European Parliament Elections - 1979 To 1994: Research Paper
European Parliament Elections - 1979 To 1994: Research Paper
European Parliament Elections - 1979 To 1994: Research Paper
2 JUNE 1999
European Parliament
Elections 1979 to 1994
99/40 The Youth Justice and Criminal Evidence Bill [HL] [Bill 74 of 1998-99] 14.04.99
99/41 The Football (Offences and Disorder) Bill [Bill 17 of 1998-99] 14.04.99
99/42 The Road Haulage Industry: costs and taxes 19.04.99
99/43 Disability Rights Commission Bill [HL] [Bill 73 of 1998-99] 20.04.99
99/44 Unemployment by Constituency - March 1999 21.04.99
99/45 Adoption (Intercountry Aspects) Bill [Bill 18 of 1998-99] 22.04.99
99/46 Local Elections - Proposals for Reform 28.04.99
99/47 Economic Indicators 04.05.99
99/48 Kosovo: Operation "Allied Force" 29.04.99
99/49 The Northern Ireland (Location of Victims' Remains) Bill 07.05.99
[Bill 92 of 1998-99]
99/50 Scottish Parliament Elections: 6 May 1999 11.05.99
99/51 Welsh Assembly Elections: 6 May 1999 12.05.99
99/52 The local elections of 6 May 1999 17.05.99
99/53 Unemployment by Constituency - April 1999 19.05.99
99/54 Institutional Reform in the European Union 20.05.99
99/55 Wind Power 26.05.99
99/56 Homicide Statistics 27.05.99
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ISSN 1368-8456
Summary of main points
Elections to the European Parliament are due to take place in June 1999. These will be
the fifth set of elections to the European Parliament.
87 of the total 626 MEPs will be elected from the UK.
Between 1979 and 1994 elections in GB were on a first-past-the-post basis. From 1999 a
new regional list system will be used.
European election turnout in the UK is relatively low. In 1994 36% of the electorate
voted.
Had it been in place, the main beneficiary of the new electoral system in 1994 would have
been the Liberal Democrats, whose representation in the European Parliament would have
risen from 2 to 11. The Conservatives too would have increased their MEPs from 18 to
26.
CONTENTS
I Introduction 7
B. By-elections 12
I Introduction
Elections will take place to the European Parliament throughout the EU between 10 and
13 June 1999. This paper sets out results of previous elections to the European
Parliament, largely for the UK, and provides some background to the electoral system
which is to be used in Great Britain for the first time nationally.
Polling Days
United Kingdom, Denmark, Netherlands Thursday, 10 June
(Polls open in UK 7 am - 10 pm )
The count will not begin until the polling stations close at 9 pm on Sunday, 13 June across
Europe. Regional returning officers should be in a position to announce their results either
late in the evening of Sunday 13 June or in the early hours of Monday 14 June, depending
upon how long it has taken for the votes to be counted in their region.
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RESEARCH PAPER 99/57
The ECSC was given a 'parliamentary assembly', which met for the first time in
September 1952 in Strasbourg
25 March 1957: the six founding States created the European Economic Community
(EEC), through the Treaty of Rome (1957). The European Parliament then numbered
142 Members delegated by their national parliaments.
January 1973: The Europe of the Six became the Europe of the Nine with the
accession of Denmark, Ireland and the United Kingdom. The European Parliament
increased in size to 198 Members.
June 1979: the European Parliament was elected by direct universal suffrage, 410
Members elected in the nine Member States.
January 1981: the accession of Greece to the Community's 10th Member State
increased the number of MEPs to 434.
January 1986: the accession of Spain and Portugal to the European Community
increased the number of MEPs to 518.
June 1994: fourth European Parliament elections by direct universal suffrage. The
number of Members rose to 567 to take account of German unification
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Table 2 expresses votes for each party as a proportion of the totals in Great Britain and
Northern Ireland.
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Table 3 details the number of UK MEPs by party since 1979. The overall number has
risen from 81 to 87. Labour and Conservative representation following the 1994 elections
was roughly the reverse of the 1979 position. Around three-quarters of UK MEPs elected
in 1994 were Labour, similar to the proportion which was Conservative in 1979.
In 1994, the Liberal Democrats gained their first European Parliament seats Cornwall &
West Plymouth and Somerset & North Devon and the SNP increased their number of
MEPs from 1 to 2.
Northern Ireland
Dem ocratic Unionist 1 1 1 1
SDLP 1 1 1 1
Ulster Unionist 1 1 1 1
Total 3 3 3 3
Total UK 81 81 81 87
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B. By-elections
Under the former electoral system by-elections were held following the death or loss of
office of a UK MEP. Results of all the by-elections to date are set out in Table 4. Under
the new system by-elections are less likely, as replacement MEPs will generally be drawn
from regional lists.
# W O Smedley Anti Common Market and Free Trade Party 1,830 1.9%
D Hussey Independent 305 0.3%
Source: Craig & Mackie, Europe Votes 1, Daily Telegraph 22.9.1979
1984-89
5.3.87 Midlands West caused by death of sitting MEP, Terry Pitt
Change since 84
Votes % %
John Bird Lab 59,761 39.2 -11.5
Michael Whitby Con 55,736 36.5 -0.7
Christopher Carter Lib/All 37,106 24.3 12.2
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1994-99
12.12.96 Merseyside West caused by death of sitting Labour MEP,
Kenneth Stewart
Change since 94
Votes % %
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The system being used in Britain is similar to that being used in France, Germany,
Greece, Portugal and Spain to elect their MEPs. The change in the system in the GB
means all 626 MEPs will be elected under some form of proportional representation.
Source: Andrew Duff Electoral Reform of the European Parliament (Federal Trust 1996)
1
An explanation of different methods of quota allocation is in Research Paper 98/112 (pp. 78-80)
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RESEARCH PAPER 99/57
2. Turnout
Turnout in the UK at euro-elections has been relatively low by comparison with general
elections and european elections in other countries.
Luxembourg
Italy
Greece
Austria
Finland
Germany
Spain
Denmark
France
Ireland
Sweden
UK
Netherlands
Portugal
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
%
Austria - - - 68 (a)
Belgium # 92 92 91 91
Denmark 47 52 46 53
Finland - - - 60 (a)
France 61 57 49 53
Germany 66 57 62 60
Greece 79 (b) 77 80 71
Ireland 64 48 68 44
Italy 86 84 82 75
Luxembourg # 89 87 87 89
Netherlands 58 51 47 36
Portugal - 72 (c) 51 36
Sweden - - - 42 (a)
Spain - 69 (c) 55 59
UK 32 33 36 36
EU (average) 63 61 59 57
(a) 1996
(b) 1981
(c) 1987
# mandatory voting
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3. Composition of EP
a. Women
There are 169 women MEPs in the European Parliament, 27% of the total membership.
Female representation ranges from 50% for Finland to 14% for Italy. The UK currently
has 17 female MEPs out of a total representation of 87, equivalent to 20%.
b. Political Groups
MEPs do not sit in national delegations in the Parliament, but in multinational political
groups. The largest group is the European Socialists, which includes the British Labour
MEPs. Conservative MEPs sit with the second largest group, the European Peoples'
Party. Britain's three Liberal Democrat MEPs are members of the European Liberal
Group, while two Scottish Nationalist MEPs sit with the European Radical Alliance. The
other political groups are: the Union for Europe Group; the Group of the European United
Left/Nordic Green Left; the Greens; the Independent Europe of the Nations group; and
Independent MEPs.
Figure 2
Political Groups in the European Parliament
Independents
Independent Europe of the Nations
6%
3%
European Radical Alliance
3%
Greens
4%
Party of European Socialists
European United Left/Nordic 34%
Green Left
5%
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EUL/ Country
Country PES EPP ELDR UFE NGL Greens ERA I-EN Ind Total
Austria 6 7 1 - - 1 - - 6 21
Belgium 6 7 6 - - 2 1 - 3 25
Denmark 4 3 5 - - - - 4 - 16
Finland 4 4 5 - 2 1 - - - 16
France 16 11 1 18 7 - 12 10 12 87
Germany 40 47 - - - 12 - - - 99
Greece 10 9 - 2 4 - - - - 25
Ireland 1 4 1 7 - 2 - - - 15
Italy 19 35 4 4 5 3 2 - 15 87
Luxembourg 2 2 - 1 - - 1 - - 6
Netherlands 7 9 10 2 - 1 - 2 - 31
Portugal 10 9 - 3 3 - - - - 25
Spain 21 30 2 - 9 - 2 - - 64
Sweden 7 5 3 - 3 4 - - - 22
UK 61 17 3 - 1 1 2 1 1 87
Group Total 214 199 42 36 34 27 20 17 37 626
Source: Vachers European Companion (updated to take account of November 1998 by-election)
PES Party of European Socialists The largest group in the Parliament. It comprises members from all
EU states, including British Labour MEPs and John Hume from the SDLP.
EPP The European Peoples Party has members from all EU states. Mainly comprises Christian
Democrat parties but also includes British Conservatives who are affiliated but not full members of the
Group. Also includes Fine Gael members from Ireland and the Forza movement from Italy.
ELDR The European Liberal, Democrat and Reform Party. Has its largest membership from the
Netherlands as well as British Liberal Democrats.
UFE Union for Europe. Membership includes: French former Guallist MEPs, Fianna Fail Irish members,
Greek members from the Political Spring party, Centre Party Portuguese members.
UL/NGL The Confederal Group of the European United Left/Nordic Green Left. Comprises Green/Left
parties from Denmark, Finland, Greece, Italy, Spain and Sweden as well as members of Communist parties
from France, Greece and Portugal.
Greens The Greens, with representatives from 9 member states (including one elected Labour Member
form the UK)
ERA The European Radical Alliance. Based around the French Radical Party; also includes Scottish
Nationalist MEPs and members of Spanish and Belgian regional parties.
I-EN The Independent Europe of the Nations Groups. Composed of French members who led the
opposition in France to the Maastricht Treaty, Danish anti-marketeers, two Dutch members from smaller
parties and Jim Nicholson of the Ulster Unionists.
Ind Independents. Includes French and Belgian National Front Members, the Italian Lega Nord and Ian
Paisley.
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Seats in the constituency are allocated between the parties according to their share of the
vote and the results are broadly proportional to the vote share. The d'Hondt quota is used
to allocate seats, and this is the same quota as used for the additional member aspect of
the elections for the Scottish Parliament and Welsh Assembly. A worked example of the
system is shown in Figure 5 (page 21). Individual candidates may stand as well as
registered parties, but there are expected to be no more than 10 individuals standing in
England.
The total number of MEPs in the UK remains the same at 87, (71 England, 8 Scotland, 5
Wales, 3 Northern Ireland). However European Parliament constituencies as known up to
now cease to exist, except in Northern Ireland which retains its STV voting system.
Instead Scotland and Wales now form one single electoral region each and MEPs for
these electoral regions no longer have territorial constituencies, but represent the electoral
region as a whole. England is divided into nine regions based on the current Government
Offices for the Regions, except for combining Merseyside and the North West. Between
6 and 11 MEPs will be returned for each English region, dependent on the electorate of
the region. The regions and the number of MEPs are illustrated in figure 3:
2
see Research Paper no 98/102 The European Parliamentary Elections Bill for further details
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RESEARCH PAPER 99/57
Scotland
8 seats
North
East
Northern 4 seats
Ireland Yorkshire
3 seats & the
Humber
7 seats
East
Midlands
North West 6 seats
10 seats
Eastern
8 seats
West
Midlands
8 seats
Wales
5 seats
South
London
West South East
10 seats
7 seats 11 seats
European Electors
Region Electors Seats per seat
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Political parties will put forward lists of candidates in their preferred order. Individual
independent candidates will also be able to stand. On election day, voters will cast one
vote. They can vote either for a party list or for an independent candidate. The ranking
order of candidates on a party list cannot be changed.
On completion of the poll, votes for each individual candidate and each party will be
counted. The first seat will be allocated to the individual or party with the highest
number of votes. If the seat is allocated to a party, it will go to the first candidate on that
party's list. The second seat will be allocated in the same way except that if the first seat
was allocated to a party, that party's total will be divided by two. The process will
continue until all the seats are allocated. At all stages, parties' original totals are divided
by the number of seats that party has already been allocated, plus one. If a party wins
more than one seat, its candidates will be elected in the order in which they appear on the
party list.
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The following example shows how the seats would be allocated in a 7-member region with 1
million votes cast:
Stage 1
Labour (total) 380 000
Conservative (total) 300 000
Liberal Democrat (total) 180 000
Independent candidate 140 000
The first seat is allocated to the candidate at the top of the Labour list.
Stage 2
Labour (divided by 2) 190 000
Conservative 300 000
Liberal Democrat 180 000
Independent candidate 140 000
The second seat is allocated to the candidate at the top of the Conservative list.
Stage 3
Labour (divided by 2) 190 000
Conservative (divided by 2) 150 000
Liberal Democrat 180 000
Independent Candidate 140 000
The third seat is allocated to the candidate in second place on the Labour list.
Stage 4
Labour (divided by 3) 126 666
Conservative (divided by 2) 150 000
Liberal Democrat 180 000
Independent candidate 140 000
The fourth seat is allocated to the candidate at the top of the Liberal Democrat list.
Stage 5
Labour (divided by 3) 126 666
Conservative (divided by 2) 150 000
Liberal Democrat (divided by 2) 90 000
Independent candidate 140 000
The fifth seat is allocated to the candidate in second place on the Conservative list.
Stage 6
Labour (divided by 3) 126 666
Conservative (divided by 3) 100 000
Liberal Democrat (divided by 2) 90 000
Independent candidate 140 000
The sixth seat is allocated to the independent candidate.
Stage 7
Labour (divided by 3) 126 666
Conservative (divided by 3) 100 000
Liberal Democrat (divided by 2) 90 000
The seventh seat is allocated to the candidate in third place on the Labour list
Final result
Labour 3 seats
Conservative 2 seats
Liberal Democrat 1 seat
Independent Candidate 1 seat
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There is no longer to be a role for the Parliamentary Boundary Commissions. Instead the
Home Secretary considers the number of registered electors in the year preceding the next
EP election and make amendments in the number of MEPs for each region to ensure that
the ratio of registered electors to MEPs is as nearly as possible the same for every
electoral region in England3.
Table 7 looks at the results of the 1994 Elections to the European Parliament on the basis
of the new Electoral Regions. There are a number of European constituencies that are
partly contained within more than one Electoral Region4. In these cases, the seat has been
allocated to the region containing the majority of the electorate of the constituency. The
table compares the number of seats won in 1994 with the outcome under the proposed
system, assuming no change in voting behaviour.
The table shows that had the proposed system been in operation in 1994, Labour would
have won 43 seats, 19 fewer than the actual result while the Conservatives would have
won 26, a gain of 8. The Liberal Democrats would have gained 9 seats from the change,
and the Scottish National Party and Plaid Cymru would have both gained one seat.
Although the result is more in proportion to the number of votes cast, Labour with 44% of
the vote would have still won 51% of the seats.
Table 8 looks at notional results for European Elections on the basis of 1997 General
Election results by Electoral Region. Again, Labour would win most seats with 42, the
Conservatives would have won 28, the Liberal Democrats 12 and the Scottish National
Party 2. Both Labour and the Conservatives would have had a larger share of MEPs than
they did of votes.
3
There is no provision in the Bill to make adjustments to the number of MEPs for Scotland, Wales, or
Northern Ireland
4
These are: Bedfordshire & Milton Keynes (included within South East but partly in Eastern), Cleveland
& Richmond (Yorkshire & The Humber, North East), Itchen Test & Avon (South East, South West),
Lincolnshire & Humberside (East Midlands, Yorkshire & The Humber), Peak District (East Midlands,
West Midlands), London South & Surrey East (London, South East), The Cotswolds (South West,
South East), Staffordshire West & Congleton (West Midlands, North West), Staffordshire East and
Derby (West Midlands, East Midlands)
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Table 7
Notional allocation of seats on the basis 1994 European Election Results by Electoral Region
East Midlands 0 6 0 0 0 0 6
Eastern 2 6 0 0 0 0 8
London 1 9 0 0 0 0 10
North East 0 4 0 0 0 0 4
North West 0 10 0 0 0 0 10
South East 9 2 0 0 0 0 11
South West 4 1 2 0 0 0 7
West Midlands 1 7 0 0 0 0 8
Yorkshire & The Humber 1 6 0 0 0 0 7
England 18 51 2 0 0 0 71
Wales 0 5 0 0 0 0 5
Scotland 0 6 0 2 0 0 8
Great Britain 18 62 2 2 0 0 84
East Midlands 2 3 1 0 0 0 6
Eastern 3 4 1 0 0 0 8
London 3 6 1 0 0 0 10
North East 1 3 0 0 0 0 4
North West 3 6 1 0 0 0 10
South East 5 3 3 0 0 0 11
South West 3 2 2 0 0 0 7
West Midlands 2 5 1 0 0 0 8
Yorkshire & The Humber 2 4 1 0 0 0 7
England 24 36 11 0 0 0 71
Wales 1 3 0 1 0 0 5
Scotland 1 4 0 3 0 0 8
Great Britain 26 43 11 4 0 0 84
Notes: (a) Existing European constituencies have been allocated to Government Ofice Regions on a best-fit
basis. Cases where a constituency falls within more than one region are descibed in the text.
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RESEARCH PAPER 99/57
Table 8
Notional allocation of seats on basis of 1997 General Election results by Electoral Region
East Midlands 2 3 1 0 0 6
Eastern 4 3 1 0 0 8
London 3 6 1 0 0 10
North East 1 3 0 0 0 4
North West 3 6 1 0 0 10
South East 5 3 3 0 0 11
South West 3 2 2 0 0 7
West Midlands 3 4 1 0 0 8
Yorkshire & The Humber 2 4 1 0 0 7
England 26 34 11 0 0 71
Wales 1 4 0 0 0 5
Scotland 1 4 1 2 0 8
Great Britain 28 42 12 2 0 84
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