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    Wednesday Iowa Poll Methodology: Kim Reynolds Leads All Democratic Challengers in 2018 Race For Governor

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    If the election for Iowa governor were held today, incumbent Republican Kim Reynolds would defeat all five of the leading Democrats trying to succeed her as the state’s chief executive. The new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll suggests two of those would-be challengers — state Sen. Nate Boulton and retired businessman Fred Hubbell — are more competitive with Reynolds than other Democrats in the race, but also indicates a high level of uncertainty and lingering unfamiliarity with the wide field of challengers. Read more from the Register's Jason Noble on DesMoinesRegister.com: dmreg.co/2nOZO8N

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    Wednesday Iowa Poll Methodology: Kim Reynolds Leads All Democratic Challengers in 2018 Race For Governor

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    If the election for Iowa governor were held today, incumbent Republican Kim Reynolds would defeat all five of the leading Democrats trying to succeed her as the state’s chief executive. The new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll suggests two of those would-be challengers — state Sen. Nate Boulton and retired businessman Fred Hubbell — are more competitive with Reynolds than other Democrats in the race, but also indicates a high level of uncertainty and lingering unfamiliarity with the wide field of challengers. Read more from the Register's Jason Noble on DesMoinesRegister.com: dmreg.co/2nOZO8N

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    Wednesday Iowa Poll methodology: Kim Reynolds leads all Democratic challengers in 2018 race for governor

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    If the election for Iowa governor were held today, incumbent Republican Kim Reynolds would defeat all five of the leading Democrats trying to succeed her as the state’s chief executive. The new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll suggests two of those would-be challengers — state Sen. Nate Boulton and retired businessman Fred Hubbell — are more competitive with Reynolds than other Democrats in the race, but also indicates a high level of uncertainty and lingering unfamiliarity with the wide field of challengers. Read more from the Register's Jason Noble on DesMoinesRegister.com: dmreg.co/2nOZO8N

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
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    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    15K views3 pages

    Wednesday Iowa Poll Methodology: Kim Reynolds Leads All Democratic Challengers in 2018 Race For Governor

    Uploaded by

    dmronline
    If the election for Iowa governor were held today, incumbent Republican Kim Reynolds would defeat all five of the leading Democrats trying to succeed her as the state’s chief executive. The new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll suggests two of those would-be challengers — state Sen. Nate Boulton and retired businessman Fred Hubbell — are more competitive with Reynolds than other Democrats in the race, but also indicates a high level of uncertainty and lingering unfamiliarity with the wide field of challengers. Read more from the Register's Jason Noble on DesMoinesRegister.com: dmreg.co/2nOZO8N

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    of 3

    THE DES MOINES REGISTER/MEDIACOM IOWA POLL

    SELZER & COMPANY Study #2168


    801 Iowa adults January 28-31, 2018
    Margin of error: ± 3.5 percentage points Weighted by age and sex

    Percentages may not add to 100% due to rounding.

    Are you a resident of the state of Iowa?


    100 Yes Continue
    - No
    Terminate and do not count toward any quota
    - Not sure

    What about here in Iowa? Do you think things in the state are headed in the right direction, or have they gotten off on the
    wrong track?
    Right Wrong Not
    direction track sure

    Jan-18 49 39 13

    I’m going to mention some elected officials. For each, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the way each is
    handling his or her job. (Rotate list.)
    Not
    Approve Disapprove Sure

    Kim Reynolds as governor Jan-18 47 33 20

    I'm going to mention the names of some people and institutions in the news. (Feb-17 and Dec-17: I'm going to mention the
    names of some people who are possible candidates for governor.) For each name I read, please tell me if your feelings toward
    the person or institution are very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable. If you don’t
    know the person, just say so. (Record “don’t know” as “not sure.” Rotate list.)
    Net Net Very Mostly Mostly Very Not
    Favorable Unfavorable Favorable Favorable Unfavorable Unfavorable Sure

    Kim Reynolds, governor Jan-18 48 32 14 34 17 15 20


    Ron Corbett, Republican
    candidate for governor Jan-18 15 18 2 12 9 9 68

    (Ask all.) Turning to the general election for governor in 2018, if the election were held today and the candidates were
    [KIM REYNOLDS for the Republicans] and [NAME FROM LIST for the Democrats], for whom would you vote—[KIM
    REYNOLDS/NAME ON LIST] or for someone else? (Rotate list. Also rotate order of asking Reynolds versus other
    candidates every other interview. Based on likely voters in the 2018 general election; n=555. MoE = ± 4.2
    percentage points.)
    Other/would Not
    2018 likely voters only Reynolds Democrat not vote (VOL) Sure

    Nate Boulton, state senator 41 37 11 11


    Cathy Glasson, union leader 44 31 14 12
    Fred Hubbell, retired business executive 42 37 12 10
    John Norris, former federal appointee 41 30 14 15
    Andy McGuire, physician 42 30 15 13

    _______________
    SELZER & COMPANY
    PAGE 1
    Here are some specific issues that may be debated in the Iowa Legislature this year. For each, please tell me if you
    favor or oppose the initiative. (Rotate list.)
    Not
    Favor Oppose Sure

    Dramatically reduce the number of tax credits awarded to Iowa


    Jan-18 44 41 15
    businesses

    When it comes to tax incentives the state provides companies to induce them to locate or expand in Iowa, do you
    think this economic development approach has been mostly a success or mostly a failure?
    48 Mostly a success
    35 Mostly a failure
    17 Not sure

    Turning to the federal government, do you think a pathway to citizenship for all undocumented workers in this country
    now is or is not a worthy goal?
    Is a worthy Is not a Not
    goal worthy goal sure

    Jan-18 65 26 9

    What about just the children of undocumented parents who were brought into the country illegally by no fault of their
    own—for this group of so-called DACA recipients, do you think a pathway to citizenship is or is not a worthy goal?
    Is a worthy Is not a Not
    goal worthy goal sure

    Jan-18 81 13 6

    Which of the following best describes your view of funding for a wall along the Mexican border:
    30 It should be funded no matter what else is happening with immigration policy
    15 It should be funded only with an agreement to give children of undocumented immigrants permanent
    residence in the U.S. or with a broader deal offering legal status to most undocumented immigrants
    50 It should not be funded under any circumstances
    5 Not sure

    ABOUT THE POLL

    The Iowa Poll, conducted January 28-31 for The Des Moines Register and Mediacom by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, is
    based on telephone interviews with 801 Iowans ages 18 or older, including 555 likely voters in the 2018 general election
    for governor and other offices and 656 likely voters in the 2020 general election for president and other offices.
    Interviewers with Quantel Research contacted households with randomly selected landline and cell phone numbers
    supplied by Survey Sampling International. Interviews were administered in English. Responses were adjusted by age and
    sex to reflect the general population based on recent census data.

    Questions based on the sample of 801 Iowa adults have a maximum margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage
    points. This means that if this survey were repeated using the same questions and the same methodology, 19 times out of
    20, the findings would not vary from the true population value by more than plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Results
    based on smaller samples of respondents—such as by gender or age—have a larger margin of error. Questions based on
    likely voters in the 2018 general election have a maximum margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points, and
    questions based on likely voters in the 2020 general election have a maximum margin of error of plus or minus 3.8
    percentage points.
    _______________
    SELZER & COMPANY
    PAGE 2
    Republishing the copyright Iowa Poll without credit to The Des Moines Register and Mediacom is prohibited.

    _______________
    SELZER & COMPANY
    PAGE 3

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