Sampling Distribution Practice Problems Solutions
Sampling Distribution Practice Problems Solutions
1. The company JCrew advertises that 95% of its online orders ship within two working
days. You select a random sample of 200 of the 10,000 orders received over the past month to
audit. The audit reveals that 180 of these orders shipped on time. This is a categorical problem
(sample proportion).
= 180/200 = 0.9
b. Does the sample data satisfy conditions necessary for the sample proportion to follow an
approximately normal distribution?
c. What is the mean and standard error (SE) of the sample distribution assuming normal?
mean = p = 0.95
SE = square root of [p(1-p)/n] = square root of [(0.95)(1-0.95)/200] = 0.015
d. If JCrew really ships 95% of its orders on time, what is probability that the proportion in a
random sample of 200 orders is as small or smaller as the proportion in the audit?
P(
<= 0.9) when n=200. P(Z <=(
- p)/SE) = P(Z <=(0.9 - 0.95/0.015) = P(Z <= -3.33). Closest to
this on from the Standard Normal Table is -3.09, P = 0.001. Thus, P(Z <= -3.33) is less than
0.001.
e. If we treated the problem as a binomial, how would the problem be set up? That is, what
would we want to find the probability of?
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2. A Gallup poll found that for those Americans who have lost weight, 31% believed the most
effective strategy involved exercise. What is the probability that from random sample of 300
Americans the sample proportion falls between 29% and 33%? Categorical (sample proportion).
n = 300, p = 0.31
np = (300)(0.31) = 90
n(1-p) = (300)(1-0.31) = 210
Both >= 5, 10 or 15
P(0.29 <=
<= 0.33) = P(
<= 0.33) P(
<= 0.29)
SE = square root of [(0.31)(0.69)/300] = 0.0267
P(Z<= (0.33 0.31)/0.0267) P(Z <= (0.29 0.31)/0.0267)
P(Z<= 0.75) P(Z <= - 0.75)
From the Standard Normal Table, we find these two probabilities to be:
0.7734 0.2266 = 0.5468
3. A bottling company uses a machine to fill the bottles with olive oil. The bottles are designed
to contain 475 milliliters (ml). In fact, the contents vary according to a normal distribution with
a mean of 473 ml and standard deviation of 3 ml. Quantitative (sample mean).
a. What is the distribution, mean, and standard error of the sample mean of six randomly
selected bottles?
b. What is the probability that the mean of six bottles is less than 470 ml?
P(
< 470) = P(Z < (
)/SE) = P(Z < (470-473)/1.22) = P(Z < - 0.246). From the Standard
Normal Table we find P(Z < - 0.246) = 0.0069.
c. What is probability that the mean of six bottles is more than 475 ml?
P(
> 475) = P(Z > (
)/SE) = P(Z > (475-473)/1.22) = P(Z > 1.64 ) = 1 P(Z < 1.64). From the
Standard Normal Table for P(Z < 1.64) 0.9495 resulting in final probability of 1 0.9495 =
0.0505
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4. Penn State Fleet which operates and manages car rentals for Penn State employees found
that the tire lifetime for their vehicles has a mean of 50,000 miles and standard deviation of
3500 miles. Quantitative (sample mean).
a. What would be the distribution, mean and standard error mean lifetime of a random sample
of 50 vehicles?
b. What is the probability that the sample mean lifetime for these 50 vehicles exceeds 52,000?
P(
> 52,000) = P(Z > (
)/SE) = P(Z > (52,000 - 50,000)/495) = P(Z > 4.04). From the
Standard Normal Table we it only goes to 3.09, cumulative probability of 0.999. P(Z > 4.04) = 1
- 0.999 = 0.001. P(Z > 4.04) is less than 0.001.