Do people prefer active MPs?

MP performance in 2010 CCM primaries

Introduction
What sort of MPs do people prefer? Do members of political parties value MPs who have been
active in Parliament, who have made vocal contributions and asked critical questions? Do voters care
about how much their MPs have held the executive to account on the floor of the Bunge?

One indicator for answering these questions is to analyze the relationship between active/dormant
MPs and their performance in the preferential polls of CCM, the dominant political party in Tanzania.
In the poll held on Sunday 1st August, 2010, 203 elected CCM MPs were trying to become CCM flag
bearers in the upcoming general election. Of these, 75 lost and 128 won. The final decision on which
candidates will stand for the Party during the national elections is expected to be made by CCM’s
National Executive Committee (NEC) in Dodoma on August 14, 2010, but the poll gives an indication
of the preferences of its ordinary members.

In this note we present six key facts regarding the relationship between the participation of MPs in
Parliament and their performance in the CCM polls. Data for the participation in Parliament is drawn
from the Uwazi brief entitled Do they work for us? Update on the 19th session of the Bunge (brief and
full dataset can be downloaded from www.uwazi.org), which is based on information provided in the
Bunge website; data on poll results is drawn from newspaper reports. 1

In assessing which CCM Members of Parliament lost and won, we only report on elected MPs. The
assessment does not include 71 MPs who are appointed as special seats legislators (58), by the
Zanzibar House or Representatives (3), who are presidential appointees (9) and the Attorney
General. It also excludes 4 MPs who ‘retired’, leaving 203 for consideration. Of these, 44 are elected
high level Government officials (4 Regional Commissioners, 22 Ministers, 15 Deputy Ministers, the
Speaker, Deputy Speaker and the Prime Minister) and 159 are ‘ordinary’ elected MPs.

1
See http://www.dailynews.co.tz/election/index_news.php?articleID=115.

This brief was produced by the Uwazi InfoShop at Twaweza, housed by Hivos Tanzania.
P.O. Box 38342, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Phone +255 22 266 4301. Fax +255 22 266 4308.
Email: [email protected]. Web: www.uwazi.org.
Fact 1: Ordinary MPs were more likely to lose than elected high level officials
Of the 44 elected high level Government officials who participated in the preferential vote, only 5
lost. Out of the 159 ‘ordinary’ elected CCM MPs 70 lost. In other words 11% of high level officials lost
their re-election, compared to 44% of the ‘ordinary’ elected CCM MPs. This suggests that ordinary
MPs have a significantly more difficult time returning to Parliament as compared with those in
leadership positions.

Figure 1: Percent of elected CCM MPs who lost the preferential vote

50%
44%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15% 11%
10%
5%
0%
Ordinary MPs High level government officials

Source of data: Newspaper sources

Fact 2: Male and female MPs were about as likely to win the preferential vote
Out of 16 elected female MPs, 6 lost the preferential vote; out of 187 male elected MPs, 69 lost the
preferential vote, i.e. slightly over one-third of both male and female MPs lost in the polls. This
suggests that female and male MPs were about as likely to win in the primaries.

Figure 2: Percent of elected male and female CCM MPs who lost the preferential vote

38% 37%
35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%
Female Male

Source of data: Newspaper sources

Fact 3: Active male MPs were less successful in the polls

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Using the data from the Uwazi brief on the number of contributions made by MPs during the 19
sessions of the 2005-2010 Bunge, it is possible to relate how active MPs were in the Bunge to their
performance in the primaries. As Figure 3 demonstrates, elected ‘ordinary’ male MPs who won the
primaries were less active in Parliament than those who lost the primaries.

Figure 3: Contributions per ordinary elected male CCM MP,

by winning or losing in the CCM primaries
90.0
77.7
80.0
70.0 64.3
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
Lost Won

Source: Uwazi leaflet and newspaper sources

Fact 4: Active female MPs were more successful in the polls

Unlike male MPs, ‘ordinary’ female CCM MPs who won in the primaries were much more active in
Parliament than those who lost. In fact, female MPs who won were one and a half time more active
as those who lost.

Figure 4: Contributions per ordinary elected female CCM MP,

by winning or losing in the CCM primaries
120.0 109.5

100.0

80.0 75.4

60.0

40.0

20.0

0.0
Lost Won

Source: Uwazi leaflet and newspaper sources

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Fact 5: Of the 10 least active CCM MPs, all won in the polls
All ten CCM MPs who are not high level government officials and who participated the least in
Parliament won in the polls, many with large landslides. Illustrative is the case of Hon. Aziz who
made zero contributions in the Bunge but who still won his re-election.

Table 1: Performance in CCM primaries of ten least active elected ‘ordinary’ CCM MPs
during the nineteen sessions of the Bunge since 2005
MP Name Total contributions Gender Status in CCM primaries
Rostam Abdulrasul Aziz 0 M Won
Mossy Suleiman Mussa 3 M Won
Salum Khamis Salum 4 M Won
Juma Suleiman N'hunga 5 M Won
Lolesia Jeremiah Bukwimba 5 F Won
Hassan Rajab Khatib 6 M Won
Omar Sheha Mussa 7 M Won
Abdallah Salum Sumry 7 M Won
William Jonathan Kusila 9 M Won
Mohammed Gulam Dewji 10 M Won
Source: Uwazi leaflet and newspaper sources

Fact 6: Seventy percent of the most active MPs lost in the polls
Since the last parliamentary elections in 2005, Jenista Mhagama has been the most active, ordinary
CCM MP in the Bunge, followed by Hon. Ndugai with a total of 286 interventions, and Hon. Msindai,
with a total of 222 interventions. How the ten most active MPs fared in the polls is presented below:

Table 2: Performance in CCM primaries of ten most active elected ‘ordinary’ CCM MPs
during the nineteen sessions of the Bunge since 2005
MP Name Total contributions Gender Status in CCM primaries
Jenista Joakim Mhagama 362 F Won
Job Yustino Ndugai 286 M Won
Mgana Izumbe Msindai 222 M Lost
Godfrey Weston Zambi 219 M Won
George Malima Lubeleje 197 M Lost
Juma Hassan Killimbah 196 M Lost
William Hezekia Shellukindo 187 M Lost
Prof. Raphael Benedict Mwalyosi 171 M Lost
Siraju Juma Kaboyonga 162 M Lost
Mohamed Rished Abdallah 147 M Lost
Source: Uwazi leaflet and newspaper sources

Being active in Parliament does not guarantee winning the CCM primaries as the case of Hon.
Msindai illustrates. In fact, it may be a liability. Out of the 10 most active CCM MPs, a remarkable 7
lost in the primaries.

4
Conclusion
This document has compared results of the CCM primaries to the participation of MPs during 19
sessions of the 2005-2010 Bunge. Findings reveal that less active MPs were more likely to win. This is
very clear when considering the 10 most active ordinary CCM MPs, of whom 7 did not survive the
primaries. By contrast, all of the least active MPs won in the polls.

The only exception holds for female CCM MPs, for whom holds that the more active ones were more
likely to win in the primaries. High level government officials were found to have a very high chance
to win their primaries; much higher than that of MPs who did not serve in high government
positions.

These findings raise questions about the role and functioning of Parliament and the preferences of
the ordinary CCM members who voted in the preferential polls. In particular, it raises questions
about the extent to which CCM MPs are valued for the way in which they hold the executive to
account on the floor of the Bunge.

5
 Annex 1: Ranking of Elected CCM MP Participation in Parliament and Results of CCM Primaries
Name Contributions Constituency Sex Position Primaries result
Jenista Joakim Mhagama 362 Peramiho F Won
Job Yustino Ndugai 286 Kongwa M Won
Mgana Izumbe Msindai 222 Iramba Mashariki M Lost
Godfrey Weston Zambi 219 Mbozi Mashariki M Won
George Malima Lubeleje 197 Mpwapwa M Lost
Juma Hassan Killimbah 196 Iramba Magharibi M Lost
William Hezekia Shellukindo 187 Bumbuli M Lost
Prof. Raphael Benedict Mwalyosi 171 Ludewa M Lost
Siraju Juma Kaboyonga 162 Tabora Mjini M Lost
Mohamed Rished Abdallah 147 Pangani M Lost
Michael Lekule Laizer 145 Longido M Won
John Paul Lwanji 141 Manyoni Magharibi M Won
Lucas Lumambo Selelii 132 Nzega M Lost
George Boniface Simbachawene 130 Kibakwe M Won
Emmanuel Jumanne Luhahula 128 Bukombe M Won
Ruth Blasio Msafiri 127 Muleba Kaskazini F Lost
Vita Rashid Kawawa 127 Namtumbo M Won
Bujiku Philip Sakila 125 Kwimba M Lost
Aloyce Bent Kimaro 124 Vunjo M Lost
Hafidh Ali Tahir 121 Dimani M Won
Benson Mwailugula Mpesya 119 Mbeya Mjini M Won
Raynald Alfons Mrope 116 Masasi M Lost
Herbert James Mntangi 116 Muheza M Won
Paul Peter Kimiti 114 Sumbawanga Mjini M Won
Zubeir Ali Maulid 112 Kwamtipura M Won
Mohamed Hamisi Missanga 111 Singida Kusini M Lost
Dr. Chrisant Majiyatanga Mzindakaya 110 Kwela M Won
Ponsiano Damiano Nyami 110 Nkasi M Lost
Castor Raphael Ligallama 108 Kilombero M Lost
Felix Ntibenda Kijiko 108 Muhambwe M Lost
Paschal Constantine Degera 107 Kondoa South M Lost
Andrew John Chenge 107 Bariadi Magharibi M Won
Stanley Jilaoneka Yono Kevela 107 Njombe Magharibi M Lost
Fuya Godwin Kimbita 107 Hai M Won
Omar Shabani Kwaangw' 106 Babati Mashariki M Lost
Gosbert Begumisa Blandes 105 Karagwe M Won
Mussa Azan Zungu 101 Ilala M Won
Jacob Dalali Shibiliti 99 Misungwi M Lost
Mbaruk Kassim Mwandoro 91 Mkinga M Won
Prof. Idris Ali Mtulia 91 Rufiji M Lost
Peter Joseph Serukamba 90 Kigoma Mjini M Won
James Daudi Lembeli 90 Kahama M Won
Masolwa Cosmas Masolwa 90 Bububu M Won
Dr. Guido Gorogolio Sigonda 89 Songwe M Lost
Charles N. Keenja Ubungo 89 Ubungo M Retired
Clemence Beatus Lyamba 88 Mikumi M Lost
Anne Kilango Malecela 87 Same Mashariki F Won
Victor Kilasile Mwambalaswa 86 Lupa M Won
Daniel Nicodem Nsanzugwanko 86 Kasulu East M Won
James Philipo Musalika 86 Nyang'hwale M Lost
Vuai Abdallah Khamis 85 Magogoni M Won
Hassan Chande Kigwalilo 85 Liwale M Won
Dr. Binilith Satano Mahenge 84 Makete M Won
Dr. Harrison George Mwakyembe 84 Kyela M Won
Vedastusi Mathayo Manyinyi 84 Musoma Mjini M Won
Stephen Jones Galinoma 79 Kalenga M Retired
Dr. Luka Jelas Siyame 79 Mbozi Magharibi M Won
Dr. Raphael Masunga Chegeni 78 Busega M Lost
Teddy Louise Kasella-Bantu 77 Bukene F Lost
Juma Abdallah Njwayo 77 Tandahimba M Won
Dr. Samson Ferdinand Mpanda 75 Kilwa Kaskazini M Won
Mwinchoum Abdulrahman Idd Msomi 75 Kigamboni M Lost
Dr. Charles Ogesa F. Mlingwa 73 Shinyanga Mjini M Lost

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Name Contributions Constituency Sex Position Primaries result
Dr. Zainab Amir Gama 73 Kibaha F Lost
Christopher Olonyokie Ole-Sendeka 73 Simanjiro M Won
Jackson Muvangila Makwetta 72 Njombe Kaskazini M Lost
Ernest Gakeya Mabina 72 Geita M Lost
Manju Salum Omar Msambya 72 Kigoma South M Lost
Capt. John Damiano Komba 71 Mbinga Magharibi M Won
Haroub Said Masoud 71 Koani M Won
Beatrice Matumbo Shellukindo 70 Kilindi F Won
Amb. Getrude Ibengwe Mongella 70 Ukerewe F Won
Dr. Festus Bulugu Limbu 70 Magu M Won
Ludovick John Mwananzila 69 Kalambo M Lost
Hasnain Gulamabbas Dewji 69 Kilwa Kusini M Won
Ameir Ali Ameir 68 Fuoni M Won
Estherina Julio Kilasi 68 Mbarali F Lost
Mzee Ngwali Zubeir 68 Mkwajuni M Lost
Amb. Abdi Hassan Mshangama 67 Lushoto M Lost
Kaika Saning'o Telele 67 Ngorongoro M Won
Suleiman Omar Kumchaya 67 Lulindi M Lost
Athumani Saidi Janguo 66 Kisarawe M Lost
Yahya Kassim Issa 66 Chwaka M Won
Mtutura Abdallah Mtutura 66 Tunduru M Won
Hamza Abdallah Mwenegoha 65 Morogoro Kusini M Won
Mohammed Rajab Soud 63 Jang'ombe M Won
Gaudence Cassian Kayombo 63 Mbinga Mashariki F Won
Dr. Juma Alifa Ngasongwa 63 Ulanga Magharibi M Lost
Ramadhani Athumani Maneno 61 Chalinze M Lost
Said Juma Nkumba 61 Sikonge M Lost
Ephraim Nehemia Madeje 60 Dodoma Mjini M Lost
Lazaro Samuel Nyalandu 60 Singida Nonerth M Won
Damas Pascal Nakei 60 Babati Magharibi M Lost
Abdul Jabiri Marombwa 60 Kibiti M Won
Wilson Mutagaywa Masilingi 59 Muleba South M Lost
Dr. Abdallah Omar Kigoda 58 Handeni M Won
John Samwel Malecela 58 Mtera M Lost
Fred Mpendazoe Tungu 57 Kishapu M Retired
Basil Pesambili Mramba 57 Rombo M Won
Luhaga Joelson Mpina 57 Kisesa M Won
Laus Omar Mhina 55 Korogwe Vijijini M Lost
Idd Mohamed Azzan 54 KiNonendoni M Won
Prof. Philemon Mikol Sarungi 53 Rorya M Lost
Richard Mganga Ndassa 53 Sumve M Won
Dunstan Daniel Mkapa 51 Nanyumbu M Lost
Benito William Malangalila 50 Mufindi Kusini M Lost
Dr. Omari Mzeru Nibuka 49 Morogoro Mjini M Lost
Charles Muguta Kajege 48 Mwibara M Lost
Dr. Ibrahim Said Msabaha 48 Kibaha Vijijini M Lost
Parmukh Singh Hoogan 47 Kikwajuni M Lost
Mudhihir Mohamed Mudhihir 46 Mchinga M Lost
Dr. Anthony Mwandu Diallo 44 Ilemela M Won
Ahmed Ally Salum 43 Solwa M Won
Kilontsi Muhama Mporogomyi 42 Kasulu Magharibi M Lost
Nazir Mustafa Karamagi 40 Bukoba Vijijini M Lost
Abdulkarim Esmail Hassan Shah 40 Mafia M Won
Ussi Ame Pandu 38 Mtoni M Won
Kheri Khatib Ameir 38 Matemwe M Won
Feteh Saad Mgeni 37 Bumbwini M Won
Elisa David Mollel 37 Arumeru Magharibi M Lost
Dr. Haji Mwita Haji 36 Muyuni M Lost
Mohamed Said Sinani 35 Mtwara Mjini M Lost
Prof. Feethan Philipo Banyikwa 35 Ngara M Lost
Brg. Gen. Hassan Athumani Ngwilizi 35 Mlalo M Won
Harith Bakari Mwapachu 35 Tanga M Lost
Joseph James Mungai 34 Mufindi Kaskazini M Lost
Eustace Osler Katagira 33 Kyerwa M Won
Tatu Musa Ntimizi 32 Igalula F Lost

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Name Contributions Constituency Sex Position Primaries result
Mohammed Amour Chombon 31 Magomeni M Won
Ame Pandu Ame 29 Nungwi M Won
Abdisalaam Issa Khatib 28 Makunduchi M Lost
Haji Juma Sereweji 28 Mwanakwerekwe M Won
Benedict Ngalama Ole-Nangoro 27 Kiteto M Won
John Magale Shibuda 26 Maswa M Lost
Rita Louise Mlaki 26 Kawe F Retired
Ali Juma Haji 25 Chaani M Won
Ahmed Mabkhut Shabiby 23 Gairo M Won
Issa Kassim Issa 23 Mpendae M Won
Edward Ngoyai Lowassa 23 Monduli M Won
Gideon Asimulike Cheyo 23 Ileje M Won
Mohamed Ali Said 21 Mgogoni M Won
Abbas Zuberi Mtemvu 19 Temeke M Won
Rajab Ahmad Juma 19 Tumbatu M Won
Samuel Mchele Chitalilo 16 Buchosa M Lost
Zabein Muhaji Mhita 15 Kondoa Kaskazini M Won
Col. Saleh Ali Farrah 15 Raha Leo M Lost
Nimrod Elirehema Mkono 15 Musoma Vijijini M Won
Felix Christopher Mrema 14 Arusha M Lost
Sameer Ismail Lotto 14 Morogoro-Kusini–Mash. M Lost
Rev. Luckson Ndaga Mwanjale 13 Mbeya Vijijini M Won
Suleiman Ahmed Saddiq 11 Mvomero M Lost
Oscar Rwegasira Mukasa 11 Biharamulo Magharibi M Won
Ali Ameir Mohamed 11 Donge M Won
Mohammed Gulam Dewji 10 Singida Mjini M Won
William Jonathan Kusila 9 Bahi M Won
Abdallah Salum Sumry 7 Mpanda Magharibi M Won
Omar Sheha Mussa 7 Chumbuni M Won
Hassan Rajab Khatib 6 Amani M Won
Lolesia Jeremiah Bukwimba 5 Busanda F Won
Juma Suleiman N'hunga 5 Dole M Won
Salum Khamis Salum 4 Meatu M Won
Mossy Suleiman Mussa 3 Mfenesini M Won
Rostam Abdulrasul Aziz 0 Igunga M Won

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 Name Total Constituency Sex Position Primaries results
Samuel John Sitta contributions
716 Urambo Mashariki M Speaker Won
Anne Semamba Makinda 566 Njombe Kusini F Deputy speaker Won
William Mganga Ngeleja 150 Sengerema M Minister Won
Stephen Masatu Wasira 144 Bunda M Minister Won
Prof. Jumanne Abdallah Maghembe 127 Mwanga M Minister Won
Prof. David Homeli Mwakyusa 116 Rungwe Magharibi M Minister Won
Dr. Mary Michael Nagu 103 Hanang F Minister Won
Dr. Shukuru Jumanne Kawambwa 98 Bagamoyo M Minister Won
Prof. Mark James Mwandosya 90 Rungwe Mashariki M Minister Won
Philip Sang'ka Marmo 84 Mbulu M Minister Won
Ezekiel Magolyo Maige 82 Msalala M Deputy Minister Won
Dr.John Pombe Joseph Magufuli 76 Biharamulo Mashariki M Minister Won
Mustafa Haidi Mkulo 69 Kilosa M Minister Won
Capt. John Zefania Chiligati 69 Manyoni Mashariki M Minister Won
Hawa Abdulrahman Ghasia 64 Mtwara Vijijini F Minister Won
Aggrey Deaisile Joshua Mwanri 63 Siha M Deputy Minister Won
Prof. Juma Athuman Kapuya 61 Urambo Magharibi M Minister Won
Lawrence Kego Masha 54 Nyamagana M Minister Won
Prof. Peter Mahamudu Msolla 54 Kilolo M Minister Won
Capt. George Huruma Mkuchika 51 Newala M Minister Won
Bernard Kamillius Membe 40 Mtama M Minister Won
Christopher Kajoro Chiza 39 Buyungu M Deputy Minister Won
Adam Kighoma Ali Malima 37 Mkuranga M Deputy Minister Won
Omar Yussuf Mzee 37 Kiembesamaki M Deputy Minister Won
Dr. Diodorus Buberwa Kamala 36 Nkenge M Minister Lost
Dr. James Mnanka Wanyancha 34 Serengeti M Deputy Minister Lost
Mizengo Kayanza Peter Pinda 34 Mpanda Mashariki M Prime Minister Won
Mathias Meinrad Chikawe 32 Nachingwea M Minister Won
Joel Nkaya Bendera 24 Korogwe Mashariki M Deputy Minister Lost
Dr. Cyril August Chami 24 Moshi Vijijini M Deputy Minister Won
Celina Ompeshi Kombani 23 Ulanga Mashariki F Minister Won
Dr. Hussein Ali Mwinyi 23 Kwahani M Minister Won
Dr. Milton Makongoro Mahanga 22 Ukonga M Deputy Minister Won
Muhammed Seif Khatib 20 Uzini M Minister Won
Ambassador Hamis Suedi Kagasheki 18 Bukoba Mjini M Deputy Minister Won
Dr. David Mathayo David 16 Same Magharibi M Deputy Minister Won
Dr. James Alex Msekela 14 Tabora Kaskazini M Regional Commissioner Lost
Hezekiah Ndahani Chibulunje 14 Chilonwa M Deputy Minister Won
Mohammed Abdi Abdulaziz 12 Lindi Mjini M Regional Commissioner Won
Jeremiah Solomon Sumari 10 Arumeru Mashariki M Deputy Minister Won
Dr. Emmanuel John Nchimbi 9 Songea Mjini M Deputy Minister Won
Ambassador Seif Ali Iddi 7 Kitope M Deputy Minister Won
Mbega Monica Ngezi 6 Iringa Mjini F Regional Commissioner Lost
William Vangimembe Lukuvi 4 Isman M Regional Commissioner Won
Source: Uwazi leaflet and newspaper sources