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X Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Sum: at Year 6 Forcast 2029.9

The document contains 6 tables with quantitative data: 1) A table with 6 rows showing quarterly sales figures for 5 years and a total sum. The average total sales for the 5 years is calculated. 2) A table showing actual and forecasted annual sales figures for 6 years using 4 different forecasting methods. The average actual sales for the period is also shown. 3) A table with data to calculate a linear regression line for a scatter plot with an R^2 value of 0.823. 4) A table with data showing exponential smoothing forecasts over 5 periods with calculations for the regression line. 5) Two line graphs - one showing linear regression on the data from table 1, the other showing

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Ahmed Emad
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48 views3 pages

X Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Sum: at Year 6 Forcast 2029.9

The document contains 6 tables with quantitative data: 1) A table with 6 rows showing quarterly sales figures for 5 years and a total sum. The average total sales for the 5 years is calculated. 2) A table showing actual and forecasted annual sales figures for 6 years using 4 different forecasting methods. The average actual sales for the period is also shown. 3) A table with data to calculate a linear regression line for a scatter plot with an R^2 value of 0.823. 4) A table with data showing exponential smoothing forecasts over 5 periods with calculations for the regression line. 5) Two line graphs - one showing linear regression on the data from table 1, the other showing

Uploaded by

Ahmed Emad
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Ahmed Emad Ahmed Khalil Sec:2

x Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 sum
1 400 450 390 350 1590
2 410 455 400 452 1717
3 420 460 420 513 1813
4 435 465 450 520 1870
5 440 460 470 555 1925
6 2029.9

Average = 3 1783

at year 6 forcast= 2029.9

Naïve mean SMA weighted moving average


year Actual forcast forcast forcast forcast
2005 18000 17500 17500 17500 17500
2006 18500 18000 18000 18000 18000
2007 19200 18500 18250 18250 18400
2008 19800 19200 18566.666667 18850 19060
2009 20600 19800 18875 19500 19680
2010 21500 20600 19220 20200 20440
2011 21500 19600 21050 21320

Average= 2007.5 19600

at year 2011 forcast= 22040


med Khalil Sec:2

x-x' y-y' (x-x')(y-y') (x-x)^2


-2 -193 386 4
-1 -66 66 1
0 30 0 0
1 87 87 1
2 142 284 4
∑ 823 10

m=82.3
b=1536.1

exponential smoothing x-x' y-y' (x-x')(y-y') (x-x')^2


forcast
17500 -2.5 -1600 4000 6.25
18000 -1.5 -1100 1650 2.25
18100 -0.5 -400 200 0.25
18320 0.5 200 100 0.25
18616 1.5 1000 1500 2.25
19012.8 2.5 1900 4750 6.25
19510.24 ∑ 12200 17.5

m=697.142857142857
b=-1379914.28571429
2500

2000
Forcast

Column H
1500 Linear (Column H)

1000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Problem 1

20000
19500

19000
18500

18000
Forcast

Column I
17500
Linear (Column I)
17000

16500
16000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Problem 2

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