Macro Assignment
Macro Assignment
55
56 5. SEARCH, MATCHING, AND UNEMPLOYMENT
Solution
"
Let v(w) be the expected value of ∞ t
t=0 β yt for an unemployed worker who has
offer w in hand and who behaves optimally.
# $ %
w ′ ′
(27) v(w) = max , c + φβv(0) + (1 − φ)β v(w )dF (w ) .
A,R 1−β
Here the maximization is over the two actions: accept the offer to work forever
at wage w, or reject the current offer and take a chance on drawing a new offer
next period.
Solution
5. SEARCH, MATCHING, AND UNEMPLOYMENT 57
a. Note that the event max{w1 , w2 } < w is the event (w1 < w) ∩ (w2 < w).
Therefore prob{max(w1 , w2 ) < w} = F (w)2 . The worker will evidently limit his
choice to the larger of the two offers each period. Bellman’s equation is therefore
# $ %
w ′ 2 ′
v(w) = max , c + β v(w )d(F )(w ) ,
1−β
where w is the best offer in hand.
b. The reservation wage obeys the following equation:
$ ∞
β
(w̄2 − c) = (w′ − w̄2 )d(F 2 )(w′ ).
1 − β w̄2
Using the usual integration by part argument, one obtains the equation:
$ B
h2 (w̄2 ) ≡ (1 − β)w̄2 − β (1 − F (w ′ )2 )dw′ = 0.
w̄2
Observe that h2 is an increasing function. When the worker is given only one
offer, the reservation wage solves :
$ B
h1 (w̄1 ) ≡ (1 − β)w̄1 − β (1 − F (w ′ ))dw′ = 0.
w̄1
Since F (w)2 ≤ F (w), we have h2 (w) ≤ h1 (w). Therefore:
w̄1 ≤ w̄2 .
The intuition underlying this result is as follows: the worker could choose always
to ignore the second offer. This policy, possibly suboptimal, would leave the
worker with a decision problem that is formally identical to the standard one-
offer problem. The value of the objective function of the true problem is at least
as high as the value of the objective function under the artificially restricted
problem. Because the reservation wage has the property of equating the value
of accepting a job, w/(1 − β), with the value of rejecting, c + βEv(w ′ ), a higher
value of Ev(w ′ ), which results in the two-offer case, requires a higher reservation
wage.
of "
c during each period of unemployment. He chooses a strategy to maximize
E ∞ t
t=0 β yt where yt = c if he is unemployed, yt = w if he is employed.
Let v(w) be the value of the objective function of an unemployed worker who has
best offer w in hand and who proceeds optimally. Formulate Bellman’s equation
for this worker.
Solution
& N $ '
w !
v(w) = max ,c + πn v(w′ )d(F n )(w′ ) .
1−β n=1
In effect, the worker is confronted with a lottery with probabilities π n over dis-
tributions F n (w), from which he will sample next period. As in Exercise 2.1, w
is the highest offer in hand.
Solution
a. The Bellman equation for the worker’s problem is
& N $ '
w !
(29) v(w, n) = max ,c + πm,n v(w′ , m)d(F m )(w′ ) .
accept,reject 1−β m=1
b. From equation (29), we see that the right branch of the right side of the
functional equation is evidently a function only of n. The argument in the text
applies for each n and implies a reservation wage that is a function of n.
Solution
a. $ # %
θ n
Q1 = max max − c1 , −c1 + βQ1 d(F )(θ) ,
c1 accept,reject 1−β
subject to n = f (c1 + c2 ), c2 given
$ # %
θ
Q2 = max max − c2 , −c2 + βQ2 d(F n )(θ)
c2 accept,reject 1−β
subject to n = f (c1 + c2 ), c1 given.
b.
() ( * +
θ θ
Q(λ) = maxc1 ,c2 maxaccept,reject λ 1−β − λc1 + (1 − λ) 1−β − c2 ,
'
,
−λc1 − (1 − λ)c2 + βQ(λ) d(F n )(θ)
subject to n = f (c1 + c2 ).
c. The Nash equilibrium is a (c1 , c2 ) pair that solves the two functional equations
in (a). In general, this (c1 , c2 ) pair will not solve the functional equation in (b)
because each agent in (a) neglects the effects of his choice of cj on the welfare of
the other agent. In general, there will be too little search in the Nash equilibrium
if f (c1 + c2 ) is increasing in (c1 + c2 ).
Solution
Let s be the state variable. We choose s = (w, 0), where w is the wage offer and
0 = E if the worker is employed, and 0 = U if she is unemployed. Consider first
the situation of an employed worker. Bellman’s equation is
v(w, E) = max {u[w(1 − l), l] + βv(w, E)}.
l
5. SEARCH, MATCHING, AND UNEMPLOYMENT 61
The outside maximization is over two actions: accept the offer (in which case the
worker chooses l optimally) or reject the offer, collect unemployment compensa-
tion, and wait for a new offer next period. The first term is incresing in w and
the second is independent of w. Therefore the optimal policy is to accept offers
offers that are at least equal to some w̄. Once an offer has been accepted, hours
worked are constant and equal to l(w).
Solution
62 5. SEARCH, MATCHING, AND UNEMPLOYMENT
It is easy to see (using the Leibniz rule) that the left-hand side is increasing in w̄.
Therefore, if φ1 > φ2 , that is, (1 − βφ1 )c < (1 − βφ2 )c, it must be that w̄1 < w̄2 .
The intuition behind this result is simple: for any given offer w, the value of
accepting the offer is higher, the higher the growth rate of wages φ. Therefore,
the sooner an offer is accepted, the sooner the benefits of the growth in wages
are realized. This pattern makes some job offers more attractive even though the
initial wage is not very high.
Solution
We first analyze the worker’s problem in the second period of life. We consider
an unemployed worker; an employed worker does not have to solve any decision
problem. Let v2 (w) be the optimal value of the problem for an unemployed
worker with offer w in hand. Then v2 (w) = max{w, c}. It follows that the
optimal strategy is to accept offers that are at least c and to reject all others.
The second-period reservation wage, w̄2 , is equal to c. In the first period if the
worker is faced with a wage w and accepts the offer, the value of the objective
function is w(1 + β). If the worker rejects he gets c in the first period and v 2 (w′ ),
a random variable,) in the following period. The expected value of rejecting the
∞
offer is thus c + β 0 v2 (w′ )dF (w ′ ).
Therefore the optimal value of the objective function for a worker with offer w in
hand is given by
# $ B %
′ ′
v1 (w) = max w(1 + β), c + β v2 (w )dF (w ) .
0
Notice that the second term in brackets is constant, whereas the first is increasing
in w. It follows that the optimal policy is of the reservation wage form. There
exists a w̄1 such that, for w ≤ w̄1 , the second term is higher, and therefore the
optimal strategy is to reject the job offer and to remain unemployed. Similarly,
when w > w̄1 , the first term is higher and the optimal strategy is to accept the
job. As usual w̄1 satisfies :
$ B
w1 (1 + β) = c + β v2 (w′ )dF (w ′ ).
0
Consider a worker who draws every period a job offer to work forever at wage
w. Successive offers are independently and identically distributed drawings from
a distribution Fi (w), i = 1, 2. Assume that F1 has been obtained from F2 by a
mean-preserving spread (see Section 2.4). The worker’s objective is to maximize
T
!
E β t yt , 0 < β < 1,
t=0
Solution
a. Let vti (w) be the optimal value of the objective function of an unemployed
worker at time t who has offer w in hand and draws wage offers from the distri-
bution Fi , i = 1, 2. Then it is clear that vTi (w) = max{0, w} = w. Therefore
)B i )B
0
vT (w)dFi (w) = 0 wdFi (w) = Ew, i = 1, 2. Clearly the reservation wage
at time T is zero: the worker accepts every offer. At time (T − 1), Bellmans’
equation for the worker’s problem is
( )B i ′ ,
i ′
vT −1 (w) = max w(1 + β), β 0 vT (w )Fi (dw )
max {w(1 + β), βEw}.
It is then clear that the worker will accept the offer if w(1 + β) ≥ βEw and will
reject it otherwise. Therefore the reservation wage w̄T −1 is βEw/(1+β). Because
the expectation of w is the same no matter whether w is drawn from F1 or F2 , it
follows that both types of workers have the same reservation wage.
b. We prove this point by induction. Assume that at t+1 the optimal policy under
both distribution is of the reservation wage form. Also, assume that wt+1 (1), the
reservation wage under c.d.f. F1 , is greater than wt+1 (2), the reservation wage
under c.d.f. F2 . Observe that those two assumptions are true at time T . The
Bellman equation at time t is:
# $ B %
1 − β T −t+1 ′ ′
vti (w) = max w ,β i
vt+1 (w )dFi (w ) ,
1−β 0
5. SEARCH, MATCHING, AND UNEMPLOYMENT 65
T −t+1
where w 1−β1−β is the value of working at wage w in periods t, t + 1, . . . T . The
first term is increasing in w while the second one is constant. It follows that, at
time t, the optimal policy is also of the reservation wage form. Furthermore, the
time t reservation wage wt (i) solves the usual indifference condition:
T −t+1 )B
wt (i) 1−β1−β = β v i (w′ )dFi (w′ )
T −t+1 )0wt+1t+1
(i) 1−β T −t )B 1−β T −t ′
wt (i) 1−β1−β = β 0 w t+1 (i)dF i (w ′
) + β w dFi (w′ )
T −t+1 T −t
* )
1−β w t+1 (i)
)
1−β +
wt+1 (i) B ′
wt (i) 1−β1−β = β 1−β
1−β 0
(w t+1 (i) − w ′
) dF i (w ′
) + 0
w dF i (w ′
) .
Integrating the first term by part and rearanging yields :
-$ .
wt+1 (i)
β − β T −t+1 ′ ′
wt (i) = Fi (w )dw + Ei (w) .
1 − β T −t+1 0
Solution
a. Let the state variable that completely summarizes current and future oppor-
tunities be x = (w, e, s), where w is the wage, e is the effort, and s = E if the
worker is employed and s = U if he is unemployed. Recall that, if the worker is
employed, then e = 0. Let Q be the expected value of the objective function for
an unemployed worker who behaves optimally before getting an offer. Then if
the worker is employed, the value of the objective function is given by
v(w, 0, E) = w − T (w) + β(1 − α)v(w, 0, E) + βαQ,
or
w − T (w) βαQ
v(w, 0, E) = + .
1 − β(1 − α) 1 − β(1 − α)
If the worker is unemployed, has an offer w in hand, and spent e > 0 units of
leisure searching this period, the value of the objective function is
v(w, e, U ) = max {w − T (w) − e + β(1 − α)v(w, 0, E)
+βαQ, 1 − e + z + βQ} ,
where the first term reflects the value of accepting employment and the second
the value of rejecting the offer. Using the expression we found for v(w, 0, E), we
get (
w−T (w)
v(w, e, U ) = max 1−β(1−α) −e
,
βαQ
+ 1−β(1−α) , 1 − e + z + βQ .
Then, using a standard argument, we see from the above equation that the opti-
mal strategy is to accept offers greater than or equal to w̄ and to reject all others;
w̄ is such that it makes the worker indifferent between accepting or rejecting the
job offer; that is, w̄ solves
w̄ − T (w̄) βαQ
−e+ = 1 − e + z + βQ,
1 − β(1 − α) 1 − β(1 − α)
or
Notice that we cannot use this expression for w̄ to compute the reservation wage,
because Q must be determined endogenously. It is clear, however, that, if Q is
independent of e (as we will show that it is), then w̄ does not depend on e.
Because we established that the optimal policy is of the reservation wage variety,
we can compute v(w, e, U ). This function is given by
# w−T (w) βαQ
1−β(1−α)
− e + 1−β(1−α) w ≥ w̄
v(w, e, U ) =
1 − e + z + βQ w ≤ w̄.
)∞
Let Φ(e) = Ev(w, e, U ) = 0 v(w, e, U )F (dw),
Φ(e) = (1 + z + βQ)F
) ∞ (w̄)
1
+ 1−β(1−α) w̄
[w − T (w)]F (dw) − e
βαQ
+[1 − F (w̄)] 1−β(1−α) .
Because we have shown that
βαQ w̄ − T (w̄)
= (1 + z + βQ) − ,
1 − β(1 − α) 1 − β(1 − α)
we have, after some substitution, that
1
Φ(e) =
)∞
1−β(1−α)
· w̄ ([w − T (w)] − [w̄ − T (w̄)])F (dw) + 1 + z + βQ − e.
Now consider Φ(0). Recall that, if e = 0, the worker gets no offers, and hence
v(w, 0, U ) = 1 + z + βQ. This expression is independent of w, and so Φ(0) =
1 + z + βQ. Therefore
1
Φ(e) =
)∞
1−β(1−α)
· w̄ ([w − T (w)] − [w̄ − T (w̄)])F (dw) + Φ(0) − e.
To simplify notation let (w − T (w)) − (w̄ − T (w̄)) ≡ ∆Y (w). Then the above
expression becomes
$ ∞
1
Φ(e) = ∆Y (w)F (dw) + Φ(0) − e.
1 − β(1 − α) w̄
If the worker chooses to spend e units of effort, he gets an offer with probability
π(e) and expected value Φ(e). With probability [1 − π(e)] he gets no offers. This
alternative has value Φ(0) − e.
Then the value of the problem for an unemployed worker who behaves optimally
is given by Q, where Q satisfies
Q ≡ max0≤e≤1 {π(e)Φ(e) + [1 − π(e)][Φ(0) − e]}
(31) {π(e)[Φ(e) − Φ(0) + e] + Φ(0) − e}
Q ≡ max0≤e≤1 ( ,
π(e) )∞
Q = max0≤e≤1 1−β(1−α) w̄
∆Y (w)F (dw) + 1 − e + z + βQ
The right-hand side defines a mapping from Q into the reals. To guarantee that
the problem is well behaved, we want to show that one such Q exists. This is
not a trivial problem: Q affects w̄ and ∆Y (w), so that the mapping is highly
nonlinear. In any case, it is clear that Q, and therefore w̄, are independent of e.
68 5. SEARCH, MATCHING, AND UNEMPLOYMENT
Let H be the mapping defined by the right-hand side of (31). Because π(e) is
increasing in e, we have that
1
)∞
HQ ≤ 1−β(1−α) ∆Y (w)F (dw) + 1 + z + βQ
w̄
1
)∞
≤ H̄Q ≡ 1−β(1−α) 0 [w − T (w)]F (dw) + 1 + z + βQ.
Therefore, if Q1 is such that Q1 = H̄Q1 (such a Q1 is easy to compute directly),
it follows that, for all Q ≥ Q1 , Q ≥ H̄Q. Thus ∀Q ≥ Q1 , HQ ≤ Q. On the other
hand, ( ,
π(0) )∞
HQ ≥ 1−β(1−α) w̄
∆Y (w)F (dw) + 1 + z + βQ
= 1 + z + βQ ≡ HQ.
Then we have that, for all Q ≥ 0, HQ ≤ HQ ≤ H̄Q and H0 > 0. Hence we have
established that H0 > 0 and that there exists Q1 < ∞ such that HQ ≤ Q for
Q ≥ Q1 .
Inasmuch as H is a continuous function of Q [this follows because w̄ is continuous
in Q, as is ∆Y (w)], we establish that there exists a Q̄ such that H Q̄ = Q̄.
We next prove that Q̄ is unique. To do so it suffices to show that the mapping
H is monotone in Q. A sufficient condition is that
/$ ∞ 0
∂ ∂ w̄
0≤ ∆Y (w)F (dw) + β < 1.
∂ w̄ w̄ ∂Q
)∞
Still, (∂/∂ w̄) w̄ ∆Y (w)F (dw) is (using the Leibniz rule) equal to −[1−(∂T /∂w)(w̄)]
[1−F (w̄)]. From the equation determining w̄, we get that [1−(∂T /∂w)(w̄)](∂ w̄/∂Q) =
β(1 − β)(1 − α). Because −[1 − F (w̄)]β(1 − β)(1 − α) + β ∈ (0, 1), however, H
is increasing. Next we use (31) to characterize the optimal choice of e. It is clear
that it satisfies
$ ∞
′ 1
(32) π (e) ∆Y (w)F (dw) = 1,
1 − β(1 − α) w̄
if the solution is interior. We assume that the distribution of w has sufficient
mass in the tail to make search attractive – that is, we assume that the solution
is interior. It is being claimed that it is possible to make assumptions about the
deep parameters of the model, F (w), α, β, z, π(e), that will guarantee that the
optimal choice of e is e > 0. We focus on this case only because the other is
trivial.
From (31) it is clear that the optimal Q satisfies
/ $ ∞ 0
−1 π(ē)
Q̄ = (1 − β) ∆Y (w)F (dw) + 1 − ē + z .
1 − β(1 − α) w̄
Using this equation in equation (30), we obtain another, more familiar character-
ization of the optimal reservation wage,
)∞
w̄ − T (w̄) = (1 + z) − β(1 − α)ē + β(1−α)π(ē)
1−β(1−α) w̄
{[w − T (w)]
(33)
− [w̄ − T (w̄)]} F (dw).
Then equations (33) and (32) summarize the determination of the endogenous
variables, e and w̄.
5. SEARCH, MATCHING, AND UNEMPLOYMENT 69
From (32), after we substitute into the expression for (∂ w̄/∂t), we get
π ′′ (ē) ∂e π ′ (ē)
π ′ (ē) ∂t
=
1 )∞
[1−β(1−α)+β(1−α)π(ē)[1−F (w̄)]2
· w̄ + w̄ (w − w̄)F (dw) .
where yt = w + φϵt if the worker has accepted a job that pays w, and yt = c + ϵt
if the worker remains unemployed. We assume that 0 < φ < 1 to reflect the fact
that an employed worker has less time to engage in the collection of nonhuman
wealth. Assume 1 > prob{w ≥ c + (1 − φ)ϵ} > 0.
Analyze the worker’s problem. Write down Bellman’s equation and show that
the reservation wage increases with the level of nonhuman wealth.
Solution
If the worker accepts a job that pays w, her total utility is given by
∞
! β
w + θϵt + E β j (w + φϵt+j ) = w + φϵ + (w + φEϵ).
j=1
1−β
5. SEARCH, MATCHING, AND UNEMPLOYMENT 71
Then let v(w, ϵ) be the optimal value of the objective function for an unemployed
worker who has an offer w in hand and nonhuman wealth equal to ϵ. Then
&
β
v(w, ϵ) = max w + φϵ + 1−β
(w + φEϵ)
'
))
c+ϵ+β v(w′ , ϵ′ )dF (w ′ )dG(ϵ′ ) .
The second term in the bracketed expression does not depend on w. Therefore,
for each ϵ, the optimal strategy is to choose a reservation wage. To see how the
reservation wage w̄(ϵ) varies with ϵ, write the indifference condition :
β
w̄(ϵ) + φϵ + (w̄(ϵ) + φE(ϵ)) = c + ϵ + βQ,
1−β
))
where Q ≡ β v(w′ , ϵ′ )dF (dw ′ )dG(ϵ′ ). Rearanging gives :
w̄(ϵ) β
= c + (1 − φ)ϵ + βQ − φE(ϵ).
1−β 1−β
Since 0 < φ < 1, the above equation implies that w̄(ϵ) is an increasing function
of ϵ.
Solution
A natural choice for the state variable in this problem is the vector (w, a, R, s),
where s = E if the worker is employed and s = U if the worker is unemployed.
72 5. SEARCH, MATCHING, AND UNEMPLOYMENT
subject to a′ ≤ R(a + z − c), where the first term in brackets reflects the value
of accepting the job, whereas the second represents the value of remaining unem-
ployed. In each case the asset position is chosen optimally. It is possible to argue
that the optimal strategy is to set a reservation wage w̄(a, R) that depends on
both the asset position and the rate of interest R.
d. Write the Bellman equations for this problem. [Hint: At the very beginning
of a period, let v e (w) denote the value of a worker who was employed in the
previous period with wage w (before any wage draw in the current period). Let
v1u (w′ ) be the value of an unemployed worker who has drawn wage offer w ′ and
who is entitled to unemployment compensation, if she rejects the offer. Similarly,
let v+u
(w′ ) be the value of an unemployed worker who has drawn wage offer w ′
but who is not eligible for unemployment compensation.]
e. Characterize the three reservation wages, w̄ e , w̄1u , and w̄+
u
, associated with
the value functions in part d. How are they related to γ? (Hint: Two of the
reservation wages are straightforward to characterize, while the remaining one
depends on the actual parameterization of the model.)
Solution
a. Let vu1 (w) (v+
u
(w)) be the value function of an unemployed worker with wage
w in hand in the first (after the first) period of unemployment and who behaves
optimally. The Bellman equation are :
# $ B %
u w + ′ ′
v1 (w) = max ,γ + β v (w )dF (w )
{A,R} 1−β 0
# $ B %
u w + ′ ′
v+ (w) = max ,β v (w )dF (w ) .
{A,R} 1−β 0
In each of the two periods the problem is a standard one, leading to a reservation
wage policy. If the unemployed is in her fist period of unemployment then the
optimal policy is accept for w ≥ w 1 and reject otherwise. The )associated value
w w1 B
function is v1u (w) = 1−β for w ≥ w 1 and v1u (w) = 1−β = γ + β 0 v1u (w′ )dF (w ′ )
for w < w 1 . After one (or more) period(s) of unemployment the optimal policy
is to accept when w ≥ w + and to reject otherwise.
b. To show that w 1 > w+ , just write the two indifference conditions satisfied by
the two reservation wages :
w1
)B u ′
1−β
= γ+ β 0
v+ (w )dF (w ′ )
w + ) B u
1−β
= β 0 v+ (w′ )dF (w ′ ).
Clearly, w 1 > w+ . Note that w 1 − w+ = (1 − β)γ. This equality has the
following interpretation. Suppose that an unemployed worker in the first period
of unemployment receive an offer w. If he accepts it, her payoff is :
w
.
1−β
If, on the other hand, she rejects it, then her payoff is made of two terms. The
first term is the unemployment compensation, γ. The second term is the option
w+
value of waiting, which is equal to 1−β . Thus, the worker accepts whenever :
w ≥ γ(1 − β) + w + .
74 5. SEARCH, MATCHING, AND UNEMPLOYMENT
in term of “average payoff” per period, the worker accepts whenever the wage
exceed the reservation wage w + plus the annuity value of receiving unemployment
compensation today.
c. The workers probability of finding a job is determined by P [w > w i ], i = +, 1.
Since w1 > w+ , the probability of accepting a job is higher after one period of
unemployment: P [w > w + ] ≥ P [w > w 1 ].
d. v1u (w) and v+u
are defined as in question a. Let v e (w) be the value of an
employed worker with wage w in hand and who behaves optimally. The three
value functions are solution of the following system of Bellman equations :
# $ B %
(34) e
v (w) = max w + βv (w),e
v1u (w′ )dF (w ′ )
stay,quit 0
# $ B %
u e u ′ ′
(35) v1 (w) = max w + βv (w), γ + β v+ (w )dF (w )
accept,reject 0
# $ B %
u e u ′ ′
(36) v+ (w) = max w + βv (w), β v+ (w )dF (w ) .
accept,reject 0
)B )B
e. To simplify notations, define first Q1 ≡ 0 v1u (w′ )dF (w ′ ) and Q+ ≡ 0
u
v+ (w′ )dF (w ′ ).
The characterization goes in several steps.
Since v e (w) is increasing, it follows from the Bellman equations (35) and (36)
that unemployed workers have reservation wage policies. Let w 1 and w+ be the
corresponding reservation wages.
5. SEARCH, MATCHING, AND UNEMPLOYMENT 75
Step 3 : Q1 ≥ Q+
Step 4 : w+ = 0
This is an intuitive fact. After the first period of unemployment a worker does not
receive any benefit. Accepting an offer and quitting is as least as good as rejecting
an offer and drawing again next period. Let’s prove it formally. Assume w + > 0.
Then w+ + βv+ u
(w+ ) = βQ+ < Q1 = we + βv e (we ). Since w + v e (w) is weakly in-
creasing this implies that w + < we . Thus v e (w+ ) = Q1 . Thus w+ + βQ1 = βQ+ ,
implying that w + = β(Q+ − Q1 ) < 0. A contradiction.
The Bellman equation (35) implies that v1u (w) ≥ γ + βQ+ for all w. Integrating
with respect to dF (w ′ ) gives Q1 ≥ γ + βQ+ . From the indifference conditions
defining w e and w1 , this is equivalent to :
we + βv e (we ) ≥ w1 + βv e (w1 ).
Since v e is weakly increasing, it implies that w e ≥ w1 . Thus v e (w1 ) = Q1 . Using
this equality to rewrite the indifference condition defining w 1 gives :
Note that w1 is strictly less than γ. This reflect the fact that, when an agent
reject, she receives unemployment compensation this period but also loose the
right to receive it next period. On the other hand,if she accepts, she keeps the
right to receive unemployment compensation next period.
Lastly, we cannot tell whether or not w e is smaller or greater than gamma.
76 5. SEARCH, MATCHING, AND UNEMPLOYMENT
Step 6 : Dependence on γ
First note that the value functions are weakly increasing in γ. To see why
this is the case consider the optimization problem when the compensation is
γ ′ = γ + ∆γ > γ. A posible decision rule for the agents is to use the same reser-
vation wage policy as when the compensation is γ. Payoffs are the same as before
except for an additional ∆γ in the first period of unemployment. Therefore, the
value of using this decision rule has increased. Now, under the optimal decision
rule, the value is necessarily even larger.
)B
Since v1u (w, γ) is weakly increasing in γ, Q1 = 0 v1u (w′ , γ)dF (w ′ ) is also weakly
increasing in γ. Thus we = (1 − β)Q1 is weakly increasing in γ.
Solution
a. The Bellman equations for the even periods V e (w) and for the odd periods
V o (w) are:
# $ B %
o w e ′ 2 ′
V (w) = max ,c + β V (w )dF (w )
{A,R} 1−β 0
# $ B %
e w o ′ ′
V (w) = max ,c + β V (w )dF (w ) .
{A,R} 1−β 0
b. The workers optimal policy will be a reservation wage in each period below
which the worker refuses the best offer outstanding and above which she accepts.
For the odd periods, this reservation wage obeys the equation
5. SEARCH, MATCHING, AND UNEMPLOYMENT 77
$ w̄e $ B
w̄o w̄e ′ w′
= c+β 2
dF (w ) + β dF 2 (w′ )
1−β 0 1 − β w̄ e 1 − β
$ w̄e o $ B o
w̄ − β w̄ e
2 ′ (w̄ − βw′ ) 2 ′
c = dF (w ) + dF (w )
0 1−β w̄e 1−β
$ B
5 6
o e 2 e o
c(1 − β) = (w̄ − β w̄ ) F (w̄ ) + w̄ 1 − F (w̄ ) − β2 e
w′ dF 2 (w′ ),
w̄e
and
$ w̄o $ B
w̄e w̄o ′ w′
= c+β dF (w ) + β dF (w′ )
1−β 0 1 − β w̄o 1 − β
$ w̄o e $ B e
w̄ − β w̄ o
w̄ − βw′
c = dF (w′ ) + dF (w′ )
0 1 − β w̄ o 1 − β
$ B
5 6
e o o e 2
c(1 − β) = (w̄ − β w̄ ) F (w̄ ) + w̄ 1 − F (w̄ ) − β o
w′ dF (w′ ).
w̄o
Equating the two expressions for c(1 − β):
$ B $ B
′ ′
o e 2 e
w̄ − β w̄ F (w̄ ) − β 2 e o o
w dF (w ) = w̄ − β w̄ F (w̄ ) − β w′ dF (w′ )
w̄e w̄o
/ $ B 0 / $ B 0
o o o ′ ′ e e 2 e ′ 2 ′
w̄ + β w̄ F (w̄ ) + w dF (w ) = w̄ + β w̄ F (w̄ ) + w dF (w ) .
w̄o w̄e
)B )B
For a given w̄, we know that w̄F 2 (w̄) + w̄ w′ dF 2 (w′ ) ≥ w̄F (w̄) + w̄ w′ dF (w′ ).
)B
Furthermore, using Leibnitz rule, we know that w̄F (w̄)+ w̄ w′ dF (w′ ) and w̄F 2 (w̄)+
)B ′ 2 ′
w̄
w dF (w ) are increasing in w̄. Using these two facts, the above equality can-
not hold for w̄ o < w̄e , because both terms on the left hand side would be less
than the corresponding terms on the right hand side. We conclude that w̄ o ≥ w̄e .
The intuition is that in odd periods, the unemployed worker’s outside option (re-
ject and two draws next period) is better than his outside option in even periods
(reject and sample once next period). That makes him want a higher reservation
wage in odd periods.
Solution
a. Let vUe (w), (vUo (w)) be the value an uemployed worker who has just received
an offer w at the start of an even (odd) period and proceeds optimally. Similarly,
let vEe (w), (vEo (w)) be the value an employed with wage w the beginning of an
even (odd) period. The Bellman equation for vUe is :
(37) # / $ 0 %
B $ B
vUe (w) = max w + β π vUo (w′ )dF (w ′ ) + (1 − π)vEo (w) ,c + β vUo (w′ )dF (w ′ ) .
0 0
Similarly, the Bellman equation for vUo is :
# $ B %
(38) vUo (w) e
= max w + vE (w), c + β vUe (w′ )dF (w ′ ) .
0
Bellman equations for employed workers are :
/ $ B 0 $ B
e
w +β π vUo (w′ )dF (w ′ ) + (1 − π)vEo (we ) =c+β vUo (w′ )dF (w ′ ),
0 0
which implies that:
1 + β(1 − π) β 2π
we + Qo = c + βQo ,
1 − (1 − π)β 2 1 − (1 − π)β 2
)B
where Qo =≡ 0
vUo (w′ )dF (w ′ ). Some simple algebra yields:
(1 − β) β 2π
wo + Qo = c + βQe .
1 − (1 − π)β 2 1 − (1 − π)β 2
Some simple algebra yields:
n-state Markov chain. Each period the worker works at either job A or job B.
At the end of the period, before observing next period’s wage on either job, he
chooses which job to go to next period. We use lowercase letters (i, j = 1, . . . , n)
to denote states for job A, and uppercase letters (I, J = 1, . . . n) for job B. There
is no option of being unemployed.
Let wa (i) be the wage on job A when state i occurs and wb (I) be the wage on
job B when state I occurs. Let A = [Aij ] be the matrix of one-step transition
probabilities between the states on job A, and let B = [Bij ] be the matrix for job
B. If the worker leaves a job and later decides to returns to it, he draws the wage
for his first new period on the job from the conditional distribution determined
by his last wage working at that job.
The worker’s objective
"∞ ist to maximize the expected discounted value of his life-
time earnings, E0 t=0 β yt , where β ∈ (0, 1) is the discount factor, and where yt
is his wage from whichever job he is working at in period t.
a. Consider a worker who has worked at both jobs before. Suppose that wa (i)
was the last wage the worker receives on job A and wb (I) the last wage on job B.
Write the Bellman equation for the worker.
b. Suppose that the worker is just entering the labor force. The first time
he works at job A, the probability distribution for his initial wage is π a =
(πa1 , . . . , πan ). Similarly, the probability distribution for his initial wage on job B
is πb = (πb1 , . . . , πbn ) Formulate the decision problem for a new worker, who must
decide which job to take initially. [Hint: Let va (i) be the expected discounted
present value of lifetime earnings for a worker who was last in state i on job A
and has never worked on job B; define vb (I) symmetrically.]
Solution
a. First we consider a worker who has worked at both jobs before. Suppose
that wa (i) was the last wage the worker receives at job A and wb (I) was the last
wage he received at job B.
Let v(i, I) be the optimum value, starting from next period, of a worker currently
active in job A at wage wa (i) who has also worked at job B (at some point in
the past) at a wage wB (I). Again, this worker is at the end of the current period
and has to decide where to go in the next period before having observed next
period’s wage on either job. Similarly, let v(I, i) be the optimum value, starting
from next period, of a worker currently active in job B at wage wb (I) who has
also worked at job A (at some point in the past) at a wage wA (i).
The Bellman equation for the first worker is given by:
& n n
'
! !
(45) v(i, I) = max Aij [wA (j) + βv(j, I)] , BIJ [wB (J) + βv(J, i)] ,
A,B
j=1 J=1
5. SEARCH, MATCHING, AND UNEMPLOYMENT 81
Notice how v(i, I) = v(I, i) by comparing the r.h.s of eq. (45) and eq. (46).
This implies we can let v(i, I) denote the optimum value of a worker whose last
wage at job A was wa (i) and at job B was wb (I). (Let’s agree on making the first
argument of the value function the last wage at A).
& n n
'
! !
(47) v(i, I) = max Aij [wA (j) + βv(j, I)] , BIJ [wB (J) + βv(i, J)] .
A,B
j=1 J=1
b. Next, we turn to consider the problem facing a worker who is just about to
enter the labor force. Working backwards, we first examine the case of a worker
who has only worked on one job. Let va (i) denote the optimum value of a worker
at job A, making a wage wa (i), who has never worked on job B before and let
vb (I) denote the same value for a worker earning a wage wb (I) at B, who has
never worked job A before. Then we know that the Bellman equation of a worker
who has only worked at A is:
& n n
'
! !
va (i) = max Aij [wa (j) + βva (j)] , πb (J) [wb (J) + βv(i, J)] ,
A,B
j=1 J=1
while the Bellman equationof a worker who has only worked at B is given by:
& n n
'
! !
vb (I) = max πa (j) [wa (j) + βv(j, J)] , BIJ [wb (J) + βvb (J)] ,
A,B
j=1 J=1
Finally, consider the problem facing a worker who is about to enter the labor
force; naturally, she starts at the job that yields the highest expected lifetime
utility:
& n n
'
! !
Q = max πa (i) [wa (i) + βva (i)] , πa (I) [wb (I) + βvb (I)] .
A,B
i=1 I=1
Now we have exhaustively described the worker’s problem, proceeding back-
wards, which is the only way to solve this type of problem.
and st ∈ (0, 1) is the fraction of time that the worker spends searching for a
new job offer. If the worker devotes st to searching at t, then with probability
π(st ) ∈ (0, 1) at the beginning of t + 1 the worker receives a new job offer to
begin working at new job-specific capital level µ′ drawn from the c. d. f. F (·).
That is, searching for a new job offer promises the prospect of instantaneously
reinitializing job-specific human capital at µ′ . Assume that π ′ (s) > 0, π ′′ (s) < 0.
While on a given job, job-specific human capital evolves according to
xt+1 = G(xt , φt ) = g(xt φt ) − δxt ,
′ ′′
where g (·) > 0, g (·) < 0, δ ∈ (0, 1) is a depreciation rate, and x0 = µ where
t is tenure on the job, and µ is the value of the “match” parameter drawn at
the" start of the current job. The worker is risk neutral and seeks to maximize
E0 ∞ τ
τ =0 β yτ , where yτ is his wage in period τ .
a. Formulate the worker’s Bellman equation.
b. Describe the worker’s decision rule for deciding whether to accept an offer µ ′
at the beginning of next period.
c. Assume that g(xφ) = A(xφ)α for A > 0, α ∈ (0, 1). Assume that π(s) =
s.5 . Assume that F is a discrete n-valued distribution with probabilities fi ; for
example, let fi = n−1 . Write a Matlab program to solve the Bellman equation.
Compute the optimal policies for φ, s and display them.
Solution
a. Let v(x) be the optimum value at the start of the current period of an employed
worker who has accumulated a total amount x of job-specific capital and who
proceeds optimally. We know the worker will accept the new draw µ′ at the start
of next period whenever µ′ exceeds next period’s capital on the old job x′ . This
means her Bellman equation is given by:
/ $ 0
′ ′ ′ ′
v(x) = max x(1 − φ − s) + β ((1 − π(s))v(x )) + π(s) max(v(µ ), v(x ))dF (µ )
φ,s
/ /$ 00
′ ′ ′ ′ ′
v(x) = max x(1−φ−s)+β ((1 − π(s))v(x )) + π(s) v(µ )dF (µ ) + F (x )v(x )
φ,s x′
,
where x′ = G(x, φ) = g(xφ) − δx
b. The question is answered in part a.
c. The matlab code is in zia.stanford.edu/public/sarg/webdocs/teaching/econ210/
in files jova.m and readjova.txt