Kalman Filter
Kalman Filter
Kalman filter
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The algorithm works in a two-step process. In the prediction step, the Kalman filter produces
estimates of the current state variables, along with their uncertainties. Once the outcome of the next
measurement (necessarily corrupted with some amount of error, including random noise) is
observed, these estimates are updated using a weighted average, with more weight being given to
estimates with higher certainty. The algorithm is recursive. It can run in real time, using only the
present input measurements and the previously calculated state and its uncertainty matrix; no
additional past information is required.
The Kalman filter does not require any assumption that the errors are Gaussian.[2] However, the filter
yields the exact conditional probability estimate in the special case that all errors are Gaussian-
distributed.
Extensions and generalizations to the method have also been developed, such as the extended
Kalman filter and the unscented Kalman filter which work on nonlinear systems. The underlying
model is a Bayesian model similar to a hidden Markov model but where the state space of the latent
variables is continuous and where all latent and observed variables have Gaussian distributions.
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Contents
◾ 1 Naming and historical development
◾ 2 Overview of the calculation
◾ 3 Example application
◾ 4 Technical description and context
◾ 5 Underlying dynamic system model
◾ 6 Details
◾ 6.1 Predict
◾ 6.2 Update
◾ 6.3 Invariants
◾ 6.4 Estimation of the noise covariances Qk and Rk
◾ 6.5 Optimality and performance
◾ 7 Example application, technical
◾ 8 Derivations
◾ 8.1 Deriving the a posteriori estimate covariance matrix
◾ 8.2 Kalman gain derivation
◾ 8.3 Simplification of the a posteriori error covariance formula
◾ 9 Sensitivity analysis
◾ 10 Square root form
◾ 11 Relationship to recursive Bayesian estimation
◾ 12 Marginal likelihood
◾ 13 Information filter
◾ 14 Fixed-lag smoother
◾ 15 Fixed-interval smoothers
◾ 15.1 Rauch–Tung–Striebel
◾ 15.2 Modified Bryson–Frazier smoother
◾ 15.3 Minimum-variance smoother
◾ 16 Frequency-weighted Kalman filters
◾ 17 Non-linear filters
◾ 17.1 Extended Kalman filter
◾ 17.2 Unscented Kalman filter
◾ 18 Kalman–Bucy filter
◾ 19 Hybrid Kalman filter
◾ 20 Variants for the recovery of sparse signals
◾ 21 Applications
◾ 22 See also
◾ 23 References
◾ 24 Further reading
◾ 25 External links
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filter. Stanley F. Schmidt is generally credited with developing the first implementation of a Kalman
filter. He realized that the filter could be divided into two distinct parts, with one part for time
periods between sensor outputs and another part for incorporating measurements.[5] It was during a
visit by Kálmán to the NASA Ames Research Center that Schmidt saw the applicability of Kálmán's
ideas to the nonlinear problem of trajectory estimation for the Apollo program leading to its
incorporation in the Apollo navigation computer. This Kalman filter was first described and partially
developed in technical papers by Swerling (1958), Kalman (1960) and Kalman and Bucy (1961).
Kalman filters have been vital in the implementation of the navigation systems of U.S. Navy nuclear
ballistic missile submarines, and in the guidance and navigation systems of cruise missiles such as
the U.S. Navy's Tomahawk missile and the U.S. Air Force's Air Launched Cruise Missile. It is also
used in the guidance and navigation systems of the NASA Space Shuttle and the attitude control and
navigation systems of the International Space Station.
This digital filter is sometimes called the Stratonovich–Kalman–Bucy filter because it is a special
case of a more general, non-linear filter developed somewhat earlier by the Soviet mathematician
Ruslan Stratonovich.[6][7][8][9] In fact, some of the special case linear filter's equations appeared in
these papers by Stratonovich that were published before summer 1960, when Kalman met with
Stratonovich during a conference in Moscow.
All measurements and calculations based on models are estimated to some degree. Noisy sensor
data, approximations in the equations that describe how a system changes, and external factors that
are not accounted for introduce some uncertainty about the inferred values for a system's state. The
Kalman filter averages a prediction of a system's state with a new measurement using a weighted
average. The purpose of the weights is that values with better (i.e., smaller) estimated uncertainty are
"trusted" more. The weights are calculated from the covariance, a measure of the estimated
uncertainty of the prediction of the system's state. The result of the weighted average is a new state
estimate that lies between the predicted and measured state, and has a better estimated uncertainty
than either alone. This process is repeated every time step, with the new estimate and its covariance
informing the prediction used in the following iteration. This means that the Kalman filter works
recursively and requires only the last "best guess", rather than the entire history, of a system's state to
calculate a new state.
Because the certainty of the measurements is often difficult to measure precisely, it is common to
discuss the filter's behavior in terms of gain. The Kalman gain is a function of the relative certainty
of the measurements and current state estimate, and can be "tuned" to achieve particular
performance. With a high gain, the filter places more weight on the measurements, and thus follows
them more closely. With a low gain, the filter follows the model predictions more closely, smoothing
out noise but decreasing the responsiveness. At the extremes, a gain of one causes the filter to ignore
the state estimate entirely, while a gain of zero causes the measurements to be ignored.
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When performing the actual calculations for the filter (as discussed below), the state estimate and
covariances are coded into matrices to handle the multiple dimensions involved in a single set of
calculations. This allows for a representation of linear relationships between different state variables
(such as position, velocity, and acceleration) in any of the transition models or covariances.
Example application
As an example application, consider the problem of determining the precise location of a truck. The
truck can be equipped with a GPS unit that provides an estimate of the position within a few meters.
The GPS estimate is likely to be noisy; readings 'jump around' rapidly, though always remaining
within a few meters of the real position. In addition, since the truck is expected to follow the laws of
physics, its position can also be estimated by integrating its velocity over time, determined by
keeping track of wheel revolutions and the angle of the steering wheel. This is a technique known as
dead reckoning. Typically, the dead reckoning will provide a very smooth estimate of the truck's
position, but it will drift over time as small errors accumulate.
In this example, the Kalman filter can be thought of as operating in two distinct phases: predict and
update. In the prediction phase, the truck's old position will be modified according to the physical
laws of motion (the dynamic or "state transition" model) plus any changes produced by the
accelerator pedal and steering wheel. Not only will a new position estimate be calculated, but a new
covariance will be calculated as well. Perhaps the covariance is proportional to the speed of the truck
because we are more uncertain about the accuracy of the dead reckoning position estimate at high
speeds but very certain about the position estimate when moving slowly. Next, in the update phase, a
measurement of the truck's position is taken from the GPS unit. Along with this measurement comes
some amount of uncertainty, and its covariance relative to that of the prediction from the previous
phase determines how much the new measurement will affect the updated prediction. Ideally, if the
dead reckoning estimates tend to drift away from the real position, the GPS measurement should pull
the position estimate back towards the real position but not disturb it to the point of becoming
rapidly changing and noisy.
In most applications, the internal state is much larger (more degrees of freedom) than the few
"observable" parameters which are measured. However, by combining a series of measurements, the
Kalman filter can estimate the entire internal state.
In Dempster–Shafer theory, each state equation or observation is considered a special case of a linear
belief function and the Kalman filter is a special case of combining linear belief functions on a join-
tree or Markov tree. Additional approaches include belief filters which use Bayes or evidential
updates to the state equations.
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A wide variety of Kalman filters have now been developed, from Kalman's original formulation,
now called the "simple" Kalman filter, the Kalman–Bucy filter, Schmidt's "extended" filter, the
information filter, and a variety of "square-root" filters that were developed by Bierman, Thornton
and many others. Perhaps the most commonly used type of very simple Kalman filter is the phase-
locked loop, which is now ubiquitous in radios, especially frequency modulation (FM) radios,
television sets, satellite communications receivers, outer space communications systems, and nearly
any other electronic communications equipment.
In order to use the Kalman filter to estimate the internal state of a process given only a sequence of
noisy observations, one must model the process in accordance with the framework of the Kalman
filter. This means specifying the following matrices: Fk, the state-transition model; Hk, the
observation model; Qk, the covariance of the process noise; Rk, the covariance of the observation
noise; and sometimes Bk, the control-input model, for each time-step, k, as described below.
Model underlying the Kalman filter. Squares represent matrices. Ellipses represent multivariate normal
distributions (with the mean and covariance matrix enclosed). Unenclosed values are vectors. In the simple
case, the various matrices are constant with time, and thus the subscripts are dropped, but the Kalman filter
allows any of them to change each time step.
The Kalman filter model assumes the true state at time k is evolved from the state at (k − 1)
according to
where
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◾ Fk is the state transition model which is applied to the previous state xk−1;
◾ Bk is the control-input model which is applied to the control vector uk;
◾ wk is the process noise which is assumed to be drawn from a zero mean multivariate normal
distribution with covariance Qk.
where Hk is the observation model which maps the true state space into the observed space and vk is
the observation noise which is assumed to be zero mean Gaussian white noise with covariance Rk.
The initial state, and the noise vectors at each step {x0, w1, …, wk, v1 … vk} are all assumed to be
mutually independent.
Many real dynamical systems do not exactly fit this model. In fact, unmodelled dynamics can
seriously degrade the filter performance, even when it was supposed to work with unknown
stochastic signals as inputs. The reason for this is that the effect of unmodelled dynamics depends on
the input, and, therefore, can bring the estimation algorithm to instability (it diverges). On the other
hand, independent white noise signals will not make the algorithm diverge. The problem of
distinguishing between measurement noise and unmodelled dynamics is a difficult one and is treated
in control theory under the framework of robust control.[14][15]
Details
The Kalman filter is a recursive estimator. This means that only the estimated state from the previous
time step and the current measurement are needed to compute the estimate for the current state. In
contrast to batch estimation techniques, no history of observations and/or estimates is required. In
what follows, the notation represents the estimate of at time n given observations up to and
including at time m ≤ n.
◾ , the a posteriori state estimate at time k given observations up to and including at time k;
◾ , the a posteriori error covariance matrix (a measure of the estimated accuracy of the state
estimate).
The Kalman filter can be written as a single equation, however it is most often conceptualized as two
distinct phases: "Predict" and "Update". The predict phase uses the state estimate from the previous
timestep to produce an estimate of the state at the current timestep. This predicted state estimate is
also known as the a priori state estimate because, although it is an estimate of the state at the current
timestep, it does not include observation information from the current timestep. In the update phase,
the current a priori prediction is combined with current observation information to refine the state
estimate. This improved estimate is termed the a posteriori state estimate.
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Typically, the two phases alternate, with the prediction advancing the state until the next scheduled
observation, and the update incorporating the observation. However, this is not necessary; if an
observation is unavailable for some reason, the update may be skipped and multiple prediction steps
performed. Likewise, if multiple independent observations are available at the same time, multiple
update steps may be performed (typically with different observation matrices Hk).[16][17]
Predict
Update
The formula for the updated estimate covariance above is only valid for the optimal Kalman gain.
Usage of other gain values requires a more complex formula found in the derivations section.
Invariants
If the model is accurate, and the values for and accurately reflect the distribution of the
initial state values, then the following invariants are preserved:
◾
◾
where is the expected value of . That is, all estimates have a mean error of zero.
Also:
◾
◾
◾
Practical implementation of the Kalman Filter is often difficult due to the difficulty of getting a good
estimate of the noise covariance matrices Qk and Rk. Extensive research has been done in this field to
estimate these covariances from data. One of the more promising and practical approaches to do this
is the autocovariance least-squares (ALS) technique that uses the time-lagged autocovariances of
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routine operating data to estimate the covariances.[18][19] The GNU Octave and Matlab code used to
calculate the noise covariance matrices using the ALS technique is available online under the GNU
General Public License license.[20]
It follows from theory that the Kalman filter is optimal in cases where a) the model perfectly
matches the real system, b) the entering noise is white and Gaussian and c) the covariances of the
noise are exactly known. Several methods for the noise covariance estimation have been proposed
during past decades, including ALS, mentioned in the section above. After the covariances are
estimated, it is useful to evaluate the performance of the filter, i.e. whether it is possible to improve
the state estimation quality. If the Kalman filter works optimally, the innovation sequence (the output
prediction error) is a white noise, therefore the whiteness property of the innovations measures filter
performance. Several different methods can be used for this purpose.[21] If the noise terms are non-
Gaussian distributed, methods for assessing performance of the filter estimate, which use probability
inequalities or large-sample theory, are given in [22] and.[23]
The position and velocity of the truck are described by the linear state space
where is the velocity, that is, the derivative of position with respect to time.
We assume that between the (k − 1) and k timestep uncontrolled forces cause a constant acceleration
of ak that is normally distributed, with mean 0 and standard deviation σa. From Newton's laws of
motion we conclude that
(note that there is no term since we have no known control inputs. Instead, we assume that ak is
the effect of an unknown input and applies that effect to the state vector) where
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and
so that
where and
Please note that the matrix is not full rank (it is of rank one iff ). Hence, the distribution
is not absolutely continuous and has no probability density function. It is more rigorous to
write that
At each time step, a noisy measurement of the true position of the truck is made. Let us suppose the
measurement noise vk is also normally distributed, with mean 0 and standard deviation σz.
where
and
We know the initial starting state of the truck with perfect precision, so we initialize
and to tell the filter that we know the exact position and velocity, we give it a zero covariance
matrix:
If the initial position and velocity are not known perfectly, the covariance matrix should be
initialized with suitable variances on its diagonal:
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The filter will then prefer the information from the first measurements over the information already
in the model.
Derivations
Deriving the a posteriori estimate covariance matrix
and substitute
and
Since the measurement error vk is uncorrelated with the other terms, this becomes
This formula (sometimes known as the "Joseph form" of the covariance update equation) is valid
for any value of Kk. It turns out that if Kk is the optimal Kalman gain, this can be simplified further
as shown below.
The Kalman filter is a minimum mean-square error estimator. The error in the a posteriori state
estimation is
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We seek to minimize the expected value of the square of the magnitude of this vector,
. This is equivalent to minimizing the trace of the a posteriori estimate covariance
matrix . By expanding out the terms in the equation above and collecting, we get:
The trace is minimized when its matrix derivative with respect to the gain matrix is zero. Using the
gradient matrix rules and the symmetry of the matrices involved we find that
This gain, which is known as the optimal Kalman gain, is the one that yields MMSE estimates when
used.
The formula used to calculate the a posteriori error covariance can be simplified when the Kalman
gain equals the optimal value derived above. Multiplying both sides of our Kalman gain formula on
the right by SkKkT, it follows that
Referring back to our expanded formula for the a posteriori error covariance,
This formula is computationally cheaper and thus nearly always used in practice, but is only correct
for the optimal gain. If arithmetic precision is unusually low causing problems with numerical
stability, or if a non-optimal Kalman gain is deliberately used, this simplification cannot be applied;
the a posteriori error covariance formula as derived above (Joseph form) must be used.
Sensitivity analysis
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The Kalman filtering equations provide an estimate of the state and its error covariance
recursively. The estimate and its quality depend on the system parameters and the noise statistics fed
as inputs to the estimator. This section analyzes the effect of uncertainties in the statistical inputs to
the filter.[24] In the absence of reliable statistics or the true values of noise covariance matrices
and , the expression
This discussion is limited to the error sensitivity analysis for the case of statistical uncertainties. Here
the actual noise covariances are denoted by and respectively, whereas the design values used
in the estimator are and respectively. The actual error covariance is denoted by and
as computed by the Kalman filter is referred to as the Riccati variable. When and
, this means that . While computing the actual error covariance using
, substituting for and using the fact that
and , results in the following recursive equations for :
and
Positive definite matrices have the property that they have a triangular matrix square root P = S·ST.
This can be computed efficiently using the Cholesky factorization algorithm, but more importantly,
if the covariance is kept in this form, it can never have a negative diagonal or become asymmetric.
An equivalent form, which avoids many of the square root operations required by the matrix square
root yet preserves the desirable numerical properties, is the U-D decomposition form, P = U·D·UT,
where U is a unit triangular matrix (with unit diagonal), and D is a diagonal matrix.
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Between the two, the U-D factorization uses the same amount of storage, and somewhat less
computation, and is the most commonly used square root form. (Early literature on the relative
efficiency is somewhat misleading, as it assumed that square roots were much more time-consuming
than divisions,[25]:69 while on 21-st century computers they are only slightly more expensive.)
Efficient algorithms for the Kalman prediction and update steps in the square root form were
developed by G. J. Bierman and C. L. Thornton.[25][26]
The L·D·LT decomposition of the innovation covariance matrix Sk is the basis for another type of
numerically efficient and robust square root filter.[27] The algorithm starts with the LU
decomposition as implemented in the Linear Algebra PACKage (LAPACK). These results are
further factored into the L·D·LT structure with methods given by Golub and Van Loan (algorithm
4.1.2) for a symmetric nonsingular matrix.[28] Any singular covariance matrix is pivoted so that the
first diagonal partition is nonsingular and well-conditioned. The pivoting algorithm must retain any
portion of the innovation covariance matrix directly corresponding to observed state-variables
Hk·xk|k-1 that are associated with auxiliary observations in yk. The l·d·lt square-root filter requires
orthogonalization of the observation vector.[26][27] This may be done with the inverse square-root of
the covariance matrix for the auxiliary variables using Method 2 in Higham (2002, p. 263).[29]
In recursive Bayesian estimation, the true state is assumed to be an unobserved Markov process, and
the measurements are the observed states of a hidden Markov model (HMM).
because of the Markov assumption, the true state is conditionally independent of all earlier states
given the immediately previous state.
Similarly, the measurement at the k-th timestep is dependent only upon the current state and is
conditionally independent of all other states given the current state.
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Using these assumptions the probability distribution over all states of the hidden Markov model can
be written simply as:
However, when the Kalman filter is used to estimate the state x, the probability distribution of
interest is that associated with the current states conditioned on the measurements up to the current
timestep. This is achieved by marginalizing out the previous states and dividing by the probability of
the measurement set.
This leads to the predict and update steps of the Kalman filter written probabilistically. The
probability distribution associated with the predicted state is the sum (integral) of the products of the
probability distribution associated with the transition from the (k − 1)-th timestep to the k-th and the
probability distribution associated with the previous state, over all possible .
The probability distribution of the update is proportional to the product of the measurement
likelihood and the predicted state.
The denominator
is a normalization term.
Note that the PDF at the previous timestep is inductively assumed to be the estimated state and
covariance. This is justified because, as an optimal estimator, the Kalman filter makes best use of the
measurements, therefore the PDF for given the measurements is the Kalman filter estimate.
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Marginal likelihood
Related to the recursive Bayesian interpretation described above, the Kalman filter can be viewed as
a generative model, i.e., a process for generating a stream of random observations z = (z0, z1, z2, …).
Specifically, the process is
Note that this process has identical structure to the hidden Markov model, except that the discrete
state and observations are replaced with continuous variables sampled from Gaussian distributions.
In some applications, it is useful to compute the probability that a Kalman filter with a given set of
parameters (prior distribution, transition and observation models, and control inputs) would generate
a particular observed signal. This probability is known as the marginal likelihood because it
integrates over ("marginalizes out") the values of the hidden state variables, so it can be computed
using only the observed signal. The marginal likelihood can be useful to evaluate different parameter
choices, or to compare the Kalman filter against other models using Bayesian model comparison.
It is straightforward to compute the marginal likelihood as a side effect of the recursive filtering
computation. By the chain rule, the likelihood can be factored as the product of the probability of
each observation given previous observations,
and because the Kalman filter describes a Markov process, all relevant information from previous
observations is contained in the current state estimate Thus the marginal likelihood
is given by
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i.e., a product of Gaussian densities, each corresponding to the density of one observation zk under
the current filtering distribution . This can easily be computed as a simple recursive
update; however, to avoid numeric underflow, in a practical implementation it is usually desirable to
compute the log marginal likelihood instead. Adopting the convention , this
can be done via the recursive update rule
An important application where such a (log) likelihood of the observations (given the filter
parameters) is used is multi-target tracking. For example, consider an object tracking scenario where
a stream of observations is the input, however, it is unknown how many objects are in the scene (or,
the number of objects is known but is greater than one). In such a scenario, it can be unknown apriori
which observations/measurements were generated by which object. A multiple hypothesis tracker
(MHT) typically will form different track association hypotheses, where each hypothesis can be
viewed as a Kalman filter (in the linear Gaussian case) with a specific set of parameters associated
with the hypothesized object. Thus, it is important to compute the likelihood of the observations for
the different hypotheses under consideration, such that the most-likely one can be found.
Information filter
In the information filter, or inverse covariance filter, the estimated covariance and estimated state are
replaced by the information matrix and information vector respectively. These are defined as:
Similarly the predicted covariance and state have equivalent information forms, defined as:
as have the measurement covariance and measurement vector, which are defined as:
The main advantage of the information filter is that N measurements can be filtered at each timestep
simply by summing their information matrices and vectors.
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To predict the information filter the information matrix and vector can be converted back to their
state space equivalents, or alternatively the information space prediction can be used.[32]
Note that if F and Q are time invariant these values can be cached. Note also that F and Q need to be
invertible.
Fixed-lag smoother
The optimal fixed-lag smoother provides the optimal estimate of for a given fixed-lag
using the measurements from to .[33] It can be derived using the previous theory via an
augmented state, and the main equation of the filter is the following:
where:
and
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where and are the prediction error covariance and the gains of the standard Kalman filter
(i.e., ).
Fixed-interval smoothers
The optimal fixed-interval smoother provides the optimal estimate of ( ) using the
measurements from a fixed interval to . This is also called "Kalman Smoothing". There are
several smoothing algorithms in common use.
Rauch–Tung–Striebel
The Rauch–Tung–Striebel (RTS) smoother is an efficient two-pass algorithm for fixed interval
smoothing.[34]
The forward pass is the same as the regular Kalman filter algorithm. These filtered a-priori and
a-posteriori state estimates , and covariances , are saved for use in the
backwards pass.
In the backwards pass, we compute the smoothed state estimates and covariances . We start
at the last time step and proceed backwards in time using the following recursive equations:
where
Note that is the a-posteriori state estimate of timestep and is the a-priori state estimate
of timestep . The same notation applies to the covariance.
An alternative to the RTS algorithm is the modified Bryson–Frazier (MBF) fixed interval smoother
developed by Bierman.[26] This also uses a backward pass that processes data saved from the Kalman
filter forward pass. The equations for the backward pass involve the recursive computation of data
which are used at each observation time to compute the smoothed state and covariance.
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where is the residual covariance and . The smoothed state and covariance can
then be found by substitution in the equations
or
An important advantage of the MBF is that it does not require finding the inverse of the covariance
matrix.
Minimum-variance smoother
The minimum-variance smoother can attain the best-possible error performance, provided that the
models are linear, their parameters and the noise statistics are known precisely.[35] This smoother is a
time-varying state-space generalization of the optimal non-causal Wiener filter.
The smoother calculations are done in two passes. The forward calculations involve a one-step-ahead
predictor and are given by
The above system is known as the inverse Wiener-Hopf factor. The backward recursion is the adjoint
of the above forward system. The result of the backward pass may be calculated by operating the
forward equations on the time-reversed and time reversing the result. In the case of output
estimation, the smoothed estimate is given by
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which is identical to the minimum-variance Kalman filter. The above solutions minimize the
variance of the output estimation error. Note that the Rauch–Tung–Striebel smoother derivation
assumes that the underlying distributions are Gaussian, whereas the minimum-variance solutions do
not. Optimal smoothers for state estimation and input estimation can be constructed similarly.
In cases where the models are nonlinear, step-wise linearizations may be within the minimum-
variance filter and smoother recursions (extended Kalman filtering).
Typically, a frequency shaping function is used to weight the average power of the error spectral
density in a specified frequency band. Let - denote the output estimation error exhibited by a
conventional Kalman filter. Also, let denote a causal frequency weighting transfer function. The
optimum solution which minimizes the variance of ( - ) arises by simply constructing
.
The design of remains an open question. One way of proceeding is to identify a system which
generates the estimation error and setting equal to the inverse of that system.[39] This procedure
may be iterated to obtain mean-square error improvement at the cost of increased filter order. The
same technique can be applied to smoothers.
Non-linear filters
The basic Kalman filter is limited to a linear assumption. More complex systems, however, can be
nonlinear. The non-linearity can be associated either with the process model or with the observation
model or with both.
In the extended Kalman filter (EKF), the state transition and observation models need not be linear
functions of the state but may instead be non-linear functions. These functions are of differentiable
type.
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The function f can be used to compute the predicted state from the previous estimate and similarly
the function h can be used to compute the predicted measurement from the predicted state. However,
f and h cannot be applied to the covariance directly. Instead a matrix of partial derivatives (the
Jacobian) is computed.
At each timestep the Jacobian is evaluated with current predicted states. These matrices can be used
in the Kalman filter equations. This process essentially linearizes the non-linear function around the
current estimate.
When the state transition and observation models—that is, the predict and update functions and
[40]
—are highly non-linear, the extended Kalman filter can give particularly poor performance. This
is because the covariance is propagated through linearization of the underlying non-linear model.
The unscented Kalman filter (UKF) [40] uses a deterministic sampling technique known as the
unscented transform to pick a minimal set of sample points (called sigma points) around the mean.
These sigma points are then propagated through the non-linear functions, from which a new mean
and covariance estimate are then formed. The result is a filter which, for certain systems, more
accurately estimates the true mean and covariance.[41] This can be verified with Monte Carlo
sampling or Taylor series expansion of the posterior statistics. In addition, this technique removes
the requirement to explicitly calculate Jacobians, which for complex functions can be a difficult task
in itself (i.e., requiring complicated derivatives if done analytically or being computationally costly if
done numerically), if not impossible (if those functions are not differentiable).
Predict
As with the EKF, the UKF prediction can be used independently from the UKF update, in
combination with a linear (or indeed EKF) update, or vice versa.
The estimated state and covariance are augmented with the mean and covariance of the process
noise.
A set of 2L + 1 sigma points is derived from the augmented state and covariance where L is the
dimension of the augmented state.
where
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The matrix square root should be calculated using numerically efficient and stable methods such as
the Cholesky decomposition.
where . The weighted sigma points are recombined to produce the predicted state and
covariance.
where the weights for the state and covariance are given by:
and control the spread of the sigma points. is related to the distribution of . Normal values
are , and . If the true distribution of is Gaussian, is optimal.[42]
Update
The predicted state and covariance are augmented as before, except now with the mean and
covariance of the measurement noise.
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As before, a set of 2L + 1 sigma points is derived from the augmented state and covariance where L
is the dimension of the augmented state.
Alternatively if the UKF prediction has been used the sigma points themselves can be augmented
along the following lines
where
The weighted sigma points are recombined to produce the predicted measurement and predicted
measurement covariance.
As with the Kalman filter, the updated state is the predicted state plus the innovation weighted by the
Kalman gain,
And the updated covariance is the predicted covariance, minus the predicted measurement
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Kalman–Bucy filter
The Kalman–Bucy filter (named after Richard Snowden Bucy) is a continuous time version of the
Kalman filter.[43][44]
where and represent the intensities of the two white noise terms and ,
respectively.
The filter consists of two differential equations, one for the state estimate and one for the covariance:
Note that in this expression for the covariance of the observation noise represents at the
same time the covariance of the prediction error (or innovation) ; these
covariances are equal only in the case of continuous time.[45]
The distinction between the prediction and update steps of discrete-time Kalman filtering does not
exist in continuous time.
The second differential equation, for the covariance, is an example of a Riccati equation.
where
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Initialize
Predict
The prediction equations are derived from those of continuous-time Kalman filter without update
from measurements, i.e., . The predicted state and covariance are calculated respectively
by solving a set of differential equations with the initial value equal to the estimate at the previous
step.
Update
The update equations are identical to those of the discrete-time Kalman filter.
Applications
◾ Attitude and heading reference systems
◾ Autopilot
◾ Battery state of charge (SoC) estimation[49][50]
◾ Brain-computer interface
◾ Chaotic signals
◾ Tracking and vertex fitting of charged particles in particle detectors[51]
◾ Tracking of objects in computer vision
◾ Dynamic positioning
◾ Economics, in particular macroeconomics, time series analysis, and econometrics[52][53]
◾ Inertial guidance system
◾ Nuclear medicine – single photon emission computed tomography image restoration[54]
◾ Orbit Determination
◾ Power system state estimation
◾ Radar tracker
◾ Satellite navigation systems
◾ Seismology[55]
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See also
◾ Alpha beta filter ◾ Invariant extended ◾ Recursive least squares
◾ Bayesian MMSE Kalman filter ◾ Schmidt–Kalman filter
estimator ◾ Kernel adaptive filter ◾ Separation principle
◾ Covariance intersection ◾ Linear-quadratic- ◾ Sliding mode control
◾ Data assimilation Gaussian control ◾ Stochastic differential
◾ Ensemble Kalman filter ◾ Masreliez’s theorem equations
◾ Extended Kalman filter ◾ Moving horizon ◾ Volterra series
◾ Fast Kalman filter estimation ◾ Wiener filter
◾ Filtering problem ◾ Non-linear filter ◾ Zakai equation
(stochastic processes) ◾ Particle filter estimator
◾ Generalized filtering ◾ Predictor corrector
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Further reading
◾ Einicke, G.A. (2012). Smoothing, Filtering and Prediction: Estimating the Past, Present and Future.
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External links
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