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Lecture6 StockSimulationExcel

The document shows daily stock price simulations over 54 days using a lognormal random walk process. It lists the daily random numbers drawn from the standard normal distribution (Epsilon), the corresponding daily returns calculated from the drift and volatility parameters, and the resulting stock prices which increase or decrease exponentially based on the daily returns. The initial stock price is $100, with 20% annual drift and 40% annual volatility. The stock price fluctuates widely over the simulation period from a low of $75.07 to a high of $108.09 due to the combined effects of drift and volatility in the random walk process.

Uploaded by

Harry Kwong
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
38 views

Lecture6 StockSimulationExcel

The document shows daily stock price simulations over 54 days using a lognormal random walk process. It lists the daily random numbers drawn from the standard normal distribution (Epsilon), the corresponding daily returns calculated from the drift and volatility parameters, and the resulting stock prices which increase or decrease exponentially based on the daily returns. The initial stock price is $100, with 20% annual drift and 40% annual volatility. The stock price fluctuates widely over the simulation period from a low of $75.07 to a high of $108.09 due to the combined effects of drift and volatility in the random walk process.

Uploaded by

Harry Kwong
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Log-linearized return Return

Ln(1+0.1%) = 0.100% vs. 0.100%


12.000%
Ln(1+0.5%) = 0.499% vs. 0.500%
Ln(1+1%) = 0.995% vs. 1.000%
10.000%
Ln(1+5%) = 4.879% vs. 5.000%
Ln(1+10%) = 9.531% vs. 10.000%
8.000%

Log-
6.000% linearized
Original
4.000%

2.000%

0.000%
0.100% 0.500% 1.000% 5.000% 10.000%
Log-
linearized
Original

10.000%
# Rand() NORMSINV RAND() NORMSINV
1 0.210064 -0.80620057 Bin Frequency Bin Frequency
2 0.534191 0.08580889 0.1 6 -2 1
3 0.851113 1.04121956 0.2 8 -1.5 5
4 0.558661 0.14757601 0.3 3 -1 2
5 0.807857 0.87002712 0.4 8 -0.5 10
6 0.363794 -0.34833599 0.5 1 0 8
7 0.79229 0.81439341 0.6 7 0.5 8
8 0.259688 -0.64430751 0.7 1 1 9
9 0.109815 -1.22751041 0.8 7 1.5 6
10 0.03574 -1.8024212 0.9 8 2 0
11 0.303455 -0.51449041 1 1 More 1
12 0.187631 -0.88665935
13 0.773629 0.75085206 FREQUENCY function
14 0.506367 0.01596066 (1) Specify Bins as in E3:E11
15 0.341501 -0.40836941 (2) Select output cells, (2) key in FREQUENCY(data_array,bins_array) function
16 0.385118 -0.29206687 (3) Press CONTROL+SHIFT+ENTER (in Microsoft Excel) to enter this formula a
17 0.182868 -0.90449061 FREQUENCY table can also generate using Data Analysis ToolPak
18 0.662391 0.41899636
19 0.495453 -0.01139695
20 0.8017 0.84770989
21 0.321929 -0.46231247
22 0.173946 -0.93868741
23 0.70793 0.54734769
24 0.843936 1.01076496
25 0.516969 0.04254819
26 0.866867 1.11170176
27 0.847632 1.02632946
28 0.796388 0.82879033
29 0.256269 -0.65489042
30 0.559943 0.15082572
31 0.889099 1.22175039
32 0.780049 0.77235926
33 0.347083 -0.39320868
34 0.994748 2.55876071
35 0.526689 0.06694867
36 0.7759 0.75841817
37 0.055896 -1.59019214
38 0.858564 1.07388805
39 0.767035 0.72911611
40 0.185975 -0.89282762
41 0.323418 -0.45816108
42 0.507612 0.0190805
43 0.055473 -1.59395619
44 0.164106 -0.97772088
45 0.059414 -1.55970987
46 0.046967 -1.67500174
47 0.115826 -1.19611207
48 0.009606 -2.34138173
49 0.314727 -0.48249441
50 0.163522 -0.98008459
RAND()
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1

rray,bins_array) function;
el) to enter this formula as an array formula.

NORMSINV
12

10

0
-2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 More
Initial stock price 100
Time (T) (Annual) 1
Time increment (Dt) (Annual) 0.004
Drift term (rr) (Annual) 20.00%
Volatility (Vol) (Annual) 40.00%

Day number Epsilon (ε) Daily return ≈ ln(S(t+δt)/St) Stock price = S(t+δt) = St exp[ dail
0 ln(S(t+δt)/St) ~ N((r - σ2/2)δt, σ √δt) 100
1 0.159419354 0.0045130261 100.4523225133
2 2.5984369398 0.0662158327 107.3290173208
3 -1.4671179477 -0.0366354745 103.4681225193
4 0.8926774915 0.0230631527 105.8821542179
5 -4.0389429056 -0.1016980714 95.6435874316
6 1.3976880858 0.0358390225 99.1335245366
7 0.2489141408 0.006777085 99.8076425576
8 -0.146537616 -0.003227141 99.4860683805
9 -0.3942809376 -0.0094946064 98.5459573727
10 0.4917826101 0.0129212253 99.8275539577
11 1.0157679345 0.026177122 102.4752554253
12 1.6117249361 0.0412537741 106.7911580203
13 -2.4538842126 -0.0615989058 100.4114482568
14 -0.9495738255 -0.0235425288 98.075118314
15 -1.9272333257 -0.0482755751 93.4529520779
16 -0.9096871289 -0.0225334663 91.3706816253
17 0.7600641739 0.0197082717 93.1893019072
18 0.2375147219 0.0064887 93.7959453649
19 -0.5402216783 -0.0131866476 92.5672105425
20 -2.3507045965 -0.058988645 87.2647268615
21 -0.8200374622 -0.0202654892 85.5140634238
22 0.8653782679 0.0223725309 87.4487911305
23 0.0943375586 0.0028665724 87.6998290616
24 -2.1711869096 -0.0544471669 83.0524871613
25 0.1608531987 0.0045492998 83.4311785629
26 -0.2829499255 -0.0066781298 82.8758705939
27 2.0725693849 0.0529123189 87.3791129884
28 -0.5143693753 -0.0125326303 86.2908564737
29 -1.0073425007 -0.0250039735 84.1599932267
30 -0.6680640673 -0.0164208326 82.789300821
31 -0.7762420211 -0.0191575424 81.2183570358
32 -0.9391135006 -0.0232779011 79.349598916
33 -0.1213317486 -0.0025894774 79.1443907266
34 1.9023408642 0.0486058401 83.0862940505
35 0.474826993 0.0124922783 84.1307413424
36 -0.3375705576 -0.0080599347 83.4553784106
37 0.3652667575 0.0097205993 84.2705703582
38 -0.4953247128 -0.0120508342 83.2611341779
39 -1.0955921337 -0.0272365322 81.0239938813
40 0.7728576025 0.0200319226 82.6634259253
41 -1.292858576 -0.0322270223 80.0418987439
42 1.3972628802 0.0358282655 82.9616536982
43 -0.8156031697 -0.0201533095 81.3064368884
44 -1.2461751572 -0.0310460149 78.8209774757
45 -1.1074983264 -0.0275377377 76.680039655
46 0.4132358381 0.0109341317 77.5230698077
47 -0.6208253 -0.0152257758 76.3516613575
48 2.1170704405 0.0540381165 80.5910747007
49 -0.3953757656 -0.0095223036 79.8273042178
50 -0.6606126037 -0.0162323238 78.5419816734
51 -0.6833749492 -0.0168081707 77.2328673681
52 -1.1365493664 -0.0282726774 75.0798663915
53 0.9384445829 0.0242209787 76.9205761458
54 1.6897948039 0.0432288029 80.3186793744
55 -0.9280226722 -0.0229973229 78.4926422299
56 0.3862495312 0.0102514261 79.3014423462
57 0.4645909711 0.0122333252 80.2775208485
58 -1.3639540018 -0.0340256102 77.5919769472
59 -1.8177908309 -0.0455068747 74.1401452836
60 -0.2134002753 -0.0049186474 73.7763714229
61 3.3758106432 0.0858820047 80.3924699591
62 -0.084109179 -0.0016478126 80.2601073168
63 1.6268629245 0.0416367383 83.6724222734
64 -1.3321083484 -0.0332199718 80.9384887829
65 -0.254943795 -0.0059696245 80.4567557073
66 -0.8027080796 -0.0198270866 78.8772429543
67 0.9782518705 0.0252280323 80.8924738593
68 -0.8458000509 -0.0209172368 79.2180005541
69 1.4010843803 0.0359249427 82.1156398111
70 -1.1738748325 -0.0292169453 79.7511809844
71 1.2557905791 0.032249268 82.3650188361
72 -0.0510838261 -0.0008123299 82.2981384337
73 -1.8354929814 -0.0459547076 78.6017355947
74 0.7065732169 0.0183550456 80.0577961849
75 1.6195490274 0.0414517097 83.4460684047
76 0.8153390807 0.0211066285 85.2260522174
77 -0.155766772 -0.0034606223 84.9316267848
78 0.8345359362 0.0215922748 86.7854357603
79 -0.6795679638 -0.0167118607 85.3471414069
80 -0.268116391 -0.0063028678 84.8109013587
81 -0.5930509658 -0.0145231346 83.5880823017
82 0.1582833418 0.004484287 83.96375694
83 -0.0806038635 -0.0015591344 83.832948161
84 1.1594055768 0.0298108988 86.3697073707
85 0.8952725828 0.0231288039 88.3906159064
86 0.1186522093 0.0034816898 88.6989009813
87 0.1498687292 0.0042714123 89.0785808631
88 -1.5467338696 -0.0386496157 85.701411484
89 -0.239584624 -0.0055810648 85.2244385965
90 -0.0467060663 -0.0007015804 85.1646677703
91 0.25116654 0.0068340667 85.7486821145
92 1.388117597 0.0355969061 88.8560480952
93 0.2314023083 0.0063340668 89.4206544791
94 3.2219514895 0.0819896417 97.0611635331
95 0.9888453036 0.0254960273 99.5676546145
96 -0.5231267563 -0.0127541764 98.3058151467
97 -1.2611059889 -0.0314237384 95.2647106095
98 -0.2590747978 -0.0060741316 94.6878140705
99 -0.0001170401 0.0004770391 94.7329946352
100 2.0592790443 0.0525760969 99.8469435175
101 1.6014609508 0.0409941135 104.0251359908
102 1.6493493289 0.0422056043 108.5095477114
103 -1.474557915 -0.0368236924 104.5864993537
104 0.7266628206 0.0188632768 106.5780681472
105 -1.0785664402 -0.0268058125 103.7591074995
106 1.2651914488 0.0324870932 107.1852913449
107 0.1543002489 0.0043835218 107.6561717137
108 1.5156422457 0.0388230529 111.9179044315
109 0.2345215875 0.006412979 112.6379379162
110 0.093580566 0.0028474219 112.959122701
111 -1.3438312876 -0.0335165413 109.2358674604
112 1.5123901567 0.0387407808 113.5507923859
113 -0.1204790426 -0.0025679055 113.2595787486
114 -0.5069053635 -0.0123438041 111.8701179597
115 -1.544589724 -0.0385953726 107.6347084195
116 0.0319782331 0.0012889924 107.7735381983
117 -0.9213150744 -0.0228276326 105.3411914448
118 -0.4171918675 -0.0100742122 104.2852895509
119 1.276741587 0.0327792912 107.7603309706
120 1.4075483673 0.0360884701 111.7202605815
121 -1.6098877194 -0.0402472958 107.3131051482
122 -0.3056529834 -0.0072524768 106.5376347813
123 -0.740305954 -0.0182484238 104.6111222368
124 0.1148808899 0.0033862822 104.9659654757
125 0.9156663092 0.0236447289 107.477431737
126 -0.557784317 -0.0136309511 106.0223517149
127 -2.1833379174 -0.0547545658 100.373213249
128 -1.7554055466 -0.043928638 96.0593983934
129 -0.5048327312 -0.0122913701 94.8859233538
130 1.1743562124 0.0301891233 97.7941233293
131 1.6971883608 0.0434158467 102.133454268
132 -0.6963923755 -0.0171374884 100.3980560351
133 0.3909124262 0.0103693891 101.4445388559
134 0.1930659092 0.0053642241 101.9901722368
135 -1.3036449586 -0.0324998986 98.728786395
136 -0.1724964226 -0.0038838527 98.3460819991
137 0.3326875614 0.0088964035 99.224911848
138 -1.072496277 -0.0266522481 96.6152756872
139 -0.1224518176 -0.0026178132 96.3626857063
140 1.4480506808 0.0371131065 100.0061971428
141 -0.9006226201 -0.0223041503 97.8003352707
142 2.08559794 0.0532419182 103.1485232979
143 -0.8936088526 -0.0221267145 100.8912504826
144 0.7308417812 0.0189689971 102.8233231275
145 -0.0325773357 -0.0003441486 102.7879427084
146 0.6079859125 0.0158609622 104.4312561933
147 0.7902675831 0.0204723642 106.5912455063
148 -0.7137337497 -0.0175761943 104.7341452465
149 -1.6215880999 -0.0405432946 100.5728051661
150 -0.7830518503 -0.019329819 98.6474196742
151 -0.5600105451 -0.0136872707 97.3064040953
152 0.8945509904 0.0231105489 99.5813953999
153 -0.4379750418 -0.0105999895 98.5314084089
154 0.9695989789 0.0250091295 101.0266652091
155 1.3303646294 0.0341358588 104.5348337046
156 0.3869485523 0.0102691101 105.6138441777
157 -0.7780378036 -0.0192029725 103.6050931532
158 -0.3645503002 -0.0087424742 102.7032761032
159 0.7662124748 0.0198638127 104.7637514453
160 1.2669154005 0.0325307061 108.2278292245
161 1.1949887067 0.0307110887 111.603188885
162 0.0949427461 0.0028818826 111.9252800648
163 -0.639373947 -0.0156950236 110.1823238023
164 1.2216786426 0.0313862966 113.695381448
165 -1.256659716 -0.0313112556 110.1905923114
166 0.7490854794 0.0194305302 112.352590308
167 1.314036421 0.0337227842 116.2060418365
168 -1.188741934 -0.0295930565 112.817535295
169 0.3665743369 0.0097536787 113.9233051806
170 1.009992669 0.026031018 116.9277799057
171 -0.2256193248 -0.0052277676 116.3181036572
172 -0.4343834765 -0.0105091293 115.1021024133
173 -0.9292989796 -0.0230296112 112.4816357239
174 -1.7828769402 -0.0446236154 107.5726415768
175 -1.8524662483 -0.0463841011 102.6969331115
176 -1.4257709932 -0.0355894701 99.1062774381
177 0.3350764647 0.0089568386 99.9979436585
178 -0.5735656114 -0.0140301898 98.6047497747
179 -0.6473332025 -0.0158963786 97.0496840436
180 -2.4075330017 -0.0604263026 91.3589955459
181 1.5615751076 0.0399850726 95.0860074881
182 0.6230716934 0.0162426056 96.6430630913
183 -0.4842406865 -0.011770428 95.5122012914
184 -1.0769999944 -0.0267661842 92.9896147313
185 1.2633887143 0.0324414873 96.055803075
186 0.938983985 0.0242346246 98.412116265
187 -0.4588193749 -0.0111273141 97.3231237558
188 -1.7012482497 -0.0425585547 93.2680924395
189 -0.6235125398 -0.0152937582 91.8525250498
190 -0.2801115653 -0.0066063244 91.247717453
191 -1.4340777289 -0.0357996157 88.0388647805
192 0.5412051124 0.0141715267 89.2953923303
193 -0.5694535572 -0.0139261621 88.060469051
194 0.7555238351 0.0195934092 89.8028880739
195 0.9604427934 0.0247774943 92.055773797
196 1.4572889484 0.0373468183 95.5587697796
197 -1.2301996731 -0.0306418635 92.6750774752
198 -0.9670281391 -0.0239840918 90.4787931286
199 0.4561697554 0.0120202834 91.5729366486
200 0.6158291406 0.0160593819 93.055413376
201 -0.1019881598 -0.002100119 92.8601909981
202 1.8973156183 0.0484787104 97.4728375325
203 1.1256317191 0.0289564803 100.336569538
204 -1.030117897 -0.0255801505 97.8024941809
205 1.3881255075 0.0355971063 101.3466872212
206 0.5412327873 0.0141722268 102.7932215545
207 0.7878767291 0.0204118798 104.9129850209
208 0.4504513858 0.0118756188 106.1663189702
209 -1.2508847802 -0.03116516 102.9086551312
210 1.2424390275 0.0319114974 106.2455844486
211 -0.657607789 -0.0161563074 104.5428401983
212 0.2237866972 0.0061414054 105.1868557161
213 -1.7588508822 -0.0440157988 100.6573875713
214 -0.337042893 -0.0080465857 99.8506892133
215 -0.6584081909 -0.0161765561 98.2484432872
216 0.1555471448 0.0044150661 98.6831756372
217 1.072533083 0.0276131793 101.4461029034
218 1.3490187804 0.0346077756 105.0183846979
219 -1.2004987656 -0.0298904834 101.9257843226
220 -1.3239373792 -0.0330132608 98.6158188169
221 -0.6960573935 -0.017129014 96.9410119238
222 -1.3625012945 -0.0339888592 93.7014636556
223 0.3381367731 0.0090342589 94.551822335
224 -0.8549486204 -0.0211486794 92.5731728196
225 -0.562073128 -0.0137394504 91.309966061
226 -0.6067510932 -0.0148697234 89.9622569835
227 1.4907242736 0.0381926725 93.4646124388
228 -2.0554400419 -0.051518977 88.771345406
229 0.9997490807 0.0257718735 91.0888846796
230 0.780577948 0.0202272337 92.950121208
231 0.5640250293 0.01474883 94.3311862559
232 -1.7515745962 -0.0438317217 90.2857938601
233 0.7392379141 0.0191814043 92.0343181426
234 -0.24535135 -0.0057269527 91.508748345
235 0.3696642576 0.0098318482 92.4128858548
236 -0.8758860338 -0.0216783587 90.4310848749
237 1.1388259502 0.0292902709 93.1190086902
238 0.6118959766 0.0159598798 94.6170997552
239 1.1707299925 0.0300973864 97.5081149353
240 -1.4241471033 -0.0355483886 94.1027448899
241 0.9438062318 0.0243566189 96.4229105791
242 0.3226908636 0.0086435049 97.2599547629
243 -0.0653691336 -0.0011737228 97.1458655036
244 1.4753592622 0.0378039651 100.888665004
245 -0.0912284679 -0.001827918 100.7044172467
246 -0.3788671772 -0.0091046657 99.7916984991
247 -0.2178391161 -0.0050309422 99.2909130033
248 0.8243870181 0.0213355252 101.4320972026
249 -1.1502798496 -0.0286200342 98.5702554622
250 0.6485815013 0.0168879583 100.2490415653
Daily return ≈ ln(S(t+δt)/St)
0.1

0.05
ce = S(t+δt) = St exp[ daily return ]
0
1 1 3 2 5 37 4 9 61 7 3 8 5 97 0 9 2 1 3 3 4 5 5 7 6 9 8 1 9 3 0 5 1 7 2 9 4 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
-0.05

-0.1

-0.15

Stock price = S(t+δt) = St exp[ daily return ]


140

120

100

80

60

40

20

0
1 13 25 37 49 61 7 3 8 5 97 0 9 2 1 3 3 4 5 5 7 6 9 8 1 9 3 0 5 1 7 2 9 4 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
1 7 22 9 2 4 1

urn ]

1 7 22 9 2 4 1
Initial stock price 100
Time (T) (Annual) 1 <= T is delta t in this case because time increment = 1yr
Drift term (rr) (Annual) 20%
Volatility (Vol) (Annual) 40.00%
ln(ST/S0) ~ N((r - σ2/2)T, σ √T)
Simulated number Epsilon (ε) Stock price Ln (Stock price)
1 1.888033417 239.938718891 5.4803835528
2 -0.0312163206 111.350586153 4.7126836577
3 0.6977061432 149.045651254 5.0042526433
4 -0.1571997946 105.87829437 4.6622902681
5 -0.5794725695 89.4232895884 4.4933811582
6 -0.3642623204 97.4622630876 4.5794652578
7 -0.2951717 100.193318622 4.607101506
8 -1.1795825333 70.339757019 4.2533371727
9 -2.6362552523 39.2781382346 3.6706680851
10 -0.8919153407 78.9175826029 4.3684040497
11 0.8266536036 156.934987531 5.0558316274
12 -1.8997422273 52.7346795489 3.9652732951
13 -0.2055270674 103.851226341 4.642959359
14 -1.0916042648 72.8591758478 4.2885284801
15 1.4040411992 197.707104578 5.2867866657
16 -0.0363493642 111.122193737 4.7106304403
17 1.0729975288 173.186525804 5.1543691975
18 -0.0592841348 110.107430715 4.7014565321
19 0.5767368854 142.005379426 4.9558649402
20 -0.1292500998 107.068642348 4.673470146
21 -0.6393211058 87.3079691811 4.4694417437
22 -0.3255593907 98.9828328648 4.5949464297
23 -0.9277098354 77.7957071658 4.3540862518
24 0.3372777932 129.034692625 4.8600813033
25 0.4016222477 132.398866871 4.8858190851
26 0.2453140409 124.37432923 4.8232958023
27 0.469889544 136.064087122 4.9131260036
28 0.7587451702 152.729480336 5.0286682541
29 -0.2597904845 101.621384685 4.6212539922
30 0.4810046391 136.670380035 4.9175720416
31 0.4244096121 133.611192103 4.8949340308
32 -0.6834603475 85.7800144008 4.451786047
33 -1.1642354815 70.7728882756 4.2594759934
34 -0.0196779605 111.865695207 4.7172990018
35 1.5874831299 212.759716616 5.3601634379
36 -0.1585133957 105.822676246 4.6617648277
37 0.2522671741 124.720727227 4.8260770556
38 -0.5221944111 91.4957407071 4.5162924215
39 -0.6708618752 86.2133842998 4.4568254359
40 -0.7579643821 83.2613481059 4.4219844332
41 0.8992836131 161.561137471 5.0848836312
42 -1.1635450549 70.7924363682 4.259752164
43 0.0877550829 116.7777107 4.7602722191
44 0.2682856311 125.522426328 4.8324844384
45 -1.5363734484 60.9845654421 4.1106208066
46 1.6066008109 214.392942313 5.3678105103
47 -0.4128896958 95.5848474174 4.5600143077
48 0.7492966624 152.153343472 5.0248888509
49 0.4925187082 137.301284653 4.9221776693
50 -2.0656986939 49.3476777688 3.8988907084
51 -1.6327827535 58.677543197 4.0720570846
52 -0.7214683701 84.4857463564 4.436582838
53 0.6018815817 143.440859117 4.9659228187
54 -0.8167509605 81.3263280032 4.3984698018
55 0.8842828585 160.594624469 5.0788833294
56 0.3443747793 129.401516012 4.8629200977
57 -0.6153227724 88.1501029756 4.479041077
58 1.0761630824 173.405957191 5.155635419
59 -0.3627339435 97.5218649323 4.5800766086
60 -0.2557721708 101.784854667 4.6228613177
61 -1.0953102832 72.7512488853 4.2870460727
62 1.4177143431 198.791378033 5.2922559232
63 -0.1703913742 105.321084977 4.6570136363
64 0.2026733473 122.270955026 4.8062395249
65 -0.0342154772 111.217083109 4.7114839951
66 1.1371575044 177.688707985 5.1800331878
67 0.1321788192 118.871337851 4.7780417137
68 -0.5623288164 90.0386173018 4.5002386594
69 0.1633305386 120.361823429 4.7905024014
70 0.1615438915 120.275836515 4.7897877426
71 -2.1748737855 47.239040114 3.8552206718
72 -2.1534635379 47.6453372343 3.8637847708
73 0.9253684274 163.255679372 5.095317557
74 -1.2979126214 67.0879964441 4.2060051374
75 -0.1376814018 106.708159335 4.6700976253
76 1.2752331767 187.778571345 5.2352634567
77 -0.3064931339 99.7406116374 4.6025729324
78 0.0291671938 114.072825374 4.7368370635
79 -0.5720443976 89.6893853414 4.496352427
80 0.3709738079 130.785648119 4.8735597091
81 0.2776069993 125.991316224 4.8362129857
82 0.2952548085 126.883851058 4.8432721094
83 -0.3809895824 96.8123291105 4.572774353
84 -0.0511769949 110.465072832 4.704699388
85 1.1747643569 180.381838446 5.1950759288
86 -0.6183544715 88.0432699308 4.4778283974
87 1.1706178066 180.082901479 5.1934173086
88 -2.2221914654 46.3533515886 3.8362935998
89 -1.3436880888 65.8707804211 4.1876949505
90 1.1264222937 176.927333566 5.1757391035
91 0.0821763453 116.517412353 4.7580407241
92 -0.554041002 90.3376019537 4.5035537852
93 -0.2037662352 103.924397939 4.6436636919
94 -1.3821869721 64.8641703895 4.1722953971
95 -0.390501264 96.4446897105 4.5689696804
96 0.4267448933 133.736058298 4.8958681433
97 0.9808314671 166.91801652 5.1175027728
98 -0.6453393879 87.0980443623 4.4670344308
99 0.8664612852 159.453875735 5.0717547001
100 -1.4940992618 62.0245628292 4.1275304813
101 -0.3900350779 96.4626758552 4.5691561548
102 0.2528692381 124.75076679 4.8263178812
103 1.7212122715 224.450477935 5.4136550946
104 1.2973451674 189.446801259 5.244108253
105 -0.8311442772 80.8594510353 4.3927124751
106 -0.0127695661 112.175247648 4.7200623596
107 -0.1647088518 105.560753028 4.6592866453
108 -1.1526232554 71.102385232 4.2641208838
109 -0.3737299038 97.0938682485 4.5756782245
110 0.6242909874 144.732408806 4.974886581
111 -0.4554424401 93.9716564756 4.5429932099
112 -0.936768366 77.5143313255 4.3504628396
113 0.4013767496 132.385866039 4.8857208858
114 -0.9249539576 77.8815126331 4.3551886029
115 -0.7258046544 84.3393316844 4.4348483242
116 -1.1104089927 72.3131930416 4.2810065889
117 -0.2612780449 101.560935493 4.620658968
118 -0.9444665054 77.2760119866 4.3473835838
119 -0.8327035563 80.8090337794 4.3920887635
120 1.974279147 248.360630408 5.5148818448
121 -1.1519139659 71.1225609647 4.2644045996
122 -0.575827607 89.5537624937 4.4948391432
123 -0.7718701565 82.7995083353 4.4164221234
124 0.8695778631 159.652779859 5.0730013312
125 1.0112808127 168.963465497 5.1296825111
126 -2.1564004664 47.5893977196 3.8626099994
127 -0.32892835 98.8495350465 4.593598846
128 -0.5537221341 90.3491249942 4.5036813324
129 1.0626709441 172.472631106 5.1502385636
130 0.6651913664 147.11972816 4.9912467326
131 -0.8115232269 81.4965668822 4.4005608952
132 -0.0157181296 112.0430233 4.7188829341
133 -0.787360048 82.2880722297 4.4102261668
134 1.0385411592 170.815948051 5.1405866497
135 2.3688462975 290.821217352 5.672708705
136 -0.6011111025 88.6526340503 4.484725745
137 0.8687772948 159.601662867 5.0726811039
138 -0.8038386154 81.7474600722 4.4036347398
139 -0.6105519786 88.3184819717 4.4809493946
140 -0.5303999794 91.1959231903 4.5130101942
141 -0.9222061172 77.9671620826 4.3562877391
142 -0.9672014042 76.5764527634 4.3382896243
143 -0.6863660912 85.6803704285 4.4506237495
144 0.2558229757 124.898246308 4.8274993763
145 -0.475772959 93.2105583606 4.5348610024
146 -0.844051627 80.4430543879 4.3875495352
147 -0.8678549915 79.6807630297 4.3780281894
148 -1.825783557 54.3180597207 3.9948567632
149 0.6889866667 148.526716724 5.0007648527
150 1.2078104542 182.782033224 5.2082943677
151 0.6094998249 143.878632732 4.9689701159
152 -1.8383603438 54.0454872502 3.9898260485
153 1.8359196136 234.988841826 5.4595380314
154 0.0962916486 117.177144513 4.7636868454
155 2.690727215 330.782504061 5.801461072
156 0.4367236644 134.270933669 4.8998596517
157 1.1634010407 179.563804624 5.1905306023
158 -0.5519202039 90.4142695952 4.5044021044
159 -0.3234574147 99.066091678 4.5957872201
160 0.3019403874 127.223621965 4.8459463409
161 -1.8314490305 54.1951040834 3.9925905738
162 -1.052235461 74.0156088664 4.3042760016
163 0.4824565651 136.749777196 4.918152812
164 0.4450022939 134.7163024 4.9031711036
165 0.5319253373 139.482663965 4.9379403209
166 -0.5518408538 90.4171393913 4.5044338445
167 0.8359347075 157.518682296 5.059544069
168 -0.4128241425 95.587353811 4.560040529
169 -1.3808416077 64.8990861622 4.1728335429
170 1.6329995284 216.66881669 5.3783699974
171 0.0525583225 115.145150987 4.746193515
172 -0.4997357438 92.3213927238 4.5252758885
173 -0.481589962 92.993928045 4.5325342012
174 -0.2066901561 103.802922305 4.6424941236
175 -0.4409432906 94.5182435904 4.5487928697
176 0.9966878863 167.980069845 5.1238453405
177 0.7248280264 150.671413552 5.0151013965
178 0.6131426717 144.088436679 4.9704272547
179 -0.9185099404 78.082519503 4.3577662098
180 0.5784943679 142.105243308 4.9565679331
181 0.9587520617 165.450326981 5.1086710107
182 -0.3574734063 97.7272879453 4.5821808235
183 -0.6398189009 87.2905863197 4.4692426256
184 -0.5954401305 88.8539609507 4.4869941338
185 1.2322150722 184.575060898 5.2180562149
186 0.9007722599 161.657369109 5.0854790899
187 -0.2246285342 103.060765677 4.6353187723
188 0.2743673101 125.828152884 4.83491711
189 -1.1101205523 72.3215367418 4.2811219651
190 1.126777897 176.95250174 5.1758813448
191 -1.4034278018 64.3153974503 4.1637990653
192 0.1966647191 121.977435614 4.8038360736
193 1.6141152101 215.038325423 5.37081627
194 0.389486925 131.757742989 4.880964956
195 1.3693798542 194.984901557 5.2729221277
196 -1.7686789261 55.5730635624 4.0176986156
197 0.218232668 123.034309215 4.8124632532
198 0.053516157 115.189275439 4.7465766488
199 0.0325159568 114.225728901 4.7381765687
200 -1.4176137663 63.9514805514 4.1581246795
Stock price
Bin Frequency Frequency of stock prices
50 6
30
60 6
70 8 25
80 19
20
90 25
100 25 15
110 14
10
120 16
130 16 5
140 13
0
150 9
50 60 70 80 90 100110120130140150160170180190200210220230240
160 8
170 8
180 8 Frequency of Ln stock prices
190 6 30
200 3
210 0 25
220 4
20
230 1
240 2 15
More 3
Ln (stock price) Frequency 10
4 10 5
4.1 2
4.2 7 0
4.3 10 4 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 5 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9
4.4 14
4.5 21
4.6 24
4.7 15
4.8 18
4.9 21
5 13
5.1 14
5.2 14
5.3 7
5.4 4
5.5 3
5.6 1
5.7 1
5.8 0
5.9 1
More 0
ces

190200210220230240

ices

4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9


Date Open High Low Close Volume Adj Close* Coke Ret Ave
4-Jan-10 14.5 14.7 14.36 14.54 14,485,800 14.54 -0.00642
5-Jan-10 14.76 14.94 14.59 14.87 20,109,900 14.87 0.022696
6-Jan-10 14.87 14.88 14.5 14.58 25,113,500 14.58 -0.0195
7-Jan-10 14.6 14.8 14.53 14.72 19,703,600 14.72 0.009602
8-Jan-10 14.84 14.92 14.71 14.85 17,640,100 14.85 0.008832
11-Jan-10 14.87 15 14.7 14.86 18,755,800 14.86 0.000673
12-Jan-10 14.82 15.2 14.8 15.06 28,240,100 15.06 0.013459
13-Jan-10 15.11 15.15 14.81 15.07 19,681,800 15.07 0.000664
14-Jan-10 14.94 15.16 14.63 14.7 37,809,100 14.7 -0.02455
15-Jan-10 14.89 14.9 14.31 14.4 30,084,400 14.4 -0.02041
19-Jan-10 14.3 14.85 14.3 14.81 17,901,600 14.81 0.028472
20-Jan-10 14.74 14.74 14.38 14.51 23,360,200 14.51 -0.02026
21-Jan-10 14.51 14.76 14.35 14.39 22,038,700 14.39 -0.00827
22-Jan-10 14.3 14.41 13.58 13.64 28,511,700 13.64 -0.05212
25-Jan-10 13.75 14.11 13.74 13.89 26,820,100 13.89 0.018328
26-Jan-10 13.8 13.94 13.54 13.58 26,282,500 13.58 -0.02232
27-Jan-10 13.52 13.7 13.29 13.53 28,519,900 13.53 -0.00368
28-Jan-10 13.6 13.64 13.03 13.28 33,802,500 13.28 -0.01848
29-Jan-10 13.37 13.47 12.75 12.9 35,710,700 12.9 -0.02861
Stdev Days Simulated number Epsilon (ε) Stock price Class Freq
0.02106 18 1 0.21995904 13.158802264 10.25 1
T = 18!! 2 0.64434605 13.667348911 10.5 0
3 0.5196732 13.515946816 10.75 2
4 0.08636174 13.002661267 11 1
5 -0.32938061 12.528520143 11.25 2
6 -1.31512909 11.47225455 11.5 7
7 1.06043236 14.185024874 11.75 11
8 -0.07807905 12.813013552 12 10
9 0.05132342 12.96201803 12.25 19
10 1.91126924 15.305446042 12.5 16
11 -0.66873679 12.154340327 12.75 16
12 2.19942014 15.70461894 13 15
13 1.80785203 15.164670819 13.25 18
14 -0.89932079 11.906491514 13.5 14
15 -0.30966511 12.550609469 13.75 19
16 -0.56749991 12.26478078 14 10
17 0.2523473 13.196937354 14.25 5
18 -1.51839473 11.265779619 14.5 13
19 0.46013773 13.444240065 14.75 4
20 1.15281996 14.302603912 15 5
21 -0.99055434 11.80982817 15.25 5
22 1.21640853 14.384097018 15.5 2
23 -0.58029653 12.250765581 15.75 3
24 -0.01098589 12.890054972 16 0
25 -1.33339448 11.453547048 16.25 0
26 -0.45181018 12.392217188 16.5 2
27 0.12484812 13.047451007 16.75 0
28 0.29945178 13.2525972 17 0
29 0.08762086 13.004124174 17.25 0
30 -0.14863768 12.732489511 17.5 0
31 1.22451318 14.394516995 17.75 0
32 -0.64880792 12.176002048 18 0
33 1.05666946 14.180256481 18.25 0
34 0.85610618 13.92840625 18.5 0
35 -2.13607105 10.660876901 18.75 0
36 -1.1005857 11.694291627 19 0
37 0.05256573 12.963456887 19.25 0
38 2.14114812 15.623064105 19.5 0
39 -0.3221865 12.536575945 19.75 0
40 -1.48823887 11.2961752 20 0
41 0.49666943 13.488194977 0
42 -0.16617557 12.712553293
43 -0.12945897 12.754326734
44 0.17461884 13.105602124
45 -1.13695692 11.656349764
46 -1.41137902 11.374017457
47 -0.40064142 12.449002949
48 1.73648681 15.068281686
49 -0.73295753 12.084797285
50 -1.95675319 10.833060837
51 -0.62873006 12.197864767
52 -0.12038429 12.764672374
53 0.56699925 13.57322083
54 0.64459132 13.667648426
55 0.6743178 13.7039986
56 0.62007422 13.637740961
57 1.10662286 14.243688873
58 -0.2728503 12.591961252
59 1.26208553 14.442921634
60 0.52741596 13.525300541
61 -0.79294747 12.02019516
62 0.90361726 13.987659314
63 1.48522285 14.733762982
64 0.78735478 13.843107602
65 0.1081176 13.027961408
66 0.57308568 13.580604221
67 -0.36473184 12.489009782
68 -0.83313907 11.977106842
69 -0.84228568 11.967322603
70 -1.05202648 11.7451404
71 1.60268887 14.889216087
72 0.1280363 13.051168266
73 1.2391732 14.413384238
74 0.28016997 13.229785007
75 0.89727989 13.979741161
76 0.20376752 13.139779119
77 1.69276056 15.009525954
78 1.6805402 14.993146248
79 -1.21428343 11.576092573
80 -0.16160967 12.717740583
81 0.06149582 12.973804556
82 -1.69848799 11.085949836
83 -1.17697789 11.614742767
84 1.42309533 14.652201485
85 -0.93098728 11.872851068
86 0.36788869 13.333882552
87 -0.84494191 11.964482699
88 1.87984169 15.262528071
89 1.28221061 14.468915778
90 1.0961316 14.230343249
91 -0.67015398 12.152801369
92 -1.02552075 11.77298909
93 0.8589163 13.931903865
94 0.08697891 13.003378301
95 -0.74011434 12.077072033
96 -0.33593332 12.521187065
97 -0.50693219 12.331333997
98 1.28847209 14.477012833
99 0.64009817 13.662162505
100 -1.14187561 11.651228121
101 -1.08243172 11.713275745
102 0.58581867 13.596063491
103 -1.04240031 11.75524667
104 0.48517156 13.474345272
105 -0.55648238 12.276860312
106 -1.0280279 11.770352081
107 0.09092819 13.007967564
108 -3.25976822 9.6424848346
109 -0.51301519 12.324633578
110 0.36843196 13.3345298
111 0.32641915 13.28456814
112 0.33708693 13.297236503
113 1.02543926 14.140742993
114 -0.66826504 12.154852649
115 0.62618426 13.645188228
116 -0.34248572 12.513858639
117 -0.4517588 12.392274076
118 0.57272728 13.580169337
119 -0.42522568 12.421687569
120 0.44345223 13.424211757
121 1.22420607 14.394122012
122 1.22161533 14.390790419
123 -0.00473287 12.89725872
124 0.18506377 13.117838626
125 1.70051109 15.019923749
126 -0.80756759 12.004503422
127 -0.58782259 12.242530324
128 -0.73915986 12.078102046
129 -0.20816601 12.664947356
130 0.80490547 13.864832647
131 0.38290088 13.351779716
132 -0.44376364 12.40112983
133 0.24554422 13.18891801
134 -0.71057611 12.108988276
135 -0.40707638 12.441847312
136 1.57045807 14.846399691
137 0.25309738 13.19782184
138 0.29643605 13.249026717
139 -1.72628548 11.058449905
140 0.67793624 13.708429909
141 -0.66441126 12.159038694
142 1.21309403 14.37983781
143 -0.66873778 12.154339247
144 0.05891301 12.970810893
145 1.44848496 14.685478492
146 1.57031734 14.846213001
147 -0.40028151 12.449403291
148 0.65830864 13.684410266
149 -0.83588481 11.97416885
150 0.82870579 13.894348249
151 0.43388219 13.412737902
152 -0.33812868 12.518731217
153 -1.14254379 11.650532546
154 -1.28726916 11.500847686
155 -0.61502259 12.212813333
156 0.08257607 12.998263883
157 0.85887087 13.931847324
158 2.08704208 15.547719002
159 -1.15328578 11.639355821
160 2.58598729 16.256526693
161 0.3094428 13.264432982
162 0.17869592 13.110377168
163 -1.41471231 11.370630463
164 -2.17417924 10.624638884
165 -0.14662013 12.734784974
166 0.41302995 13.387771382
167 0.66900507 13.697494999
168 1.24012024 14.414603911
169 0.58663951 13.597060687
170 0.03395623 12.941919806
171 -0.01262384 12.888168657
172 -0.30831607 12.552122363
173 0.53118831 13.529860125
174 0.20954193 13.146560211
175 -1.07789199 11.718027883
176 0.63615554 13.657350552
177 1.31482288 14.511138123
178 0.86274591 13.936671821
179 1.22821976 14.399284975
180 -0.38054192 12.471379969
181 -0.41221754 12.43613334
182 0.0586364 12.970490325
183 2.58502215 16.255124872
184 -0.00120674 12.901322742
185 -0.22551067 12.645335216
186 0.33124453 13.290296957
187 0.75271914 13.800333852
188 1.1244434 14.266386551
189 -0.80855016 12.00344957
190 -0.58497502 12.245645581
191 1.65072174 14.953253677
192 -0.65104201 12.173571788
193 1.73436565 15.065426149
194 -0.71413069 12.105143071
195 -0.37362417 12.479090878
196 -0.29528642 12.566743969
197 0.52666675 13.524395164
198 -0.21053986 12.662261376
199 -1.32702251 11.460069778
200 -0.11008102 12.776428845
Simu Stock Price
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
.2 .7 .2 .7 .2 .7 .2 .7 .2 .7 .2 .7 .2 .7 .2 .7 .2 .7 .2 .7
1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 19
Date Open High Low Close Volume Adj Close* Pepsi ret
4-Jan-10 51.54 52.5 51.32 52.45 12,696,400 52.45
5-Jan-10 52.14 52.74 52.1 52.67 13,092,900 52.67 0.0041945
6-Jan-10 52.53 52.73 52.05 52.18 11,746,600 52.18 -0.009303
7-Jan-10 52.19 52.59 52 52.2 10,221,300 52.2 0.0003833
8-Jan-10 52.1 52.64 52.03 52.59 10,239,900 52.59 0.0074713
11-Jan-10 52.58 52.72 51.94 52.43 10,143,400 52.43 -0.003042
12-Jan-10 52.03 52.56 51.79 51.97 12,331,400 51.97 -0.008774
13-Jan-10 52.2 52.41 51.65 52.22 11,788,300 52.22 0.0048105
14-Jan-10 52.23 52.94 52.13 52.51 16,114,300 52.51 0.0055534
15-Jan-10 52.59 52.85 52.06 52.47 13,355,300 52.47 -0.000762
19-Jan-10 52.1 52.79 52.1 52.75 11,377,200 52.75 0.0053364
20-Jan-10 52.26 52.43 51.49 52.21 13,900,700 52.21 -0.010237
21-Jan-10 52.41 52.47 50.89 51.29 18,486,100 51.29 -0.017621
22-Jan-10 51.01 51.2 49.25 49.29 20,254,400 49.29 -0.038994
25-Jan-10 49.55 50.42 49.41 50.06 13,477,400 50.06 0.0156218
26-Jan-10 50.1 50.5 49.58 49.74 15,729,400 49.74 -0.006392
27-Jan-10 49.77 49.77 48.51 49.45 18,009,000 49.45 -0.00583
28-Jan-10 49.4 49.43 47.51 47.79 26,561,700 47.79 -0.033569
29-Jan-10 48.37 48.45 46.8 47.07 23,487,500 47.07 -0.015066
Date Open High Low Close Volume Adj Close* Pepsi ret
4-Jan-10 51.54 52.5 51.32 52.45 12,696,400 52.45
5-Jan-10 52.14 52.74 52.1 52.67 13,092,900 52.67 0.0041945
6-Jan-10 52.53 52.73 52.05 52.18 11,746,600 52.18 -0.009303
7-Jan-10 52.19 52.59 52 52.2 10,221,300 52.2 0.0003833
8-Jan-10 52.1 52.64 52.03 52.59 10,239,900 52.59 0.0074713
11-Jan-10 52.58 52.72 51.94 52.43 10,143,400 52.43 -0.003042
12-Jan-10 52.03 52.56 51.79 51.97 12,331,400 51.97 -0.008774
13-Jan-10 52.2 52.41 51.65 52.22 11,788,300 52.22 0.0048105
14-Jan-10 52.23 52.94 52.13 52.51 16,114,300 52.51 0.0055534
15-Jan-10 52.59 52.85 52.06 52.47 13,355,300 52.47 -0.000762
19-Jan-10 52.1 52.79 52.1 52.75 11,377,200 52.75 0.0053364
20-Jan-10 52.26 52.43 51.49 52.21 13,900,700 52.21 -0.010237
21-Jan-10 52.41 52.47 50.89 51.29 18,486,100 51.29 -0.017621
22-Jan-10 51.01 51.2 49.25 49.29 20,254,400 49.29 -0.038994
25-Jan-10 49.55 50.42 49.41 50.06 13,477,400 50.06 0.0156218
26-Jan-10 50.1 50.5 49.58 49.74 15,729,400 49.74 -0.006392
27-Jan-10 49.77 49.77 48.51 49.45 18,009,000 49.45 -0.00583
28-Jan-10 49.4 49.43 47.51 47.79 26,561,700 47.79 -0.033569
29-Jan-10 48.37 48.45 46.8 47.07 23,487,500 47.07 -0.015066
Ave Stdev Days Simulated number Epsilon (ε) Stock price Class
-0.005901 0.0139562 18 1 0.82740671 49.445903937 40
2 -0.05061239 46.9409683 40.5
3 0.67846827 49.011767688 41
4 0.46071578 48.38389834 41.5
5 -0.43811655 45.876192609 42
6 0.68024778 49.016932151 42.5
7 -2.27496505 41.148383172 43
8 0.2922171 47.903573325 43.5
9 1.05187568 50.107477998 44
10 0.64201114 48.906081846 44.5
11 1.8765779 52.615024486 45
12 1.05166878 50.106864139 45.5
13 -0.26583853 46.346559454 46
14 0.15394705 47.51298258 46.5
15 0.9208184 49.720147005 47
16 1.53648608 51.566102747 47.5
17 0.12101833 47.420434724 48
18 -0.9892594 44.403245965 48.5
19 0.86151257 49.545858007 49
20 -0.33922822 46.145598445 49.5
21 1.35834374 51.025042628 50
22 0.63246233 48.878438431 50.5
23 -0.53705007 45.608237565 51
24 0.96139609 49.839750557 51.5
25 0.65553644 48.945263834 52
26 0.62956272 48.870047264 52.5
27 0.26264313 47.81976255 53
28 -0.49625148 45.718547752 53.5
29 -0.31937042 46.199888373 54
30 -0.15881406 46.64119146 54.5
31 -1.00108026 44.372177909 55
32 -1.00295595 44.367250139 55.5
33 0.44578333 48.341137871 56
34 0.50764916 48.518542883 56.5
35 2.26539845 53.840403303 57
36 -0.20444606 46.515340908 57.5
37 -1.30767378 43.57392561 58
38 -1.46848326 43.160997082 58.5
39 0.26070546 47.81427642 59
40 1.60878683 51.787330481 59.5
41 0.51216886 48.531528963
42 -0.80171754 44.89907164
43 0.68070301 49.018253401
44 -1.32213564 43.536629163
45 -0.89644312 44.647946757
46 0.77400816 49.289813655
47 0.28577136 47.885293977
48 -0.00091784 47.079293863
49 -0.13494643 46.707152617
50 -0.08917774 46.833901171
51 -1.34171469 43.486186601
52 -0.5161013 45.664845038
53 -0.73618502 45.073629602
54 1.58147897 51.703661858
55 1.88692612 52.647273112
56 -0.64897791 45.306974701
57 -1.86108715 42.169228256
58 1.01269088 49.991354795
59 0.33987547 48.038943359
60 -0.08048404 46.858015744
61 -0.99503388 44.388066537
62 -1.84769958 42.202668689
63 -2.22970691 41.258799696
64 0.25891257 47.809200803
65 -2.35008975 40.965753019
66 0.47602041 48.427763844
67 -0.2547615 46.376967328
68 -1.7432194 42.464559591
69 -1.12111241 44.057932854
70 -0.04592646 46.953994266
71 -0.96786905 44.459520295
72 -1.62933067 42.751885668
73 -1.94745599 41.954125846
74 -1.37110775 43.410569373
75 -0.2076459 46.506528683
76 0.90151727 49.663357315
77 -0.40619571 45.962983618
78 0.6850571 49.030892431
79 0.4729994 48.419101978
80 -0.14073751 46.691139705
81 -0.83735781 44.804421187
82 0.20135677 47.646547332
83 -0.43399436 45.887391394
84 0.20929541 47.668949113
85 0.40217611 48.216480717
86 1.95190953 52.850236005
87 -0.80542075 44.889227667
88 1.78607059 52.33381317
89 -1.78690555 42.354858392
90 0.0630149 47.257851327
91 1.1760394 50.477218651
92 0.57530129 48.713285891
93 0.46753735 48.40344513
94 -0.53177087 45.62249634
95 2.37133068 54.179170732
96 -0.01910545 47.028621127
97 -1.04927465 44.245736216
98 -0.44852542 45.847926913
99 -0.17299658 46.602040434
100 1.50483586 51.469556225
101 0.16646821 47.548221304
102 -2.28488066 41.124231503
103 -0.77444068 44.971646326
104 0.3296694 48.00992162
105 -0.53910654 45.602684398
106 2.10454964 53.330060255
107 -0.63530983 45.34365651
108 -2.12449784 41.516625104
109 0.33650377 48.029353737
110 1.09507148 50.235800285
111 -1.21120315 43.823537516
112 -0.52835099 45.631735591
113 0.4147601 48.252420719
114 0.18511115 47.600737213
115 0.05999294 47.249396073
116 -1.25727203 43.704159217
117 -0.52316268 45.645756021
118 1.55550051 51.624191844
119 2.54065941 54.725110197
120 -0.60973382 45.41237613
121 1.93891073 52.809574318
122 -0.27581332 46.319194473
123 -0.50493055 45.695059195
124 1.90828816 52.71390708
125 1.25274597 50.707001233
126 2.30247498 53.958731066
127 1.46522926 51.348993945
128 0.33920399 48.037033403
129 -0.80137497 44.899982381
130 -2.09681334 41.584736106
131 0.80739934 49.387362196
132 0.07979908 47.304839928
133 1.86739361 52.586419617
134 -0.65228105 45.298114322
135 -0.59898841 45.441278791
136 1.31364423 50.890173011
137 -0.26707917 46.343155006
138 0.68323264 49.025596008
139 -0.84721067 44.778290017
140 1.27497852 50.773796486
141 -0.51566771 45.666017408
142 1.17002291 50.459239703
143 0.20495814 47.656708606
144 0.3551092 48.082294252
145 1.26827473 50.753646438
146 -0.77058369 44.981917934
147 2.82821304 55.66485621
148 0.40398652 48.2216496
149 -1.80770289 42.302733386
150 0.30694135 47.945355667
151 -0.79738738 44.910584954
152 0.28430781 47.881144512
153 -0.94032412 44.53209131
154 0.96193826 49.841350588
155 1.04576404 50.089348557
156 -0.64523118 45.31702706
157 -0.40766923 45.958973571
158 0.86204835 49.547429825
159 1.23366803 50.649753729
160 0.50157347 48.501091601
161 0.53389412 48.593998868
162 -0.54996022 45.573386897
163 0.12801696 47.440089621
164 0.53965796 48.610586005
165 1.00455703 49.967284085
166 -0.71756378 45.12335441
167 -0.54484067 45.587203843
168 -1.37250129 43.406987576
169 -0.04008822 46.97022853
170 1.56662858 51.658218442
171 1.08498203 50.205798055
172 -0.3310466 46.167958745
173 -0.37530877 46.047119796
174 1.02816637 50.037183844
175 -1.48169389 43.127249121
176 -0.84584728 44.781905008
177 0.27871526 47.865291741
178 -1.20431565 43.841413101
179 -0.20447373 46.51526471
180 -0.17016505 46.609854263
181 1.0618639 50.137120968
182 -2.42384918 40.787230501
183 -1.69761183 42.579388846
184 -0.37049588 46.060244002
185 -0.19089171 46.552687574
186 -0.29763328 46.259389527
187 0.43846973 48.320208477
188 0.29089537 47.899824502
189 -0.40835262 45.957113932
190 -0.02600785 47.009404546
191 0.54835392 48.635621885
192 -0.31751024 46.204977254
193 -0.81510456 44.863496087
194 -0.08803156 46.837079731
195 -2.45734117 40.706425715
196 0.95688601 49.826442832
197 1.37521765 51.076048313
198 -0.21071147 46.49808781
199 -0.82824239 44.828610153
200 -0.3430273 46.135219296
Freq
0
0
3
Simulated stock price
3 18
3 16
5 14
2 12
5 10
5 8
7 6
13 4
8 2
17 0
13 40 4 1 42 4 3 44 4 5 46 4 7 48 4 9 50 51 5 2 53 5 4 55 56 57 5 8 5 9
15
8
15
14
11
8
9
9
5
4
5
1
6
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

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