2008 Laurelle Russias Central Asia Policy
2008 Laurelle Russias Central Asia Policy
2008 Laurelle Russias Central Asia Policy
Marlène Laruelle
Marlène Laruelle
© Central Asia-
Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program –
A Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center
Johns Hopkins University-SAIS, 1619 Massachusetts Ave. NW, Washington, D.C. 20036
Institute for Security and Development Policy, V. Finnbodav. 2, Stockholm-Nacka 13130, Sweden
www.silkroadstudies.org
“Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism”
Nationalism” is a Silk Road Paper
published by the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute and the Silk Road Studies Program. The Silk
Road Papers Series is the Occasional Paper series of the Joint Center, and addresses topical and
timely subjects. The Joint Center is a transatlantic independent and non-profit research and
policy center. It has offices in Washington and Stockholm and is affiliated with the Paul H.
Nitze School of Advanced International Studies of Johns Hopkins University and the
Stockholm-based Institute for Security and Development Policy. It is the first institution of its
kind in Europe and North America, and is firmly established as a leading research and policy
center, serving a large and diverse community of analysts, scholars, policy-watchers, business
leaders, and journalists. The Joint Center is at the forefront of research on issues of conflict,
security, and development in the region. Through its applied research, publications, research
cooperation, public lectures, and seminars, it functions as a focal point for academic, policy,
and public discussion regarding the region.
The opinions and conclusions expressed are those of the author/s and do not necessarily reflect
the views of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute and the Silk Road Studies Program.
© Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, April 2008
ISBN: 978-91-85937-16-5
Printed in Singapore
Introduction ................................................................
................................................................................................
.....................................................................
..................................... 5
The “Return” of Russian Influence
Influence in Central Asia .......................................
....................................... 8
The Political Return of Russia in Central Asia................................................................ 8
Regional Reorganization: The Multilateral Reinforcement of Central Asia-Russia
Links .................................................................................................................................. 12
An Essential Economic Force: Russia’s Control over the Resources of Central Asia .. 21
Central Asia in Russian Nationalism: Centrality or Marginality? .............. 29
The Birth of Imperialist Theories at the End of the Nineteenth Century ................... 29
The Eurasianist Tradition; or How to Conceive the Empire ........................................ 33
Neo-Eurasianism: Avoiding Central Asia? ..................................................................... 36
The Multiple Faces of Contemporary Russian Nationalism ......................................... 39
Russian Nationalist Lobbies and their Opinions
Opinions on Central Asia ............... 44
Advocates of Isolationist Policy toward the South ....................................................... 44
Defenders of Russians of the Near Abroad .....................................................................47
Militants for Russian Domination in Central Asia ........................................................ 52
Dugin’s Networks in Central Asia .................................................................................. 54
Three Chief Issues in Current Russian-
Russian-Central Asian Relations
Relations ................ 60
The Soft Power Issue....................................................................................................... 60
The Diaspora Issue ........................................................................................................... 65
The Migration Issue .........................................................................................................69
Conclusions ................................................................
................................................................................................
...................................................................
................................... 77
Introduction
The issues concerning relations between Russia and Central Asia in the geo-
strategic and economic realms are well-known. Much has been said about the
rapprochement between these countries, which has been very visible since
2000 and even more pronounced since 2005, as it undermines the power of
influence the United States and Europe have in the region. But very little is
known about the specific place that Central Asia occupies in Russian political
and intellectual life. However, with the rise of nationalism and xenophobia in
Russian society, a detailed analysis is warranted of the opinions held by the
various nationalist currents in relation to Central Asia. Indeed, for many
years now, a profound reordering of the Russian political scene has been
underway: the so-called liberal currents have been marginalized, while the
nationalist parties have enjoyed a rapid rise.
A presidential party, United Russia, has emerged that embodies official
patriotism propagated by the Kremlin. Nationalist parties that support the
policies of President Vladimir Putin, like Rodina in 2003-2006 and Fair Russia,
created at the end of 2006, have developed, further marginalizing the
Communist Party led by Gennadii Ziuganov. Even the opposition movement
Another Russia which groups together former chess champion Garri
Kasparov and his anti-Putin movement, the United Civic Front, the former
Prime Minister and now leader of the People’s Democratic Union of Russia,
Mikhail Kasiyanov, and Vladimir Ryzhkov of the Republican Party, works
with the National-Bolshevik Party, which is part of the nationalist
movement. The Russian Presidential elections on March 2, 2008 are unlikely
to bring any surprises. Vladimir Putin has anointed his successor in Dmitrii
Medvedev, currently the Vice-Prime Minister in charge of implementing so-
called “projects of national priority” (such as housing and health) and the
President of the Administrative Council of natural gas giant Gazprom.
6 Marlène Laruelle
1
“V Rossii vozroslo chislo storonnikov idei ‘Rossiia dlia russkikh’” [In Russia the
number of those who subscribe to the maxim ‘Russia for Russians’ is increasing],
Russkaia tsivilizatsiia, December 12, 2006, <http://www.rustrana.ru/article.php?nid
=30193> (August 12, 2007). See also the Levada Center web site, <http://www.levada.ru>.
2
Marlène Laruelle. “Central Asian Labor Migrants in Russia: The ‘Diasporization’ of
the Central Asian States?,” The China and Eurasia Forum Quaterly, vol. 5, no. 3 (2007),
pp. 101-119.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 7
to influence Russian foreign policy in Central Asia? The aim of this research
is twofold: first, to identify the Russian nationalist political circles and their
opinions on Central Asia; and second, to understand, by means of this, what
the major stakes are between Russia and Central Asia and how they are
perceived in Russian society.
This paper is divided into four sections. The first provides the overall picture
of Russia’s regaining of influence in Central Asia in the political, geopolitical,
military and economic sectors: though Moscow does not consider this area to
be the most important strategically, it remains an essential element for the
assertion of Russian power. The second part looks at the place Central Asia
has traditionally occupied in Russian nationalist discourses since the
nineteenth century: while scorned on the cultural level and considered to be
an area of instability, Central Asia is a key factor in messianic discourses
about Russia’s role in Asia. The third part develops a broad tripartite
classification of Russian nationalist milieus according to their attitude toward
Central Asia: an isolationist current; one dedicated to the defense of the
Russian “diaspora” of the Near Abroad; and another that endorses a more or
less radical “imperialist” politics. The fourth and final part concentrates on
the three key stakes of current Russian-Central Asian relations: the question
of Russian soft power in the region; that of Russians of the Near Abroad and
of their repatriation; and finally, the migration issue. The latter remains the
most contentious given the growing xenophobia and the difficulties the
authorities are having in defining what the identity of Russia ought to be.
The influence of Russian nationalist milieus and their doctrines on these
issues are therefore bound to have at least some bearing on determining the
future of Russo-Central Asian relations.
The “Return” of Russian Influence in Central Asia
and had no long-term outlook. Russia did not seek, for example, to defend the
sizeable Russian minority in the region (amounting to nearly 10 million
people in 1989), and it invested little in those “Russophone” structures
(schools, universities, the media, etc.) so crucial to preserving cultural
influence. 3 Only the decree of September 14, 1995 declared that the
Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) was “a space of vital interest”
for Russia, meaning that Moscow wanted to reserve a right of inspection over
the southern borders of the former Soviet Union. The Federation thus
seemed content solely to remain present in Central Asia on a strategic level.
This included measures as renting the site of the Baikonur Cosmodrome in
Kazakhstan; maintaining Russian troops in Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and
Turkmenistan along the borders with China, Afghanistan and Iran; engaging
militarily in Tajikistan both during the civil war (1992-1996) and after the 1997
peace accords; and putting political pressure on the new states to ensure they
adhered to the Collective Security Treaty of the CIS.4 But, on the economic
level, Boris Yeltsin’s Russia gradually stepped aside, allowing a space to open
up into which both western companies, American ones in particular, and the
new Asian and Middle-Eastern partners of Central Asia (Turkey, Iran,
China, etc.) rushed to take advantage.
Putin’s rise to the prime ministership in the fall of 1999, and then to the
presidency in March 2000, signalled a turning point in the Federation’s
domestic and foreign policy. In the preceding decade, the Russian population
had experienced many disappointments: economic and political
democratization led to a drastic decrease in the standard of living, to savage
privatization, to the economic crisis of summer 1998, and to the birth of a
class of oligarchs. The country was shocked by western criticisms during the
war in Chechnya, then by NATO’s bombing of Serbia, and yet again by the
European position on Kosovo. The climate, then, became one in which there
was both a considerable political tightening, and a return to the notion of
Russia as a great power on the international scene, especially in the post-
Soviet space. Following the lack of coordination and of policy throughout the
3
Marlène Laruelle. “La Question des Russes du proche-étranger en Russie (1991-2006),”
Étude du CERI, Paris, CERI, no. 126, May (2006).
4
In Central Asia only Turkmenistan refuses to join the Collective Security Treaty.
10 Marlène Laruelle
5
Marlène Laruelle, Sébastien Peyrouse, Asie centrale, la dérive autoritaire. Cinq républiques
entre héritage soviétique, dictature et islam, Paris, Autrement – CERI, 2006 ; Frederic Starr.
Clans, Authoritarian Rulers, and Parliaments in Central Asia, Silk Road Papers, The Central
Asia and Caucasus Institute, SAIS, June 2006; Erica Marat. The State-Crime Nexus in
Central Asia: State Weakness, Organized Crime, and Corruption in Kyrgyzstan and
Tajikistan, Silk Road Paper, The Central Asia and Caucasus Institute, SAIS, October
2006.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 11
6
Vitaly V. Naumkin. Radical Islam in Central Asia. Between Pen and Rifle, Lanham,
Rowman & Littlefield, 2005; Zeyno Baran, Frederic Starr, Svante Cornell. Islamic
Radicalism in Central Asia and the Caucasus: Implications for the EU, Silk Road Papers, The
Central Asia and Caucasus Institute, SAIS, June 2006.
12 Marlène Laruelle
This alliance between Russia and Central Asian regimes reached its apogee
during the Andijan insurrection of May 13, 2005, which was repressed by the
Uzbek authorities. Whereas western countries condemned Islam Karimov’s
regime for its immoderate use of force, for the massacring of civilians, and
whereas they rejected Tashkent’s official explanation of an attempted
Islamist coup d’état, the Kremlin, as did Beijing, came to the rescue of the
Uzbek regime.7 In November 2005, the United States was asked to leave the
base at Karshi-Khanabad, a symbol of Tashkent’s strategic turnaround back
toward Moscow and China. The basis of this political rapprochement was
essentially a common condemnation of western influence in the region: it
was not without reluctance that the Central Asian regimes returned into the
Russian “big brother’s” fold, but they appreciated the pragmatic position the
Kremlin was taking. Russia’s desire to promote strategic cooperation and
common economic development without insisting on the right to have a say
in the domestic affairs of other countries could only please Central Asian
regimes bent on maintaining the Putin principle of “vertical power” and on
refusing to envisage political alternation.
7
Sébastien Peyrouse. “Le tournant ouzbek de 2005. Eléments d’interprétation de
l’insurrection d’Andijan,” La Revue internationale et stratégique, no. 64 (2006), pp. 78-87.
On the differing viewpoints in this polemic see : Fiona Hill, Kevin Jones. “Fear of
Democracy or Revolution: The Reaction to Andijon,” The Washington Quarterly, vol.
29, no. 3 (2006), pp. 111-125; Martha Brill Olcott, Marina Barnett. The Andijan Uprising,
Akramiya and Akram Yuldashev, June 22, 2006, <http://www.carnegieendowment.org/
publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=18453&prog=zru> (October 2006, 28); Shirin
Akiner. Violence in Andijan, 13 May 2005: An Independent Assessment, Silk Road Paper, The
Central Asia and Caucasus Institute, SAIS, July 2005.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 13
responsibility. Among the Asian allies, China has been given preference, as
has Iran, though to a much lesser extent. Russian realism also explains
Moscow’s acceptance of the American military presence in Central Asia as
part of operation Enduring Freedom in Afghanistan. The opening of two
American bases – one in Manas in Kyrgyzstan and one in Karshi-Khanabad
in Uzbekistan – after September 11, gave the international community the
impression that the Russo-American “Great Game” had become pacified.
However, since 2003, benefiting from the deterioration in relations between
Central Asia and Washington, Russia has put in place strategies for the
“containment” of western influence in the region. The coalition phase with
the United States seems to have given way to a logic of competition and to
the strategic and economic restructuring of a part of post-Soviet space.
8
Central Asia’s armed forces are relatively weak: 60,000 persons each in Kazakhstan
and in Uzbekistan, 12,000 in Kyrgyzstan, 6,000 in Tajikistan, and close to 20,000 in
Turkmenistan. See Erica Marat. “Soviet Military Legacy and Regional Security
Cooperation in Central Asia,” The China and Eurasia Forum Quarterly, vol. 5, no. 1
(2007), pp. 83-114.
14 Marlène Laruelle
support and the more the local authorities show that they are favorable to
Russia’s stabilizing presence, the more substantial that support is.9
At the outset of civil war in Tajikistan in 1992, Russian forces, under the aegis
of the CIS, gave their support to President Emomali Rakhmonov. The terms
of an accord signed in 1999 led to the replacement of the peacekeeping forces
of the CIS with Russian military troops, whose principal function was the
protection of Tajikistan’s border with Afghanistan. The 201st motor division
patrolled the length of the 1,400 kilometer-long Tajik-Afghan border. Made
up of conscripts, and contracted and professional soldiers (mostly Tajiks,
supervised by Russian officers), it numbered around 15,000 persons.10 In 2002,
Tajikistan slowly began taking back control of its borders, ensuring above all
surveillance over the 500-kilometer border with China. In October 2005,
Russia ceded total control of the Afghanistan border to the Tajik army.
Despite this withdrawal, Moscow is still very present on a military level in
Tajikistan. At the end of 2004, it opened its first permanent base there, the
largest one outside the Federation’s borders. This base is composed of many
sites: the Aini air base close to Dushanbe; the spatial surveillance center
“Okno” near Nurek on the Chinese border; and several installations near
Dushanbe and in the Kulob region in the South of the country.11 The base is
home to a battalion of the 201st motor division, which is part of the Collective
Rapid Deployment Force (cf. infra), and altogether numbers close to 5,000
men. Russia has acquired these installations in exchange for both a
substantial reduction in Tajikistan’s debt of nearly US$242 million and for the
implantation of Russian companies in the country.
In Kyrgyzstan, having deployed close to 3,000 Russian soldiers on the Sino-
Kyrgyz border from 1992 to 1999, Russia opened, in 2003, a military base at
9
Leszek Buszynski. “Russia’s New Role in Central Asia,” Asian Survey, vol. 45, no. 4
(2005), pp. 546-565.
10
Roy Allison. “Strategic reassertion in Russia’s Central Asian Policy,” International
Affairs, vol. 80, no 2 (2004), pp. 277-293.
11
Zafar Abdullayev. “Tajikistan, Russia Probe Military Partnership,”
Eurasianet.org, April 3, 2004, <http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/
articles/eav030404.shtml> (January 15, 2007); Vladimir Socor. “Russian Army Base in
Tajikistan Legalized; Border Troops to Withdraw,” Eurasia Daily Monitor, October 19,
2004, <http://www.jamestown.org/edm/article.php?article_id=2368712> (January 15,
2007).
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 15
Kant. This base is home to part of the Collective Rapid Deployment Force
and supports the Russian presence in neighboring Tajikistan. Kyrgyzstan is
thus the only country in the world that has on its territory both a Russian (in
Kant) and an American base (in Manas), only 30 km from each other. In 2005,
Bishkek, concerned with the unpredictability of Uzbekistan, began
negotiations with Moscow over the opening of a second Russian base at Osh
in the country’s South.12 As of yet no accord has been reached on the matter.
In 2006, Russia announced that the 300 troops based in Kant would have their
numbers strengthened to around 750, and that it would invest considerable
sums in military equipment (US$5 million of military aid and deleting half of
the Kyrgyz debt to Russia). 13 This reinforcement of the Russian military
presence has taken place against the background of Bishkek’s renegotiations
with Washington. The Kyrgyz government decided in effect to raise the
rental price of the Manas base to 150 million for 2007, about 100 times more
than the rent the United States was currently paying.14 Hence, it appears that
Russia, at least for the moment, is about to gain a long-term presence in
Kyrgyzstan at the expense of its American rival.
Between Uzbekistan and Russia, military cooperation had remained
relatively weak until Tashkent’s geopolitical turnaround in Russia’s favor in
2005. 15 In that year, both countries signed a major accord on strategic
cooperation in which Moscow committed both to support the Uzbek regime
in case of political unrest and to provide Tashkent with various types of
crowd dispersing equipment. In exchange, Uzbekistan has undertaken to
grant Russian troops access to 10 airports and permit them to open a military
12
Roger McDermott. “Russia Studies Osh for Possible New Military Base in
Kyrgyzstan,” Eurasia Daily Monitor, June 2, 2005, <http://www.jamestown.org/edm/
article.php?article_id=2369829> (January 15, 2007).
13
“Russia To Expand Military Base In Kyrgyzstan,” Eurasia Insight, August 21, 2007,
<http://www.eurasianet.org/insight/082107kyr.shtml> (August 25, 2007).
14
Washington finally agreed to pay 15 million dollars per year to station its soldiers in
Manas and proposed an aid programme and a compensation package of 150 million
dollars.
15
Gregory Gleason. “The Uzbek Expulsion of U.S. Forces and Realignment in Central
Asia,” Problems of Post-Communism, vol. 53, no. 2 (2006), pp. 49-60; John Daly, Kurt
Meppen, Vladimir Socor, Frederic Starr. Anatomy of a Crisis: US-Uzbekistan Relations,
2001-2005, Silk Road Papers, The Central Asia and Caucasus Institute, SAIS, February
2006.
16 Marlène Laruelle
base on their national territory. This last point has not yet been implemented
but it appears that Russia has been authorized to use the Navoiy airport.16 As
for Turkmenistan, it has led a sort of boycott politics within the CIS in the
name of its status of “permanent neutrality”. It has not developed any
advanced military cooperation with Russia, despite the joint signing of a
global security agreement in April 2003. The new regime of President
Gurbanguly Berdymukhammedov, however, is vastly more Russophile than
the previous one of Saparmurad Niyazov and appears to want to reintegrate,
at least partially, into the regional Central Asian and post-Soviet institutions.
16
Stephen Blank. “An Uzbek Air Base: Russia’s Newest Achievement in Central Asia,”
Eurasia Insight, January 11, 2007, <http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/
articles/ eav011107a.shtml> (February 10, 2007). Nevertheless, numerous tensions exist
between the two countries, like those that emerged, for example, in November 2006
surrounding Tashkent’s production of Russian military planes and refuelling tankers
destined for China. Cf. “IL-76s will be assembled in Russia,” Ferghana.ru, February 2,
2007, <http://enews.ferghana.ru/ article.php?id=1817> (February 10, 2007).
17
Thomas Gomart. “Quelle influence russe dans l’espace post-soviétique?,” Le courrier
des Pays de l’Est, no. 1055 (2006), pp. 4-13.
18
Isabelle Facon. “Entre intérêts politiques et enjeux de sécurité: les dilemmes de la
Russie en Asie centrale,” Cahiers de Mars, no. 177 (2003), pp. 77-90; Isabelle Facon. “Les
enjeux de sécurité en Asie centrale: la politique de la Russie,” Annuaire français de
relations internationales, Bruylant, 2004, pp. 653-666.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 17
19
For the occasion, the collective officers’ staff was based at Urumqi whereas the troops
were in Russia. They involved more than 4 000 men, including 2,000 Russian soldiers,
1,700 Chinese soldiers, a Kazakh company (200 soldiers), a Tajik company, and special
assault forces from Kyrgyzstan; Uzbekistan sent 20 officers, but not a single soldier.
20
“Strany TsentrAsii rezko uvelichivaiut voennye raskhody,” [The countries of
Central Asia are dramatically increasing their military expenditure], CentrAsia,
18 Marlène Laruelle
23
“Uzbekistan Joins Eurasian Economic Community,” January 25, 2006, <http://
www.rferl.org/featuresarticle/2006/1/A0064D5E-1409-4D4E-AFCA-E285D649940B.
html> (September 18, 2006).
20 Marlène Laruelle
24
On SCO, see, among others: Alyson J. K. Bailes, Pal Dunay, Pan Guang, Mikhail
Troitskiy. The Shanghai Cooperation Organization, SIPRI Policy Paper no. 17, Stockholm
International Peace Research Institute, May 2007.
25
Chjao Khuashen. Kitai, Tsentral’naia Aziia i Shankhaiskaia Organizatsiia sotrudnichestva,
Rabochie materialy, no. 5, Moscow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2005.
26
Annie Jafalian. “Equilibres géopolitiques en Asie centrale: la montée en puissance de
la Chine,” Annuaire stratégique et militaire, Paris, Odile Jacob, 2005, pp. 135-149 ; Isabelle
Facon. “L’organisation de coopération de Shanghai. Ambitions et intérêts russes,” Le
courrier des Pays de l’Est, no. 1055 (2006), pp. 26-36.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 21
27
Keith Crane, D. J. Peterson, Olga Oliker. “Russian Investment in the
Commonwealth of Independent States,” Eurasian Geography and Economics, vol. 46, no. 6
(2005), pp. 405-444.
28
Sébastien Peyrouse. The Economic Aspects of the Chinese-Central-Asia Rapprochement,
Silk Road Papers, The Central Asia and Caucasus Institute, SAIS, September 2007.
22 Marlène Laruelle
29
Pavel Baev. “Assessing Russia’s Cards: Three Petty Games in Central Asia,”
Cambridge Review of International Affairs, vol. 17, no. 2 (2004), pp. 269-283.
30
Sally N. Cummings. “Happier Bedfellows? Russia and Central Asia under Putin,”
Asian Affairs, vol. 32, no. 2 (2001), pp. 412-452.
31
Jeronym Perovic. “From Disengagement to Active Economic Competition: Russia’s
return to the South Caucasus and Central Asia,” Demokratizatsiya, no. 1 (2005), pp. 61-
85.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 23
fields situated in the Caspian Sea on the border between both countries. In
the same year, the Russo-Kazakh joint venture KazRosGas established itself
on the Orenburg gas processing plant, which is set to process around 15 bcm
per year from the Kazakh site of Karachaganak.32
Russian companies have also managed to set themselves up durably in the
other Central Asian states like Uzbekistan. In 2002, Gazprom signed an
agreement with Uzbekneftegas in which Russia committed to buy Uzbek gas
until 2012 (about 10 bcm per year). In 2004, Gazprom signed a new contract to
participate in the development of the gas resources on the Ustyurt Plateau in
the autonomous republic of Karakalpakistan, situated in the country’s
Northeast. In 2006, a 25-year production sharing agreement (PSA) between
Gazprom and Tashkent was signed for the Urga, Kuanysh and Akchalak
deposits.33 Lukoil, for its part, has obtained a contract for oil exploration in
the country.34 In 2004, Lukoil and Uzbekneftegas confirmed the birth of a
joint venture whose mission for the next 35 years will be to exploit the gas
fields of Khauzak, Shady and Kandym, with estimated reserves of 280bcm. In
February 2007, Uzbekneftegas and the Russian company Soyuzneftegas
reached an agreement jointly to exploit, also over the next 35 years, fields
located in Ustyurt and in the Hissar region in the country’s Southeast. In
August 2006, Lukoil joined in an international consortium including
Uzbekneftegas, Petronas (Malaysia), the CNPC (China) and Korea National
Oil Corporation (South Korea) to conclude a production sharing agreement
concerning the Aral Sea deposits.35
In 2003, Gazprom signed a contract with Turkmenistan, which guarantees it a
quasi-monopoly over the purchase of Turkmen gas (around 80 bcm in 2008)
32
Sergei Blagov. “New Deal Will Process Kazakh Gas at Nearby Russian Facility,”
Eurasia Daily Monitor, October 6, 2006, <http://www.jamestown.org/edm/article.
php?article_id=2371524> (June 24, 2007).
33
“Gazprom, Uzbekistan to sign 2nd Ustyurt PSA in 2007,” New Europe, May 19, 2007,
<http://www.neurope.eu/view_news.php?id=73923> (June 24, 2007).
34
Vladimir Saprykin. “Gazprom of Russia in the Central Asian Countries,” Central
Asia and the Caucasus, no. 5 (2004), pp. 81-93.
35
“PSA for Development of Hydrocarbon Fields in Uzbek Section of Aral Sea Signed,”
August 31, 2006, <http://www.gov.uz/en/content.scm?contentId=22437> (June 24,
2007).
24 Marlène Laruelle
and over its exportation to Europe. 36 Through this agreement, Russia has
become the obligatory intermediary between Ashgabat and its traditional
Ukrainian client. As the 2005-2006 winter crisis showed, Moscow is now able
to pass on to Kiev the price increases Gazprom or Turkmenistan implement,
and, in so doing, to put pressure on the Ukraine, as well as on Western
Europe. In 2003, Gazprom also signed important agreements with Kyrgyzstan
and Tajikistan, which guarantee its participation in the exploitation of local
energy resources and in the maintenance of transport pipelines for the next 25
years. 37 In May 2007, Putin won another diplomatic victory: Russia,
Kazakhstan, and Turkmenistan signed an agreement for the construction of a
new gas pipeline running alongside the coast of the Caspian Sea. This would
enable Moscow to maintain its control of the export of Central Asian gas and
to reduce the profitability of the Transcaspian project backed by the European
Union and the United States.38
Russia largely dominates the Central Asian market for hydrocarbon exports:
in the gas sector, 100% of Kazakh and Uzbek production is still currently
exported by Russia via the Central Asia-Centre gas pipeline, a pipeline dating
from the Soviet era which is currently repaired and extended by Gazprom.
But this Russian monopoly might soon be undermined by China, and perhaps
by the Transcaspian. In the petroleum sector, Russian domination of the
export routes largely relies on the Atyrau-Samara and Kenyiak-Orsk
pipelines, and, above all, the Caspian Pipeline Consortium, however it no
longer enjoys a monopoly. Kazakhstan has an alternate pipeline that goes to
Xinjiang and exports oil by tankers to BTC and – like Turkmenistan – to
Iran.
Russian companies are also investing in the very promising electricity sector.
In Russia, this domain is in the hands of the state-run Unified Energy
System of Russia (RAO-UES), headed since 1998 by Anatolii Chubais. One
36
Rauf Guseynov. “Russian Energy Companies in Central Asia,” Central Asia and the
Caucasus, no. 5 (2004), pp. 60-69.
37
Marika S. Karayianni. “Russia’s Foreign Policy for Central Asia passes through
Energy Agreements,” Central Asia and the Caucasus, no. 4 (2003), pp. 90-96.
38
“Prikaspiisky Pipeline: Temporary Delay or Fundamental Problem?,” Eurasianet.org,
June 26, 2007, <http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav062607.
shtml> (August 3, 2007).
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 25
39
Gregory Gleason. “Russia and the Politics of the Central Asian Electricity Grid,”
Problems of Post-Communism, vol. 50, no. 3 (2003), pp. 42-52.
40
Gennadi Petrov. “Tajikistan’s hydropower resources,” Central Asia and the Caucasus,
no. 3 (2003), pp. 153-161.
41
Gennadi Petrov. “Tajikistan’s Energy Projects: Past, Present, and Future,” Central
Asia and the Caucasus, no. 5 (2004), pp. 93-103.
26 Marlène Laruelle
agreement about the Rogun dam and RusAl withdrew from this project.42 In
Kyrgyzstan, RAO-UES has committed to take charge of the construction of
the Kambarata-2 station and to provide a large sum for investment in
Kamarata-1. This latter is mainly being financed by RusAl, which is
interested in the aluminium factory attached to it.43
Russia is also becoming more and more present in the mineral industry.
Central Asia has significant reserves of gold, uranium, copper, zinc, iron,
tungsten, molybdenum, etc. Various Russian firms have managed to establish
themselves in this industry, despite facing stiff competition both from
European and American companies, and from Central Asian state-run
companies with political backing. Cooperation in the area of uranium is the
most crucial, since it is the most strategic, and also here Russia has recently
gained ground in the Central Asian market. In 2006, Putin proposed to
establish a “Eurasian Nuclear Bloc” to unify the countries of the region,
particularly Kazakhstan – which seeks to become one of the world’s main
producers by 2015 by increasing annual production from 3,000 to 12,000 tonnes
– and Uzbekistan – which produced a large part of the uranium used for the
Soviet military-industrial complex. 44 In 2006, the Russo-Kazakh nuclear
rapprochement was concretized with the creation of three joint ventures for a
total value of US$10 billion. The first is the setting up of a joint venture for
Kazakh uranium enrichment in the Angarsk plant, located in Eastern Siberia
near Irkutsk; the second is for the construction and export of new atomic
reactors of low and medium power, one of which will go into the first nuclear
power plant in Kazakhstan; the third joint venture is for the exploitation of
42
“Tadzhikistan otkazal RusAlu v prave na stroitel’stvo Rogunskoi GES,” April 23,
2007,
<http://www.ferghana.ru/news.php?id=5838&mode=snews&PHPSESSID=5dfad75a113
d5714b55223de50fa1f13> (August 16, 2007).
43
Theresa Sabonis-Helf. “Notes for Russia/Kazakhstan: The Energy Issues,”
TOSCCA Workshop: Kazakhstan Between East and West, November 28, 2005, St.
Anthony’s College Oxford, <http://www.toscca.co.uk/lecture%20notes/SabonisKaz
RusEnergy.doc> (August 16, 2007).
44
Moukhtar Dzhakishev. “Uranium Production in Kazakhstan as a Potential Source
for Covering the World Uranium Shortage,” World Nuclear Association Annual
Symposium 2004, <www.world-nuclear.org/sym/2004/dzhakishev.htm> (July 22, 2007).
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 27
45
“Russia, Kazakhstan sign Deal on Uranium Enrichment Center,” Global Security,
May 10, 2007, <http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/russia/2007/russia-
070510-rianovosti03.htm>, (July 22, 2007); “Uranium and Nuclear Power in
Kazakhstan,” <http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/inf89.html> (July 22, 2007).
28 Marlène Laruelle
46
“What the Russian papers say,” Rian.ru, February 22, 2007, <http://en.rian.ru/
analysis/20070222/61154212.html> (March 15, 2007).
Central Asia in Russian Nationalism: Centrality or
Marginality?
Within this strategy, the ambiguous relations that Russia maintains with
Central Asia are one of the central elements of the future of the post-Soviet
space. The role that the nationalist milieus play in it is very specific, insofar
as they consider the region an intrinsic part of Russia’s sphere of influence in
Eurasia. Before looking in more detail the different policy solutions Russian
nationalists propose in relation to the Central Asian states, a survey of the
paradoxical place the region occupies in their discourses is necessary.
In fact, Central Asia is at once present and absent from Russian nationalist
preoccupations. Ever since the nineteenth century, the influential currents of
Russian nationalism have been significantly more focused on the western
fringes of the empire (Ukraine, Belarus, the Baltic states and the Caucasus)
than on its eastern fringes. The latter, considered to be economically and
culturally backward, were presented as an additional weight that Russia had
accepted to shoulder, not as a region with a great culture that it had proudly
conquered. However, at the same time Russia’s imperial legitimacy relies
directly on maintaining rule over Central Asia: the glorification of the land’s
vastness, of expansion into Asia, of the “great game” with western powers,
the idea of being the meeting point of the Christian and Muslim worlds – all
these notions were made possible by the colonization of the Steppes and of
Turkistan. This asymmetrical relation is indicative of the purely
instrumental role that Central Asia plays in Russian nationalist arguments.
In this regard, the Eurasianist movement, though it is considered the most
favorable to a rapprochement with Asia, is no different.
not only on political and economic, but also cultural and scientific arguments.
Administrators, colonists, missionaries and explorers developed a vivid
literature on the civilizing mission of the “Whites” in the rest of the world.
Imperial Russia was also caught up in this great European trend and itself
developed discourses of legitimization justifying its advance into Central
Asia.
Starting with the Slavophiles in the 1830-1840s, many Russian intellectuals
saw the question of Europeanness as the main problem of Russia’s
nationhood. The fact that Russia’s identity was developed under, through,
and for Western eyes provoked profound resentment and prompted many to
turn toward regions where Russia would be recognized as the dominant
power. Petr Chaadaev remarked as early as 1829: “We are situated at the
Orient of Europe, which is positive, but for all that we have never been of the
Orient.”47 This maxim sums up much of what underlies many debates about
the Russian nation as does Fiodor Dostoevskii’s retort from 1881: “In Europe
we were Tatars, but in Asia we too are Europeans”.48 Does this mean that
these intellectuals supported the idea of cultural rapprochement with Asia?
Whereas the conquest of the Caucasus had provoked no real interest outside
the realm of literature,49 the advance into Asia and the Far East at the end of
the nineteenth century gave rise to more elaborate attempts at intellectual
legitimation and prompted reflections about the nature of Russia: was it a
European state with Asian colonies, or a specific Eurasian state? Much was at
stake in this search for a definition as it sought to reflect changes in Russia’s
position in the international arena, its new attitude toward the administration
of its national minorities, and a different view of Russia’s past and its
conflict-laden relationship with the Turkic and Mongol nomads.
Immediately after the Crimean defeat of 1855, Alexander II’s Minister of
Foreign Affairs, Prince Alexander Gorchakov (1798-1883), called upon the
47
Petr A. Chaadaev. Lettres philosophiques adressées à une dame, Paris, Librairie des cinq
continents, 1970, p. 205.
48
Fiodor Dostoevskii. Sobranie sochinenii v 15-i tomakh. Dnevnik pisatelia, 1881 [Works in
fifteen volumes. The Diary of a Writer, 1881], Moscow, Nauka, 1995, vol. 14, p. 509.
49
See Susan Layton. Russian Literature and Empire. Conquest of the Caucasus from Pushkin
to Tolstoy, Cambridge-New York, Cambridge University Press, 1994.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 31
Tsar to turn his back on Europe and to reorient Russian expansion toward
Asia. After the Berlin Treaty of 1878, which was perceived as a humiliation in
Russia, several intellectuals, who were disappointed with pan-Slavism,
decided to turn their gaze eastward. Their aims were ambiguous: they were
looking not for new allies but for a purely imperialist endeavor.50 These so-
called “Orientals” (vostochniki) were the first ones to incorporate the
country’s imperial character into a definition of Russia’s identity. The
Orientals were split into two political tendencies: on the one hand, a
progressist current among which figured the well-known liberal thinker,
Mikhail I. Veniukov (1832-1901), and a former populist, Sergey N. Iuzhakov
(1849-1910); on the other, a much more conservative one chiefly associated
with two figures, a jurist, Fiodor F. Martens (1845-1909), and a Sinologist,
Vasily P. Vasiliev (1818-1900).
Their conception of a Russian specificity prefigured Vladimir I. Lamanskii’s
(1833-1914) theory, which advanced the idea of Russia as a Third Continent
via arguments about the intrinsic unity of the Empire. Lamanskii’s book, The
Three Worlds of the Euro-Asian Continent (Tri mira aziisko-evropeiskogo
materika) published in 1892, provided the first vision of Russia as Euro-Asian.
In it he suggested a re-reading of its space, rejected the usual way of dividing
the European and Asian continents along the Urals, and proclaimed the
existence of three radically distinct spaces in the old world, Europe, Eurasia
and Asia. For him, “Russia is a specific new world within the old continent
(…). Russia, like America, has the right to be called a new world in the old;
indeed, what neither the Romans, nor the Greeks succeeded in doing in the
West, nor the Persians, the Indians, or the Chinese, in the East, we have
done, we, the Russians.”51 The vostochniki likewise all vacillated between the
classic vision of a state with Asian possessions and the new idea of a specific
Empire astride both continents. Lamanskii was the first to give the Empire’s
50
See David Schimmelpenninck van der Oye. Toward the Rising Sun. Russian Ideologies
of Empire and the Path to War with Japan, Dekalb, Northern Illinois University Press,
2001.
51
Vassili P. Vasiliev. Sovremennye voprosy [Current Questions], Saint-Petersburg, 1873,
p. 87.
32 Marlène Laruelle
geographical situation and its national diversity a major role in his attempt to
define Russian state identity.
A contemporary of Lamanskii’s, the writer and thinker Konstantin N.
Leontiev (1831-1891) took this idea even further, displaying a real readiness to
embrace the Asian, and specifically Turkic, world. His work constitutes a
significant turning point in Russian thinking, in which he displays an
awareness of the difference between Russians in particular and Slavs in
general. He thus prefigured, albeit ambiguously, the turn toward the East the
Eurasianists would later make: replacing references to national language with
references to religion, he showed a marked preference for Greeks over other
Slavs. In other words, the shift to the East came about, paradoxically, through
a renewed emphasis on religion: what “Byzantinism” provided access to was
an encounter with Asia, since, as the door to the Orient, Constantinople was
apt to blur the boundaries between the “Christian Orient” and “Asia”. As
Russia strove to assert itself against Europe, Leontiev was the first to
understand the importance of the so-called “Turanian” (i.e. Turkic) element
in Russian culture and identity.
From the vostochniki to Lamanskii and Leontiev, nationalist-minded
intellectuals thus argued for a more Asian-inflected view of Russian identity:
they no longer defined the nation through its linguistic affiliation with the
Slavic world, as had the Slavophiles, but on the basis of its imperial policies
in Asia. Yet on many points they remained ambiguous; despite this turn
toward Asia, they still maintained that the Christian and “Aryan” character
of the Russians was more important than the empire’s national and territorial
reality. Although this reality had come to be seen as needing to be included in
accounts of Russian identity, there remained a deep-seated feeling that an
Asian destiny was being imposed upon Russia by a disdainful Europe. For the
vostochniki as well as for Lamanskii, the turn toward Asia was merely a geo-
strategic palliative for Russia’s failure in Europe, not an acknowledgment of
the existence of natural links between Russia and Asia. The attraction these
Russian intellectuals had to Asia was only a lure, a way of challenging the
West’s centrality. In the Russian imperialist theories of the nineteenth
century, Central Asia was never considered a conquered area to be proud of
having subdued in itself: instead, for Russia, which remained focused on the
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 33
52
Marlène Laruelle. L’Idéologie eurasiste russe ou Comment penser l’empire, Paris,
L’Harmattan, 1999; Sergei Glebov. The Challenge of the Modern. The Eurasianist Ideology
and Movement, 1920-29, unpublished Ph.D., Rutgers, The State University of New
Jersey, 2004; Otto Böss. Die Lehre des Eurasier, Wiesbaden, 1961.
53
Martin Beisswenger. “Konservativnaia revoliutsiia v Germanii i dvizhenie
evraziitsev – tochki soprikosnoveniia,” [The Conservative Revolution in Germany and
Eurasianist movement – Points of Contact], Konservatism v Rossii i v mire, no. 3 (2004),
pp. 49-73; Leonid Luks. “Evraziistvo i konservativnaia revoliutsiia. Soblazn
antizapadnichestva v Rossii i Germanii” [Eurasianism and the Conservative
Revolution. The temptation of Anti-Westernism in Russia and Germany], Voprosy
filosofii, no. 6 (1996), pp. 57-69.
54
On the role of Eurasianism in the birth of structuralism, see Patrick Seriot. Structure
et totalité. Les origines intellectuelles du structuralisme en Europe centrale et orientale, Paris,
PUF, 1999.
34 Marlène Laruelle
1952), musician and music critic Petr Suvchinskii (1892-1985), and the literary
critic Prince Dmitrii Sviatopolk-Mirskii (1890-1939?).
Eurasianism was a conservative utopia born of a desire to account for the fact
of the revolution, yet it called for a kind of “revolutionary reaction”55 that
differed from the political conservatism shared by the entire Russian right in
exile. Eurasianist ideology was the Russian version of Western currents
known as the “third way” but stressed its differences with them by upholding
Russian cultural distinctiveness. If Russia had to choose a third way between
capitalism and socialism and between liberalism and dictatorship, this was
not a strictly political choice as Russia, they argued, was a third continent in
its very “essence”. This third way was thus not that of a Europe stuck
between the expansion of communism and the purported failure of the liberal
Western model, but rather a statement of Russia’s cultural irreducibility to
the West. Eurasianist terminology held that Russia and its margins occupied
a dual or median position between Europe and Asia, that their specific traits
had to do with their culture being a “mix” born of the fusion of Slavic and
Turkic-Muslim peoples, and that Russia should specifically highlight its
Asian features. It rejected the view that Russia was on the periphery of
Europe, and on the contrary interpreted the country’s geographic location as
grounds for choosing a messianic third way.
In their writings on historiography, the Eurasianists attacked the classic
Kiev/Moscow/Saint Petersburg triad in Russian history, which they
considered Eurocentric. Rehabilitating the East entailed formulating a new
theoretical grid: Eurasian history was divided into dialectical stages (from
opposition to domination and then to symbiosis) by “rhythms” resulting
from the meeting of two principles: forest and steppe. Eurasian history was,
on this account, composed of two elements, the Russian and the Turanian:
“Slavdom’s cohabitation with Turandom is the central fact of Russian
history.” 56 Kievan Rus and the St. Petersburg period were denounced as
55
Petr P. Suvchinskii. “Inobytie russkoi religioznosti” [The Other Being of Russian
Religiosity], Evraziiskii vremennik, vol. III, 1923, p. 105.
56
Nikolai S. Trubetskoi. “O turanskom elemente v russkoi kul’ture” [The Turanian
Factor in Russian Culture], Rossiia mezhdu Evropoi i Aziei [Russia between Europe and
Asia], Moscow, Nauka, 1993, p. 59.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 35
57
Charles J. Halperin. “George Vernadsky, Eurasianism, the Mongols, and Russia,”
Slavic Review, vol. 41, no. 3 (1982), pp. 477-93; Charles J. Halperin. “Russia and the
Steppe,” Forschungen zur Osteuropaïschen Geschichte, Wiesbaden, vol. 36 (1985), pp. 55-194.
36 Marlène Laruelle
concept of the Eastern block on the grounds that the Soviet political
experiment constituted sufficient justification for grouping under one banner
all the different peoples and populations of Northern Asia and Eastern
Europe.
Neo-
Neo-Eurasianism: Avoiding Central Asia?
At the same time, however, Eurasianism was discreetly propagated in the
USSR by Lev N. Gumilev58 (1912-1992). In the 1980s, Gumilev became a sort
of prism through which many post-Soviet academics and politicians could
claim to adhere to the movement or take interest in it. Even today, although
the texts of the founding fathers have been re-published on a massive scale,
neo-Eurasianists often seem to be more familiar with Gumilev’s vocabulary
than with the Eurasianist vocabulary developed within exile circles during
the interwar years. The neo-Eurasianism that emerged in Russia in the 1990s
is far from representative of a unified system of thought or force, offering
instead the image of a heterogeneous constellation torn between personalities
with competing ambitions. Nonetheless, neo-Eurasianism is not limited to
institutionalized currents. Indeed, the strength of the neo-Eurasianist
propagators lies in their capacity to present Eurasianism as a new ideology for
the post-bipolar world based on the culturalist trend and the idea that new so-
called “post-modern” values are now emerging.
Eurasianist ideas resurfaced in the USSR in the 1980s within Pamiat, an
organization which at the time encompassed most of the Russian nationalist
movement. From 1993 onward, neo-Eurasianism began to become more
widespread thanks partly to the efforts of the two main nationalist parties of
the time, Vladimir Zhirinovsky’s Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR) and
58
On Gumilev, see: Bruno Naarden. “‘I am a genius, but no more than that’, Lev
Gumilev, Ethnogenesis, The Russian Past and World History,” Jahrbücher für
Geschichte Osteuropas, vol. 44, no. 1 (1996), pp. 54-82; Richard Paradowski. “The Eurasian
Idea and Leo Gumilëv’s Scientific Ideology,” Canadian Slavonic Papers, vol. 41, no. 1
(1999), pp. 19-32; Viktor Shnirelman, Sergei Panarin. “Lev Gumilev: his pretention as a
Founder of Ethnology and his Eurasian Theories,” Inner Asia, vol. 3, no. 1 (2001), pp. 1-
18; Viktor Shnirel’man. “Lev Gumilev: ot passionarnogo napriazheniia do nesovmestimosti
kul’tur” [Lev Gumilev: from the pressure of passionarity to the incompatibility of cultures],
Etnograficheskoe obozrenie, no. 3 (2006), pp. 8-21.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 37
59
On Panarin, see: Andrei Tsygankov. “Aleksandr Panarin kak zerkalo rossiiskoi
revoliutsii” [Alexander Panarin as a mirror of Russia’s revolution], Vestnik MGU:
Sotsiologiia i Politologiia, no. 4 (2005), pp. 166-177; no. 1, 2006, pp. 120-149; Andrei
Tsygankov. “Natsional’nyi liberalizm Aleksandra Panarina” [The National Liberalism
of Alexander Panarin], Svobodnaia mysl’, no. 9 (2005), pp. 100-117.
60
On Dugin, see: Marlène Laruelle. Aleksandr Dugin: A Russian Version of the European
Radical Right?, Kennan Institute Occasional Papers, Washington D.C., no. 294, 2006; John
B. Dunlop. “Aleksandr Dugin’s ‘Neo-Eurasian’ Textbook and Dmitrii Trenin’s
Ambivalent Response,” Harvard Ukrainian Studies, vol. XXV, no. 1-2 (2001), pp. 91-127;
Alan Ingram. “Alexander Dugin: Geopolitics and Neo-Fascism in Post-Soviet Russia,”
Political Geography, vol. 20 (2001), pp. 1029-1051.
38 Marlène Laruelle
61
Marlène Laruelle. “Russo-Turkish Rapprochement through the Idea of Eurasia:
Alexander Dugin’s Networks in Turkey,” Jamestown Occasional Papers, forthcoming.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 39
62
Sabrina Ramet (ed.), The Radical Right in Central and Eastern Europe since 1989,
University Park, The Pennsylvania State University Press, 1999.
40 Marlène Laruelle
63
On Putin’s Russia, see Michael Mc Faul, Nikolai Petrov, Andrei Ryabov. Between
Dictatorship and Democracy. Russian Post-Communist Political Reform, Washington D.C.,
Carnegie Endowment For International Peace, 2004; Dale R. Herspring (ed.), Putin’s
Russia. Past Imperfect, Future Uncertain, Lanham, Rowman & Littlefield, 2005. In Russian
see the analysis by Alexander M. Verkhovski, Ekaterina V. Mikhailovskaia, Vladimir
V. Pribylovski. Rossiia Putina: pristrastnyi vzgliad [A Biased Look at Putin’s Russia],
Moscow, Panorama, 2003.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 41
64
Cf. Marlène Laruelle. “The Discipline of Culturology: A New ‘Ready-made
Thought’ for Russia?,” Diogenes, no. 204 (2004), pp. 21-36.
42 Marlène Laruelle
65
Henri Duquenne. “Les mouvements extrémistes en Russie,” Le Courrier des pays de
l’Est, no. 1060 (2007), pp. 70-86. See the DNPI web site, <www.dpni.org>.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 43
map”. Their attention is focused on the western fringes of the empire: every
loss of territory or of influence in the West is perceived to be an unacceptable
undermining of Russia’s great power status as it attempts to assert itself
against the West. Central Asia enjoys even less attention than does the
Caucasus: its peoples are scorned and considered backwards, and the area is
conceived of as a burden for Russia. At the same time, the territory of Central
Asia is actively incorporated into mythologizing discourses about the
immensity of the Russian sphere of influence and its geopolitical role in Asia.
Russian influence in Central Asia is therefore considered as obvious, as an
established fact that is not worth insisting on, and for which, by contrast to
the western fringes, it is not necessary to fight. This paradoxical vision re-
appears in the analysis that the Russian nationalist milieus have of the
current standing of Russo-Central Asian relations.
Russian Nationalist Lobbies and their Opinions
Opinions on
Central Asia
The different Russian nationalist movements do not all enjoy the same access
to public opinion and to political decision-making circles. Some are only
interested in problems internal to Russia and have no clear views on Russian
foreign policy. Their attitude toward Central Asia can be divided into three
broad categories, which are neither definitive nor exclusive of one another
and can intersect or recompose depending on the issues of the day. The first
current is an isolationist one; it is not very large and its representatives do not
occupy any important political positions. The second, which defends the
rights of Russians of the Near Abroad, is more widely represented and has
some active lobbies in the Duma. The third, which stands for a return to
Russian domination over former Soviet countries, is the most widely
represented in the organs of the Federation, but it is also divided into multiple
sub-sections, the key issue of which is whether to conceive of Russia as a soft
power or as a hard power.
they call for the Federation’s “nationalization” and for the abolition of its
federal character, which supposedly benefits the national republics to the
detriment of the Russian regions. Among their main claims, one worth
noting is the desire to give “ethnic” Russians (russkie) the official status of a
titular people, whereas the 1993 Constitution and the state organs recognize
only citizens of Russia (rossiyane). In this world vision, Central Asia is
considered as a dangerous zone that will only cause Russia problems. This
current is also distinguished by its strong Islamophobia; for it, Islam has
become one of the main cultural and geopolitical threats to the survival of the
Russian people. It would therefore like to close the Federation’s border to all
migratory flows from the South.
Among the representatives of this current in the 1990s, several small radical
nationalist groupuscules should be noted, such as the People’s National Party
(Narodnaia natsional’naia partiia) of Alexander Ivanov-Sukharevskii and the
Russian National Union (Russkii natsional’nyi soiuz) of Aleksei Vdovin and
Konstantin Kassimovskii. Russian National Unity can also be included in
this group insofar as its leader, Alexander Barkashov, does not refrain from
denouncing the alleged criminality linked to Central Asian and Caucasian
migrants. 66 In the 2000s, the main movements have been the secessionist
group “Russian Republic” (russkaia respublika), 67 the National Socialist
Society (Natsional’noe sotsialisticheskoe obshchestvo) of Dmitrii Rumiantsev 68
and the racialist and neo-pagan movements like the journal Atenei and the
66
John B. Dunlop. “Alexander Barkashov and the Rise of National Socialism in
Russia,” Demokratizatsiya, no. 4 (1996), pp. 519-530; Sven G. Simonsen. “Alexandr
Barkashov and Russian National Unity: Blackshirt Friends of the Nation,” Nationalities
Papers, no. 4 (1996), pp. 625-639.
67
The movement calls for ethnic Russians to secede from the Federal Russian state by
proclaiming a “Russian republic”. This group claimed responsibility for Nikolai
Girenko’s assassination in 2004, and posted it under the heading “verdict no. 1”. See
their web site, <http://www.rusrepublic.ru/>.
68
The National Socialist Society has published on its website one of the most detailed
“lists of enemies of the Russian people”, and has called for these enemies to be
assassinated. To be noted among the accused were journalists such as Anna
Politkovskaia, human rights defenders like Svetlana Gannushkina, and university
professors such as Emil Pain and Valeri Tishkov.
46 Marlène Laruelle
69
See. Viktor Shnirelman. “Les nouveaux Aryens et l’antisémitisme. D’un faux
manuscrit au racisme aryaniste,” in Marlène Laruelle (ed.), Le rouge et le noir. Extrême
droite et nationalisme en Russie, Paris, CNRS-Éditions, 2007, pp. 189-224.
70
Alexander Tarasov. “Le phénomène skinhead en Russie. Un malaise jeune en cours
de politisation ?,” in Marlène Laruelle (ed.), Le rouge et le noir. Extrême droite et
nationalisme en Russie, op. cit., pp. 173-188.
71
For more information, see their website, <http://xeno.sova-center.ru>.
72
See the Institute for Russian Civilization web site, <www.rusinst.ru>.
73
Ksnia Mialo. “Evraziiskii soblazn” [The Eurasianist Temptation], Moskva, no. 11-12
(1996), <http://www.patriotica.ru/gosudarstvo/mialo_euras.html> (July 22, 2007).
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 47
74
Vadim Kozhinov. “Markiz de Kiustin kak voskhishchennyi sozertsatel’ Rossii” [The
Marquis of Custine, Enchanted Contemplator of Russia], <http://www.hrono.ru/
statii/2001/kojinov.html> (July 22, 2007).
48 Marlène Laruelle
75
Marlène Laruelle, Sébastien Peyrouse. Les Russes du Kazakhstan. Identités nationales et
nouveaux États dans l’espace post-soviétique, Paris, Maisonneuve & Larose, 2004, pp. 227-
229.
76
“Zaiavlenie NBP po Kazakhstanu” [PNB’s declaration on Kazakhstan]
<http://www.nbp-info.ru/2100.html> (July 15, 2007).
77
It was initially called the Institute of the CIS Countries, of the Diaspora and of
Integration (Institut stran SNG, diaspory i integratsii).
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 49
78
Interviews conducted at the Institute of the Diaspora and Integration in May 2002
and October 2005.
79
Alan Ingram. “‘A Nation Split into Fragments’: The Congress of Russian
Communities and Russian Nationalist Ideology,” Europe-Asia Studies, no. 4 (1999),
pp. 687-704.
50 Marlène Laruelle
and was elected, in the 2003 and the 2007 elections, to the Duma from a
district of Moscow. He is known for his numerous appearances in the
Russian media on all issues concerning the Near Abroad.
The second network associated with the issue of Russians of the Near Abroad
is that of Dmitrii Rogozin (1963) and the Rodina Party. A parliamentary bloc,
Rodina was a conglomerate of diverse nationalist movements: lobbies for the
defense of Russians of the diaspora; politicians nostalgic for the Soviet Union
and leftist militants who cannot identify with the CPRF; defenders of
political orthodoxy such as Natalia A. Narochnitskaia, who played an
important role in the World Russian National Council (Vsemirnyi russkii
narodnyi sobor)80 in the first half of the 1990s; and partisans of Sergei Baburin’s
party, People’s Will (Narodnaia volia). In October 2006, Rodina created, along
with the Party of Life and the Pensioners’ Party, a new movement called Fair
Russia (Spravedlivaia Rossiia), which is headed by Sergei Mironov. The
constitutive congress of the new party took place on February 26, 2007 and, at
the March 11 regional assembly elections, it succeeded in gaining more seats
than the Communist Party. Current practice in Russia would seem to suggest
the impossibility of gaining such a score without the use of administrative
resources, that is, the support of local authorities. The creation of this new
party is seen by many as a consolidation of some of the pro-Kremlin leftist
parties and the institutionalization of extremely xenophobic currents.
Rogozin’s career is indicative of the growing place occupied by this
nationalist current. In February 1992, he was elected a member of the
presidium of the National Assembly of Russia (Rossiiskoe narodnoe sobranie),
which gathers together several patriotic organizations like the Union of
Cossack Troops of Russia, Nikolai Lysenko’s National Republican Party and
the Russian Christian Democrat Movement. Following this he was an
adherent of the Union for the Rebirth of Russia (Soiuz vozrozhdeniia Rossii), of
which he became the president in October 1993, and of the Congress of
80
This institution was established between 1990 and 1993 and enjoys in the first place
the direct patronage of the Patriarch but its political radicalism (in particular its calls to
restore the monarchy) caused concern in the Orthodox hierarchy, which moved in 1996
to have registered a competing association headed by the Metropolitian Kirill and from
which the most radical figures are absent.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 51
which leads it to focus its attention on the Ukraine, Belarus, Moldavia, the
Baltic states and the Balkans, and to neglect the Muslim countries situated on
its southern borders.
81
“Ziuganov obviniaet Putina v kapituliatsii” [Ziuganov accuses Putin of capitulation],
BBC Russian.com, January 19, 2002, <http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/russian/news/newsid
_1770000/1770255.stm> (July 12, 2007).
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 53
82
“Ziuganov ne iskliuchil, chto v sobytiiakh v Uzbekistane ‘vidny takzhe ushi
razvedsluzhb SSHA’” [Ziuganov does not discount the fact that the ears of the
American secret services were also present at the events in Uzbekistan], News.ru, May
14, 2005, <http://www.newsru.com/russia/14may2005/zug.html> (July 13, 2007).
83
See, for example, Vladimir Zhirinovsky. Chechnia vsegda budet v sostave Rossii
[Chechnya will always be part of Russia], Moscow, Izdanie LDPR, 1999; Kavkaz – iarmo
Rossii [The Caucasus, Russia’s Chore], Moscow, Izdanie LDPR, 2001; Sarancha
[Saranja], Izdanie LDPR, 2002.
84
Mischa Gabowitsch. “L’Asie centrale dans la sphère publique en Russie: la grande
absence,” Russie-Asie centrale: regards réciproques. Cahiers d’études sur la Méditerranée
orientale et le monde turco-iranien (CEMOTI), no. 34 (2002), pp. 77-99.
54 Marlène Laruelle
85
See Zhirinovsky’s numerous speeches on line on the site of the LDPR,
<http://www.ldpr.ru>.
86
Paradorn Rangsimaporn. “Interpretations of Eurasianism: Justifying Russia’s Role in
East Asia,” Europe-Asia Studies, vol. 58, no. 3 (2006), pp. 371-89.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 55
87
M. Shaikhutdinov. “A. Dugin i imperskaia modifikatsiia evraziiskoi idei” [A. Dugin
and the imperial inflection of the notion of Eurasia], Evraziiskoe soobshchestvo, no. 2
(2002), pp. 26-32; and M. Shaikhutdinov. “Imperskie proekty geopoliticheskoi
identichnosti Rossii” [The imperial projects pertaining to Russia’s geopolitical
identity], Evraziiskoe soobshchestvo, no. 2 (2003), pp. 5-14.
88
Alexander Dugin. Evraziiskaia missiia Nursultana Nazarbaeva [The Eurasian Mission
of Nursultan Nazarbayev], Moscow, Arktogeia, 2004.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 57
89
However, not everyone falls for Dugin’s stratagem. In September 2003, during a
public debate between Dugin and the Kazakh nationalist scholar Azimbai Gali, the
latter stated that Nazarbayev could not be considered a Eurasianist in Dugin’s sense,
since he is neither anti-Atlanticist, not anti-Semitic, nor anti-liberal—three features
Gali says are defining of Dugin’s thought. See Alexander Dugin, Evraziiskaia missiia
Nursultana Nazarbaeva, op. cit. p. 158.
90
S. Bulekbaev, E. Unnarbaev. “Evraziistvo kak ideologiia gosudarstvennosti”
[Eurasianism as Statehood ideology], Evraziiskoe soobshchestvo, no. 3 (2001), p. 5-12; E.
Saudanbekova. “Evraziistvo Gumileva i klassicheskoe russkoe evraziistvo” [Gumilev’s
Eurasianism and classical Russian Eurasianism], Mysl’, no. 8 (1997), pp. 30-34.
58 Marlène Laruelle
91
“Evraziiskoe nashestvie v Kazakhstane,” [The wave of Eurasianism in Kazakhstan],
Evrazia, October 11, 2006 <http://www.evrazia.org/modules.php?name=News&file=
article&sid=3321> (July 15, 2007).
92
Marlène Laruelle. Eurasianism in Russia. The Ideology of Empire, Washington D.C.,
Woodrow Wilson Press –Johns Hopkins University Press, April 2008.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 59
burdensome on Moscow’s budget. The first two currents therefore share the
same ethnocentric conception of the Russian people, though the second is
more active in foreign policy with its call for Russian people to be
“regrouped”.
Paradoxically, even in the third “imperialist” movement, the apparent
interest taken in Central Asia only rarely goes beyond a rhetorical level. For
Dugin, Ziuganov or Zhirinovsky, the region is mostly only invoked, once
again, for its potentially destabilizing influence on Russia: Islamism, drugs,
arms, American presence, western influence, etc. The will to dominate this
space is explicable only by means of geo-strategic concerns: the argument
claiming cultural similarity between the Russian people and the populations
of Central Asia is not well-conceived and rarely goes beyond a simple
declaration of intention. This is the case even with Dugin, who supposedly
emblematizes a neo-Eurasianist ideology that would be favorable to the
“Asianization” of Russia. Thus, if Central Asia works as an element to help
Russian nationalist milieus indirectly express their concerns, it does not enjoy
the interest that the latter have in the “Gordian knots” that are the Baltic
countries, the Ukraine and Georgia. This situation can be explained in part
by an unconcealed cultural scorn toward Central Asian societies, but also by
the fact that the region is considered to be less problematic than other post-
Soviet zones: despite the “permanent neutrality” of Turkmenistan and
Uzbekistan’s independent stance in the 1990s, Central Asia remains one of
Moscow’s most faithful partners. This situation has further galvanized since
2005 with the rapprochement between Moscow and the Central Asian
capitals, which stand in great contrast to the recurrent “dissidence” of Kiev
and Tbilisi.
Three Chief Issues in Current Russian-
Russian-Central Asian
Asian
Relations
These three ideological currents existed at the time the Soviet Union
imploded. The second of them, which demands the defense of Russians of the
Near Abroad, has evolved the most in foreign-policy terms: in the 1990s it
was closer to the first “ethno-nationalist” current, then throughout Putin’s
two presidential mandates, it has gradually moved closer to the
“imperialists”. In the 1990s, the discourses of Russian nationalist milieus on
Central Asia remained, at any rate, on a very rhetorical level that cared little
about the region itself: they denounced above all the independence of the new
states and the arrival of foreign actors in the region. In the 2000s, the debate
between Russian nationalists on Central Asia has become more precise: some
issues have become more zone specific (migration issues), and the stakes have
become more concrete (control of local resources). Today, discussions are
dominated by three key policy issues that will become increasingly important
in relations between Russia and Central Asia in coming years: the question of
Russian soft power, the issue of the diaspora, and the migration issue.
Studying these three issues help us to better determine the influence of
Russian nationalist milieus have over policy decisions.
in favor of a form of soft power that Russia could exercise in Central Asia in
two ways: by supporting collective institutions that enable it to keep the new
states under its thumb; and by controlling Central Asian economies through
large Russian companies to prevent any competitors from establishing
themselves there.
With the exception of advocates of isolationism and those of Rodina-type
sensibility, the other currents of Russian nationalism support the
development of institutions for regional cooperation. In this regard, the
process of economic unification happening under the auspices of the Eurasian
Economic Community is considered the most appropriate solution to all the
countries of the region, assuring Russia a right to oversee neighboring
countries and confirming its role as the economic motor of the entire region.
The strengthening of the Collective Security Treaty is also looked upon
favorably: by means of this treaty, Russia quickly won back its role as the
provider of military equipment to the new states. In addition, Russo-Central
Asian military cooperation is a means to curb the influence of the latter’s
western partners, in particular NATO. When Uzbekistan, which had been
reluctant to do so, joined these two institutions in 2006, it was welcomed by
Russian nationalists as confirmation of the idea that Central Asian countries
could not but be the natural allies of Moscow. The Shanghai Cooperation
Organization is also highly valued, even though long-term cooperation with
China provokes contrasting reactions amongst Russian nationalists. The
alliance of the most “anti-Russian” countries in GUAM on the other hand
has been systematically denounced as a process financed and fomented by the
United States to weaken Moscow. The wave of “colored revolutions”, first in
Georgia in 2003, then in the Ukraine in 2004, and in Kyrgyzstan in 2005, were
obviously occasions that aroused the wrath of nationalist milieus: every
undermining of Russian pre-eminence in the post-Soviet zone is regarded as
an attack on Russia itself.
The cautious Russophone linguistic policy launched by the Kremlin
(organization of days of Slavic culture, furnishing school textbooks to
Russophone schools, exchange and cooperation programmes for professors
and students, recognition of diplomas from the new states in Russia, etc.) also
has the unanimous support of all the nationalist milieus. They had already
62 Marlène Laruelle
long called for all post-Soviet states to give the Russian language an official
status and are thus pleased that Moscow has finally become interested in
conserving a Russophone space. This renewal of the Russian language and
culture in the post-Soviet space is regarded as a key element of soft power,
but it also provokes the national pride of being a “great culture” recognized by
all. All the nationalist movements also support the aggressive policies in
Central Asia adopted in 2001 by the large Russian firms: the victories of
Gazprom, Rosneft, Lukoil and RAO-UES are invariably presented as a
victory for Russia itself. The geopolitical stakes of pipelines routes has in
particular aroused the interest of the Russian nationalists, who condemn what
they refer to as the “intrusion” of large western firms in Central Asia.
Theories of a world plot against Moscow’s interests contribute to this
analysis of hydrocarbons geopolitics.
On all these geopolitical questions, the majority of nationalist milieus are in
agreement with the current policies of the Kremlin. They would like for
Moscow to assert itself more firmly on the international stage but they are on
the whole satisfied with current foreign policy, which has taken the opposite
path to that of the 1990s under Boris Yeltsin. The majority of nationalist
currents has, however, adopted a more radical line concerning the borders
resulting from the dislocation of the USSR, and maintains an irredentist
position. Thus, the small radical groupuscules fairly regularly demand the
unification of Russia, the Ukraine, Belarus and the North of Kazakhstan, on
the model proposed by Alexander Solzhenitsyn in Rebuilding Russia (1990).
Zatulin himself, during the first Congress of compatriots in 2001, stated that
“in the North and the East of Kazakhstan, and the Eastern regions of the
Ukraine and the Crimea, the Russian population was there before the arrival
of the peoples that have now become the titular peoples of the new states”93
and called for the political consequences of this to be drawn concerning the
borders. In 2003, Rodina’s provisional programme raised the possibility of
creating a supra-state encompassing Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan,
including also Transnistria, Abkhazia and South Ossetia, i.e. pro-Russian
93
Ot S’’ezda do kongressa sootechestvennikov [From Council to the Congress of
Compatriots], Moscow, Institut Stran SNG, 2001, p. 7.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 63
94
Sergei Glaz’ev. “K voprosu ob ideologii organizatsii” [The Question of the Ideology
of the Organization], Glaziev’s web page, <http://glazev.ru/print.php?article=87>
(September 20, 2006).
95
“Kazakhstan trebuet osudit’ Zhirinovskogo za razzhiganie natsional’noi rozni”
[Kazakhstan requires Zhirinovsky to be tried for inciting national hatred], Lenta.ru,
February 10, 2005, <http://lenta.ru/russia/2005/02/10/zhirinovsky/> (July 25, 2007).
96
Andreas Umland. “Aleksandr Dugin, evropeiskii fashizm i Vitrenko. Chto
obshchego?” [Alexandr Dugin, European Fascism and Vitrenko. What do they have in
common?], Ukrainskaia pravda, July 20, 2007, <http://www.pravda.com.ua/news/2007/
7/20/61687.htm> (July 22, 2007).
64 Marlène Laruelle
97
It requires that they register in three days with the appropriate authorities (OVIR)
and is coupled with the principle of the “migration card”: all citizens of the CIS present
in Russia without visa are obliged to have this document proving their registration in
each of the visited regions.
98
“Rodina: soglashenie ob uproshchenii vizovogo rezhima podryvaet bezopasnost’
Rossii" [Rodina: The Agreement on the Simplification of the Visa System is a Threat
to Russia’s Security], Materik, no. 134, October 28, 2005, <www.materik.ru/index.php
?section=analitics&bulid=123&bulsectionid=12> (May 24, 2006).
99
“Dmitri Rogozin: rossiiskie grazhdane Turkmenistana – zalozhniki vostochnoi
despotii” [Dmitri Rogozin: Russian citizens in Turkmenistan are hostages of Oriental
despotism], Radio Maiak, September 18, 2003, <http://mayak.rfn.ru/society/03/09/
18/24378.html> (July 25, 2007).
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 65
100
Julie DaVanzo, Clifford A. Grammich. Dire Demographics. Population Trends in the
Russian Federation, Washington D.C., Rand Corporation, 2001.
66 Marlène Laruelle
Russia would counteract the decreases in the population and furnish the
nation with the live forces required for the army and work. These
compatriots come mostly from republics where life expectancy is higher than
in Russia; they belong statistically to the more educated social classes well
above the Russian average, and thus constitute a great labor-force potential.
Moreover, a large number of applicants wishing to return, although urbanites,
would be willing to move to disaffected towns in Siberia and the Far North,
and invest themselves in agriculture outside of the Chernozem belts. The
ethnic argument is also regularly invoked: to counteract the growing
importance of Russia’s non-Russian (ne russkie) populations, whether
migrants from abroad or native peoples of Russia, the return of “compatriots”
shall guarantee growth of the ethnically Russian population and thereby
strengthen the mono-national character of the country.
The status granted to compatriots is regulated by several laws that have
evolved over the course of the last decade. All the same, these laws sometimes
contradict one another, making them unclear on many points concerning the
juridical definition of “compatriot”, and they are regarded by nationalist
milieus as quite inadequate, and even unjust, in their treatment of the
“diaspora”. Zatulin, who in this regard is the most active in the Duma,
devotes a large part of his work as a deputy to putting forward amendments
to this set of laws. In December 2004, for example, he submitted some
amendments to modify two laws, “On the juridical situation of foreign
citizens in the Russian Federation” 101 and “On entering and leaving the
Russian Federation”. 102 As in the law of citizenship voted in 2002, the
compatriots are not specifically mentioned and are subject to the same
obligations as any other foreign citizen. Zatulin had requested that they be
granted a specific right of entry into Russia to visit their birthplaces and the
burial sites of family members, and made calls to award a special status to
veterans of the Second World War that fought under the Soviet flag. In
December 2005, he succeeded in obtaining from Putin an extension until
January 1, 2008 of the simplified application procedure for citizenship of the
Federation for former Soviet citizens.
101
O pravovom polozhenii inostrannykh grazhdan v Rossiiskoi Federatsii, 2002.
102
O poriadke vyezda iz Rossiiskoi Federatsii i v’’ezda v Rossiiskuiu Federatsiiu, 2003.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 67
The Committee for the Affairs of the CIS and Compatriots as well as Zatulin
have continued to demand a significant modification to the law of May 24
1999 entitled “On the policy of the Russian Federation in its relations with
compatriots from abroad” 103 . They declaim the strictly declarative, non-
effective character of the stated compatriot, and its absence of juridical
definition, but these demands have never been met. In 2005, the Institute of
Diaspora and Integration submitted a bill on repatriation that was not
adopted as such by the Duma. 104 It nonetheless confirms that activists
fighting for this issue have at their disposal parliamentarians who support
their initiatives, and who are regularly willing to reintroduce into political
space submissions for the repatriation of “compatriots”. Their efforts have
ended up bearing fruit, since on June 22 2006 Putin implemented a “State
Programme to Aid the voluntary relocation of compatriots to Russia”. 105
Spanning over six years (2007-2012), it contains guidelines for the return of
compatriots, which it defines as “those educated in the traditions of Russian
culture, who possess the Russian language, and who do not desire to lose their
connection to Russia”.106
The state organs acknowledge having put priority on the return of expatriated
Russian citizens as well as those with dual nationality, whether they live in
the Near Abroad or much further away. To this end, the Federal Service of
Migration has opened offices in nearly all the post-Soviet republics, as well as
in the United States, Germany, and Israel, to attract potential repatriates.
However, it appears that the program’s volunteers are not from the Far
Abroad, and are in only rare cases Russian citizens. In reality, the programme
targets Russians or Russophones possessing the citizenship of a neighboring
republic, in particular Central Asian or Caucasian, who have not yet
succeeded in emigrating and who seek to obtain citizenship of the Federation.
103
Federal’nyi zakon o gosudarstvennoi politike Rossiiskoi Federatsii v otnoshenii
sootechestvennikov za rubezhom.
104
“O repatriatsii v Rossiiskuiu Federatsiiu” [On the Repatriation to the Russian
Federation], Materik, no. 122, May 1, 2005, <http://www.materik.ru/index.php?year=
2005&month=5&day=1> (May 30, 2006).
105
Gosudarstvennaia programma po okazaniiu sodeistviia dobrovol’nomu pereseleniiu v
Rossiiskuiu Federatsiiu sootechestvennikov prozhivaiushchikh za rubezhom.
106
The text can be consulted at <http://www.perekrestok.de/?mn=2#programma2>
(September 25, 2006).
68 Marlène Laruelle
107
The text can be consulted at <http://www.perekrestok.de/?mn=2#programma2>
(September 25, 2006).
108
Elena Zakharova. “V Kirgizii s kazhdym dnem rastet chislo zhelaiushchikh
uchastovat’ v rossiiskoi programme po pereseleniiu sootechestvennikov” [In
Kyrgyzstan, the number of persons desiring to participate in the Russia compatriot
repatriation programme is daily increasing], Ferghana.ru, February 13, 2007, <http://
www.ferghana.ru/article.php?id=4902> (July 1, 2007).
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 69
109
Jean-Christophe Peuch. “Russia: Putin’s Repatriation Scheme Off To Slow Start,”
RFE/RL news, April 18, 2007,
<http://www.rferl.org/featuresarticleprint/2007/04/edd35041-7b9a-4200-adc004b44f650
bdf.html> (August 18, 2007).
70 Marlène Laruelle
After having refused for a long time to implement any migration policy of
consequence, Russian political power has suddenly changed its viewpoint.
Since 2006, the Russian authorities have become aware of the importance of
regulating migratory flows and have passed laws for the selection of
immigrants. New legislation was voted on July 18, 2006 and passed into law
on January 15, 2007. This law reduces requirements for registration and for the
obtaining of work permits for those migrants who cross, or have crossed, the
border legally. It does not, however, regularize those already present on
Russian territory with no legal status. More than 700,000 foreigners received
work permits in 2006, a small number compared to the millions of illegal
immigrants.110 Thanks to this law, the Russian authorities now have the right
to establish quotas for economic migrants from countries that do not need
visas to enter Russia: for 2008, their number is fixed at only two million.111
Since April 1, 2007, another law concerning limitations on the number of
foreigners in bazaars and retail commerce entered into effect. Its objective
clearly seems to be to appease the xenophobic concerns of the majority of
Russian citizens regarding Central Asians and Caucasians in the small
business sector. On October 2006, Putin gave such feelings public
endorsement, denouncing the “semi-gangs, some of them ethnic” that control
Russia’s wholesale and retail markets, where many migrants work. He said
markets should be regulated “with a view to protect the interests of Russian
producers and those of the native population of Russia.”112 The effect of these
laws is therefore complex: they facilitate the legal migration of seasonal
workers (albeit in numbers quite below demand) and worsen the working
conditions of millions of illegals seeking to move permanently or for long-
term periods to Russia.
110
Feruza Dzhani. “Rossiia: novye pravila dlia torgovtsev-inostrantsev kak ‘fors-
mazhornye obstoiatel’stva’,” [Russia: new rules for foreign vendors presented as ‘a case
of major importance’] January 16, 2007, Ferghana.ru, <http://www.ferghana.ru/article.
php?id=4847> (May 4, 2007).
111
Erica Marat. “Russia decreases Immigration Quota threefold in 2008,” The Central
Asia and Caucasus Analyst, January 9, 2008, <http://www.cacianalyst.org/?q=node/4771>
(January 30, 2008).
112
Steven Lee Myers. “Anti-immigrant views in Russia enter mainstream,” The New
York Times, October 22, 2006, <http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/10/22/news/russia.
php> (July 24, 2007).
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 71
113
See Ziuganov’s personal webpage and the texts published on the site, <http://
www.kprf.ru/personal/zyuganov/> (July 23, 2007).
114
“Dmitrii Rogozin: migranty mechtaiut otomstit’ za rabskoe polozhenie” [Dmitrii
Rogozin: the migrants dream of revenge for their servile condition], Nezavisimaia
gazeta, November 8, 2005, <http://www.ng.ru/politics/2005-11-08/1_rogozin.html>
(September 28, 2006).
115
“Problemy migratsii?” [Are migrations problematic?], Materik, no. 131, October 1,
2005, <http://www.materik.ru/index.php?year=2005&month=10&day=1> (September 28,
2006).
72 Marlène Laruelle
116
“Russkie i predstaviteli drugikh korennykh narodov Rossii dolzhny poluchat’
grazhdanstvo RF avtomaticheski” [The Russians and the Representatives of the
Indigenous Peoples of Russia should automatically receive citizenship of the Russian
Federation], Delovaia Pressa, November 21, 2005, <http://www.businesspress.ru/
newspaper/article_mId_33_aId_361175.html> (September 28, 2006).
117
“Dmitrii Rogozin osudil planiruemuiu v 2006 g. amnistiiu nelegal’nykh migrantov”
[Dmitrii Rogozin condemns the amnesty planned for 2006 for illegal migrants],
Regnum.ru, November 9, 2005, <http://www.regnum.ru/news/moskva/541341.html>
(July 12, 2007).
118
Although the racist allusion appears obvious, Rodina attempted to dispute the verdict
by appealing to the fact that polls predicted it would gain a score of close to 25%,
putting it in second place behind United Russia. It claimed that the authorities had
simply become scared because of this unforeseen competition. The paradox is that
complaint against Rodina was lodged by Zhirinovsky’s LDPR. “Moscow Elections as
Dress Rehearsal for National Elections,” Rian.ru, December 2, 2005, <http://en.rian.ru/
analysis/20051202/42288603.html> (April 10, 2006). On this topic, see Marlène Laruelle.
“Rodina : les mouvances nationalistes russes, du loyalisme à l’opposition,” Kiosque du
CERI, May 2006, <http://www.ceri-sciencespo.com/archive/ mai06/artml.pdf>.
119
“Vitse-spiker Gosdumy nameren ‘naiti obshchii iazyk’ s liderami DPNI” [The vice-
speaker of the Duma seeks common ground with the leaders of the DPNI], Lenta.ru,
January 03, 2007, <http://www.lenta.ru/news/2007/01/03/baburin/> (July 28, 2007).
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 73
120
See, for example, his interview in “Vopros dnia. Chego ot migrantov bol’she – vreda
ili pol’zy?” [Issue of the day. Do migrants bring more harm than good?],
Komsomol’skaia pravda, June 08, 2007, <http://www.kp.ru/daily/23915.4/68382/> (June
28, 2007).
121
Cited in Lidiia Grafova. “Srochno neobkhodima immigratsionnaia amnistiia”
[Amnisty of Migrants as a matter of extreme urgency], Nezavisimaia gazeta, December
11, 2006, <http://www.ng.ru/courier/2006-12-11/19_amnistia.html> (July 27, 2007).
122
“Zhirinovskii budet predstavitelem Kyrgyzstana v Gosdume” [Zhirinovsky to be
Kyrgyzstan’s representative at the Duma], Zakon.ru, July 25, 2006, <www.zakon.kz/
our/news/news.asp?id=30063484> (July 12, 2007).
74 Marlène Laruelle
Grafova, who, for her part, endorses that Russia open up massively to all
categories of migrants. The Institute also violently criticized Belov’s position
and that of the DPNI at the round-table discussion on Russian migration
policy held in September 2006.123 On the migration issue, Zatulin is, then,
inclined to agree with the decisions taken by Kremlin: he desires the opening
of borders to legal migrants, having strict control over the activities of illegal
migrants, and giving Russian citizens priority in small business.
The migration issue is one of the very few policy topics on which Russian
nationalist groups are divided. The most radical are fearful of the influx of
Central Asians and of Caucasians, even legalized ones, and think that any
diluting of Russia’s ethnic Russian character is the foremost danger. For
them, although they are Russophone and former Soviets, these migrants are
first and foremost Muslims and therefore carriers of a culture they consider
too different to be assimilated. They thus call upon the authorities to exercise
caution in relation to the opening of borders and suggest making up for the
demographic dilution of the Federation by returning “ethnic” compatriots and
implementing a voluntarist birth policy. For the other currents, including the
neo-Eurasianists and the Institute of Diaspora and Integration, Russia has no
choice except to open its borders. They therefore endorse a policy of
controlled immigration which promotes legal immigration and severely
penalizes illegals. They also wave the flag of post-Soviet solidarity: it’s better
to encourage migrants from Central Asia and the Caucasus, who are much
closer culturally, than migrants from Asia or the Middle East. Despite these
variations, it is clear that all the nationalist currents endorse an ethnicization
of policy logic: giving specific juridical status to “ethnic” Russians, be they
citizens of Russia or of Central Asia; and regulating migration flows
according to ethnic origin, i.e. the acceptation of former Soviet citizens
immigration but the refusal of all non-Soviet persons.
It results from this analysis of the three principal policy issues of Central
Asian-Russian relations that the majority of nationalist milieus support
Russian official foreign policy. The groupuscules that push for the
123
Aleksandr Kolesnichenko. “Protivniki i storonniki privlecheniia migrantov vstretilis’
v Moskve” [Opponents and Advocates of accepting migrants met in Moscow], Novye
izvestiia, September 18, 2006, <www.newizv.ru/news/2006-09-18/54166/> (July 10, 2007).
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 75
ization of the two possible strategies to which all the country’s citizens will
have to face up: one camp endorses a very restrictive migration policy hoping
for an “ethnically Russian” Russia, though it is hard to see how it could be
viable demographically; the other, more pragmatic camp promotes a policy of
opening up to the Near Abroad, which possesses a wealth and a labor force
that Russia needs. If the Russian authorities opt for the latter, they will give
the country new opportunities for development, but will equally promote the
creation of a new Russian identity in which Central Asian and Caucasians
will become more and more numerous, Islam more and more present, and the
relations with countries situated on its southern fringes more and more
important.
Conclusions
The idea that Russia will only become a great power once again if it regains
its imperial pride is one of the most classic clichés of Russian nationalism in
general. Its most radical supporters want the Federation to recover its
political pre-eminence in the former Soviet Union by reconstructing a supra-
state unity, while more moderate proponents want it to wield greater
geopolitical clout by having its sphere of influence in Eurasia internationally
recognized, or exercise economic influence by bringing the weak economies
of the new post-Soviet states under its control and shaping their economic
choices. Anatolii Chubais’s statements on “liberal empire” (liberal’naia
imperiia) in 2003 indicate to what extent the belief in Russia’s natural imperial
destiny, far from being a defining feature of Far Right, is also espoused by
“Westernizers”.124
However, the idea of Russia as a great power (velikoderzhava), which is clearly
becoming dominant in Russia today, is not strictly synonymous with
Eurasianism. In foreign policy, stating that Russian interests do not coincide
with those of the West, wanting to play a major role in international crises,
e.g. in the Middle East, at eye-level with the United States, or supporting
Serbia or Iran on certain issues, are supported by all the nationalist currents
and not only the “imperialist” movement. In domestic policy, the
authoritarian tendencies of the Putin regime as well as the official talk about
the special features of “Orthodox civilization” and the insurmountable
distinctiveness of the “Russian national character” express the revival of a
certain kind of nationalism and the elevation of a new patriotic ideology to
the rank of official doctrine. But this is not a direct result of Neo-
Eurasianism, nor does it confirm the success of authors such as Alexander
124
Statement by Anatolii Chubais, an important figure in the first Yeltsin governments
and current director of United Energy Systems, made in October 2003,
<http://newsfromrussia.com/main/2003/09/25/50165.html> (April 12, 2005).
78 Marlène Laruelle
Dugin. These ideologies are not specific expressions of Eurasianism; they are
common to all nationalist movements, whose views of contemporary Russia
are heavily influenced by nostalgia for the great power that was the Soviet
Union.
Regardless of their doctrinal references, all the Russian nationalist currents,
even that of neo-Eurasianism, clearly distinguish between the western and
the eastern fringes of the empire: they acknowledge that Russian domination
over the first is not to be taken for granted and must be constantly reasserted,
whereas Central Asia is considered to be “won in advance”. For them, the
region has no more than three choices: remain in the Russian fold, sink into a
state of chronic instability – whether this is because of Islamism or the
criminalization of the state by mafia networks – or come under Chinese
domination. The policy-oriented debates about Russian soft power in Central
Asia and the protection of “compatriots” confirm that the five states are
conceived of as an intrinsic and natural part of the Russian sphere of
influence: political submission and economic control are desired, but not
cultural proximity, which provokes anxiety. Amalgamations between
Islamism, terrorism and mafia thus largely continue to dominate the public
space and the entirety of the Russian political spectrum: Central Asia is
conceived – negatively – as being necessary but burdensome for Russia.
Here is where the migration issue takes on major importance: it is the sole
policy issue in which Central Asia is no longer a simple object of Russian
desire but an actor in its own right. Russian nationalists are aware that such
massive migratory flows, which correspond to real economic needs, cannot be
slowed down: even with tougher legislation, migrants will continue to work,
but clandestinely. The Central Asian populations thus are, on the symbolic
level, taking a form of “revenge” on Russia, since they have a young and
mobile working population. Their massive presence in Russia is part of an
uncontrolled element in the post-Soviet “decolonisation”: the cultural
influences between Russia and Central Asia, the linguistic and social
exchanges, mixed marriages, and the increase in the number of Muslims
within the Federation are no longer factors decided on by Moscow, but
depend in part on Central Asian societies themselves. The old question about
the “nature” of Russia is then effectively resurfacing in a pragmatic fashion.
Russia’s Central Asia Policy and the Role of Russian Nationalism 79