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Intermarket Summary

The document discusses market groups including stocks, commodities, currencies and bonds, and how they are impacted by risk appetite versus risk aversion. It notes that in a bullish, risk-on market, stocks, commodities, high yield currencies rise while low yield currencies, bonds prices fall. The opposite occurs in a bearish, risk-off market. It provides examples of how different asset classes, such as commodities, currencies and bonds, tend to move together or in opposition.

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Smigel Bulet
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135 views10 pages

Intermarket Summary

The document discusses market groups including stocks, commodities, currencies and bonds, and how they are impacted by risk appetite versus risk aversion. It notes that in a bullish, risk-on market, stocks, commodities, high yield currencies rise while low yield currencies, bonds prices fall. The opposite occurs in a bearish, risk-off market. It provides examples of how different asset classes, such as commodities, currencies and bonds, tend to move together or in opposition.

Uploaded by

Smigel Bulet
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOC, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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STOCK

KOMODITI
MARKET GROUP
CURRENCIES
BOND

Risk Appetite

1. Bullish Market

2. US Ekonomi UP

3. Komoditi UP

4. Stock UP

5. High Yield Currencies UP

6. Low Yield Currencies Down

7. Bond Price UP, Bond Yield Down

8. Weak Dollar, Weaker YEN

Risk Aversion (Ketidak tentuan dalam pasaran)

1. Bearish Market

2. US Ekonomi Down

3. Komoditi DOWN

4. Stock DOWN

5. High Yield Currencies DOWN

6. Low Yield Currencies UP

7. Bond PRICE Down, Bond YIELD Up

8. Strong Dollar, Stronger YEN

1
STOCK

WEAK WEAK STRONG

STOCK
USD
& BULL GROUP
&
COMODITY
JPY

STRONG STRONG WEAK

STOCK
USD
& BULL GROUP
&
COMODITY
JPY

WEAK
WEAK STRONG

STOCK , CRUDE, GBP, EUR, NZD,


USD, JPY
COPPER AUD

STRONG STRONG WEAK

STOCK , CRUDE, GBP, EUR, NZD,


USD, JPY
COPPER AUD

STRONG STRONG
FTSE GBP
LONDON

STRONG WEAK WEAK

USD
2
STOCK
&
KOMODITI BOND

JPY
S&P 500

DOW JONES
WALL STREET, USA

NASS DAQ

RUSSEL

Kenaikkan STOCK di Eropah membantu sentiment BULLISH di Wall Street

High Yield CCY (Bull Group) mempunyai kaitan positif dengan STOCK dan KOMODITI

KOMODITY

STRONG STRONG WEAK

3
KOMODIT AUD, NZD AUD, NZD
COPPER
I CAD,
OIL CAD
AUD, USD,
YENYEN
CRUDE WEAK
WEAK
STRONG
STRONG NZD, EUR STRONG
STRONG
STRONG STRONG

GOLD CHF

STRONG STRONG

BOND USD

STRONG STRONG

ENERGIES GBP

ENERGIES : Crude, Gas, Coals, Food, Metal, Copper, Gold, Platinum, Silver

4
AUD, NZD dan CAD merupakan KOMODITI Currencies.

Boleh mempengaruhi Bond, Stock dan Currencies.

Berkadar songsang dengan DOLLAR (USD).

CAD antara pengeksport utama minyak ke US.

Mempunyai relation dengan AUD, NZD, CAD, USD, JPY.

USD dan KOMODIT bergerak berlawanan.

Strong CRUDE = SELL UCAD, BUY CADJPY

Strong CRUDE, akan menjadikan Nikkei melonjak, dan menurunkan YEN (weak)

CURRENCIES

GBP CAD

EUR CHF
5
High Yield CCY Low Yield CCY

AUD USD
NZD YEN
-> High Yield CCY mempunyai Positive colleration dengan Komoditi dan Stock

-> Komoditi Naik, Currencies akan Naik

-> AUD dan NZD kebiasaannya sehala, Pengeksport Gold terbesar. Gold naik, AUD , NZD akan Strong.

GBP
BULL EUR
GROUP
NZD
NEUTRAL CHF
AUD
GROUP
CAD

BEAR USD
GROUP
YEN

SELL BUY

STRONG DOLLAR
USD JPY USDxxx
STRONGER YEN

6
WEAK DOLLAR
WEAKER YEN
BUY SELL

USD JPY USDxxx

BOND

Gov Bond

Gov Treasures

7
Gov Notes

Bond Price Seiring Dollar

STRONG STRONG

BOND USD

STRONG STRONG

BOND USD USD

8
9
10

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