8η έκδοση του 'Ατλαντα για το Διαβήτη του IDF
8η έκδοση του 'Ατλαντα για το Διαβήτη του IDF
8η έκδοση του 'Ατλαντα για το Διαβήτη του IDF
Table of contents
Acknowledgements 5
Forewords 6
Executive summary 8
Introduction 12
Chapter 2 Methodology 26
Gathering data sources 28
Selecting data sources 29
Data sources for IDF regions 30
Estimating diabetes prevalence 32
Age-adjusted comparative estimates 33
Estimating undiagnosed diabetes 34
Extrapolating data 35
Estimating confidence intervals 35
Estimating impaired glucose tolerance prevalence 36
Estimating the prevalence of hyperglycaemia in pregnancy 37
Estimating type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents 38
Estimating diabetes-related mortality 39
Estimating healthcare expenditures 39
Appendix 108
Country summary table: estimates for 2017 110
Abbreviations and acronyms 128
Glossary 130
References 133
List of tables, maps and figures 145
4
No part of this publication may be reproduced, translated, or transmitted in any form or by any
means without the prior written permission of the International Diabetes Federation.
ISBN: 978-2-930229-87-4
The boundaries and names shown and the designations used in this report do not imply the
expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the International Diabetes Federation
concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities,
or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.
Acknowledgements
Editorial team
Suvi Karuranga, Joao da Rocha Fernandes,
Yadi Huang, Belma Malanda.
Contributors
The International Diabetes Federation (IDF) would
like to thank the following contributors: Jeannette
Aldworth, Chris Patterson, Esther Jacobs, Anoop
Misra, Elizabeth B Snouffer, Lorenzo Piemonte,
Romina Savuleac, Beatriz Yanez Jimenez, Delphine
Sartiaux, Sabine Dupont, Lydia Makaroff, Shaukat
Sadikot, Dominique Robert, Sameer Pathan, Els
Sung, Merry Rivas Gonzalez, Ammar Ibrahim, Ronan
LHeveder, Mohamed Hassanein, Anne W Ohlrogge.
Data
The list of studies on which estimates in the IDF
Diabetes Atlas can be found at:
www.diabetesatlas.org
Corporate sponsors
IDF would like to express its thanks to the following
supporters of the eight edition:
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
6
Forewords
Diabetes, a disease no longer associated with affluence, Health professionals in primary healthcare should be
is on the rise across the globe as reported in this 8th adequately and appropriately trained about diabetes
edition of the IDF Diabetes Atlas 2017. The indicators prevention and care, and provided with necessary
are significant: millions of people are being destroyed screening tools and diabetes medications.
by the current diabetes pandemic which substantiates
As part of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable
IDFs mission and rigorous efforts to provide solutions
Development, Member States of the United Nations set
to this worldwide health crisis. Already for some time,
an ambitious target to reduce premature mortality from
diabetes and other noncommunicable diseases (NCDs)
NCDsincluding diabetesby one-third; provide access
that share similar risk factors have represented a
to affordable essential medicines; and achieve universal
primary threat to health and human development.
health coverage, all by 2030. We have an enormous task
Since the first IDF Diabetes Atlas was published in
ahead of us, which is why we welcome the new edition
2000, the fact that the incidence and prevalence of
of IDF Diabetes Atlas.
diabetes continues to rise is self-evident. However, the
devastating short and long-term effects of the disease Going forward, IDF is calling for all nations around
on our world become more detailed with each new the globe affected by the diabetes pandemic to work
edition of the Atlas. towards the full implementation of Sustainable
Development Goals and raise awareness about diabetes
At present, nearly half a billion people live with diabetes.
since ignorance and misconception remain widespread.
Low and middle income countries carry almost 80% of
the diabetes burden. Rapid urbanization, unhealthy diets This report reminds us that effectively addressing
and increasingly sedentary lifestyles have resulted in diabetes does not just happen. It is the result of
previously unheard higher rates of obesity and diabetes a collective consensus, commitment and public
and many countries do not have adequate resources to investment in interventions that are affordable,
provide preventive or medical care for their populations. cost-effective and based upon the best available
Up-to-date studies and analysis reveal clearly that we evidence. Please join me in ensuring that the findings
need a robust and more dynamic response not only in this report are utilised and its recommendations
from different governmental sectors, but also from civil implemented and adhered to so that we may indeed halt
societies, patient organizations, food producers and the rise in diabetes.
pharmaceutical manufacturers.
I am honoured to introduce the 8th edition of the Diabetes is a major contributor to cardiovascular
IFF Diabetes Atlas 2017, a global reference report diseases and is the eleventh common cause of disability
setting the standard for estimates of diabetes worldwide. Undiagnosed or poorly managed diabetes
prevalence and its related burden. Building on the can lead to lower limb amputation, blindness and kidney
substratum of the previous editions, the data affirm an disease. Diabetes also exacerbates major infectious
abrupt rise in diabetes and forecast for doubling the diseases such as TB, HIV/AIDS and malaria. For the first
current numbers in many regions by 2045. time, diabetes complications have a dedicated chapter
in this edition.
There is an urgency for greater action to improve
diabetes outcomes and reduce the global burden of Diabetes can be successfully managed and
diabetes now affecting more than 425 million people, complications prevented, especially when detected
of which one-third are people older than 65 years. early. Even better, by making lifestyle changes, such
The estimates of children and adolescents below age as improving diet and physical exercise, the risk of
19 with type 1 diabetes has risen to over a million. If developing type 2 diabetes can be diminished markedly.
nothing is done, the number of people with diabetes Type 2 diabetes starts long before symptoms present.
may rise to 693 million in 2045, although positively the However, diagnosing and treating the disease timely and
incidence has started to drop in some high income appropriately reduces serious and costly complications
countries. At the same time, a further 352 million and death.
people with impaired glucose tolerance are at high risk
Many countries still lack prevalence studies and many
of developing diabetes.
populations are not systematically surveyed. Still,
By the end of this year, 4 million deaths will happen as a more multi-dimensional and multi-sectoral research
result of diabetes and its complications. Alongside other is needed to strengthen the evidence base and to
noncommunicable diseases, diabetes is increasing gather greater knowledge as a basis for methods and
most markedly in the cities of low and middle income programmes to tackle the diabetes epidemic.
countries. The IDF South-East Asia and Western Pacific
regions are at the epicentre of the diabetes crisis: China
alone has 121 million people with diabetes and Indias
diabetes population totals 74 million. African, Middle
Eastern and Northern African and South-East Asian
regions are expected to face the highest upsurge in
the next 28 years. People from these regions develop
disease earlier, get sicker and die sooner than their
counterparts in wealthier nations.
FOREWORDS
8
Executive Summary
The IDF Diabetes Atlas is the authoritative source For the 8th edition, 43 new data sources published
of evidence for health professionals, academics and between January 2015 and December 2016 from
policy-makers on the burden of diabetes. Global, 39 countries were added to the IDF Diabetes Atlas
regional and national estimates are produced for database. The total number of data sources, which
prevalence of diabetes, impaired glucose tolerance were selected to estimate diabetes prevalence,
(IGT), undiagnosed diabetes, mortality, healthcare was 221, which represents 131 countries. For the
expenditure, hyperglycaemia in pregnancy, and type remaining countries, without good-quality local
1 diabetes in children and adolescents. The IDF data sources, the prevalence was estimated from
Diabetes Atlas, published since 2000, is available countries with similar characteristics such as
in print and as a free digital download. The Atlas ethnicity, language, income level and geography.
website includes an interactive and dynamic map,
Two sets of prevalence figures, crude prevalence
scientific publications and detailed data.
and age-adjusted comparative prevalence, are
Framework of analysis provided for each estimate. The crude prevalence
indicates the percentage of each population that
The IDF Diabetes Atlas methodology and data
has diabetes and is appropriate for assessing
sources are reviewed every two years, with a
the burden of diabetes for each area. The age-
scientific committee composed of representatives
adjusted comparative prevalence has been
from each of the seven IDF regions. Since the
calculated by assuming that every country and
IDF Diabetes Atlas 2015 edition, confidence intervals
territory has the same age profile, which makes
have been produced that provide a plausible range
this figure appropriate for making comparisons
within which 95% of the true diabetes prevalence can
between countries and between IDF regions.
be expected to belong. The prevalence and incidence
of type 1 diabetes among children and adolescents New in 2017
have been estimated since 2015.
The methodology for the 8th edition of the IDF
There may be some discrepancies between Diabetes Atlas has been improved. The relative
estimates in the IDF Diabetes Atlas and other risk ratio of mortality has been updated, the
reported national estimates. This may be due to children and adolescent age group has been
a difference in sampling methods or populations. expanded to 0-19 years old, and estimates for
This 8th edition of the IDF Diabetes Atlas uses diabetes prevalence among the 18-99 years group
age-stratified diabetes prevalence and a consistent has been calculated in addition to that for the 20-
methodology to estimate the diabetes prevalence for 79 age-group.
people aged 18-99 and 20-79 with diabetes across
Diabetes among people older than 65 years has
221 countries and territories. As a result, other
been further analysed and a new chapter has been
national estimates may report a different
added to describe diabetes related complications
number of diabetes cases but the numbers
including cardiovascular disease, eye disease,
are similar compared to the estimation of the
nephropathy, diabetic foot, oral health and
IDF Diabetes Atlas.
pregnancy-related complications.
What the IDF Diabetes Atlas analyses
IDF Diabetes Atlas estimates the prevalence of
diabetes and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and
the percentage of diabetes that is undiagnosed.
Number of people with diabetes worldwide and per region in 2017 and 2045 (20-79 years)
2045
increase 151million
84% 82million
2045 2017
2045
increase 42million
increase 41million
62% 26million
Colour palette // Regions 156% 16million
Colour palette // 6 colour way
South Brand Colours
3 colour way // Tables in Appendices
2017 East Asia 2045
2017
increase 183million
South & Central 15% 159million
America Africa 2045
2017
629million
increase
48% 425million Western
2017
Pacific
WORLD
Diabetes by age
2045
2017
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
10
180
160
Mean expenditure per person
with diabetes (ID):
140
<1,000
millions
diabetes- -inInmillions
120 1,001-2,000
100 2,001-3,000
withdiabetes
80
AFR
3,001-4,000 EUR
60 MENA
peoplewith
NAC
Numberofofpeople
40
SACA
20 >4,001
SEA
Number
WP
0
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450
USD
USD -- Healthcare
Healthcare expenditure
expenditure in
inbillions
billions
100%
age
ofage
80%
yearsof
AFR
death under
30-59 EUR
MENA
ofofdeaths
40%
60-89
NAC
Proportion
20% SACA
Proportion
>90 SEA
WP
0 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Proportion
Proportion of diabetes
of diabetes cases
cases undiagnosed
undiagnosed
Top 10 countries for number of adults with Top 10 countries for number of children and
diabetes (20-79 years) and their healthcare adolescents with type 1 diabetes (<20 years), 2017
expenditure, 2017
348
200,000
120 120
million billion ID
114
169.900
110
175,000
108 108
96 96 150,000
128.500
84 84
125,000
72 72
73
100,000
88.300
60 60
75,000
48 48
42
47.000
43.100 42.500 40.300 50,000
30 35.000
36 36
32 31.800
28.600
24 25,000
24 20 24
19
13 12 10
12 12 Br 0
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Number of adults (20-79 years) with IGT per IDF Rural and urban prevalence
region, 2017 127
120
millon
100 2017
54
60
40
40 36 33 33 29
2045
20
156 million 473 million
diabetic people diabetic people
0 will live in rural areas will live in urban areas
AFR EUR MENA NAC SACA SEA WP
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
12
Introduction
Diabetes in all forms imposes an unacceptably The estimates of mortality due to diabetes show
high human, social and economic cost on that the number of deaths is considerable and
countries at all income levels. Since the first is of a similar or greater magnitude to other
edition in 2000, the IDF Diabetes Atlas has been non-communicable diseases. At the same time,
reporting the results and analysis of the continuing the projections for healthcare expenditures due
growth in rates of diabetes incidence and to diabetes show that there is a wide variation
prevalence worldwide. This 8th edition brings new in spending between countries and that more
evidence of a similar kind and carries a drastic and resources should be invested in cost-effective
unescapable message: despite the numerous tools interventions, particularly in low and middle
available to tackle the disease, diabetes and its income countries.
complications are more and more prevalent.
Chapter 4, Diabetes by region provides an
This 8 edition of the IDF Diabetes Atlas contains
th
overview of the diabetes situation in each of the
expanded information unavailable in previous seven IDF Regions. The summaries show the
editions and aims to stimulate action where gaps differences in the burden of diabetes, its mortality
in knowledge about diabetes exist. This edition and economic costs, and the expected changes
provides the evidence required for governments, over the next 28 years.
civil society, international health organisations and
Chapter 5, Diabetes complications shows how
the health community to make informed decisions
diabetes and its complications are inextricably
about diabetes prevention and care strategies.
linked, affecting all corners of the globe. This
In Chapter 1, What is Diabetes? of the IDF chapter covers the most common and severe
Diabetes Atlas 2017, we define diabetes and complications related to diabetes, namely
describe the different types alongside various cardiovascular disease, diabetic eye disease,
prevention and management strategies. nephropathy, diabetic foot, oral health and
pregnancy-related complications.
In Chapter 2, Methodology, the methodology
employed to generate estimates for 2017 and Finally, Chapter 6, Action on Diabetes features IDF
2045 is explained with additional details available global solutions for meeting the challenge of the
on www.diabetesatlas.org. IDF Diabetes Atlas diabetes pandemic and includes the main activities
2017 estimates, derived from sources and and recent reports of IDF as well as illustrations on
surveys conducted in communities around the how IDF is turning political agenda into reality.
world, provide the raw data from which we have
modelled our estimates at global, regional and
national levels. All data is validated by a global
scientific committee.
This chapter highlights activities that unite the While much research has been done, further
global diabetes community through the global studies are required to provide a more accurate
campaign such as IDF Congress and Blue Circle picture of the prevalence of diabetes. Almost half
Voices; the prioritisation of global diabetes of all countries worldwide have no original studies
awareness with World Diabetes Day (November or only poor quality studies and their estimates
14); and the promotion of best practice in are based on extrapolations from other similar
diabetes education with IDF School of Diabetes. countries. In the IDF Africa Region, over three
It also provides useful resources and web links, quarters of all countries and territories lack
and includes a list of recently published IDF primary data on diabetes prevalence in adults.
clinical guidelines.
Further research will serve as a catalyst for
A summary table of country estimates of key data governments and organisations to act with more
is provided in the appendices. Background papers haste and greater effectiveness to put early
on which the summaries have been based are interventions, improved screening and timely
available on the website, www.diabetesatlas.org. management in place to reduce the impact of
Tables with more detailed estimates of the diabetes on the individual and society.
prevalence of diabetes and IGT, mortality, and
healthcare expenditures are also available on
the website.
INTRODUCTION
14
CHAPTER 1
What is diabetes?
People with type 1 diabetes, can live
healthy and fulfilling lives with the
provision of an uninterrupted supply of
insulin and blood glucose testing equipment,
when combined with a healthy lifestyle
CHAPTER 1
16
What is diabetes?
Diabetes mellitus, more simply called diabetes, there are three main types of diabetes, type 1
is a chronic condition that occurs when there diabetes, type 2 diabetes and gestational
are raised levels of glucose in the blood because diabetes (GDM).
the body cannot produce any or enough of the
There are also some less common types of diabetes
hormone insulin or use insulin effectively.1 Insulin
which include monogenic diabetes and secondary
is an essential hormone produced in the pancreas
diabetes. Monogenic diabetes is the result of a
gland of the body, and it transports glucose from
single genetic mutation in an autosomal dominant
the bloodstream into the bodys cells where the
gene rather than the contributions of multiple
glucose is converted into energy. The lack of
genes and environmental factors as seen in type
insulin or the inability of the cells to respond to
1 and type 2 diabetes. Examples of monogenic
insulin leads to high levels of blood glucose, or
diabetes include conditions like neonatal diabetes
hyperglycaemia, which is the hallmark of diabetes.
mellitus and maturity-onset diabetes of the young
Hyperglycaemia, if left unchecked over the long
(MODY). Around 1-5% of all diabetes cases are
term, can cause damage to various body organs,
due to monogenic diabetes.2,3,4,5,6,7 Secondary
leading to the development of disabling and
diabetes arises as a complication of other diseases
life-threatening health complications such as
such as hormone disturbances (e.g., Cushings
cardiovascular disease, neuropathy, nephropathy
disease or acromegaly), diseases of the pancreas
and eye disease, leading to retinopathy and
(e.g., pancreatitis) or as a result of drugs (e.g.,
blindness. On the other hand, if appropriate
corticosteroids).
management of diabetes is achieved, these serious
complications can be delayed or prevented. For diagnosing diabetes, diagnostic criteria have
been debated and updated over decades but the
The classification and diagnosis of diabetes are
current criteria from the World Health Organization
complex and have been the subject of much
(WHO) state that diabetes is diagnosed by observing
consultation, debate and revision stretching over
raised levels of glucose in the blood (Figure 1.1).
many decades, but it is now widely accepted that
Fasting plasma glucose 7.0 Fasting plasma glucose <7.0 Fasting plasma glucose 6.1-6.9
mmol/L (126 mg/dL) mmol/L (126 mg/dL) mmol/L (110 to 125 mg/ dL)
or and or
Two-hour plasma glucose 11.1 Two-hour plasma glucose Two-hour plasma glucose
mmol/L (200 mg/dL) following 7.8 <11.1mmol/L (140 to <200 <7.8mmol/L (140mg/dL)
a 75g oral glucose load mg/dL) following a 75g oral following a 75g oral
glucose load glucose load
or
A random glucose > 11.1
mmol/L (200 mg/ dL) or HbA1c
48 mmol/mol (equivalent
to 6.5%)
Type 1 diabetes
Frequent urination
Bedwetting
CHAPTER 1
18
Type 2 diabetes
Type 2 diabetes is the most common type of As a result, there is often a long pre-detection
diabetes, accounting for around 90% of all cases period and as many as one-third to one-half of
of diabetes.13-15 In type 2 diabetes, hyperglycaemia type 2 diabetes cases in the population may be
is the result of an inadequate production of undiagnosed because they may remain without
insulin and inability of the body to respond fully symptoms for many years. When unrecognized
to insulin, defined as insulin resistance. During for a prolonged time period, the complications
a state of insulin resistance, insulin is ineffective of chronic hyperglycaemia may develop. Some
and therefore initially prompts an increase in patients with type 2 diabetes are first diagnosed
insulin production to reduce rising glucose with this condition when they present with a
levels but over time a state of relative inadequate complication due to hyperglycaemia such as a foot
production of insulin can develop. Type 2 diabetes ulcer, change in vision, renal failure or infection.
is most commonly seen in older adults, but it is
The causes of type 2 diabetes are not completely
increasingly seen in children, adolescents and
understood but there is a strong link with
younger adults due to rising levels of obesity,
overweight and obesity and with increasing age
physical inactivity and poor diet.
as well as with ethnicity and family history. Some
The symptoms of type 2 diabetes may be identical important modifiable risk factors include: excess
to those of type 1 diabetes (Figure 1.1) including adiposity (obesity), poor diet and nutrition, physical
in particular, increased thirst, frequent urination, inactivity, prediabetes or impaired glucose
tiredness, slow-healing wounds, recurrent tolerance (IGT), smoking and past history of GDM
infections and tingling or numbness in hands with exposure of the unborn child to high blood
and feet (Figure 1.3). However, the onset of type 2 glucose during pregnancy. Among dietary factors,
diabetes is usually slow and its usual presentation recent evidence has also suggested an association
without the acute metabolic disturbance seen in between high consumption of sugar-sweetened
type 1 diabetes means that the true time of onset is beverages and risk of type 2 diabetes.16-18
difficult to determine.
Tingling or numbness
in hands and feet
Other factors include inadequate intake of fruit Globally, the prevalence of type 2 diabetes
and vegetables, wholegrains and dietary fibre and has been high and is rising across all world
high intake of energy as saturated fat. Overall, regions. This rise is likely fuelled by an aging
according to the latest research, emphasis for population, economic development and increasing
diet should move away from that on nutrients to urbanisation leading to more sedentary lifestyles
consuming whole foods and instead following and greater consumption of unhealthy foods linked
dietary patterns such as, but not limited to, the with obesity.22
Mediterranean-type diet pattern and others.19-21
CHAPTER 1
20
Hyperglycaemia in Pregnancy
Hyperglycaemia (high blood glucose level) that are at higher risk of developing GDM in subsequent
is first detected during pregnancy is classified pregnancies and about half of women with a
as either gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) or history of GDM will develop type 2 diabetes within
hyperglycaemia in pregnancy. Women with slightly five to ten years after delivery. Babies born to
elevated blood glucose levels are classified mothers with GDM also have a higher lifetime risk
as having GDM and women with substantially of obesity and developing type 2 diabetes.27-29
elevated blood glucose levels are classified as
Women with hyperglycaemia detected during
women with hyperglycaemia in pregnancy.23 It has
pregnancy are at greater risk of adverse pregnancy
been estimated that most (7590%) of cases of
outcomes. These include high blood pressure
high blood glucose during pregnancy
and a large baby for gestational age, a condition
are gestational diabetes.24
called foetal macrosomia, which can make a
GDM is a type of diabetes that affects pregnant normal delivery difficult and risky. Identification
women usually during the second and third of hyperglycaemia in pregnancy combined with
trimesters of pregnancy though it can occur good control of blood glucose during pregnancy
at any time during pregnancy. In some women can reduce these risks. Women of child-bearing
diabetes may be diagnosed in the first trimester of age who have known pre-existing diabetes prior
pregnancy but in most such cases diabetes likely to pregnancy should receive pre-conception
existed before pregnancy, but was undiagnosed. advice and all women who have hyperglycaemia
in pregnancy whether it is GDM, previously
As overt symptoms of hyperglycaemia during
undiagnosed diabetes in pregnancy or existing and
pregnancy are rare and may be difficult to
known diabetes, require optimal antenatal care
distinguish from normal pregnancy symptoms,
and appropriate postnatal management. Women
an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) is
with hyperglycaemia during pregnancy can control
recommended for screening of GDM between
their blood glucose levels through a healthy diet,
the 24th and 28th week of pregnancy, but for high
gentle exercise and blood glucose monitoring. In
risk women the screening should be conducted
some cases, insulin or oral medication may also
earlier in pregnancy.25 An OGTT is performed by
be prescribed.
measuring the plasma glucose concentration
while fasting and two hours after ingesting a drink
Figure 1.4 Diagnostic criteria in studies used for
containing 75 grams of glucose. For diagnosing
hyperglycaemia in pregnancy24
gestational diabetes (GDM), the following criteria
are recommended (Figure 1.4) Criteria Fasting 1h 2h 3h
mg/dL mmol/L mg/dL mmol/L mg/dL mmol/L mg/dL mmol/L
GDM arises because the action of insulin is ADA/NDDG 105 5.8 190 10.5 165 8.6 145 7.8
diminished (insulin resistance) due to hormone ADA 95 5.3 180 10 155 8.6 Not
production by the placenta.26 Other risk factors measured
for GDM include older age, overweight or obesity, ADIPS 99 5.3 Not 144 8
measured
excessive weight gain during pregnancy, a family CDA 95 5.3 191 10.6 160 8.9
history of diabetes and a history of stillbirth or giving
WHO 140 7.8 Not 140 7.8
birth to an infant with a congenital abnormality. measured
WHO 126 7 140 7.8
GDM usually exists as a transient disorder during
IADPSG 92 5.2 180 10 153 8.5
pregnancy and resolves once the pregnancy ends.
However, pregnant women with hyperglycaemia
Raised blood glucose levels above the normal People with prediabetes are at high risk of
range and below the diabetes diagnostic developing type 2 diabetes. Prediabetes is also
thresholds meet criteria for impaired glucose characterised by decreased insulin sensitivity or
tolerance (IGT) based on a two-hour post 75 grams increased insulin resistance. The risk factors of
oral glucose load or impaired fasting glucose (IFG). prediabetes are the same as for type 2 diabetes:
These conditions are also called intermediate overweight, advanced age, poor diet and excess
hyperglycaemia or prediabetes. calories or poor nutrition, lack of physical activity,
smoking and family history.30,31 However, not
In IGT, the glucose level is higher than normal,
everyone with prediabetes goes on to develop
but not high enough to make a diagnosis of
type 2 diabetes. High quality evidence exists
diabetes (between 7.8 and 11.0 mmol/L (140 to
from randomised controlled trials of primary
199 mg/dL)) at two-hours after an OGTT. IFG is
prevention to support the effectiveness of lifestyle
present when the fasting glucose level is higher
interventions in preventing the progression of
than normal (> 6.1 mmol/L), but not high enough
prediabetes to diabetes.32-35
to make a diagnosis of diabetes which is made
when the fasting glucose is above 7.0 mmol/L (or >
126 mg/dL). IFG is diagnosed with fasting glucose
level between 6.1 to 6.9 mmol/L (110 to 125 mg/
dL) (Figure 1.1). Raised levels of HbA1c in the non-
diabetic range can also be used to identify persons
at risk of developing type 2 diabetes.
CHAPTER 1
22
Preventing diabetes
No effective intervention currently exists to prevent Modern lifestyles are characterised by physical
type 1 diabetes. Therefore, this section focuses on inactivity and long sedentary periods. Community-
factors that have been identified for the prevention based interventions can reach individuals and
of type 2 diabetes. families through campaigns, education, social
marketing and encourage physical activity both
Of the established risk factors for type 2 diabetes,
inside and outside school and the workplace.44,45
some are potentially amenable to change while
IDF recommends physical activity at least
others are not. For example, non-modifiable
between three to five days a week for a minimum
risk factors for type 2 diabetes include ethnicity,
of 30-45 minutes.46 WHO has also developed
genetics and age. Other risk factors such as diet,
recommendations on physical activity among
adiposity, physical activity and environmental
different age groups.47 (Table 1.2)
exposures are modifiable using a combination of
approaches at both population and individual levels. Taking a life course perspective is essential for
preventing type 2 diabetes and its complications.
While there are many factors that influence the
Early in life, when eating and physical activity
development of type 2 diabetes, it is evident that
habits are established and when the long-term
the most influential are the behaviours commonly
regulation of energy balance may be programmed,
associated with urbanisation and a modern
there is an especially critical window to prevent the
lifestyle. These include consumption of unhealthy
development of overweight and mitigate the risk
foods and inactive lifestyles with sedentary
of type 2 diabetes.48 Healthy lifestyles can improve
behaviour. Randomised controlled trials from
health outcomes at later stages of life as well.49-51
different parts of the world including Finland,
USA, China, India and elsewhere have established Population based interventions and policies
the proof of principle that lifestyle modification allow healthy choices through policies in trade,
with physical activity36 and/or healthy diet21,37-40 agriculture, transport and urban planning to
can delay or prevent the onset of type 2 diabetes. become more accessible and easy. Healthy choices
can be promoted in specific settings (school,
IDF has released nine recommendations for a
workplace and home) and contribute to better
healthy diet for the general population (Table
health for everyone. They include exercising
1.1). Additionally, dietary recommendations of
regularly and eating wisely which will help to
WHO for the prevention of type 2 diabetes include
maintain normal levels of blood glucose, blood
limiting saturated fatty acid intake to less than
pressure and lipids.41,52
10% of total energy intake (and for high risk
groups, less than 7%); and achieving adequate
intake of dietary fibre (minimum daily intake of
20 grams) through consumption of wholegrain
cereals, legumes, fruits and vegetables.41 WHO
strongly recommends reducing the intake of free
sugars to less than 10% of total energy intake.42
IDF fully supports these recommendations and in
response published the IDF Framework for Action
on Sugar.43
Table 1.1 IDF recommendations for a healthy diet for the general population53
Choosing water, coffee or tea instead of fruit Choosing lean cuts of white meat, poultry or
juice, soda or other sugar sweetened beverages seafood instead of read of processed meat.
Eating at least three servings of vegetables Choosing peanut butter instead of chocolate
every day, including green leafy vegetables. spread of jam.
Choosing whole-grain bread, brown rice, or
Eating up to three servings of fresh fruit
whole-grain pasta instead of white bread,
every day.
rice, or pasta.
Choosing nuts, a piece of fresh fruit or
Choosing unsaturated fats (olive oil, canola oil,
unsweetened yoghurt for a snack.
corn oil or sunflower oil) instead of saturated
Limiting alcohol intake to a maximum of two fats (butter, ghee, animal fat, coconut oil or
standard drinks per day. palm oil).
Table 1.2 WHO recommendations on physical activity for different age groups45,51
|| Children and youth aged 517 years should do at least 60 minutes of moderate-
to vigorous- intensity physical activity daily.
|| For older adults, the same amount of physical activity is recommended, but
should also include balance and muscle strengthening activity tailored to their
ability and circumstances.
CHAPTER 1
24
Management of diabetes
For those diagnosed with diabetes, a series of hospitalization is necessary when needed to
interventions can improve health outcomes and manage acute and chronic complications such
these can be cost-effective or even cost-saving over as stroke, myocardial infarction, critical limb
time.54 Diabetes is a chronic, progressive disease ischemia, ketoacidosis, hyperosmolar coma,
but people who have diabetes can live long, high kidney failure, serious foot infections requiring
quality lives with good diabetes management. amputation, treatment of hypoglycaemic episodes
This includes management of not only glycaemia or stabilisation of poor control of hyperglycaemia.
but also cardiovascular disease risk factors
Uninterrupted supply of high quality insulin is
such as hypertension and hypercholesterolemia
essential for survival in people with type 1 diabetes
with a healthy diet, recommended levels of
(Figure 1.5). Regular short-acting human insulin
physical activity and correct use of medicines as
and longacting NPH or isophane insulin should
appropriately prescribed by a physician.55-57
be available to everyone in all parts of the world.
People with diabetes require access to systematic, Versus more recently developed and costly insulin
regular and organized healthcare delivered by analogs, commonly available in more economically
a team of skilled providers. Outcomes can be developed countries.59 Insulin is also frequently
improved at the primary care level with basic prescribed for treatment of type 2 diabetes and
interventions such as medication, health and hyperglycaemia in pregnancy if other hypoglycaemic
lifestyle counselling, and individual and/or group medication and lifestyle intervention dont succeed
education with regular and appropriate follow-up. in reaching glycaemic treatment goals.
This systematic care should include a periodic
The commonly used medications for type 2 diabetes
review of metabolic control and complications,
are metformin, sulphonylureas, GLP-1 analogues
a continually updated diabetes care plan and
and DPP4 inhibitors. These treatments both
access to patient-centred care provided by a
enhance the bodys natural response to ingested
multidisciplinary team when indicated.
food, and reduce glucose levels after eating.
Such care is especially needed if resources are
Unfortunately, insulin is not readily available in
limited in many parts of the world, where self-
many regions of the world. According to the
care may be more difficult due to lack of education
IDF Access to Medicines and Supplies report,
and limited or no availability of monitoring of
no low income country had full government
glycaemia with home devices or programmes to
provision (at no or low cost) of essential insulins
detect diabetes complications.46,58 Such limitations
to children or adults. Even for those who can pay
may be effectively addressed by local adaptations
for their insulin, less than half of middle income
of comprehensive lifestyle programmes54 or new
countries and only one low income country reported
technology innovations such as telemedicine and
that insulin was always available. Additionally,
mobile health tools.
full provision and availability of injection and
Periodic referral may be needed for specialist monitoring equipment is even lower than it is
care such as comprehensive eye examinations, for insulin especially for adults with diabetes.
treatment of eye complications (retinopathy) The cost of blood glucose supplies often exceeds
if needed, measurement of urine albumin and the cost of insulin especially in some of the
creatinine and estimated glomerular function poorest countries.59 Through IDFs Life For A Child
(eGFR) for kidney health, foot examinations, and programme, IDF provides insulin to over 18,000 of
assessment and treatment of cardiovascular the poorest children and adolescents with type 1
diseases. In addition, the availability of inpatient diabetes in over 41 countries.60
Figure 1.5 Insulin production and action WHO lists five diabetes-related medicines on
its Model List of Essential Medicines including
short-acting insulin, intermediate-acting insulin,
Raises High metformin, gliclazide, and glucagon. These same
blood blood
glucose glucose medicines should be included on the National
Essential Medicines List (NEML) of countries
Promotes although assuring their availability and proper use
insulin may require changes in procurement decisions,
release
staff training, reimbursement mechanisms and
GLUCAGON pharmacy systems. Essential medicines are
Stimulates breakdown defined by WHO as those that satisfy the priority
of glycogen
healthcare needs of the population.61
se
co
The use of medications to treat diabetes does
u
Gl
yc
Gl
action, blood glucose control and metabolic
INSULIN abnormalities. Dietary management of diabetes
Stimulates formation
of glycogen includes a lower calorie intake for overweight
patients, replacing saturated fats with unsaturated
Stimulates glucose uptake from blood
fats, intake of dietary fibre, and avoiding tobacco
use, excessive alcohol use and added sugar.21
Promotes
glucagon Physical activity is most effective when it includes
release a combination of both aerobic exercise and
Tissue Cells resistance training, as well reduction of sedentary
(muscle, brain, fat)
time.62-65 For refractory obesity resulting in
Lowers Low
blood blood metabolic diseases, bariatric surgery ( gastric
glucose glucose bypass, gastric banding) has been demonstrated
as an effective treatment for severe obesity-
related type 2 diabetes, but currently its availability
is primarily accessible in wealthier countries.66
CHAPTER 1
26
CHAPTER 2
Methodology
Current Diabetes Atlas data sources
come from countries, which have over
91.2% of the global population
CHAPTER 2
28
Gathering
Methodology data sources
Accurate diabetes estimates at the national The data sources used for the estimation of
and global levels rely heavily on the quality diabetes prevalence in the IDF Diabetes Atlas 2017,
and availability of data sources. These sources came from a variety of sources. The majority were
represent the basis for IDF to produce modelled extracted from peer-reviewed journals and national
estimates of prevalence, incidence and mortality health surveys including WHO STEP surveys.2 Data
for 221 countries and territories which are then from other official sources such as ministries
aggregated into regional and global estimates. of health, and reports obtained via informal
communication within the IDF network were also
The technical details behind the IDF Diabetes Atlas
used. Data sources with sufficient methodological
are described in depth in the methodology paper
information on key areas of interestmethod of
by Guariguata and colleagues.1 Data sources were
diagnosis, the representativeness of the sample,
searched and selected according to established
and at least three age-specific estimateswere
criteria, and the standardized, age-specific
included. Among all data sources, only population-
prevalence of diabetes and impaired glucose
based data sources were used. Data sources
tolerance (IGT) were estimated. For countries
published before 1990 were also excluded.
where data sources were not available, prevalence
was extrapolated based on data sources from In the IDF Diabetes Atlas 2017, data sources
similar countries. published between January 2015 and December
2016 were taken from the scientific literature
adding a further 43 data sources from 39 countries
to the IDF Diabetes Atlas database (Map 2.1).
Map 2.1 Countries and territories where data sources were reviewed with information on diabetes
or IGT in adults
ountries with
C
diabetes data
available
Only a few studies from the hundreds available and weighting of different characteristics. The
meet the rigorous inclusion criteria established final score of a data source is the summary of
for the IDF Diabetes Atlas estimates. The all scores on the five criteria. Therefore, every
selection of data sources follows a scoring system data source was assigned a score to indicate
assessing the following criteria: method of their quality based on the criteria. Data sources
diagnosis, sample size, representation, age of data that received a score over a certain threshold
source and type of publication. In Table 2.1, the were included in the model and used to generate
classification possibilities for each of the criteria the IDF Diabetes Atlas estimates.3 Preference
are presented, from the highest to the lowest was given to data sources that were nationally
degree of preference. representative, conducted within the last five
years, published in peer-reviewed scientific
The criteria were weighted based on input and
literature and based on objective measurement
discussions from a group of international experts.
of diabetes status (Map 2.2).
Subsequently, a scoring system was developed
as a synthesis of different opinions from a group
of international experts to allow the comparison
Type of publication
Sample Size || Peer-reviewed publication
|| Greater than 5,000 people || National health survey
|| 1,500 to 4,999 people || WHO STEPS study
|| 1,499 to 700 people || Other official report
|| Less than 700 people || Personal communication
Representation
|| Nationally representative
|| Regionally representative
|| Locally representative
|| Ethnic or other specific
CHAPTER 2
30
CHAPTER 2
32
After the selection of data sources, a generalized The 2017 population data from the United Nations
linear regression model was used to estimate the Population Division (UNPD) for each country and
age- and sex-specific diabetes prevalence per territory was used to estimate the number of
data source. The country level diabetes estimates people with diabetes.4 In order to project diabetes
were produced based on the weighted average of estimates in the year 2045, the population
the scores of all data sources for each country. projections from the United Nations Population
Therefore, very high quality studies contribute Division were used. The 2045 diabetes estimates
more to the final country estimate, than those projection assumes the diabetes prevalence
with high scores only (Map 2.2). The details of does not change for each age group, but takes
the generalized linear regression model were into account of the changes in population age
described in a previous methodology publication.1 structure and rates of urbanisation.5 This leads
For each country, the age and gender specific to a conservative underestimate of diabetes
diabetes estimates were generated accounting prevalence without taking into account changes in
for diabetes prevalence differences from urban obesity and other risk factors.
and rural settings. This was achieved by updating
Increase/Decrease
urban and rural diabetes prevalence ratios
of Diabetes Prevalence
according to weighted average of the ratios
reported in different data sources of IDF and The increase/decrease of diabetes prevalence in
economic regions. The number of data sources particular countries compared to the previous
selected to estimate diabetes prevalence per editions of the Atlas was due to data sources
country was 221, which represent 131 countries. changes rather than to a real reflection of changes
in diabetes prevalence in that country.
Map 2.2 Countries and territories with selected data sources quality
Data quality
No data
Low
High and Medium
CHAPTER 2
34
Estimating undiagnosed
diabetes prevalence
Population-based studies provide the basis for For countries with reported data sources on
estimating undiagnosed diabetes. A group of undiagnosed diabetes estimates, the weighted
people living in a particular area is tested for average of the estimates of their data sources
diabetes using a blood test which identifies were calculated. For countries without original
both known and previously undiagnosed cases. data sources of undiagnosed diabetes estimates,
The results will allow determining whether a values on the generalized linear random effects
participant has diabetes or not. These ratios will model were attributed based on IDF regions and
be used to compute country level estimates for the income level of the country to estimate the
undiagnosed diabetes. rates of undiagnosed diabetes (Map 2.3).
Map 2.3 Countries and territories with selected data sources reporting the percentage of people
(20-79 years) with previously undiagnosed diabetes
Number of
data sources
0
1
2
3
4
>4
Extrapolating data
Confidence interval estimates were produced data sources 1000 times. Therefore, 1000 runs
to estimate the impact of each of the analytical of analyses were performed, and 95% quantile of
decisions on the final prevalence estimates. the maximum and minimum values were taken as
In order to quantify the potential sources of confidence interval in the simulation analysis.
uncertainty associated with the study selection
Overall, the confidence interval for each age
process, two separate analyses were performed:
group, gender and country was constructed
A bootstrap analysis of the sensitivity of the based on the maximum and minimum value of
prevalence estimates to create the study both bootstrap and simulation analysis to reflect
selection process. the confidence intervals around the diabetes
prevalence estimates (Figure 2.1).
A simulation study to assess a variation of
results in a range of 95% simulated distribution
that reflect raw data uncertainty based on data
sample sizes. Figure 2.1. Bootstrap and simulation analysis
CHAPTER 2
36
A generalized linear regression model was used However, the number of studies which pass the
to estimate age, gender and urban/rural specific selection threshold was limited, due to lack of
impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) prevalence per data sources on reported IGT prevalence. Only 89
country. Data sources were searched and selected studies representing 47 countries were selected
according to the previously described criteria. to estimate IGT prevalence and the IGT estimates
The urban and rural IGT prevalence ratios were in the rest of the countries were extrapolated from
updated according to weighted average of the similar countries with similar ethnicity, language,
ratios reported in different data sources from 19 income level and geography (Map 2.4).
IDF and economic regions.
Map 2.4 Data sources selected for impaired glucose tolerance estimates in adults (20-79 years)
Number of
data sources
0
1
2
3
Hyperglycaemia (high blood glucose level) that is United Nations fertility projections and IDF
first detected during pregnancy (See Chapter 1) is estimates of diabetes detected prior to pregnancy
classified as either: were used to estimate the total percentage of live
Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) births affected by hyperglycaemia in pregnancy.
In the year 2017, 57 studies from 37 countries
Diabetes mellitus in pregnancy10
were used to estimate country level age specific
Data sources reporting country level age specific
GDM prevalence by generalized linear regression
prevalence of gestational diabetes and diabetes
(Map 2.5).
first detected in pregnancy were searched and
selected by literature review. The studies were
scored according to the diagnostic criteria, year The methods for estimation of prevalence of
of the study, study design and representativeness hyperglycaemia in pregnancy were described
of the study. The studies over a threshold were with further details in the Diabetes Research and
selected for country level gestational Clinical Practice paper by Linnenkamp
diabetes estimation. and colleagues.11
Map 2.5 Countries and territories with data sources reporting the prevalence of hyperglycaemia in
pregnancy (20-49 years)
Number of
data sources
0
1
2
3
4
>4
CHAPTER 2
38
Map 2.6 Countries and territories with data available on the incidence or prevalence of type 1 diabetes
in children and adolescents (<20 years)
ountries with
C
data sources
on estimation of
type 1 diabetes
2017 IDF Diabetes Atlas estimates of diabetes 1. IDF Diabetes Atlas estimates of diabetes prevalence
prevalence stratified by age and gender from produced for this edition.
20-79 years. 2. United Nations population estimates for 2015
and 2045.4
WHO estimates of the number of annual deaths
from all causes stratified by age and gender.18 3. WHO annual healthcare expenditures for 2017.25
CHAPTER 2
40
CHAPTER 3
Global picture 628.6
Diabetes is a growing global problem 40.7 AFR
66.7
82.0 EUR
424.9
62.2 MENA
15.9
42.3 NAC
58.0
151.4
38.7 SACA
45.9
SEA
26.0 183.3
82.0 WP
158.8
*Numbers expressed in millions
2017 2045
Number of deaths due to diabetes (20-79 years) in 2017
Hyperglycaemia in pregnancy varies
in millions
between
1 in 10
0.5
live births
0.3 in Africa
0.3 1.1
0.2 1.3
0.3
1 in 4
live births in
166.0 South-East Asia
377.0
21.3
9.5
Prevalence* of diabetes and IGT (20-79 years) by IDF Region, 2017 and 2045
14.1
14%
2%
0%
AFR EUR MENA NAC SACA SEA WP
*Healthcare expenditures for people with diabetes are assumed to be on average two-fold higher than people without diabetes.
CHAPTER 3
42
Global picture
Diabetes is a global issue. Diabetes kills and diseases (NCDs) (cardiovascular disease, cancer
disables, striking people at their most productive and respiratory disease) account for over 80% of
age impoverishing families or reducing the life- all premature NCD deaths. In 2015, 39.5 million
expectancy of older people. Diabetes is a common of the 56.4 million deaths globally were due to
threat that does not respect borders or social NCDs.1 A major contributor to the challenge of
class. No country is immune from diabetes and diabetes is that 30-80% of people with diabetes are
the epidemic is expected to continue. The burden undiagnosed.2
of diabetes drains national healthcare budgets,
Population-wide lifestyle change, along with early
reduces productivity, slows economic growth,
detection, diagnosis and cost-effective treatment
causes catastrophic expenditure for vulnerable
of diabetes are required to save lives and prevent
households and overwhelms healthcare systems.
or significantly delay devastating diabetes-
Diabetes is one of the largest global health related complications. Only multi-sectoral and
emergencies of the 21st century. Diabetes is among coordinated responses with public policies and
the top 10 causes of death globally and together market interventions within and beyond the health
with the other three major noncommunicable sector can address this issue.
Map 3.1 Estimated age-adjusted prevalence of diabetes in adults (20-79 years), 2017
<4%
4-5%
5-7%
7-9%
9-12%
>12%
Map 3.2 Estimated total number of adults (20-79 years) living with diabetes, 2017
<100 thousand
100-500 thousand
500 thousand-1million
1-20million
>20million
CHAPTER 3
44
Figure 3.1 Prevalence of people with diabetes by age and sex, 2017
20%
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2% Women
0% 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 Men
500 millions
450 415 425
382
400 366
350
285
300
246
250 194
200 151
150
100
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Figure 3.3 Diabetes prevalence in urban and rural settings in 2017 and 2045 (20-79 years)
Number of
people with 145.7 279.2 156.0 472.6
diabetes million million million million
2017 2045 Rural
Urban
Regional disparities
Age-adjusted comparative prevalence compares The largest numbers of people with diabetes from
diabetes prevalences between countries and age 20-79 years are in China, India and the United
regions (Chapter 2). The North America and States in 2017 (Table 3.2).
Caribbean region (NAC) has the highest age-
Across IDF regions, large disparities were
adjusted comparative prevalence 20-79 years in
observed in the resources allocated to diabetes.
2017 and 2045 (11.0% and 11.1%). The Africa region
While in the African region ID 444 on average was
has the lowest prevalence in 2017 and 2045 (4.2%
spent on people with diabetes yearly, this value
and 4.1%), likely due to lower levels of urbanisation,
was nearly 20 times higher in NAC, where ID 8,396
under-nutrition, lower levels of obesity and higher
was spent on people with diabetes.
rates of communicable diseases (Table 3.1).
Table 3.1 IDF regions ranked by prevalence (%) of diabetes (20-79 years) per region
2017 2045
Rank IDF region Age-adjusted Raw diabetes Age-adjusted Raw diabetes
comparative prevalence comparative prevalence
diabetes diabetes
prevalence prevalence
North America 11.0% 13.0% 11.1% 14.8%
1
and Caribbean (9.2-12.5%) (10.8-14.5%) (9.1-12.7%) (11.7-16.7%)
Middle East 10.8% 9.6% 10.8% 12.1%
2
and North Africa (7.5-14.2%) (6.712.7%) (7.4-14.3%) (8.4-15.9%)
10.1% 8.5% 10.1% 11.1%
3 South-East Asia
(7.9-12.8%) (6.510.7%) (7.9-12.8%) (8.6-13.9%)
8.6% 9.5% 7.4% 10.3%
4 Western Pacific
(7.6-11.0%) (8.412.0%) (5.8-9.2%) (7.8-12.8%)
South and 7.6% 8.0% 7.6% 10.1%
5
Central America (6.3-9.5%) (6.79.8%) (6.2-9.6%) (8.3-12.4%)
6.8% 8.8% 6.9% 10.2%
6 Europe
(5.4-9.9%) (7.012.0%) (5.5-9.9%) (8.2-13.7%)
4.4% 3.3% 4.3% 3.9%
7 Africa
(2.9-7.8%) (2.16.0%) (2.9-7.7%) (2.6-6.8%)
CHAPTER 3
46
Table 3.2 Top ten countries/territories for number of people with diabetes (20-79 years), 2017 and 2045
2017 2045
Rank Country/territory Number of people Rank Country/ territory Number of people
with diabetes with diabetes
114.4 million 134.3 million
1 China 1 India
(104.1-146.3) (103.4-165.2)
72.9 million 119.8 million
2 India 2 China
(55.5-90.2) (86.3-149.7)
30.2 million 35.6million
3 United States 3 United States
(28.8-31.8) (33.9-37.9 )
12.5 million 21.8 million
4 Brazil 4 Mexico
(11.4-13.5) (11.0-26.2)
12.0 million 20.3 million
5 Mexico 5 Brazil
(6.0-14.3) (18.6-22.1)
10.3 million 16.7million
6 Indonesia 6 Egypt
(8.9-11.1) (9.0-19.1)
8.5 million 16.7million
7 Russian Federation 7 Indonesia
(6.7-11.0) (14.6-18.2 )
8.2million 16.1 million
8 Egypt 8 Pakistan
(4.4-9.4 ) (11.5-23.2)
7.5 million 13.7 million
9 Germany 9 Bangladesh
(6.1-8.3) (11.3-18.6)
7.5 million 11.2 million
10 Pakistan 10 Turkey
(5.3-10.9) (10.1-13.3)
Undiagnosed Diabetes
Table 3.3 People living with diabetes (20-79 years) who are undiagnosed per region, 2017
Table 3.4 People living with diabetes (20-79 years) who are undiagnosed per World Bank income
classification, 2017
CHAPTER 3
48
Table 3.5 Top 10 countries for the number of people with undiagnosed diabetes (20-79 years) in 2017
Map 3.3 Number of people (20-79 years) living with diabetes who are undiagnosed, 2017
<50 thousand
50-250 thousand
250-500 thousand
500 thousand - 5 million
5-10 million
>10 million
Mortality
Approximately 4.0 (3.2-5.0) million people aged However, the mortality estimate is one million
between 20 and 79 years are estimated to die less than in 2015 likely due to global decrease
from diabetes in 2017, which is equivalent to one in all-cause mortality estimates. Currently only
death every eight seconds. Diabetes accounted the South and Central American region has an
for 10.7% of global all-cause mortality among increasing mortality rate among all IDF regions.
people in this age group. This is higher than the
Premature death and disability due to diabetes
combined number of deaths from infectious
are also associated with a negative economic
diseases (1.1million deaths from HIV/AIDS9, 1.8
impact for countries, often called the indirect
million from tuberculosis10 and 0.4 million from
costs of diabetes. In the USA, it was estimated
malaria in 20159). About 46.1% of deaths due to
that premature death cost USD 19 billion to the
diabetes among the 20-79 age group are in people
economy, and a total USD 69 billion was indirectly
under the age of 60 (Table 3.6 and Map 3.4).
lost due to diabetes.11
Table 3.6 Proportion (%) of people who died from diabetes in 2017 before the age of 60 in IDF regions
CHAPTER 3
50
Map 3.4 Proportions (%) of people who died from diabetes before the age of 60
Unknown
<20%
20-40%
40-60%
60-80%
>80%
Healthcare Expenditure
Despite the human burden characterized by Since its third edition in 2006, the IDF Diabetes
premature mortality and lower quality of lifedue Atlas has included estimates on the healthcare
to diabetes-related complications, diabetes expenditure on diabetes.14-18 The evolution has
also imposes a significant economic impact for been tremendous, growing from USD 232 billion
countries, healthcare systems, and above all, for spent by people with diabetes worldwide in 2007,
individuals with diabetes and their families.11-13 to USD 727 billion in 2017 for those aged 20-79
years (Figure 3.4).
Figure 3.4 Total healthcare expenditure by people with diabetes (20-79 years)
800 727
673
700
548
600
465
500
376
400
300
200 232
100
0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
*Billion USD
In 2017, IDF estimates the total healthcare age group 18-99 years, the total expenditure on
expenditure on diabetes will reach USD 727 billion diabetes is expected to reach USD 958 billion
(20-79 years), which represents an 8% increase (Figure 3.5). The 2045 projections are very
compared to the 2015 estimate. When using the conservative, as they assume that the mean
expanded age group of 18 to 99 years, the costs expenditure per person and diabetes prevalence
totalled USD 850 billion. rate remain constant, while only demographic
changes are observed. This dynamic is supported
Moreover, the economic burden of diabetes is
by the observation that countries with the largest
expected to continue to grow. It is projected
health expenditure will experience a very small
that the healthcare expenditure on diabetes
population growth.
will reach USD 776 billion by 2045 (20-79 years)
which represents a 7% growth. When using the
CHAPTER 3
52
Figure 3.5 Total healthcare expenditure by people with diabetes, 2017 and 2045
1000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100 20-79 years
0 2017 2045 *Billion USD 18-99 years
Regarding the country level estimates, and after Looking at the amount of healthcare expenditure
adjusting for purchasing power differences, the per person with diabetes in 2017, large disparities
highest expenditures on diabetes were observed can be observed across countries. The countries
in the US with ID 348 billion, followed by China, with the highest yearly cost per person with
and Germany, with ID 110 billion, and ID 42 billion diabetes are the US with ID 11,638, followed
respectively (Table 3.7). by Luxembourg and Monaco with ID 8,941, and
ID 8634, respectively. The countries with the
The countries with the lowest healthcare
lowest expenditure per person with diabetes are
expenditures on diabetes were Tuvalu, Sao Tome
Madagascar with ID 87 per year, the Democratic
and Principe, and Nauru with about ID 1 million
Republic of Congo, and Central African Republic
spent on people with diabetes in 2017 (Map 3.5).
with ID 66, and ID 47, respectively (Map 3.6).
Table 3.7 Top 10 countries for total healthcare Table 3.8 Top 10 countries for mean healthcare
expenditure on diabetes in 2017 (20-79 years) expenditure per person with diabetes
(20-79 years)
No data
<10 million
10-50 million
50-200 million
200 million-1 billion
1 billion-10 billion
>10 billion
Regarding the other countries in the top 10 for the and one is from the North American and Caribbean
highest expenditure per person with diabetes, six region (Table 3.8).
countries are from the European region,
Map 3.6 Mean healthcare expenditure per person with diabetes (20-79 years) (ID)
No data
<250
250-500
500-1000
1000-2000
2000-5000
>5000
CHAPTER 3
54
Regional burden
The North American and Caribbean region has the with ID 181 billion, followed by the Western Pacific
highest expenditure on diabetes of the seven IDF with ID 179 billion, which correspond to 23%, and
regions, with ID 383 billion (20-79 years), which 17%, respectively, of the total global spending.
corresponds to 52% of the total amount spent The other four regions spent significantly less on
globally on diabetes in 2017. The second highest diabetes, despite being home to 27% of the cases,
expenditure on diabetes is the European region and were responsible only for 9% of the total
spending (Figure 3.6).
Figure 3.6 Total healthcare expenditure on diabetes and mean expenditure per person with diabetes
(ID) (20-79 years) in 2017 by IDF region
Figure 3.7 Percentage of healthcare budget spent on diabetes (20-79 years) by IDF region in 2017
18% 16.6%
16%
13.9%
14% 12.2%
12% 10.6% 10.0%
9.1%
10%
8%
6.0% WP
6%
4%
2%
0 AFR EUR MENA NAC SACA SEA WP
Figure 3.8 Healthcare expenditure on diabetes by sex and age group, 2017 (USD)
140 Billions
120
100
80
60
40
20
Women
0 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79
Men
When analysing the projections for 2045, per person remains contant. On the other hand,
two findings can be observed. On one hand, the expenditure for people above 70 years will
expenditure for people less than 50 years will grow by 37%, due to aging of the population in
remain stable in the next decades, two percentage countries with highest expenditure on diabetes
growth from 2017 to 2045, assuming that the cost (Figure 3.9).
Figure 3.9 Healthcare expenditure on diabetes by age group in 2017 and 2045 (USD)
350 Billions
300
250
200
150
100
50
2017
0 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 2045
CHAPTER 3
56
There are 352.1 (233.5577.3) million people There are no differences in the overall IGT
worldwide, 7.3% (4.811.9%) of adults 20- 79 prevalence for people 20-79 years between women
years, who are estimated to have impaired glucose (7.3%) and men (7.3%), while the prevalence of IGT
tolerance (IGT). The vast majority (72.3%) of these is a little higher in men than women for people
people live in low and middle income countries. older than 50 years, and for people younger than
By 2045, the number of people 20-79 years with 45 years, the prevalence of IGT is a little higher
IGT is projected to increase to 587 (384.4992.7) in women than men. People with IGT are not
million, or 8.3% (5.613.9%) of the adult population only at high risk of developing diabetes, but also
(Figures 3.10 and 3.11 and map 3.7). are more susceptible to use healthcare services
being therefore subject to higher healthcare
expenditure. In the US, it was estimated that
USD 44 billion was spent on healthcare due
to prediabetes.8
Figure 3.10 Number of people* with impaired glucose tolerance by age group, 2017 and 2045
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79
2017
2045
Figure 3.11 Prevalence (%) of impaired glucose tolerance (20-79 years) by age and sex, 2017
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0% 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79
Women
Men
Map 3.7 Age-adjusted prevalence (%) of impaired glucose tolerance (20-79 years), 2017
<6%
<6-8%
8-10%
10-12%
12-14%
>14%
CHAPTER 3
58
Table 3.9 Top ten countries/territories for the number of people with impaired glucose tolerance
(20-79 years), 2017 and 2045
2017 2045
Rank Country/territory Number of people Rank Country/ territory Number of people
with IGT with IGT
48.6 million 59.9 million
1 China 1 China
(24.9-110.7) (29.8-136.1)
36.8 million 43.2 million
2 United States 2 United States
(31.4-42.4) (35.6-49.0)
27.7 million 41.0 million
3 Indonesia 3 India
(14.7-29.9) (31.1-78.6)
24.0 million 35.6 million
4 India 4 Indonesia
(18.3-48.4) (22.7-37.6)
14.6 million 20.7 million
5 Brazil* 5 Brazil*
(10.5-19.4) (15.7-27.0)
12.1 million 20.6 million
6 Mexico* 6 Mexico*
(10.3-13.9) (17.0-23.3)
12.0 million 17.9 million
7 Japan 7 Nigeria*
(10.3-15.2) (7.1-42.0)
8.3 million 16.7 million
8 Pakistan 8 Pakistan
(4.1-11.8) (8.7-23.6)
8.2 million 14.1 million
9 Thailand* 9 Ethiopia*
(6.8-10.3) (11.1-30.1)
7.7 million 10.3 million
10 Nigeria* 10 Japan
(2.6-17.4) (8.9-13.0)
Hyperglycaemia in pregnancy
It is estimated by IDF that 21.3 million or 16.2% of cases of hyperglycaemia in pregnancy were in
of live births to women in 2017 had some form of low and middle income countries, where access to
hyperglycaemia in pregnancy. An estimated 86.4% maternal care is often limited.
of those cases were due to gestational diabetes
The prevalence of hyperglycaemia in pregnancy,
mellitus (GDM), 6.2% due to diabetes detected
as a proportion of all pregnancies, increases
prior to pregnancy, and 7.4% due to other types of
rapidly with age and is highest in women over
diabetes (including type 1 and type 2 diabetes) first
the age of 45 years (45.4%), although there are
detected in pregnancy (Table 3.10).
fewer pregnancies in that age group. Due to
There are some regional differences in the higher fertility rates in younger women, nearly
prevalence of hyperglycaemia in pregnancy, with half (48.9%) of all cases of hyperglycaemia in
the South-East Asia Region having the highest pregnancy (10.4 million) occurred in women under
prevalence at 24.2% compared to 10.4% in the the age of 30 (Figure 3.12).
Africa Region (Table 3.11). The vast majority (88%)
50% 45.4%
Total live births to women aged 20-49 years 131.4 million
Hyperglycaemia in pregnancy 40% 36.4%
Table 3.11 Hyperglycaemia in pregnancy in women aged 20-49 years by IDF region, 2017
CHAPTER 3
60
The number of children and adolescents with There are big regional and national differences
diabetes is increasing every year. In populations in the number of children and adolescents with
of European origin, nearly all children and type 1 diabetes. The Europe and North American
adolescents with diabetes have type 1 diabetes, and Caribbean regions have the largest number of
but in other populations type 2 diabetes is more children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes under
common among children and adolescents. 20 years. More than one quarter (28.4%) of children
and adolescents with type 1 diabetes live in Europe,
It is estimated that the incidence of type 1
and more than one fifth (21.5%) live in North
diabetes among children and adolescents is
America and Caribbean (Figure 3.13). The United
increasing in many countries particularly in
States, India and Brazil have the largest incidence
children and adolescents under the age of 15 years,
and prevalence of children with type 1 diabetes
and the overall annual increase is estimated to be
under the both age groups below 15 and 20 years
around 3% with strong
(Tables 3.12, 3.13, 3.14, 3.15 and 3.16).
indications of geographic differences.19,20
Type 2 diabetes in children
More than 96,000 children and adolescents under
and adolescents
15 years are estimated to be diagnosed with type
1 diabetes annually and the number is estimated There is evidence that type 2 diabetes in children
to be more than 132,600 when the age range and adolescents is increasing in some countries.
extends to 20 years (Table 3.12). In total, 1,106,200 However, reliable data is sparse.21 As with type
of children and adolescents below 20 years are 1 diabetes, many children and adolescents with
estimated to have type 1 diabetes globally, which type 2 diabetes risk developing complications in
is more than double compared to previous edition early adulthood, which would place a significant
due to expansion of the age range from 0-15 to burden on the family and society. With increasing
until 20 years. However, in countries where there levels of obesity and physical inactivity among
is limited access to insulin and inadequate health children and adolescents in many countries, type 2
service provision, children and adolescents with diabetes in childhood has the potential to become a
limited access to insulin suffer terrible complications global public health issue leading to serious health
and early mortality. outcomes.22,23 More information about this aspect of
the diabetes epidemic if needed urgently.
Table 3.12 Global estimates for type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents (<20 years) for 2017
IDF region
Population (<15 years) 1.94 billion
Population (<20 years) 2.54 billion
Type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents (<15 years)
Number of children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes 586,000
Number of new cases of type 1 diabetes per year 96,100
Type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents (<20 years)
Number of children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes 1,106,200
Number of new cases of type 1 diabetes per year 132,600
Figure 3.13 Estimated number of children and adolescents (<20 years) with type 1 diabetes
by IDF region, 2017
350,000
175,800
300,000
250,000
216,300
200,000 286,000
149,300
150,000 118,600 110,000
100,000
50,200 WP
50,000
Table 3.13 Top ten countries/territories for Table 3.14 Top ten countries/territories for number
number of new cases of type 1 diabetes (children of new cases of type 1 diabetes (children and
and adolescents <20 years), per year adolescents <15 years), per year
CHAPTER 3
62
Table 3.16 Top 10 countries/territories for the incidence rates (per 100,000 population per year)
with Type 1 diabetes (<20 years),2017
Diabetes shows high prevalence in people older highest prevalence of diabetes among people
than 65 (Figs. 3.1 and 3.2). In 2017, it is estimated older than 65, and Africa shows the lowest
that the number of people living with diabetes diabetes prevalence of people older than 65.
is 122.8 million 65-99 years, and the prevalence Western Pacific is the only region which shows
is 18.8%. If the trends continue, the number of reduction in prevalence due to aging general
people above 65 years living with diabetes will be population (Table 3.18).
253.4 million in 2045. The number of deaths due
The top countries with most people older than 65
to diabetes from age 60-99 years is 3.2 million,
with diabetes are China, United States and India
which counts for more than 60% of all deaths
in 2017. The United States, Germany and Japan
attributable to diabetes among 18-99 age group
ranked higher in the number of people older than 65
(Table 3.17).
with diabetes than they did for people with diabetes
There are big regional differences of diabetes 18-99 years, due to their relatively larger older
prevalence in people older than 65 years. The populations. (Map 3.8 and Table 3.19 and 3.20).
North America and Caribbean region shows the
2017 2045
Adult population (65-99 years) 652.1 million 1.42 billion
Prevalence (65-99 years) 9.6% (15.4-23.4%) 17.9% (13.1-23.7%)
Number of people with diabetes (65-99 years) 122.8 million (100.2-152.3 ) 253.4 million (185.8-336.1)
Number of deaths due to diabetes (60-99 years) 3.2 million
Total healthcare expenditures for diabetes
527 billion 615 billion
(60-99 years), R=2* 2017 USD
*Healthcare expenditures for people with diabetes are assumed to be on average two-fold higher than people without diabetes.
CHAPTER 3
64
Table 3.18 IDF regions ranked by diabetes prevalence (%) in people older than in 65 in 2017 and 2045
2017 2045
Rank IDF region Prevalence Number of people Prevalence Number of people
with diabetes with diabetes
North America 26.3% 17.7 million 26.9% 33.4 million
1
and Caribbean (23.4-29.4%) (15.7-19.7) (22.7-31.0%) (28.2-38.5)
Middle East 20.4% 6.5 million 22.1% 21.5 million
2
and North Africa (12.6-29.0%) (4.0-9.3) (14.0-30.9%) (13.6-30.0)
20.0% 48.1 million 17.6% 96.7 million
3 Western Pacific
(17.8-23.0%) (42.7-55.2) (12.4-22.7%) (67.8-123.7)
19.4% 28.5 million 19.8% 43.9 millon
4 Europe
(14.9-25.0%) (21.9-36.7) (15.2-25.9) (33.7-57.5)
South and 19.0% 7.9 million 19.3% 20.4 million
5
Central America (15.124.4%) (6.310.2) (15.3-25.1%) (16.1-26.4)
13.5% 12.5 million 13.9% 33.0 million
6 South East Asia
(9.518.6%) (8.717.1) (10.1-19.7%) (24.0-46.8)
5.2% 1.6 million 5.4% 4.6 million
7 Africa
(2.812.8%) (0.94.0) (2.814.5%) (2.4-12.2)
No data
<5 thousand
5-10 thousand
10-50 thousand
50-200 thousand
200-500 thousand
>500 thousand
Table 3.19 Top 10 countries with the number of people with diabetes older than 65 in 2017 and 2045
2017 2045
Rank Country Number of people Rank Country Number of people
older than 65 older than 65
with diabetes with diabetes
34.1 million 67.7 million
1 China 1 China
(31.7-38.3) (45.5-87.9)
13.5 million 28.2 million
2 United States 2 India
(12.7-14.2) (20.3-40.1)
11.0 million 22.6 million
3 India 3 United States
(7.7-15.1) (21.3-24.0)
4.9 million 11.9 million
4 Germany 4 Brazil
(4.1-5.5) (10.7-13.2)
4.3 million 7.6 million
5 Brazil 5 Mexico
(3.9-4.8) (4.0-10.5)
4.3 million 7.0 million
6 Japan 6 Germany
(3.6-5.1) (5.8-7.8)
3.5 million 5.4 million
7 Russian Federation 7 Indonesia
(2.0-4.2) (4.8-6.0)
2.6 million 5.3 million
8 Italy 8 Turkey
(2.3-3.0) (4.7-6.4)
2.5 million 4.8 million
9 Mexico 9 Japan
(1.4-3.4) (4.0-5.9)
2.2 million 4.5 million
10 Spain 10 Egypt
(1.5-3.1) (2.5-5.6)
CHAPTER 3
66
CHAPTER 4
Diabetes by region
AFRICA
The number of people with
diabetes is expected to
increase by 162.5% by 2045
SOUTH AND CENTRAL AMERICA
The number of adults with IGT
IGT prevalence is 9.6% - the second highest is expected increase by 154.3%
of all IDF regions by 2045
By 2045 there will be 61.5% more diabetes cases - the Over two-thirds (69.2%) of adults
second highest expected increase among IDF regions with diabetes are undiagnosed the
highest of al IDF regions
EUROPE
Highest number of children and adolescents with Diabetes-related healthcare expenditure reached,
type 1 diabetes, 286,000 in total USD 166 billion - the second highest among
all IDF regions
WESTERN PACIFIC
Home to the highest number of
deaths due to diabetes (1.3 million)
of all IDF regions.
CHAPTER 4
68
4.1 AFRICA
<5% 7-8%
5-6% 8-9%
6-7% >9%
*Comparative prevalence
Figure 4.1.1 Prevalence (%) estimates of diabetes Figure 4.1.2 Mortality due to diabetes by age and
by age and sex, Africa Region, 2017 sex, Africa Region, 2017
11%
60000
10% Female Female
9% Male 50000 Male
8%
7% 40000
6%
5% 30000
4%
20000
3%
2% 10000
1%
0% 0
20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79
CHAPTER 4
70
4.2 EUROPE
<5% 7-8%
5-6% 8-9%
6-7% >9%
*Comparative prevalence
Figure 4.2.1 Prevalence (%) estimates of diabetes Figure 4.2.2 Mortality due to diabetes by age and
by age and sex, Europe Region, 2017 sex, Europe Region, 2017
24%
Female 120000
20%
Male Female
18% 100000 Male
16%
14% 80000
12%
10% 60000
8%
40000
6%
4% 20000
2%
0% 0
20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79
CHAPTER 4
72
<5% 7-8%
5-6% 8-9%
6-7% >9%
*Comparative prevalence
Figure 4.3.1 Prevalence (%) estimates of diabetes Figure 4.3.2 Mortality due to diabetes by age and
by age and sex, Middle East and North Africa sex, Middle East and North Africa Region, 2017
Region,
24% 2017
22% 50000
Female Female
20% 45000
Male Male
18% 40000
16% 35000
14%
30000
12%
25000
10%
20000
8%
6% 15000
4% 10000
2% 5000
0% 0
20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79
CHAPTER 4
74
<5% 7-8%
5-6% 8-9%
6-7% >9%
*Comparative prevalence
Figure 4.4.1 Prevalence (%) estimates of Figure 4.4.2 Mortality due to diabetes by age and
diabetes by age and sex, North America and sex, North America and Caribbean Region, 2017
Caribbean
36% Region, 2017
33% 60000
Female Female
30% Male
Male
27% 50000
24%
40000
21%
18%
30000
15%
12% 20000
9%
6% 10000
3%
0% 0
20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79
CHAPTER 4
76
The IDF South and Central America Region (SACA) The incidence of type 1 diabetes varies considerably
includes 20 countries and territories with a markedly in the region and seems to be related to the ethnic
younger age distribution than most of North America. composition, being higher in predominantly white
About 31.9% of the population aged 20-79 years is urban communities such as Uruguay, Argentina and
estimated to be between 50 and 79 years and this Brazil and lower in more admixed (mestizo) populations
figure is expected to increase to 44.4% by 2045. such as Paraguay and Peru.2
The gross national income per capita ranges from Mortality
USD 2,050 in Nicaragua to USD 15,230 in Uruguay.
In the last year, some countries such as Brazil and In 2017, 209,717 adults with diabetes aged 20-79 years
Argentina registered a recession, whereas others died as a result of diabetes (11% of all mortality). About
including Bolivia and Nicaragua, have observed high 44.9% of these deaths occurred in people under the age
economic growth.1 of 60. Over half of the deaths (51.8%, 108,587) in the
region occurred in Brazil.
Prevalence
Healthcare expenditure
In SACA, an estimated 26 (21.7-31.9) million people or
8% (6.7-9.8%) of the adult population, have diabetes The total healthcare expenditure on diabetes totalled
in 2017. Of these, 10.4 million (40%) are undiagnosed. USD 29.3 billion (ID 44.8 billion), corresponding to 4% of
About 84.4% of people with diabetes live in urban the total spent worldwide. This expenditure is expected
environments and 94.5% of people with diabetes in to increase 30% by 2045, reaching USD 38.1 billion (ID
SACA are living in middle income countries. 57.8 billion).
Puerto Rico has the highest prevalence of diabetes in On the mean healthcare expenditure per person with
adults aged 20-79 years (12.9%) in the region. Brazil has diabetes, the highest estimate was observed in Cuba
the highest number of people with diabetes (12.5 (11.4- with ID 3,113, while the lowest expenditure was in the
13.5) million). Diabetes prevalence is higher in women Honduras with ID 683.
(14.4 million, 8.6%) than men (11.7 million, 7.4%). In SACA, 11% of the healthcare expenditure was
Moreover, estimates indicate that another 32.5 million dedicated to diabetes, and countries with the largest
people or 10.0% of the adult population aged 20-79 percentage are Nicaragua and Guatemala with 13%
years, have impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) in 2017. By while the lowest percentage was estimated to be 8% in
2045, the number of people with diabetes is expected to Peru and Ecuador.
rise to 42.3 million.
An estimated 118,600 children and adolescents under
the age of 20 have type 1 diabetes in this region.
Nearly 88,300 of these children and adolescents live
in Brazil, which makes it the country with the third
highest number of children and adolescents with type 1
diabetes in the world, after USA and India.
<5% 7-8%
5-6% 8-9%
6-7% >9%
*Comparative prevalence
Figure 4.5.1 Prevalence (%) estimates of diabetes Figure 4.5.2 Mortality due to diabetes by age and
by age and sex, South and Central America sex, South and Central America Region, 2017
Region,
24% 2017
22% 35000
Female Female
20%
Male 30000 Male
18%
16% 25000
14%
12% 20000
10% 15000
8%
6% 10000
4%
5000
2%
0% 0
20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79
CHAPTER 4
78
Although the IDF South-East Asia Region (SEA) There are an estimated 149,300 children and
comprises only seven countriesIndia, Bangladesh, adolescents under the age of 20 living with type 1
Nepal, Sri Lanka, Mauritius, Bhutan and the diabetes in SEA. Approximately 19,500 children and
Maldivesit is the second most populous IDF region adolescents developed type 1 diabetes in the region
after the Western Pacific Region (WP). In 2017, all SEA during 2017. India is home to the second largest
countries are classified as low- or middle income and number of children and adolescents aged 0-19 years
have an annual economic growth of over 3-7% during with type 1 diabetes in the world (128,500), after the
the year.1 Mauritius has the highest gross national USA, and accounts for the majority of children and
income per capita at USD 9,760 and Nepal the lowest adolescents with diabetes in the SEA.
at USD 730.
Mortality
SEA has 962 million adults aged 20-79 years in
2017 and by 2045, the region is predicted to grow With 1.1 million deaths in 2017 (14% of all mortality),
to about 1.37 billion adults aged 20-79 years. the region had the second highest number of deaths
This region is represented predominantly by India attributable to diabetes of any of the seven IDF regions,
and all other countries are small which leads to after WP. Nearly half (51.5%) of these deaths occurred
heterogeneity in the data. in people under 60 years of age. In 2017, India is the
largest contributor to the regional mortality, with nearly
Prevalence 1 million estimated deaths attributable to diabetes.
Estimates in 2017 indicate that 8.5% (6.5-10.7%) of the Healthcare expenditure
adult population aged 20-79 years has diabetes. This
is equivalent to 82.0 (62.6 103.2) million people living The total healthcare expenditure on people with
with diabetes. About 45.8% of these are undiagnosed. diabetes in 2017 was USD 9.4 billion in 2017 (ID 33.2
Although only one-third (33.3%) of adults in SEA live in billion), which makes SEA the second lowest total
urban areas in 2017, nearly half (48.8%) of all adults healthcare expenditure on diabetes of all seven IDF
with diabetes can be found in cities. regions after the African region. However, SEA will
experience a large growth in healthcare expenditure on
Mauritius has the highest adult diabetes prevalence diabetes in the next decades, reaching USD 14.4 billion
rate in this region (22.0%), followed by Sri Lanka (ID 50.6 billion) in 2045.
(10.7%) and India (10.4%). India is home to the
second largest number of adults living with diabetes The highest estimate in 2017 for mean expenditure
worldwide, after China. People with diabetes in India, per person with diabetes in the region was ID 3,246
Bangladesh, and Sri Lanka make up 98.9% of the in the Maldives, while the lowest was ID 147 in
regions total adult diabetes population. People from Bangladesh. Regarding India, which accounts for 90%
age 50-70 have the highest diabetes prevalence among of diabetes cases in the region, ID 426 was spent per
all ages in this region. person with diabetes.
A further 29.1 million people aged 20-79 years have Despite the lower numbers presented here, in
impaired glucose tolerance and are at increased comparison with other parts of the world, these
risk of developing type 2 diabetes in the future. correspond to significant share of the total resources
The number of people with diabetes in the region is available. On average 12% of the total expenditures on
predicted to be 151.4 million by 2045 or 11.1% of the healthcare was directed to people with diabetes. The
adult population aged 20-79 years. highest percentage in the region was Mauritius where
one in four healthcare dollars was spent on diabetes,
and the lowest was Nepal with only 6% of the total
dedicated to diabetes.
<5% 7-8%
5-6% 8-9%
6-7% >9%
*Comparative prevalence
Figure 4.6.1 Prevalence (%) estimates of diabetes Figure 4.6.2 Mortality due to diabetes by age and
by
24%age and sex, South-East Asia Region, 2017 sex, South-East Asia Region, 2017
22% 250000
Female Female
20%
Male Male
18% 200000
16%
14%
150000
12%
10%
100000
8%
6%
4% 50000
2%
0% 0
20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79
CHAPTER 4
80
The IDF Western Pacific Region (WP) has the largest Mortality
population of any region with 39 countries and
With 1.3 million deaths among adults (11% of all
territories. WP is home to China, the worlds most
mortality), WP had the highest number of deaths due to
populous country with 62.2% of adults in the region,
diabetes of all the IDF regions. Over 38.0% of diabetes
and to some of the least populous, such as the
deaths occurred in people under the age of 60. China
Pacific islands of Tokelau and Niue. The economic
alone had 842,993 deaths due to diabetes in 2017 with
profiles of countries vary from a gross national
33.8% of the total occurring in people under 60.
income per capita of USD 51,880 in Singapore to less
than USD 1,140 in Cambodia. Healthcare expenditure
Prevalence In WP, USD 120.3 billion (ID 178.7 billion) was spent
on healthcare by people with diabetes in 2017. Due
In 2017, 9.5% (8.4-12%) of adults aged 20-79 years are
to a projected decrease in the total number of people
estimated to be living with diabetes. This is equivalent
with diabetes in some of the WP countries (Japan
to 158.8 (140.6-200.4) million people. Over half (54%) of
and Taiwan) and significant changes in the population
these are undiagnosed, 63.8% of people with diabetes
structure of other countries (China and the Republic
live in cities and 90.2% of people with diabetes live in
of Korea), a small reduction in total amount spent
low or middle income countries. WP is home to 37.4%
on healthcare by people with diabetes is projected in
of the total number of people with diabetes in
2045 (USD 111.6 billion (ID 167.3 billion)). Even so, it
the world.
is important to highlight that this projection does not
There is a big difference between the estimates for the consider prevalence growth or increase in healthcare
prevalence of adult diabetes in WP: from the worlds costs, being exclusively based on demographic changes.
highest in the Pacific Island nation of the Marshall
China spent the most on diabetes in the region for a
Islands (30.5%) to one of the lowest in Cambodia (4.4%).
total of ID 109.8 billion, corresponding to 52% of the
China has the highest number of people with diabetes
total spent in the region. The highest mean expenditure
(114.4 (104.1-146.3) million) in the world.
estimate per person with diabetes was in Australia with
There are also 126.7 million adults aged 20-79 years ID 5,650 spent in 2017, while the lowest value was in
with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) in the region who Papua New Guinea with ID 172.
are at increased risk of future diabetes. By year 2045, it
On average 10% of healthcare dollars was spent on
is predicted that there will be 193.3 million adults with
diabetes. The country with the highest percentage
diabetes (20-79 years) in the region equivalent to 10.3%
of healthcare expenditure dedicated to diabetes was
of the adult population.
Tuvalu with 31%, while the lowest was Cambodia with
An estimated 110,000 children and adolescents under only 4%.
the age of 20 in the region have type 1 diabetes with
approximately 13,300 newly diagnosed in 2017. Over
46,900 of these children and adolescents are in China
likely due to the large proportion of this age group in
China rather than a high incidence rate.
Figure
24% 4.7.1 Prevalence (%) estimates of diabetes Map 4.7.1 Prevalence (%) estimates* of diabetes
by age and sex, Western Pacific Region, 2017 (20-79 years) in Western Pacific Region, 2017
22%
20% Female
18% Male
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79
250000
Female
Male
200000
150000
100000
50000
<5% 7-8%
5-6% 8-9%
0 6-7% >9%
20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 *Comparative prevalence
CHAPTER 4
82
CHAPTER 5
Diabetes Complications
Diabetes complications
When not well managed, all types of diabetes can People with diabetes should be regularly screened
lead to complications in many parts of the body, for potential complications and provided with
resulting in frequent hospitalisations and early close monitoring by healthcare professionals.
death. People with diabetes have an increased risk A majority of people with diabetes are unaware
of developing a number of serious life-threatening of having diabetes complications.9 However,
health problems increasing medical care costs most complications can be detected in their
and lowering quality of life. early stages by screening programmes, allowing
for early treatments and prevention of disease
Persistently high blood glucose levels cause
progression. Diabetes requires a comprehensive
generalized vascular damage affecting the heart,
management plan where patients are educated to
eyes, kidneys and nerves. Diabetes is one of
make informed decisions about diet, exercise, and
the leading causes of cardiovascular disease
weight; effectively monitor their blood glucose,
(CVD), blindness, kidney failure and lower-limb
lipids, blood pressure and cholesterol; access and
amputation. In pregnancy, poorly controlled
correctly use medications; and regularly attend
diabetes increases the risk of maternal and
screening for complications.
fetal complications. There are no detailed global
estimates of diabetes-related complications, The International Diabetes Federation (IDF)
but where data are available mainly from high runs a series of initiatives around the globe to
income countries prevalence and incidence vary advance treatment, services and education to
hugely between countries.1,2 improve outcomes for people with diabetes and
also promotes prevention of diabetes and its
Diabetes complications can be divided into acute
complications. (See Chapter 6). However, more
and chronic complications. Acute complications
needs to be done and therefore, IDF calls for
include hypoglycaemia, diabetic ketoacidosis
epidemiologic studies in all parts of the world
(DKA), hyperglycaemic hyperosmolar state
to gain a more comprehensive global picture on
(HHS), hyperglycaemic diabetic coma, seizures
diabetes complications and their extent.
or loss of consciousness and infections. Chronic
microvascular complications are nephropathy,
neuropathy and retinopathy, whereas chronic
macrovascular complications are coronary artery
disease (CAD) leading to angina or myocardial
infarction, peripheral artery disease (PAD)
contributing to stroke, diabetic encephalopathy
and diabetic foot. In addition, diabetes has also
majority of people with
A
been associated with increased rates of cancer, diabetes are unaware
physical and cognitive disability,3-5 tuberculosis6,7 of having diabetes
and depression.8 complications. However,
most complications can
be detected in their
early stages by screening
programmes
CHAPTER 5
86
Cardiovascular disease
People with diabetes are at increased risk of People with diabetes are two to three times more
cardiovascular disease (CVD). High levels of likely to have cardiovascular disease (CVD) than
blood glucose can make the blood coagulation people without diabetes.30, 31 The incidence of CVD
system more active, increasing the risk of blood increases with age and there is variation between
clots. Diabetes is also associated with high blood countries with higher rates being observed in low
pressure and cholesterol levels, which lead to and middle income settings compared to high
increased risk of cardiovascular complications income countries.31
such as angina, coronary artery diseases (CADs),
Based on studies conducted among younger
myocardial infarction, stroke, peripheral artery
people with type 1 diabetes (28-44 years) living in
disease (PAD), and congestive heart failure. A
high and middle income countries, up to 16% had a
comprehensive report about epidemiology related
history of CVD,32-36 up to 2% had a history of stroke37
to diabetes and CVD has been published by IDF
and up to 1% had a history of heart attack.38 The
in 2016.10
prevalence of CAD (including angina pectoris and
Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are heart attack) among similar age groups with type
a group of disorders of the heart and 1 diabetes (25-43 years) in high and middle income
blood vessels and they include: countries ranged from 0.5% to 20%.39-42 Whereas,
among older people (51-69 years) with type 1 and
Coronary heart disease: disease of the blood
type 2 diabetes, the prevalence of coronary artery
vessels supplying the heart muscle;
disease ranged from 12% to 31.7%.11,39,42-52
Cerebrovascular disease: disease of the blood
CVD is a major cause of death and disability in
vessels supplying the brain;
people with diabetes. In young people with type
Peripheral arterial disease: disease of blood 1 diabetes (8-43 years), up to five people out of
vessels supplying the arms and legs; 1,000 die from CVD each year,35,36,53-56 while among
middle-aged people with type 2 diabetes living
Rheumatic heart disease: damage to the heart in high and middle income countries, up to 27
muscle and heart valves from rheumatic fever, people out of 1,000 die from CVD each year; a third
caused by streptococcal bacteria; of them die from stroke, and a quarter die from
Congenital heart disease: malformations of coronary artery disease.11,13,14,16,24,27,43,45,58-65
heart structure existing at birth; deep vein
thrombosis and pulmonary embolism blood Economic burden of diabetes and CVD
clots in the leg veins, which can dislodge and CVD consumes a significant part of diabetes
move to the heart and lungs. resources nationally.66 Based on US data, 20 %
Overall, it is estimated that every year 14 to 47 per of all inpatient days and 15 % of physician office
1,000 middle-aged people with diabetes (50-69 visits are due to this chronic complication of
years) living in high and middle income countries diabetes. Moreover, CVD related care represents
have a CVD event.11-16 Among these, 2-26 per 1,000 the largest proportion of diabetes health
are coronary artery disease events,17-22 and 2-18 expenditures: one out of four diabetes inpatient
per 1,000 are strokes.11-13,15,19,20,23-29 costs are a consequence of CVD, and 15 % of costs
of physician office visits are related to CVD. At the
same time diabetes is responsible for more than a
quarter of all CVD expenditure.67
CHAPTER 5
88
Diabetic eye disease (DED) occurs as a direct The proportion of moderate and severe vision
result of chronic high blood glucose levels causing impairment attributable to DR was 1.3% in 1990
damage to the retinal capillaries, leading to worldwide and this increased to 1.9% in 2010.
capillary leakage and capillary blockage. It may Southern Latin America had the largest proportion,
lead to loss of vision and eventually, blindness. The namely 4.0% in 2010. The proportion of blindness
spectrum of DED comprises diabetic retinopathy cases attributable to DR increased from 2.1% in
(DR), diabetic macular edema (DME), cataract, 1990 to 2.6% in 2010. Once again, Southern Latin
glaucoma, loss of focusing ability, and double America had the largest proportion of blindness
vision. DME is a further complication of retinopathy, cases due to diabetes from all regions analysed
which can occur at any stage. It is characterized worldwide, which was 5.5% in 2010.82
by a swelling of the macula due to ischemia.76 The
Economic burden of DED
risk for retinopathy is increased among people
with type 1 diabetes, people with longer duration Diabetic eye disease has a significant impact on
of diabetes, and possibly among people of lower peoples quality of life and was associated with
socioeconomic status.77 deterioration in physical wellbeing. Globally,64%
of people with DME and 58% with DED experience
DR is the leading cause of vision loss in working-
limitations on performing daily activities compared
age adults (20 to 65 years) and approximately
to 37% of those without DED.81 Moreover, those with
one in three people living with diabetes have
these conditions rated their health as fair or poor in
some degree of DR and one in ten will develop
greater proportion compared to those without DED,
a vision threatening form of the disease. As per
reporting higher frequency of physically unhealthy
the estimates of the International Association on
days and restricted daily activities. 77
the Prevention of Blindness (IAPB), 145 million
people had some form of DR and 45 million people Besides the burden for people with diabetes,
suffered from vision threatening DR in 2015.78- DED is also responsible for significant healthcare
80
The prevalence of any retinopathy in persons expenditure. In a study conducted in Sweden, DR
with diabetes is 35% while proliferative (vision- alone consumed 10 million euros in healthcare
threatening) retinopathy is 7%.77 expenditures.83
20% of adults surveyed across 41 countries were Evidence from other countries suggests a similarly
diagnosed with DED in the IDF DR Barometer. The high economic burden of DED. In Spain, the cost
prevalence of DED was 41% in the South-East Asia of DR grew from EUR 200 in 2007, to EUR 233 in
region, 20% in the European region, 19% in the 2014; while the mean cost of DME went from EUR
Region of the Americas, 19% in the Western Pacific 705 in 2007 to EUR 4,200 in 2014.84 In Canada, the
region, 18% in the Eastern Mediterranean region, mean six-month cost of mild DME was CAD 2,092,
and 12% in the Africa region. Globally, 7.6% of and for severe DME was CAD 3,007.85 On top of
patients surveyed had been diagnosed with DME.81 the medical expenditures, the costs associated
with DED include productivity losses due to
The prevalence of DME was 6.4% in the Region of
absence from labour force and opportunity costs
the Americas, 6.3% in the South-East Asia region,
associated to the support of informal care givers.86
and 5.6% in the Western Pacific region. The rates
Based on research from Australia, these types of
in the European and Eastern Mediterranean region
costs, totalled AUD 2 billion due to DME only.87
are slightly higher at 8.9% and 11% respectively.81
CHAPTER 5
90
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) among patients with with clinical nephropathy experienced mean
diabetes can be true diabetic nephropathy, but annual costs 49% higher (USD 6,826). Moreover,
can also be caused indirectly by diabetes due when nephropathy progresses to end stage renal
mostly to hypertension, but also polyneuropathic disease (ESRD) the associated health expenditures
bladder dysfunction, increased incidence increase exponentially. Among patients with ESRD
of relapsing urinary tract infections or those not on dialysis experienced annual mean
macrovascular angiopathy. costs of USD 10,322, while for those on dialysis this
increased 2.8 times.94
Based on data from the UK, one-fifth of people
with diabetes90 and based on data from the In order to reduce this economic burden, the most
US, 40% of people with diabetes will develop effective strategy is to prevent diabetes in the first
chronic kidney disease, whereas 19% show place, and among those with diabetes to diagnose
signs of stage 3 or higher.91 Pooled data from and treat kidney disease early on. Based on a UK
54 countries reveal that more than 80% of end- study, starting early therapy can lead to important
stage renal disease (ESRD) cases are caused by cost savings when compared with a later start of
diabetes, hypertension or a combination both. the same intervention. As per the results of this
The proportion of ESRD attributable to diabetes study, GBP 2310 ( 327) can be saved over lifetime.95
only varies between 12 to 55%. The prevalence of
Another study, conducted in Thailand has obtained
ESRD is also up to 10 times higher in people with
similar health economic results, with ACE inhibitors
diabetes as those without.1
used as therapy for the delay of ESRD among
Diabetes, hypertension and kidney failure are patients with albuminuria, producing savings of
highly interlinked. On the one hand, type 2 USD 120,000 per 100 people with diabetes.96
diabetes is among the leading causes of kidney
Prevention and management of kidney disease
failure which is a risk for hypertension and on
the other hand, hypertension can often precede Both diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD)
CKD and contribute to progression of kidney are strongly associated with CVD and therefore,
disease.92 Hyperglycaemia induces hyperfiltration, the major component in their management is
a predictor of progressive kidney disease, control of cardiovascular risk factors such as
and morphologic changes in the kidneys that hypertension and hyperglycaemia. It is important
ultimately lead to podocyte damage and loss of to control blood glucose and blood pressure in
filtration surface.93 order to reduce the risk of nephropathy. Screening
for abnormal quantities of albumin in the urine
Economic burden of kidney disease
(albuminuria) and starting treatment with drugs
Likewise, with the other diabetes related that reduce the activity of the renin-angiotensin-
complications, kidney disease is associated with aldosterone system when albuminuria is
significant additional health expenditure for people persistently found, even in the absence of
with diabetes. Depending on the severity of kidney hypertension, is very effective to prevent the
disease in diabetes, the costs also vary. Based on a development and progression of CKD in people
US study conducted between 1999 and 2002 people with diabetes.
with diabetes but no nephropathy incurred a mean
annual medical cost of USD 4,573, while patients
CHAPTER 5
92
High blood glucose can cause damage to the low and middle income countries foot ulcers,
nerves throughout the body. Neuropathy is a and amputation are more common.103,104 With
frequently encountered complication of diabetes. comprehensive management, a large proportion
Nerve damage can be quite significant and allow of amputations related to diabetes can be
injuries to go unnoticed, leading to ulceration, prevented. Even when amputation takes place, the
serious infections and in some cases amputations. remaining leg and the persons life can be saved
Diabetic neuropathy is an impairment of normal by good follow-up care from a multidisciplinary
activities of the nerves throughout the body and foot team.105
can alter autonomic, motor and sensory functions.
Global prevalence of diabetic foot varies between
Peripheral neuropathy is the most common form
3% in Oceania to 13% in North America, with a
of diabetic neuropathy which affects the distal
global average of 6.4%. The prevalence of diabetic
nerves of the limbs, particularly those of the feet.
foot is higher for men than for women. Also, the
It alters mainly the sensory function symmetrically
prevalence of diabetic foot is higher among people
causing abnormal feelings and progressive
with type 2 diabetes, compared to people with type
numbness which facilitates the development of
1 diabetes.106
ulcers (diabetic foot) because of external trauma
and/or abnormal distribution of the internal bone The characteristics of people with diabetic foot
pressure. Neuropathy can also lead to erectile often include older age, longer diabetic duration,
dysfunction, as well as digestive and urinary hypertension, diabetic retinopathy and smoking
problems, and some other problems such as history.
cardiac autonomic dysfunction.
Economic burden of diabetic foot
Diabetic foot is a severe chronic complication,
and it consists of lesions in the deep tissues Foot complications are among the most serious
associated with neurological disorders and PVD and costly complications of diabetes. In 2007, one-
in the lower limbs. The reported prevalence of third of diabetes costs were estimated to be linked
diabetic peripheral neuropathy ranges from 16% to foot ulcers. Compared to people with diabetes
to as high as 66%.99,100 Amputation in people without foot ulcers, the cost of care for people with
with diabetes is 10 to 20 times more common diabetes and with foot ulcers is 5.4 times higher in
compared to those of non-diabetic people.101 Every the year of the first episode and 2.6 times higher
30 seconds a lower limb or part of a lower limb in the year of the second episode. Moreover,
is lost to amputation somewhere in the world as among patients with foot ulcers, costs for treating
a consequence of diabetes.102 The incidence of those with the highest grade ulcers were eight
diabetic foot is increasing due to the increased times higher compared to treatment of the lowest
prevalence of diabetes and the prolonged life grade foot ulcers.107
expectancy of diabetic patients. Prevention and management of diabetic foot
In high income countries, the annual incidence Similar to other diabetes related complications,
of foot ulceration among people with diabetes is the preventive strategy for diabetic foot is
about 2%, being the most common cause of non- adequate diabetes management, characterized
traumatic amputation, approximately 1% of people by glycaemic control. Intensive blood glucose
with diabetes suffer lower-limb amputation. In management (HbA1c<7%) can lead to a 35%
CHAPTER 5
94
Oral health
People with diabetes have increased risk of Prevention and management of oral
inflammation of the gums (periodontitis) or complications
gingival hyperplasia if blood glucose is not
The use of an electric toothbrush and a strict
properly managed. Periodontitis is a major cause
dental maintenance schedule are important in
of tooth loss and is associated with an increased
long-term oral health and for the prevention
risk of CVD. Other diabetes-related oral conditions
of complications. Regular oral check-ups
include dental decay, candidiasis, lichen
should be established to ensure early diagnosis
planus, neurosensory disorders (burning mouth
especially among previously undiagnosed diabetes
syndrome), salivary dysfunction and xerostomia,
patients and prompt management of any oral
and taste impairment.
complications among patients with diabetes.
Those with diabetes have a higher risk of Annual visits are recommended for symptoms
developing periodontal disease compared to of gum disease such as bleeding when brushing
those without diabetes.112-114 The prevalence of teeth or swollen and red gums.122
periodontal disease is more common among
To improve oral health, salivary function must be
people with diabetes (92.6%) than those without
maintained. Common dry or burning sensation
the disease (83%).115 Diabetes is associated with
in the mouth among people with diabetes can
a greater prevalence of lichen planus,116 fissured
be a side effect of medication use which can
tongue, traumatic ulcers, irritation fibroma,117
be managed by modifying drug scheduling,
recurrent aphthous stomatitis118 and oral fungal
dose adjustment, changing medications or
infections.117 These complications might be caused
simply by chewing sugar-free gum. A high fluid
by chronic immunosuppression, delayed healing
intake should be encouraged. Patients should
or salivary hypofunction.119
avoid bulky, spicy or acidic foods, alcoholic and
Economic burden of oral complications carbonated beverages, and tobacco use. The
use of mouthwashes, that are specific to the
An American study based on insurance claims
treatment of dry mouth and alcohol free may also
the number of hospitalizations of people with
alleviate the oral discomfort. Also, therapy with
diabetes receiving periodontal treatment was
immunologically active saliva substitutes can be
39 % lower compared with people with diabetes
helpful for reducing bacterial plaque, gingivitis
who have not received periodontal care. This
and positive oral yeast counts.123
difference was associated with a significantly
lower cost; the mean annual medical costs per
subject were USD 2,840 lower for those receiving
care, which represented a 40 % cost reduction.120
Another study also for the US has estimated that
oral healthcare can potentially generate savings
Oral healthcare can
ranging between USD 39-53 billion among people potentially generate between
with diabetes.121 USD 39-53 billion
Despite the presented evidence here, studies from saving in people with diabetes
other parts of the world, particularly from low-
and middle-income countries, are needed in order
to get a better global picture.
Pregnancy-related complications
Pregnant women with any type of diabetes are Prevention and management of
at risk for many devastating consequences for pregnancy complications
both mother and child. High blood glucose levels
It is important for women with diabetes in
increase the risk for foetal loss, congenital
pregnancy or gestational diabetes (GDM) to
malformations, stillbirth, perinatal death, pre-
carefully control and monitor their blood glucose
eclampsia, eclampsia, obstetric complications
levels to reduce the risk of adverse pregnancy
and maternal morbidity and pregnancy related
outcomes with the assistance of the healthcare
mortality. High blood glucose can cause both
provider. Medical nutrition therapy with 33 % to
macrosomia and low birth weight, shoulder
40 % intake of carbohydrate with a preference for
dystocia and thus lead to problems during delivery,
complex carbohydrate and regular physical activity
injuries to the child and mother, and lower blood
helps better manage glucose levels and achieve
glucose in the child after birth. The child might
optimal weight during pregnancy, based on the
be born with low blood sugar, breathing problems
maternal body mass index (BMI).127-130
and jaundice. Those exposed to a diabetic
intrauterine environment are at higher risk of The oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) is
developing type 2 diabetes earlier in life than typically used for the diagnosis and monitoring
those without this exposure.124,125 of hyperglycaemia in pregnancy.131 It measures
the bodys ability to use glucose. Special testing
Economic burden of pregnancy complications
and monitoring of the baby may include foetal
Hyperglycaemia in pregnancy is associated movement counting, ultrasound to view internal
with average additional costs of USD 15,593 per organs or to detect macrosomia or disproportional
pregnant woman of which consists mostly of foetal growth, nonstress testing to measure the
complications for the mother (USD 11,794) and babys heart rate in response to movements,
neonatal complications in the macrosomic child biophysical profile to check foetal movements,
(USD 3799). The translation of costs per case- heart rate, and amniotic fluid, and Doppler flow
pregnancy and delivery only- to a systems level studies to measure blood flow. In the collaboration
has an annual budget impact of more than USD between the mother and healthcare team, the
1.8 billion in the US alone.126 Another study from timing and mode of delivery should be determined
the US also shows the costs of diabetes resulting based on gestational age, glucose control, and
in additional USD 4,560 when compared to estimated foetal weight.131
pregnancies without diabetes, which represents
an increase of 30 %.124
CHAPTER 5
96
CHAPTER 6
Action on Diabetes
Recommendations
In the context of an overall integrated approach to NCDs and in line with the Global Diabetes Plan 2011-
2021, a series of actions can be taken to reduce the impact of diabetes locally, regionally and globally, as
established in this IDF Diabetes Atlas 8th edition:
1. P
romote high-quality research on diabetes 3. Implement National Plans and Strategies to
epidemiology. reduce diabetes burden.
Accurate diabetes estimates depend on National Diabetes Programmes are a
availability and quality of up-to-date diabetes tried and tested strategy for mounting an
studies. IDF recommends strengthening effective and coherent approach to improving
national screening surveys and regular outcomes of diabetes prevention and care.
surveillance systems to all countries. IDF recommends a universal approach
to improving public health services as an
2. P
rioritization of diabetes care and control.
investment in the long-term health and
Scaling-up action for diabetes prevention and
well-being of the population, which is both of
management requires high-level national
intrinsic value as well as a major component
and international political commitment,
of economic productivity.
resources and effective governance and
advocacy. To improve accessibility and 4. Extend health promotion to reduce diabetes
outcomes of diabetes prevention and care, IDF and its complications.
recommends building the capacity of primary Unhealthy lifestyle including overweight
care professionals (PCPs) and strengthening or obesity, insufficient physical activity,
interdisciplinary collaboration through smoking and unhealthy dietary practices
training, mentoring, technical support, clinical increase the occurrence of type 2 diabetes,
leadership, policy and protocols. related complications and other NCDs.
IDF encourages using research evidence
strategically and adopting an ethical and
effective whole-of-society approach in
public-private partnership to promote the
intake of healthy diet and physical activity
through education and local adaptations of
comprehensive lifestyle programmes.
CHAPTER 6
100
IDF in action
In 2016, IDF prepared tailored country messages for the G7 and G20 Leaders Summits
focused on the need to improve access to diabetes medicines and supplies and on the
cost-effectiveness of type 2 diabetes prevention. These briefings were handed to G20
countries high-level officers during the 69th World Health Assembly, requesting that
diabetes be prioritised in the international agenda.
Consulting with BCVs will help foster better understanding of the issues and challenges
that people with diabetes encounter in our world today to inform the strategies
necessary to meet the varying needs of people with diabetes worldwide. The network
will also strengthen IDFs presence in global forums and bring both better awareness
and credibility to diabetes prevention, care, access and rights issues.
World Health Day 2016 focused on diabetes with the theme Beat diabetes. IDF joined
forces with WHO in making World Health Day 2016 a great success for the global
diabetes community.
IDF Congress
Congress The IDF Congress is one of the worlds largest health-related congresses for the
4-8 December
dissemination and promotion of leading scientific advances and knowledge on practical
Abu Dhabi
aspects related to diabetes research, care, education and advocacy. The event targets
health professionals and congress participants include physicians, scientists, nurses
and educators.
WDD is the worlds largest diabetes awareness campaign, reaching a global audience
of over one billion people in 165 countries. The campaign draws attention to issues of
paramount importance to the diabetes world and keeps diabetes firmly in the public
and political spotlight.
In 2015, World Diabetes Day became a year-long campaign to reflect the realities of
people living with diabetes. The campaign focused on healthy eating as one of the key
factors in managing type 1 diabetes and preventing type 2 diabetes. The theme of World
Diabetes Day 2016 was Eyes on Diabetes. The 2017 theme is Women and diabetes: our
right to a healthy future.
CHAPTER 6
102
The increasing global prevalence of chronic diseases is placing enormous and growing demands and
responsibilities on health systems. Healthcare professionals play a critical role in improving access to
and the quality of healthcare for people with diabetes. Preparing the worldwide healthcare workforce to
respond to the associated challenges is a crucial objective for IDF.
The IDF School is a one-stop portal giving access to the best in-class information on
recent advances in diabetes prevention, management and care. Features of the IDF
School include online certificate courses, discussion forums, opinion polls and lecture
videos on diabetes, expert opinions, and daily news updates. IDF certified courses
include curricula for diabetes educators, primary care physicians/general practitioners
and specialists. More information: www.idfdiabeteschool.org
D-NET was launched by IDF in 2010. Since then, D-NET has grown into an online network
of more than 11,000 members. D-NET provides its members with regular discussions led
by international experts, an interactive library and a global event calendar.
More information: https://d-net.idf.org/en/
K DS A project of the
International Diabetes Federation
Kids & Diabetes in Schools
The Kids and Diabetes in Schools (KiDS) project is designed to support the rights of
children with diabetes, to ensure school days are happy days by encouraging healthy
behaviour among school-aged children and reducing discrimination. It was co-designed
by IDF and the International Society for Paediatric and Adolescent Diabetes (ISPAD).
KiDS is an educational programme designed for school staff, school students and
parents. The KiDS information pack is available in nine languages (Arabic, Chinese,
English, French, Greek, Hindi, Portuguese, Russian, and Spanish) from the IDF website.
An app in eight languages is also available for tablet computers. Currently, more than
33 countries are engaged with the KiDS project. More information:
https://kids.idf.org/
Guidelines are an essential component of achieving quality care for all people with diabetes. Guideline
recommendations define standards for care and use evidence-based interventions to achieve those standards
in order to guide health professionals, people affected by diabetes, policy-makers and administrators.
IDF guidelines and position statements have been prepared to assist countries, organisations and individuals
who wish to develop their own national and regional guidelines, and to draw on the experience of experts in
each of the IDF Regions.
CHAPTER 6
104
The IDF Life for a Child Programme and ISPAD developed a shortened version of
these guidelines aimed to be of practical use in emergency situations and in clinics
that are developing expertise in managing diabetes in children. The Pocketbook
for Management of Diabetes in Childhood and Adolescence in Under-resourced
Countries provides basic background on diabetes in children and clear advice for
initial management of diabetic ketoacidosis, initiation of maintenance insulin therapy,
complications screening and other key components of care.
Practical Guidelines
International Diabetes Federation (IDF), in collaboration
with the Diabetes and Ramadan (DAR) International Alliance
Ensuring the optimal care of the many people with diabetes who fast during Ramadan
is crucial. IDF and the Diabetes and Ramadan (DAR) International Alliance have come
April 2016
I N T E R N AT I O N A L D I A B E T E S F E D E R AT I O N
IDF GDM Model of Care 2015
IDF GDM MODEL OF CARE
IMPLEMENTATION
PROTOCOL
The IDF GDM Model of Care is an implementation protocol written for healthcare
GUIDELINES FOR HEALTHCARE
PROFESSIONALS
professionals. It was piloted in seven (urban and rural) collaborating health centres in
Tamil Nadu State (South India), from June 2012 to December 2015. The IDF GDM Model
Approach to Care has been developed using best practice of care and established
WINGS
clinical guidelines.
WOMEN IN
GDM
INDIA with
STRA
TEGY
An International Diabetes
eder
ationFoject
Pr
solutions for
Cost-effective Solutions for Diabetes Prevention
the prevention
of type 2 diabetes
The Cost-effective Solutions for Diabetes Prevention report provides policy makers and
diabetes advocates with an accessible and comprehensive summary of current data on
the clinical effects of primary prevention programmes, the costs associated with their
delivery, and the resulting benefits for society. Evidence on actionable solutions is also
included to inform policy development.
TEST2PREVENT
IDF developed an online type 2 diabetes risk assessment, which aims to predict an
individuals risk of developing type 2 diabetes within ten years. The test is based on
the Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC) developed and designed by the National
Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
BRIDGES 2
BRIDGES (Bringing Research in Diabetes to Global Environments and Systems) was
developed by IDF to provide strategies and solutions to support translational research
efforts worldwide. IDF BRIDGES 2 will fund and replicate a selection of projects
from BRIDGES with emphasis on the secondary prevention of diabetes and a strong
involvement of local public health authorities. The aim is to translate evidence-based
approaches from the first round of BRIDGES to other contexts and countries to improve
the lives of people living with diabetes.
CHAPTER 6
106
Access to essential medicines and technologies during humanitarian crisis appears to be the main
obstacle to diabetes management, especially in low and middle income countries. In many countries, lack
of access to affordable insulin and care remains in emergency situation a key impediment to successful
treatment and results in complications, morbidity and early death. IDF works with governments and non-
governmental organizations to improve the situation.
The focus of Life for a Child extends beyond keeping children and young
adults alive by improving clinical outcomes and quality of life. A wide
range of initiatives have been developed in patient and family education,
health professional training, mentoring and relevant clinical research.
One of the six building blocks of the health system strengthening framework is to ensure equitable access
to essential medicines of assured quality, safety, efficacy and cost-effectiveness, and that they are utilised
in a scientifically sound and cost-effective way.1
Scaling up access to insulin and other diabetes medicines is critical to global efforts to ameliorate the
burden of diabetes such as the objectives and voluntary global targets set forward in the Global Action
Plan for the Prevention and Control of Noncommunicable Diseases 2013-2020 and also in achieving
the Sustainable Development Goals. Governments, in collaboration with the private sector, should take
leadership in including efficient procurement and distribution of medicines in countries, establishment
or the provision of viable financing options, generic promotion policies and the development and use of
evidence based guidelines for the treatment of diabetes. The selection of medicines not included on WHO
EML and National EMLs should be rationalised. Improved procurement and distribution practices are also
critically needed.
Global Survey on Access to Medicines and Supplies for People with Diabetes
The IDF Access to Medicines and Supplies for People with Diabetes report (2017) is first
effort to analyse the patient and health professionals perspective on main barriers on
access to insulin and diabetes medicine. The report introduces diabetes and related
medicines; and provides an assessment of availability, accessibility and pricing of
medicines and supplies from around the world. The report found that, the various types
of insulins were always available at the service delivery point between 81%-84% of high
income countries, while only 10-13% in low income countries.
Diabetes medication, such as metformin and sylfonurea had availability varying between 84-88% of
high income countries and between 11-20% in low income countries. The availability of supplies varied
between 71-81% in high income countries to 10-14% in low income countries. It was concluded that
country-level initiatives and international initiatives can improve health systems and complement the
governmental efforts to implement high-impact, affordable interventions to provide access to insulin and
diabetes medicine and supplies.
The Access to Medicines and Supplies for People with Diabetes is calling for all parties in the public and
private sector to come together and develop sustainable strategies to reduce price of medicine, improve
education, improve evidence, improve availability, invest in health systems and health insurance schemes.
Table 6.1 Number of countries with availability of insulin, diabetes drugs and supplies, in access survey
by countries income group
High income countries Middle income countries Low income countries
Short-acting insulin 81% 46% 0%
Intermediate acting
84% 44% 10%
insulin
Rapid-acting insulin 84% 29% 13%
Long-acting insulin 81% 35% 0%
Glucagon 71% 38% 14%
Metformin 88% 64% 20%
Sylfonurea 84% 53% 11%
DPP4 inhibitor 86% 27% 25%
GLP1 analogue 77% 17% 33%
SGLT2 inhibitor 83% 22% 17%
Moglitinide 88% 22% 17%
Alpha glucosidase
85% 20% 14%
inhibitor
Syringes and needles 81% 50% 13%
Insulin pens 81% 36% 13%
Blood glucose meters and
78% 44% 10%
test strips
CHAPTER 6
108
APPENDIX
APPENDICES
110
424,877.1
WORLD 8.8 [7.2-11.3] 8.7 [6.6-12.1]
[346,391.7-545,447.8]
15,503.0
AFRICA 3.3 [2.1-6.0] 4.4 [2.9-7.8]
[9,821.3-27,843.9]
Angola 350.8 [213.8-549.1] 3.1 [1.9-4.9] 3.9 [2.4-6.0]
Benin 41.0 [28.8-148.1] 0.7 [0.5-2.7] 1.0 [0.6-3.3]
Botswana 52.5 [31.5-86.0] 3.8 [2.3-6.2] 4.8 [2.9-7.6]
Burkina Faso 152.4 [106.0-323.9] 1.8 [1.2-3.8] 2.4 [1.9-5.9]
Burundi 132.9 [99.7-250.5] 2.4 [1.8-4.6] 6.0 [4.6-9.5]
Cameroon 680.3[567.3-834.0] 5.9 [4.9-7.2] 7.2 [6.0-8.8]
Cape Verde 6.3 [4.9-15.9] 1.9 [1.5-5.0] 2.4 [1.8-5.5]
Central African Republic 120.2 [100.1-147.5] 4.7 [3.9-5.8] 6.1 [5.1-7.5]
Chad 235.3 [195.9-288.6] 3.8 [3.2-4.7] 6.1 [5.1-7.5]
Comoros 31.2 [21.7-47.1] 7.6 [5.3-11.6] 11.9 [8.0-18.1]
Democratic Republic of the Congo 1,706.7 [1,424.4-2,089.6] 4.8 [4.0-5.8] 6.1 [5.1-7.5]
Republic of Congo 148.9 [124.5-182.0] 6.5 [5.4-8.0] 7.2 [6.0-8.8]
Cte d'Ivoire 217.3 [162.7-513.8] 2.0 [1.4-4.6] 2.4 [1.8-5.5]
Djibouti 39.5[30.3-58.2] 7.5 [5.8-11.1] 6.0 [4.6-9.5]
Equatorial Guinea 31.8 [26.8-38.4] 7.0 [5.9-8.5] 7.8 [6.5-9.5]
Eritrea 83.5 [62.9-144.9] 3.2 [2.4-5.6] 6.0 [4.6-9.5]
Ethiopia 2,567.9 [1,094.0-3,795.4] 5.2 [2.2-07.7] 7.5 [4.1-11.3]
Gabon 66.0 [54.9-81.0] 7.0 [5.8-8.6] 7.2 [6.0-8.8]
Gambia 14.4 [14.0-44.7] 1.6 [1.5-4.9] 1.9 [1.9-6.1]
Ghana 518.4 [140.5-830.3] 3.6 [1.0-5.7] 5.0 [1.3-7.3]
Guinea 122.2 [88.6-271.4] 2.0 [1.4-4.4] 2.4 [1.9-5.9]
Guinea-Bissau 18.4 [14.3-44.8] 2.0 [1.5-4.8] 2.4 [1.9-5.9]
Kenya 458.9 [163.6-1,631.1] 2.0 [0.7-7.0] 2.9 [1.0-11.0]
Lesotho 30.3 [18.0-50.9] 2.7 [1.6-4.5] 3.9 [2.4-6.0]
APPENDICES
112
Africa
APPENDICES
114
Europe
57,968.03
EUROPE 8.8 [7 - 12] 6.8 [5.4 -9.9]
[46,459.531 - 79,473.59]
Albania 249.0 [217.1-282.1] 12.0 [10.5-13.6] 10.1 [8.7-11.5]
Andorra 6.0 [5.2-7.8] 11.8 [10.2-15.2] 8.0 [6.8-10.8]
Armenia 168.4 [114.9-269.8] 7.6 [5.2-12.3] 7.1 [4.9-11.1]
Austria 592.0 [518.6-748.8] 9.1 [8.0-11.5] 6.4 [5.5-8.3]
Azerbaijan 484.6 [330.7-758.7] 7.0 [4.8-11.0] 7.1 [4.9-11.1]
Belarus 482.5 [412.2-1,010.8] 6.8 [5.8-14.3] 5.2 [4.4-13.4]
Belgium 500.8 [444.4-656.9] 6.1 [5.4-8.0] 4.3 [3.6-5.7]
Bosnia and Herzegovina 366.9 [321.6-413.7] 12.5 [10.9-14.1] 10.1 [8.7-11.5]
Bulgaria 424.3 [340.3-559.4] 7.9 [6.3-10.4] 5.8 [4.6-8.3]
Channel Islands 7.0 [6.3-9.1] 5.6 [5.0-7.3] 4.3 [3.8-5.9]
Croatia 219.0 [165.6-452.1] 7.0 [5.3-14.4] 5.6 [4.3-10.7]
Cyprus 93.2 [63.8-153.9] 10.5 [7.2-17.4] 9.2 [6.3-15.4]
Czech Republic 767.8 [568.3-996.2] 9.5 [7.1-12.4] 6.8 [5.1-9.2]
Denmark 386.7 [335.7-436.7] 9.3 [8.0-10.5] 6.4 [5.6-7.2]
Estonia 55.3 [39.2-106.8] 5.7 [4.1-11.1] 4.0 [2.9-8.7]
Faroe Islands 2.5 [2.0-3.0] 7.1 [5.6-8.5] 5.3 [4.1-6.6]
Finland 370.3 [256.9-449.8] 9.2 [6.4-11.1] 5.8 [3.9-7.3]
France 3,276.4 [2,725.6-4,004.8] 7.3 [6.0-8.9] 4.8 [3.9-6.2]
Georgia 232.6 [163.5-368.6] 8.1 [5.7-12.8] 7.1 [4.9-11.1]
Germany 7,476.8 [6,066.4-8,281.2] 12.2 [9.9-13.5] 8.3 [6.6-9.3]
Greece 578.3 [467.6-1,289.1] 7.2 [5.8-16.0] 4.5 [3.7-11.2]
Greenland 0.9 [0.8-2.4] 2.5 [2.2-6.9] 2.2 [1.9-5.6]
Hungary 706.8 [540.5-1,241.9] 9.5 [7.3-16.7] 7.5 [5.9-14.1]
Iceland 18.0 [12.5-22.2] 7.7 [5.4-9.5] 5.3 [4.1-6.6]
Ireland 141.5 [111.1-196.5] 4.3 [3.4-6.0] 3.3 [2.5-4.8]
Israel 415.8 [333.6-696.4] 8.1 [6.5-13.6] 6.7 [5.3-11.2]
Italy 3,402.3 [3,084.9-3,964.1] 7.6 [6.9-8.9] 4.8 [4.3-5.8]
APPENDICES
116
Europe
Country/territory Adults with Diabetes Diabetes age-adjusted
diabetes (20-79) (20-79) national (20-79) comparative
in 1,000s prevalence (%) prevalence (%)
[Confidence interval] [Confidence interval] [Confidence interval]
APPENDICES
118
38,671.4
MENA 9.6% (6.7 - 12.7%) 10.8% ( 7.5 - 14.2%)
[27,139.0 - 51,371.0]
Afghanistan 1,032.6 [830.8-1,450.3] 6.7 [5.4-9.4] 9.6 [7.5-14.2]
Algeria 1,782.3 [1,250.5-2,452.0] 6.9 [4.9-9.5] 6.7 [4.7-9.2]
Bahrain 165.3 [151.8-182.3] 16.2 [14.8-17.8] 16.5 [15.1-18.1]
Egypt 8,222.6 [4,409.2-9,389.4] 15.1 [8.1-17.2] 17.3 [9.5-19.8]
Islamic Republic of Iran 4,985.5 [3,885.4-6,587.6] 8.9 [7.0-11.8] 9.6 [7.5-12.4]
Iraq 1,411.5 [1,004.2-1,887.0] 7.5 [5.4-10.1] 8.8 [6.5-11.6]
Jordan 408.1 [335.9-682.8] 9.5 [7.8-15.9] 11.8 [8.7-16.7]
Kuwait 441.0 [389.6-508.1] 15.1 [13.3-17.4] 15.8 [13.9-18.4]
Lebanon 585.4 [475.8-718.7] 14.6 [11.9-18.0] 12.7 [10.3-15.5]
Libya 442.5 [333.0-578.1] 11.2 [8.4-14.6] 10.4 [7.9-13.4]
Morocco 1,641.9 [1,299.7-2,609.0] 7.3 [5.8-11.6] 7.1 [5.7-11.3]
State of Palestine 168.8 [109.1-347.4] 7.0 [4.5-14.4] 10.6 [7.2-19.0]
Oman 367.7 [259.8-449.3] 10.7 [7.5-13.0] 12.6 [9.3-15.3]
Pakistan 7,474.0 [5,276.8-10,854.3] 6.9 [4.9-10.1] 8.3 [5.9-12.0]
Qatar 259.2 [239.1-287.7] 14.1 [13.0-15.6] 16.5 [15.1-18.1]
Saudi Arabia 3,852.0 [3,108.4-4,316.2] 18.5 [15.0-20.8] 17.7 [14.5-19.8]
Sudan 2,247.0 [1,151.7-3,656.7] 10.9 [5.6-17.7] 15.7 [7.8-22.8]
Syrian Arab Republic 705.7 [557.3-945.1] 7.1 [5.6-9.5] 8.2 [6.5-10.8]
Tunisia 762.2 [605.8-1,129.6] 9.8 [7.8-14.5] 8.5 [6.7-13.1]
United Arab Emirates 1,185.5 [1,055.0-1,377.9] 15.6 [13.9-18.1] 17.3 [14.9-20.1]
Yemen 530.5 [410.2-961.4] 3.8 [3.0-6.9] 5.4 [4.2-9.7]
APPENDICES
120
45,917.89
NAC 13 [10.8 - 14.5] 11 [9.2 - 12.5]
[38,167.84 - 51,265.18]
Anguilla 1.3 [1.0-1.5] 13.3 [10.8-16.0] 12.6 [10.3-15.3]
Antigua and Barbuda 8.5 [7.8-9.7] 13.6 [12.5-15.6] 13.2 [12.0-15.3]
Aruba 11.3 [9.4-14.0] 14.7 [12.3-18.3] 11.6 [9.6-15.1]
Bahamas 37.9 [34.2-44.1] 13.5 [12.2-15.8] 13.2 [12.0-15.3]
Barbados 35.6 [31.7-41.3] 17.6 [15.6-20.4] 13.6 [12.0-16.2]
Belize 31.5 [27.5-36.4] 14.7 [12.8-16.9] 17.1 [14.9-19.6]
Bermuda 6.6 [5.7-7.8] 15.2 [13.0-17.8] 13.0 [10.9-15.6]
British Virgin Islands 2.8 [2.1-3.8] 14.0 [10.3-18.5] 13.7 [10.0-18.0]
Canada 2,603.2 [2,486.8-3,611.6] 9.6 [9.2-13.3] 7.4 [7.0-10.8]
Cayman Islands 5.4 [4.9-6.4] 13.6 [12.2-15.9] 13.2 [11.9-15.5]
Curaao 18.7 [14.8-22.3] 12.7 [10.5-15.8] 11.6 [9.6-15.1]
Dominica 6.0 [5.0-7.5] 9.5 [7.5-12.7] 11.6 [9.8-15.1]
Grenada 6.5 [5.1-8.7] 16.7 [13.6-19.8] 10.7 [8.5-14.2]
Guadeloupe 53.5 [43.5-63.4] 11.3 [9.7-15.2] 11.6 [9.8-15.1]
Guyana 52.4 [44.9-70.3] 5.7 [3.8-9.4] 11.6 [9.8-15.1]
Haiti 351.4 [233.5-576.7] 11.4 [9.2-14.4] 6.6 [4.5-10.5]
Jamaica 209.3 [169.1-264.9] 18.2 [14.2-21.5] 11.3 [9.2-14.4]
Martinique 51.3 [40.0-60.5] 14.8 [7.4-17.6] 11.6 [9.6-15.1]
Mexico 12,030.1 [6,007.8-14,347.1] 13.6 [9.9-18.6] 13.1 [7.3-16.1]
Montserrat 0.5 [0.4-0.5] 11.3 [9.7-15.3] 13.2 [12.0-15.3]
Sint Maarten 3.6 [3.2-4.1] 11.6 [9.8-15.1] 13.2 [11.9-15.5]
St Kitts and Nevis 5.0 [3.6-6.9] 13.0 [8.9-25.9] 12.8 [9.2-17.9]
St Lucia 14.2 [12.2-19.2] 12.0 [9.9-16.1] 11.6 [9.8-15.1]
St Vincent and the Grenadines 8.4 [7.1-11.0] 13.0 [12.4-13.7] 11.6 [9.8-15.1]
Suriname 45.7 [31.2-91.1] 16.5 [13.8-19.2] 12.5 [8.5-25.2]
Trinidad and Tobago 117.4 [96.6-157.2] 13.6 [12.2-15.9] 11 [9.0-15.0]
30,187.5
United States of America 16.4 [12.9-19.5] 10.8 [10.3-11.4]
[28,828.5-31,762.8]
US Virgin Islands 12.3 [10.3-14.3] 13.9 [12.7-15.8] 12.3 [10.2-14.4]
APPENDICES
122
26,044.6
SACA 8% [6.7 - 9.8 %] 7.6 [6.3-9.5]
[21,692.0 - 31,885.2]
Argentina 1,757.5 [1,234.0-2,512.0] 6.2 [4.3-8.8] 5.5 [4.0-8.2]
Bolivia 391.0 [321.0-604.2] 6.2 [5.1-9.6] 6.9 [5.6-10.4]
12,465.8
Brazil 8.7 [8.0-9.4] 8.1 [7.4-8.8]
[11,439.3-13,471.4]
Chile 1,199.8 [1,020.2-1,478.6] 9.3 [7.9-11.5] 8.5 [7.2-10.5]
Colombia 2,671.4 [1,873.0-3,627.6] 8.1 [5.7-11.1] 7.4 [5.1-10.6]
Costa Rica 319.1 [279.4-370.7] 9.5 [8.3-11.0] 8.8 [7.7-10.2]
Cuba 897.6 [827.3-967.4] 10.6 [9.8-11.4] 8.3 [7.6-9.1]
Dominican Republic 520.8 [330.8-712.5] 8.1 [5.1-11.0] 8.2 [5.3-11.2]
Ecuador 554.5 [351.1-861.3] 5.5 [3.5-8.5] 5.6 [3.6-8.9]
El Salvador 332.7 [290.9-428.0] 8.7 [7.6-11.2] 8.9 [7.8-11.4]
French Guiana 13.1 [12.0-14.1] 8.1 [7.5-8.8] 8.3 [7.6-9.1]
Guatemala 752.7 [492.6-1,120.0] 8.4 [5.5-12.6] 10.2 [6.8-14.9]
Honduras 285.8 [200.2-472.4] 6.0 [4.2-9.9] 7.2 [5.0-11.8]
Nicaragua 373.4 [245.6-510.8] 10.0 [6.6-13.7] 11.5 [7.5-15.7]
Panama 215.9 [175.2-267.3] 8.5 [6.9-10.5] 8.3 [6.8-10.3]
Paraguay 298.0 [271.5-327.1] 7.4 [6.7-8.1] 8.3 [7.6-9.1]
Peru 1,130.8 [846.6-1,663.9] 5.6 [4.2-8.3] 5.9 [4.3-9.1]
Puerto Rico 400.6 [334.1-477.6] 15.4 [12.9-18.4] 12.9 [10.7-15.5]
Uruguay 152.8 [128.2-193.2] 6.6 [5.5-8.3] 6.9 [5.9-8.6]
Venezuela 1,311.4 [1,018.9-1,805.1] 6.6 [5.1-9.1] 6.5 [5.0-9.0]
APPENDICES
124
82,014.4
SEA 8.5% (6.5 - 10.7%) 10.1% ( 7.9 - 12.8%)
[62,553.207-103,207.03]
6,926.3
Bangladesh 6.9 [5.6-9.5] 8.4 [6.8-11.6]
[5,628.9-9,513.4]
Bhutan 40.21 [35.5-47.4] 7.9 [7.0-9.3] 9.8 [8.6-11.3]
72,946.4
India 8.8 [6.7-10.9] 10.4 [8.0-12.9]
[55,473.0-90,198.1]
Maldives 18.4 [16.3-43.5] 7.7 [6.8-18.2] 9.2 [8.1-22.1]
Mauritius 227.8 [91.8-262.8] 24.6 [9.9-28.4] 22.0 [9.1-25.7]
Nepal 657.2 [455.0-1,324.8] 4.0 [2.7-8.0] 7.3 [5.5-11.5]
Sri Lanka 1,198.1 [852.7-1,817.1] 8.6 [6.1-13.0] 10.7 [8.1-15.2]
Western Pacific
Country/territory Adults with Diabetes Diabetes age-adjusted
diabetes (20-79) (20-79) national (20-79) comparative
in 1,000s prevalence (%) prevalence (%)
[Confidence interval] [Confidence interval] [Confidence interval]
158757.82
Western Pacific 9.5 [8.4 - 12] 8.6 (7.6 - 11]
[140558.6-200401.8]
Australia 1,133.0 [878.4-1,361.2] 6.5 [5.0-7.8] 5.1 [4.0-6.1]
Brunei Darussalam 41.1 [34.8-50.0] 13.8 [11.7-16.8] 12.8 [10.9-15.3]
Cambodia 246.2 [236.2-269.6] 2.6 [2.5-2.9] 4.0 [3.8-4.4]
114,394.8
China 10.9 [9.9-14.0] 9.7 [8.8-12.5]
[104,108.8-146,293.2]
Hong Kong China 636.0 [561.4-742.2] 6.2 [9.7-12.8] 8.3 [7.3-9.9]
Macau China 45.0 [39.8-53.0] 9.3 [8.2-10.9] 8.3 [7.3-9.9]
Cook Islands 1.5 [1.1-2.4] 11.8 [8.6-18.8] 12.0 [9.1-17.9]
Fiji 81.7 [62.0-167.3] 14.5 [11.0-29.7] 14.5 [10.8-29.0]
French Polynesia 45.4 [38.0-53.1] 22.9 [19.2-26.8] 22.6 [19.0-26.4]
Guam 26.1 [22.0-31.7] 23.1 [19.5-28.0] 21.5 [17.8-26.9]
Indonesia 10,276.1 [8,884.3-11,109.2] 6.7 [5.3-6.7] 6.3 [5.5-6.8]
Quality of data sources No data Low High and Medium
3,878.7 97,641.4
51 147 17.06
[3,152.2-5,327.5] [80,804.8-123,773.2]
21.8 [19.3-25.8] 143 452 304.15 [276.2-340.1] 0.04
42,210.3 997,802.8
119 426 128.53
[32,099.3-52,193.0] [763,170.6-1,198,284.3]
10.0 [8.8-23.6] 1,895 3,246 111.7 [102.4-234.2] 0.05
121.1 [48.8-139.7] 535 994 2,609.3 [1,285.6-2,907.4] 0.04
532.1 [368.4-1,072.6] 71 244 11,693.1 [8341.4-19,875.1] 1.63
428.7 [305.1-650.2] 185 536 15,533.8 [10,469.3-22,280.2] 1.96
APPENDICES
126
Western Pacific
Country/territory Adults with Diabetes Diabetes age-adjusted
diabetes (20-79) (20-79) national (20-79) comparative
in 1,000s prevalence (%) prevalence (%)
[Confidence interval] [Confidence interval] [Confidence interval]
APPENDICES
128
A E I
AFR eGFR IAPB
IDF Africa Region estimated glomerular function International Association on the
ESRD Prevention of Blindness
AUD
end-stage renal disease ICO
Australian Dollars
EUR International Council of
B IDF Europe Region Ophthalmology
ID
BCV F international dollars
Blue Circle Voices
FBG
IDF
BMI fasting blood glucose
International Diabetes Federation
body mass index FINDRISC
IFG
BRIDGES Finnish Diabetes Risk Score
impaired fasting glucose
Bringing Research in Diabetes to G IGT
Global Environments and Systems G7 impaired glucose tolerance
Group of 7 countries: Canada, ISPAD
C
France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the International Society for Pediatric
CAD United Kingdom and the United and Adolescent Diabetes
coronary artery disease States.
K
CKD G20
Group of 20 countries: Argentina, KiDS
chronic kidney disease
Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, IDF Kids and Diabetes in Schools
CVD France, Germany, India, Indonesia, project
cardiovascular disease Italy, Japan, Mexico, Russia, Saudi L
Arabia, South Africa, South Korea,
D Turkey, United Kingdom, the United LFAC
States, and the European Union Life for a Child
DAR
diabetes and Ramadan GBP M
The British Pound MENA
DED
diabetic eye disease GDM IDF Middle East and North Africa
gestational diabetes mellitus Region
DIAMOND
GDP mg/dl
Diabetes Mondiale study
gross domestic product milligrams per decilitre
DKA mmol/L
GLP-1 receptor agonists
diabetic ketoacidosis glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor millimoles per litre
DM agonists mmol/mol
diabetes mellitus GNI millimoles per mole
gross national income MODY
DME
H maturity-onset diabetes of the young
diabetic macular edema
D-NET HbA1c N
Diabetes Education Network for glycosylated haemoglobin A1c NAC
Health Professionals HHS IDF North America and Caribbean
hyperglycaemic hyperosmolar state Region
DPP-4 inhibitors
HIV/AIDS NCDs
inhibitors of dipeptidyl peptidase 4
human immunodeficiency virus noncommunicable diseases
DR infection and acquired immune NEML
diabetic retinopathy deficiency syndrome National Essential Medicines List
APPENDICES
130
Glossary
A E
Age-adjusted comparative prevalence Epidemiology
Also simply called comparative prevalence. The age- The study of the occurrence, distribution and patterns of
adjusted comparative prevalence in the IDF Diabetes Atlas disease in large populations, including factors that influence
has been calculated by assuming that every country and disease and the application of this knowledge to improve
region has the same age profile (the age profile of the world public health.
population in 2001 has been used). This reduces the effect
of the differences of age between countries and regions, and
G
makes this estimate appropriate for making comparisons. G7
The comparative prevalence estimate should not be used for A governmental political forum that currently includes
calculating the number of people within a country or region Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, United Kingdom,
who have diabetes. See Chapter 2 for more details. United States and the European Union.
B G20
The G20 is an international forum for the governments and
Beta cells central bank governors from 20 major economies: Argentina,
Beta cells are found in the pancreas that produce, store and Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India,
release insulin. Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South
Africa, South Korea, Turkey, United Kingdom, the United
C States, and the European Union.
Cardiovascular disease (CVD)
Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM)
Diseases and injuries of the circulatory system: the heart, the
Hyperglycaemia (high blood glucose level) that is first
blood vessels of the heart and the system of blood vessels detected during pregnancy is classified as either gestational
throughout the body and to (and in) the brain. Generally refers diabetes mellitus (GDM) or diabetes mellitus in pregnancy.
to conditions that involve narrowed or blocked blood vessels. Women with slightly elevated blood glucose levels are
Comparative prevalence classified as having GDM and women with substantially
See Age-adjusted comparative prevalence. elevated blood glucose levels are classified as women with
diabetes in pregnancy. See Chapter 1 for more details.
D
Glucagon
Diabetes complications A hormone produced in the pancreas. If blood glucose levels
Acute and chronic conditions caused by diabetes. decrease, it triggers the body to release stored glucose into
Acute complications include diabetic ketoacidosis the blood stream. See Chapter 1 for more details.
(DKA), hyperglycaemic hyperosmolar syndrome (HHS),
Glucose
hyperglycaemic diabetic coma, seizures or loss of
Also called dextrose or blood sugar. The main sugar the
consciousness and infections. Chronic microvascular
body produces to store energy from proteins, fats and
complications include retinopathy (eye disease), nephropathy
carbohydrates. Glucose is the major source of energy
(kidney disease), neuropathy (nerve disease) and periodontitis for living cells and is carried to each cell through the
(inflammation of the tissue surrounding the tooth), whereas bloodstream. However, the cells cannot use glucose without
chronic macrovascular complications are cardiovascular the help of insulin. See Chapter 1 for more details.
disease (disease of the circulatory system), diabetic
encephalopathy (brain dysfunction) and diabetic foot (foot Glycogen
ulceration and amputation). See Chapter 5 for more details. A form of glucose that is used for storing energy in the liver
and muscles. If blood glucose levels decrease, the hormone
Diabetes (mellitus) glucagon triggers the body to convert glycogen to glucose
A condition that arises when the pancreas does not produce and release it into the blood stream. See Chapter 1 for more
enough insulin or when the body cannot effectively use details.
insulin. The three most common forms of diabetes are: type
1, type 2, and gestational. See Chapter 1 for more details. Glycosylated haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c)
Haemoglobin to which glucose is bound. Glycosylated
Diabetic foot haemoglobin is tested to determine the average level of blood
A foot that exhibits any disease that results directly from glucose over the past two to three months.
diabetes or a complication of diabetes.
Incidence Neuropathy
The number of new cases of a disease among a certain Damage, disease, or dysfunction of the peripheral nerves,
group of people for a certain period of time. For example, the which can cause numbness or weakness.
number of new cases of type 1 diabetes in children under 20
in one year.
P
Pancreas
Insulin
An organ situated behind the stomach, which produces
A hormone produced in the pancreas. If blood glucose levels
several important hormones, including insulin and glucagon.
increase, insulin triggers cells to take up glucose from the
blood stream and convert it to energy, and the liver to take up Periodontitis
glucose from the blood stream and store it as glycogen. See Also known as gum disease. Inflammatory diseases that
Chapter 1 for more details. affect the tissues that surround and support the teeth.
APPENDICES
132
Prevalence
The proportion or number of individuals in a population that
has a disease or condition at a particular time (be it a point
in time or time period). For example, the proportion of adults
aged 20-79 with diabetes in 2017. Prevalence is a proportion
or number and not a rate.
R
R (from health expenditure estimates)
The diabetes cost ratio, which is the ratio of health
expenditures for persons with diabetes to health expenditures
for age- and sex-matched persons who do not have diabetes.
By comparing the total costs of matched persons with
and without diabetes, the costs that diabetes causes can
be isolated. The R=2 estimates assume that health care
expenditures for people with diabetes are on average two-fold
higher than people without diabetes, and the R=3 estimates
assume that health care expenditures for people with
diabetes are on average three-fold higher than people without
diabetes. See Chapter 2 for more details.
Raw prevalence
Also called country, national or regional prevalence.
The number of percentage of each countrys or regions
population that has diabetes. It is appropriate for assessing
the impact of diabetes for each country or region. See
Chapter 2 for more details.
Regional prevalence
Indicates the percentage of each regions population that
has diabetes. It is appropriate for assessing the burden of
diabetes for each region.
Retinopathy
A disease of the retina of the eye, which may cause visual
impairment and blindness.
S
Secondary diabetes
A less common type of diabetes, which arises as a
complication of other diseases (e.g. hormone disturbances or
diseases of the pancreas).
Stroke
A sudden loss of function in part of the brain as a result of the
interruption of its blood supply by a blocked or burst artery.
T
Type 1 diabetes
People with type 1 diabetes cannot produce insulin. The
disease can affect people of any age, but onset usually occurs
in children or young adults. See Chapter 1 for more details.
Type 2 diabetes
People with type 2 diabetes cannot use insulin to turn glucose
into energy. Type 2 diabetes mellitus is much more common
than type 1, and occurs mainly in adults although it is now
also increasingly found in children and young adults. See
Chapter 1 for more details.
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APPENDICES
144
Figures
1.1 Diabetes diagnostic criteria 16
1.2 The symptoms of type 1 diabetes 17
1.3 The symptoms of type 2 diabetes 18
1.4 Diagnostic criteria in studies used for hyperglycaemia in pregnancy 20
1.5 Insulin production and action 25
2.1 Bootstrap and simulation analysis 35
3.1 Prevalence of people with diabetes by age and sex, 2017 44
3.2 Total number of adults with diabetes (20-79 years) 44
3.3 Diabetes prevalence in urban and rural settings in 2017 and 2045 (20-79 years) 45
3.4 Total healthcare expenditure by people with diabetes (20-79 years) 51
3.5 Total healthcare expenditure by people with diabetes, 2017 and 2045 52
3.6 Total healthcare expenditure on diabetes and mean expenditure per person with diabetes (ID)
(20-79 years) in 2017 by IDF region 54
3.7 P
ercentage of healthcare spent on diabetes (20-79 years) by IDF region in 2017 54
3.8 H
ealthcare expenditure on diabetes by sex and age group, 2017 (USD) 55
3.9 H
ealthcare expenditure on diabetes by age group in 2017 and 2045 (USD) 55
3.10 N
umber of people with impaired glucose tolerance by age group, 2017 and 2045 56
3.11 Prevalence (%) of impaired glucose tolerance (20-79 years) by age and sex, 2017 57
3.12 Hyperglycaemia in pregnancy by age group, 2017 59
3.13 Estimated number of children and adolescents (<20 years) with type 1 diabetes by IDF region, 2017 61
4.1.1 Prevalence (%) estimates of diabetes by age and sex, Africa Region, 2017 69
4.1.2 Mortality due to diabetes by age and sex, Africa Region, 2017 69
4.2.1 Prevalence (%) estimates of diabetes by age and sex, Europe Region, 2017 71
4.2.2 Mortality due to diabetes by age and sex, Europe Region, 2017 71
4.3.1 Prevalence (%) estimates of diabetes by age and sex, Middle East and North Africa Region, 2017 73
4.3.2 Mortality due to diabetes by age and sex, Middle East and North Africa Region, 2017 73
4.4.1 Prevalence (%) estimates of diabetes by age and sex, North America and Caribbean Region, 2017 75
4.4.2 Mortality due to diabetes by age and sex, North America and Caribbean Region, 2017 75
4.5.1 Prevalence (%) estimates of diabetes by age and sex, South and Central America Region, 2017 77
4.5.2 Mortality due to diabetes by age and sex, South and Central America Region, 2017 77
4.6.1 Prevalence (%) estimates of diabetes by age and sex, South-East Asia Region, 2017 79
4 .6.2 Mortality due to diabetes by age and sex, South-East Asia Region, 2017 79
4.7.1 Prevalence (%) estimates of diabetes by age and sex, Western Pacific Region, 2017 81
4.7.2 Mortality due to diabetes by age and sex, Western Pacific Region, 2017 81
APPENDICES
146
Tables
1.1 IDF recommendations for a healthy diet for the general population 23
1.2 WHO recommendations on physical activity for different age groups 23
2.1 Classification of the data sources 29
3.1 IDF regions ranked by prevalence (%) of diabetes (20-79 years) per region 45
3.2 Top 10 countries/territories for number of people with diabetes (20-79 years), 2017 and 2045 46
3.3 People living with diabetes (20-79 years) who are undiagnosed per region, 2017 47
3.4 People living with diabetes (20-79 years) who are undiagnosed per World Bank income classification, 2017 47
3.5 Top 10 countries for the number of people with undiagnosed diabetes (20-79 years) in 2017 48
3.6 Proportion (%) of people who died from diabetes in 2017 before the age of 60 in IDF regions 49
3.7 Top 10 countries for total health expenditure on diabetes in 2017 (20-79 years) 52
3.8 Top 10 countries for mean healthcare expenditure per person with diabetes (20-79 years) 52
3.9 Top 10 countries/territories for the number of people with impaired glucose tolerance,
(20-79 years), 2017 and 2045 58
3.10 Global estimates of hyperglycaemia in pregnancy, 2017 59
3.11 Hyperglycaemia in pregnancy in women aged 20-49 years by IDF region, 2017 59
3.12 G
lobal estimates for type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents (<20 years) for 2017 60
3.13 T
op 10 countries/territories for number of new cases of type 1 diabetes (children and adolescents <20 years)
per year 61
3.14 Top 10 countries/territories for number of new cases of type 1 diabetes (children and adolescents <15 years)
per year 61
3.15 T
op 10 countries/territories for number of children and adolescents diagnosed with type 1 diabetes
(<20 years), 2017 62
3.16 Top 10 countries/territories for the incidence rates (per 100,000 population per year with Type 1 diabetes (<20
years), 2017 62
3.17 Global diabetes estimates in people older than 65 63
3.18 IDF regions ranked by diabetes prevalence (%) in people older than 65 in 2017 and 2045 64
3.19 Top 10 countries with the number of people with diabetes older than 65 in 2017 and 2045 65
6.1 N
umber of countries with availability of insulin, diabetes drugs and supplies, in access survey by countries
income group 107
Maps
2.1 Countries and territories where data sources were reviewed with information on diabetes or IGT in adults 28
2.2 Countries and territories with selected data sources quality 33
2.3 Countries and territories with selected data sources reporting the percentage of people (20-79 years) with
previously undiagnosed diabetes 34
2.4 Data sources selected for impaired glucose tolerance estimates in adults (20-79 years) 36
2.5 Countries and territories with data sources reporting the prevalence of hyperglycaemia in pregnancy
(20-49 years) 37
2.6 Countries and territories with data available on the incidence or prevalence of type 1 diabetes in children
and adolescents (<20 years) 38
3.1 Estimated age-adjusted prevalence of diabetes in adults (20-79 years), 2017 42
3.2 Estimated total number of adults (20-79 years) living with diabetes, 2017 43
3.3 Number of people (20-79 years) living with diabetes who are undiagnosed, 2017 48
3.4 Proportions (%) of people who died from diabetes before the age of 60 50
3.5 Total healthcare expenditure on diabetes (20-79 years) (ID) 53
3.6 Mean healthcare expenditure per person with diabetes (20-79 years) (ID) 53
3.7 Age-adjusted prevalence (%) of impaired glucose tolerance (20-79 years), 2017 57
3.8 The number of people older than 65 with diabetes 64
4.1.1 P
revalence (%) estimates of diabetes (20-79 years) in Africa Region, 2017 69
4.2.1 P
revalence (%) estimates of diabetes (20-79 years) in Europe Region, 2017 71
4.3.1 P
revalence (%) estimates of diabetes (20-79) years in Middle East and North Africa Region, 2017 73
4.4.1 P
revalence (%) estimates of diabetes (20-79 years) in North America and Caribbean Region, 2017 75
4.5.1 P
revalence (%) estimates of diabetes (20-79 years) in South and Central America Region, 2017 77
4.6.1 P
revalence (%) estimates of diabetes (20-79 years) in South East Asia Region, 2017 79
4.7.1 P
revalence (%) estimates of diabetes (20-79 years) in Western Pacific Region, 2017 81
APPENDICES
Additional statistics and resources are available at
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