Beef Sustainability
Beef Sustainability
Beef Sustainability
9000
8000
Population, millions of persons
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
10,000 BC Year 2050
Source: US Census Bureau
World Population
10000 1804: 1 Billion
9000 1927: 2 Billion
8000 1960: 3 Billion
Population, millions of persons
2025: 8 Billion
3000
2000
2045: 9 Billion
1000
0
10,000 BC Year 2050
Source: US Census Bureau
How do we meet 70%
increased demand in
animal protein by 2050
sustainably?
What is sustainability?
Sustainability =
environmental
impact?
No.
Economics and social issues must also be
considered.
Peterson, 2013
Economic
Environment Social
Economic
Environment Social
Economic
Environment Social
Temperature and CO2
concentration
-data/datasets/ice-core
Source: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/data-access/paleoclimatology
Temperature and CO2
concentration
http://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/
Global Warming Potential
Units = Carbon dioxide equivalents (CO2 eq.), 100 year time scale
Methane CH4 28
Global Warming Potential
Units = Carbon dioxide equivalents (CO2 eq.), 100 year time scale
Methane CH4 28
35% manure
methane
Footprint measured in metric tons of CO2e*
21%
12% fuel use 59% enteric
24% fertilizer methane 7%
7%
2% refrigerant
23% fuel
35% container
3% 3%
64% soil N2O
formation 28% refrigerant
75% electricity 65% raw material 100% Diesel 72% energy
CH4
CH4
Figure 8 Forest transition and land degradation in dry lands (FAO, 2006).
Livestock units per square km
0 0.10.5 12.5 National boundar ies
00.1 0.51 >2.5
Figure 4 Global estimates of aggregate distribution of pigs, poultry, cattle, and small
ruminants (FAO, 2006).
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Paraguay: ~50%
Ethiopia: ~90%
2. Transport was not analyzed with LCA
method
New UN FAO report
14.5% of global
anthropogenic GHG
Regions with more
modern, intensive
production systems
have lower GHG
emissions per unit of
beef
What is missing from the debate?
-Context.
0
10
15
20
25
30
40
45
50
35
1930
1933
1936
1939
1942
1945
1948
1951
1954
1957
1960
1963
1966
1969
1972
Year
1975
1978
1981
1984
1987
1990
1993
1996
1999
2002
2005
2008
January 1 beef cow inventory
2011
2014
Source: USDA-NASS
Beef Production, billions of lbs.
0
10
20
25
15
30
1930
1933
1936
1939
1942
1945
1948
1951
1954
1957
1960
1963
1966
1969
1972
Year
1975
1978
1981
US beef production
1984
1987
1990
1993
1996
1999
2002
2005
2008
2011
Source: USDA-NASS
Beef Cows, Millions of Head
0
5
10
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
15
1930
1933
1936
1939
1942
1945
1948
1951
Beef Cows, Jan 1
1954
Beef Production, lbs.
1957
1960
1963
1966
1969
1972
1975
1978
1981
1984
1987
1990
1993
1996
1999
2002
with 30% fewer animals
2005
Beef production and cow inventory
2008
Produce same amount of beef
2011
2014
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
-18%
-33%
-12%
-19%
-30%
-18%
-33%
-12%
-19%
-30%
-18%
-19%
-30%
Animal health
Genetics
Nutrition
Source: http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/food-nutrition-assistance/food-security-in-the-us/key-statistics-graphics.aspx#foodsecure
Is the solution to food
insecurity producing
more food?
It is not that simple
Food waste
According to UN
FAO, 1.3 billion tons
of food wasted
globally each year
Source: http://www.fao.org/save-food/resources/keyfindings/infographics/meat/en/
Sustainability challenges