Notes - Decision Making
Notes - Decision Making
Notes - Decision Making
Decision
Making
Decision Making
Definition:
“The process for arriving at a decision.”
Decision making an everyday task!
Focus on:
What is the process/procedure that makes a
good decision making?
What are the tools/techniques to aid decision
making process?
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Decision Making Process
1. What is the problem/decision to be made?
Problem definition?
Objectives to be fulfilled?
Problem boundaries?
Example: Decide whether extra work hour should
be encouraged?
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Cont.
2. What are the possible options/
alternatives?
Look for new alternatives/options/ideas or
courses of action.
Available technique:
PMI (Edward De Bono)
It is a powerful thinking tool for the generation of
alternatives, options or courses of actions.
P = Plus or Good Points
M = Minus or the Bad Points
I = Interesting or the Interesting Points
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Cont.
PMI technique – begins with the ‘Plus’ followed
by the ‘Minus’ and finally the ‘Interesting’ points
(attention directing tool)
The ‘interesting’ point consists of neither positive
nor negative reasons/ideas etc. It explore
possibilities that may be outside the usual realm
of pro or con.
Example:
P : What if extra work hour is encouraged..?
M : What if extra work hour is discouraged..?
I : What if extra work hour is normal?
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Cont.
3. What options/alternatives are best?
Using generated options/ alternatives, do:
a) consequences of each option/ alternative
Make predictions as to the consequences of each
option or course of action, i.e. what if extra work hour
was encouraged or discouraged?
Support each prediction with credible evidence, i.e.
what evidence do I have that extra work hour should
be encouraged or discouraged?
Support with statistic, survey, expert opinion etc
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Cont.
Available technique:
The ALU (Scott and Donald)
It is a technique for idea finding.
A = Advantages
L = Limitations
U = Unique Connections
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Cont.
ALU technique:
Advantages: From the list of possibilities ask what
advantages does each alternative offer? What are its
strongest points? What makes it attractive or
appealing?
Limitations: Next ask, what limitations are there? Are
there obvious flaws or weaknesses to be overcome if
we work with this alternative/ course of action? Are
there possible trouble spots?
Unique Connections: Finally, ask yourself. “Does this
alternative/idea suggest any new or unusual
connections I was not aware of before? Are there
any “hidden potentials” here?
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Cont.
b) value of each consequence
Rank each consequence according to priority based
on a value system.
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Cont.
5. How to implement the decision?
Establish what is need to implement the decision
(resources allocation).
List action steps for implementation (including
people involved)
If possible, include contingency plans for known
risks.
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Summary
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