dt + E [d~
y =~
yj ] V ar [d~
y =~
yj ] ;
with y~ a1
A~ l k1 being the aggregate output level in the ‡exible price economy, and
~1
a the endogenous TFP also in the ‡exible price economy. In the ‡exible price economy,
there is no price dispersion because all of the …rms can reset their nominal price at every
instant. Therefore, ! = 1:
Mimicking the natural rate is a dominant strategy for monetary policy, because i = r~
implements the e¢ cient mappings:
The e¢ cient in‡ation rate is such that the appreciation in the aggregate price level fully
re‡ects the productivity gains from reducing quantity dispersion across intermediate goods.
The e¢ cient in‡ation rate requires that …rms set nominal prices according to p =p = 1=!:
Over the e¢ cient in‡ation rate, the aggregate price level and price dispersion evolve in
tandem, and therefore dp=p = d!=!: Price dispersion converges uniformly to ! = 1; and
there is neither price dispersion nor in‡ation at the invariant distribution.
Mimicking the natural rate implements the e¢ cient mappings l = l and = ; be-
cause those mappings, along with i = r~; are consistent with the conditions of the Markov
competitive equilibrium. Speci…cally, …rms break even when they price at 1=! — and there-
fore are willing to set prices according to p =p = 1=! — because marginal production costs
equal 1=!; and because average costs and the real value of …xed nominal prices appreciate in
tandem at the same rate of : Households are willing to consume according to c = y~=!
(and to supply labor according to l = l ) because the real interest rate is r~dt d!=!:
Along with …nancial intermediaries they are willing to take portfolio positions consistent
with a = a
~ (i.e., the endogenous TPF process of the ‡exible price economy) because risk-
adjusted excess returns remain the same as in the ‡exible price economy. Excess returns
dRe (i ) dt remain the same because in‡ation = ! o¤sets with the ‡uctuations in
q = q~=! corresponding to ‡uctuations in 1=!: Compensations for holding capital risk also
remain the same but because ! = 0; which ensures that ! does not add more aggregate
risk into the economy.
Mimicking the natural rate can implement e¢ cient mappings l = l and = in-
dependent of because there is no binding zero-lower-bound (ZLB) constraint on the
nominal rate. A slack ZLB constraint allows monetary policy to always mimic the natural
rate with the policy rate.
~
and with the behavioral constraint for monetary policy of i = r~: The value function U
satis…es the HJB equation:
~ 1 @2U~
~ = ln a + @ U
U + ( )2 :
@ 2 (@ )2
R1
I set ! = 1 in the problem of macro-prudential policy, because 0 dG (1; ) = 1:
Solution Let e denote the solution to the problem of macro-prudential policy. The
macro-prudential capital requirement e is equivalent to the constrained e¢ cient capital
requirement of the ‡exible price economy. The best response of macro-prudential policy to
mimicking the natural rate is to replicate e:
In what follows, I restrict the analysis to the ‡exible price economy. I solve for e numer-
ically using spectral methods. See Appendix C for a description of the numerical solution
method. I restrict the functional form of to a polynomial function of state : This is done
for simplicity.16 This restriction captures the notion that in general, capital requirements
cannot be freely adjusted in response to ‡uctuations in the aggregate state.
Figures 1 and 2 contrast the Markov competitive equilibria corresponding to the macro-
prudential policies = e and = L with L > min f v; 1= g : The second macro-
prudential policy does not restrict leverage, and can therefore be interpreted as a laissez-
faire policy.
16
See Appendix C for further details on the set of admissible capital requirements.
0.9
3
0.85
Laissez-faire
2.5 0.8
Constrained Efficient
0.8
1.4
0.78
1.3
0.76
1.2 0.74
First, = e ‡attens the slope of the price of capital q with respect to wealth share
in Figure 1d when attains intermediate values. The slope of q gets ‡attened in that
intermediate region, because a binding capital requirement keeps households as marginal
investors, and therefore eliminates the large swings in q associated with changes in the
identity of the marginal investor between households and …nancial intermediaries.18 A
lower sensitivity of q with respect to reduces a distributive pecuniary externality19 that
17
When …nancial intermediaries are poorly capitalized, and is low, the leverage multiple hits its IC
borrowing limit, i.e., = v < min f e ; 1= g : When …nancial intermediaries are richly capitalized, and
is high, the leverage multiple hits its e¢ cient quantity, i.e., = 1= < min f e ; vg :
18
From the analysis in Result 1 follows that in equilibrium …nancial intermediaries have a higher valuation
for physical capital in comparison to households.
19
Distributive pecuniary externalities arise when marginal rates of substitution (MRS) between
times/states di¤er across agents and agents do not internalize the e¤ect of their individual decisions on
the others’MRS or on the relative prices at which agents in general trade (Dávila and Korinek 2017).
pecuniary externality20 that operates through v; and that takes place because the value v is
endogenous and positively a¤ects the borrowing capacity min f v; g : In the laissez-faire
economy, the binding-constraint pecuniary externality is small relative to the constrained-
e¢ cient allocation, because individual …nancial intermediaries do not internalize the e¤ect
of their leverage decisions on the others’pro…tability and Tobin’s Q.
Third, and related to the second bene…t, = e redistributes the leverage multiple
progressively across the wealth share : Speci…cally, the leverage multiple increases when
is low and e is slack; it decreases when attains intermediate values and e binds
(Figure 1a) — the leverage multiple remains the same as in the laissez-faire economy when
is high because = 1= : Progressive redistributions of leverage across are bene…cial,
because the endogenous TFP is strictly increasing in ; and because the preferences for
consumption are strictly concave. Furthemore, they help to improve the dynamics of the
allocative e¢ ciency and a dynamic pecuniary externality that, in the laissez-faire economy,
…nancial intermediaries neglect.
20
Binding-constraint pecuniary externalities arise when …nancial constraints depend on endogenous vari-
ables, and agents neglect the e¤ect of their individual decisions on the variables upon which …nancial
constraints depend (Dávila and Korinek 2017).
A larger intermediary pro…tability and expected recovery rate implies that the
economy spends more time in states in which …nancial intermediaries are better capitalized.
It therefore helps to shift dG (1; ) rightward in the domain (Figure 2c). A lower volatility
when attains intermediate values implies that the economy spends more time in states
in which …nancial intermediaries are average capitalized. It therefore helps to shift dG (1; )
upward in that same region. The downward shift in the invariant cumulative probability
function of endogenous TFP veri…es that e improves social welfare relative to L at the
invariant distribution (Figure 2d). The e¤ects of e on the invariant distribution help to
improve the dynamic pecuniary externality and the dynamics of the allocative e¢ ciency.
0 0.03
-0.01 0.02
Laissez-faire
-0.02 Constrained Efficient
0.01
5 0.5
0 0
0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 1
6 Coordinated Mandate
Under the coordinated mandate, monetary policy and macro-prudential policy together
maximize social welfare subject to the conditions of the Markov competitive equilibrium.
I make a change of variable in the optimization problem above to simplify the analysis.
Speci…cally, I replace the policy rate i with the employment gap ln (l=l ) : This change of
variable is admissible, because in any competitive equilibrium, the policy rate can be de-
rived as a residual using the asset pricing condition for deposits. It is convenient, because
the employment gap can be interpreted as the monetary policy stance. For instance, a
positive employment gap can be interpreted as an expansionary monetary policy, while
a negative employment gap can be interpreted as a contractionary monetary policy. A
positive employment gap precisely when …nancial intermediaries on aggregate are poorly
capitalized can be interpreted as a Greenspan put, while a negative employment gap when
…nancial intermediaries are average- to richly capitalized can be interpreted as leaning
against the wind. A permanently null employment gap can be interpreted as macroeco-
nomic stabilization. All these interpretations make sense because monetary policy can
implement any employment gap independent of macro-prudential policy provided the ZLB
constraint on the policy rate is always slack.
Solution I solve for the optimal coordinated policy numerically using spectral methods.
I restrict attention to employment gaps and capital requirements that are contingent only
on wealth share : Furthermore, I restrict attention to employment gaps that are a linear
function of and capital requirements that are a polynomial function of : This is done
for simplicity.21
Figure 3 contrasts the Markov competitive equilibria between the traditional mandate
and the coordinated mandate. Under the coordinated mandate, monetary policy deviates
from its traditional objective of macroeconomic stabilization (Figure 3a). Monetary policy
deviates in accord with the prescriptions of the Greenspan put and of leaning against the
wind, but relies more heavily on the prescriptions of the latter. Macro-prudential policy
softens the capital requirement relative to the traditional mandate, though the adjustment
state-by-state is small (Figure 3b).
21
See Appendix C for further details.
0
3
-2
-4
T raditional Mandate
2.5
-6 Coordinated Mandate
5 0.5
0 0
0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 1 1.0005 1.001 1.0015 1.002
To explain the rationale behind the behavior of monetary policy under the coordinated
mandate, I …rst analyze three candidate monetary policies. The …rst is a non-contingent
employment gap that is constant over state : I analyze only a positive employment gap;
the analysis for a negative non-contingent employment gap is equivalent.
A positive non-contingent employment gap increases inputs prices w and rk relative
to the ‡exible economy. The reason is that real wages must increase in equilibrium to
induce households to supply more labor. Higher inputs prices boost marginal production
costs, induce …rms to target higher real prices, and generate positive in‡ation rates. In
equilibrium, in‡ation rate > 0 and price dispersion ! > 1 are constant, and in particular,
satisfy that:
" #" 1
" (1+ )
" 1 (" 1) l + "
1= + ;
l + (" 1) "
"
(" 1) " 1
!= :
"
A positive non-contingent employment gap nonetheless does not a¤ect the productivity
factor a or the utility losses (1 ) ln a from …nancial disintermediation. Those variables
Calibration Table 1 reports parameter values in the baseline calibration. The time
frequency is annual.
The …rst three parameters in Table 1 target unconditional averages in the laissez-faire
‡exible price economy, in which there is no macro-prudential policy. The productivity
coe¢ cient of households ah targets an unconditional average Sharpe ratio of 30%; which is
standard. The value of ah is 70%: The fraction of divertable assets targets an uncondi-
tional average leverage multiple of 3:5: The value of is 2:5: The initial capital endowment
of starting …nancial intermediaries targets the unconditional average wealth-to-capital
ratio in the …nancial intermediary sector. I use a target of 20%; which is consistent with
the estimates of Hirakata, Sudo and Ueda (2013). The value of is 1%: The cycle for
intermediary dividend payouts can be interpreted as the life cycle of individual …nancial
intermediary companies (Gertler and Karadi 2011; Gertler and Kiyotaki 2010; Maggiori
2017). I set arrival rate to target an unconditional average survival frequency of 10 years,
which is consistent with Gertler and Kiyotaki (2010).
The drift and di¤usion processes A and A match the unconditional mean and tuncon-
ditional standard deviation of the Utilization-Adjusted Series on Total Factor Productivity
(see Fernald 2014). The value of A is 1:5%: The value of A is 3:5%: The labor share
of output is 65%; which is consistent with the empirical …ndings of Karabarbounis and
Nieman (2014). The aggregate stock of physical capital k is normalized to 1:
The elasticity of substitution between intermediate goods " is 2: This value is below
the regular values, ranging from 4 to 6; that are usually set in sticky price economies in
Quantitative Gains Table 2 reports the social welfare gains of the coordinated mandate
over the traditional mandate. Social welfare gains are computed relative to the traditional
mandate; they are expressed in terms of annual consumption equivalent.
Table 2 shows that social welfare gains amount to 0:07% in the baseline calibration.
Table 2 also shows that social welfare gains are larger if productivity gap 1 ah is larger
8 Conclusion
In this paper I develop a tractable model economy to study coordination between monetary
policy and macro-prudential policy. I restrict attention to two speci…c policy mandates: a
traditional mandate and a coordinated mandate. Under the traditional mandate, monetary
policy mimics the natural rate, and macro-prudential policy implements the constrained-
e¢ cient capital requirement of the ‡exible price economy. Under the coordinated mandate,
monetary policy deviates from the natural rate in accord with the prescriptions of the
Greenspan put and leaning against the wind, and macro-prudential policy softens the
capital requirement relative to the traditional mandate. In the baseline calibration, social
welfare gains from coordinating monetary policy and macro-prudential policy amount to
0.07% in terms of annual consumption equivalent.
The main results in this paper are robust to the source of fundamental shocks that
hit the economy. The main mechanisms in play are robust to the microfoundations con-
cerning the price-setting behavior of …rms. The main results depend, nonetheless, on the
binding status of the ZLB constraint on the nominal interest rate. This is because if the
ZLB constraint binds (or occasionally binds), in‡ation and the employment gap do not re-
main stable at their structural levels. A detailed analysis concerning coordination between
monetary policy and macro-prudential policy when the ZLB constraint occasionally binds
remains for future research.
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Appendix A
The Moral Hazard Problem in Equity Markets
The structure of equity markets and the moral hazard problem in equity markets are such
that: (i) neither …nancial intermediaries nor households directly hold physical capital; (ii)
the direct holders of physical capital (which consists of some physical capital lessors) issue
equity shares against the present discounted value of the pro…t ‡ows made from renting
the capital services to …rms; and (iii) equity shareholders (which consists of …nancial
intermediaries or households) can monitor the activities of equity issuers, having …nancial
intermediaries a comparative advantage at monitoring relative to households. The moral
hazard problem between the physical capital lessors (hereafter capital lessors) and their
shareholders is based on the textbook moral hazard problems in Tirole (1998).
The Moral Hazard Problem Capital lessors own all of the aggregate capital
stock in the economy. By exerting costly e¤ort, capital lessors can increase in probability
the productivity rate a at which they transform physical capital into capital services.
The productivity rate a is stochastic and can be either high or low. If the rate is high,
the …rms involved in the rental transaction receive aS > 1 units of capital services per unit
of physical capital rented out. If the rate is low, the …rms receive no units of capital services
at all. Conditional on a same-e¤ort decision, productivity rates are i.i.d. across capital
lessors. For simplicity, and to ensure that the quantity of capital services that each …rm
receives is deterministic, I assume that each …rm rents physical capital from a continuum
of di¤erent capital lessors that take the same e¤ort decision. Exerting e¤ort improves the
probability of a high rate from Pn > 0 to Pe > Pn ; with Pe < 1; being Pn the probability
of a low rate conditional on not exerting e¤ort. Exerting e¤ort nonetheless entails the loss
of a positive private bene…t for capital lessors. Such private bene…t is proportional to the
stock of physical capital rented out to …rms and, for simplicity, is expressed in terms of
units of capital services.
Let > 0 denote the private bene…t of capital lessors per unit of physical capital
Appendix B
Solving the Portfolio Problem of Financial Intermediaries
To solve for portfolio problem (10) ; I proceed in two steps. First, I derive the HJB equation
related to (10) : Then, I take F.O.C.s and manipulate the F.O.C.s and the HJB equation
22
For monitoring to play a role, I assume that …nancial intermediaries cannot monitor on behalf of
shareholders who are households. To that end, I assume that capital lessors can issue a single share or,
alternatively, that shareholders must monitor individual units of physical capital, to ensure that capital
lessors exert e¤ort on each unit.
The equality on the RHS follows from the de…nition of Vt and from the result that Vt =
vt nf;t : The drift process of Gv;t is null because Gv;t is the conditional expectation of a
random variable. Applying Ito’s Lemma to the RHS in Gv;t ; and then equalizing the
resulting drift process to zero, delivers the HJB equation:
n h i o
vt = max + ;t + v;t + nf ;t + ;t v;t + ;t nf ;t + v;t nf ;t vt (24)
t
s:t: : t min f vt ; tg ;
with x;t and x;t being the drift and di¤usion processes of the generic process xt ; with
xt = f t ; vt ; nf;t g : Processes nf ;t and nf ;t depend on leverage multiple t; in accord with
(11) : Processes ;t and ;t do not depend on t; because the SDF t depends only on
aggregate consumption. Neither do the value vt nor its drift and di¤usion processes v;t and
v;t depend on t; because the value Vt = vt nf;t is the value function of the optimization
problem in (10) :
The optimality condition (12) follows from the F.O.C. in the optimization problem on
the RHS in (24) : The optimality condition (13) follows from evaluating (12) in (24) and
from subsequently manipulating the resulting expression accordingly.
Ut = U (nh;t ; Jt ) ;
1 @Ut
= :
ct @nh;t
@Ut
lt = wt :
@nh;t
rk;t @Ut @ 2 Ut @ 2 Ut
nh ;t + q;t (it t) + q;t nh ;t nh;t + q;t J;t Jt 0:
qt @nh;t (@nh;t )2 @Jt @nh;t
1
1 rk;t
ld;t (yj;t ) = yj;t ;
At 1 wt
1 1 wt
kd;t (yj;t ) = yj;t :
At rk;t
The function yt = t lt k1 follows from replacing fls;t ; ks;t g with fld;t (yj;s ) ; kd;t (yj;s )g in
the market clearing conditions for inputs and from subsequently manipulating the resulting
expressions accordingly. Speci…cally, the aforementioned replacement delivers:
1
1 rk;t
! t yt = lt ;
At 1 wt
1 1 wt
! t yt = ah kh;t + kf;t ;
At rk;t
Labor Wedge
Here, I derive the processes fbt ; mt g ; the aggregate quantity of labor in the ‡exible price
economy l ; and the labor wedge.
Here, I show that lt =l 6= 1 only if p ;t =pt deviates from 1=! t : To do so, I proceed in steps.
Let t > 0 be such that p ;t =pt = t =! t : First, I express the law of motion (LoM) of
price dispersion and the expected in‡ation rate as function of t:
Price dispersion ! t evolves according to:23
"" # #
"
d! t p ;t 1
= 1 +" t dt; (26)
!t pt !t
lt =l = R1 R st :
Et t e ( + )(s t) exp
t " s~ s d~
!;~ s ds
1
1
being ! " (" 1) " 1
the steady state level of price dispersion, which is
unique and stable. If price dispersion is in steady state, and ! t = ! ; then !;t = 0 and
t = ( 1) ; and the RHS on lt =l is:
1
+ " ( 1) 1+
l =l = :
+ (" 1) ( 1)
+
For the integrals on the RHS on lt =l to be well-de…ned, 1< " has to hold.
Third, and lastly, I show that lt =l 6= 1 only if t 6= 1: To such end, I restrict t to be
constant if and only if lt =l is constant. Intuitively, because in equilibrium a constant lt =l
is consistent with a constant t and ! t ; this restriction implies that ‡uctuations in optimal
real prices o¤ ‡uctuations in the productivity factor 1=! t correspond to ‡uctuations in the
labor wedge. The analysis conducted in the …rst and second steps of this proof, coupled
with the aforementioned restriction on t; ensures that lt =l = 1 if t = 1 and that lt =l 6= 1
if t 6= 1:
The asset pricing conditions are useful for characterizing the Markov equilibrium.
2
it t = + y;t y;t :
The asset pricing condition for physical capital depends on whether …nancial intermedi-
aries are …nancially constrained. When …nancial intermediaries are …nancially constrained,
the asset pricing condition is (18) holding with equality. When they are …nancially uncon-
strained, the asset pricing condition is instead (12) holding also with equality. I conjecture
that the price of capital qt is proportional to aggregate output yt : Let q^t = qt =yt denote the
price of capital per unit of aggregate output. In equilibrium, the asset pricing condition
for physical capital is:
1+
ah 1 lt
+ q^;t =0;
q^t at k l
with t = min f vt ; tg if …nancial intermediaries are …nancially constrained; the asset
pricing condition for physical capital is
1+
11 lt
+ q^;t + v;t ( q^;t + y;t ) =0;
q^t k l
1 ~
Notice that dt Et
dRnf ;t equals the …rst term on the LHS when …nancial intermediaries
~t dRn ;t = 0 when …nancial intermediaries
are …nancially constrained. Notice also that E f
! = 1 1 +" (29)
!
Let "x; denote the elasticity of a given mapping x with respect to state : Let x denote
the partial derivative of mapping x with respect to state : Ito’s Lemma implies that the
drift and the di¤usion processes x and x satisfy that:
1 2
x = "x; + "x ; "x;
2
x = "x; ;
q^ = "q^;
y = A + "l; + (1 ) "a; :
1
= A; (30)
1 ["q^; + "l; + (1 ) "a; ] ( 1)
1+
ah 1 l 1 2
+ "q^; + "q^ ; "q^; = 0; if = min f v; g ; (32)
q^ ak l 2
1+
11 l 1 2
+ "q^; + "q^ ; "q^; + v ( q^ + y) = 0; if = 1= < min f v;(33)
g
q^ k l 2
v = "v; (35)
q^ = "q^; (36)
1
y = A q^ (37)
1 ["q^; + "l; + (1 ) "a; ] ( 1)
ODEs
Asset pricing conditions (32)-(37) deliver an ordinary di¤erential equation system (ODEs)
of second order. The independent variable in the ODEs is : The dependent variables are q^
and v:25 The boundary conditions for the ODEs are similar to those in the autarky banking
economy of Maggiori (2017). Speci…cally, I impose that:
d
lim q^ + y = 1 and lim ( q^ + y) = 0; (38)
!1 !1 d
and that:
d
lim v = 0 and lim v = 0: (39)
!1 !1 d
25
The quantity of aggregate labor l and capital requirement are taken as given in the Markov equilib-
rium. Notice that a = ah (1 )+ and that = min f v; ; 1= g :
R1 nR h " i o 1+
1 s 1 " 1 ls
!E exp t ! s~ 1 d~
s dsj!;
1 " 1
t s~ l
" 1 " 1
1 = R1 Rs
E t exp t [(" 1) s~ ( + )] d~
s dsj!;
(40)
The LHS equals p =p: The numerator on the RHS is expected production costs b; the
denominator is expected sales revenues m: In this notation, s = (! s ; s) and ls =
l (! s ; s) :
The invariant density function dG (!; ) solves the Kolmogorov forward equation:
@ @ @2 h i
[ ! !dG (!; )] dG (!; ) + ( )2 dG (!; ) = 0:
@! @ @ 2
In the ‡exible price economy, the invariant density function dG (1; ) solves:
@ @2 h i
dG (1; ) + ( )2 dG (1; ) = 0;
@ @ 2
R1
with 0 dG (1; ) d = 1:
Appendix C
The Numerical Method
The numerical method has two steps. The …rst is similar for both policy mandates, but
the second di¤ers.
D
X ad d
( )= d
( 1) :
d=0
( 2 1)
ln [l ( ) =l ] = al ( l) :
The constant al is the semi-elasticity of aggregate labor with respect to : The constant l
indicates the state at which the sign of the employment gap switches.
The equality in the second line follows from the de…nition of mt : An asset pricing condition
for mt follows from applying Ito’s Lemma to the RHS and from subsequently equalizing
1
+ (" 1) t ( + )+ m;t =0:
mt
The equality in the second line follows from the de…nition of bt : The asset pricing condition
for bt is:
1+
lt 1 1
+" t ( + )+ b;t =0:
l ! t bt
1 1 2
+ (" 1) ( + ) + "m; + "m;! ! + "m ; "m; =0
m 2
1+
l 11 1 2
+" ( + ) + "b; + "b;! ! + "b ; "b; =0:
l !b 2
The independent variables in the PDEs are ! and : The dependent variables are m and
b:
To solve for the PDEs, I use spectral methods. Speci…cally, I interpolate mappings m
and b with a linear combination of Chebyshev Polynomials of the First Kind. I evaluate the
interpolation at the Tensor basis (i.e., Tensor product plus Cartesian product of Chebyshev
26
The drift process of the gain process Gm;t is null, because Gm;t is the conditional expectation of a
random variable.
with initial state ! t = !:27 I compute the integrals in the RHS numerically.
27
Notice that m0 and b0 do not depend on the state :